Winning Sports Picks

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros -126

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros/Yankees UNDER 8

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Cowboys/49ers UNDER 40

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -107

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Broncos +2.5

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -116

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies +103

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Chiefs -3

5* WISEGUY NFLX *BEST BET* on Redskins -2.5

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Royals -113

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -127

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -137

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -126

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Chiefs +3

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -116

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -125

Bottom Line: underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 who are a  poor AL offensive team (4.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), in August games are 65-136 (32%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Royals -125!

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Steelers Pick'em

4* MAJOR NFLX *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Dolphins +2

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -114

Bottom Line: St Louis is an amazing 42-16 at home this season, while the Pirates are just 26-28 on the road. With a win today, the Cardinals can move a full 8-games ahead in the NL Central. Adding value is a strong system in play on St Louis. Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125  that have lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 110-214 (34%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons (23-6 in 2015). Roll the Cardinals -114!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets -185

Bottom Line: I have no problem laying big juice on the red-hot Mets at home. New York has won 9 of 11 overall and are 40-18 at home on the season. Adding value here is a great system in play backing a fade of the Rockies in this spot. Teams with slugging % of .440 or better against a very good NL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.250 or less, with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are just 21-64 (25%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Roll the Mets -185!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on A's +180

Bottom Line: Too much value here to pass up on a play on the A's, as we have a huge system backing a fade of the Blue Jays in this spot. All favorites with a money line of -150 or more, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-17 (64%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the A's +180!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -135

Bottom Line: Chicago is showing great value here with their ace Chris Sale on the mound, who has a 3.30 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in 10 home starts and is 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.724 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Angels. Adding more value is the fact that home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, who have a team OBP of .310 or worse against a very good AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or better, are 51-14 (79%) against the money line in August games since 1997. Pound the White Sox -135!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -121

Bottom Line: Not only is this a great price to back the Royals at home, where they are 36-18 on the season, but we have a great system in play backing Kansas City. Home teams with an OBP of .320 or less against a very good AL starting pitching that has a WHIP of 1.300 or less, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are a dominant 40-12 (77%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Royals -121!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros -120

Bottom Line: This is a great price to back Houston, as the A's will be sending out the struggling Jesse Chavez, who owns a 10.03 ERA and 2.399 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Adding to the value with the Astros is a strong system. Home teams that are scoring 4.2 or less runs/game against a team with bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less, with a cold starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are a mere 11-38 (22%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Astros -120!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -160

Bottom Line: It's been an up and down season for Nationals' starter Jordan Zimmermann, but he's been a consistent force at home, posting a 2.53 ERA and 1.085 WHIP over 12 starts, in which Washington has gone 9-3. Colorado's coming off a win last time out against the Mariners, but haven't won back to back games since the All-Star break. Pound the Nationals -160!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Red Sox +138

Bottom Line: Boston is showing big time value here as a hefty road dog against rival New York. Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2.93 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 5 road starts, while Yankees' C.C. Sabathia has a 6.80 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 8 home starts. Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are a very bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 46-26 (64%) against the money line since 1997! Pound the Red Sox +138!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -178

Bottom Line: This is a complete mismatch on the mound with Madison Bumgarner going for the Giants and Williams Perez taking the rubber for the Braves. To top it off, we have a huge system in play backing a fade of Atlanta. Home teamswith a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 29-71 (29%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Giants -178!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Twins +155

Bottom Line: Minnesota should not be this big of a dog. Twins starter, Phil Hughes, has a 2.84 ERA and 1.263 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's every bit as good as Toronto's Marco Estrada. Adding to this is a great system in play. Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more who are a very bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), playing on Tuesday are 32-19 (72%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Twins +155!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -120

Bottom Line: I believe this is a prime spot for the White Sox to bounce back after dropping 2 or 3 at home against the Yankees. Chicago is still an impressive 9-3 in their last 12 overall and will be sending out the red-hot Jose Quintana, who has a 2.61 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts. We also see that home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.300 or less) -AL, in August games are 46-11 (81%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the White Sox -120!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -109

Bottom Line: Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN FRANCISCO) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP  2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are 36-9 (80%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Giants!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -210

Bottom Line: There's one pitcher I'm willing to lay -200 with and that's the Dodgers Clayton Kershaw. To top it off we have a huge system backing a fade of the Angels. Underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, who are an AL team with a terrible SLG% (.400 or worse) against a very good NL starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less), with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 20-74 (21%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Dodgers -210!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -123

Bottom Line: Cleveland comes in having won 2 straight, while the A's have dropped 2 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The Indians should be able to make it 3 in a row, as they send out Danny Salazar against Kendall Graveman. Salazar has a 2.11 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Graveman has a 10.22 ERA and 2.271 WHIP in his last 3. AL home teams that are scoring 4.2 or less runs/game against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 11-37 (23%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Indians -123!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -173

Bottom Line: Chicago is playing some of their best baseball this season, as the White Sox enter Thursday's matchup on a 7-game winning streak. I look for the good times to continue, as Chicago owns a big advantage on the mound with their ace Chris Sale up against the Red Sox Steven Wright. Adding to this is a great system. Teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 39-8 (83%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the White Sox -173!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -140

Bottom Line: Favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 59-17 (78%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Yankees -140!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Marlins -113

Bottom Line: Miami's Jose Fernandez has taken the mound 11 times as a home favorite of -100 to -150 and all 11 times the Marlins have came away with a victory, winning by an average score of 5.7 to 0.9 (+4.8 runs/game). Miami is also a dominant 10-1 in Fernandez's last 11 home starts when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Pound the Marlins -113!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Diamondbacks +117

Bottom Line: Seattle's Mike Montgomery has completely fallen off the map since his impressive start. Montgomery has a 9.22 ERA and 2.121 WHIP over his last 3 starts. I don't see thing turning around for him in this one and Arizona's Robbie Ray comes in with a 1.35 ERA and 0.810 WHIP over 5 road starts. Arizona is 9-3 in their last 12 road games after allowing 2 runs or less and the Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 home games after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6. Pound the Diamondbacks +117!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros -

Bottom Line: Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (HOUSTON) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 67-22 (75%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Astros -112!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -111

Bottom Line: Tampa Bay took the series opener on Friday and should have no problem securing a series win with a victory on Saturday. The Rays will have a big time edge on the mound with Erasmo Ramirez going up against the Orioles Miguel Gonzalez. Ramirez has a 2.39 ERA in 7 home starts and is working on a 1.62 ERA over his last 3. Gonzalez has a 5.22 ERA in 8 road starts and a 5.06 ERA in his last 3. Pound the Rays -111!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers +133

Bottom Line: Texas is rolling offensively as they have scored an impressive 26 runs on 37 hits in their last 3 games. That offense has the Rangers falling into a very profitable system, as AL teams who are slugging .410 or worse on the season after scoring 7 or more runs in 3 straight games are 38-8 (83%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Rangers +133!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -

Bottom Line: LA's Garrett Richards is a dominant 6-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.965 WHIP over 8 home starts, which makes this an easy play on the Angels. Adding even more value is the fact that favorites with a money line of -150 or more who are hitting .260 or worse against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, in July games are 64-14 (82%) against the money line since 1997! Pound the Angels -171!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -156

Bottom Line: Not only does LA have a big time advantage on the mound with C.J. Wilson (2.61 ERA L3) taking the rubber against the struggling Mike Pelfery (9.88 ERA L3 & 6.02 ERA in 9 road starts), but we have a strong system in play backing the Angels. AL teams slugging .410 or worse on the season, after scoring 7 runs or more in 3 straight games are 37-8 (82%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Angels -156!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -

Bottom Line: I'll gladly take Seattle in this spot as we have a big time system in play backing the Mariners. Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - starting a pitcher who walked = 2.000 over his last 3 starts are 42-8 (84%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 record this season. Pound the Mariners -119!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs +100

Bottom Line: The Cubs went on the road and took the final two of a 3-game series at Atlanta in their return from the All-Star break, while the Reds dropped 2 of 3 at home to the Indians. The Reds know their team is about to get blown up via trades and I just don't think the motivation is there. Chicago starter Clayton Richard was sharp in his first outing of 2015, giving up just 2 runs in 6 1/3 innings. Red starter Michael Lorenzen has pitched well at times, but has struggled to go deep in games and allowed 6 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 4 1/3 innings of a 3-6 loss at Chicago back on 6/11. Pound the Cubs +100!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -143

Bottom Line: San Diego's Tyson Ross has bounced back nicely from a slow start and went into the break with a 1.84 ERA over his last 3 starts. It was the exact opposite for Colorado's Chad Bettis, who posted an awful 10.29 ERA and 2.214 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 8-53 (13%) against the money line in July games over the last 5 years. Pound the Padres -143!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -124

Bottom Line: St Louis is simply showing too much value here as a small home favorite to pass up on backing the Cardinals in the first game back from the break. St Louis has gone a dominant 31-11 at home this season, while the Mets are a mere 15-28 on the road. Cardinals' Lance Lynn is 4-1 with a 1.90 ERA and 1.135 WHIP over 8 home starts and the Mets' Noah Syndergaard is 0-3 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.540 WHIP over 5 road starts. Pound the Cardinals -124!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -114

Bottom Line: Cleveland has won 4 of 5 and 9 of 13 overall. I expect them to be highly motivated to go into the break with a win, as they try and stay within striking distance in the AL Central. There's a solid system in play backing the Indians. All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher  with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 59-16 (79%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Indians -114!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -114

Bottom Line: Cubs are going to be motivated here after dropping the opener of the series yesterday and there's a great system in play backing Chicago for a victory. Bad NL offensive teams (4.1 or less runs/game) against a very good AL starter (3.50 ERA or less) are 38-15 (72%) against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Pound the Cubs -114!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -129

Bottom Line: Pittsburgh may have lost the opener yesterday against the Cardinals, but are still a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 games. I look for them to have no problem bouncing back an evening the series at home with their ace Gerrit  Cole on the mound. Cole has gone 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.118 WHIP over 8 home starts and 7-1 in his last 9 starts overall. Pound the Pirates -129!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates +102

Bottom Line: Pittsburgh shouldn't be a home dog here against the Cardinals. The Pirates know this is a golden opportunity to close the gap between them and St Louis in the NL Central and they come in playing their best baseball of the season. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall. Cardinals are in a tough spot having just finished up a 4-game series against the Cubs and starter Carlos Martinez has given up 11 runs on 15 hits in his 2 career starts vs Pittsburgh. Roll the Pirates +102!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -125

Bottom Line: Los Angeles owns a 10-2 record at Coors Field and during this stretch are averaging 8 runs. They scored 10 runs in yesterdays 8-run win to open the series and have now scored 10+ in three straight. Teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 34-8 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Angels -125!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets +123

Bottom Line: This is a solid spot to fade the Giants at home. Not only is San Francisco in a major funk right now having lost 7 straight, but they are at a disadvantage here with Matt Cain on the mound. Cain made his first start from Tommy John surgery and struggled as expected, giving up 5 runs in 5 innings against a weak Miami offense that is playing without Stanton. While New York's Bartolo Colon hasn't been nearly as effective as they had hoped, he was dominant in his last start against the Cubs, allowing just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. Pound the Mets +123!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -125

Bottom Line: This is too good a price to pass up on the White Sox at home with their ace Chris Sale on the mound. Sale has overcome a rough start to 2015 and now has a 2.87 ERA and 0.958 WHIP over 15 starts. He's got a 2.32 ERA in 7 home starts and a 2.38 ERA and 0.794 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Toronto's Mark Buehrle has been dominant at home, but has just a 4.25 ERA over 8 road starts. Blue Jays won 10-5 yesterday at Detroit, but are a mere 3-11 in their last 14 after scoring 10+ runs. Pound the White Sox -125!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Diamondbacks -143

Bottom Line: These two teams are headed in different directions, making this an easy play on Arizona. The Diamondbacks have won 3 straight and 5 of 7 overall, while the Rockies have lost 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Colorado is 0-9 after playing 6 straight games on the road and 1-14 in their last 15 after scoring 3 runs or less in 2 straight games. Pound the Diamondbacks -143!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets +170

Bottom Line: The value is simply too good to pass up on the Mets today. New York will be sending out their ace Matt Harvey, who is every bit as good as the Dodgers Zach Greinke. Harvey has a 2.98 ERA in 7 road starts and a red-hot 0.92 ERA and 0.915 WHIP over his last 3 outings. New York is 12-2 in their last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Mets +170!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays +111

Bottom Line: There's not a better pitcher in baseball at taking the mound at a opposing park and dominating the opposition than Tampa Bay's Chris Archer. The Rays have won 14 of Archer's last 15 road starts and he comes in with a sensational 1.76 ERA and 0.935 WHIP over 7 road starts. To top it off, Tampa bay is a perfect 7-0 when Archer takes the rubber against the Yankees. Pound the Rays +113!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -144

Bottom Line: The Royals are primed for a big time performance at home after just getting swept on the road by the Astros. Kansas City has lost 4 straight only once all season. A visit from the Twins should do the trick. The Royals are 6-3 against their division rivals this season and have outscored them 25-12 in the last 6 (5-1 record). All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (KANSAS CITY) - where team's hitters strike out 6 or less times/game on the season, after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-7 (83%) against the ML over the last 5 years. Pound the Royals -144!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -142

Bottom Line: St Louis owns a ridiculous 29-8 record at home and are going to be motivated here after yesterday's 1-2 loss at home to Sale and the White Sox. The pitching matchup certainly favors the Cardinals in this one, as they send out John Lackey against Jose Quintana. Lackey has a 1.91 ERA in 8 home starts (7-1 team record) and Quintana has a 4.37 ERA in 8 road starts (2-6 team record). Pound the Cardinals -142!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 8

Bottom Line: New York is only scoring 3.9 runs and hitting .236 as a team on the road, while the Angels come in having scored just 3 runs with a .232 average over their last 7. I really like the value we are getting here with this total set at 8 runs. Yankees' Ivan Nova was sensational in his first start of 2015, allowing just 3 hits over 6 2/3 scoreless innings. Angels' Andrew Heaney was also dominant in his first start of the season, limiting the Astros to just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Pound the UNDER 8!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 9

Bottom Line: I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the poor overall numbers of today's two starters. Baltimore's Wandy Rodriguez has a 4.06 ERA overall and a 6.75 ERA in his last 3, but a closer look shows that he's got a strong 2.28 ERA and 1.085 WHIP over 7 road starts, 6 of which have finished UNDER the total. Baltimore's Bud Norris has a 6.70 ERA in 10 starts, but has a strong 3.11 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 15-6 in Orioles last 21 after 2 or more consecutive wins and 11-2 in Norris' last 13 starts following 3 or more wins. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Rangers last 28 road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less and 8-1 in Rodriguez's last 9 starts as an underdog. Pound the UNDER 9!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees +

Bottom Line: New York's Michael Pineda was roughed up in his last outing, but he only threw 76 pitches and should be primed for a bounce back start. He only threw 80 pitches in a bad start against the Orioles and fired by in his next outing allowing just 1 run on 1 hit in 6 2/3 innings. Houston's Collin McHugh is coming off a great start, but he's got a 5.77 ERA and 1.427 WHIP over 6 home starts and the Astros have gone just 1-4 in McHugh's last 5 starts after a quality start in his last appearance. Pound the Yankees +102!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -139

Bottom Line: Seattle's J.A. Happ, who hasn't won since May 9. Happ is slowing making his way back to reality after a strong start and has a 4.24 ERA over his last 8 starts. On the flip side of this, Los Angeles' Garrett Richards has been dominant when he takes the mound at home. Richards is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in six starts at home and opponents are hitting just .188 against him. Adding value here is the fact that Richards has owned the Mariners. He's 3-1 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.877 WHIP over 6 career starts against Seattle. Pound the Angels -139!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -142

Bottom Line: San Diego's Tyson Ross tossed a complete game in his last outing, by far his best start of the season. Ross is due for an extended stretch of ace-like stuff and I'm more than happy to back the Padres at home in this spot. The key here is that Ross doesn't have to be at his best to get the win. Arizona will be sending out lefty Robbie Ray, which is great news for the San Diego offense, as they throwing up 5.2 runs/game against southpaw starters this season. Pound the Padres -142!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres +

Bottom Line: San Diego's James Shields is 7-1 with a 3.75 ERA over 15 starts and I really like the value here we are getting against the Giants with Heston on the mound. Heston is being slightly overvalued after his no hitter. In his 2 starts after throwing the no-no, he hasn't made it past the 6th inning and has allowed 6 runs on 14 hits. Padres will be extra motivated after getting shutout yesterday. Shields is 20-9 against the money line in his last 29 road starts and 11-2 in his last 13 after a loss. Pound the Padres +110!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -114

Bottom Line: Easy choice here on the Cardinals as a small road favorite against the Marlins. St Louis has the clear advantage on the mound with Jaime Garcia going up against Mat Latos. We also find the Cardinals in a great system.Teams with a money line is +125 to -125  after 6 or more consecutive road games, playing on Wednesday are 102-59 (63%)over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Cardinals -114!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* ON TWINS +104

Bottom Line: Minnesota should not be an underdog at home against the White Sox in this one. The Twins got their offense rolling in a 13-2 win yesterday in the series opener and all-signs point to another easy win. The Twins are 24-14 at home while the White Sox are 12-24 on the road. Minnesota's 6-0 in Mike Pelfrey's 6 home starts (1.41 ERA), while Chicago is 2-6 in Jeff Samardzija's 8 road starts (5.71 ERA). Pound the Twins +104!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -151

Bottom Line: Not a bad price at all to back the Mariners at home with their ace Felix Hernandez on the mound. Hernandez has a 2.59 ERA and 0.916 WHIP over 8 home starts. He was dominant at home in his last start against the Giants, allowing just 4 hits over 8 shutout innings. I'll take my chances with Hernandez against Blanton, who is making just his second start since July of 2013. Blanton pitched well in his first outing, but that came against the Brewers' pathetic offense. Pound the Mariners -151!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets -126

Bottom Line: I'll gladly back the Mets at this price with their ace and one of the elite starters in the game in Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey bounced back from an ugly start at home against the Giants with 7 shutout innings, where he allowed just 4 hits and didn't issue a walk. I look for Harvey to build on that outing and guide the Mets to a win here over their division rivals. Atlanta's Julio Teheran is not in prime form right now. He just gave up 6 runs on 13 hits at Boston and has a 5.66 ERA over his last 3 overall. Pound the Mets -126!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -118

Bottom Line: New York has won 10 of 11 at home and are once again showing great value. New York's Nathan Eovaldi allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in his last start at Miami (failed to get out of the 1st inning), but is 3-0 with a 3.89 ERA at home. Detroit's Alfredo Simon has pitched well so far in 2015, but is 1-3 with a 4.45 ERA over 5 career starts against the Yankees. Tigers are 1-10 in last 11 road games revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs. Pound the Yankees -118!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals

Bottom Line: I'll gladly take my chances here on the Royals as a small home favorite with the way they come into this one swinging the bat. KC is averaging 7.0 runs/game over their last 4 games, which has saw them pound out an impressive 55 hits. Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez just gave up 9 runs on 8 hits in 4 2/3 innings over his last start. Look for the Royals offense to be the difference in this one. Pound the Royals -116!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 7.5

Bottom Line: Two strong pitchers going at it in a pitchers' park with a favorable total of 7.5. Boston's Clay Buchholz has struggled a bit in his last two starts, but owns a solid 3.79 ERA and 1.079 WHIP over 6 road starts. Atlanta counters with Shelby Miller, who has a strong 1.59 ERA and 0.971 WHIP over 5 home starts. Look for both offenses to struggle to get much of anything going in this one. Pound the UNDER 7.5!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -128

Bottom Line: Chicago starter Tsuyoshi Wada has a 7.55 ERA on the road and 6.56 ERA over his last 3 starts. Indians' Shaun Marcum has a 2.41 ERA over his last 3 starts. Cubs are 2-19 in their last 21 road games against an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.00 to 4.70, while Cleveland is 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs a lefty starter. Pound the Indians -128!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on UNDER 194

Bottom Line: The Cavaliers are facing elimination and that is going to have them laying everything on the line to keep the series alive with a win a home. They know their effort defensively has to be at it's best and I expect just that. They could also get some help with the Warriors battling the nerves of close out game to win the title. Pound the UNDER 194!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Mets -137

Bottom Line: New York has won 10 straight home games against the Blue Jays, including yesterday's thrilling 4-3 win in extra innings. I look for the Mets to carry over that momentum behind their ace Matt Harvy, who is going to be 100% locked in after allowing 7 runs on 9 hits with just 2 strikeouts in his last start. Blue Jays Scott Copeland surprised in his big league debut, but it came at home against the Marlins. I look for him to struggle here in his first road start. Pound the Mets -137!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -109

Bottom Line: There's a strong system in play on San Diego in Monday's series opener against the A's. Home teams that are a below average NL hitting team (AVG =4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 39-10 (80%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Adding to this is the fact that the A's are 9-27 in their last 36 road games as an underdog of +100 to +150. Pound the Padres -109!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs/Warriors OVER 195

Bottom Line: Golden State has decided to sacrifice offense for defense by switching up their rotation to feature more of Lee and less of Bogut. James and the Cavaliers weren't quite able to take advantage of the Warriors defense in Game 4, largely due to them just being exhausted. With fresh legs off the two day break, I look for Cleveland's offense to get back on track. I'm also expecting the Warriors to keep their offense rolling after a great performance in Game 4. Pound the OVER 195!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Marlins -139

Bottom Line: Miami is well worth a look here. Marlins will turn to veteran starter Dan Haren, who has been better than expected. Haren is 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA over 12 starts. The big key here is that he's been almost unhittable at home, posting a 1.96 ERA and 1.009 WHIP over 6 home starts (5-1 team record). Rockies counter with Jorge De La Rosa, who has a 5.53 ERA and 1.426 WHIP over 8 starts and a 5.59 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in 11 career starts against Miami. Pound the Marlins -139!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Brewers -123

Bottom Line: The Brewers might not be the better team, but they have a big time advantage on the mound in this one. Milwaukee will be sending out Jimmy Nelson against Joe Ross, who will be making just his second career start. Ross allowed 3 runs in just 5 innings of work in his first start at home against the Cubs and figures to have some trouble here in his first ever start on the road. Nelson will be facing the Nationals for the first time and he's been on top of his game in that spot. He's also got a solid 3.37 ERA and strong 0.923 WHIP over 5 home starts. There's a reason Milwaukee is favored by as much as they are. Pound the Brewers -123!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on OVER 8

Bottom Line: Both offenses figures to score early and often in this one. The Rays are being forced to turn to Matt Andriese with the recent injury to Jake Odorizzi. This will be Andriese's 4th start of the season and the last 3 haven't exactly gone well. Andriese has a 6.75 ERA and 2.062 WHIP and has yet to complete 4 innings. Chicago's John Danks has a 4.81 ERA and 1.455 WHIP over 6 road starts and has allowed 5+ runs in 3 of his last 4 outings overall. Pound the OVER!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -2.5

Bottom Line: The NBA Playoffs are all about adjustments and I believe the Warriors found a wrinkle in the Cavaliers armor late in Game 3. Look for David Lee to get even more minutes in Game 4, as he really puts a lot of pressure on Cleveland's defense when they decide to double-team Curry out of the pick-and-roll. Lee's ability to pass and score is going to translate into easy baskets and in turn I look for it to get the Warriors role players into a rhythm. You also have to start wondering if Cleveland can sustain the kind of energy we have seen them display. Golden State will want this one more and I like their chances of getting the win. Pound the Warriors -2.5!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 8

Bottom Line: All signs point to a low-scoring game, making this an easy play on the under with the total set at 8 runs. Minnesota's Kyle Gibson has a 2.35 ERA over 6 home starts and a 2.03 ERA over 5 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City's Edison Volquez may have a 4.12 ERA in 4 road starts, but has a strong 1.208 WHIP. Minnesota's offense is also in a funk, having scored just 5 runs in their last 4 games. Volquez also has a 2.18 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Twins. Pound the UNDER 8!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Cardinals -114

Bottom Line: Cardinals playing with revenge and have a huge advantage on the mound. St Louis has won all 7 of Michael Wacha's road starts, where he's compiled a 1.59 ERA. Rockies are 2-3 in De La Rosa's 5 home starts and he's got a 8.44 ERA and 2.016 WHIP at home. This one could get ugly in a hurry. Pound the Cardinals -114!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on OVER 194

Bottom Line: We have seen a pretty drastic change in the total from Game 1 when it closed at 204. While Game 1 would have went under had it not been for overtime and Game 2 flew under even with OT, the books have over-adjusted the total for Game 3. Curry is due for a big game and the Warriors are going to be looking to push even more, knowing the Cavs don't have a lot of depth and have to be worn down after laying it all on the line in Game 2. Offense steals the show tonight. Pound the OVER 194!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -145

Bottom Line: Pittsburgh has won 13 of their last 16 overall and 6 straight at home. I look for the Pirates to have no problem securing a win in their series opener at home against the Brewers. Pittsburgh will be starting veteran A.J. Burnett, who has a sensational 1.69 ERA over 4 home starts. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson has a 5.51 ERA over 6 road starts and a 6.48 ERA over his last 3 outings. Brewers are 5-17 in their last 22 after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less and Nelson is 3-11 in his last 14 starts after a loss. Pound the Pirates -145!

5* WISEGUY NBA FINALS *BEST BEST* on Cavaliers +8

Bottom Line: The loss of Kyrie Irving is big for Cleveland's chances of winning the series, but I think we are seeing an overreaction on the line. The Cavs still have the best player in the world in James and he's more than capable of keeping Cleveland within 8 points. While they lose out on some offense with Irving sidelined, they get better defensively. It's not out of the question that the Cavaliers win this game outright. Pound Cleveland +8!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Twins -102

Bottom Line: Twins worth a look here at basically a pick'em at home. Minnesota will be sending out Mike Pelfrey, who has a 2.02 ERA and 1.120 WHIP over 4 home starts. Twins have won all 4 of those starts. Pelfrey also has a sensational 1.35 ERA and 0.950 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Milwaukee's Michael Fiers on the other hand has a 4.06 ERA and 1.491 WHIP over 11 starts. Pound the Twins -102!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Twins -134

Bottom Line: Even with the Twins likely being forced to use several pitchers here with starter J.R. Graham likely only able to go 3-5 innings, I like Minnesota to win at home. Milwaukee's Matt Garza has an awful 7.07 ERA and 1.714 WHIP over 5 road starts and is 0-3 with a 11.66 ERA and 2.115 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Pound the Twins -134!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -117

Bottom Line: Pittsburgh is absolutely on fire right  now. The Pirates have won 3 straight and 11 of 13 overall. I'll take my chances on them adding another victory to their resume tonight, as they send out the red-hot Charlie Morton. In his 2 starts since joining the rotation, Morton has allowed just 3 earned runs over 14 innings of work. Pound the Pirates -117!

5* WISEGUY NBA FINALS *BEST BET* on UNDER 204

Bottom Line: The Cavaliers have taken their defensive intensity to a whole different level in the playoffs and know that they will need to be at their best on that side of the ball to have any hopes of knocking off the Warriors for the title. Cleveland is giving up a mere 92.5 ppg in the playoffs. Golden State is just as good defensively and matchup well on that side with James and company. The Warriors are only giving up 96.3 ppg in the playoffs. While everyone is expecting a lot of offense, I think it's going to be a defensive series. Pound the UNDER 204!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Rangers -123

Bottom Line: Chicago's Carlos Rodon hasn't been nearly as effective in his 2 road starts as he has at home. Rodon has a 3.63 ERA overall in 4 starts, but has a 5.23 ERA and 1.839 WHIP over his two road starts. Rangers are surging right now and a lot of that has to do with their offense. They also have got solid production out of ace Yovani Gallardo, who brings in a 3.16 ERA and 1.276 WHIP over 5 home starts. Pound the Rangers -123!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -136

Bottom Line: Forget Kluber's two previous starts against the Royals. Kluber has figured it out and is pitching like the Cy Young winner from last year. He's allowed a whopping 2 runs over his last 3 starts with 37 strikeouts in just 25 innings of work. He's got a 1.41 ERA since May 13 and I look for the dominant stretch to continue. Kansas City is slumping right now. The Royals have dropped 6 of 7 and have scored 2 or fewer runs in each of those 6 defeats. On top of that, starter Jason Vargas has 5.16 ERA and 1.449 WHIP over 6 starts. Pound the Indians -136!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -106

Bottom Line: This is simply too good a price to back the Braves with Shelby Miller on the mound. Miller is putting up elite numbers, yet is not getting the respect from the books like an elite starter. He's got a 1.48 ERA and 0.881 WHIP over 10 starts. Atlanta has won 8 of those 10 starts, including a 5-1 mark in his 6 road starts. Arizona's Josh Collmenter is 3-5 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.386 WHIP over his last 10 starts and will be facing an Atlanta offense that is hitting .313 as a team during their current 3-game winning streak. Pound the Braves!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -121

Bottom Line: Chicago's Jason Hammel is one of the more underrated starters right now. Hammel has a 2.98 ERA over 9 starts and has thrown 7+ innings in 5 of his last 6 outings. He's got a 2.05 ERA and 0.682 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Miami is starting Jose Urena, who will be making just his second career start. Urena was hit hard in his first outing, allowing 5 runs on 10 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. Pound the Cubs -121!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on the Padres -110

I expect the Padres to beat up on Jeff Locke and the Pirates Sunday. Locke has a 8.10 ERA and 2.10 WHIP on the road this season. To help San Diego's cause Locke is a lefty and this lineup is custom made to hit left-handed pitching. Bottom Line: Pound the Padres!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on the Nationals -122

The Nationals have one of the best offenses in baseball and that should go a long way against a Reds team with an inexperienced starter and a bullpen that has struggled all season. Bottom Line: Pound the Nationals!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Giants -142

This will be a tough road trip for the Braves, who simply do not match up well agains the Giants. San Francisco is now 15-9 at home this season and an impressive 10-4 against the Braves over the last three years. I expect them to add another win tonight. Bottom Line: Pound the Giants -142!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Giants -132

Shelby Miller has been dominant for the Braves, but it's going to be too difficult for him to overcome so many obstacles tonight. His team is mediocre and he's on the road against the defending World Series champs - who simply don't lose often at home. Bottom Line: Pound the Giants -135!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Warriors -10

Golden State shuts the door on Houston tonight. There is simply no way the Rockets can replicate their performance from Game 4 and keep this game close. Bottom Line: Pound the Warriors!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Cardinals -165

Back Lance Lynn and the Cardinals against a struggling Diamondbacks team who does not play well on the road. St. Louis has a huge home field advantage and completes the series sweep Wednesday. Bottom Line: Pound St. Louis -164!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Cavs -7.5

Cleveland dominated the first two games of this series in Atlanta before squeezing by in Game 3 in Cleveland. That performance was about as good as the Hawks could have played and they still came up short. Bottom Line: Pound the Cavs -7.5