With the NFL season fast approaching, it’s time to look at team win totals. Oddsmakers set win totals for all 32 teams. You attempt to predict whether they will finish over or under number.
A lot of these lines are set based on results from previous seasons. Past results don’t mean a whole lot when it comes to what’s going to happen in the future.
Many bad teams from last year have easier schedules and a chance to rebound or vice versa. Below you’ll find our recommendations for every team.
49ers Under 5.5
Chip Kelly quickly turned around the Eagles when he arrived in Philadelphia, but he will not be able to do the same thing in San Francisco. The 49ers are also mess at the quarterback position. I think they have another disastrous season and finish under 5.5 wins.
Bears Over 7.5
Jay Cutler may throw a lot of interceptions at bad times, but he is still one of the better starting quarterbacks in the league. A much improved defense helps Cutler and the Bears get to at least eight wins.
Bengals Under 9.5
The Bengals rode an easy schedule to 12 wins last year. A brutal schedule, improved division competition and the loss of Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu at the wide receiver position stop Cincinnati from getting 10 wins this year.
Bills Under 8
Buffalo finished with eight wins last year, and that appears to be their ceiling again this year. Rex Ryan keeps the defense playing at a high level, but a regressing Tyrod Taylor gives the Bills a losing record this season.
Broncos Over 9.5
Not too many Super Bowl champions come into the next season with an over/under win total this low. The Broncos may be stuck with Mark Sanchez or Paxton Lynch as their starting quarterback, but the defense is good enough to win 10 games on their own.
Browns Over 4.5
The Cleveland Browns seem to hover around four or five wins every season, so this is not an easy pick. The lack of drama from Johnny Manziel should help the team push to at least five wins this year.
Buccaneers Over 7
If Jameis Winston is able to take a step forward in his development, then the Buccaneers can be a sleeper pick for a playoff spot this year. Getting over seven wins should be a near lock.
Cardinals Over 10
The Arizona Cardinals look to be a top Super Bowl contender once again this year. If Carson Palmer stays healthy, then this talented team should have no problem getting at least 10 wins.
Chargers Over 6.5
Last year was the first time that Phillip Rivers failed to win at least seven games in a season. An improved defense and a healthy Keenan Allen will help the great quarterback return to his winning ways this season.
Chiefs Under 9.5
Chiefs won their final 10 games to finish the 2015 NFL season with a total of 11 wins. A lot of things have to go right to get that long of a winning streak in the NFL. Chiefs are slightly less lucky this year and finish with nine wins.
Colts Under 9.5
The Andrew Luck led Colts have been an average team that takes advantage of a weak division to pad their win total. The AFC South is a much improved division this year, so the Colts fail to hit the 10 win mark.
Cowboys Over 9.5
The Dallas Cowboys are once again a Super Bowl contender despite winning four games in 2015. A healthy Dez Bryant and Tony Romo lead the Cowboys to double-digit wins in 2016.
Dolphins Over 7
This is finally the year the Dolphins play up to their talent level. New head coach Adam Gase gets the most out of the talented offense to get Miami their first winning season since 2008.
Eagles Under 7
The quarterback situation is currently a disaster in Philadelphia. Betting on a team led by Sam Bradford, Chase Daniel or Carson Wentz to win more than seven games just seems foolish.
Falcons Under 7.5
Atlanta started off strong in 2015, but stumbled down the stretch to finish with an 8-8 record. The struggles continue into 2016 as the Falcons finish last in the NFC South.
Giants Under 8
Everyone is in love with the Giants after their flashy off-season, but the biggest spenders in free agency rarely live up to their heightened expectations. Giants are an improved team, but they still fail to get up to nine wins.
Jaguars Over 7.5
It is hard not to love what Jacksonville did this off-season to improve their defense. Blake Bortles continues to develop on the way to the first winning season in Jacksonville since 2007.
Jets Under 8
The Jets have far too many questions at the quarterback to project a winning season in 2016. The talented defense is not good enough to carry a team led by Geno Smith or Christian Hackenberg to a winning season.
Lions Under 7.5
Never bet on the Detroit Lions to succeed. The loss of Calvin Johnson eliminates any chance for this team to get at least eight wins.
Rams Under 7.5
Jeff Fischer has made a career out of getting seven or eight wins from his team, so this one can go either way. I will bet against the rookie quarterback in the tough division.
Packers Over 10.5
Aaron Rodgers led the Packers to 10 wins last year without much help from the rest of his offense. A much healthier offense turns Green Bay into one of the top teams in the NFL.
Panthers Over 10.5
The poor showing in the Super Bowl was an aberration for the Panthers. They were talented enough to almost go undefeated in the regular season, so it’s hard to bet against them hitting 11 wins in 2016.
Patriots Under 10.5
A four-game suspension for Tom Brady limits the Patriots win total this year. Ten wins seems like the ceiling if the Brady suspension is not reduced.
Raiders Over 8.5
The rapidly improving Raiders got even better in the off-season thanks to several key defensive signings. The Raiders shock the world and get their first winning season since 2002.
Ravens Under 8
The Ravens are a lock to have a bounce back season in 2016, but they still do not have a very good team. This looks like nothing more than an eight-win team to me.
Redskins Under 7.5
They have quietly built a solid defense, but Kirk Cousins is nearly guaranteed to regress this year. A regressing quarterback and an improved division gives Washington another losing season.
Saints Over 7
If Sean Payton and Drew Brees want to stay in New Orleans, then they need to have a solid season in 2016. This desperation helps an average Saints team get eight wins.
Seahawks Over 10.5
The loss of Marshawn Lynch will certainly hurt, but this team is loaded at the running back position. The top defense in the league propels Seattle to 11 wins in 2016.
Steelers Over 10.5
It is hard to bet against a great team that gets to play in a bad division. The return of Le’Veon Bell gives Pittsburgh a nearly unstoppable offense that should have no problem winning 11 games.
Texans Over 8.5
The Texans have been able to win nine games each of the last two years, and they have a far better team in 2016 than the previous two seasons.
Titans Under 5.5
Marcus Marriota is destined to be a superstar, but his team will once again struggle in a rapidly improving division. There are no easy wins on the schedule, and Tennessee is not good enough right now to steal enough games to get to six wins.
Vikings Under 9.5
Minnesota used an easy schedule to get 11 wins last year. They won’t have the same luxury this year. Nine wins seems like the ceiling for this young team.
In addition to these predictions, BetFirm provides expert picks in all major sports throughout the season.
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