Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nebraska +4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season, and I expect it to defend its home court tonight following a pair of road losses to open conference play. The Huskers are 32-15 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference opponents since 1997, winning by an average of 4.3 points in this spot. The Wolverines are a soft 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Cornhuskers are a strong 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Nebraska.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York.

4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Boise State +6.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is being overvalued following its big win at Kansas. Each of the last 4 meetings between these two have been decided by 6 points or less. Also, Boise State has lost by just 3 total points in its last 2 visits to SDSU. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus Mountain West foes while the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus the Mountain West.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Celtics +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that allowed 85 points or less last game has resulted in a 94-48 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that allowed 110 points or more last game. This system is already 1-0 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points that are off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more has resulted in a 72-34 ATS record since 1996 if they have a .250 to .400 win percentage and are playing a winning team. This system is already 3-0 ATS this season.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing January home underdogs that are off a home win has resulted in a 49-20 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 day of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 versus the Pacific division. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a cover and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings at the Nets. This is an extremely fatigued spot for the Warriors, and I can't see them covering this large of a number on the road against a Brooklyn squad that is playing with a lot of confidence right now.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Virginia -11
Bottom Line: Playing Wednesday home favorites of 10 or more points that hold opponents to an average of 57.0 ppg or less has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.5 points on average. Plus, the Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS under coach Bennett as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, winning these games by an average of 22.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz.

4* Major ACC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on NC State +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Notre Dame, which is coming off a gigantic win over Duke. This is a bounce-back spot for NC State following a double-digit loss at Pitt. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Notre Dame has been fortunate to shoot well the past two games because it has given up a lot of points. The Irish are 8-25 ATS under Brey after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games. Notre Dame will have a tough time scoring the basketball against an NC State defense that has been phenomenal on the road, holding opponents to 35.2% shooting overall and 19.1% from beyond the arc.

4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has had the Warriors' number. It is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. It is also 4-0 at home during this span. In terms of the spread, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. While Golden State would like to put an end to its struggles against the Bucks, it will have a difficult time doing so in what is a fatigued spot. This is the Warriors 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks, meanwhile, have 2 full days of rest on their side.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Game of the Year on Florida State -9
Bottom Line: Playing against any excellent offensive team like Auburn that averages 34 ppg or more has resulted in a 33-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against an excellent defensive team that allows 16 ppg or less in a non-conference matchup between two teams from BCS conferences. This system shows that good defense beats good offense the large majority of the time. Also, playing against any team like Auburn that allowed 37 points or more last game has resulted in an 85-39 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they're up against a team that's off 2 consecutive wins or 17 points or more. The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 bowl games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a cover, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus winning teams, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Pound FSU.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Total of the Year on Arkansas State/Ball State UNDER 64
Bottom Line: Both teams finished the regular season by going over the total in four straight as the offense's were sizzling. However, I give the decisive edge to the defense in this one given the extensive time each has had to prepare. Defensive coordinator John Thompson is running the Red Wolves for a second consecutive postseason as they lost another coach to a higher profile program. As you would expect from a defensive-minded coach, he's placed a ton of emphasis on the defensive side of the ball. He did the same thing last year and held a high-scoring MAC team (Kent State) to just 13 points in a 17-13 win in this bowl game. Arkansas State is a perfect 8-0 UNDER in its last 8 games versus top-level teams that carry a win percentage greater than 75%. We have seen just 47.5 total points scored on average in these games. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Indiana, which has a pair of double-digit wins over Cleveland already this season, including one earlier this week. The Pacers will be much more concerned with their next opponent, a Toronto squad that defeated them New Year's Day. Whether Irving is able to go or not, this is a great spot to back the Cavs who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards.

4* Major NFC Wild Card Bailout on Packers +3
Bottom Line: Green Bay is a completely different team with Aaron Rodgers under center, and I expect him to lead the Packers to a win Sunday afternoon. San Francisco won the regular season matchup 34-28. However, when the line is +3 to -3, teams that are looking for revenge for a loss of 7 points or fewer are 28-9 ATS the last 10 seasons, provided they are off a victory against a division foe. This system tightens up to 17-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Green Bay is also a stunning 13-1 ATS in home games in the second half of the schedule versus teams that outscore the opposition by 6.0 points per game or more. The Packers are 8-1 ATS under coach McCarthy versus good defensive teams that give up 17.0 points per game or fewer.

5* Wiseguy AFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Chargers +7
Bottom Line: The Bengals won the regular season meeting 17-10 in San Diego, but they benefited from a bye week prior to that contest. They also caught the San Diego at a good time as it was in a letdown spot following a big road win in Kansas City. San Diego has been playing do-or-die games for a month since then, and it has won them all, including an impressive win in Denver. We've seen it before. Teams that get hot at the right time have been very dangerous in the playoffs, and the Chargers have the look of a dangerous team. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in January and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 wild card games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Pound San Diego.

5* Wiseguy NFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Saints +3
Bottom Line: Much has been made of New Orleans' issues on the road. The Saints went 3-5 on the road this season but easily could have been better than that. They lost in the closing seconds in New England and Carolina, two teams I have rated higher than the Eagles. Road losses to the Jets and Rams look bad, but both of those teams can play a little defense. The Eagles haven't shown they can stop a team as prolific as New Orleans as they rank 29th in total defense and last against the pass. The Eagles are one of the top offensive teams in the league, but the Saints are 10-2 ATS under Payton versus teams that average 27.0 points per game or more, defeating these teams by 12.0 points on average. Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Pound the Saints.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC.

4* Major MVC Line Mistake on Bradley +4.5
Bottom Line: The Braves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games off a defeat of 15 or more points. Bradley has lost to Drake at home by more than 4.5 points just one time in the last 8 meetings.

4* Major Sandwich Game *SUREFIRE* on Rice +12
Bottom Line: This is a classic sandwich game for Harvard following a win over B.C. and with Connecticut up next. This situation becomes even tougher for the Crimson because they defeated Rice by 30 last season, making it very easy for them to look ahead. The Owls will be out for revenge and also motivated by losses in their last two games. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

4* Major WCC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacific +15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are overvalued frequently because of the amount of attention they receive from bettors. They have been especially overvalued on Saturday's, the biggest NCAAB betting day of the week. Gonzaga is 4-13 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 0-6 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Pacific is 15-4 ATS on Saturday the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Texas State +3
Bottom Line: Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 3.3 points on average. It is also 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning pct. of 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 9.5 points. Pound Texas State.

4* Major AFC Wild Card *SUREFIRE* on Colts -116
Bottom Line: I'm not sold on the Chiefs, who started 9-0 but have closed 2-5. The Colts won the regular season matchup 23-7 in Kansas City, and I expect a repeat performance at home where they have wins over Seattle and Denver. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 14 points. Indy is 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons versus poor defensive teams like KC that allow an average of 350.0 yards per game or more, and it has won these games by 7.3 points on average. Indy is also 9-0 ATS in home games when the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.

4* Major Compass Bowl *PUNISHER* on Houston +3
Bottom Line: The Houston Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 6-0 ATS in road/neutral field games the last 3 seasons after covering the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Houston took both UCF and Louisville down to the wire on the road, and we found out this bowl season that both of those schools are better than many thought. We've also found out the SEC isn't quite as infallible, and it doesn't help Vandy that it is expected to be without starting QB Austyn Carta-Samuels.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: D'Antoni's teams are 16-5 ATS lifetime after 6 or more consecutive losses. Plus, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 6-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are just 5-14 on the road, and their road issues will continue against an LA squad hungry to end a lengthy skid.

4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Nuggets to get off the snide against a Memphis team they have defeated 10 times in their last 11 home matchups. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Nuggets are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Grizzlies are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Denver.

5* Wiseguy Orange Bowl *BEST BET* on Clemson +3
Bottom Line: We saw how Alabama struggled with motivation last night as playing in the Sugar Bowl was no consolation prize for the defending champs. I expect an Ohio State team that was a win away from playing in the national title game to struggle with motivation as well. To make matters worse, the Buckeyes will be without top pass rusher Noah Spence, and they'll likely be without top corner Bradley Roby as well. The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Pound Clemson.

4* Major Cotton Bowl *PUNISHER* on Oklahoma State -1
Bottom Line: Oklahoma State has owned Mizzou of late, going 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with a 14.0-point average margin of victory. The Tigers were upset by Auburn in the SEC Championship as they were gashed for 545 yards on the ground. That kind of beating does nothing for the confidence of a football team. Mizzou is on a 2-10 ATS slide when playing away from home following an upset defeat. The Tigers are also 4-9 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. The Cowboys are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss.

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets -11.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks stunned San Antonio last night, but I don't expect an encore performance from them. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. They Knicks are 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings, including 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Look for the Warriors to crash and burn tonight. After an emotional win over Miami and playing a third road game in four nights, the Warriors will have little left in the tank. Atlanta has had two days to prepare, and it hasn't forgotten the 115-93 beating it took the last time it hosted Golden State. The Hawks will be motivated to say the least. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 home games, winning them by 13.6 points on average. Pound the Hawks.

4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Toronto following a big-time victory over the Pacers. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss ATS and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus Eastern Conference foes.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Bobcats +11.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: Phoenix was crushed by 19 at Memphis in the first meeting, and playing against home teams that are looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat has resulted in a 31-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they carry a win percentage of 60-75% and are taking on a team with a losing record.

4* Major Sugar Bowl *PUNISHER* on Oklahoma +17
Bottom Line: This game is a letdown for Alabama while it is a destination for an Oklahoma team that looked like it would miss out on a BCS game. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss. The Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 9-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Oklahoma was smoked by Texas A&M in last season's bowl matchup, and that loss is playing into this line. The Sooners will be extremely motivated to put a much better foot forward this time around.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks were brutally embarrassed at MSG by the Spurs in November, but New York is 25-8 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996, winning by an average of 3.4 points in these contests. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Northwestern +10.5
Bottom Line: Northwestern is off a 1-point loss to DePaul, which is worth mentioning because it has responded to go 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a close loss of 3 points or less, winning by an average of 12.5 points in these games. Pound the Wildcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -121
Bottom Line: The Wizards are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 this season. They are 24-11 ATS under coach Wittman in home games when matched up against a winning team. Dallas won the season's first meeting 105-95, but Washington is 8-1 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 100 points or more. It has won by an average of 4.9 points in this spot. Pound Washington.

4* Major Rose Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on Stanford -6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are off 2 straight conference wins has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a double-digit road win. This system tightens up to 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Stanford is 7-0 ATS since 1992 when playing away from Palo Alto after averaging 475 or more total yards over their last 3 games. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Pac-12 opponents.

4* Major Outback Bowl *PUNISHER* on Iowa +8
Bottom Line: LSU will be forced to lean on its running game with Mettenberger out, and that isn't a favorable situation for the Tigers as they face an Iowa defense that ranks 7th in the country in total defense and 17th against the run. Iowa is 28-9 ATS under coach Ferentz versus good running attacks that average 200.0 rushing yards per game or more. It has won these games by 4.1 points on average. Look for the Iowa defense to keep the Hawkeyes in this game right down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy Non-BCS Bowl Game of the Year on Wisconsin -115
Bottom Line: This line smells fishy with Wisconsin being favored against a higher ranked SEC team, especially when that team is coming off a big win over Clemson and Wiscy is off a loss to Penn State. Clearly, oddsmakers believe in Wisconsin's stingy defense, especially since it has had a month to prepare. The Badgers finished the regular-season ranked 5th in scoring defense (14.8 ppg) and 6th in total defense (294.4 ypg). Wiscy is 8-1 ATS versus teams that average 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 450 yards/game or more over the last 2 seasons. Look for Wiscy to come out on top behind a strong running attack and a hard-nosed defense.

4* Major Gator Bowl *SUREFIRE* on Nebraska +9
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 versus a team with a winning record and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. They are also 13-5 ATS outside Lincoln, Nebraska under Pelini when coming off two ATS defeats in their last 3 games. The Huskers were tied 31-31 with Georgia late in last season's Capital One Bowl matchup before letting the game get away. Motivated to avenge that loss, I expect the Huskers to keep this one close.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Bucks +6.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. The Bucks are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. The underdog is 14-4-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Pound the Bucks.

4* Major Chick-fil-A Bowl Bailout on Duke +13
Bottom Line: Playing in this game is a major disappointment for a Texas A&M team that entered the season with national title hopes. Duke, on the other hand, has had its best season in a long time, and it will be looking to punctuate it. A&M is on a 6-21 ATS slide when playing away from home with a week of rest or more. The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus a team with a winning record. The Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

5* Wiseguy Sun Bowl *BEST BET* on Virginia Tech +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hokies are a reliable 43-31 ATS when matched up against a team with a win percentage greater than 75% under coach Beamer. They are also 45-32 ATS versus teams that outscore opponents by 10.0 ppg or more under Beamer. Virginia Tech has been to 21 consecutive bowls, and they have been defeated by more than 7 points just one time in their last 11 bowl appearances. Pound the Hokies.

4* Major Holiday Bowl Bailout on Texas Tech +14.5
Bottom Line: The Sun Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. The Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 27-11-3 ATS in their last 41 games after being held to less than 20 points in their previous game. Arizona State will have a tough time getting up for this game knowing they blew an opportunity to be Rose Bowl-bound. Texas Tech finished the season poorly so it has every incentive to put forth a good showing here. I'm not concerned about Baker Mayfield transferring as Davis Webb's numbers were better, and he's gotten the large majority of the reps during bowl prep.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Heat following an emotional win in Portland. Also, expect to see a motivated Denver squad as it looks to bring a six-game skid to an end. The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +3
Bottom Line: The Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the Pelicans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Blazers have had a terrible time with New Orleans and are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Portland just lost a tough one to Miami and plays the Thunder tomorrow so this could be a flat spot for the Blazers.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -138
Bottom Line: The Pistons were hammered at Washington last game, but I expect them to have their revenge at home where they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

5* Wiseguy Pre-New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on Ole Miss -3
Bottom Line: Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing these contest by an average of 10.0 points. Ole Miss is 7-0 ATS under coach Freeze when entering a contest with losses in two of its last three games, winning these contests by 11.2 points on average. The Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Ole Miss has the speed to slow down Georgia Tech's triple-option attack, and it will be extremely prepared for it as defensive coordinator Dave Wommack served in the same role for two seasons under Paul Johnson at Georgia Tech. Pound Ole Miss.

5* Wiseguy NFC East Game of the Year on Cowboys +7
Bottom Line: This line is a gross overreaction to Tony Romo being out. Frankly, I don't miss Romo at all here as he was 0-3 in regular-season finales with the division title at stake. Kyle Orton has had his share of success in the NFL, and he has an excellent opportunity to succeed here against a Philadelphia defense that ranks 30th in the league against the pass. Playing against road favorites that average 27 or more ppg has resulted in a 37-15 ATS record since 1983 if they led in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. Dallas has had Philly's number, winning each of the last three meetings. Pound the Cowboys.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Cavaliers have been very tough at home where they have won 8 of 14, including a win over the Clippers. They also recently took Portland down to the wire, losing by 3 in a game that appeared headed for OT before Damian Lillard drained a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds remaining. The Cavs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a winning team, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the West. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the NBA Central. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS as a home underdog this season. Pound Cleveland.

4* Major AFC West *DIVISIONAL DOMINATOR* on Raiders +13
Bottom Line: December home underdogs or pickems are 94-53 ATS since 1983 provided they enter off 2 or more consecutive ATS losses. Playing against any team after a win by 14 or more points that is up against an opponent off 2 straight losses by 10 or more points has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 10 seasons.

4* Major AFC North *DIVISIONAL DOMINATOR* on Ravens +6.5
Bottom Line: Don't count Baltimore out following last week's ugly loss to New England. The Ravens are 4-0 under coach John Harbaugh following a defeat of 20 points or more. The Ravens are also 7-0 ATS under their current coach after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. They have won these 7 contests by an average of 19.4 points. Lastly, the Ravens are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record.

5* Wiseguy Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl *BEST BET* on Michigan +6
Bottom Line: Michigan underachieved this season given the huge amount of talent it possesses. Even if QB Devin Gardner doesn't go, the Wolverines have more than enough talent remaining to take down the Wildcats. Kansas State hasn't been a good investment this time of year. It is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 bowl games. So much of K-State success depends on winning the turnover battle. In fact, the Wildcats were 1-5 when forcing just 1 turnover this season and 6-0 when forcing 2 or more. They'll have a hard time getting Michigan to cough it up. The Wolverines have had 1 turnover or fewer in each of their last 5 games. Pound Michigan.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +9
Bottom Line: I expect New Orleans to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think as Houston gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's matchup with Oklahoma City. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Pelicans are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings, and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. New Orleans just played last night while Houston had the night off, but New Orleans is one of the deeper teams in the NBA. Pound the Pelicans as they have plenty left in the tank to give Houston a run for the money.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Boston College +9
Bottom Line: VCU will have a tough time covering this number against a B.C. squad that plays a half-court game and takes excellent care of the rock. VCU is 0-6 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons and 0-8 ATS versus excellent ball handling teams that committing 12 or fewer turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. VCU forced VA Tech into 27 turnovers last game, but the Rams are 0-6 ATS after a game forcing an opponent to commit 25 or more turnovers over the last 2 seasons. VCU is also 0-6 ATS when playing away from home on 5 of 6 days' rest over the last 3 seasons. BC was upset at Auburn last game, but it is on an 8-0 ATS run in road/neutral court games off an upset loss of 10 points or more. Pound the Eagles.

4* Major Russell Athletic Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on Miami +3.5
Bottom Line: One thing you don't want to do is count out a team coached by Al Golden. Teams he's headed up are a sweet 34-18 ATS in the underdog role. Since he's been at Miami the Hurricanes have been a nice investment against good offensive teams like Louisville that average 5.9 or more yards per play, going 8-1 ATS versus such opponents and losing to them by only 0.1 points on average. Additionally, the Hurricanes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win while the Cardinals are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Bet Miami.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Kings +8
Bottom Line: The Heat will go through the motions tonight as they look ahead to tomorrow's showing in Portland. The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record, and they are on a 31-15 ATS run as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points.

4* Major Fight Hunger Bowl Bailout on BYU +3.5
Bottom Line: You don't want to bet against Bronco Mendenhall this time of year. His BYU teams are a perfect 4-0 SU & ATS in bowl games the last 4 years, winning them by 18.0 points on average. The Cougars are also on an impressive 9-1 ATS run when catching points. Bet BYU.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +3.5
Bottom Line: The home team has had the decisive edge in the series, going 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The dog has been a strong play in the series as well, going 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings. We'll grab the home dog tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +9
Bottom Line: Look for the Thunder to get caught looking ahead to upcoming games against Houston and Portland. The Bobcats are the more rested team, and they'll go after this game hard because they embark on a stretch where they play 5 straight on the road following it. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record and 14-5 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy Texas Bowl *BEST BET* on Syracuse +5
Bottom Line: This line smells fishy. Minnesota won last season's meeting by 7 points and returns 16 starters from that team yet it is only laying 5 points here? Furthermore, Minnesota defeated Northwestern and Penn State this season while Syracuse lost to both. The books are expecting bettors to look at these two things and jump on the Gophers, but I'm not going to bite. Syracuse can flat out run the football, and that doesn't bode well for a Minnesota defense that was gashed time and time again by the run down the stretch. Minnesota relies heavily on its running game, but the Orange have the better run-stuffing defense. They rank 27th in the nation with 138.4 rushing yards allowed per game. The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Poinsettia Bowl *PUNISHER* on Utah State +2
Bottom Line: Utah State has quietly been one of the best investments in college football, going 19-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons. It saw a 5-game win streak come to an end with a loss at Fresno State in its last game, but that actually plays in our favor. Consider that the Aggies are 7-0 ATS in road/neutral field games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 18.5 points in these contests. Utah State's success has stemmed from a defense than ranks 7th in the nation in points allowed per game (17.3), 12th in total yards allowed per game (332.2) and 10th in rushing yards allowed per game (107.4). Northern Illinois is very reliant on its running game, which hurts its chances against a very good run-stuffing defense. The Aggies are 8-1 ATS the last 2 seasons versus good offensive teams that average 5.9 yards/play or more. The Huskies are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. This bowl game is a major letdown for NIU, which had its sights set on a second-straight BCS bowl. Utah State, on the other hand, is very excited to be here after playing in the Idaho Potato Bowl in their last two bowl trips. Pound Utah State.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* (TNT) on Grizzlies +8
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Rockets following yesterday's big win over the Spurs. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Rockets should be showing some fatigue as well. They are playing a 5th game in 7 days and are on an 8-28 ATS slide at home when playing 5 games in 7 days. The Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are on a 73-44 ATS run in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +3
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that's coming off an upset defeat of 15 or more points has resulted in a 50-19 ATS record the last 17 years if they're up against an opponent that is coming off a cover on the road in a game they lost. This system tightens up to 29-9 ATS if the team we are playing on is at home. Pound Cleveland.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors -2
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams that have a winning record when the line is +3 to -3 has resulted in a 44-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game and are playing another winning team. The Warriors are 16-6 ATS in home games after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +9
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Playing against any team like Miami that has combined with its opponents to score 215 points or more in its last two games and allows 92-98 ppg has resulted in a 20-3 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that allows 102 ppg or more. This system tightens up to 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound LA.

4* Major NBA Early *BLOOD BATH* on Nets -2.5
Bottom Line: The Nets will be out for payback because they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Bulls last season. Chicago has really struggled on the road where it is 3-11 SU & 4-10 ATS this season. The Bulls are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest, 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win.

4* Major Hawaii Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on Boise State +3.5
Bottom Line: Boise State has been terrific this time of year. The Broncos have won their last four bowl games. They have won or lost by fewer than 3.5 points in each of their last 7 bowls, creating a perfect 7-0 bowl trend in our favor. Their last two bowl wins have come against Pac-12 school Washington and Arizona State so I feel very comfortable grabbing the points with the Broncos. Both teams struggle defensively, but Boise State has the edge because it has better balance on offense. Oregon State has no running game, which is significant because the Broncos are on a 9-1 ATS run versus teams that average 3.25 yards or less per carry. Also, Boise State is on a 17-5 ATS run when playing away from the blue turf against poor defensive teams that give up 5.9 yards or more per play. The Broncos are also on an impressive 20-4 ATS run after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games.

4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -114
Bottom Line: The Warriors have struggled on the road where they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have also struggled in Denver where they are 2-16 in the last 18 regular-season meetings. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a victory. The Warriors knocked Denver out of the playoffs last season, and it will be out for a little revenge tonight.

4* Major Western Conference *SUREFIRE* on Lakers +8
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Playing road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have gone under the total by 36 points or more combined in their last five games has resulted in a 47-20 ATS record the last 5 season provided they have a win percentage between 45-55%. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Falcons +14.5
Bottom Line: The 49ers can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight, but Atlanta isn't about to roll over. The Falcons were stunned in last season's NFC title game, blowing a 17-0 lead to the 49ers. That loss haunted this team all off season, and it will motivate Atlanta tonight. Atlanta may not have been impressive in last week's win over Washington, but it is on a 10-2 ATS run in road games after being outgained by 200 or more total yards. Plus, playing against home favorites of 10.5 or more points that have covered the number in 2 of their last 3 has resulted in a 56-24 ATS record since 1983 if they are a good team (60-75% win pct) playing a team with a losing record. Pound Atlanta.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Nets +7
Bottom Line: Playing against good offensive teams like Indiana that average 98-102 ppg and have held their last two opponents to 90 points or less has resulted in a 41-15 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Brooklyn that gives up 102 ppg or more. Also, playing against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana that are off a blowout win of 15 points or more has resulted in a 36-13 ATS record since 1996 if the game involves a pair of teams that average 98-102 ppg. This system is 3-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets have played the Pacers as tough as anyone in recent years winning 4 of the last 5 meetings and keeping the score within 5 points in 6 straight meetings. Pound Brooklyn.

4* Major Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on East Carolina -14.5
Bottom Line: The Pirates have a sour taste in their mouth after a very disappointing performance at Marshall in their last game. That loss will have them motivated to finish the season strong. The Pirates are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss. East Carolina is on a 7-0 ATS run after a loss by 17 or more points and on a 6-0 ATS run off a road loss. Ohio is 0-7 ATS off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, 0-8 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Pirates.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on T-Wolves +6
Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade the Clippers who are on a 19-40 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. The Timberwolves are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Plus, they will be very motivated here having dropped the season's first two matchups. Third time's a charm for Minnesota.

4* Major SNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bears +3
Bottom Line: I'll take the points with the Bears because they likely need to win out to win the NFC North. The Lions have an excellent chance to win out with games against the Giants and Vikings to finish the season and Chicago can't afford to slip up because Detroit owns the tiebreaker. I'm confident the Lions will find a way to beat the Giants, which means the Bears need to take care of business to hold the position of controlling their own destiny. Philly can win the NFC East by beating the Bears if Dallas loses its earlier game against the Redskins. If Dallas beats Washington, the Eagles will have a hard time focusing on the task at hand knowing their playoff fate comes down to a Week 17 showdown at Dallas. If Detroit loses and Green Bay wins, the Bears would need to beat the Packers in Week 17 to reach the playoffs. Regardless if this game can decide anything for either team, the Bears are the play because of their passing game with Cutler or McCown. The Eagles are terrible against the pass, going 0-7 ATS at home the last 2 seasons versus teams that complete 61% or more of their pass attempts. Philly is also 0-7 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS in home games off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons. The Eagles are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 home games overall. Chicago has the slightly better defense with or without Lance Briggs, who is listed as probable. Bet the Bears.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Raptors +11
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points after 8 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 29-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they have a winning record and are playing a losing team.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +12.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers can't be trusted laying this many points. They are just 2-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season and 1-3 ATS when favored by 12 or more. The Celtics are 3-0 ATS on the season when catching at least 12 points so there is definitely value in them at this number. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings at Indiana. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy NFL Game of the Week on Patriots +2.5
Bottom Line: I like New England to win this game. The Patriots have been awesome in bounce-back spots, going 33-5 in their last 38 following a defeat, including 6-0 in their last 6. They are a lethal 15-5 ATS under Belichick following a close loss of 6 points or less. They have responded to win by an average of 12.4 points in this spot. The Patriots lost both meetings to Baltimore last season. One of those cost Tom Brady and company a trip to the Super Bowl so this is a game New England wants desperately. The regular-season loss came by a single point and the Pats have won or lost by fewer than 2.5 points in 8 of the last 10 meetings. Pound New England.

4* Major Early *BEST BET* on Bucs +5
Bottom Line: St. Louis has struggled to defend the pass, and that will give Tampa Bay an excellent opportunity to keep this one within the number. The Bucs are on a 13-4 ATS run in road games in the second half of the schedule versus teams allowing an average of 7.0 yards or more per pass. Head coach Jeff Fisher prefers to play close to the vest. Because of his mentality, his teams are only 29-47 ATS lifetime when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +9
Bottom Line: Portland's Achilles' heel is its defense, and it will have a hard time covering this big number against a New Orleans squad that can really score the rock. The Pelicans will be very focused here because they've lost their last two by double digits. Fortunately, they are 26-8-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a loss of more than 10 points. And, playing road underdogs after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more that are up against an opponent that has tallied a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 45-16 ATS record since 1996. The Pelicans have given Portland trouble lately and are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings as a result.

4* Major New Orleans Bowl *PRIME TIME PUNISHER* on Louisiana-Lafayette +2.5
Bottom Line: Tulane is favored because it is at home, but that it isn't a good enough reason against the Ragin' Cajuns. Tulane hasn't been to a bowl since 2002 while Lafayette has won this bowl game each of the past two seasons. It's clearly very comfortable in the Superdome. Lafayette smoked Tulane 41-13 last season. I see this one being closer, but the Ragin' Cajuns still have the edge because they average over 120 more yards per game than Tulane. The Ragin' Cajuns have been up to the challenge against good competition outside Cajun Field. They are 7-0 ATS in road/neutral field games versus teams that sport a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major NCAAB *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Michigan -2
Bottom Line: I like Michigan in this neutral court battle whether McGary goes or not. Stanford finds itself in a letdown spot after a big upset win at UConn. Michigan, meanwhile, is in bounce-back mode following a narrow home loss to Arizona. Michigan is 14-5 ATS following 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. John Beilein's teams are 21-9 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pickem since 1997. His Michigan teams are 15-6 ATS when getting 5 or 6 days or preparation for an opponent.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz were smoked last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Bobcats wasted their legs in last night's come from behind victory and are 16-34 ATS when playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 12.1 points in this spot. This is also Charlotte's 4th game in 5 days, and it is 2-15 ATS when playing a 4th game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons, losing by 14.6 points in this spot. The Jazz are 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy Las Vegas Bowl *BEST BET* on Fresno State +7
Bottom Line: Oddsmakers adjusted their lines after USC's slow start, and there was some value in the Trojans during a 4-week stretch from late October to mid-November. USC got on a win streak and oddsmakers were forced to adjust their lines again. Now, they're back to setting inflated lines for the Trojans like they normally do. Consider that USC is 0-7 ATS when playing away from Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum after failing to cover the spread in 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. It has lost by an average of 4.6 points in this situation. This is a particularly tough spot for the Trojans because of the coaching change they've had to deal with. Fresno State had hopes of being a BCS buster but won't lay down for mighty USC. Plus, Derek Carr might be the best QB in the country. Take the points.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers +6.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Kobe Bryant being out with an injury. Plus, this is a bad spot for Minnesota, which is off a huge win against Portland and has a revenge game against the Clippers up next. I don't see the T-Wolves being completely focused on the task at hand since they crushed the Lakers in the season's first meeting. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points, 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games following any win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Kings +11
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a letdown from the Heat following a huge win over the Pacers. Plus, we have some convincing numbers supporting this play. Playing underdogs of 10 points or more on Friday nights has resulted in a 99-59 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that are off a home win and are playing on Friday night has resulted in a 48-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +6.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely humiliated by the Nets the last time they took the floor. Motivated by that defeat, I expect the 76ers to give Brooklyn a game this time around. Philly will be very rested and very prepared for this contest as it has had 3 days off. It will be further motivated by the fact it plays 6 straight on the road following this one. The 76ers really want to carry a little momentum into their road trip. Also, Philly is expected to get Michael Carter-Williams back tonight so that is a big boost. Playing home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games has resulted in a 69-37 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that has covered the number in 5 of 6 of their last 7 games. Pound Philly.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Warriors -157 (I expect the Warriors to cover the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I really like them to win this game)
Bottom Line: This game is far more important to the Warriors, who lost to San Antonio in last season's playoffs and were defeated 76-74 in San Antonio in this season's first meeting. The Warriors didn't have Curry for that game and his presence was missed. The Spurs won't have Parker tonight, and they just played last night in Phoenix with Leonard, Duncan and Ginobli seeing big minutes. The Spurs will be much more concerned with Saturday's revenge game against Oklahoma City and will want to make sure they have something left in the tank. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Golden State.

4* Major NBA on TNT *SUREFIRE* on Bulls +13.5
Bottom Line: Playing against double-digit home favorites that are in the midst of a win streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 40-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing a losing one. Teams fitting this scenario have been favored by an average of 13.2 points but have won by only 10.8 points on average. Bet Chicago.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Pelicans +10.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Pelicans to respond following last night's 11-point loss at Golden State. They should also get some help from a Clippers squad that is in for a letdown following a big win over the Spurs. New Orleans is an outstanding 20-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year on Timberwolves -116
Bottom Line: This is a nightmare of a spot for Portland, which is playing its 4th road game in 5 days and is coming off an emotionally and physically draining last-second victory in Cleveland last night. The T-Wolves will be the much fresher side having had last night off. They'll also be the hungrier side because they are coming off a defeat in their last game, and they were swept by the Blazers last season. The Timberwolves are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss, 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 1 day of rest. The favorite is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Pound Minnesota.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Nuggets +3
Bottom Line: Denver is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games versus winning teams. It is 8-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons versus very good teams that outscore opponents by 6.0 points or more per game. It has won these games by an average of 7.3 points. The Nuggets are even 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage greater than .600. Denver is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the loss coming by only 2 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: The Blazers are being overvalued on the road against a Cleveland club that is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 home games. The Cavs have had 2 days to gear up for this game while Portland will be playing on the road for the 3rd time in 4 days. This kind of a stretch is difficult enough, but it was made more difficult by getting taken to OT by the Pistons Sunday. The Cavs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Blazers with the losses coming by 6 points and 1 point. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus winning teams. Pound the Cavs.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night Football GAME OF THE MONTH on Lions -6.5
Bottom Line: The Detroit offense has been unstoppable at Ford Field where it is averaging 477.0 yards and 31.7 points per game. It should be able to move the football almost at will against a Baltimore defense that has struggled on the road. The Ravens are 1-5 on the road, largely because the defense is allowing 26.8 ppg on the highway. The defense isn't solely to blame as it has had to spend way too much time on the field because of an offense that is among the worst in the NFL. Baltimore's only hope is to come up with some takeaways, but it has been among the least opportunistic teams in the AFC all season. The Detroit offense couldn't do much of anything in Philly last week in harsh conditions. However, the Lions are on a 25-6 ATS run after being held to 4.0 yards or less per play in their previous game. Pound the Lions.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Minnesota, which is playing the second game of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. Boston is also 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. It has defeated these teams by an average of 10.6 points.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Hawks -6
Bottom Line: The Lakers upset the Bobcats last game but are 2-11 ATS in road games after an upset win the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 10.6 points in this spot. LA's lack of back court depth will be a major issue tonight against an Atlanta team with some very capable guards (Teague, Williams, Korver, Mack).

4* Major SNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Steelers +3
Bottom Line: The Bengals haven't had near the success on the road where they are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8. The Bengals have also been a poor investment in division play at 4-9-2 ATS in their last 15 versus the AFC North. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the AFC North and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 versus the Bengals. Roethlisberger is playing well, completing 63.0 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last 4 games, and he has a great track record versus Cincy (14-6 lifetime). Cincy has defeated the Steelers by more than 3 points just twice in the last 14 meetings. That's a 12-2 trend leaving no doubt we're on the right side. Bet the Steelers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: Portland's 139-point outburst in Philadelphia places it in fade territory as it is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. We saw this trend in action recently as the Blazers dropped 130 on Utah and then lost to Dallas the next night. The Pistons played the Blazers tough in Portland earlier this season, losing by only 6 points despite shooting 3 of 14 from 3-point range. Look for them to avenge that loss at home as the home side is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been at their best at home against good teams. Recently, they have played the Clippers, Warriors and Thunder to within 6 points or less, and they beat the Mavs. In fact, the Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that has a winning record on the road. The Rockets are a soft 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 away games versus clubs with a losing mark at home.