Washington Arizona State Odds
The No. 20 Washington Huskies (4-2) travel to face the Arizona State Sun Devils (4-2) in a Pac-12 showdown on Saturday, October 19. The Sun Devils have owned the Huskies in this series, winning seven straight, including a 24-14 road victory in their most recent meeting in 2010.
Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00 EST Saturday night at Sun Devil Stadium. Taking a look at the lines in Las Vegas, I find Arizona as a 3-point favorite over Washington with a total set of 65.5 points.
Why Arizona State Covers
The Sun Devils are an improved team in 2013 with a 4-2 record with their only losses coming on the road to Notre Dame and Stanford. They have taken care of business at home this season, going a perfect 4-0 with blowout victories over Colorado (54-13), USC (62-41) and Sacramento State (55-0), as well as an impressive victory over Wisconsin. Their home-field advantage is certainly a big factor in this one as they welcome the Washington Huskies to town Saturday.
Washington is reeling from back-to-back losses to Stanford and Oregon. It realizes that if it had any chance to win the Pac-12 North, it had to beat both of those two teams. With the fact that it will not win the North in 2013 sinking in, I could easily see the Huskies suffer a big-time hangover effect this week at Arizona State. They will have to have their best foot forward if they want any chance of winning this game, so that’s certainly something to keep an eye on.
Arizona State is putting up 44.2 points and 496.5 yards per game in 2013 to rank 19th in the country in total offense. Taylor Kelly is completing 62.0 percent of his passes for 1,965 yards with 16 touchdowns and six interceptions, while also rushing for 165 yards and a score. Marion Grice has rushed for 395 yards and 10 touchdowns, as well as 29 receptions for 265 yards and five scores. Receiver Jaelen Strong leads the way with 42 receptions for 678 yards and four touchdowns.
This has been a one-sided series to say the least in recent years. Arizona State has gone a perfect 7-0 straight up and 7-0 against the spread in its last seven meetings with Washington. All seven of those victories have come by a field goal or more, including six by a touchdown or more. The Sun Devils are 15-3 against the spread in their last 18 home games after scoring 31 or more points in two straight games. The Huskies are 2-8-1 against the spread in their last 11 games following a double-digit home loss. The Sun Devils are 5-1 against the number in their last six home games. Washington is 2-7 against the spread in its last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Arizona State has gone a perfect 7-0 straight up and 7-0 against the spread in its last seven meetings with Washington.
Why Washington Covers
Even though they have lost two games to two of the best teams in the FBS, I still believe the Huskies are one of the best teams in the country in 2013. They had won four straight games by double-digits, including victories over Boise State, Illinois and Arizona before dropping their last two. They thoroughly outplayed Stanford but found a way to lose 28-31 on the road, outgaining the Cardinal by 210 total yards in the game. They were also within a touchdown of Oregon in the 4th quarter last week before eventually losing 24-45.
With the leadership on this team with 18 starters and 58 lettermen back from last year’s squad, the Huskies aren’t likely to pack it in. They have plenty of reason to be motivated Saturday as they look to put an end to a seven-game losing streak in this series to the Sun Devils. These teams do have a common opponent in Stanford, which took a 39-7 lead over Arizona State into the fourth quarter before calling off the dogs and settling for a 14-point victory. Washington played the Cardinal much tougher than the Sun Devils did.
One look at the numbers and it’s easy to see that Washington remains one of the best teams in college football. It is scoring 35.2 points and averaging 526.8 yards per game to rank 9th in the country in total offense. Despite playing a brutal schedule, it is only allowing 19.8 points and 345.0 yards per game to rank 20th in total defense. As you can see, it is outgaining the opposition by a whopping 181.8 yards per game on the season. That’s the sign of a dominant football team.
Plays on road underdogs (WASHINGTON) – off a home loss by 14 or more points, with 17 or more total starters returning are 66-27 (71%) ATS since 1992. Washington is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12 games overall. The Huskies are 8-1 against the number in their last nine games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. The Sun Devils are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is 5-0 against the number in its last five games following an ATS loss.
My Early Lean: Arizona State -3