Art Aronson

This is a 1* Free Play on the OVER Cards/Reds.

Based primarily on the struggles of Reds’ starter Homer Bailey (5-8, 6.86 ERA.) Bailey comes in off a strong outing against the Pirates on Friday, but performances like those have been few and far between. Besides, the veteran has an atrocious 1-5, 7.78 ERA record at home. Cards’ starter Carlos Martinez has obviously been much more consistent than Bailey this year, but he’s already struggled against the Reds twice this season and he was most recently demolished for seven runs by the Cubs in his last trip to the mound. Consider the OVER in this one.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the St. Louis Cardinals.

Sometimes a favorite is a favorite for a reason and in this case, we absolutely believe that Carlos Martinez and the hard-hitting visiting side could/should easily be much larger ones.

Martinez: He’s 11-11 with a 3.57 ERA. Martinez was crushed by the Cubs in his last start for seven runs, giving up six in the sixth inning. He’s had mixed success against Cincinnati this year, but still sports a solid 3.72 ERA on the road and is 8-6 with 3.50 ERA in all “night” games.

Homer Bailey: He’s 5-8 with a 6.86 ERA. Bailey gave up one run off five hits over five innings in a victory over Pittsburgh on Friday. These types of performances are a rarity this year though for the veteran, who is just 1-5 with an atrocious 7.78 ERA at home thus far.

The bottom line: Note that St. Louis is 48-33 (+6.6 units) this year against clubs with losing records, while Cincinnati is just 27-39 (-3.6 units) against teams with winning records. Martinez doesn’t instill much confidence, but he’s been much more consistent than Bailey and we believe will be the more motivated hurler as well. Play on the CARDINALS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASASSIN on Temple.

While we’re not going to call for an outright upset, we do definitely expect the talented visiting side to keep this one a lot closer than what Sin City is leading us to believe.

The Owls: Temple enters off a 29-14 home win over UMass. QB Logan Marchi was 22 of 37 for 248 yards, three TD’s and no INT’s. So far he has nearly 770 yards passing and a 5:0 TD:INT. WR Keith Kirkwood now has 185 receiving yards on the year, while RB Ryquell Armstead had 177 rushing yards through three games. The defense was decent, getting gouged for 377 passing yards, but allowing just 61 rushing yards. Massacusetts was behind most of the game though, so it was forced to air it out. 

The Bulls: South Florida enters off a 47-23 home victory over Illinois. QB Quinton Flowers was 15 of 27 for 280 yards, four TD’s and one INT. So far he has 680 yards passing and an 8:2 TD:INT. RB Darius Tice had 105 yards on 12 carries. USF looked strong defensively, allowing a total of 354 yards. 

The bottom line: When these teams met last year, the Owls posted a 46-30 victory. Temple had more turnover in the offseason, so these are different teams essentially. However, we think that the Owls’ high-octane offense can keep them in this one late. As mentioned off the top, we think these teams are more evenly matched than what Sin City is trying to lead everyone to believe. Grab the points, play on TEMPLE.

AAA Sports

FREE NFL SUPER TEASER: This is a 10* SUPER TEASER on the 49ers from +2.5 to +9.5 and the total from 41 to 48 (playing the UNDER), offered at Pinnacle for -125.

When you think of these two teams, what’s the first thing that comes to mind? Explosive offenses likely isn’t one of them. The reason this total is so low, is because there’s no question that these clubs struggle to put points on the board most nights. In fact, the 49ers have yet to score an offensive TD. The Rams looked good beating the injured Colts, but came back down to Earth against the Redskins at home last weekend. San Francisco was never going to make the playoffs this year, but with a three-game road trip looming, this could be its last/best chance to score a victory to open the season. Essentially, it’s a “do-or-die” scenario for the 49ers tonight. With an added 7 points to the UNDER and to the home side’s spread, this one has all the makings of an easy cash! 

AAA Sports