Winning Sports Picks

15* Horizon League Championship No-Brainer on Valparaiso -2.5

The Valparaiso Crusaders are clearly the better team in this match-up with the Detroit Titans. This will be a home game for the Crusaders as it will be played in Valparaiso, IN, which only further enhances their chances of taking down the Horizon League title tonight.

Valparaiso is 22-10 on the season and 15-4 in conference play. Detroit isn't far behind at 21-13 and 14-7 in conference play, but the fact of the matter is that they are behind. The Titans are just 8-9 on the road this season, while the Crusaders are 14-2 at home and outscoring opponents by 11.3 points/game.

There's no question it is tough to beat a team three times in the same season, but I believe the Crusaders will be up to the task tonight. They won both regular season meetings with Detroit by narrow margins of 78-73 at home and 73-71 on the road. Valpo shot 50.0 percent or better in both games, so they certainly know how to pick apart this Detroit defense.

Valpo is 6-0 ATS in home games after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Titans are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Valpo is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Detroit. Roll with Valparaiso Tuesday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on North Texas -2

The North Texas Mean Green are clearly the better team in this match-up and I look for them to run away with the Sun Belt Conference championship tonight with a blowout victory over Western Kentucky. This one shouldn't even be close folks.

WKU has put together a magical run with three straight victories in this conference tournament all by 5 points or less. Playing their 4th game in 4 days, the Hilltoppers simply won't have enough left in the tank to pull off another upset. You have to remember that WKU is still just 14-18 on the season.

North Texas has also made the championship with some close victories along the way. But this will be just the 3rd game in 3 days for the Mean Green as they had a first-round bye. They will be the fresher team and they own an 18-13 record on the season.

The biggest indication that North Texas is the better team comes from the fact that they beat Western Kentucky 84-67 in their lone meeting this season. The Mean Green shot 56.4 percent from the floor while limiting the Hilltoppers to just 34.6 percent shooting in that January 12th home victory.

North Texas is a perfect 8-0 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season. They are winning by 8.8 points/game in this situation. The Mean Green are 22-7-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall. North Texas is 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games. Bet North Texas Tuesday.

20* CBB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toledo -2

The Toledo Rockets should be a much bigger favorite tonight over the Miami (Ohio) Redhawks in the opening round of the MAC Tournament. They clearly have the better team this year as evident by their 16-15 record compared to the 9-20 mark of the Redhawks.

This is a home game for Toledo, where they have been dominant all season. The Rockets are 10-7 at home while outscoring opponents by 8.8 points/game. They come into this conference tournament with some momentum after winning five of their final six regular sason games.

Miami (Ohio) is simply overvalued in this spot. The Redhawks are 2-13 on the road this season where they are scoring a mere 59.7 points/game. These teams have already squared off once this season with Toledo winning 63-61 on the road as an 8.5-point favorite. I like their chances of winning by 3-plus points at home this time around.

The Rockets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5. Toledo is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Toledo is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Miami (Ohio) leading scorer and rebounder Julian Mavunga (16.6 PPG, 9.1 RPG) is questionable with a heel injury. Bet Toledo Monday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE DAY on Ohio State +3.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes are one of the top four teams in the country in my opinion. Any time you can get them as an underdog, you better take advantage. Jared Sullinger and company want revenge from a home loss to Michigan State in their first meeting.

It's safe to say that the Buckeyes are going to be more motivated for this game than any other game of the season with the Big Ten title on the line. A motivated Ohio State team is a very dangerous one to say the least.

The Buckeyes are 16-4 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite since 1997. The Spartans are 1-11 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997, failing to cover the spread 92% of the time in this situation. Bet the Buckeyes Sunday.

20* Heat/Lakers ABC Sunday No-Brainer on Los Angeles +4.5

The Los Angeles Lakers should not be an underdog at home to the Miami Heat. Los Angeles is going to approach this game like its the NBA Finals. Kobe Bryant has lost five straight games against Lebron James, and there's no question it's eating at him. He changes that today with a victory over the Heat.

Ever since Kobe came out in public and backed up Pau Gasol in terms of trade talks, the Lakers have been rolling. L.A. is 4-1 in their last five games overall during this stretch, and their lone loss came at Oklahoma City. The Thunder have the best record in the West, so that's no surprise.

Miami is 4-16 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. L.A. is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Lakers are 16-2 at home this season. Bet Los Angeles Sunday.

15* UNC/Duke ESPN Saturday No-Brainer on North Carolina -2

North Carolina wants serious payback from their heartbreaking 85-84 home loss to Duke in their first meeting. The Tar Heels blew a double-digit lead late and had to watch Austin Rivers' 3-point attempt sail through the net for the game-winner at the buzzer. It's safe to say that UNC will be laying it all on the line to get revenge tonight.

While these teams have identical 26-4 records, there's no question in my mind that UNC is the better team. They are favored for a reason here tonight. UNC has reeled off six straight wins since that loss, including four by double-digits. They are 5-1 ATS during this stretch.

Duke has been a little shaky since that win, winning six straight as well, but four of those came by single-digits. The Blue Devils were nearly beaten by both Virginia Tech and NC State in their last two home games.

Duke is 1-9 ATS in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Tar Heels are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings in Duke. Roll with North Carolina Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa State -1.5

Iowa State has been one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball this season. I've been riding them all year with a lot of success, and it's only fitting that I would make the Cyclones my 25* CBB GAME OF THE YEAR Saturday. I am more confident in them to cover the spread today than in any other game they have played all season.

That's saying a lot because the Cyclones have been a covering machine this year. Iowa State is 21-9 SU & 17-8 ATS in all games. They have been terrific at home, and this is going to be a rowdy home crowd for Senior Night. Iowa State is 15-2 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.8 points/game. That includes a 7-1 home record in conference play with their only loss to Missouri.

Unlike Iowa State, Baylor is one of the most overrated teams in the land. They played a soft early schedule and have really not been that impressive in conference action when things got tougher. Baylor did beat Iowa State by 15 points at home in their first meeting, but it was an off night for the Cyclones. The Bears shot 60.0 percent from the floor in that game, and they aren't about to come close to hitting that high of a percentage on the road this time around. It's revenge time for the Cyclones.

Iowa State is 6-0 ATS in home games after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in March games over the last 3 seasons. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with Baylor.

The home team is a perfect 12-0 SU in the last 12 meetings in this series. Iowa State has won seven straight at home over Baylor dating back to 1997. Basically, the Cyclones just have to win this game to cover. Add that 12-0 trend to the previous seven trends unbeaten trends and we have a perfect 49-0 system backing the Cyclones. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee Bucks +9.5

The Milwaukee Bucks are showing great value Saturday as nearly a double-digit underdog to the Orlando Magic. I like the Bucks' state of mind heading into this game, and believe they will be determined enough to not only cover this spread, but likely win the game outright.

Milwaukee is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS against Orlando this season, with all three losses coming by 9 points or less. They are 0-3 despite having held a lead in the 4th quarter of every single game. The Bucks have simply given all three games away down the stretch, so there's no question it has left a sour taste in their mouths.

While Milwaukee will come out fired up and ready to play to get revenge, Orlando is likely to come out flat after having already beaten this team three times. Plus, the Magic are deflated from their 102-105 home loss to Oklahoma City on National TV Thursday. They held a double-digit lead going into the 4th quarter and managed to blow it. Look for them to suffer a 'hangover' effect here.

The Magic are 13-28 ATS in their last 41 games off a close home loss by 3 points or less. Milwaukee is 28-14 ATS in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Magic are 8-24 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the Bucks Saturday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee +2

Tennessee has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season here recently. The Volunteers should not be a home underdog on Senior Day against the Vanderbilt Commodores. This is one of their biggest rivals, which only adds more fuel to the fire.

The Vols are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. This stretch includes impressive road wins over Florida, South Carolina and LSU. They have put themselves in position to be at least a borderline NCAA Tournament team.

The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Vols are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. Tennessee is 8-0 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog this season. The Vols are 7-0 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season. These last two trends make for a perfect 15-0 system backing the Vols. Take Tennessee Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette -4

Marquette is one of the best teams in the country that nobody really talks about. On Senior Day in front of a rowdy home crowd, I like the Eagles to beat Georgetown by 5-plus points tonight to get the win and cover.

The Eagles are 24-6 this season. They have been virtually unstoppable at home, going 14-1 while outscoring opponents by 16.8 points/game. Five of Georgetown's six losses have come on the road this season, so they'll certainly have their hands full.

Marquette will be motivated for Senior Day, but they will also be hungry to revenge a 73-70 road loss to Georgetown in their first meeting on January 4th. The Hoyas shot 62.8 percent from the floor in that game, yet still only won by 3 points! There's no way in hell they shoot that well again.

Marquette will also be motivated from a bad loss at Cincinnati last time out, which has clearly helped keep this spread lower than it really should be. The Eagles are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Marquette is 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 vs. Big East opponents. Bet Marquette Saturday.

15* Kings/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento +10.5

The Sacramento Kings are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season. The Los Angeles Lakers always seem to play to their competition, and it's usually a good bet to fade them whenever they are a double-digit favorite against a team they are "supposed" to dominate.

While Sacramento is just 12-23 this season, they are clearly improved from a year ago. The biggest reason for their poor record has been a brutal schedule that has featured 21 road games and only 14 home games. It's safe to say that this team is battle-tested on the road and will not be phased by the Lakers tonight.

Since the end of January, the Kings have been one of the most profitable teams in the league at the pay window. Sacramento is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall, losing by double-digits just three times during this stretch. Ten of those 16 games were on the road as well.

The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Sacramento is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. The Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Sacramento is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. The Lakers are 15-29 ATS in their last 44 games as a favorite of 10 or more. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Take Sacramento Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Charlotte Bobcats +14.5

The Charlotte Bobcats are clearly going to be showing great value throughout the second half of the season. They were clearly the worst team in the first half, which is what will keep the betting public off of them. As a result, the Bobcats should show a nice profit at the pay window for weeks to come.

I especially like Charlotte in this spot tonight against a deflated San Antonio Spurs team. The Spurs are coming off a tough home loss to the Chicago Bulls last time out. They wanted that game pretty badly to prove that they were among the NBA's elite. I have a hard time seeing them coming back motivated to face the team with the league's worst record tonight.

One of the biggest reason for the Bobcats' struggles in the first half was injuries. Charlotte just couldn't seem to get healthy, but they finally have most of their players back heading into the second half. Key players like Corey Maggette, Gerald Henderson and D.J. Augustin have all returned from injury. All three of those guys are starters, so they're obviously important.

This play falls into a system that is 46-18 (71.9%) ATS over the last five seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.

The Spurs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Bobcats are 41-22 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread since 1996. Bet Charlotte Friday.

15* CBB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Northern Iowa -2.5

Northern Iowa is one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference that nobody talks about. If there's one team that is going to upset Creighton and/or Wichita State to win this MVC tournament and advance to the Big Dance, it's certainly the Panthers.

I like UNI quite a bit this afternoon as a mere 2.5-point favorite over Illinois State. Northern Iowa is 19-12 on the season and they come into this tournament with some momentum after beating Bradley and Southern Illinois in back-to-back games to end the season.

When you look at the regular season meetings between these teams, it's clear that Northern Iowa is the better squad. UNI beat Illinois State 78-63 at home, but lost to them by a narrow margin of 61-65 on the road. Illinois State only has four wins away from home all season and this one will be played on a neutral court.

Northern Iowa is 10-1 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Illinois State is 0-7 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite. The Redbirds are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. These four trends make for a 30-1 (97%) system backing the Panthers. Roll with Northern Iowa Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Utah +17

The Utah Utes are way undervalued late in the season due to their poor 6-22 record. While Oregon State has a better record at 15-13 this season, the Beavers have no business being favored this heavily tonight.

Utah has played much better of late. The Utes have covered in five straight games, including an impressive 58-57 home victory over Stanford as a 12-point underdog last time out. I had Utah as my 25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR in that contest, so this team has certainly been on my radar. They haven't lost any of their last five games by more than 14 points.

Oregon State has packed it in. The Beavers are 0-5 in their last five games overall, failing to cover the spread in all five. That includes home losses to Washington, Washington State, and Oregon during this stretch. After a 1-point loss to their biggest rivals last time out in the Ducks, they will have a hard time getting motivated to face Utah tonight.

Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Utes are 7-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. Utah is 6-0 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent this season, only losing by 7.2 points/game in this spot. The Beavers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These four trends make for a perfect 23-0 system backing the Utes. Roll with Utah Thursday.

20* Thunder/Magic TNT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City -1.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are the best team in the Western Conference, hands down. Any time they face a team from the East, unless it's the Miami Heat or Chicago Bulls, the Thunder should be at least a 4-point favorite on the road. They basically just have to win this game to cover this small spread, and that's precisely what I expect them to do.

With last night's impressive win at Philadelphia, the Thunder have improved to 28-7 on the season. They are simply rolling right now, winners of six straight overall, all by 4 points or more. Orlando is a solid team at 23-13 this season, but they're not on the same level as Oklahoma City.

This is a good match-up for the Thunder. They have Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka, one of the best shot blockers in the league, inside to defend Dwight Howard. Orlando doesn't have anybody that can stay with Russell Westbrook, and they certainly do not have an answer defensively for Kevin Durant. OKC won their first meeting with Orlando this season 97-89 behind 30 points from Durant. They held Howard to just 11 points.

The Magic are 0-8 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. The Thunder are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 vs. Eastern Conference. Oklahoma City is 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Bet the Thunder Thursday.

15* Rockets/Jazz NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah -2.5

The Utah Jazz have certainly been struggling of late, but a lot of that has to do with playing one of the toughest schedule in the league in the month of February. I believe this team is undervalued heading into tonight's game with Houston because of their recent struggles. They are favored for good reason tonight.

Utah has lost nine of their last 11, but eight of those 11 games were played on the road, and two of their three home games came against the top two teams in the Western Conference in the Thunder and Spurs. Their road schedule has been a daunting one as well. It's safe to say the the Jazz are going to be extra hungry for a victory tonight to get back on track.

They should have no problem winning this game on their home floor, where they have been pretty impressive all season. This has been one of the best home teams in the league over the last decade as Salt Lake City provides a great atmosphere for basketball. The Jazz are 12-6 at home this season, while the Rockets are just 6-10 on the road.

Houston has won four straight, but all four of those wins came at home. This sets them up for a big letdown spot tonight as they are overrated due to their winning streak. This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against road teams (HOUSTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days. Roll with the Jazz Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Cavaliers +10

The Cleveland Cavaliers are showing great value Wednesday as a double-digit underdog to the New York Knicks. Cleveland has been underrated all season, and that's certainly the case tonight. Meanwhile, the New York Knicks are way overvalued right now due to their recent surge thanks to Jeremy Lin.

At 13-19 on the season, the Cavaliers are certainly improved from a year ago. Kyrie Irving is playing out of his mind and is the clear choice for Rookie of the Year honors through the All-Star Break. Cleveland is only getting outscored by an average of 3.6 points/game on the season, including 4.7 points/game on the road.

New York is just 17-18 on the year even with their recent 7-game winning streak. While Lin has improved this team, now is the time to fade them with all of the hype the Knicks have been getting in the media. Plus, New York is just 1-2 since Carmelo Anthony returned to the line-up, which has thrown of the chemistry the team had prior to him coming back.

This play falls into a system that is 25-5 (83.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites (NEW YORK) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%). The Knicks are just 6-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

15* Maryland/UNC ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on Maryland +18.5

The Maryland Terrapins look to shock the work Wednesday when they travel to Chapel Hill to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels. I have no doubt the Terrapins can make a game out of this as they'll be more jacked up for this game than any other game of the season.

The Terrapins still have an outside shot at making the NCAA Tournament. They play UNC tonight and then Virginia next, so those two wins would certainly look great on a resume. Maryland will be laying it all on the line tonight as they look to revenge a 74-83 home loss to the Tar Heels in their first meeting this season on February 4th.

UNC is in a huge letdown spot tonight. The Tar Heels will travel to face Duke on Saturday with the ACC title at stake no matter what happens in this game. That is one of the best rivalries in all of sports, so there's no question it's going to be tough for UNC not to overlook Maryland. They will overlook the Terrapins just enough to allow them to cover this inflated number.

The Terrapins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Maryland is 36-17-3 ATS in their last 56 Wednesday games. The Terrapins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Tar Heels. They haven't lost to North Carolina by more than 17 in any of those seven contests. Take Maryland Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Purdue -11.5

Purdue is going to be highly motivated tonight when they take on the Penn State Nittany Lions. First and foremost, the Boilermakers (19-10) are safely in the NCAA Tournament right now, but they know a lost tonight would severely hurt their chances.

The Boilermakers want serious payback tonight from their most embarrassing loss of the season; a 45-65 setback at Penn State. They will also be pumped for Senior Night and to win this one for Robbie Hummel (16.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG), who has meant everything to this program.

Purdue has saved some of their best basketball for last. After topping Nebraska 83-65 at home, the Boilermakers went on to pick up their most impressive road win of the season last time out. They went into Ann Arbor and came away with a 75-61 victory at Michigan. Penn State (12-17) has little to play for tonight.

Penn State is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Purdue is 6-0 ATS in home games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Boilermakers are 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games committing 8 or less turnovers this season. These three trends make for a 22-1 (96%) system backing the home team. Bet Purdue Wednesday.

25* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE YEAR on Xavier +8

The Xavier Musketeers are the definition of a bubble team. They have so much at stake tonight that getting 8 points is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. I'll back the Musketeers in a game I believe they are likely to win outright.

Xavier opened 8-0 this season with wins over Vanderbilt, Purdue, Butler, Georgia and Cincinnati. But they got in a brawl with the Bearcats in their 76-53 win over Cincinnati, and they just haven't quite been the same team since. They simply haven't been living up to their potential.

I look for the Musketeers to bring their "A" game tonight with what's at stake. Joe Lunardi currently has them as a "last 4 in" team in terms of the NCAA Tournament, but a loss tonight would put them on the outside looking in. They also trail Saint Louis by just one game in the Atlantic 10 standings.

Xavier lost 68-73 at home to Saint Louis in their first meeting, so there's no question they want some revenge tonight. This is still one of the more talented teams in the country, and they will put their best foot forward in this one. Star guards Tu Holloway (16.9 PPG, 5.6 APG) and Mark Lyons (15.7 PPG) will rise to the occasion.

Saint Louis is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls. The Billikens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Xavier has won seven of their last eight meetings with Saint Louis, so to say the Billikens' earlier win over the Musketeers this season was rare would be an understatement. Bet Xavier Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -13

West Virginia finds themselves squarely on the bubble after back-to-back losses to Notre Dame and Marquette. Highly motivated and playing for their tournament lives, the Mountaineers will come out with one of their best efforts of the season Tuesday.

It should be enough to cover this spread against the lowly DePaul Blue Demons. It has been a lost season for DePaul as they are just 11-17 on the year, including 2-14 in conference play. They are giving up a ridiculous 81.4 points on 50.1 percent shooting in Big East action, essentially playing no defense.

West Virginia has won each of its last six meetings with DePaul dating back to 2007. Five of those six wins came by double-digits. The Blue Demons are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 vs. Big East, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater.

WVU head coach Bob Huggins has been amazing in this spot. Huggins is 14-3 ATS in his last 17 after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread as the coach of West Virginia. He'll have his troops ready to go tonight in their most important game of the season. Take West Virginia Tuesday.

20* Kansas/Oky State ESPN Big 12 No-Brainer on Oklahoma State +9.5

The Kansas Jayhawks are in the ideal letdown spot tonight against an underrated Oklahoma State team that has been great at home all year. The Jayhawks just clinched at least a share of the Big 12 title with their 87-86 overtime victory over Missouri on Saturday.

Kansas will not be able to match the intensity they brought to that game against the Tigers, which had everything at stake. Now, Kansas knows that they have already won an eighth consecutive Big 12 regular-season title and no matter what happens tonight they'll have a chance to win it outright with a home victory over Texas in their finale.

Oklahoma State is an upset-minded team this season. The Cowboys beat Missouri at home 79-72 earlier this season, handing the Tigers one of their three losses. After their 60-42 victory versus Texas A&M over the weekend, the Cowboys are now 11-3 at home this year while outscoring opponents by 8.9 points/game. Oky State is 38-16-3 ATS in their last 57 home games.

The Cowboys only lost by 13 at Kansas in their first meeting, and I have no doubt they'll be able to stay within 9 points at home this time around. Oklahoma State is a perfect 7-0 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5. Take this 12-0 system backing the Cowboys straight to the bank tonight. Bet Oklahoma State Monday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -1.5

The Miami Hurricanes are showing great value today as just a 1.5-point home favorite over the Florida State Seminoles. While FSU has clearly earned their spot in the NCAA Tournament, Miami needs to finish strong to get into the Big Dance. They'll certainly be motivated Sunday for a win over FSU, which would boost their resume.

Miami is 16-10 on the season, including 11-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by 7.6 points/game. The Seminoles are in a huge letdown spot after their 66-74 home loss to Duke last time out. Plus, FSU won the first meeting with Miami 64-59 at home, so there's no question the Hurricanes will be the more motivated team tonight.

Florida State is 6-20 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 3 seasons. The Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last six vs. ACC opponents. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series. Miami is 44-24 ATS versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% since 1997. Bet Miami Sunday.

25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Utah +12

The Utah Utes are showing their best value of the season Saturday as a double-digit home underdog to Stanford. This team is out of the spotlight due to having a poor season record-wise, which means the betting public has steered clear from them. It has provided us with ample value to pull the trigger here.

Stanford is a quality team this season, but they have no business laying double-digits on the road. The Cardinal are a mediocre 6-6 on the road this year. In their first meeting with Utah this season, Stanford won 68-65 at home as a 22.5-point favorite. Now they're being asked to lay double-digits on the road? Give me a break.

Despite being on an 8-game losing streak, the Utes have been playing some of their best basketball of the season of late. Utah is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, with three of their losses coming by 9 points or less, and the other by 14 points to Cal, which is the best team in the Pac-12.

Utah is 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. The Utes are 6-0 ATS off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 60 points this season. Utah is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. These three trends make for a perfect 16-0 system backing the Utes tonight. Bet Utah Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Western Kentucky +9

Western Kentucky already took Middle Tennessee State down to the wire in their first meeting. The Hilltoppers would fall 64-72 to the Blue Raiders on February 9th on the road just a little over two weeks ago. I like their chances to stay within 8 points once again at home this time around.

While WKU is just 10-18 on the season, this team has been playing much better basketball of late than their record would indicate. The Hilltoppers are 5-4 in their last nine games overall, with all four of those losses coming by 8 points or less.

Western Kentucky is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, covering 80% of the time. MTSU is way overvalued right now due to their 25-4 record, which is indicated by the fact that they are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. Take Western Kentucky Saturday.

15* Mizzou/Kansas CBS Saturday No-Brainer on Missouri +7.5

The Missouri Tigers and Kansas Jayhawks have a lot on the line in this Big 12 showdown. The winner will have the inside track to the Big 12 title. Kansas would win the regular season conference title with a win, while Missouri would hold the tiebreaker with a victory.

I look for this one to go right down to the wire and be decided within the last couple of possessions. Missouri already beat Kansas 74-71 in their first meeting, and I have no doubt they are capable of going on the road and capping off the season sweep today.

The Tigers are 25-3 on the year and 10-2 on the road this season. They should not be this big of an underdog to any team in the country, let alone Kansas. Somehow, Missouri just doesn't get the respect they deserve, and that's clearly evident with this line.

The Tigers are 6-0 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season. Missouri is 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Kansas is 1-7 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season. Roll with Missouri Saturday.

20* MAAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Canisius +17.5

This line has certainly been inflated tonight and I'll take full advantage. While Canisius is just 5-22 on the season and Manhattan is 19-10, there's no question the clear value is with the big underdog in this one.

Canisius has played much better of late with each of their last five games being decided by 11 or less points. They even picked up a rare win over MD-Balt County last time out, giving them confidence heading into this one.

Manhattan trails three teams in the MAAC standings with two games to play, and they are two games down. This team realizes their chances of winning the conference are slim to none, and I look for them to let down tonight because of it.

Manhattan beat Canisius by 12 points on the road earlier this season by a final of 78-66. I look for a similar margin of victory tonight in the rematch. The road team is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings dating back to 2008. Canisius is 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 Friday games. Bet Canisius Friday.

15* BYU/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Gonzaga -6

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are out for revenge tonight against the BYU Cougars. BYU would beat the Zags in their first meeting in Provo by a final of 83-73. I expect another double-digit victory again, but by the Bulldogs this time around.

A great example of how this team plays in revenge mode came against St. Mary's earlier this season. After losing to the Gaels on the road 62-83, the Zags came back to beat them 73-59 at home. Coming off a 1-point loss at San Francisco will only add more fuel to the fire tonight.

Gonzaga is 14-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 15.4 points/game. The Cougars are 22-47 ATS in their last 69 games as an underdog, including 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. The Cougars are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. Roll with Gonzaga Thursday.

20* Knicks/Heat NBA on TNT No-Brainer on New York +10

The New York Knicks are showing solid value Thursday as a double-digit underdog to the Miami Heat. This team is hitting on all cylinders right now and they're ready to prove they are for real by giving the Eastern Conference-leading Heat a run for their money.

I see this game being decided by single-digits either way as the Knicks continue to play their best basketball of the season behind Jeremy Lin. They have won nine of their last 11 games and just recently got Carmelo Anthony back from injury.

New York played very well as a team in their 99-82 victory over Atlanta last night, and I look for them to carry that momentum into Miami tonight. The Heat are way overvalued right now due to their 7-game winning streak and this is clearly the perfect time to fade them.

The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. New York is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings with the Heat. These three trends make for a perfect 17-0 system backing New York. Bet the Knicks Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland State -3

Cleveland State has hit a rough patch of late, which has them way undervalued heading into this contest with Detroit. After five straight losses SU & ATS, now is the time to back the Vikings at home tonight.

CSU is still 20-9 on the season and one of the better teams in the country that not too many folks know about. I have no doubt this team will respond in a big way tonight to put an end to this skid against overmatched Detroit.

The favorite is 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings, which includes a 66-61 road victory by Cleveland State as a 2.5-point favorite in their first meeting this season on December 3rd. Detroit is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland State Thursday.

15* Nuggets/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver +9

The Denver Nuggets should not be catching nine points against the Los Angeles Clippers. While Denver is dealing with some injuries, this is one of the deepest teams in the league and they are still a dangerous opponent in the Western Conference short-handed.

Denver has played some of their best basketball on the road this season, going 9-8 SU and a very profitable 12-5 ATS. They are putting up a whopping 106.1 points/game away from home this year, and took Western Conference-leading Oklahoma City to overtime in their last road contest.

The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games this season. Denver is 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog. The Nuggets are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games dating back to last year. Take the Nuggets Wednesday.

20* Lakers/Mavs ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles +5

The Los Angeles Lakers want revenge from getting swept by the Dallas Mavericks in the playoffs last year. While the Lakers already beat the Mavs earlier this season at home in their first meeting, there's no question that they will continue to want payback tonight.

Knowing the nature of Kobe Bryant, he's going to hold that against the Mavs until the end of his career. Every time he plays Dallas, he's going to remember getting swept in 2011. Behind a motivated effort, I look for the Lakers to win this game outright.

L.A. played arguably their best game of the season in a 103-92 victory over Portland last time out. They moved the ball great on offense, and held the Blazers to just 30 points in the first half before letting off the gas after intermission. The team held a players' only meeting after that win, which should only bring the Lakers closer together.

The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Mavericks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. The road team is 13-6-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings. Bet the Lakers Wednesday.

15* Kansas/Texas A&M ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Texas A&M +10.5

Texas A&M already proved that they could play with Kansas in their first meeting. The Aggies hung tough as a 19-point road underdog, but eventually lost 64-54. I like their chances of staying within 10 point at home in the rematch tonight.

The Aggies have certainly underachieved with their talent to this point of the season. They were supposed to be an NCAA Tournament team this year, but I know what they're capable of. Texas A&M will certainly be motivated to face Kansas tonight, and I believe they'll give the Jayhawks a run for their money.

Texas A&M is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games this season. Kansas is 0-6 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Texas A&M Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -4

The Houston Rockets are one of the more underrated teams in the league this season. Philadelphia is certainly overrated right now due to their fast start. I'll lay this small number with the Rockets at home in a game I see them winning by 7-plus tonight.

The 76ers are overvalued right now because they are 20-13, but they have played 19 home games compared to 14 road games this season. They have finally started to play more road games here of late, and are 0-3 in their last three road games.

Philly is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, including a 76-89 loss at Memphis last night. They will be playing their second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days while the Rockets come in on a days' rest. The Rockets are 13-4 at home this season, winning by 6.7 points/game.

The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Philly is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. The 76ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. These four trends make for a perfect 20-0 system backing Houston. Roll with the Rockets Wednesday.

15* WVU/Notre Dame ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Notre Dame -2.5

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been absolutely rolling through conference play. I'll gladly back the red-hot Irish at home as a small favorite over rival West Virginia tonight.

The Irish already beat the Mountaineers 55-51 on the road earlier this season. That was a rare win for the road team. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series.

Notre Dame is 11-0 in their last 11 home meetings with West Virginia, having not lost to the Mountaineers in South Bend since 1987. They have won eight straight overall and are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Bet Notre Dame Wednesday.

15* Big Ten Tuesday ATS ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern -2

The Northwestern Wildcats are a bubble team right now in terms of the NCAA Tournament. I have them beating the Michigan Wolverines tonight to help their cause. The Wolverines are primed for a letdown Tuesday after their huge home win over Ohio State this past Saturday.

At 16-10, the Wildcats will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to bolster their resume. Northwestern certainly helped their cause with a 64-53 home victory over Minnesota on Saturday. The Wildcats are now 11-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.5 points/game.

While Michigan is 15-0 at home, the Wolverines are just 5-7 on the road. They are actually getting outscored away from home and there's no question this is a vulnerable team away from Ann Arbor. That 5-7 mark includes neutral court games as the Wolverines are only 2-6 in true road contests.

The home team has won four straight in this series. Northwestern has won their last two home meetings with Michigan by 14 and 15 points, respectively. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Roll with Northwestern Tuesday.

15* Blazers/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -4

The Los Angeles Lakers are showing solid value tonight as a mere 4-point home favorite over the Portland Trail Blazers. They have been simply money at home all season, and this is a very generous line tonight.

The only reason I can see the Lakers being such a small favorite here is because they are playing the second of a back-to-back. But you could argue that Portland is the more tired team as they will be playing their 5th game in 7 days, while the Lakers are only playing their 4th game in 8 days. Off a poor performance last night in Phoenix, there's no doubt the L.A. will come back motivated tonight.

Los Angeles is 13-2 SU & 10-5 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by a whopping 9.8 points/game. They are only yielding 85.7 points on 39.9 percent shooting at home. That's bad news for the Blazers, who are just 5-10 on the road this season, scoring 91.3 points/game on 41.8 percent shooting.

This play falls into a system that is 35-12 (74.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - revenging a road loss vs opponent against opponent off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. L.A. is 32-8 in their last 40 and 16-3 in their last 19 home meetings with Portland at Staples Center. Roll with the Lakers Monday.

20* Baylor/Texas ESPN Big Monday BLOWOUT on Texas -2

The Texas Longhorns are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament. A win over ranked Baylor would go a long way in helping them solidify their spot in the Big Dance. I fully expect the Longhorns to win in a blowout tonight behind a rowdy home crowd down in Austin.

I believe Baylor is one of the most overrated teams in the country this season. That has certainly shown of late and in Big 12 play as all five of their losses have come against conference opponents. The Bears have lost three of their last four, including a 16-point home loss to Kansas and a 15-point road loss to Missouri.

Texas has won four of their last five to put themselves in good position to make the tournament. This young team has only gotten better as the season has progressed. The Longhorns have been especially tough in Austin, going 14-2 at home while outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.2 points/game.

Both of Texas' home losses this season have come to Missouri and Kansas by a combined 4 points. Both Tigers and Jayhawks are 2-0 against Baylor this season. The Longhorns are 12-1 under head coach Rick Barnes in 13 home meetings with Baylor.

The Bears are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 vs. Big 12 opponents. Baylor is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Longhorns are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After losing a heartbreaker at Baylor 76-71 in their first meeting on 1/28, I believe the Longhorns will have their revenge in a blowout tonight. Bet Texas Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee Bucks +2.5

The Milwaukee Bucks will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to beat Orlando for the first time this season. I like their chances of getting revenge in a very tough spot for the Magic.

I just don't see Orlando bringing the motivation it's going to take to come away with a road victory tonight. The Magic have won the first two meetings with the Bucks this season, and they are coming off a deflating 78-90 loss at Miami yesterday. After playing the Heat, the Magic will have a hard time getting up for the Bucks.

Milwaukee easily could have won both games against Orlando this season. They held the lead going into the 4th quarter in both contests, and blew a 7-point lead in Orlando with less than six minutes remaining just four nights ago on February 17th. This will be their 3rd meeting in the last 10 days, so there's no question the Bucks are going to be the more motivated team.

The home team is 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home meetings with the Magic. Scott Skiles is 40-19 ATS in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games in all games he has coached. Take Milwaukee Monday.

15* Magic/Heat ABC ATS ANNIHILATOR on Miami -9

The Miami Heat are playing their best basketball of the season right now. I look for that to continue on National TV this afternoon as they get revenge on the Orlando Magic from an earlier loss this month. A motivated Heat team is certainly a dangerous one.

Miami lost 102-89 at Orlando on 2/8 for their worst loss of the season. There's no question this team has payback in mind, and I am banking on them getting it by double-digits at home this afternoon. Miami is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall, winning all five contests by 15 points or more. Roll with Miami Sunday.

20* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Purdue +5.5

The Michigan State Spartans are getting way too much respect on the road today. They are a very good team and one of the best squads in the Big Ten, but there's no way they should be favored at Purdue.

The Boilermakers are 17-9 this season, including 11-3 at home where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 14.5 points/game. Purdue wants revenge from an ugly loss at Michigan State earlier this season, which is likely the biggest reason why the Spartans are favored. But in the Big Ten, home-court advantage means everything.

Purdue is 7-0 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Michigan State is 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals over the last 2 seasons. These three trends make for a perfect 21-0 system backing the Boilermakers. Bet Purdue Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado State -2.5

The Colorado State Rams are showing solid value as just a 2.5-point home favorite over the Wyoming Cowboys. The Rams will be looking to revenge an earlier loss to the Cowboys in their first meeting of the season, so motivation will certainly be on their side.

Colorado State is one of the best home teams in the entire country this year. The Rams are 11-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 8.8 points/game. CSU has won four of their last five meetings with Wyoming overall, so their road loss earlier this season was a rarity.

Colorado State is a perfect 8-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take Colorado State Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State -8.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are a legitimate NCAA Tournament team. They really need this win Saturday to assure that they stay on track to make the Big Dance for the first time since 2005. I believe they win in a double-digit blowout against overmatched Oklahoma here.

Without question, Iowa State is the most underrated team in the Big 12. The Cyclones are 18-8 in all games this season, including 8-5 SU & 9-3 ATS in conference play. ISU is 13-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 9.2 points/game.

Oklahoma enters this contest on a five-game losing streak. That includes a 77-70 home loss to Iowa State, and blowout road losses at Kansas (62-84) and at Texas Tech (47-65). That was the Red Raiders' only Big 12 win of the season just to show how bad that loss was.

Oklahoma is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games. These two trends make for a 12-0 system backing the Cyclones. Plus, the Sooners are 25-52-3 ATS in their last 80 road games. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Golden State Warriors +10.5

The Golden State Warriors should not be catching double-digit points tonight against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Golden State will be the more motivated team tonight, which means they will be giving the better effort which should result in a cover against this inflated spread.

Golden State has lost their first two meetings with Oklahoma City by 11 and 3 points, respectively. They'll want revenge tonight, while the Thunder could certainly be disinterested after opening 2-0 in this season series. The Warriors have been really tough in this series on the road, not losing any of their last three road meetings by more than 8 points.

The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Golden State is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Oklahoma City. Add up these three trends and we have a 20-2 (91%) System backing the Warriors. Take Golden State Friday.

25* Mavs/76ers NBA on ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Philadelphia -2.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are showing their best value of the season tonight as just a small 2.5-point home favorite over the Dallas Mavericks. The 76ers will be amped up to take on the defending champs while also looking to bounce back from a loss at Orlando last time out.

Dallas is way overvalued with this line due to their five-game winning streak and their blowout home victory over the Denver Nuggets last time out. That was a Denver team playing without several of their key players. Their streak ends tonight.

Philly is 20-10 SU & 19-11 ATS on the season. That includes a 13-5 SU & 12-6 ATS mark at home where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 10.8 points/game. The 76ers only give up 83.6 points on 41.1 percent shooting at home this year. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this series.

The 76ers have been incredible when trying to bounce back from a loss, going 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Philly is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The 76ers are 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% this season. Philly has suffered back-to-back losses just once all season. Bet the 76ers Friday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Bucks +7.5

The Orlando Magic are way overvalued right now due to winning seven of their last nine while entering this game on a three-game winning streak. The Milwaukee Bucks are undervalued thanks to a three-game losing streak heading in. I'll side with the value and back the live underdog tonight.

Milwaukee obviously wants to put an end to this losing streak in a hurry. They'll be the more motivated team in this one, while Orlando comes in relaxed and not as hungry. The Bucks have been tough on the road this season, only getting outscored by 4.0 points/game. Orlando is only outscoring opponents by 4.2 points/game at home.

The Bucks just played the Magic on 2/11 less than a week ago, falling 99-94. Each of the last three meetings in this series were decided by 6 points or less. Milwaukee will be out for revenge tonight as well, only adding more incentive for them to cover this large spread.

The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Orlando is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Milwaukee is 17-6 ATS in their last 23 after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Roll with Milwaukee Friday.

15* Clippers/Blazers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -2

This is simply too low of a line to pass up on the Clippers tonight. Los Angeles is clearly the better team when you factor in who is playing in this game, and you have to believe they are out for some revenge after losing to Portland on the road earlier this season.

The Trail Blazers were able to go on the road and beat Golden State 93-91 last night without All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge. I can't see them having the same kind of success without Aldridge against the Clippers tonight. Los Angeles has a couple of pretty good players down low in Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, who should dominate this game on both sides of the floor. Without Aldridge (22.6 ppg) in the lineup, Portland's leading scorer is reserve Jamal Crawford at 14.3 ppg. They simply don't have enough offense to keep this game close.

The Clippers are 8-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season. Los Angeles is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Portland is 0-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Bet the Clippers Thursday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Penn State -2.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions will make easy work of the Iowa Hawkeyes Thursday and cover this tiny spread with ease. Oddsmakers have missed their mark very badly in this Big Ten match-up. Home-court advantage is as big in this conference at it is in any other conference in the country.

That's especially the case in this series as the home team has been absolutely dominant. The home team is a perfect 10-0 in the last 10 meetings in this series dating back to 2006. When Penn State makes it 11 in a row tonight, they'll likely win by 3-plus points to cover this generous spread, too.

Iowa has played 25 games this season, and they only have two road wins to their credit. The Hawkeyes are getting outscored by 13.1 points/game away from home. Penn State is a respectable 9-5 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 6.6 points/game.

The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. Penn State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Bet Penn State Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Bobcats +10.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves should not be laying double-digits against any team in this league. I know the Charlotte Bobcats have the worst record, but there's no question that this line has been inflated. I'll take advantage tonight.

The biggest reason for Charlotte's early struggles has been injuries. But the Bobcats are finally starting to get healthy, and they could be a very solid value play not only tonight, but over the next few weeks. They just got back their best player in Corey Maggette, who scored 22 points last time out. Also, starting PG D.J. Augustin is expected to make his return tonight.

Minnesota comes into this game on a 4-game losing streak. The Timberwolves have been overmatched during this skid, and they have no business getting this much respect tonight. This is a flashy team with the addition of Ricky Rubio, which makes them a public team. While the Timberwolves are improved this year, they remain one of the worst teams in the Western Conference.

Charlotte has been a thorn in Minnesota's side for years. The Bobcats have won eight of their last nine meetings with the Timberwolves. That includes four road victories during this stretch, which dates back to 2007.

The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Minnesota is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The Timberwolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. These four trends make for a 21-1 (95%) system backing the Bobcats. Take Charlotte Wednesday.

25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on New Orleans Hornets +9.5

The New Orleans Hornets are showing their best value of the season tonight as nearly a double-digit underdog to the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee has no business being this heavily favored tonight in a game I believe the Hornets can win outright.

New Orleans finally put an end to their losing streak with an impressive 86-80 victory over the Utah Jazz two nights ago. Chris Kaman led the way with 27 points and 13 rebounds, while Greivis Vasquez dished out 10 assists filling in for the injured Jarrett Jack.

Milwaukee is just 12-16 on the season, yet they are getting treated like one of the elite teams in the NBA with this line tonight. The Bucks haven't won a game by double-digits since last month, and they could easily suffer a hangover from their blowout 96-114 home loss to the Miami Heat last time out.

The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. New Orleans has won 10 of their last 11 meetings with Milwaukee, making for a 91% system backing them tonight. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -3

The Orlando Magic continue to be undervalued due to the trade talks surrounding Dwight Howard. The Philadelphia 76ers are overvalued due to their fast start. The clear value in this game is with the small home favorite.

Orlando is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games overall, beating up on some good teams while also taking advantage of soft lines. They have a win over Miami and solid road victories over the Pacers and Bucks during this stretch. Their only losses came by 5 points to the Clippers and by 2 points in overtime to the Hawks.

The 76ers are an impressive 20-9 on the season, but they have been doing most of their damage at home. Philly has played 18 home games compared to 11 road games this season, which is the biggest reason for their early success. The value is gone from this team for now, though it could come back later in the season.

This play falls into a system that is 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). After losing at Philly 69-74 in their first meeting this season, I like the Magic to have their revenge tonight. Roll with Orlando Wednesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on South Florida -2

The South Florida Bulls should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Villanova Wildcats. Villanova continues to get too much respect from oddsmakers from what they've done in year's past, instead of what they are doing this year.

Villanova is 11-13 SU & 5-15 ATS this season. That includes a 2-10 SU & 3-8 ATS road mark. The Wildcats are giving up a whopping 75.7 points/game on the road. This team has been overvalued all season, and they remain overvalued tonight.

South Florida doesn't get the respect they deserve because they have not been a contender in the Big East over the last several years. But they are a contender this season. The Bulls are 15-10 in all games, including an impressive 8-4 in Big East play.

USF does not lose at home, going 12-1 while giving up just 57.1 points and outscoring opponents by 11.4 points/game this season. They already beat Villanova 74-57 on the road in their first meeting, so they should have no problem winning by 3-plus points at home this time around.

Villanova is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. These three trends make for an 18-0 ATS system backing the Bulls. Take South Florida Wednesday.

15* Hawks/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5.5

The Los Angeles Lakers have been virtually unstoppable at the Staples Center all season. They are 11-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 9.9 points/game. Their 85.2 points/game allowed at home is by far the best in the Western Conference.

Atlanta's nine losses to clubs with winning records this season have come by an average of 13.1 points, and it's fallen behind by at least 20 in its last five defeats overall. The Hawks have lost five straight road games to the Lakers by an average of 17.0 points, allowing 109.2 points per game while shooting 25.0 percent from long distance.

The Lakers' role players have been excellent at home, but terrible on the road. Steve Blake and Matt Barnes are averaging a combined 18.0 points and shooting 47.2 percent at Staples compared to 10.5 points and 34.9 percent on the road. This team simply plays with a lot more confidence as a whole at home, and this is a very generous line tonight.

The Hawks are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 vs. Western Conference. Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific opponents. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Roll with the Lakers Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Tech +4.5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders should not be an underdog at home to the Texas A&M Aggies tonight. This is a game I fully expect the Red Raiders to win outright. Texas Tech picked up a huge 65-47 victory over Oklahoma Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog, giving them a lot of confidence heading into this one.

The Aggies have simply been a disappointment this season. A big reason has been due to injuries as they just haven't been healthy at any point this year. This team appeared to have packed it in against Iowa State in a 46-69 road loss Saturday, which was their fourth straight defeat.

With how poorly Texas A&M has played on the road this season, there's no way they should be favored in this one. The Aggies are 1-8 in road games, losing by an average of 12.3 points/game. Texas Tech is a respectable 7-5 at home this year. The Aggies are 0-6 in Big 12 road games, losing all six by 9 points or more.

The Aggies are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Texas A&M is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Texas Tech Tuesday.

15* Suns/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -3

The Golden State Warriors should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Phoenix Suns. Golden State continues to go under the radar. I believe this is one of the most underrated teams in the league, and it's simply taken some time to gel under new head coach Mark Jackson.

The Warriors are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are riding a two-game winning streak with impressive wins over the Denver Nuggets (109-101) on the road and the Houston Rockets (106-97) at home. Under the defensive-minded Jackson, the Warriors are playing much better defense, giving up 100.7 points/game overall and less than 100 points/game at home.

Phoenix is one of the most overrated teams in the league this season. That's indicated by the fact that the Suns are 12-15 SU & 12-15 ATS. Phoenix is only scoring 92.2 points/game away from home this season. They simply haven't surrounded Steve Nash with the kind of talent it takes to make this team a playoff contender.

The Warriors are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. The home team is 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings. The Suns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 meetings in Golden State. Take the Warriors Monday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +9

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Baylor Bears, on the other hand, have been overrated all year thanks to a soft early schedule. This line reflects both of my opinions as the Cyclones simply should not be catching this many points.

Iowa State is 18-7 on the season and deserving of being ranked. The Cyclones are 8-4 SU & 9-2-1 ATS in conference play. Their record against the spread in Big 12 games just shows how underrated this team really is. Head coach Fred Hoiberg brought in a ton of talented transfers, and they have really started to gel in conference action.

Baylor's true colors have shown here recently. They lost at home to Kansas 54-68 on 2/8 and followed that poor performance up with a 57-72 road loss at Missouri on 2/11. Iowa State only lost to Kansas by 9 on the road, and they beat the Jayhawks are home 72-64. ISU has not lost a Big 12 games by more than 9 points this season.

Baylor is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points. The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after 2 or more consecutive unders. Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These five trends make for a 34-0 system backing ISU. Bet Iowa State Monday.

15* Heat/Hawks ESPN ATS ANNIHILATOR on Miami -4

The Miami Heat are showing solid value Sunday as a mere 4-point favorite over the Atlanta Hawks. Rarely will you get the Heat at this kind of price. In my opinion, they are the second-best team in the Eastern Conference behind the Bulls, so you should definitely pull the trigger any time you get them as a small favorite.

This play falls into a system that is 35-11 (76.1%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road favorites (MIAMI) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.

Atlanta is 11-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Roll with the Heat Sunday.

20* Bulls/Celtics ABC Sunday No-Brainer on Chicago -3

The Chicago Bulls are the real deal. Any time you can get the Bulls at this kind of price, you better take advantage. That's precisely what I'm doing Sunday as the Bulls go into Boston and come away with a blowout victory.

In my opinion, the Bulls are the best team in the league. They are 23-6 this season despite playing several games without Derrick Rose due to injury. While I expect Rose to play today, I still envision the Bulls covering either way.

This play falls into a system that is 49-17 (74.2%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against road favorites (CHICAGO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.

The Bulls are 7-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as a road favorite this season. Chicago is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. These three trends make for a perfect 19-0 system backing Chicago. Bet the Bulls Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -2

The Orlando Magic are showing great value tonight as just a 2-point road favorite over the Milwaukee Bucks. Orlando remains one of the best teams in the league despite the trade talks for Dwight Howard.

Orlando owns Milwaukee, winning three straight in this series and six of their last seven meetings. The Magic come in the more motivated team tonight after losing in overtime last night to the Hawks, while the Bucks escaped with an overtime victory over the Cavaliers.

Another reason I like this play is because the head referee is Tony Brothers. He is known for favoring road teams. Road clubs are 14-9 ATS in all games he has officiated this season. In 2010-11 road teams were 43-27-1 ATS, in 2009-10 they were 49-21-2 ATS, in 2008-09 they were 38-34-2 ATS, and in 2007-08 they were 45-30 ATS. This is not by coincidence, folks.

The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Orlando is 7-2 ATS in thier last 9 road games. The Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Take Orlando Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Maryland +15.5

The Maryland Terrapins are showing their best value of the season today against the Duke Blue Devils. Not only is Maryland playing their best basketball of the year right now, but Duke is in a huge letdown spot.

Duke is coming off their biggest win of the season, a buzzer-beating 85-84 road victory over arch rival North Carolina. There's no question they've been getting patted on the back leading up to this game, and they'll come out flat this afternoon because of it.

The Blue Devils have been prone to getting upset at home this season. Duke lost 73-76 as a 10-point home favorite to Florida State, and they also lost 74-78 to Miami as a 12-point favorite in their last game at Cameron Indoor.

Maryland is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. While the Terrapins are just 4-5 in ACC play, they are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS. They have not lost an ACC game by more than 14 points this season, and that came at Florida State.

Duke is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games where the total is 150 to 159.5. The Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Maryland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC foes. These four trends make for a 22-0 system backing the Terrapins. Bet Maryland Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia +10.5

The Virginia Cavaliers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. Getting them as a double-digit underdog Saturday is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The betting public is expecting UNC to bounce back, but I see it the complete opposite.

North Carolina will suffer a hangover from their huge 85-84 home loss to the Duke Blue Devils at the buzzer earlier this week. The Blue Devils are their arch rivals, so it's a loss that will take some time for them to get over.

Virginia is 19-4 on the season, just one win shy of North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 6-3 in conference play, with all three losses coming by 3 points or less. Those three losses have come by a combined 8 points, including a 58-61 setback at Duke and a 55-58 loss at Florida State. This team is the real deal.

The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in road games this season. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Virginia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots. Virginia is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game. These four trends make for a 27-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Roll with Virginia Saturday.

20* Lakers/Knicks ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Los Angeles -3.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are clearly the superior team, and that will show on the court tonight. They come in with a ton of confidence after beating the Boston Celtics in overtime last night, picking up a signature road win that has been eluding them. I look for L.A. to build off that performance by destroying New York here.

The Knicks have actually won two straight games without Carmelo Anthony or Amare Stoudemire. As I've seen in year's past, teams can win right away without their superstar(s), but it eventually catches up to them withing a few games.

New York is getting way too much respect with this line due to all the hype that PG Jeremy Lin is receiving. While Lin has played well, he has led the Knicks to wins over the Utah Jazz and Washington Wizards, which is no big achievement. He and the Knicks' run comes to an end tonight against a legitimate opponent.

While the Lakers will be playing the second of a back-to-back, it won't affect them because they came into the Boston game on two days' rest. This team will give just as good of an effort as they did last night, which will be more than enough to beat the Knicks by 4-plus points.

The Lakers are 9-0 in their last nine meetings with New York dating back to 2007, winning eight times by 5 points or more. Kobe Bryant always gets up to play in Madison Square Garden, where he holds the single-game scoring record of 61 points. Bet the Lakers Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -13

The Chicago Bulls are simply storming through the NBA once again this season. This is a big number, but I'm willing to lay it as they'll be facing one of the worst NBA teams tonight. The best part about Chicago is that they rarely have letdowns, bringing their best effort night in and night out against all competition.

Chicago has won four straight games, including three in a row by 21 points or more all on the road against the Bucks, Nets and Hornets. The Bulls are 22-6 on the season, including 17-11 ATS. Chicago has won three straight over Charlotte, including a 101-84 victory in their last road meeting.

The Bobcats are 3-22 SU & 9-16 ATS in all games this season. Charlotte has lost 12 straight coming into this one, including seven of their last nine by double-digits. This team simply cannot be competitive because they are missing three of their best players in D.J. Augustine, Gerald Henderson and Corey Maggette.

The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Bobcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Charlotte is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing 2 consecutive road games. Roll with the Bulls Friday.

20* Thunder/Kings TNT Late-Night PARLAY on Sacramento +7/OVER 201.5

I like both of these plays quite a bit tonight. The Sacramento Kings have been playing their best basketball of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been an OVERS machine of late. I believe both selections get the cash tonight.

I am on Sacramento because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. While they have only won three of those six games, their three losses all came on the road by a combined 8 points, and they were never beaten by more than 3 points. The Kings also picks up impressive home wins over the Blazers and Warriors.

Oklahoma City is simply overvalued at this point in the season due to the fact that they own the best record in the Western Conference at 20-5. But this team has simply been winning most of their close games, which is the reason for their good record. The Thunder are only outscoring opponents by 4.8 points/game on average, including 2.1 points/game on the road.

Sacramento has played the Thunder very tough at home over the past few seasons. The Kings have not lost to Oklahoma City by more than 8 points in any of their last six home meetings. Five of those six games were decided by 6 points or less.

Oklahoma City is 7-1 to the UNDER in their last 8 games overall. Not surprisingly, they have played their last six games without top defender Thabo Sefolosha, who is expected to miss tonight's game as well. The Thunder have topped the 100-point mark in six of their last eight games, but they have given up 109 or more points in five of their last seven. This team is not playing any defense right now.

The last two meetings in this series have seen 232 and 222 combined points, respectively. I expect a similar shootout tonight between two teams that play little defense. The OVER is 10-1 in Thunder last 11 vs. NBA Pacific opponents. The OVER is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento. Bet the Kings and the OVER tonight.

15* CBB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee State +10.5

I've been fading Murray State for a few weeks now with a lot of success. The Racers are the only undefeated Division 1 team left in the country at 23-0. As a result, this team is way overvalued right now and has been for a few weeks.

Murray State is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Time and time again this team is a double-digit favorite and they simply cannot live up to expectations. Once again, I find the Racers laying double-digits against a team that has a chance to put an end to this streak tonight.

Tennessee State is the real deal at 15-10. The Tigers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, playing their best basketball of the season. In fact, Tennessee State has not lost by more than 7 points in any of their last 16 games. That makes for a perfect 16-0 system backing them tonight pertaining to the double-digit spread set for this contest.

Murray State is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games off a win against a conference rival. The Racers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. Tennessee State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Add these last four trends up and we have a perfect 37-0 system backing the Tigers. Roll with Tennessee State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +10

The Northern Iowa Panthers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They should not be catching double-digits tonight against Wichita State in a game that will go right down to the wire.

Northern Iowa is 16-9 this season. Creighton and Wichita State are the two teams that get talked about the most in the MVC, but UNI is right there with them. The Panthers stay competitive because of their ability to defend. They give up just 60.8 points/game this season.

UNI wants revenge from a 68-71 home loss to Wichita State in their first meeting. That game obviously went right down to the wire, and I have no doubt this one will too. Wichita State is simply getting too much credit for playing at home tonight.

Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Wichita State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts. UNI is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 revenging a home loss vs opponent. Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less. Wichita State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. These six trends make for a 41-0 system backing the Panthers. Take Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are showing awesome value as just a small home favorite tonight over the San Antonio Spurs. This is a very generous line to back one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.

Philly is 18-7 SU & 18-7 ATS in all games this season. That includes a 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS mark in home games. The 76ers are outscoring opponents 95.7 to 82.9 at home this season, or by an average of 12.8 points/game. They are the best defensive team in the league, allowing a mere 86.6 points/game in all games.

San Antonio is overrated due to their recent 5-game winning streak. This is a team that has done most of their damage at home, and little damage on the road. The Spurs are 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS in road games, getting outscored by 5.0 points/game. They are giving up a whopping 98.3 points/game away from home.

The 76ers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Philly is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with San Antonio. These three trends make for a perfect 22-0 system backing Philly. Plus, the home team has won eight straight meetings, and the 76ers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings with the Spurs. Bet Philadelphia Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh -2.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are on a roll right now. They are making their run to try and play themselves into the NCAA Tournament. This team remains undervalued due to their slow start, but they're finally starting to play up to their potential.

At 15-9 on the season, I'm certain the Panthers would fall short of the Big Dance if the season were to end today. Their 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS run in their last four games has put them right back into the mix. That includes home wins over Providence (86-74), Georgetown (72-60) and Villanova (79-70) while also going on the road and beating West Virginia (72-66).

South Florida is no match for red hot Pittsburgh tonight. The Bulls are coming off a 30-point beat down at the hands of Georgetown (45-75). Their only Big East wins this season have come against bottom feeders in Rutgers, Villanova, Seton Hall, St. Johns, DePaul and Providence. They aren't ready to beat a quality team like Pitt.

South Florida is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East. Take this 11-0 system backing the Panthers straight to the bank tonight. Roll with Pittsburgh Wednesday.

20* Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Bobcats +14

Because the Charlotte Bobcats are off to such a poor start, this team is going to show great value over the next few weeks. The Bobcats are clearly struggling this year, but the value is there to pull the trigger tonight. Boston should not be this heavily favored.

The Celtics have not been a consistent team this season. They cannot be expected to blow the Bobcats out tonight. The Celtics are 13-10 on the year with very few wins by this margin. With the Lakers coming up next, I'm expecting the Celtics to look ahead to that rivalry, which is the most storied in the NBA.

Looking ahead when facing the Bobcats became a regular occurrence last season. Charlotte actually went 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three meetings with the Celtics last year. They won outright as a 13-point dog and as a 4.5 point dog, while also losing by 5 as an 8-point dog. Two of those three games were in Boston.

This play falls into a system that is 25-5 (83.3%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in February games. Boston is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game. Bet the Bobcats Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State +2

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. They still didn't get ranked this week despite three straight impressive wins to get to 17-6 on the year. They beat Kansas and Kansas State at home before going on the road to knock off Oklahoma.

I look for the Cyclones to use them not getting ranked as big-time motivation heading into this game with Oklahoma State. ISU is 7-3 in Big 12 play and only 1.5 games out of first place after Missouri won at Oklahoma last night. This team is the real deal and should not be an underdog to the Cowboys.

Oklahoma State is no more than a mediocre team at 11-12 on the season. They have no business being favored in this contest. The Cowboys are just 4-6 in conference play, which includes a road loss at Iowa State in their first meeting this season. With ISU playing their best basketball of the year right now, I expect them to cap off the season sweep.

Iowa State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big 12 opponents. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. ISU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The clones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These four trends make for a 27-2 (93%) System backing the Cyclones. Take Iowa State Tuesday.

15* Thunder/Blazers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland +2

The Portland Trail Blazers should not be an underdog an home to the Oklahoma City Thunder Monday. I'll take advantage of this line mistake by backing Portland to win and cover in this one as they continue playing superb basketball at home.

The Blazers are 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in 12 home games this season. They scoring 105.7 points and allowing 89.2 points while outscoring opponents by a ridiculous 16.5 points/game. Oklahoma City is one of the top teams in the west, but four of their five losses have come on the road.

The Blazers are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 home games. Portland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with Oklahoma City. The Blazers are 74-47 ATS in their last 121 games as a home underdog of 6 points or less. Take the Blazers Monday.

20* UConn/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -4

The Louisville Cardinals are showing great value Monday as only a 4-point home favorite over the UConn Huskies. UConn has been overrated all season after winning the championship last year. That has really shown in Big East play.

The Huskies are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall despite being a favorite in four of those five contests. UConn is just 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS on the road this season where they are scoring a mere 62.8 points/game on 41.1 percent shooting.

Louisville is 18-5 this year and one of the top teams in the country. The Cardinals are a super 14-2 at home, outscoring opponents by 13.3 points/game. They are only giving up 60.4 points on 36.8 percent shooting at home.

Louisville is red hot right now, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with four straight wins by 9 points or more. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Huskies. Bet Louisville Monday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando +6

The Orlando Magic are back on track and on a mission. The Indiana Pacers are getting way too much respect for their win at Dallas last night. These two factors coupled together provide us with excellent value on the Magic Saturday.

Indiana is 4-16 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Roll with the Magic Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have beaten the Kansas Jayhawks and Kansas State Wildcats in back-to-back games despite not being a favorite in either. ISU should be a favorite today against lowly Oklahoma, but they're not.

The Cyclones are 16-6 on the season and legitimately one of the best teams in the BIg 12. ISU is 6-3 in the Big 12 this season to show their true colors. Oklahoma is 3-6 in the Big 12 this year, and just 13-8 on the season. This team is not on the same level as the Cyclones.

Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +6.5

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are showing tremendous value tonight. Baylor is a team that I believe has been overrated for quite some time. They should not be favored at all at Oklahoma State, let alone by 6.5 points.

OSU is 9-1 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Oky State is 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Cowboys Saturday.

20* Knicks/Celtics NBA on ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK on New York +7

The New York Knicks are showing awesome value Friday as a big road underdog to the Boston Celtics. Boston is getting a lot of love because of their recent play. But the fact of the matter is that the Celtics have had to win six of their last seven just to get to 11-10 on the season. This is still a mediocre team at best.

The Knicks are off to a slow start, but that's why they are showing so much value here. It's only a matter of time before a team with this much talent gets going. After thumping the Detroit Pistons 113-86, the Knicks came back last night and gave the Eastern Conference-leading Chicago Bulls all they could handle. The Knicks would lost 102-105, but they're certainly battle-tested coming into this showdown with the Celtics.

New York is a superb 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. division opponents. They are actually outscoring their division foes 101.1 to 97.2 in this spot. The Celtics are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. These three trends make for a 22-1 system backing New York. Bet the Knicks Thursday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +8

The Orlando Magic are way overvalued heading into this game with the Cleveland Cavaliers. While Orlando has been one of the most overrated teams in the league this season, the Cavaliers have been one of the most underrated.

Orlando simply cannot be trusted with the Dwight Howard situation and his likely trade looming. That has especially been the case of late as the Magic are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Their one win came at home against the lowly Washington Wizards 109-103.

The Cavaliers are 8-12 SU, but 12-8 ATS. They have been dealt a very tough schedule in the early going with 12 road games compared to 8 home games. Cleveland is 5-7 SU, but 8-4 ATS in road games this season. They are only getting outscored by 3.5 points/game away from home.

Orlando is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games off a home win against a division rival. The Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Orlando is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. These three trends make for an 18-1 system going against the Magic. Roll with the Cavaliers Friday.

15* Heat/76ers NBA Friday No-Brainer on Philadelphia +2.5

The Philadelphia 76ers should not be a home underdog to the Miami Heat tonight. This is simply a display of how the Heat are way overvalued while the 76ers remain undervalued. These are two 16-6 teams and two of the best teams in the East, but I'll sign with the home squad to get it done here.

The 76ers will be out for revenge after a rare loss on the road in their first meeting with Miami earlier this season. Philadelphia has been dominant at home all year. The 76ers are 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in home games, outscoring opponents by a whopping 15.7 points/game.

Miami has been very beatable on the road this season. The Heat are just 6-4 away from home, outscoring opponents by 0.3 points/game. They are giving up a ridiculous 101.5 points/game in road games as their defense has been nearly non-existent. To compare, the 76ers are only giving up 81.3 points/game at home.

The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games, while the 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. These five trends make for a perfect 24-0 system backing Philly. Take the 76ers Friday.