Winning Sports Picks

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs/Mavs OVER 206.5

Bottom Line: These two teams played in Dallas on Tuesday and combined for just 195 points with a total set at 207. The fact that the books have came right back with essentially the same number, lets us know they aren't concerned about the low-scoring game last time out. Spurs are averaging 107.4 ppg at home on the season and 118.0 ppg over their last 8 home games. Mavs have scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. OVER is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 home games when listed as a favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and 8-1 in their last 9 home games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the OVER 206.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +

The Irish should not be listed as the underdog in this matchup. Notre Dame is a team on a mission right now and have even more to play for after learning head coach Mike Brey's mom just passed away. Wichita State put up an impressive performance against Kansas in a game that meant a lot more than to them than just another tournament win. I look for the Shockers to come out a big flat, while Notre Dame shakes off the rust and returns to the form that saw them win the ACC Tournament with back-to-back wins over Duke and North Carolina. Pound the Fighting Irish +2!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Hornets OVER 196.5

Bottom Line: Both of these teams are really struggling on the defensive end right now. Charlotte is giving up 98.0 ppg over their last 5, while the Nets are allowing a staggering 114.2 ppg over their last 5. On top of that, these two teams have a history of playing in high scoring games. Each of the last 4 has seen a combined score of more than 200 points. OVER is 4-1 in Nets last 5 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 following a SU loss of more than 10 points. OVER is also 6-0 in Hornets last 6 when playing on 1 days rest and 5-1 in their last 6 at home. Pound the OVER 196.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +3.5

Bottom Line: I'm expecting Dallas to come out with one of their best efforts after a 92-98 loss at Phoenix, which head coach Rick Carlisle labeled and "embarrassment." Dallas has played the Spurs as well as anyone over the last couple of seasons and are too strong a team to be laying 3.5-points at home. Home underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite are 34-10 (77%) ATS since 1996 in a game involving two teams that have won between 60% and 75% of their games. Pound the Mavericks +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -6

Bottom Line: Chicago won't have any trouble getting motivated for this one, as they come in off a 16-point loss at Detroit in their last contest, plus will be playing with double-revenge, which includes a recent loss at Charlotte just 10 days ago. While it may appear the Hornets cruised to a 11-point win over the Timberwolves last night, they actually trailed by 5-points at the half. Not only will Charlotte be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th overall on their current road trip. Hornets are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 after playing 4 straight on the road, while Chicago is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound the Bulls -6!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Maryland -1

Bottom Line: The Big 12 has shown that they are not anywhere close to as strong of a conference as most people thought and I look for the Terrapins to have no problem punching their ticket to the Sweet 16. Maryland has the talent at the guard positions that won't be rattled by the Mountaineers chaotic style of play and teams that can handle their pressure will more times than not come away with an easy win. Terrapins are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 non-conference road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games played on a neutral site. Pound Maryland -1!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -1.5

Bottom Line: The Hawks are showing some big time value here as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Atlanta is also going to be extremely motivated in this spot after losing back-to-back games at Golden State and Oklahoma City. They will also be out for revenge from a heartbreaking 92-94 loss at San Antonio earlier this season. Atlanta models themselves after the Spurs and I believe this game is more important to them than some might think. Not to mention they are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 when playing against a team with a winning record, 23-8 in their last 31 with a total set at 200 to 209.5 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when listed as a favorite of 6 points or less. Pound the Hawks -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -3

Bottom Line: The Bulls won 108-92 at home over the Raptors last night for their second straight 20+ point win and I look for them to keep the momentum going with another easy win here against Detroit. The Pistons have completely fallen apart, going just 1-11 over their last 12 games and are expected to be without Greg Monroe. Road favorites (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams with a +/- 3 PPG differential are 27-8 (77%) ATS since 1996!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on NC STATE +10

Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are showing some great value here as a 10-point underdog against No. 1 seed Villanova, which isn't a big surprise given the Wildcats are coming off a 40-point blowout win in their first game, while NC State barely squeaked by with a 1-point win over LSU. NC State won't be intimidated by Villanova at all. The Wolfpack have wins over Duke, North Carolina and  Louisville, while also playing Virginia tough in two separate meetings (loss by 10 points or less). Neutral court teams (VILLANOVA) - excellent team - shooting >=45% with a defense of

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7

Bottom Line: The Nuggets are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back here, but I believe we have seen an overreaction with the spread because of it. Denver has been playing much better since firing Brian Shaw and I look for them to come out and surprise the Heat, who are in line for a letdown after two big home wins over the Cavaliers and Trail Blazers. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their starters combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100+ points. Miami is 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 4-20-2 ATS in their last 26 following a SU win. Pound the Nuggets +7!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on Iowa -1.5

Bottom Line: Davidson is getting a lot of hype here as an upset candidate over Iowa, but I don't think this is a good matchup at all for the Wildcats. Iowa defends the 3 well and has a ton of size across the floor. The Hawkeyes should be able to score at will against Davidson's defense and do enough here defensively to win this game without much problem. While the Hawkeyes suffered an ugly loss to Penn State in the Big Ten Tournament, this team had been playing their best basketball of the season prior to that defeat and I believe it will have them humbled and focused on making sure they put their best effort forward tonight. Roll the Hawkeyes -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -4

Bottom Line: The Jazz are in a perfect spot to back off a disappointing home loss to the Wizards last night, which snapped their 6-game winning streak. Utah will not only be motivated to bounce back from that defeat, but they will also be playing with revenge here, as they lost the last meeting at home to the Lakers 97-100 back on Feb. 25. Utah is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 when revenging a loss where they allowed the opponent to score 100 points, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 after failing to cover the number in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 revenging a same season loss. Pound the Jazz -4!

4* MAJOR *NCAA TOURNAMENT SUREFIRE* on Arkansas -7.5

Bottom Line: This is one is simple. Wofford isn't in the same class as the Razorbacks. The Terriers played a non-conference game against West Virginia, who plays a very similar style to that of Arkansas and they lost that game by 33-points. It's going to take the Terriers best game and the Razorbacks worst just for them to keep this within 15-points. Pound Arkansas -7.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on NC State -2

Bottom Line: Outside of Kentucky and Arkansas I wasn't impressed with the rest of the SEC and I look for LSU to have a horrible time here just trying to keep this game respectable against what I feel is a far superior NC State team. The Wolfpack are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Simply put, when the stage gets bigger, the better NC State tends to play. Sure they got embarrassed by Duke in the ACC Tournament, but LSU is nothing close to the Blue Devils. Most importantly, NC State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off a loss by 15+ points. Pound the Wolfpack -2!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -3

Bottom Line: The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA right now. Utah has won 6 straight and are 13-3 over their last 16 overall. Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but three of those wins came at home. They did beat the Hornets in their last road game, but prior to that had dropped 9 straight. Utah has won 3 straight and 7 of 8 at home against the Wizards and I look for them to add to that streak with any win and cover tonight. Teams who have led by 5 or more points at the half in each of their last 3 games (Utah) against an opponent that scored 60+ in the first half of their last game are 41-18 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Jazz -3!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on St Francis +10

Bottom Line: Richmond isn't going to be motivated at all to play in the NIT after getting snubbed from the NCAA Tournament. You might not have heard of St Francis, but this is a talented team that is led by Northeastern Conference player of the year Jalen Cannon, who is an NBA-caliber player. St Francis is a live dog in this one, especially if the Spiders don't show up to play. Pound the Terriers +10!

5* WISEGUY NIT *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UTEP +5.5

Bottom Line: Murray State can complain all they want about not making the tournament, but this team was left out for good reason. All you have do is look at their non-conference schedule to see that this team is vastly overrated. The public however is more familiar with Murray State due to all the publicity they are getting for not making the tournament. Not only is UTEP the better team and should be favored, I don't see the Racers being all that motivated with the disappointment of not making the big dance. Pound UTEP +5.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Magic +11.5

Bottom Line: Orlando has thrived in the roll of the underdog when playing on the road. The Magic are 22-11 ATS this season as a road dog and 14-6 ATS when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Houston on the other hand is just 51-76 ATS in their last 127 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more points. To top it off we have a strong system backing a play on the Magic. Underdogs of 10 or more points that have failed to cover two or more straight games, who are a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games are 226-157 (59%) ATS since 1996. Pound Orlando +11.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks -5.5

Bottom Line: Oklahoma City has dropped 3 of their last 4 on the road with the only winning coming against the lowly Lakers. While Westbrook has done everything in his power to keep the Thunder competitive, I don't like their chances on the road against the Mavericks with Ibaka being downgraded to doubtful and Durant still sidelined. Dallas has a big advantage here playing on 2 days rest, while Oklahoma City will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and playing their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the Mavericks -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls/Thunder UNDER 206.5

Bottom Line: Games played on Sunday have a stronger tendency to go UNDER the total, especially ones like we have here with an early start time. I'll take my chances on this one finishing well below the mark. While these two teams combined for 213 points back on March 5, that should actually benefit a lower scoring game. Adding to this is that the UNDER is 12-4 in the Bulls last 16 road games when listed as an underdog, 8-0 in Chicago's last 8 after scoring 60+ points in the 1st half of their last game and 12-3 in the Thunder's last 15 home games off a home win by 10 or more points. Pound the UNDER 206.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets -5.5

Bottom Line: As bad as the Nets have been playing of late, I will gladly take my chances on them coming away with a win here against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a rare win last night against the Kings and have struggled to put together two strong performances in a row. Brooklyn is desperate for a win and that extra motivation against a horrible team like the 76ers should be more than enough for us to get a win and cover here. Pound the Nets -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Connecticut -2.5

Bottom Line: Connecticut just has a way of turning it on when it matters the most and I look for the Huskies to cruise to an easy win here in the AAC semifinals against Tulsa. Connecticut won the last meeting by 25-points and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6, 29-11 in their last 40 off a close win by 3-points or less and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off an upset win as an underdog. Pound the Huskies -2.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Pistons +8.5

Bottom Line: Portland was able to hold on for a 105-100 win at home over the Rockets in their last game, which I believe has them overvalued here against the Pistons, who are clearly getting no respect after losing 8 straight. I don't know that Detroit will have enough to win this game outright, but I'm expecting a closely contested game that comes right down to the wire. Detroit is 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of 60% or better and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after a SU loss. Portland is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs the Eastern Conference and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Pound the Pistons +8.5!

4* NCAAB *ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE* on Maryland -1.5

Bottom Line: The Terrapins are the better team and in a much better spot here than the Hoosiers. Indiana will be playing on no rest, while Maryland has yet to take the floor in the Big Ten Tournament. You might think this is an advantage for Indiana, as they have had a chance to get into a rhythm, but history suggest otherwise. Hoosiers are just 14-30 ATS in their last 34 road games when playing with 1 or less day of rest, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after allowing 60 points or less and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after a game where they covered the spread. Pound the Terrapins -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Kentucky -13

Bottom Line: Kentucky won the last meeting, which also happened to be the regular season final, 67-50 over Florida. The Wildcats are in pursuit of perfection and now that it's tournament time I expect them to give their max effort each and every time they take the floor. I also think this being the 3rd meeting favors Kentucky, who now has a great understanding of what the Gators are looking to do offensively. The Wildcats allowed 61 points  on 49% shooting at Florida in the first meeting and just 50 points on 43% shooting the second time around. Anything less than a 15-point win would be unsatisfactory for Kentucky. Florida is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after winning 3 of 4 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Wildcats -13!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets -2

Bottom Line: I believe the books are over-adjusting here due to the fact that the Rockets are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. Houston had 3 days off prior to last night's game at Portland and should have more than enough energy to come away with a win on the road against the Jazz. The Rockets are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 against a team with a losing record, 17-5 ATS in their last 22 after a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100+ points in their last game. Pound Houston -2!

5* NCAAB *BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH* on Ohio State -5.5

Bottom Line: The Buckeyes barely escaped with a 74-72 overtime win at Minnesota in the only meeting between these two teams during the regular season, which I believe has Ohio State showing some big time value here. We are also seeing the Buckeyes undervalued due to their last game being a 48-72 loss at home to Wisconsin. Prior to that Ohio State had won 3 straight and I look for them to have no problem here against a Minnesota team that is playing on no rest. Gophers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win, while Buckeyes are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound Ohio State -5.5!

4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on St Bonaventure -2.5

Bottom Line: The Bonnies won both regular season meetings without much problem. They came away with a 70-61 win at home and a 70-60 win at St Joe's. St Bonaventure also comes in riding a 3-game winning streak, while the Hawks are just 2-5 over their last 7. Another big key here is how these two teams have fared away from home. St. Joe's is a miserable 3-13 on the road, while the Bonnies are a respectable 8-6. Pound St Bonaventure -2.5!

5* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Colorado -3.5

Bottom Line: The Buffaloes are showing some great value here as a mere 3.5-point favorite against the slumping Beavers. Oregon State closed out the regular season with 6 losses in their final 7 games, with the lone win being a 14-point win at home over Colorado. Now that might make you think the Beavers are the smart play, but I actually think it's what is creating the value. Oregon State is a mere 2-11 away from home and rarely have they been competitive outside of Corvallis. Beavers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games away from home and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a loss and coming off an upset loss as a road favorite are 112-67 (63%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Buffaloes -3.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Celtics +4.5

Bottom Line: Couple of key factors favoring a fade of the Grizzlies. First, Memphis has struggled to play up to their potential against bad teams, as they are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a losing record. Second, the Grizzlies are playing their 3rd straight on the road and 6th game overall in the last 9 days. Memphis is just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 when playing 6 or more games in a span of 10 days. Boston on the other hand is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 against a team with a winning record and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games at home. Pound the Celtics +4.5!

4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE* on Kansas State -1.5

Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a quality team that hasn't played up to their potential and are now faced with the difficult task of having to win the Big 12 Tournament to punch a ticket to the Big Dance. While its unlikely they win 4 games in 4 days, I like their chances of beating TCU in the opener. Keep in mind this is a Kansas State team that has wins over the likes of Kansas, Oklahoma (twice), Iowa State and Baylor. TCU did beat the Wildcats at home, but the Horned Frogs only win on the road inside conference play came against last place Texas Tech. Kansas State is simply the better team and worth the gamble here as a mere 1.5-point favorite. Pound the Wildcats -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons -2.5

Bottom Line: Both these teams come in riding length losing streaks. The Pistons have dropped six straight, while the Lakers have lost 5 in a row. Detroit is more than capable of snapping out of this funk, while Los Angeles is an NBA-worst 4-21 since Jan. 11. The big problem for the Pistons has been their poor shooting from their guards, which is important to note, as the Lakers have had a horrible time slowing down opposing guards. Perfect spot for Detroit to right their ship, plus it's worth noting that they are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games after a combined score of 205+ in their last constest and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3. Pound the Pistons -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +7.5

Bottom Line: These two teams faced off in Minnesota last Monday, with the Clippers escaping with a 110-105 win. Teams playing with revenge tend to have a bigger edge when that last meeting came within the last 10 days and I look for the Timberwolves to keep this one surprisingly close. The Clippers are still without two of their best players in Griffin and Crawford and Paul is dealing with a knee injury that figures to limit his production. Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against an opponent that allowed 100+ points in their last game, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Timberwolves +7.5!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6

Bottom Line: Perfect spot to back the Thunder at home off back-to-back losses, especially against a Toronto team that is in the midst of a major funk. The Raptors have dropped 7 of their last 8 overall. OKC is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 105+ in each of their last two games and teams that have gone over the total by 6 or more points in 5 straight games are 45-15 (75%) ATS in non-conference games since 1996. Pound the Thunder -6!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4.5

Bottom Line: Washington somehow didn't cover last night against the Heat at home after jumping out to a 35-point lead. The most important thing was they got the win and showed signs of life after an awful stretch of basketball. I look for the Wizards to come out with that same intensity against a Milwaukee team that is in the middle of a major slump, having lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Washington is 25-14 ATS in their last 39 road games after playing their last game at home, while Bucks are just 3-15 ATS in their last 18 hoem games when revenging a home loss. Pound the Wizards +4.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on Villanova -12

Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a class above the rest of the Big East and I look for them to have no problem disposing of the Red Storm at home by more than 12-points. Villanova is a perfect 15-0 SU and 11-4 ATS at home and each of their last 5 home games have come by 16+ points. Not to mention they already went on the road and crushed St John's 90-72. Villanova is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games after 7 or more straight wins. Pound the Wildcats -12!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rhode Island -9

Bottom Line: The Rams should have no problem winning at home by more 10+ points. Rhode Island is 12-2 at home and will be taking on a St Joseph's team that is a mere 3-12 on the road. Most importantly the Rams will be extra motivated with this being their final home game of the season and the fact they come in off a blowout loss at Dayton and will be looking to make up for a loss to Davidson in their last home game. St Joseph's beat LaSalle 55-50 as a 2-point favorite in their last game and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 points or less and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road after a game where they covered the spread. Pound Rhode Island -9!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -2.5

Bottom Line: Value here is clearly with the Nets, who are being undervalued due to losing by 24-points at home in their last game. Brooklyn was in a major letdown spot after a big win over the Warriors and I look for them to come out extremely motivated and cash in an easy cover against a Phoenix team that has trailed by at least 15-points in each of their last 3 games. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive overs, who are averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is allowing 98-102 ppg are just 13-38 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Nets -2.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Washington St +13

Bottom Line: Utah is primed for a major letdown after losing at home to Arizona on Saturday in arguably their biggest game of the season. The Cougars will be the more motivated team and I look for them to keep it surprisingly close against the Utes. Washington State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Pound the Cougars +13!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks/Blazers UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The books have set the mark too high for this one. Portland isn't going to be looking to push the pace after laying everything they had on the line in last night's overtime win at Los Angeles and Dallas is not the same dynamic offense since acquiring Rondo. Not to mention the Mavericks will be without one of their top offensive weapons in Chandler Parsons and we can expect max effort defensively here in a nationally televised game on TNT. UNDER is 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 road games and 9-2-1 in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 games played on Thursday and 5-1 in their last 6 playing on 0 days rest where the starting 5 accounted for more than 160 minutes. Pound the UNDER 199!

4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE ATS ROUT* on San Diego St -4.5

Bottom Line: The Aztecs are a perfect 6-0 following a loss this season and I look for them to keep that streak alive with an easy win on the road against UNLV following that ugly 10-point loss at home where they scored just 46 points on 32.7% shooting. San Diego St is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 following a double-digit loss at home and 42-20-2 ATS in their last 64 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Pound the Aztecs -4.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH* on Suns -4

Bottom Line: Phoenix is being way undervalued here due to the fact that they come in off back-to-back blowout losses to the Spurs (74-101) and Heat (98-115). This is a perfect spot for them to bounce back against a Magic team that isn't any good and is playing with zero confidence off 3 straight losses. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 (79%) ATS since 1996! Pound the Suns -4!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Fordham -2.5

Bottom Line: The Rams have covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 overall and are showing great value here as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against Duquesne. Not only will Fordham be motivated in their final home game of the regular season, but the Dukes are a miserable 1-11 on the road this season. Rams will be playing with revenge from a tough 6-point loss at Duquesne earlier this season, while the Dukes will have a difficult time coming in 100% focused with their home finale against Davidson on deck. Pound the Rams -2.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Georgia +10

Bottom Line: The Bulldogs lost by just 11-points on the road as an 18-point dog against Kentucky earlier this season and did so without the services of leading scorer Marcus Thorton. With Thorton back in the lineup and Georgia coming out extremely motivated to not only upset the No. 1 ranked team, but close out the regular season with a win in their final, the value is clearly with the home team in this one. Kentucky is a mere 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games, while Georgia is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 following a SU win. Pound the Bulldogs +10!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Hawks UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Rockets are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league, averaging 103.3 ppg, but that's largely been due to the play of Harden, who is in the running for the league MVP. Harden won't be in action tonight and I believe it's created some great value here on the total. Atlanta is only giving up 95.1 ppg at home and offensively are averaging just 93.8 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 5-0 in the Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 or more in their last game and 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 after a SU win. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-3 SU and just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games, which goes to show the book are clearly inflating their lines. I believe that's the case again tonight, as Golden State should not be laying 6-points on the road in this spot. The Warriors are coming off a draining 106-101 win at Boston yesterday, which saw them rally from 26 down. Plus, Golden State is playing their 4th game in 5 days, which should have them lacking any sort of motivation or energy for this road game. Brooklyn has played much better since the break going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS, plus are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 in the 2nd half against teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the Nets +6!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Purdue +9

Bottom Line: The books are overvaluing the Buckeyes homecourt edge in this one, as they should not be laying near double-digits against the Boilermakers. Purdue has been a completely different team of late, but are still undervalued. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall, which includes road wins at Northwestern, Rutgers and Indiana. Ohio State comes in off a 81-57 blowout win at home against Nebraska, which is also causing some inflation on the line. The Buckeyes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 20 or more points. Pound the Boilermakers +9!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -3.5

Bottom Line: Even without Westbrook and Durant sidelined, I look for the Thunder to have no problem leaving Los Angeles with an easy victory over the Lakers. The fact that Oklahoma City is short-handed is going to take away a lot of motivation for Los Angeles to play hard, which is a key factor that often times gets overlooked. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a poor defensive team (98-102 ppg) against a horrible defensive team (102+ ppg) after 42+ games and after a game where both teams in their last contest scored 105+ are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Thunder -3.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Utah -

Bottom Line: The Utes are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge on the Wildcats and move into a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 standings with a win tonight. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a blowout win by 30+ points against an opponent that scored 80+ in their last game are 92-47 ATS since 1997. Utah is also a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games at least 16 games into the season against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points game. Pound the Utes -1.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -

Bottom Line: This is a great price to back Atlanta. The Hawks are returning to form after a minor slump and are the more equipped team out of these two excel in a back-to-back set. Miami is not a good team and have really struggled at home this year, going just 10-16 SU and 9-17 ATS. Atlanta is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after winning 3 of their last 4 and should have no problem here winning by 6+ points against the Heat. Pound the Hawks -5.5!

4* NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Mississippi St +

Bottom Line: South Carolina continues to be overvalued, as this is too many points for them to be laying at home against a Mississippi State team that has been playing a lot better of late. Gamecocks are also in a tough spot off a big road game at Alabama and another big home game against Arkansas on deck. South Carolina is just 3-12 ATS inside SEC play and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 home games after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Bulldogs +9.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Nuggets +

Bottom Line: As bad as the Nuggets have been playing of late, they should not be a home dog to the Jazz, especially with Utah coming in off a bad home loss to the Lakers. Denver will be getting back both Kenneth Faried and Wilscon Chandler from injury, which I believe will be enough to not only have them covering the spread, but winning this game outright. Pound the Nuggets +4!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Nets are being undervalued here at home off a 96-102 road loss at New Orleans as a 2.5-point favorite. Brooklyn has quietly been playing much better of late and that's evident by their 7-4 ATS record over their last 11 games. This is a great spot to back the Nets, as Houston could be missing both Harden and Beverley (questionable) and are in a major lookahead spot with a nationally televised home games against the Cavs on deck. Pound the Nets +6.5!

4* NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Cavs/Pacers UNDER 197

Bottom Line: The Cavaliers will be without point guard Kyrie Irving and aren't going to have the legs to run up the score after playing a huge home game against the Warriors last night. Indiana has quietly won 6 of 8 and have done so with their defense. These two teams recently played on Feb. 6, so there's some familiarity with each others offense, adding value to the under. Not to mention the UNDER is 9-2 in the Cavs last 11 road games against a team with a losing home record and 22-10 in their last 32 overall. UNDER is also 5-2 in Pacers last 7 off a SU loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 100+. Pound the UNDER 197!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rutgers +14

Bottom Line: Purdue has covered the spread in 8 straight games and as a result find themselves extremely overvalued at home. The Boilermakers haven't laid this many points in a game since they hosted Arkansas State in non-conference play. There's no denying Rutgers is a bad team, but that actually aids in backing the Scarlet Knights. Purdue isn't going to come out with the same energy as they have in recent matchups against a bad team, especially given the fact that they just gone done playing a huge game on the road against in-state rival Indiana and have another big game on the road against Ohio State looming on Saturday. Rutgers is 51-32 ATS in their last 63 off a loss by 15 points or more, but most importantly are only losing in this spot by an average of 1.9 ppg. Pound the Scarlet Knights +14!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE TNT WINNER* on Cavaliers -3.5

Bottom Line: This will likely be the last time during the regular season where we will find the Cavaliers this small a home favorite. Cleveland got off to a slow start, but have quickly turned things around and have shown no signs of slowing down. The Cavaliers are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Cleveland lost at GS earlier this year, but were without James. They aren't going to lose the rematch at home, especially in a nationally televised game. Pound the Cavaliers -3.5!

4* NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Kings +7

Bottom Line: The Kings come into this one well rested off a 3-day break and have recently got a renewed sense of energy with the addition of George Karl as their new head coach. Sacramento will be highly motivated here off a 27-point road loss to the Clippers and are catching the Grizzlies in a big letdown spot after two huge road wins against the Trail Blazers and Clippers. Kings are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games as an underdog of 6.5 to 9 points and the Grizzlies are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams who are getting outscored by 3 or more points/game. Pound the Kings +7!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Clippers OVER 214.5

Bottom Line: Whenever the Rockets match up against a team that likes to play at a fast pace, there's a good chance it will go over the total. In fact, the OVER is 24-13 in Houston's last 37 games against up-tempo teams who are averaging 83 or more shots per game. OVER is also 4-1 in the Clippers last 5 against an opponent that just allowed 100+ points and 6-1 in the Rockets last 7 after a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the OVER 214.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Mississippi St +19

Bottom Line: As good as Kentucky has been, this is too many points for them to be laying on the road against a team that they aren't going to be all that excited to play. That becomes an even bigger factor when you consider they have a huge home game against Arkansas on deck, who is 2nd in the SEC at 12-3 and the only other ranked team int he conference. Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against poor offensive teams that are scoring 64 or fewer points/game, while Mississippi State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more points/game. Pound the Bulldogs +19!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Pacers +7

Bottom Line: The Pacers have won 6 of 7 and come in off an impressive 104-98 home win over the Warriors. While that win may appear to put Indiana in a letdown spot, they aren't going to get a big head due to Golden State being without Steph Curry. I look for them to take the same approach against the Thunder, who will be without Durant. Key here is the Pacers are on a roll offensively, hitting 47% from the field while averaging 102.4 ppg over their last 5. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have shot 47% or better from the field in 3 straight games are 79-46 (63%) ATS over the last 5 seasons! Pound Indiana +7!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Texas +4

Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on the Mountaineers here as a small home favorite against a Texas team that has been struggling to get anything going. The key here is that the Longhorns matchup extremely well with West Virginia and that's evident in the fact that they have won 4 straight in the series, including a 27-point win at home earlier this season. Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games on the season. Pound Texas +4!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on Timberwolves +9

Bottom Line: The Timberwolves have won 4 of their last 6 games and have been playing much better basketball since getting Rubio back healthy. However, Minnesota is still be valued based on their overall record, which makes them an easy play tonight against the Rockets. Houston is coming off a big home game against the Raptors and have an even bigger game on deck against the Clippers on Wednesday, which they will be out for revenge from a 15-point loss at LA just a couple weeks ago. Timberwolves are a profitable 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games revenging a home loss. Pound Minnesota +9!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +6.5

Bottom Line: Louisville should not be this big of a road favorite here. After returning to the team on Saturday against Miami following a 1-game suspension, senior guard Chris Jones was dismissed from the team. Louisville lost by double-digits at Syracuse without Jones and I look for them to struggle to beat Georgia Tech by more than the spread listed. The Yellow Jackets have just 4 losses inside conference play by more than 6 points. All 4 came on the road and one of those was a 7-point double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. Pound Georgia Tech +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic -8

Bottom Line: The 76ers got worse at the trade deadline, shipping away two of their best players in Carter-Williams and McDaniels. Philadelphia doesn't have the talent to keep up on the road, even against an average team like the Magic. Orlando has looked a lot better since making a change at head coach and I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. Road underdogs who are averaging 16+ turnovers/game are just 133-204 (39%) ATS in the month of February since 1996. Pound Orlando -8!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE UNDERDOG* on WKU +4

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction in this line due to the fact that the Hilltoppers have lost 4 straight against the number, while Middle Tennessee comes in off a surprising 39-point win over Marshall at home. Blue Raiders had lost 5 of their previous 6 and are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games off a blowout win by 20 or more points. Pound Western Kentucky +4!

5* WISEGUY NBA *EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH* on Pelicans +1.5

Bottom Line: The Heat returned from the All-Star break with an impressive 111-87 road win over the Knicks, which might make it appear like Miami is a safe bet at home against a Pelicans team that has lost 4 straight, including a 84-95 loss at Orlando last night. However, the Heat are not nearly as good at home as they are on the road. Miami is 9-15 at home, compared to 14-15 on the road. New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when playing on no rest and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 off a road loss. Pound the Pelicans +1.5!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Penn State +2

Bottom Line: Northwestern has came out of nowhere to pull off back-to-back upset wins, as they knocked off Iowa 66-61 as a 6-point home dog and followed it up with a 72-66 win at Minnesota as a 11-point dog. The Wildcats good luck ends here, as I look for them to revert to the team that lost 10 straight prior to their recent surge. Penn State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when they have lost at least 5 of their last 7, while Northwestern is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 at home when the line is +3 to -3. Pound the Nittany Lions +2!

5* WISEGUY NBA *WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: Each of the last 3 times these two teams have faced off in Dallas, they have combined for at least 220 points and I see no reason why that trend won't continue tonight. Both of these teams like to play at a fast pace and shouldn't have any problem pushing the pace given the long All-Star break. OVER is 15-4 in the Mavs last 19 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days and 8-1 in the Rockets last 9 road games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound the OVER 211!

4* MAJOR WIZ/CAVS NBA *ESPN SUREFIRE*

Bottom Line: The Cavaliers won 14 of their final 16 games before the All-Star break and I don't see any reason why Cleveland won't carry over that success down the stretch. The Cavaliers did lose their last game before the break 98-113 at Chicago, but were without Kevin Love and didn't seem all that interested. The key thing here to keep in mind is that Washington is a 1/2 game up on Cleveland in the standings, so the Cavs won't be taking this one lightly. Wizards are without one of their top players in Beal and are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days. Roll the Cavaliers -3!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs -3

Bottom Line: The Spurs will be out for revenge after losing by 20-points at home to the Clippers in the last meeting (had won previous 4) and I fully expect them to get it. Blake Griffin had 22 points in that last contest and he's out with an injury, while the Spurs will have the services of Kawhi Leonard, who missed the last meeting. Teams with a line of +3 to -3 who have beat the spread by 18 or more points in their last 3 games (Clippers) against an opponent who has gone UNDER the total by 42 or more combined points in their last 7 games are just 21-47 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Spurs -3!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Ole Miss/Miss St OVER 137

Bottom Line: These two teams combined for 152 points at Ole Miss back on Jan. 28 with a total of 138. The books have failed to make the proper adjustments here and it's time to take advantage. If you go back over the history of this series, you will see that these two teams have combined for at least 139 points in each of the last 6 meetings. OVER is 16-4 in Mississippi State's last 20 home games off an upset win and 11-3 in Ole Miss' last 14 off a loss by 6 points or less. Pound the OVER 137!

4* MAJOR NCAAB *SUREFIRE* on UCLA +3.5

Bottom Line: The Bruins have really came on strong in the last month, going 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games with the only defeat a 62-64 loss at Cal. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 78-68 win at Washington, but the Sun Devils have won back-to-back conference games just once all season. UCLA has won 3 straight and 7 of the last 8 overall in the series and I look for them to find a way to win this one on the road. Bruins are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a conference home win, while ASU is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after covering 2 of their last 3. Pound UCLA +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Missouri +16.5

Bottom Line: The books have inflated this line on Arkansas, due to the Razorbacks having won 5 straight against the spread. Had Missouri made a couple of free throws they would have upset the Razorbacks at home (60-61) and I look for them to have no problem keeping this close enough to cover this massive spread. Favorites who have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 21-49 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Missouri +16.5!

4* NCAAB *LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK* on South Carolina +6.5

Bottom Line: The Gamecocks cruised to a 67-50 home win over Georgia earlier in conference play, but aren't going to take the Bulldogs lightly after suffering an embarrassing 34-point loss at Kentucky over the weekend. Georgia lost 68-69 at home to Auburn as a 11-point home favorite last time out and that sets up a solid system to fade the Bulldogs. Home teams that are revenging a double-digit road loss, who are coming off a home loss by 3-points or less are just 30-68 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Gamecocks +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +13.5

Bottom Line: Kentucky is coming off a blowout 77-43 win at home over South Carolina, which I believe sets up a perfect spot to fade the Wildcats. Kentucky had failed to cover the number in each of their previous 5 games and Tennessee is going to be extremely motivated against the No. 1 team in the country, especially off an ugly 55-73 home loss to LSU. Road teams off a blowout conference win by 20 or more points against and opponent off a upset loss of 10 or more as home favorite are 11-31 (26%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Volunteers +13.5!

5* WISEGUY BIG 12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on West Virginia +2

Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have been vulnerable on the road. Both of their conference losses have come away from Lawrence and were fortunate to escape with a win at TCU (64-61). Kansas lost their last trip to Morgantown, 86-92 as a 5-point favorite. The Mountaineers are due for big game after losing 3 of their last 4 and are being undervalued here due to losing 4 straight against the spread. Home team has covered each of the last 4 in the series and Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Monday. Pound West Virginia +2!

5* WISEGUY MINN/IND NCAAB *BEST BET* on Minnesota +3.5

Bottom Line: The Golden Gophers got off to a rough start to Big 10 play, but have since turned things around. Minnesota has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, including an impressive 64-59 win at Iowa last time out. Indiana on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 and are fresh off a heartbreaking 66-68 loss at Maryland. Teams who have scored 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with 2 or more returning starters than their opponent are 213-140 (60%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on South Carolina +18

Bottom Line: Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games, simply due to the fact that the books are inflating their lines knowing the public is going to blindly back the No. 1 team in the country. The Wildcats couldn't play any better defensively against South Carolina in the previous matchup this season, limiting the Gamecocks to just 22.6% shooting, yet only won by 15-points. Don't see Kentucky bringing that same intensity the second time around and I look for South Carolina to cover this one rather easily. Gamecocks are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 when road games when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound South Carolina +18!

5* WISEGUY AZ/WASH NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +10

Bottom Line: We are getting an inflated line here on Arizona with this being one of the few big games on the slate for Friday, plus the game will be aired on ESPN. I'll take my chances on the Huskies as a double-digit home dog in a game you can assure they are going to give max effort against a highly ranked opponent. Arizona failed to cover their next game after getting upset at Oregon State earlier this season, beating Colorado at home by just 14 as a 16.5-point favorite. I look for the Wildcats to have an even harder time bouncing back on the road after Saturday's surprising loss to in-state rival Arizona State. Pound Washington +10!

5* WISEGUY BIG 10 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Minnesota +6.5

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here on Iowa due to them coming in off back-to-back blowout wins over Michigan and Maryland. The Hawkeyes barely escaped with a 2-point win at Minnesota earlier in the season and have struggled to put away the Gophers at home. Road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home wins that are revenging a same season loss are 53-26 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +6.5!

5* WISEGUY PAC-12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UCLA -8.5

Bottom Line: UCLA lost 55-66 at Oregon State in the previous meeting this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge in a blowout win at home. The Bruins are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS at home, with 3 double-digit wins out of 4 conference home games. The Beavers on the other hand are a completely different team on the road than they are at home. Oregon State is 14-0 at home, but just 2-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. Pound UCLA -8.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE ATS SMASH* on Wizards +5

Bottom Line: Washington will be out for revenge against the Raptors after losing in overtime at home against Toronto just 11 days ago. The Wizards come in off two dominant performances and this will be their last crack at the Raptors in the regular season. Washington is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 when revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points, while Toronto is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games when they come in having won at least 8 of their last 10. Pound Washington +5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: Marquette is being way undervalued here due to their poor record both overall and inside conference play. However, the Golden Eagles come in off an impressive 57-54 road win at Seton Hall and are a dominant 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Xavier is just 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS on the road and should not be laying points away from home against a quality opponent. Pound Marquette +3!

4* MAJOR NETS/GRIZZLIES NBA *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: While the Nets will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the books have over adjusted this line with the public going to be all over the Grizzlies off that big home win against the Hawks. Brooklyn is 23-6 ATS in their last 29 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against at team that's won more than 60% of their games. Memphis is just 14-31 ATS in their last 45 when listed as a favorite of 10 or more points. Pound Brooklyn +12.5!

5* WISEGUY NETS/BUCKS NBA *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: Brooklyn will be out to make a statement against their former coach and also motivated from an ugly 37-point loss at Washington on Saturday. The Nets also have revenge on their minds, as they blew a 8-point halftime lead in a 118-122 triple-overtime home loss to the Bucks. Brooklyn is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 straight games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after trailing in their previous game by 15+ points at the half, while Milwaukee is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after a SU win. Pound the Nets +5!

4* MAJOR OKLAHOMA ST/BAYLOR *NO DOUBT ATS ROUT*

Bottom Line: Oklahoma State is coming off an emotional and hard fought win at home over Kansas and I look for the Cowboys to struggle to bounce back with the kind of effort needed to keep it close against a Baylor team that is playing their best basketball of the season. Baylor won 87-69 at West Virginia on Saturday and prior to that had rolled TCU (77-57) and Texas (83-60) at home. Pound the Bears -6!

4* MAJOR CLEMSON/MIAMI NCAAB *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: This line is begging for you to take Clemson. The Tigers have won 4 straight and covered each of their last 3, while Miami has gone 0-3 SU and ATS over their last 3. I think the smart play is to back the Hurricanes at home. Miami is going to come out extremely motivated to get back on track and let's not forget that this team has some pretty impressive wins on their resume, including a 90-74 win at Duke. Clemson is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road win, while Miami is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 after failing to cover the number in 3 or more consecutive games. Pound the Hurricanes -6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: The Hornets are getting way undervalued here due to losing yesterday to the 76ers. Charlotte has won 5 straight and 6 of 7 at home, including a 80-71 victory over these Pacers. Teams revenging a loss to an opponent off a road loss with a line of +3 to -3 are 144-288 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Hornets +1!

5* WISEGUY KENTUCKY/FLORIDA *SEC GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: When an opponent has the Wildcats full attention, they seem to play their best basketball. Kentucky isn't going to mess around in this one and Florida simply doesn't have the offensive talent to keep this one close. Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have allowed 60 points or less in 4 straight games against an opponent that has scored 65 or fewer in 3 straight are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Kentucky -8!

4* MAJOR NBA *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Mavs/Blazers UNDER 207

Bottom Line: The books have set this number too high. These two teams combined for just 195 points in their previous matchup this season and both come in off strong defensive efforts. The Blazers held the Suns to just 87 points and the Mavs limited the Kings to only 78. UNDER is 20-7 in the Blazers last 27 games with a total set at 200 or more and 8-1 in the Mavs last 9 when revenging a road loss. Pound the UNDER 207!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +6.5

Bottom Line: Denver has lost 4 straight and 11 of 12 overall, which I believe has them showing great value here as a 6.5-point dog against the Pistons. Detroit has lost 5 of 7 and are simply not the same team without Jennings in the lineup. Pistons have gone just 12-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. They are also just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games played on Friday nights and 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Pistons +6.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *UNDERDOG ATS SMASH*

Bottom Line: The books are begging for you to take the Cavaliers in this one. Cleveland has won 12 straight and are coming off an impressive blowout victory over the Clippers last night on TNT. Indiana will be the more motivated team in this one and I look for them to give the Cavaliers all they can handle on their home floor. Keep in mind that Cleveland is just 9-14 ATS on the road, where they are getting outscored on the season. Only 4 of their 12 wins during their current stretch have come on the road and 3 of those were by 8 points or fewer. Indiana is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. Pound the Pacers +6.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *RIVALRY ATS ANNIHILATOR* on Knicks +7

Bottom Line: New York has won 3 of their last 5 trips to Brooklyn and wouldn't be surprised if they pulled off the upset in this one. We are seeing a major overreaction on Brooklyn, who comes in off back-to-back wins over the Clippers and Raptors. This will be the first time the Nets have been favored since laying 10-points at home in a 88-90 loss to the 76ers. It's also worth noting that New York has been playing much better of late. While they lost their most recent matchup, they are 5-3 in their last 8. Brooklyn is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Pound the Knicks +7!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -1.5

Bottom Line: Washington will be out for revenge after losing at home to the Hornets 88-92 on Monday. Revenge in the NBA is at it's strongest in the short-term and the Wizards are primed for a win after losing 4-straight. Home underdogs off 2 or more consecutive road wins are a mere 8-26 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Washington -1.5!

4* MAJOR NEVER LOST 21-0 AAC *BLOODBATH*

Bottom Line: Tulsa crushed Houston 72-54 at home earlier this season and come in with a perfect 9-0 record inside the AAC. The Cougars are getting way too much respect at home against a far superior team, as they are off a upset win over UConn. Tulsa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games played in February, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after 2 straight games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponent and Houston is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 with a total of 130 to 139.5. It all adds up to a perfect 21-0 system. Pound Tulsa -6.5!

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +3

Bottom Line: This may seem like an opportune time to back the Celtics as a small home favorite against a Nuggets team that is just 1-10 in their last 11 games, but the smart money here will be on Denver. Boston has struggled to put back-to-back games together and we see that home favorites who have lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games that are also playing at least their 9th game in the last 14 days are just 38-71 ATS since 1996. Nuggets are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Pound Denver!

5* WISEGUY ACC *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +17.5

Bottom Line: This is a horrible spot for Duke to be motivated against a bad team like the Yellow Jackets. The Blue Devils are coming in off an emotional and hard fought win over previously undefeated Virginia and will have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday's rematch against Notre Dame, who they lost a heartbreaker to on the road last Wednesday. Georgia Tech is also better than their 1-8 record in the ACC would indicate and I look for them to easily keep this within the number. Yellow Jackets are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after losing 4 of their last 5 games. Pound Georgia Tech +17.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA NORTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH on Trail Blazers -8

Bottom Line: This is a huge bounce back spot for Portland, who comes in having dropped 3 straight on the road. Utah on the other hand is primed for a letdown after knocking off Golden State at home 110-110 as a 10-point underdog. Underdogs off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 7-24 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons against an opponent that's off an upset loss as a favorite. Pound the Trail Blazers!

4* MAJOR BIG 10 *SUREFIRE* on Indiana +16

Bottom Line: Wisconsin is being way overvalued here as a 16-point favorite against the Hoosiers. While Indiana has failed to cover each of their last 3, they were able to snap a two-game skid with a 72-64 win over Rutgers. Hoosiers come in averaging 80.3 ppg and their ability to score is going to make it difficult for Wisconsin to turn this into a blowout. Indiana is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against top notch teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game and have won these contests by an average score of 74.1 to 71.8.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: The Raptors have won 6 straight in the series with all 3 of their home wins during this stretch by at least 10-points. That includes a 124-83 home win over the Bucks earlier this season back on Nov. 21. Toronto also comes in playing some of their basketball of the season, as they have won 6 straight. Raptors are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 against the NBA Central and 31-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when the books set a total of 200 to 209.5. Additionally, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have a +3 to +7 ppg differential against an opponent with a +/- 3 ppg differential are 32-8 ATS since 1996 after 42+ games and after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Pound Toronto!