Winning Sports Picks

4* Major AAC Game of the Week on Rutgers +6.5
Bottom Line: UConn is off a blowout win over Temple, but it is 28-49 ATS in road games off a home win of 10 points or more since 1997, winning by just 3.2 points in this spot. It is also 20-40 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1997, winning by 2.3 points in this spot. The Scarlet Knights have been very competitive at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington.

4* Major Divisional Dominator on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are the more rested team heading into this contest having not played since Monday. They will also be the hungrier side because they have lost the season's first two battles. The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Now is the time to go against the Thunder. They've won 5 in a row SU and ATS and are coming off back-to-back huge wins over Portland and San Antonio. They are catching all kinds of hype right now and are laying too big of a number on the road as a result. OKC is 2-11 ATS under coach Brooks after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games. The Thunder have lost by 0.3 points on average in these contests. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Celtics will be very motivated here because of the embarrassing loss they took in OKC earlier this month.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are off a big win over the Clippers but are 7-20 ATS the last 2 seasons following an upset win, losing by an average of 6.8 points in this spot. The Knicks have lost 5 in a row, but I expect them to get up for the Bobcats in this revenge spot. Charlotte won last week 108-98, but the Knicks are 28-13 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 points or more.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Arizona State -4.5
Bottom Line: ASU has lost its last 2, but they came on the road to Arizona and UCLA, the 2 most talented teams in the league. Now the Sun Devils are back home where they are 9-1 on the season, and I expect them to bounce back strong. Under the direction of Herb Sendek, ASU is 31-15 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference foes. This system tightens up to a very impressive 9-1 ATS is both losses were by double digits. Pound ASU.

4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPN2) on Alabama +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Florida, who has a big revenge game against Tennessee Saturday. This is a big revenge game for Alabama, who has lost 7 straight to the Gators. Alabama has been very competitive at home this season where it is 8-2 with the losses coming by just 5 and 3 points, respectively, to very good Wichita State and Xavier teams. The Gators are 1-10 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Washington State to bounce back at home after a pair of rough outings on the road. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Bone, and they have won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Additionally, Oregon State is off a huge win over Oregon, and it has been a poor play following a win. The Beavers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. Pound Washington State.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: I don't see an OKC team that is playing its 5th game in 7 days having enough left in the tank down the stretch to cover this number against a rested San Antonio squad. Not only will the Spurs be fresher, but they will also be hungrier because they have dropped the first two meetings of the season and were embarrassed by 13 points at home in the most recent matchup. The Spurs are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Jazz +3.5
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have been wildly inconsistent this season, going 5-13 in games immediately following victories. They are are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a win and 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also a soft 11-26 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. The Jazz are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Jazz have won 5 of 6 overall versus Minnesota and 7 straight at home in the series. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder.

4* Major ESPN PRIME TIME PUNISHER on Indiana +12
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that have won 10 or more consecutive games has resulted in a 151-109 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Indiana is off a pathetic performance against Northwestern, and it was embarrassed at home by Michigan State in the first meeting so it will be lacking no focus or motivation. The Hoosiers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Michigan State. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Marist -4
Bottom Line: This line opened at -3, which is significant because St. Peter's is 0-7 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these games by 8.9 points on average. Marist had won 4 in a row at home before getting upset by Rider Saturday, but it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Marist is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with St. Peter's. Pound the Red Foxes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento.

4* Major NFC Championship *PUNISHER* on 49ers +3.5
Bottom Line: I like the 49ers catching better than a field goal in a game that very likely will come down to a field goal. San Francisco's last two trips to Seattle haven't gone well, but the 49ers are playing far too good on both sides of the football and are playing with far too much confidence not to take the Seahawks down to the wire with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. In a game I expect to be close, I give the edge to a San Francisco team that is playing in its 3rd straight NFC Championship game and has proven it can win big games on the road. Last year, the 49ers beat the Falcons in Atlanta to advance to the Super Bowl. The previous year they lost a 3-point game at home in OT to the eventual Super Bowl champion Giants. Colin Kaepernick also has more big game experience than Russell Wilson. Kaepernick is 4-1 in the postseason, including 3-0 on the road. The 49ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 true road games. They are also 10-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year on Broncos -4
Bottom Line: The Patriots won the regular-season meeting, but they were at home and had to overcome a 24-0 deficit. They also had the services of Rob Gronkowski in that game while Denver didn't have Julius Thomas. New England hasn't been the same team on the road where it is 1-5 ATS in its last 6, and it clearly has fewer weapons than Denver. The Patriots have leaned on their running game lately, but Denver's 7th-ranked run defense won't allow them to do so. And without Gronk commanding attention, Julian Edelman with have a tougher time finding openings. Peyton Manning's stable of playmakers (Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Knowshon Moreno and Julius Thomas) should find plenty of success against a depleted New England defense. The Patriots are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Championship games. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Denver is also 15-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 12.6 points in these games. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Pelicans +4
Bottom Line: The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 at home versus teams with a winning road mark so they have shown they can compete on their home floor against some of the best teams in the league. New Orleans is 11-0 ATS after 2 consecutive division games over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more in 3 straight games. Golden State is 1-8 ATS after a combined score of 215 points or more this season. New Orleans is the more rested team, and it will be lacking no motivation as it seeks revenge for losing the season's first 2 matchups with Golden State. The Warriors go back home after this and have a big game against Indiana Monday so this is a look-ahead spot as well.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota.

4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Pistons +5.5
Bottom Line: Playing road teams that average 98-102 ppg, and have allowed 100 points or more in 2 straight games, has resulted in a 75-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that allows 98-102 ppg. Off 3 consecutive satisfying wins (2 over Chicago, 1 over Miami), I look for Washington to suffer a letdown. The Pistons will be motivated by last night's ugly loss to Utah as well as losses in their last 2 meetings with Washington.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on TCU +2.5
Bottom Line: Texas Tech is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, and I look for its road woes to continue as it suffers a letdown following a big win over Baylor. The Red Raiders are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games. They are also 4-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 9.9 points in this spot.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +2
Bottom Line: Utah is 13-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points in OT to a very good Oregon team. The Utes have been an unbelievable home dog or pickem under coach Krystkowiak, going 17-6 ATS in the role. They are 9-2 ATS under him as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem, winning these contests by 5.1 points on average. Utah is 6-0 ATS under Krystkowiak in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. This is also a very tough spot for UCLA playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Pound Utah.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Warriors +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder won by double-digits in Houston last night but this will be its third game in 4 nights, and they likely won't have enough left in the tank to handle the Warriors. The Thunder are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Golden State is on a 47-29 ATS run as a road underdog, a 19-8 ATS run when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and a 29-16 ATS run in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent.

4* Major NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Spurs -6
Bottom Line: Plays on any team like San Antonio that averages 102.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 93-60 ATS records the last 5 seasons provided they have scored 100 points or more in 4 consecutive games and are facing a team that allows 102.0 ppg or more. Playing January home teams that are off a home win where they did not cover has resulted in a 55-24 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 24-10 ATS the last 3 seasons and 4-1 ATS this season. The numbers are in our favor, and the Spurs will be lacking no incentive as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +4
Bottom Line: New York is 24-8 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 24-11 ATS in the 2nd game of a back-to-back under coach Woodson as well as 18-5 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days under their current coach. Look for New York to respond following last night's ugly loss to the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy Big East *BEST BET* on St. John's -3.5
Bottom Line: St. John's will want this game more as it seeks its first conference win and looks to avenge last season's 3-point loss at Providence. The Friars are off a big win over Georgetown but have lost the momentum from that victory with a 7-day break. The key tonight is turnovers, and St. John's doesn't figure to give it away enough for Providence to stay in the game. The Red Storm is 10-1 ATS under Lavin in home games that take place 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like Providence that force 14 turnovers per game or less. Providence is 3-12 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good ball handling teams like St. John's that commit 14 turnovers or less per game. The Friars are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a cover, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee.

4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Alabama -11
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is 11-4 while Alabama is 7-8 and the Bulldogs are getting 11 points. It looks like the books are absolutely begging for action on Miss. St. but I won't bite. The Bulldogs are a dismal 4-13 ATS as a double-digit dog under coach Rick Ray, losing these games by an average of 21.1 points. Bama has won 5 straight at home in the series with 2 of the last 3 victories coming by 14 and 17 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on TCU +21
Bottom Line: With a big showdown at Kansas Saturday, this is a prime look-ahead spot for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS 15 or more games in against teams that have a win percentage of .600 to .800 over the last 2 seasons. The Cowboys are also 1-9 ATS under coach Ford after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +4.5
Bottom Line: The home team is a commanding 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Boston's home court has especially held up as it has won 10 in a row at home against the Raptors. In terms of the spread, Boston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 home games versus Toronto.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on 76ers -115
Bottom Line: The Bobcats have struggled on the road where they are 1-6 in their last 7. They have also struggled in Philadelphia where they are 0-5 in their last 5. Charlotte won't have enough left in the tank following last night's game in New York to get the job done against a 76ers squad that has had 3 days of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte.

4* Major ESPN *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana +4.5
Bottom Line: Coach Tom Crean's squads are 22-9 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Hoosiers are 10-2 ATS in home games following a cover the last 2 seasons. Wisconsin is just 3-13 ATS when playing against teams with a 60-80% win percentage the last 2 seasons. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Grab the points.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas +1.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State will have a tough time tonight with DeAndre Kane likely unable to go after suffering an ankle injury late against Oklahoma. The Cyclones don't have a lot of depth, and he is the player they can afford to lose the least as he's their best all-around player and primary ball handler. He has 92 assists on the season, 39 more than the next-closest Cyclone. The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 Big 12 games and 16-1 in their last 17 versus Iowa State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz.

4* Major Divisional Playoffs Bailout on Chargers +9.5
Bottom Line: The Chargers' win in Denver a month ago sets up a situation that has been money. Playing against home favorites that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and are off back-to-back covers as a favorite has resulted in a 23-4 ATS record the last 10 seasons. The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home mark, and the road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Chargers are playing free and loose, and they'll be lacking no confidence going into Denver. The Broncos will need an unbelievable game from Manning to win this game because their defense is very susceptible, especially against the pass. Philip River will make enough plays to keeps this one within the number.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5.5
Bottom Line: The Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. Wisconsin-Green Bay is also 0-7 ATS in road games after a win of 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 1.7 points in this spot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee lost all 3 of last season's meetings by double-digits so it will be out for blood this afternoon. Pound the Panthers.

5* Wiseguy NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on 49ers pk
Bottom Line: The 49ers have advanced to the NFC Championship each of the past two seasons. They've also won their last two road playoff games, and I expect their postseason dominance to continue. Carolina won the earlier meeting 10-9 in San Francisco, but that wasn't the same 49er team it will see Sunday. The San Francisco offense has become a lot more dynamic since the return of Crabtree, going 6-0 since he made his way back into the lineup. With Crabtree playing at a high level, Carolina won't be able to focus all its attention on Vernon Davis and Anquan Boldin. It also won't be able to sit on the run. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning mark at home. The Niners are also 8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 13.9 points on average (I got the 49ers at a pk, but they are still favored at a lot of places so this trend applies). Pound San Francisco.

4* Major NBA Super System Smoker on Magic +12
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 points or more off a road loss of 20 points or more are 73-35 ATS since 1996 if they carry a win percentage of 25-40% and are playing a team with a winning record. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 12.4 points on average but have lost by only 9.2 points on average. This system is 4-1 ATS this season.

5* Wiseguy AFC Divisional Playoffs Game of the Year on Patriots -7
Bottom Line: Indianapolis has some really good wins this season, but it hasn't beaten anyone without Reggie Wayne. It is 7-3 since Wayne went down but has benefited from a soft schedule. It has played three good teams on the road during this stretch (Arizona, Cincinnati, Kansas City), and it was blown out by the Cardinals and Bengals. The Colts had a miraculous comeback to beat the Chiefs last week, but I haven't been sold on the Chiefs all season. I think Indy runs into a buzz saw here. The Pats are a perfect 6-0 ATS this season at home when laying 7.5 points or less. Playing against road teams off an upset win at home has resulted in a 53-21 ATS record since 1983 provided they are a winning team playing against winning team. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. Pound the Pats.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Bobcats +5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 versus Central division opponents, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a defeat of more than 10 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Chicago. Chicago is 16-34 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

4* Major NFC Divisional Playoff *SUREFIRE* on Saints +8
Bottom Line: Playing road underdogs or pickems that average 24.0 ppg or more and are off a win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 66-32 ATS record since 1983. This system is a strong 11-4 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Saints are too experienced and too good on both sides of the football to get buried in Seattle again. I'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Pacific -5
Bottom Line: Pacific has lost its first 4 conference contests. It has also lost its last 2 against Santa Clara. I believe these things will inspire the Tigers to put forth one of their best efforts of the season. Santa Clara is in a huge letdown spot following a win at St. Mary's and a terrible situational spot playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. The Tigers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Pacific is 15-5 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 6-1 ATS in its last 7 Saturday games. It is also on a 17-7 ATS run when laying points and a 63-35 ATS run in home games after playing a home game. The Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pound Pacific.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points.

4* Major Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Bucks +4
Bottom Line: Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 67-36 ATS since 1996 when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 or their last 8 games. This system is a sweet 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Bucks.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nebraska +4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season, and I expect it to defend its home court tonight following a pair of road losses to open conference play. The Huskers are 32-15 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference opponents since 1997, winning by an average of 4.3 points in this spot. The Wolverines are a soft 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Cornhuskers are a strong 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Nebraska.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York.

4* Major NCAAB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Boise State +6.5
Bottom Line: San Diego State is being overvalued following its big win at Kansas. Each of the last 4 meetings between these two have been decided by 6 points or less. Also, Boise State has lost by just 3 total points in its last 2 visits to SDSU. The Broncos are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 versus Mountain West foes while the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 versus the Mountain West.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Celtics +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 or more points that allowed 85 points or less last game has resulted in a 94-48 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that allowed 110 points or more last game. This system is already 1-0 ATS this season and 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. Playing road underdogs of 10 or more points that are off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more has resulted in a 72-34 ATS record since 1996 if they have a .250 to .400 win percentage and are playing a winning team. This system is already 3-0 ATS this season.

4* Major NBA Non-Conference *SUREFIRE* on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing January home underdogs that are off a home win has resulted in a 49-20 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing with 1 day of rest, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a cover and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 versus the Pacific division. The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a cover and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings at the Nets. This is an extremely fatigued spot for the Warriors, and I can't see them covering this large of a number on the road against a Brooklyn squad that is playing with a lot of confidence right now.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Virginia -11
Bottom Line: Playing Wednesday home favorites of 10 or more points that hold opponents to an average of 57.0 ppg or less has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.5 points on average. Plus, the Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS under coach Bennett as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, winning these games by an average of 22.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz.

4* Major ACC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on NC State +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Notre Dame, which is coming off a gigantic win over Duke. This is a bounce-back spot for NC State following a double-digit loss at Pitt. The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Notre Dame has been fortunate to shoot well the past two games because it has given up a lot of points. The Irish are 8-25 ATS under Brey after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games. Notre Dame will have a tough time scoring the basketball against an NC State defense that has been phenomenal on the road, holding opponents to 35.2% shooting overall and 19.1% from beyond the arc.

4* Major NBA Oddsmaker Error on Bucks +9
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has had the Warriors' number. It is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. It is also 4-0 at home during this span. In terms of the spread, the Warriors are 0-5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. While Golden State would like to put an end to its struggles against the Bucks, it will have a difficult time doing so in what is a fatigued spot. This is the Warriors 4th road game in 6 days. The Bucks, meanwhile, have 2 full days of rest on their side.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Game of the Year on Florida State -9
Bottom Line: Playing against any excellent offensive team like Auburn that averages 34 ppg or more has resulted in a 33-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against an excellent defensive team that allows 16 ppg or less in a non-conference matchup between two teams from BCS conferences. This system shows that good defense beats good offense the large majority of the time. Also, playing against any team like Auburn that allowed 37 points or more last game has resulted in an 85-39 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they're up against a team that's off 2 consecutive wins or 17 points or more. The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 bowl games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a cover, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus winning teams, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Pound FSU.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Total of the Year on Arkansas State/Ball State UNDER 64
Bottom Line: Both teams finished the regular season by going over the total in four straight as the offense's were sizzling. However, I give the decisive edge to the defense in this one given the extensive time each has had to prepare. Defensive coordinator John Thompson is running the Red Wolves for a second consecutive postseason as they lost another coach to a higher profile program. As you would expect from a defensive-minded coach, he's placed a ton of emphasis on the defensive side of the ball. He did the same thing last year and held a high-scoring MAC team (Kent State) to just 13 points in a 17-13 win in this bowl game. Arkansas State is a perfect 8-0 UNDER in its last 8 games versus top-level teams that carry a win percentage greater than 75%. We have seen just 47.5 total points scored on average in these games. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA Central Division *SUREFIRE* on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a look-ahead spot for Indiana, which has a pair of double-digit wins over Cleveland already this season, including one earlier this week. The Pacers will be much more concerned with their next opponent, a Toronto squad that defeated them New Year's Day. Whether Irving is able to go or not, this is a great spot to back the Cavs who are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards.

4* Major NFC Wild Card Bailout on Packers +3
Bottom Line: Green Bay is a completely different team with Aaron Rodgers under center, and I expect him to lead the Packers to a win Sunday afternoon. San Francisco won the regular season matchup 34-28. However, when the line is +3 to -3, teams that are looking for revenge for a loss of 7 points or fewer are 28-9 ATS the last 10 seasons, provided they are off a victory against a division foe. This system tightens up to 17-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Green Bay is also a stunning 13-1 ATS in home games in the second half of the schedule versus teams that outscore the opposition by 6.0 points per game or more. The Packers are 8-1 ATS under coach McCarthy versus good defensive teams that give up 17.0 points per game or fewer.

5* Wiseguy AFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Chargers +7
Bottom Line: The Bengals won the regular season meeting 17-10 in San Diego, but they benefited from a bye week prior to that contest. They also caught the San Diego at a good time as it was in a letdown spot following a big road win in Kansas City. San Diego has been playing do-or-die games for a month since then, and it has won them all, including an impressive win in Denver. We've seen it before. Teams that get hot at the right time have been very dangerous in the playoffs, and the Chargers have the look of a dangerous team. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in January and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 wild card games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Pound San Diego.

5* Wiseguy NFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Saints +3
Bottom Line: Much has been made of New Orleans' issues on the road. The Saints went 3-5 on the road this season but easily could have been better than that. They lost in the closing seconds in New England and Carolina, two teams I have rated higher than the Eagles. Road losses to the Jets and Rams look bad, but both of those teams can play a little defense. The Eagles haven't shown they can stop a team as prolific as New Orleans as they rank 29th in total defense and last against the pass. The Eagles are one of the top offensive teams in the league, but the Saints are 10-2 ATS under Payton versus teams that average 27.0 points per game or more, defeating these teams by 12.0 points on average. Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Pound the Saints.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC.

4* Major MVC Line Mistake on Bradley +4.5
Bottom Line: The Braves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games off a defeat of 15 or more points. Bradley has lost to Drake at home by more than 4.5 points just one time in the last 8 meetings.

4* Major Sandwich Game *SUREFIRE* on Rice +12
Bottom Line: This is a classic sandwich game for Harvard following a win over B.C. and with Connecticut up next. This situation becomes even tougher for the Crimson because they defeated Rice by 30 last season, making it very easy for them to look ahead. The Owls will be out for revenge and also motivated by losses in their last two games. The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.

4* Major WCC *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacific +15.5
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are overvalued frequently because of the amount of attention they receive from bettors. They have been especially overvalued on Saturday's, the biggest NCAAB betting day of the week. Gonzaga is 4-13 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 0-6 ATS in its last 6 Saturday games. Pacific is 15-4 ATS on Saturday the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Texas State +3
Bottom Line: Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 3.3 points on average. It is also 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning pct. of 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 9.5 points. Pound Texas State.

4* Major AFC Wild Card *SUREFIRE* on Colts -116
Bottom Line: I'm not sold on the Chiefs, who started 9-0 but have closed 2-5. The Colts won the regular season matchup 23-7 in Kansas City, and I expect a repeat performance at home where they have wins over Seattle and Denver. The Colts are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 14 points. Indy is 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons versus poor defensive teams like KC that allow an average of 350.0 yards per game or more, and it has won these games by 7.3 points on average. Indy is also 9-0 ATS in home games when the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.

4* Major Compass Bowl *PUNISHER* on Houston +3
Bottom Line: The Houston Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 6-0 ATS in road/neutral field games the last 3 seasons after covering the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Houston took both UCF and Louisville down to the wire on the road, and we found out this bowl season that both of those schools are better than many thought. We've also found out the SEC isn't quite as infallible, and it doesn't help Vandy that it is expected to be without starting QB Austyn Carta-Samuels.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: D'Antoni's teams are 16-5 ATS lifetime after 6 or more consecutive losses. Plus, the Lakers are 16-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz are 6-16 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Jazz are just 5-14 on the road, and their road issues will continue against an LA squad hungry to end a lengthy skid.

4* Major Western Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Nuggets to get off the snide against a Memphis team they have defeated 10 times in their last 11 home matchups. The Grizzlies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Nuggets are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Grizzlies are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Denver.

5* Wiseguy Orange Bowl *BEST BET* on Clemson +3
Bottom Line: We saw how Alabama struggled with motivation last night as playing in the Sugar Bowl was no consolation prize for the defending champs. I expect an Ohio State team that was a win away from playing in the national title game to struggle with motivation as well. To make matters worse, the Buckeyes will be without top pass rusher Noah Spence, and they'll likely be without top corner Bradley Roby as well. The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Pound Clemson.

4* Major Cotton Bowl *PUNISHER* on Oklahoma State -1
Bottom Line: Oklahoma State has owned Mizzou of late, going 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with a 14.0-point average margin of victory. The Tigers were upset by Auburn in the SEC Championship as they were gashed for 545 yards on the ground. That kind of beating does nothing for the confidence of a football team. Mizzou is on a 2-10 ATS slide when playing away from home following an upset defeat. The Tigers are also 4-9 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games. The Cowboys are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss.

4* Major NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets -11.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks stunned San Antonio last night, but I don't expect an encore performance from them. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. They Knicks are 1-12 ATS in the last 13 meetings, including 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Look for the Warriors to crash and burn tonight. After an emotional win over Miami and playing a third road game in four nights, the Warriors will have little left in the tank. Atlanta has had two days to prepare, and it hasn't forgotten the 115-93 beating it took the last time it hosted Golden State. The Hawks will be motivated to say the least. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 home games, winning them by 13.6 points on average. Pound the Hawks.

4* Major Eastern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards -2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Toronto following a big-time victory over the Pacers. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss ATS and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus Eastern Conference foes.

4* Major NBA *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Bobcats +11.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. The Trail Blazers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: Phoenix was crushed by 19 at Memphis in the first meeting, and playing against home teams that are looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat has resulted in a 31-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they carry a win percentage of 60-75% and are taking on a team with a losing record.

4* Major Sugar Bowl *PUNISHER* on Oklahoma +17
Bottom Line: This game is a letdown for Alabama while it is a destination for an Oklahoma team that looked like it would miss out on a BCS game. The Crimson Tide are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss. The Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 9-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons. Oklahoma was smoked by Texas A&M in last season's bowl matchup, and that loss is playing into this line. The Sooners will be extremely motivated to put a much better foot forward this time around.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks were brutally embarrassed at MSG by the Spurs in November, but New York is 25-8 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996, winning by an average of 3.4 points in these contests. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Northwestern +10.5
Bottom Line: Northwestern is off a 1-point loss to DePaul, which is worth mentioning because it has responded to go 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a close loss of 3 points or less, winning by an average of 12.5 points in these games. Pound the Wildcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -121
Bottom Line: The Wizards are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 this season. They are 24-11 ATS under coach Wittman in home games when matched up against a winning team. Dallas won the season's first meeting 105-95, but Washington is 8-1 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 100 points or more. It has won by an average of 4.9 points in this spot. Pound Washington.

4* Major Rose Bowl *BLOOD BATH* on Stanford -6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are off 2 straight conference wins has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a double-digit road win. This system tightens up to 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games. Stanford is 7-0 ATS since 1992 when playing away from Palo Alto after averaging 475 or more total yards over their last 3 games. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Pac-12 opponents.

4* Major Outback Bowl *PUNISHER* on Iowa +8
Bottom Line: LSU will be forced to lean on its running game with Mettenberger out, and that isn't a favorable situation for the Tigers as they face an Iowa defense that ranks 7th in the country in total defense and 17th against the run. Iowa is 28-9 ATS under coach Ferentz versus good running attacks that average 200.0 rushing yards per game or more. It has won these games by 4.1 points on average. Look for the Iowa defense to keep the Hawkeyes in this game right down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy Non-BCS Bowl Game of the Year on Wisconsin -115
Bottom Line: This line smells fishy with Wisconsin being favored against a higher ranked SEC team, especially when that team is coming off a big win over Clemson and Wiscy is off a loss to Penn State. Clearly, oddsmakers believe in Wisconsin's stingy defense, especially since it has had a month to prepare. The Badgers finished the regular-season ranked 5th in scoring defense (14.8 ppg) and 6th in total defense (294.4 ypg). Wiscy is 8-1 ATS versus teams that average 31 or more points/game over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 450 yards/game or more over the last 2 seasons. Look for Wiscy to come out on top behind a strong running attack and a hard-nosed defense.

4* Major Gator Bowl *SUREFIRE* on Nebraska +9
Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 versus a team with a winning record and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The Cornhuskers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. They are also 13-5 ATS outside Lincoln, Nebraska under Pelini when coming off two ATS defeats in their last 3 games. The Huskers were tied 31-31 with Georgia late in last season's Capital One Bowl matchup before letting the game get away. Motivated to avenge that loss, I expect the Huskers to keep this one close.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Bucks +6.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. The Bucks are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. The underdog is 14-4-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Pound the Bucks.

4* Major Chick-fil-A Bowl Bailout on Duke +13
Bottom Line: Playing in this game is a major disappointment for a Texas A&M team that entered the season with national title hopes. Duke, on the other hand, has had its best season in a long time, and it will be looking to punctuate it. A&M is on a 6-21 ATS slide when playing away from home with a week of rest or more. The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 versus a team with a winning record. The Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.

5* Wiseguy Sun Bowl *BEST BET* on Virginia Tech +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hokies are a reliable 43-31 ATS when matched up against a team with a win percentage greater than 75% under coach Beamer. They are also 45-32 ATS versus teams that outscore opponents by 10.0 ppg or more under Beamer. Virginia Tech has been to 21 consecutive bowls, and they have been defeated by more than 7 points just one time in their last 11 bowl appearances. Pound the Hokies.

4* Major Holiday Bowl Bailout on Texas Tech +14.5
Bottom Line: The Sun Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. The Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games and 27-11-3 ATS in their last 41 games after being held to less than 20 points in their previous game. Arizona State will have a tough time getting up for this game knowing they blew an opportunity to be Rose Bowl-bound. Texas Tech finished the season poorly so it has every incentive to put forth a good showing here. I'm not concerned about Baker Mayfield transferring as Davis Webb's numbers were better, and he's gotten the large majority of the reps during bowl prep.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Heat following an emotional win in Portland. Also, expect to see a motivated Denver squad as it looks to bring a six-game skid to an end. The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Denver.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pelicans +3
Bottom Line: The Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the Pelicans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Blazers have had a terrible time with New Orleans and are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Portland just lost a tough one to Miami and plays the Thunder tomorrow so this could be a flat spot for the Blazers.

4* Major NBA *SUREFIRE* on Pistons -138
Bottom Line: The Pistons were hammered at Washington last game, but I expect them to have their revenge at home where they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

5* Wiseguy Pre-New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on Ole Miss -3
Bottom Line: Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS this season when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing these contest by an average of 10.0 points. Ole Miss is 7-0 ATS under coach Freeze when entering a contest with losses in two of its last three games, winning these contests by 11.2 points on average. The Rebels are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Ole Miss has the speed to slow down Georgia Tech's triple-option attack, and it will be extremely prepared for it as defensive coordinator Dave Wommack served in the same role for two seasons under Paul Johnson at Georgia Tech. Pound Ole Miss.