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Virginia Tech Football Predictions

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The Virginia Tech Hokies are coming off two straight uncharacteristic seasons. After going just 7-6 in 2012, they were only able to improve by one win in 2013 with an 8-5 record. Since Virginia Tech joined the ACC in 2004, it has been the most dominant team by going 62-18 in conference play during the regular season while playing in five of nine ACC Title games.

Frank Beamer is the FBS’s active career leader in wins. He has taken the Hokies to 21 straight bowl games. This is a team that won at least 10 games from 2004 through 2011, so expectations are clearly high for this program. That’s why the last couple of seasons have been such a surprise, but the competition in the ACC is getting stiffer.

The Hokies did lose three games last year by a touchdown or less, but also won three games by the same margin. They lost 10-35 to Alabama in the opener in a game that was much closer than the final score would indicate. In fact, the Hokies outgained the Crimson Tide 212-206 for the game, but gave up three non-offensive touchdowns in the loss, which was the difference. It was also out of character for a team that has been known for their special teams play in the Beamer era.

This year, Virginia Tech returns 14 starters and expectations are high once again. The offense welcomes nine starters back and must be better after scoring just 22.5 points per game a year ago. They do lose quarterback Logan Thomas to the NFL, but former Texas Tech quarterback Michael Brewer arrived in May and figures to take this offense to the next level. Leading rusher Trey Edmunds is back along with each of the top three receivers from last year. Four starters and 73 career starts return along the offensive line.

Virginia Tech has been known for defense throughout the years, and this unit did not disappoint in ’13. It gave up just 19.3 points and 284 total yards per game. With only five starters back, the D is a bit of a concern, but it should still be one of the best stop units in the ACC. Three of the top five tacklers are back, including CB Kendall Fuller (58 tackles, 6 INT) and DT Lather Maddy (55 tackles, 13.5 for loss). The entire secondary returns intact and should be one of the best pass D’s in the land. The concern is up front, where they’ll be breaking in six new starters along the front seven.

Beamer certainly hasn’t had much problem bringing talent to Blacksburg. The Hokies rank 24th in recruiting over the past 10 years and 21st over the past three. However, they did slip to just No. 30 in 2014, but hopefully that trend doesn’t continue. There are several very highly touted players who will be starting along the front seven defensively, so while these are new starters, they should be able to fill in and get the job done. Many of them have previous playing experience as well.

Last Season
ACC Coastal
Record
ATS Record
Over/Under
Points For
Points Against
T-2nd
8-5
4-7-2
5-8
22.5
19.3
2014 Schedule
2014 Virginia Tech Hokies Schedule
Date Opponent
Spread (Est.)
Win Chance
8/30 William & Mary
-38
1
9/6 @ Ohio State
+18
0.00
9/13 East Carolina
-10
0.77
9/20 Georgia Tech
-7
0.70
9/27 Western Michigan
-27
1
10/4 @ North Carolina
+10
0.23
10/16 @ Pittsburgh
+1
0.49
10/23 Miami
-1
0.51
11/1 Boston College
-16
1
11/15 @ Duke
-2.5
0.54
11/22 @ Wake Forest
-16
1
11/28 Virginia
-14
0.85
Estimated Wins: 8.09

The Hokies have two very easy non-conference games against William & Mary and Western Michigan. However, they must travel to face Ohio State in their second game of the season, and then take on pesky East Carolina at home the following week.

Where they catch a break is the ACC schedule. They draw arguably the two worst teams from the Atlantic Division in Boston College and Wake Forest. I have them listed as a 16-point favorite in both of those contests.

They do have to go on the road to take on North Carolina, Pittsburgh and Duke. That game against the Tar Heels could easily decide the Coastal. The home schedule is more manageable as they’ll be favored against Georgia Tech, Miami, Boston College and Virginia.

With the help of a few lines from the Golden Nugget, I have set spreads for every Virginia Tech game this season. I have them pegged as a favorite in nine games. They will only be an underdog in three, including just a 1-point dog at Pittsburgh, which was a Golden Nugget line that I don’t agree with. I will be backing the Hokies a lot against the spread if the lines fall anywhere near these ones.

Odds (Courtesy of Bovada)
Regular Season Win Total
ACC Championship Odds
National Championship Odds
7.5
10 to 1
250 to 1
Season Predictions

Coming into 2012, Virginia Tech was the only team in the FBS to have won at least 10 games for eight consecutive years. I believe that the past two seasons have been an aberration. The offense was atrocious and really brought the Hokies down as the defense continued to do its thing.

That’s why I’m very optimistic about this team in 2014. They have nine starters back on offense and add in transfer Brewer at quarterback. The numbers can only get better on this side of the ball. Even with little experience on defense in the past, the Hokies have never really had a down year on D in recent memory, so even though they return five starters on that side of the ball I’m not worried.

The fact that Virginia Tech is favored in nine games this season alone makes it a contender to win the Coastal. I believe it should be a favorite in every ACC game aside from the trip to North Carolina. While I do have the Hokies likely losing that game, their 7-1 record within the ACC will be enough to overtake the Tar Heels, who have a tougher conference schedule. I’m serious when I say the over 7.5 wins for Virginia Tech in 2014 is free money.

2014 Projections
ACC Coastal
ACC Record
Overall Record
Win Total Prediction
1st
7-1
10-2
Over 7.5
Virginia Tech Football Resources
More Virginia Tech Football Predictions

More College Football Predictions

ACC
Atlantic Division
Coastal Division
Virginia Tech
Conferences
About the Author: Jack Jones has been one of the top experts on the site while competing against roughly 80 of the best handicappers in the world each year. He has made most of his money on the hardwood. In fact, he has finished in the Top-5 in college basketball each of the last three seasons (#5 2011-12, #5 2012-13, #3 2013-14). He was also the No. 1 NBA handicapper from 2012-13. As of early April, Jack has compiled an 802-631 basketball run that has seen his $1,000 game players profit $124,030. He was the No. 3 College Football handicapper in 2012-13. While he doesn't have any top finishes in the NFL, he has produced steady profits without killing his clients. Jack also was your No. 7 MLB handicapper in 2009 and backed it up with a No. 8 MLB finish in 2010. No matter the sport, the one thing you can count on with Jack Jones is that he won't leave any stone unturned. You'll know why he is on a game with his detailed analysis, and more times than not, you will come out well ahead against your book. Head on over to Jack's premium pick page to see what he has in store for tonight!
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