Winning Sports Picks

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Giants -135

Back the Giants and Madison Bumgarner at Milwaukee Tuesday. Madbum is already 5-2 on the season and has posted a 2.84 ERA and 1.14 WHIP to go with 52 strikeouts in 57 innings pitched. Bottom Line: Pound San Francisco -130!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Warriors -5

Look for the Warriors to close this series out in Houston on Monday Night. The Rockets looked lost in Game 3. They may put up a bit of a fight, but in the end the Warriors walk away with a double-digit victory. Bottom Line: Pound the Warriors -5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Nationals -104

The Cubs record this year is greatly inflated by their weak strenght of schedule so far. The Nationals are clearly the better team here. Washington rolls in Chicago. Bottom Line: Pound the Nats -104!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Hawks/Cavs Over 189.5

While the first two games in Atlanta were low-score affairs, we are jumping on the Over in Game 3 as linesmakers have completely blew it by setting the line too low! Game 1 featured a total of 199.5, Game 2 a total of 193 and now in Game three they have adjusted the number down to 189.5. Defenses will be more lax and both teams should near triple digits. There's simply too much value to pass on this total. Bottom Line: Pound the Hawks/Cavs Over 189.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Twins/White Sox Under 8.5

Don't expect much scoring in this matchup between two struggling offenses. Both teams feature starters that have excelled in their last three starts and both teams have hit a cold streak offensively. The Twins have seen their last three games go under and the White Sox have gone under in six straight games! Bottom Line: Pound the Under!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Warriors -1

Bottom Line: You might expect the Rockets to head back home and avoid going down 0-3 in the series, but I'm not seeing it. While the Warriors have not played their best basketball of late, I don't think Houston could have played much better in the first two games and still came up short. Pound the Warriors -1!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Orioles -103

The Marlins have now dropped eight straight and I believe they will stay ice-cold against the Orioles on Saturday. Despite being on game under .500, Baltimore is putting up some pretty impressive offensive numbers this year. Their starting pitching has really come up short, however, Miami simply doesn't have the firepower offensively to keep up, even with the O's lack of pitching talent. Pound Baltimore -103!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on UNDER 196

Bottom Line: The books have once again set the mark too high for these two teams. The Hawks and Cavs managed to combine for just 185 points in the first game and that was with both teams shooting a respectable 44% from the field. Cleveland's offense is hit or miss with the absence of Love and injury to Irving. Hawks offense has been out of sync for quite some time now and yet this total reflects more of how the games went in the regular season than their current form. Atlanta brings the defensive intensity and this one should fly under the mark. Pound the UNDER 196!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Royals -104

The Royals have won 3 straight and are a dominant 15-6 at home. This is a great price to back KC at home, especially given how dominant Chris Young has been so far. Young has a 0.94 ERA and 0.627 WHIP over 3 starts and 6 relief appearances. He's posted a 0.54 ERA and 0.720 WHIP in his 3 starts and the Royals have won all 3. Cardinals offense coming off a game where they failed to score a single run. Pound the Royals -104!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -10

Bottom Line: Had it not been for an awful start that saw them fall behind by as many as 16 points in the first half, the Warriors would have won Game 1 by double-digits. The Rockets won't be so fortunate to get off to a big lead and I think this one is going to get ugly in a hurry. While Harden scored 28 points, I was really impressed with the defense Golden State played on him. With Howard clearly hurt and likely out tonight, Houston is in serious trouble not only for Game 2 but for the entire series. Keep in mind that prior to their 4-point win in Game 1, the Warriors swept the season series with a 4 wins coming by at least 11 points. Pound the Warriors -10.

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Indians +123

Bottom Line: There's a lot of hype surrounding Chicago starter Carlos Rondon and I believe it has him and the White Sox overvalued here. While Rondon has allowed just 9 hits and has 13 strikeouts in 10 innings over his first two starts, he's walked 10 for an ugly 1.900 WHIP. Until he gets command he's going to struggle to not only keep the opposing team from scoring but pitch deep into games. He's needed 204 pitches to get through 10 innings. On the flip side Shawn Marcum is making his first start and I think he's extremely undervalued. Marcum was a proven starter before getting injured in 2013 and has looked sharp in both relief and in the minors leading up to tonight's game. Pound the Indians +123!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -105

Bottom Line: With the way Atlanta struggled against the Nets and Wizards and Cleveland coming off an impressive series win over a good Bulls team, oddsmakers are begging you take the Cavaliers with the line they set for the series opener. Atlanta is the smart play here at home, especially when you factor in how well the Hawks played against Cleveland during the regular season and the Cavs far from full strength going into the conference finals. Pound the Hawks -105!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -10

Bottom Line: The Warriors owned the Rockets in the regular season, going 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by at least 11 points. Houston lost on the road to LA by 25+ points twice and were trailing in the other by as many as 19. Golden State has had a full 3-days of rest to regain their focus after a tough series against Memphis, while Houston is forced to play on just 1-day of rest after a grueling 7-game series against the Clippers. Golden State is more talented and won't wear down like LA did with their deep roster. Rockets also have no answer defensively for Curry, which is going to have GS scoring at will in this series. Pound the Warriors -10!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Indians/White Sox U7.5

Bottom Line: These two teams come into today's contest off a 2-1 pitchers duel between Kluber and Sale on Monday and I look for both offenses to stay cold in the second game of the series. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has not allowed a run in two road starts and has given up just 4 hits over the 13 innings of work. Chicago's Jose Quintana has turned his season around. He's got a 1.89 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Both pitchers also have a strong history against the opposition. Pound the UNDER 7.5!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians/White Sox UNDER 7

Bottom Line: This game has a pitchers duel written all over it, as the Indians send out reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber against Chicago's ace Chris Sale. While both of these starters got off to slow starts, each comes in off a dominating performance in their last outing that I believe will carry over to their start tonight. Kluber struck out 18 while allowing just 1 hits over 8 scoreless innings against the Cardinals and Sale allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits with 11 strike outs in 8 innings at Milwaukee. UNDER is 12-2 in Kluber's last 14 road starts and 6-1 in White Sox last 7 as a home favorite. Pound the UNDER 7!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Clippers -2

Bottom Line: While the Clippers have given Houston life, I expect them to step up to the plate and deliver in Game 7, similar to what we saw in their opening round series against the Spurs. Chris Paul lives for these kind of games and I expect him to be the difference in this one. There's a nice system backing up a play on LA as well. Road favorites who are scoring 103+ points/game after allowing 55 or more in the 1st half of each of their last two games are 70-35 (67%) ATS since 1996. Pound the Clippers -2!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -112

Bottom Line: It's been a wise investment backing the Tigers in day games this season and even more so when they have their ace David Price on the mound. Detroit is 14-4 in day games so far in 2015 and 3-0 when Price gets the start. Cardinals are just 9-15 in their last 24 interleague home games and 2-10 in Lyon's last 12 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5, while Detroit is 19-5 after scoring 9+ runs in their previous game. Pound the Tigers -112!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Rangers -121

Bottom Line: While the Rangers lost 3-6 last night in their series finale against the Royals, Texas has been playing their best baseball of the season here in the month of May. The Rangers are 7-4 over their last 11 games and I look for them to have no problem securing a win in front of the home fans tonight. Texas will start Wandy Rodriguez, who has a 2.70 ERA and 1.072 WHIP over 4 starts, while the Indians counter with Bruce Chen, who has been forced into the rotation. Chen was far from effective in his first start, allowing 6 runs on 10 hits over just 4 innings. I look for Texas to put up a big number here and cruise to a win behind another strong outing from Rodriguez. Pound the Rangers -121

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks/Wizards UNDER 198

Bottom Line: These two teams have a great understanding of what the other is trying to do offensively right now and that showed in Game 5's low scoring affair that produced a mere 163 points. Atlanta has been out of sync for quite some time and the Wizards are more of a defensive team than people realize. With Washington facing elimination and Atlanta looking to advance to the conference finals, I look for both teams to bring all out defensive intensity for 48 minutes. Pound the UNDER 198!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -2

Bottom Line: I don't expect the Bulls to go away quietly, as I look for Chicago to come out inspired and force a Game 7 with a win at home tonight. The Bulls are expected to get back Gasol after he sat out the last two games, both of which Chicago narrowly lost. Cleveland is due for a letdown here after laying it all on the line in Game 4 to avoid falling behind 3-1 and then again in Game 5 at home to secure homecourt. Look for Rose to bounce back after a subpar finish to Game 5, as he should get a boost here from the energy of the home crowd. Pound the Bulls -2!

5* WISEGUY NBA *PERSONAL FAVORITE* on Grizzlies +

Bottom Line: This is too many points for the Grizzlies to be catching in this one. Memphis may have lost badly in Game 4 at home, but for the most part have shown they are an extremely difficult matchup for the Warriors. This is a classic example of where you can't overreact to the last game and instead have to look at the series as a whole. It's not out of the question that Memphis could win this game outright, but there's no way I'm passing up on the opportunity to back them as a near double-digit dog. Pound the Grizzlies +9.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Brewers -

Bottom Line: The White Sox have been absolutely atrocious on the road this season, as they are just 3-12 away from home. Sure they won yesterday behind their ace Chris Sale, but chances are they will return to form and drop the series finale. White Sox starter Jose Quintana has a 6.14 ERA in 4 road starts, while Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson has a 2.05 ERA and 0.682 WHIP in 3 home starts. Milwaukee has been playing well, as they had won 3 straight and 7 of 10 prior to yesterday's defeat. Pound the Brewers -118!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Nationals -137

Bottom Line: It was only a matter of time before Washington righted the ship and played up to their potential. The Nationals continued their impressive run of late with an 11-1 win over Arizona in the series opener, giving them 11 wins in their last 13 games. Strasburg is due for a big time start and I believe the mechanical issues he worked on in Saturday's bullpen along with the extra day of rest will be more than enough to get him a win here, as the Nationals are scoring runs in bunches right now. Pound Washington -137!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers -

Bottom Line: Los Angeles has taken control of this series and I look for them to deliver another impressive performance and close out the series tonight in Game 5. The Clippers split their 2 games in Houston to start the series, but were without Paul for both of those games and could have easily won Game 2. With Paul in the lineup they won by 25 and 33 points at home. I believe the Rockets spirits have been crushed and even with their backs against the wall I don't see them playing up to their potential. Pound the Clippers -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on UNDER 195.5

Bottom Line: There has yet to be a game in this series that has seen more than 188 points. Clearly these two teams match up extremely well with the other, with the biggest keys being the Grizzlies ability to defend the 3-point line and keep the tempo down. I look for the defenses to continue to dominate and for tonight's contest to once again go below the mark set. With this being such a huge game for both teams in the series, I wouldn't be surprised at all if this ends up being the lowest scoring game yet. Pound the UNDER 195.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Rays -113

Bottom Line: Yankees' starter C.C. Sabathia continues to be overvalued. New York has gone a mere 1-5 in his 6 starts to open up 2015 with Sabathia going 0-5 in games where he figured into the decision. He's got a 6.75 ERA and 1.673 WHIP over his last 3 starts and New York has won just once in his last 10 starts following a victory in their previous game. Tampa Bay should have no problem securing the win at home behind Alex Colome, who is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.700 WHIP in his first two starts. Pound the Rays -113!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets +7.5

Bottom Line: These two teams have alternated wins and losses in the series and I at least like the Rockets to cover the 7.5-point spread, as we are getting an inflated line here after the Clippers blowout win in Game 3. Houston couldn't have shot much worse (39.8%) from the field in Game 3, while LA was a blistering 55.4% shooting. The Rockets have too much talent to not turn those numbers around and I look for a big-time performance here from Harden with Houston in jeopardy of falling behind 1-3 in the series. Pound the Rockets +7.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on UNDER 197

Bottom Line: Each of the first two games in the series have finished with a combined score of 187 and I'm not expecting to see an offensive outburst with the series shifting to Memphis. The Grizzlies are an even stronger defensive team at home and Golden State is going to bring their best effort defensively here to avoid falling behind in the series. I think we are going to see a similar, if not lower, scoring affair in Game 3. UNDER is now 6-1 in Warriors last 7 conference semifinal games and 9-3 in their last 12 road games against a team with a winning home record. UNDER is 24-4 in Memphis' last 28 home games and 24-6-1 in their last 31 following a win. Pound the UNDER 197!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Pirates -114

Bottom Line: The Cardinals are the hottest team in baseball, but I think their in a tough spot here against a highly motivated Pirates squad that has an edge on the mound. St Louis' Carlos Martinez has really struggle with his control, walking 9 batters over his last 3 starts. He was hit hard in his last outing, giving up 7 runs on 9 hits in just 3 2/3 innings of work. Pittsburgh's Vance Worley has a 1.54 ERA over 2 home starts and earlier this season held the Cardinals to just 1 run on 4 hits over 6 innings. Pound the Pirates -114!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on UNDER 216

Bottom Line: We are getting an inflated total here due to the first two games of the series finishing over the mark. The total for Game 1 was just 212 points and the scoring tends to drop as a series progresses. With Chris Paul either sidelined or playing at less than 100%, LA needs to slow the pace way down. I also look for the Clippers defense to pick it up at home. Keep in mind that Game 2 only had 224 points with the two teams combining for a ridiculous 67 made free throws, 31 more than the two combined for in Game 1. I also think both teams are gassed at this point, which should lead to a slower pace and poorer shooting from the outside. Pound the UNDER 216!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Twins +125

Bottom Line: Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in baseball right now. The Twins have won two straight, 7 of 8 and 15 of 22 since starting the season 1-6. The Indians have been a major disappointment and getting way to much respect here. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 6.06 ERA and 1.653 WHIP over 3 home starts, while Minnesota's Mike Pelfrey has a 1.56 ERA and 1.096 WHIP over his last 3 starts and a 2.67 ERA and 1.222 WHIP over 5 career starts against the Indians. Pound the Twins +125!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Reds/Pirates UNDER 7.5

Bottom Line: The Reds Anthony Desclafani comes in with a 2.03 ERA and 0.935 WHIP over 5 starts and has been at his best on the road, where he has a 1.80 ERA and 0.8000 WHIP in 3 starts. Desclafani should have no problem shutting down the Pirates offense, which has scored a combined 5 runs in their last 5 games. Pittsburgh will send out A.J. Burnett, who has a 1.45 ERA and 1.161 WHIP over 5 starts and a 0.95 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 22-8 in Burnett's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in his last 16 when listed as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Pound the UNDER 7.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE TOTAL WINNER* on Rays/Red Sox UNDER 8.5

Bottom Line: The Rays have gone under the total in 10 straight games, while the Red Sox have seen the under cash in 5 of their last 6. I look for the streaks to continue tonight with Tampa sending out Alex Colome and Boston countering with Justin Masterson. Colome was impressive in his 2015 debut, allowing 0 runs on 3 hits over 5 innings, while Masterson has allowed a total 6 runs on 16 hits over his last 3 starts (18 innings). UNDER is 16-5 in Boston's last 21 home games in May and 8-0 in the Rays last 8 after scoring 4 runs or less in 4 straight games. Pound the UNDER 8.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls/Cavs UNDER 195

Bottom Line: These two teams combined for 191 points in Game 1 with an identical total of 195. Cleveland clearly isn't the same offensive team without Love and Smith to stretch the floor, making it unlikely they see a huge spike in their offensive production in Game 2. Chicago on the other hand could see their offense take a step back. Rose has not been the same player on just 1 day of rest, Butler's using most of his energy guarding LeBron and the Cavs are to make adjustments to not let Gasol shoot wide-open jumpers. I have this one finishing in the mid to low 180's. Pound the UNDER 195!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Grizzlies +

Bottom Line: The Warriors dominated Game 1 by 15-points, but I'm not expecting things to be easy for Golden State in Game 2. Memphis is expected to have Conley back and he's going to have a big impact on both sides of the ball. Grizzlies defense played well in the series opener, they just couldn't get anything going from the outside. Memphis not only has a chance to cover the spread, but if Conley does in fact play they could very well win this game outright. Pound the Grizzlies +10!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Pirates -145

Bottom Line: The Pirates are in a perfect spot to back. Pittsburgh is going to be extremely motivated after getting swept by the Cardinals on top of getting swept at Cincinnati earlier this season. Pittsburgh has a big time advantage on the mound in this one, as the Reds will be sending out Michael Lorenzen for just his second career start. Lorenzen was fortunate to just allow 3 earned runs in his last start, as he gave up 8 hits in 5 innings with all 3 runs coming via solo home runs. Pittsburgh's Jeff Locke has had a ton of success against the Reds, as he comes in with a 2.75 ERA over 7 career starts. Pound the Pirates -145!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Mariners -130

Bottom Line: Seattle has a huge edge on the mound with King Felix taking the rock against Matt Shoemaker. Hernandez is 4-0 with a 1.82 ERA and 0.808 WHIP over 5 starts and has owned the Angels of late, allowed just 2 earned runs in his last 5 starts against LA. Shoemaker was a great story last year, but as many expected he's came back to reality in 2015. Shoemaker has a 6.00 ERA and 1.429 WHIP over 4 starts. Pound the Mariners -130!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls/Cavs UNDER 196

Bottom Line: Without Kevin Love and J.R. Smith the Cavaliers lose a lot offensively, but should be improved defensively with more playing time for Tristan Thompson and Iman Shumpert. I think this is an extremely evenly matched series right now and these two teams understand the importance of getting off to a strong start. I look for both to bring their best efforts on the defensive end and for this game to fly under the total of 196. Pound the UNDER!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -5

Bottom Line: The Hawks aren't getting enough respect here as a mere 5-point home favorite. Atlanta destroyed Washington in their two home games during the regular season and I feel like the Hawks got some of their mojo back at the end of their opening series against the Nets. The Wizards looked impressive in their easy series win over the Raptors, but Toronto hadn't been playing well coming into the playoffs. I also think the Wizards will be a bit rustry coming off that long lay-off. Pound the Hawks -5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs +

Bottom Line: The road team has actually had the upper hand in this series and the Spurs have positioned themselves to go on the road and win Game 7. LA had to use up a lot of energy to pull out Game 6 in San Antonio and you could see how tired they were. I look for the Clippers to keep it close early, but for the Spurs to take control in the 4th quarter and advance on to the next round. San Antonio knows what it takes to win a Game 7 and aren't going to be the least bit effected by this game being on the road. Pound the Spurs +2.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE TOTAL WINNER* on Mariners/Astros UNDER 8

Bottom Line: There's simply too much value here to pass up a play on the UNDER. Houston will send out one of the best pitchers no one is talking about in Collin McHugh, while Seattle will give the rock to a fast improving Taijuan Walker. McHugh has a 2.92 ERA and 1.176 WHIP over 4 starts and Walker has allowed just 1 earned run over his last two outings. Pound the UNDER 8!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE TOTAL ANNIHILATOR* on Pirates/Cardinals U7.5

Bottom Line: Love the value we are getting here on the UNDER with the total sitting at 7.5. Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett enters with a 1.80 ERA over 4 starts and has allowed just 1 earned run in each of his last 3 outings. Lance Lynn was roughed up at Milwaukee in his last start, but has a 1.80 ERA at home. UNDER is 20-8 in Lynn's last 28 starts in night games and 20-7 in his last 27 following back-to-back wins. Pound the UNDER 7.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -3.5

Bottom Line: Brooklyn has played better than anyone expected to this point, but the Nets run ends tonight. Atlanta is too good a team to let this drag out any longer, similar to what we saw last night with the Bulls laying it on the Bucks in Game 5. The Nets have simply overachieved and aren't catching enough points here at home to cover. I like Atlanta to win here and to do so convincingly. Pound the Hawks -3.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *TOTAL BLOWOUT* on Astros/Mariners OVER 8.5

Bottom Line: I'm expecting both offenses to put up a big number here. Houston has scored 5+ runs in each of their last 6 games and will be going up against the struggling James Paxton, who is 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.525 WHIP over 4 starts. Seattle's offense hasn't been as hot as the Astros, but there's plenty of big bats in the lineup that can take advantage of a starter like Houston's Scott Feldman, who has a 4.81 ERA over 4 starts, including a 5.09 ERA in 3 home starts. Pound the OVER 8.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -3.5

Bottom Line: I'm not buying the Bucks winning a 3rd straight game in this series. Milwaukee has clearly been the more motivated team in the last two games, but that's not going to be the case here tonight. Chicago has made it clear they know they need to pick up the intensity and with a full 2 days to get things figured out, I look for the Bulls to come out and dominate this game right from the finish. The extra day of rest should help Rose get his legs back under him and allow him to be the force he was in the first 3 of this series. Chicago quits messing around and punches their ticket to the conference quarterfinals. Pound the Bulls -3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Hawks U200.5

Bottom Line: These two teams combined to score 191 or less in each of the first 3 games in the series before going off for 235 in a overtime contest in Game 4. The important thing to note is that they only combined for 208 in regulation and that was with both teams shooting lights out from the field. With the series sitting at 2-2 and so much on the line in Game 5, I'm expecting it to return to a grind it out game that finishes around the 185-190 mark. Pound the UNDER 200.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Blue Jays +

Bottom Line: Toronto is showing big time value here as a decently priced road dog against division rival Boston. The Blue Jays put up 11 runs on 17 hits in yesterday's win and should have no problem keeping the offense going against Boston starter Rick Porcello, who is 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.440 WHIP over his first 4 starts. Toronto will send out R.A. Dickey, who was shelled for 7 runs in his last start, but Dickey is 4-0 with a 2.23 ERA over his last 5 starts against the Red Sox and has a 1.29 ERA over his last two outings in Boston. Pound the Blue Jays +125!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Mariners -115

Bottom Line: When you think of Mariners starter J.A. Happ you don't imagine a dominant starter, but so far in 2015 he's been one of Seattle's most reliable arms in the rotation. Happ has a 2.61 ERA and 1.065 WHIP over 3 starts and while he likely won't be able to maintain these numbers over the course of the entire season, I like his chances of keeping it going against the Rangers. Seattle should also have no problem scoring enough runs here for the win, as Texas starter Ross Detwiler comes in with a 10.95 ERA and 2.514 WHIP over 3 starts. Pound the Mariners -115!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Mavericks UNDER 221.5

Bottom Line: Due to these two teams flying over the total in their last two games, oddsmakers have been forced to drastically inflate tonight's total, creating some big time value on the UNDER at 221.5. Both teams have shot light 47% or better in each of the last two games and that's simply not going to hold up. Houston isn't going to let Dallas continue to run up and down the floor and the Mavericks aren't going to be as strong shooting the ball on the road. I look for a similar result here to Game 2, which the Rockets won 111-99. Pound the UNDER 221.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Padres -108

Bottom Line: Padres were able to snap their 4-game losing streak with a 3-1 win over the Dodgers on Sunday and I look for them to carry over that momentum at home behind their ace James Shields, who has a 3.24 ERA and 1.20 WHIP overall and 1.29 ERA and 0.571 WHIP at home. Shields also owned the Astros in his lone start against them last year, allowing just 1 run on 4 hits with 12 strikeouts over 8 innings of work. Pound the Padres -108!

5* NBA WISEGUY *BEST BET* on Hawks -4.5

Bottom Line: The Hawks have not played up to their potential so far in this series and as a result they are showing some big time value here as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against the Nets. Brooklyn allowed opponents to shoot 45.3% from the field during the regular season, which is why I'm not buying the Hawks offensive struggles being a result of the Nets defense. Atlanta is due for an offensive explosion and I look for them to win here comfortably. Pound the Hawks -4.5!

5* LAC/SA WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers +6

Bottom Line: Love the value we are getting here with the Clippers as a 6-point dog. LA shot a miserable 34% from the field in Game 3, which in turn has jumped this line up a full 1.5-points from what it was listed at for Game 3. Easy for the public to fall in love with the Spurs after that great performance, especially after what they did last year. Clippers will be better offensively as they have to big of advantages with Paul and Griffin. Better shooting will have a strong impact on their play defensively. I got this one going right down to the wire and could definitely see LA winning this one outright. Pound the Clippers +6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -4.5

Bottom Line: I believe the Bucks are both emotionally and physically drained from Thursday's double-overtime loss at home in Game 3. Chicago now has a 3-0 advantage in the series and I don't see them letting their foot off the gas in a close out game. Teams with a 3-0 series lead have covered the spread in Game 4 60% of the time since 2002 and 63% of the time in the 1st round. Pound the Bulls -4.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE TOTAL* on Indians/Tigers UNDER 8.5

Bottom Line: Two underrated starters taking the mound today and as a result we are getting some big time value here with the total for this one set at 8.5. Cleveland's Trevor Bauer has a 0.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP over his first 3 starts, while Detroit's Alfredo Simon has a 1.74 ERA and 0.8471 WHIP over his first 3 starts. Combined these two starters have allowed a total of 6 earned runs all season! Pound the UNDER 8.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers/Spurs UNDER 203

Bottom Line: These two teams only managed to score 188 points in Game 2, but a 30-point overtime period pushed the final score to 118 and well over the total set for that game of 206.5. Keep in mind that the two only managed 199 points in Game 1 with a total of 208. Defensive gets an edge the more the series progresses and with this one tied at 1-1 and there being such a big advantage to going up 2-1, I think we are going to see this one fly under the mark. You also have to factor in Spurs are forced to play an injured Tony Parker and without him at full strength they must slow the pace to keep it close. Pound the UNDER 203!

4* MLB MAJOR *TOTAL NO BRAINER* on Tigers/Indians UNDER 8

Bottom Line: This is a really good pitching matchup and 8 runs is going to be difficult for these two teams to surpass. No one wants to give any credit to Shane Greene's impressive start, but I'll gladly take advantage. Greene is 3-0 with a ridiculous 0.39 ERA and 0.739 WHIP. Indians counter with Danny Salazar, who struck out 10 and allowed just 2 runs over 6 innings in his first start of 2015 this past Saturday. I look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Pound the UNDER 8!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +5

Bottom Line: Warriors are getting a little too much respect here against a Pelicans team that has shown they can hang with the league's top team. New Orleans has shown they can win at home in a big spot like they will be facing tonight, as they held off the Spurs in the regular season finale 108-103 to punch their ticket to the postseason and knock San Antonio out of the No.2 seed. Other key thing here is I believe the Warriors know they are the better team and with a 2-0 series lead this is a prime spot for them to suffer a letdown. It's also worth noting that New Orleans won 103-100 as a 4.5-point home dog against the Warriors down the stretch on 4/7. Pound the Pelicans +5!

4* MAJOR MLB *MONEY LINE SUREFIRE* on Dodgers -105

Bottom Line: LA will be calling up Mike Bolsinger to make the start here and I like his chances of stepping in and getting a victory. Bolsinger has been off to a blistering start in Triple-A, throwing 11 scoreless innings, while allowing just 3 hits and striking out 17. Other big key here is that we should get some nice run support from the Dodgers offense, as the Giants send out Ryan Vogelsong, who has a miserable 10.45 ERA and 2.816 WHIP over 3 starts. He's yet to complete 5 innings and has allowed at least 4 earned run in each of his 3 starts. Pound the Dodgers -105!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Blazers/Wizards UNDER 190

Bottom Line: Memphis isn't a team that likes to push the ball. They want to grind it out and let their stingy defense do all the work. Their defense matches up extremely well with Portland's two starts Lillard and Aldridge, leaving the Blazers without any reliable options to turn to on the offensive end. The key here is that being down 0-1 is going to have Portland coming out extremely motivated on the defensive end, especially after how easily Memphis's offense scored in Game 1 (had 86 points after 3 quarters before scoring just 14 in the 4th with a 24-point lead). UNDER is 13-1 in Memphis's last 14 home games after allowing a shooting percentage of 35% or less and 26-8 in Blazers last 34 road games when revenging 4 or more straight losses. Pound the UNDER 190!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Nationals -107

Bottom Line: While John Lackey threw 7 shutout innings in his last start, you have to keep in mind that came against an awful Brewers offense. In his previous start he allowed 4 runs over 6 innings and that's more of what you can expect. Washington might not even need 4 runs to get a win here, as Doug Fister has been outstanding to start the season. Fister has allowed just 1 run on 10 hits over 13 innings. Fister has had a nice break since his last start and is 10-1 against the money line in his last 11 when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Lackey on the other hand is 1-12 against the money line in road games after allowing 1 or less runs in his last outing. Pound the Nationals -107!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Raptors OVER 192.5

Bottom Line: After watching these two teams combine for just 179 points in an overtime affair in Game 1, the books have adjusted this total by quite a bit from the 194.5 line we saw in the opener. Typically I like to play a lot of unders in the postseason, but there's too much value here to pass up. These are two really good offenses. Wizards averaged 98.5 ppg and Toronto 103.8 ppg. Both teams shot under 40% in Game 1 and that's simply not going to last. I think this one will eclipse the 200 mark. Pound the OVER 192.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Cardinals +108

Bottom Line: St Louis comes in red-hot having won 5 straight and 7 of 8 overall. The Cardinals are going to be out to send a message to the Nationals, who got all sorts of praise as being the team to beat in the NL. St Louis will send out Lance Lynn, who has a sensational 1.64 ERA and 0.909 WHIP over his first two starts, against the struggling Gio Gonzalez, who has a 5.11 ERA and 1.379 WHIP over his first two outings. Cardinals have won 11 of the last 13 in the series and Lynn is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.895 WHIP over 3 career starts against the Nationals. Pound St Louis +108!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 187

Bottom Line: With Milwaukee in a desperate spot here trying to avoid an 0-2 hole and the Bulls equally motivated to take a 2-0 lead, I look for a tight low-scoring game. These two combined for 194 in Game 1 to go over the total of 186, but the important thing to note is they combined for just 83 points in the 2nd half after an offensive explosion in the 1st half. Each of the previous four meetings during the regular season all had a combined score of 186 or less and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they failed to reach 175 tonight. Pound the UNDER 187!

4* MAJOR MLB *TOTAL CRUSHER* on Brewers/Reds UNDER 8

Bottom Line: Both of these teams are struggling big time offensively to start the year. Cincinnati is averaging just 2.2 runs on the road, where they are hitting a mere .226 as a team. Milwaukee on the other hand is only averaging 2.5 runs on the season and hitting just .217 as a team. I look for this to turn into a pitchers duel. Cincinnati's Anthony Desclafani has a 1.38 ERA and 0.769 WHIP over his first 2 starts and Milwaukee's Wily Peralta has a 2.57 ERA at home in 2015 and a 2.88 ERA over 8 career starts against the Reds. Pound the UNDER!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +10.5

Bottom Line: I know the Hawks dominated the regular season series, but 10.5-points is a lot to ask a team to cover by in the playoffs. Brooklyn can be a good team when they decide to show up and play and that shouldn't be an issue given this is the playoffs. I look for the Nets to keep it surprisingly close and cover this double-digit spread without any problem. Road underdogs of 10 or more, who have been beaten by the spread by 18 or more combined points in their last 3 games are 27-7 (79%) ATS in April. Pound Brooklyn +10.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Rockies +

Bottom Line: Simply too much value here to pass up a play on the Rockies. Colorado is going to be extra motivated here to avoid the sweep and you could argue that they have the edge in starting pitching for this matchup. Rockies will send out Eddie Butler, who has allowed just 2 earned runs on 9 hits over his first 2 starts. Brandon McCarthy of the Dodgers on the other hand has allowed 9 runs on 15 hits in his 2 starts, both at home. Colorado's got a potent offense that really make McCarthy pay for his mistakes (allowed 6 home runs already). Pound the Rockies +164!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 186

Bottom Line: While Chicago's defense wasn't as dominant as it's been in years past, don't let that fool you. The Bulls got after it on that side of the ball when they needed to. With the intensity that comes with the playoffs and the fact that they are arguably as healthy as they have been all season, I look for them to make life miserable for the Bucks. Keep in mind they held Milwaukee to just 84.8 ppg in the 4 meetings during the regular season. Bucks are also a solid defensive team and know they can't get in a shootout if they want any chance to win this game. These two teams combined for 186, 158, 182 and 181 in their 4 regular season meetings. Pound the UNDER 186!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE RUN LINE* on Cardinals -1.5 (+160)

Bottom Line: St Louis has a big edge on the mound here with Carlos Martinez going up against Homer Bailey. While Bailey has been a reliable starter over his career, he's making his first start of 2015 due to injury and I'm not expecting him to be in prime form for this one. Martinez allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits with 8 k's in his first start at Cincinnati. Home teams off 3 straight division wins who won 54% to 62% of their games the previous season are 44-17 (72%) against the run line since 1997. Pound St Louis -1.5 (+160)!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -124

Bottom Line: St Louis is showing some solid value here as a small home favorite against the Reds. Cincinnati will have their ace Johnny Cueto on the mound, but he's just 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA over his last 9 starts at St Louis. Cardinals have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight and I look for them to get to Cueto early and cruise to a win behind another strong effort out of Michael Wacha. Pound St Louis -124!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays +103

Bottom Line: Chris Archer has owned the Blue Jays in Toronto. Archer has a 1.84 ERA over his last 5 starts at the Rogers Centre. Not a huge surprise when you consider how good this kid has been on the road. Archer is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA over his last 10 road starts. I'll gladly take my chances on the Rays given that Toronto will be sending out Aaron Sanchez for just his 2nd career start and he was less than impressive in his first outing of 2015, lasting just 3 1/3 innings. Pound the Rays +103!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Reds +133

Bottom Line: Cincinnati has really came out strong to start the season and given today's pitching matchup there's a lot of value on the Reds at +133. Chicago's Travis Wood was far from sharp in his first start, allowing 3 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks over 4 2/3 innings, while Reds starter Jason Marquis held the Cardinals to just 3 runs on 5 hits in a 5-4 win. Wood has made 10 career starts against Cincinnati and won just 3 of them. Wood is also just 3-10 in his last 13 starts when listed as a home favorite of -125 to -150. Pound the Reds +133!

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11.5

Bottom Line: With Utah out of the playoff picture and Houston desperately needing a win here to ensure they get homecourt in the first round and potentially the No. 2 seed if the Spurs were to lose at New Orleans, the oddsmakers have inflated this line by quite a bit, creating some great value on the Jazz. Utah has won 7 of 9 with their two losses coming by a combined 3-points. This team has really came on strong down the stretch and while I don't expect them to win, I really like their chances of keeping it close enough to cover. Pound the Jazz +11.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Mariners -108

Bottom Line: The Dodgers will be sending out David Huff to start this one and aren't expecting Huff to pitch much more than 4 innings. Los Angeles doesn't have the best bullpen and that should open up the door for the Mariners offense to score enough runs to get the victory. Seattle doesn't figure to need many runs, as starter Hisashi Iwakuma has been lights out in interleague games. Iwakuma was 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA over 3 interleague starts last season and in 3 career interleague road starts he's 2-0 with an impressive 19 strikeouts in 22 innings. Pound the Mariners -108!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Pacers UNDER 192.5

Bottom Line: With the Nets loss at home to the Bulls last night, the door has been left open for the Pacers to make the playoffs. Indiana simply needs to win out to take the 8th and final spot in the east. I'm expecting playoff-like intensity from the Pacers in this one. Washington doesn't have a whole lot to play for, but are trying to get some momentum built for the playoffs. While these two teams combined for 204 points in their most recent meeting, each of the previous 7 matchups saw the two teams combine for 190 or fewer points. Pound the UNDER 192.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +7.5

Bottom Line: Orlando is showing great value here as a 7.5-point dog, as I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. While Miami is technically still alive for the 8th and final playoff spot, they are 2-games back of both Brooklyn and Indiana. They would need to win out and have both of those teams lose their final 2. Wade already seems to think their season is over..."Injuries are part of the game. It's not always who is the most talented team. It's who can stay the healthiest and we weren't able to do that this year to give ourselves a chance," Hard for Miami to show up for this one. Pound the Magic +7.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Blue Jays -138

Bottom Line: Toronto is set to play their home opener and couldn't ask for a better team to face. Tampa Bay has dropped 10 of their last 12 games when playing an opponent in their home opener. Rays starter Jake Odorizzi looked good in his first start at home, but has really struggled on the road. Don't like his chances of containing a high-powered Toronto offense. R.A. Dickey was also sharp in his first start and should have no problem keeping a bad Tampa Bay offense in check. Pound the Blue Jays -138!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets -5.5

Bottom Line: Houston enters off a back-to-back losses to the Spurs, including a heartbreaking 103-104 home defeat to San Antonio in their last game. This sets up two profitable situations to back the Rockets here. Houston is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when they enter off a home loss. In both situations the Rockets are winning on average by 8.5+ points/game. Pound the Rockets -5.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Mariners -137

Bottom Line: Anytime Felix Hernandez is on the mound at less than -150, home or away, Seattle's typically a smart investment. That's even more the case in 2015, where the Mariners have the looks of a serious title contender. Hernandez was sharp in his season debut and his 19-career wins against the A's are the most of any opponent he's faced. Pound the Mariners -137!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +6.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Trail Blazers, who while mathematically are still alive for home court in the first round are all but locked in as the No. 4 seed and will have to begin their opening series on the road. Having recently lost Wesley Mattews and Dorell Wright for the season and watching Arron Afflalo suffer an injury that will have him sidelined for 1-2 weeks in their last game, Portland's primary focus over their last 3 games is to stay healthy. LaMarcus Aldridge isn't going to play tonight and I just don't see the Blazers showing up for this one. Utah is out to prove something and build for next year and wouldn't be surprised at all if they won outright. Pound the Jazz +6.5!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE WINNER* on Nationals -120

Bottom Line: There's no question that Cole Hamels is one of the top pitchers in baseball and you might think he's due to bounce back after a rough first start. However, Hamels has a history of not performing up to his potential early in the year. He's just 1-6 with a 5.40 ERA over his last 9 starts in the month of April. Washington is battling some injuries to some key position players, but with Doug Fister on the mound and Hamels not expected to be on top of his game, this is a great spot to back Washington. Pound the Nationals -120!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Mariners +102

Bottom Line: This isn't the same A's team from a year ago and they just dropped 2 of 4 at home to the injury-depleted Rangers. Seattle is desperate for a win after losing 2 straight to close out their 3-game series against the Angels. If you haven't heard of Mariners starter Taijuan Walker, it won't be long before you do. This kid is the real deal and this is too good of a price to pass up. Pound the Mariners +102!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -8.5

Bottom Line: Whenever a team like the Suns that had realistic expectations of making the playoffs and has been officially eliminated, chances are they aren't going to show up, especially on the road. That's exactly the case we have here and adding even more value is that this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans, who control their own destiny for the No. 8 seed in the west. An unmotivated Phoenix team that doesn't have the size inside to contend with Anthony Davis points to a big blowout for New Orleans. Pound the Pelicans -8.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *TOTAL KNOCKOUT* on Blazers/Warriors OVER 208.5

Bottom Line: Golden State is coming off a couple of less than impressive offensive performances by their standards, both of which resulted in losses. They managed just 92 points on 43% shooting in a loss at San Antonio and 100 on 44% shooting in a defeat at New Orleans. I look for the offensive to return to form at home, where the Warriors are averaging 112.9 ppg. Helping matters is that the Blazers won't be able to give their best effort defensively in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Warriors will be focused offensively as Curry goes for the MVP, but with everything locked up I don't expect great effort defensively, which should lead to this one flying over the total. Pound the OVER 208.5!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -105

Bottom Line: Toronto isn't going to be happy about yesterday's 3-4 loss to the Yankees, as they blew a 3-1 lead in the 8th. That's going to have the Blue Jays ticked off an 100% locked in on the finale. Most importantly, I believe they have a huge edge here in starting pitching with Daniel Norris getting the ball against the declining C.C. Sabathia. I look for Toronto's big bats to put up a big number here against Sabathia, while Norris keeps the Yankees' offense in check. Pound the Blue Jays -105!

4* MAJOR MLB *SUREFIRE* on Indians -119

Bottom Line: Houston's Scott Feldman was far from impressive in spring training, posting a 6.87 ERA over 18 1/3 innings of work, which saw him allow 14 runs on 27 hits and 8 walks. I'll gladly take my chances on the Indians here, who will be starting Carlos Carrasco, who went 5-3 with a 1.30 ERA over his final 10 starts of 2014. Corrasco also has a sensational. 0.60 ERA and 0.467 WHIP over 2 career starts against the Astros. In his last start at Houston, he threw a complete game shutout, allowing just 2 hits with 12 strikeouts. Pound the Indians -119!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +6

Bottom Line: Most assume Atlanta isn't going to take this game seriously in the 2nd day of a back-to-back set, but the Hawks have made it clear that they are putting an emphasis on closing out the season strong. There's also some hidden value here with Atlanta, as they hold the rights to the Nets 1st round pick if Brooklyn fails to make the playoffs. The Hawks seem to have had that in the back of their minds in the first three meetings this season. Atlanta won 98-75 at Brooklyn on Dec. 5, 113-10 at home on Jan. 28 and just this past Saturday won at home 131-99. Even if some of the Hawks key players rest, Atlanta has the depth to keep this close and likely win outright. Pound the Hawks +6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Lakers +17.5

Bottom Line: There's no denying that the Clippers are the better team and could easily beat the Lakers by 20+ points if they wanted to, but I don't think the intensity is going to be there. These two teams just played 2-days ago with the Clippers routing the Lakers 106-78 as a 13.5-point favorite. The Clippers know all they have to do is show up to get a win and with a much-needed 3-day break on the horizon, I don't expect to see their best effort. On the flip side of this, the Lakers will be motivated to at least keep it respectable and it's not really asking a lot for them to keep it within 17-points. Lakers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Pound the Lakers +17.5!

4* MAJOR  MLB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Diamondbacks +130

Bottom Line: San Francisco is getting way too much respect here as the defending World Series champs. Even with their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound, the Giants should not be this big of a road favorite against a division rival. Arizona's Josh Collmenter held San Francisco in check in his 3 starts against them in 2014. Giants figure to be a great team to fade early on, as it will take the books some time to adjust. Pound the Diamondbacks +130!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Duke +103

Bottom Line: While Duke has been the more impressive team throughout the tournament and has a 10-point road win over Wisconsin in non-conference play, the Badgers are getting all the attention from their win over Kentucky, which spoiled the Wildcats perfect season. As a result, it's created big time value on the Blue Devils as an underdog in a game where I believe they should be a 2-3 point favorite. While Duke isn't any more athletic than Kentucky was, unlike the Wildcats the Blue Devils are an efficient offensive team in the half-court and have a number of different players who can light it up from the outside. They also have a more polished big man offensively with Okafor. I like Duke to win here rather comfortably. Pound the Blue Devils +103 on the Money Line!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Heat/Pacers UNDER 190

Bottom Line: Miami and Indiana are both on the outside looking in at the playoffs, but both aren't far back. The Heat trail 8th place Boston by 1/2-game and the Pacers are just 1-game back of Miami. This is going to feel like a playoff game for both teams and I look for it to lead to a defensive showdown, as both of these teams are built to win games with their defense. UNDER is 12-1 in the Heat's last 13 games when playing against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 11-3 in the Pacers last 14 home games with a total of 190 to 194.5. Pound the UNDER 190!

5* WISEGUY FINAL FOUR *BEST BET* on Kentucky -5

Bottom Line: So much has been made about Wisconsin being the team that can knock off Kentucky, but I'm just not buying it. I think the Wildcats went into that game against Notre Dame with a big head after what they did to West Virginia and it nearly cost them their perfect season. I see that as the wake-up call Kentucky needed. Not to say Wisconsin isn't a good team, but this is just too favorable a line to not take the more talented team. Even if it's a close game, there's a good chance Kentucky will be able to pull away late with free throws to win here by at least 6 points. Pound the Wildcats -5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG*

Bottom Line: Books are begging you to take Toronto as a small home favorite, but I believe the smart play here is on Boston, who has a lot more to play for. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Raptors rested some of their key players and those that do play just go through the motions. Raptors are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 after playing 2 straight on the road, while Boston is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after failing to cover in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games when playing their 5th game in 7 days. Pound the Celtics +3!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET*

The Bucks come in off a 95-91 home win over the Bulls as a 5-point dog, which might make them seem like a good bet as a 5.5-point road dog against the Celtics. I don't believe that's the case, as Milwaukee have lost 11 straight on the road. Keep in mind that Boston was a 7.5-point home favorite earlier this season against the Bucks and won that contest 108-100. Milwaukee is also just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off an upset win at home as an underdog against a division opponent, while Boston is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound the Celtics -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +12.5

Bottom Line: Golden State is being way overvalued here due to the fact that they are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS (8 straight) in their last 10 games. The key thing to keep in mind is that the Warriors have locked up the No. 1 seed in the west and have a 5.5-game lead over Atlanta for the No. 1 overall seed. They are also coming off an emotional come-from-behind win at Los Angeles (Clippers), who they hadn't beat on the road since 2013. This is do or die for the Suns, who are 4-games back of OKC for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Phoenix is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 off a loss by 10+ points, while Golden State is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing on 1 day of rest. Pound the Suns +12.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Trail Blazers -2.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Clippers, who laid everything on the line in last night's home loss to the Warriors and now must turn around and play on the road against a red-hot Portland team that has won 4 straight. The big key here is that LA's starters racked up huge minutes last night and simply aren't going to have enough gas in the tank at this point in the season to play up to their potential on the road against a top level team like the Blazers. Portland is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against explosive offensive teams that average 103+ ppg and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4. Pound the Blazers -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers/Nets UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Nets are currently 1/2 game ahead of the Pacers for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. This is essentially a playoff game for these two teams and that should lead to max effort on the defensive end. Had it not been for these two teams combining for 134 points in a recent meeting on 3/21, this total would be a lot closer to 190 than 200. Prior to the offensive outburst in the last meeting, these two teams had combined for 199 or less in each of their previous 5 matchups. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors -1

Bottom Line: Houston is getting too much respect here against the Raptors. While the Rockets have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall, they find themselves playing on no rest and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 visits to Toronto and 12-23 ATS in their last 35 road games after winning 2 or more consecutive games. Raptors head coach Casey is 35-19 ATS over last 54 when revenging a road loss of 10+ points. Pound Toronto -1!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Grizzlies +

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here that has the Grizzlies showing some big time value as a 8-point dog against their division rivals. Memphis is coming into this game off back-to-back blowout losses to the Cavs and Warriors. I look for them to come out extremely motivated here against San Antonio, who is overvalued right now. Spurs are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against the Southwest, while Memphis is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Grizzlies +8!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *ELITE 8 SUREFIRE* on Gonzaga +3

Bottom Line: This is without a doubt the best team that Few has had at Gonzaga and I actually think they are the better team here. The Bulldogs have rattled off 3-straight wins by 10+ and have the offensive fire-power to keep pace early with the Blue Devils and put them away late. Gonzaga is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 neutral court games when listed as a dog of 6-points or less and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 when playing on 1 or less days of rest. They are also 22-12 ATS in their last 44 against strong offensive teams that shoot 45% or better from the field. Pound the Bulldogs +3!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +11

Bottom Line: No surprise here as the books have made a huge overreaction here based on Kentucky's blowout win over West Virginia. After a couple of less than impressive showings in their first two games, Notre Dame finally played up to their potential in their win over Wichita State. I look for the Irish to give Kentucky all they can handle and easily cover this double-digit spread. Notre Dame is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games following a SU win, while Kentucky is just 7-14 ATS in their last 21 after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games. Pound Notre Dame +11!