1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks -7.5
The Los Angeles Clippers continue to struggle without Chris Paul and Blake Griffin. Los Angeles lost six straight shortly after Griffin had surgery, and now they've lost two straight since Paul was hurt last Monday against Oklahoma City. That includes a 98-123 road loss to the Denver Nuggets last time out. The Hawks have gone 11-2 in their last 13 games overall. They have won their last three home games by 17, 9 and 13 points. The Clippers are 1-11 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more in 3 straight games this season. Los Angeles is 0-7 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more in 2 straight games this season. The Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games overall. The Hawks are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Give me Atlanta.
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Widow's Free Pick: Miami Heat +12
Bets against road favorites of 10 or more points, a top-caliber team outscoring opponents by 9+ points/game are 65-27 ATS since 1996. This situation's record is 9-3 ATS this season alone. Take Miami.
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Dave's Monday Free Play:
1* on Brooklyn Nets +11.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs will be in a tough spot mentally here. They will have a hard time getting up for the Nets after their huge 118-115 (OT) road victory at defending champion Cleveland on National TV Saturday. Don't expect them to be all in for this game now Monday. The Nets are playing well of late. They only lost by 10 to the Raptors in a game that was much closer than the final score, beat the Pelicans 143-114 on the road as 10-point dogs, and then only lost by 7 at Charlotte as 12-point dogs in their last three contests. The Spurs are dealing with injuries right now to several key players. While Kawhi Leonard is probable tonight with a hand injury, Manu Ginobli is questionable, and both Tony Parker and Pau Gasol are expected to miss this game. The Nets are 36-18 ATS in their last 54 home games off a game with 30 or more assists. Take Brooklyn.
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10* Free NBA Pick (Pistons -6.5)
Detroit is worth a look here at home against the Kings. The Pistons have been a major disappointment so far this season, but they are coming into this one having won 3 straight and will be playing their 3rd straight at home. I don't see Detroit overlooking this game against the Kings, despite the fact that Sacramento has lost 5 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. That's because the lone win during this stretch for the Kings was a 100-94 victory at home against these Pistons. A game in which Detroit managed to blow a 18-point lead. Those kind of losses don't sit well and this one is fresh in the minds of the Pistons. Give me Detroit -6.5!
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Jack's Free Pick Monday: Knicks/Pacers OVER 217.5
I expect a shootout tonight between two of the worst defensive teams in the NBA. The Knicks give up 108.3 points per game overall and 110.6 points per game on the road. The Pacers allow 106.7 points per game overall on the season.
The Pacers have been especially poor defensively of late as they have allowed at least 100 points in 10 of their last 11 games overall. The Knicks have allowed at least 102 points in 14 of their last 16 games, including an average of 110.0 points in their last five contests.
These teams have met twice already this season, and shootouts were the end result. The Knicks beat the Pacers 118-111 at home for 229 combined points. The Pacers beat the Knicks 123-109 at home for 232 combined points. Expect a similar showing here as these teams combined for well over 217.5 points to get the OVER.
The OVER is 6-0 in Pacers last six vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The OVER is 15-7 in Knicks last 22 vs. Eastern Conference foes. The OVER is 6-1 in Pacers last seven home games. The OVER is 8-2 in Pacers last 10 games when playing on one days' rest. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.
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Free Pick on Jazz -
I like the value here with Utah laying a short number at home against OKC. Russell Westbrook is putting up ridiculous numbers and has the Thunder playing better than expected, but it also has them overvalued. OKC is getting way to much respect here against the Jazz. Utah is one of the elite teams in the Western Conference and come in having won 6 straight. The Jazz are very good at home (16-7) and have won 6 straight at home all by at least 7 points, which includes a 8-point win over the Cavs.
I just don't see the Thunder being able to snap that trend here. OKC has had 4-days off since that ugly loss to the Warriors, but this is still their 5th straight game on the road. The Thunder are a modest 10-13 on the road this season, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. OKC is also just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as a road dog of 6 points or less. Take Utah!
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Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Monday 1-23-17
Oklahoma City +5 1/2
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Pure Lock's FREE NBA play Monday 1-23-17
San Antonio -11
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#NBA Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cleveland Cavaliers have not looked much like a title defending team lately, winning just two of their last six games. They've had to take on both Golden State and San Antonio during that stretch though, and I think they'll put a solid beating on the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. The Pels are coming off a humbling 143-114 loss to the Nets, and they're 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points and 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home.
The Cavs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games, but I'm gonna take the contrarian rout here and claim that it's about time they cover the spread! Lay the points with the Cavs.
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