The No. 23 West Virginia Mountaineers travel to face the Texas Longhorns on Saturday, November 9th in a Big 12 battle. The road team has won both meetings in this series as conference opponents, including a 47-40 (OT) victory by Texas last year.

West Virginia (6-3) is coming off a heartbreaking 30-31 home loss to TCU last week to put an end to its four-game winning streak. Texas (4-5) got back on track last week with a 34-13 rout of Texas Tech on the road.

Kickoff inside Texas Memorial Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 EST Saturday afternoon with FOX Sports 1 providing the television coverage. If you are looking to place a bet on this game, you’ll find West Virginia as a 3-point favorite at Texas and a total set of 51.5 points.

My Early Lean: Texas +3

If the Longhorns are going to become bowl eligible, they know that they need to win two of their last three games. Considering they still play TCU, they have to be looking at this game as a must-win for them. They will be 100% focused coming into this one, while the Mountaineers could still be licking their wounds from the loss to TCU that likely cost them a shot at a Big 12 title last week. This is definitely a hangover spot for West Virginia.

I like what I’ve seen from Texas in recent weeks. It has played well in three of its last four games stemming back to a 26-31 loss to Oklahoma where it outgained the Sooners by 250 yards in the loss. It followed that up with a 48-45 home win over Iowa State, followed by a 23-0 loss at Kansas State. Then, Texas put together its best performance of the year last week in an impressive 34-13 road win at Texas Tech.

West Virginia has been a very good home team this year, but it has certainly looked vulnerable on the road. Sure, it has three road wins, but two of those came by exactly three points against the likes of Texas Tech and Maryland. I believe Texas is a better team than both of those squads, and it proved it last week with a win against the Red Raiders. The Longhorns should not be catching points against the Mountaineers at home this week.

The Texas defense is the reason it has a great shot to pull off the upset. It is only allowing 352 yards per game and 4.6 per play this season against opponents who are averaging 437 yards per game and 5.8 per play. So, the Longhorns are holding their opponents to 85 fewer yards per game and 1.2 per play than their season averages. Charlie Strong has certainly made an impact on this side of the football in his first year.

Texas is only allowing 352 yards per game and 4.6 per play this season against opponents who are averaging 437 yards per game and 5.8 per play.

The Mountaineers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 conference games. West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. a team with a losing record. The Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.