Winning Sports Picks

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on Loyola-Chicago -2

Loyola-Chicago got a bye into the quarterfinals and has the rest advantage over St. Bonaventure today.  The Bonnies were life and dead with La Salle in a 75-73 win yesterday.  They only have a 7-man rotation and their starters played 40, 40, 39, 34 and 22 minutes yesterday.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Ramblers today.  Bet Loyola-Chicago Thursday.

15* TCU/Houston Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on TCU +10.5

TCU is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  But the Horned Frogs can make their case with an upset win over Houston today.  They will be 'all in' to get this win, and catching 10.5 points is a nice value on a desperate Horned Frogs team today.

Houston was dominant at home this season, but they were vulnerable on the highway.  In fact, each of their last 11 road games were either losses or wins by 8 points or less.  That makes for an 11-0 system backing TCU pertaining to this 10.5-point spread.  Houston doesn't need this win as they are locked into a #1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.  Bet TCU Thursday.

15* Wake Forest/Pittsburgh ACC ANNIHILATOR on Pittsburgh +2

Pitt has a bye into the quarterfinals and has the rest advantage today over Wake Forest, which is a big reason why I'm on the Panthers.  Plus, this is one of the most underrated teams in the country, going 9-2 SU & 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, yet they are on the bubble.  This team is playing with a chip on their shoulder as a result.

Wake Forest is not a deep team and will not handle this back-to-back situation very well as a result.  The Demon Deacons had to play their starters big minutes yesterday in a 72-59 win over Notre Dame.  All five starters played at least 26 minutes, including 36 from Sallis and 35 from Miller.  Their bench provided a total of 11 points in the win as this is one of the worst benches in the country.

Pittsburgh is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 80 points or more in two consecutive games.  Bet Pittsburgh Thursday.

15* Maryland/Wisconsin Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin -3

Wisconsin has the rest advantage over Maryland today.  The Badgers got a bye into the quarterfinals while the Terrapins beat Rutgers 65-51 yesterday.  Seven players played at least 21 minutes for the Terrapins yesterday, and I question how much they have left in the tank for the Badgers.

Rutgers pretty much quit late in the season, so the Terrapins are getting too much respect from that win.  Maryland is 1-8 ATS off a win by 10 points or more this season.  It's a great 'buy low' spot on the Badgers, who went 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS in their final 11 games to close out the regular season.  Bet Wisconsin Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on UMass +2.5

UMass has the rest advantage today getting a bye into the quarterfinals while VCU was in a dog fight with Fordham yesterday in a 69-62 win.  That's a big factor as to why I'm backing UMass.  Plus, the minutemen beat the Rams 74-52 in their lone meeting this season, and I trust head coach Frank Martin to have his team ready.

UMass is 9-2 ATS off an ATS loss this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet UMass Thursday.

15* St. Joe's/Richmond Atlantic 10 Early ANNIHILATOR on Richmond -2.5

Richmond has the rest advantage today getting a bye into the quarterfinals while St. Joe's was in a dog fight with George Mason yesterday.  St. Joe's saw all 5 starters play at least 34 minutes and they are lacking depth with only a 7-man rotation.  That's a big factor as to why I'm backing Richmond.

The Spiders beat the Hawks 73-66 in their lone meeting this season.  Richmond has been undervalued all year going 21-9 ATS in all game, including 14-4 ATS as a favorite.  The Spiders are also a perfect 11-0 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season, and 8-0 ATS off an ATS loss this season.  Bet Richmond Thursday.

15* Lakers/Kings ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +1

I love the spot for the Los Angeles Lakers tonight.  They have won three of their last four games beating three of the top teams in the NBA in the Thunder, Bucks and Timberwolves.  Now they have their sights set on revenge after losing each of their first three meetings this season with the Kings, including blowing a double-digit lead in their lone loss in their last four games.

The Lakers have a massive rest advantage here.  They have had the last two days off, while the Kings will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win over the Milwaukee Bucks last night.  That win ended a 15-game losing streak to the Bucks, so this game has letdown written all over it for the Kings, who won't be that motivated to beat the Lakers again.

Sacramento is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days.  The Kings are 4-13 ATS off a win by 10 points or more this season.  Bet the Lakers Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Villanova -22.5

Fading DePaul has been a great move here of late.  The Blue Demons are a mess after firing head coach Tony Stubblefield and just ready for this season to be over.  They are 0-20 SU & 7-13 ATS in Big East play this season while getting outscored by 23.9 points per game.  They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall 10 of those losses by double-digits and eight by 19 points or more.

Villanova is squarely on the bubble and cannot afford to take DePaul lightly.  They haven't take the Blue Demons lightly in their two meetings already this season to say the least.  Villanova beat DePaul 84-48 on the road on December 23rd and 94-69 at home on January 12th.  Another 23-plus point victory in their favor is in store today to cover this number.  This will be our last opportunity to fade DePaul this season, and we'll take full advantage.

DePaul is 0-6 ATS when revenging a road loss by 10 points or more this season.  The Blue Demons are 6-15 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Bet Villanova Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State -6.5

Michigan is just ready for this season to be over.  The Wolverines have gone 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall with all eight losses by 8 points or more and seven losses by double-digits.  They should be catching more than 6.5 points to Penn State today.

Penn State has improved as the season has gone on under first-year head coach Mike Rhoades.  The Nittany Lions are 6-5 SU & 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They are coming off an 85-69 win over Maryland and will make easy work of this lifeless Michigan team tonight.

Penn State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven conference tournament games.  Michigan is 0-13 ATS after allowing 80 points or more this season.  This will be our last chance to fade the Wolverines this season and we'll take advantage.  Bet Penn State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Miami Heat +4.5

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Miami Heat off three consecutive losses.  They lost two tough road games to Dallas (by 6) and OKC (by 7) before having a letdown at home in an upset loss to the Wizards.  They were clearly looking ahead to this game against the Denver Nuggets.

Miami wants revenge after losing 4-1 to the Nuggets in the NBA Finals last season.  They also lost a 103-97 heartbreaker at Denver just a few games ago on February 29th.  Now they get the Nuggets at home and I think it will make all the difference.

This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets, who have won three consecutive games and nine of their last 10 games overall.  They won't be that motivated to beat the Heat again tonight.  This game has letdown written all over it for the Nuggets.

Denver is 4-12 ATS off three or more consecutive wins this season.  Miami is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games off an loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent.  Bet the Heat Wednesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Duquesne -6.5

Saint Louis was life and dead yesterday with Rhode Island in a 74-71 win.  The Billikens only have a 7-man rotation and Jimerson played 39 minutes, Hargrove Jr. 36 and Medley 34 yesterday.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Duquesne Dukes today.

I'll gladly back Duquesne with the rest advantage today.  The Dukes have been playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.  They have gone 11-3 SU in their last 14 games overall including an 81-66 win as 9.5-point home favorites over St. Louis.  This is a short number for them to be laying in the rematch, especially with the rest advantage.

St. Louis is 0-7 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Bet Duquesne Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Georgetown +10.5

The Georgetown Hoyas have been known for making runs in the Big East Tournament even when they had poor regular seasons.  I think they have what it takes to give Providence a run for its money in the opener today.  They only lost by 5 to Xavier and by 8 at St. John's in two of their last three games.

The other game resulted in a 71-58 home loss to Providence.  But Georgetown was coming off that deflating loss to Xavier and didn't show up.  Head coach Ed Cooley called his team out, and they responded by giving St. John's a scare on the road in the finale.  That was a desperate St. John's team trying to make the tournament and playing their best basketball of the season down the stretch.

Providence is not playing well at all.  The Friars are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 22 at Marquette, by 11 at home to Villanova and by 14 at home to UConn.  Providence shot 49.1% in that last meeting with Georgetown while the Hoyas shot 35.1%.  Some positive shooting regression is coming Georgetown's way in this one.

Providence is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  Georgetown is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games when revenging a home loss.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

15* Fordham/VCU Atlantic 10 Early ANNIHILATOR on VCU -8.5

Fordham needed OT yesterday to put away Davidson 71-63.  The Rams aren't a deep team going with a 7-man rotation and all seven played at least 21 minutes yesterday, including 45 from Kochera, 41 from Huffman, 34 from Logan and 34 from Durkin.  They won't have much left in the tank today against VCU, which will ramp up the defensive pressure and make life difficult on the Rams.

It's a great 'buy low' spot on VCU after closing out the regular season with three consecutive losses.  But they arguably came to the three best teams in the Atlantic 10 in Richmond (by 3) and Dayton (by 5) on the road, as well as Duquesne at home, which was a sandwich spot.  Now they take a big step down in class here and will be highly motivated to get back on track.

VCU is 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven meetings with Fordham.  Six of the seven wins have come by 15 points or more, including their 75-60 win at Fordham on February 6th in their lone meeting this season.  Fordham is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games when playing its 2nd game in 3 days.   Fordham is 3-10 ATS off an ATS win this season.  VCU is 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record this season.  Bet VCU Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Knicks -6

The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for revenge from a bad 79-73 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday.  They couldn't throw the ball in the ocean, hitting 32.5% as a team and 9-of-40 (22.5%) from 3-point range.  They won't shoot that poorly again, and there's a good chance OG Anunoby returns from injury tonight as he has been upgraded to questionable.

Philadelphia is 26-8 with Joel Embiid (35.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 5.7 APG) in the lineup and 10-20 without him this season.  The 76ers are without De'Anthony Melton (11.5 PPG, 3.1 APG) as well. It's easy to see why the 76ers have been a bet against team since losing Embiid.  They are 7-15 SU in their last 22 games overall and 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games.  

They were upset by Brooklyn as road favorites and upset by Memphis as home favorites while losing by 8 at home to the Pelicans as 8-point dogs in a score that was very misleading as New Orleans led by 30 before calling off the dogs.  That was a rare win over the Knicks on Sunday without Embiid.

Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (New York) - revenging a SU loss as a favorite of 7 or more against an opponent that is off a road win are 76-35 (68.5%) ATS since 1996.  Plays on favorites (New York) - revenging a SU loss as a home favorite of 7 or more against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 38-13 (74.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Knicks Tuesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Dallas Mavericks -3.5

The Dallas Mavericks traded for PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford and both are making significant contributions.  C Dereck Lively II returns tonight and is their best defender and a key contributor.  So the Mavericks are fully healthy heading into this game against the Chicago Bulls, and a dangerous team when that's the case.

This is a very tough spot for the Bulls.  They are coming off an impressive 4-game road trip in which they won their first three games over the Kings, Jazz and Warriors, but then blew a double-digit lead in a 10-point loss to the Clippers in the finale.  I always like fading teams in that first home game back from an extended road trip.  This is a tired Bulls team playing in their 5th different city in 8 days.

Dallas is 14-3 ATS as a road favorite this season.  The Mavericks have done their best work on the highway against teams like the Bulls that they are supposed to beat.  Bet the Mavericks Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +4.5

The Golden State Warriors will be without Stephen Curry tonight after suffering an ankle injury in an upset home loss to the Bulls two games ago.  Curry (26.9 PPG, 4.9 APG) is the one player the Warriors cannot afford to lose and he means more to his team than perhaps any other player in the NBA.  The Warriors should not be favored on the road over the Spurs without him.

The Warriors are 81-146 SU without Curry in his career, including 0-4 SU this season losing by 13 at home to the Timberwolves, by 19 at home to the Thunder, by 11 at the Bucks and by 13 at home to the Spurs despite being 11-point favorites last time out.

San Antonio has quietly gone 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall and is still continuing to show up every night.  The Spurs even nearly upset the Kings as 11-point road dogs two games ago despite being without Victor Wembenyama in a 129-131 defeat.  They beat the Warriors by 13 as 11-point dogs without both Wembenyama and Devin Vassell last time out.  Well, they are expected to get both Wembenyama and Vassell back for tonight's rematch.

Golden State is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 road games after losing two of its last three games coming in.  The Warriors are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against a team that wins 25% or less of their games on the season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Spurs Monday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Phoenix Suns -6

This is a very tough spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They are short-handed right now playing without Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley, Max Strus and Dean Wade.  I don't think they'll have anything left in the tank for the Suns tonight.

I like the spot for the Suns coming off a tough home loss to Boston despite playing without Devin Booker.  But Booker makes his much anticipated return from injury tonight, and the Suns have been a dangerous team this season when Booker, Durant and Beal have been on the court at the same time.  They should handle the Cavaliers in this spot.

Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Phoenix) - after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 42-15 (73.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Suns Monday.

15* 76ers/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New York -6.5

Philadelphia is 26-8 with Joel Embiid (35.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 5.7 APG) in the lineup and 9-20 without him this season.  But it's worse than that right now because the 76ers are without their 2nd-best player in Tyrese Maxey (26.0 PPG, 6.3 APG).  Not to mention, they are without De'Anthony Melton (11.5 PPG, 3.1 APG) as well.

It's easy to see why the 76ers have been a bet against team since losing Embiid.  They are 6-15 SU in their last 21 games overall and 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games.  They were upset by Brooklyn as road favorites and upset by Memphis as home favorites while losing by 8 at home to the Pelicans as 8-point dogs in a score that was very misleading as New Orleans led by 30 before calling off the dogs.  They won't be able to hang with the Knicks on the road, either.

The Knicks just got Jalen Brunson back from injury and it made all the difference in a 98-74 home win over the Orlando Magic.  Brunson looked to be back to his former self scoring 26 points on 11-of-19 shooting including 4-of-7 from 3-point range.  This team goes as he goes, and they should make easy work of the short-handed 76ers tonight.

New York is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after scoring 105 points or fewer in two consecutive games. Bet the Knicks Sunday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa +2

The Iowa Hawkeyes have battled their way back onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall with home wins over Wisconsin and Penn State, as well as upset road wins over Michigan State and Northwestern.

Now the Hawkeyes want revenge from their lone loss during this stretch which came 95-85 at Illinois.  That was a close game throughout before the Fighting Illini pulled away in the final minutes.  Iowa actually led 66-61 with 11 minutes left.  They know they can play with this team, and now they get them at home where they are 12-3 SU this season.

This is a terrible spot for Illinois.  The Fighting Illini are coming off a 77-71 home loss to Purdue in which they had a shot to win the Big Ten regular season title had they won that game.  But now they are locked into the #2 seed in the Big Ten Tournament and have nothing to play for.  They won't be that motivated to beat Iowa again after just beating them two weeks ago.  I expect a very flat effort from the Fighting Illini as a result.

Iowa is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after a game with 24 or more assists.  The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after scoring 75 points or more in four consecutive games.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Iowa Sunday.

15* UNLV/Nevada MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on UNLV +6.5

The UNLV Rebels are riding the quietest 10-1 run you will ever see.  Most left this team for dead, but the Rebels have played their way back onto the bubble by upsetting the likes of New Mexico on the road as well as Colorado State and San Diego State at home.

Now the Rebels desperately want revenge on their biggest rivals in Nevada, which handed them their only loss during this 10-1 run.  It was a game they let get away as they were in control of the game deep into the 2H, but poor FT shooting and turnovers allowed the Wolf Pack to erase a big deficit and steal a 69-66 win at UNLV.

Nevada is a lock to make the NCAA Tournament and won't be nearly as motivated to beat UNLV again as a result.  The Wolf Pack are also coming off a 76-66 upset road win at Boise State, setting them up for a prime letdown spot.  They haven't been nearly as good at home as they have been on the road this season.  They have failed to cover the spread in two of their last three home games including an upset loss to New Mexico.

UNLV is 8-2 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Rebels are 7-1 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Nevada is 16-31 ATS in its last 47 home games off three consecutive conference wins.  Bet UNLV Saturday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +9.5

The Golden State Warriors will be without Stephen Curry tonight after suffering an ankle injury in an upset home loss to the Bulls last time out.  Curry (26.9 PPG, 4.9 APG) is the one player the Warriors cannot afford to lose and he means more to his team than perhaps any other player in the NBA.  Asking the Warriors to win this game by double-digits to beat us without Curry is asking too much.

San Antonio has quietly gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall and is still continuing to show up every night.  The Spurs even nearly upset the Kings as 11-point road dogs last game despite being without Victor Wembenyama in a 129-131 defeat.  Wembenyama doesn't mean nearly as much to this team as Curry does for the Warriors, and his absence is being factored into this line too much.  

The Warriors are 81-145 SU without Curry in his career, including 0-3 SU this season losing by 13 at home to the Timberwolves, by 19 at home to the Thunder and by 11 at the Bucks.  Bet the Spurs Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Seton Hall -23.5

Seton Hall is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.The Pirates came up big with a 66-56 home win over fellow bubble team Villanova in their last game.  They cannot afford a letdown here against DePaul if they want to make the Big Dance, so they will be fully focused and put away the Blue Demons in blowout fashion.

Fading DePaul has been a great move here of late.  The Blue Demons are a mess after firing head coach Tony Stubblefield and just ready for this season to be over.  They are 0-19 SU & 6-13 ATS in Big East play this season while getting outscored by 23.9 points per game.  They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall nine of those losses by double-digits and seven by 19 points or more.

That includes their 72-39 home loss to Seton Hall in their first meeting this season on January 30th.  That 33-point loss will be a sign up things to come today, and it's why I'm willing to lay the big number here on the Pirates in the rematch as 23.5-point favorites knowing that they'll be motivated to get margin.

DePaul is 4-14 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points this season.  The Blue Demons are 1-12 ATS vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Providence +10.5

Providence is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Friars could really use a signature win here against UConn to punch their ticket.  They will be max motivated to do just that at home on Senior Day tonight.

I think their effort will be good enough to stay within this 10.5-point spread at the very least.  UConn clinched the Big East regular season title and swept Marquette with a 74-67 road win last time out.  I think this is a flat spot for the Huskies now as they will be looking ahead to the Big East tournament and are a lock to get a #1 seed for the NCAA Tournament regardless of how they finish this season.

Providence already showed it could hang with UConn on the road in their first meeting this season, losing 74-65 as 13-point road dogs on January 31st.  They can certainly keep it within single-digits again at home in the rematch here as 10.5-point dogs.

Providence is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog or PK.  The Friars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when playing against a top-level team that wins more than 80% of their games.  Providence is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  The Friars are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh -6.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They are playing with a chip on their shoulder right now because of it.  They have gone 10-3 SU & 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall with road wins over Duke and Virginia, as well as home wins over Wake Forest and Virginia Tech yet they are still on the bubble.

The Panthers have been rolling at home during this stretch going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home games beating Florida State by 15, VA Tech by 15, Louisville by 27, Notre Dame by 10 and Wake Forest by 5.  Now they are at home again on Senior Day in what will be a great atmosphere.

NC State has gone the other direction, playing their way off the bubble and into the NIT at best.  The Wolfpack have gone 4-9 SU in their last 13 games overall.  They have lost three consecutive games, including a 15-point home loss to Duke last time out.  They know their only chance of making the Big Dance is winning the ACC Tournament now, so they won't be motivated again until it gets here.  I expect a very flat effort from the Wolfpack tonight.

Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 80 points or more in two consecutive games.  Bet Pittsburgh Saturday.

15* Kansas/Houston ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Kansas +8.5

The Kansas Jayhawks are a real contender with a healthy Kevin McCullar Jr. (19.1 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 4.3 APG).  He does a little bit of everything for this team.  He has returned from injury in their last two games and shown very little signs of injury, scoring 20 points against Baylor and 19 against Kansas State.

Houston has already clinched the Big 12 title and thus I think this may be a letdown spot for them.  Kansas is used to winning the Big 12, and they can at least get some solace in sweeping the season series after crushing Houston 78-65 at home in their first meeting this season.  Nobody has played Houston better than Kansas did this season.

The Cougars are not only vulnerable after clinching the Big 12, but they are also a very banged up team right now and lacking depth.  They have lost key role players in Joseph Tugler, Ramon Walker Jr. and Terrance Arceneaux to season-ending injuries.  That puts a lot of pressure on their starters to play big minutes and fatigue will be a factor for them moving forward.  This is a big number for the Cougars to be laying against a team that caliber of the Jayhawks.  Bet Kansas Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida State -3

The Miami Hurricanes have flat out quit.  They made the Final 4 last season and brought back all but two or three key players from that team and were expected to make another run this season.  But they sit at just 15-15 this season and their only hope of getting back to the big dance is winning the ACC Tournament.  They have just been going through the motions waiting for it to get here.

Indeed, Miami is 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall with all eight losses by 4 points or more.  The Hurricanes are coming off a 67-57 home loss to Boston College which was their 5th loss by double-digits during this 8-game skid.  I don't see them showing up at all for the regular season finale against Florida State, either.

The Seminoles have been solid at home this season and have won their last two home games 90-83 over NC State and 84-76 over Boston College.  They have not quit and would love nothing more than to sweep their rivals in the Hurricanes after beating them 84-75 on the road in their first meeting this season.  Bet Florida State Saturday.

20* Kentucky/Tennessee CBS No-Brainer on Kentucky +8.5

The Tennessee Vols just won 66-59 at South Carolina to clinch the outright SEC title.  They already beat Kentucky 103-92 on the road in their first meeting this season as well.  I think this is the ultimate flat spot for the Volunteers as a result.

Kentucky wants revenge from that defeat, plus they have a lot to play for with a first-round bye in the SEC Tournament at stake.  The Wildcats have played much better since that defeat back on February 3rd.  They have gone 7-2 SU since with the two losses coming by a combined 5 points.  They upset Auburn 70-59 as 8.5-point road dogs and they have what it takes to take down Tennessee, too.

Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in road games off two consecutive games as a favorite this season.  You rarely get the opportunity to back the Wildcats as this big of underdogs, and we'll take advantage today.  Bet Kentucky Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Mississippi State -4

I love the spot for the Mississippi State Bulldogs this afternoon.  They have played their way back onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament by losing three consecutive games against an absolutely brutal schedule.  They lost by 2 at home to Kentucky and lost on the road to both Auburn and Texas A&M.

Now the Bulldogs return home on Senior Day and will be highly motivated for revenge from a 68-62 road loss at South Carolina in their first meeting this season.  I think they catch the Gamecocks at the perfect time.

South Carolina just lost to Tennessee 66-59 at home on Wednesday in a game that was for 1st place in the SEC.  The Volunteers won and won the outright SEC title as a result.  I think the Gamecocks are in a massive letdown and hangover spot from that defeat, and we will see one of their worst efforts of the season because of it.

Mississippi State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 home meetings with South Carolina.  The Bulldogs are 6-2 SU at home in SEC play with wins over both Tennessee and Auburn, which are the top two teams in the conference.  Their two losses came to Kentucky and Alabama by a combined 10 points.  

Mississippi State is 80-37 ATS in its last 117 games after losing three of its last four games.  The Bulldogs are 148-113 ATS in their last 261 games revenging a loss.  Mississippi State is 41-21 ATS in its last 62 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games.  This is a great 'buy low' spot on the Bulldogs.  Bet Mississippi State Saturday.

15* Memphis/FAU CBS Early ANNIHILATOR on Memphis +7

Memphis (22-8) has played its way back onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament by playing some clutch basketball here down the stretch.  The Tigers are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall beating Charlotte by 24 at home as 6-point favorites, upsetting FAU 78-74 as 1.5-point home dogs, crushing ECU by 24 as 4.5-point road favorites and crushing UAB by 19 as 7-point home favorites.

Now the Tigers get a chance to beat FAU for a 2nd time this season which would almost surely get them in the Big Dance.  I know we will get their best effort, and fading Florida Atlantic has been a very profitable endeavor for myself and premium clients in AAC play this season.

FAU has been grossly overvalued in conference play after making the Final 4 last year and beating Arizona in the non-conference.  The Owls are just 5-12 ATS in conference play this season and have been very fortunate in close games.  In fact, they have seven wins by 10 points or less in conference play despite this conference being way down.

Memphis is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games as an underdog.  The Tigers are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 games as road dogs of 6.5 to 12 points, including 8-1 ATS in this role under current head coach Penny Hardaway.  Bet Memphis Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Alabama ESPN No-Brainer on Arkansas +15

The Arkansas Razorbacks have been fighting hard for head coach Eric Musselman here down the stretch.  They have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They only lost by 4 as 11-point dogs at Mississippi State, upset Texas A&M 78-71 as 11.5-point road dogs and took Kentucky to the wire in a 9-point loss at 13-point dogs in their last three road games.

Now the Razorbacks are catching too many points today against a reeling, overrated Alabama team that doesn't play defense.  The Crimson Tide are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They needed OT to beat Florida at home and needed to overcome a double-digit 2H deficit to beat Ole Miss.  They lost by 22 at Kentucky, by 7 at home to Tennessee and by 18 at Florida.  They have allowed 81 or more points in all five games and seven of their last eight games overall.

Alabama is 0-7 ATS off two consecutive games where they had five or fewer steals.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Bradley -10.5

Head coach Brian Wardle always has his Bradley Braves (21-10) playing their best basketball in the MVC Tournament.  The Braves will be ready for another run in 2024, and it starts today against lowly Illinois-Chicago (12-20).

Bradley has a rest advantage after getting a bye into the quarterfinals while Illinois-Chicago needed 2 OT to beat Southern Illinois 84-82 last night.  It's safe to say the Flames will be running on fumes tonight.  Three starters played at least 46 minutes for the Flames last night and they have just a 7-man rotation with zero depth  They won't have anything left in the tank for Bradley.

Bradley beat Illinois-Chicago 77-59 on the road and 85-73 at home.  So they have already covered this 10.5-point spread in both meetings this season, and that domination should continue in the 3rd and final meeting given their rest advantage.  Bet Bradley Friday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Orlando Magic -1

Injuries have really hurt the New York Knicks here down the stretch.  The Knicks are 4-9 SU & 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a result with their four wins coming against the Pistons by 2, the Grizzlies, the short-handed 76ers and the short-handed Cavs.  They are coming off a 16-point home loss to the short-handed Hawks.

The Knicks have been without Julius Randle (24.0 PPG, 9.2 RPG) and OG Anunoby (15.6 PPG) during this entire stretch.  Jalen Brunson (27.2 PPG, 6.6 APG) has played in most of these games and he just cannot do it on his own.  But now Brunson is battling injury due to such a heavy workload.  He missed their last two games and is questionable to play tonight.

The Orlando Magic have been the single-most underrated team in the NBA this season.  The Magic are 37-26 SU & 40-21-2 ATS this season.  They are really rolling right now going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by 8 points or more and by an average of 15.8 points per game.  They are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when that's the case.

Orlando is 19-5 ATS as a favorite this season.  New York is 12-21 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  The Magic should be bigger favorites given the circumstances tonight, but the Knicks continue to get respect when they shouldn't be.  Bet the Magic Friday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans -7.5

The New Orleans Pelicans have played their best basketball on the road this season going 16-6 SU & 14-8 ATS in their last 22 road games.  They are fully healthy right now and a dangerous team when that's the case.  They beat Indiana by 27 at home and Toronto by 41 on the road in their last two games coming in.

The Pelicans couldn't be any fresher right now as not only did they have the All-Star Break, but they will now be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days tonight.  I expect them to make easy work of the short-handed Philadelphia 76ers in this one.

Philadelphia is 26-8 with Joel Embiid (35.3 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 5.7 APG) in the lineup and 9-19 without him this season.  But it's worse than that right now because the 76ers are without their 2nd-best player as well in Tyrese Maxey (26.0 PPG, 6.3 APG).  Not to mention, they are without De'Anthony Melton (11.5 PPG, 3.1 APG) as well.

It's easy to see why the 76ers have been a bet against team since losing Embiid.  They are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games overall and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games.  They just lost by 6 at home to the Grizzlies as 5.5-point favorites in their last game.  It won't get any easier tonight against the Pelicans.

New Orleans is a perfect 7-0 ATS against Atlantic Division opponents this season.  Philadelphia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games while consistently being overvalued at home.  Bet the Pelicans Friday.

25* MVC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Belmont +1.5

Belmont is playing better than anyone in the MVC since they got fully healthy.  I bet the Bruins +2100 to win the MVC Tournament and you can still find +1900 out there heading into this game.  You'll likely see me back this team in every game until they lose because they are grossly undervalued.

Belmont is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last nine games overall with its lone loss coming on the road to Drake, which didn't lose a single home game this season.  Seven of the eight wins came by 15 points or more so these games haven't even been close.  That includes their 86-61 win over Valparaiso in the opener of the MVC Tournament.  They led by 26 at halftime and were able to get their starters rest in the 2H and will still be fresh for this game.

While most MVC teams have struggled shooting at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis over the years including to open this tournament, Belmont has not.  The Bruins shot 52.4% as a team and made 10 3-pointers yesterday.  This is one of the best shooting teams in the country since they got healthy, shooting 47.4% or better in seven of their last eight games, including 50% or better in five of them.

Northern Iowa can't match Belmont in the shooting department and has slipped defensively this season.  Belmont shot 52.6% in a 90-70 win at Northern Iowa in their first meeting this season.  The Bruins shot a solid 47.5% and 40% from 3 in a home loss to the Panthers in the rematch, but they weren't fully healthy for that game.  Ja'Kobi Gillespie (17.5 PPG, 57% FG)  scored 18 points in that first meeting which was a win, and he didn't play in the game that they lost to UNI.  Having him healthy has made all the difference for this team.  Bet Belmont Friday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Wake Forest -13.5

I love the spot for Wake Forest tonight.  The Demon Deacons are squarely on the bubble now after losing consecutive road games at Notre Dame and at Virginia Tech following up their upset home win over Duke.  They already beat Georgia Tech 80-51 on the road, and they cannot afford to take the Yellow Jackets lightly now.

Wake Forest is back home now where they are 15-0 SU & 12-3 ATS while outscoring opponents by 19.0 points per game.  Few of these games have even been close, and I like their chances of winning this game by 14 points or more to get us the cover given what's at stake.

Wake Forest is 8-0 ATS in home games vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game this season and winning by 20.0 points per game in this spot.  Georgia Tech is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams that make 77% or better and losing by 26.1 points per game in this spot.  Bet Wake Forest Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh -7.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers (19-10, 10-8 ACC) are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament right now.  This despite going 9-3 SU & 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall with upset road wins over Duke, NC State and Virginia.  They are coming off a 25-point win at Boston College as well.

We'll get a fully focused effort from the Panthers tonight knowing they are on the bubble.  They should make easy work ofa. bad Florida State team that is just 3-7 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are coming off an 85-76 road loss to a very bad Georgia Tech team.  They have lost four of their last five ACC road games all by 8 points or more.

Pittsburgh is 14-4 ATS as a favorite this season.  Florida State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 80 points or more in two consecutive games.  The Seminoles are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after two straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  Bet Pittsburgh Tuesday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's -17

St. John's has played its way back on the bubble by winning three consecutive games.  The last two were very impressive as the Red Storm upset Creighton 80-66 as 3-point home dogs and crushed fellow bubble team Butler 82-59 on the road.  Now the Red Storm have had the last five days off to rest and get ready for DePaul.

St. John's crushed DePaul 85-57 at home as 22-point favorites in their first meeting on February 6th.  Now they come back as only 17-point favorites in the rematch which is quite the discount.  I have a motivated favorite here trying to make the NCAA Tournament, so the Red Storm will not take their foot off the gas.

Fading DePaul has been a great move here of late.  The Blue Demons are a mess after firing head coach Tony Stubblefield and just ready for this season to be over.  They are 0-18 SU & 6-12 ATS in Big East play this season while getting outscored by 23.7 points per game.  They are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall eight of those losses by double-digits and seven by 19 points or more.

DePaul is 1-7 ATS as a home underdog of 10 points or more this season.  St. John's is 8-2 ATS vs. teams that average 6 or fewer steals per game this season.  The Blue Demons are 1-11 ATS vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game this season.  Bet St. John's Tuesday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on South Florida -7.5

South Florida is one of the most underrated teams in the entire country.  The Bulls have gone 22-5 SU & 18-7-2 ATS this season including 14-2 SU & 12-3-1 ATS at home.  Yet, many feel they are out of the NCAA Tournament if they don't win the conference tournament.  Money keeps pouring in against this team every game, and they just keep getting the money playing with a chip on their shoulder.

The Bulls have gone 20-1 SU & 16-3-2 ATS in their last 21 games overall with 14 consecutive victories.  Now they face a Tulane team that is ready for this season to be over.  The Green Wave are 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  

They lost by 12 at Memphis, by 8 at home to SMU, by 14 at East Carolina, by 11 at home to UAB and by 4 at home to North Texas.  They did show some life last game only because they are facing Florida Atlantic, which made the Final 4 last year.  I don't think they will show any life tonight after coming up just short against FAU with a late comeback.  Bet South Florida Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Notre Dame +15.5

Notre Dame is one of the most improved teams in the country in the 2nd half of the season under first-year head coach Micah Shrewsberry.  The Fighting Irish are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with upset wins over Clemson, Wake Forest and Virginia Tech.  Their lone loss came by 3 as 7.5-point dogs at Syracuse.

Now the Fighting Irish are ready to give North Carolina a run for its money.  The Tar Heels are in a big sandwich spot here coming off a 79-70 home win over NC State, plus with another big rivalry game on deck against Duke that will decide the ACC regular season champion.  The Tar Heels lead the Blue Devils by one game so they can afford to lose this game knowing that they can still win that game against Duke to win the title.

North Carolina is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more.  Notre Dame is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games as a road underdog or PK.  The Fighting Irish are a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game.  Bet Notre Dame Tuesday.

25* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Illinois -1.5

Purdue already clinched at least a share of the Big Ten title with an 80-74 home win as 10-point favorites over Michigan State on Saturday.  They rained down confetti and celebrated the feat at home.  Now they are in a massive letdown spot here on the road at Illinois, especially knowing they have a home game against Wisconsin still on deck to win the title outright if need be.

Illinois doesn't have the same luxury.  The Fighting Illini can pull within one game of Purdue for first place in the Big Ten with a win here tonight.  They want revenge from an 83-78 road loss at Purdue on January 5th in their first meeting this season.  But they didn't have their best player in Terrance Shannon Jr. (22.0 PPG) for that game due to suspension.  He makes all the difference for this team, and he has scored at least 23 points in six of his last seven games overall.  Illinois hasn't lost at home in Big Ten play with Shannon Jr. in the lineup.

The Boilermakers are kind of just going through the motions right now knowing they have a #1 seed pretty much locked up in the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They went to the wire at home with Minnesota and Michigan State, and also lost outright at Ohio State and went to the wire with Michigan on the road.  This is a big step up in class for the Boilermakers compared to what they have been facing here of late.  The spot really favors the Fighting Illini.  Bet Illinois Tuesday.

20* Alabama/Florida ESPN No-Brainer on Florida +1

The Florida Gators want revenge from a 98-93 (OT) loss at Alabama on February 21st just two weeks ago.  They led that game by double-digits in the final 10 minutes but blew the lead and lost in OT.  But now Florida is back home where they are 13-1 SU this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the SEC.

Alabama is coming off a crushing 81-74 home loss to Tennessee in a game that likely decided the SEC regular season championship.  I don't think the Crimson Tide will be able to get back up off the mat after that defeat.  Plus, Alabama hasn't been able to beat good teams on the road this season.  The Crimson Tide lost by 20 at Tennessee, by 18 at Auburn and by 22 at Kentucky.  Bet Florida Tuesday.

15* Thunder/Suns ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Oklahoma City -5.5

I love the spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.  They are coming off an upset road loss at San Antonio in one of their worst performances of the season.  They had gone 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their previous ix games with all six wins coming by 13 points or more.  They simply had a letdown and may have been looking ahead to this game against Phoenix.

Now the Thunder are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest.  The Suns are a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 118-109 loss to the Rockets on Saturday.  They lost Devin Booker to injury in that defeat and I have to think he is out for this one as well.  Plus, Jusuf Nurkic, Royce O'Neale and Eric Gordon are all questionable.  Kevin Durant is tired and Bradley Beal is not playing full minutes yet.  The Suns are a mess right now.

Oklahoma City is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 130 points or more.  Phoenix is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games after three or more consecutive unders.  The Suns are 0-8 ATS in home games vs. teams that are outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* Stanford/Colorado FS1 No-Brainer on Colorado -12

The Colorado Buffaloes have come up clutch here down the stretch while squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They have won three consecutive games including blowout home wins over Utah by 24 and California by 10 in their last two games.  They improved to 15-1 SU & 9-6 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.

Now the Buffaloes are playing their final home game this season meaning it is Senior Night.  They will be max motivated, and I expect them to win with plenty of room to spare against a Stanford Cardinal team that looks to have quit on head coach Jerod Haase.

Indeed, the Cardinal are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall losing by 20 at Washington, by 13 at Washington State, by 13 at home to Oregon, by 12 at home to Oregon State and by 22 at Utah.  They haven't even been competitive in these games, and now this will be their toughest game during this stretch tonight at Colorado.

Stanford is 1-8 ATS  in its last nine games off a road loss by 10 points or more.  Bet Colorado Sunday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Nebraska -8.5

Nebraska is a perfect 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in Big Ten home games this season.  Now the Huskers will be highly motivated to keep that perfect conference home record intact on Senior Night Sunday.  I expect them to blow out Rutgers similar to their last three home games where they beat Minnesota by 18, Penn State by 19 and Michigan by 20.  Rutgers is on those three teams' level.

Rutgers is 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this season.  They lost by 28 at Purdue and by 11 at Minnesota in their last two conference road games.  The Scarlet Knights don't have much to play for right now as they are headed to the NIT at best if they don't win the Big Ten Tournament.

Nebraska is also extra motivated for revenge from a 87-82 (OT) loss at Rutgers.  This one screams double-digit blowout in the Huskers' favor tonight.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Drake -4

Drake (24-6) still has an outside shot of winning the MVC trailing Indiana State by one game.  The Bulldogs also believe they are still alive for an at-large berth in the NCAA Tournament.  They have a lot to play for right now and are playing like it.

Drake has one of the best home-court advantages in the MVC going a perfect 15-0 SU at home this season and will be highly motivated to protect that perfect home mark on Senior Night today.  They already beat Bradley 74-67 on the road earlier this season and crushed the Braves 77-51 in the MVC Tournament last year.

Bradley doesn't have nearly as much to play for as the Braves are locked in to the No. 3 seed in the MVC Tournament and have no shot at an at-large.  The Braves have lost three of their last five MVC road games and should not be getting this much respect.

Drake is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after winning eight or more of its last 10 games.  Bradley is 2-17 ATS in its last 19 road games with a total set of 145 to 149.5.  Bet Drake Sunday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Dallas Mavericks -7.5

The Dallas Mavericks are 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and are fully healthy for basically the first time all season.  The Mavericks have three road losses to Indiana, Boston and Cleveland during this stretch, but they are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS at home with all four wins coming by 8 points or more including a 35-point win over OKC and a 10-point win over Phoenix.

The 76ers are 26-8 with Joel Embiid and 8-17 without him.  They have gone 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games overall and have been grossly overvalued without him.  Not to mention, they are without another key scorer in De'Anthony Melton right now, while Kelly Oubre Jr. is questionable.  I just can't see them being able to keep pace with the Mavericks today.  Bet the Mavericks Sunday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on San Jose State +14.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UNLV Rebels.  They are 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and getting very fortunate in close games recently.  They beat Colorado State by 6 at home and followed it up with a 75-69 (OT) win at Wyoming last time out having no business covering as 5.5-point favorites.

Now the Rebels are in a sandwich spot here with their next two games against San Diego State and Nevada likely to determine their NCAA Tournament hopes to close out the regular season.  I don't think they come with their best effort here, and we saw what happened to them when that was the case against Air Force at home as 11-point favorites in a game they lost by 32 points.

San Jose State showed some life in a 72-64 loss at 21.5-point dogs at San Diego State last time out.  The Aztecs continue to show up for head coach Tim Miles.  They lost 77-65 at home to UNLV in their first meeting this season on January 27th.  But UNLV shot 68.2% as a team including 46.7% from 3-point range.  I cannot expect the Rebels to shoot that well again in the rematch.

Plays on road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (San Jose State) - revenging a home loss by 10 points or more, off two straight conference losses are 175-109 (61.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  UNLV was a 3.5-point road favorite in that first meeting with the Spartans and is now a 14.5-point home favorite in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for flipping home courts.  Bet San Jose State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on TCU +7

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the BYU Cougars.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, coming back from double-digits down in the 2H to upset Kansas 76-68 on the road.  Nobody beats Kansas at Phog Allen Fieldhouse, and it was a huge accomplishment.  But now comes the natural letdown following that victory.

BYU has been shaky at home of late with each of its last three victories coming by 7 points or less, including a 2-point win as 12.5-point favorites over UCF and a 6-point win as 11-point favorites over Kansas State.  The Cougars are once again getting too much respect here as 7-point favorites over a much better TCU team.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Horned Frogs off a 62-54 home loss to Baylor on Monday.  They are rested and ready to go getting four days off in between games.  TCU has actually played its best basketball on the road this season, going 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five Big 12 road games with upset wins at Baylor and Kansas State, as well as a 1-point loss at Texas Tech.

I like the matchup for TCU too because they are an elite offensive team in transition while BYU's transition defense is suspect.  I think they can get a lot of easy points out in transition to stay within this inflated number and possibly pull off the upset.  TCU is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off an upset loss as a favorite.  Bet TCU Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Missouri +1.5

Missouri is 0-15 SU in SEC play this season.  But the Tigers continue to fight going 3-1 ATS in their last three games overall.  One of those games was a 79-76 road loss to Ole Miss on February 17th.  Now the Tigers have a great shot to get that elusive first conference win as they host the Rebels this time around.

Ole Miss looks like it has quit.  The Rebels are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with five of those losses coming by double-digits, including each of the last three.  This run has eliminated them from NCAA Tournament contention when they were safely in the field just a month ago.  They won't be motivated at all to beat Missouri again tonight.

Ole Miss is 2-15 ATS in its last 17 games after losing three of its last four games.  Missouri is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% or better.  The Tigers nearly upset Tennessee in a 5-point loss in their last home game, and they will pull off the upset tonight.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Notre Dame +6.5

Notre Dame is one of the most improved teams in the ACC from the beginning of the season up until now.  Micah Shrewsberry was a great hire and it was going to take some time.  But the Fighting Irish are really enjoying playing the role of spoiler here down the stretch.

Indeed, the Fighting Irish have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 as 7.5-point dogs at Syracuse.  They are 3-0 at home during this stretch and coming off a 70-65 upset win over Wake Forest as 6.5-point dogs.  Wake Forest is in the same class as Clemson, and the Fighting Irish should not be catching 6.5 points again at home today to the Tigers.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on Clemson after going 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Tigers have played four of their last five games at home.  Now they hit the road where things won't come as easy for them.

Notre Dame is 11-4 ATS vs. teams who commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Brad Brownell is 11-21 ATS in road games after winning six or seven of his last eight games as the coach of Clemson.  Shrewsberry is 11-1 ATS in March games as a head coach.  Bet Notre Dame Saturday.

15* Oregon/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oregon +13.5

Oregon (19-9) is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Ducks have a great opportunity to get in if they beat Arizona today.  They will be max motivated, and I trust head coach Dana Altman to come up with the right game plan to keep the Ducks competitive in this one Saturday.

Oregon was only a 3.5-point home underdog in its first meeting with Arizona in which the Wildcats shot 10-of-19 (52.6%) from 3-point range to win by 9.  Now the Ducks are 13.5-point dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for home-court advantage.  The Wildcats will not shoot that well again.

Arizona is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after forcing 8 or fewer turnovers last game.  Altman is 50-36 ATS as a road underdog or PK as the coach of Oregon.  Bet Oregon Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane +15.5

Florida Atlantic has been grossly overvalued in conference play this season after making the Final 4 last year.  The Owls join the American Athletic and are finding the sledding much tougher in a better conference.  They are just 4-11 ATS in conference games this season with just one win by more than 15 points, making for a 14-1 system working against them.  They should not be laying 15.5 points to Tulane today.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Tulane after going 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Green Wave have kind of been going through the motions, but like everyone else in this conference, Florida Atlantic will get their attention after making the Final 4 last year.  Plus, the Green Wave want revenge from a 85-84 home loss to FAU as 7-point dogs in their first meeting this season, so they have already proven they can play with them.

Tulane has played 27 games this season and has just one loss by more than 14 points all season.  That makes for a 26-1 system backing the Green Wave pertaining to this 15.5-point spread.  Bet Tulane Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +9.5

The Detroit Pistons have quietly gone 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall and continue to show up every night.  They followed up their tough 113-111 loss at New York as 11.5-point dogs with a 105-95 upset as 10.5-point dogs at Chicago on the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Now the Pistons have had the last two days off and are fresh and ready to give the Cleveland Cavaliers a run for their money.

Cleveland has been grossly overvalued of late going 3-4 SU & 0-7 ATS in its last seven games overall.  Donovan Mitchell is questionable to play tonight with a knee injury and is unlikely to go.  This is a tired Cavaliers team that will be playing their 6th game in 9 days.  Asking them to go on the road and win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

Detroit will be playing with triple revenge this season losing the first three meetings to the Cavaliers by 7, 9 and 8 points.  The Pistons don't want to get swept, and if they do a 9-point loss or less works for us.

The Pistons are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days.  The Pistons are 18-9 ATS when revenging a same-season loss this season.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

20* Gonzaga/San Francisco ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco +3.5

Both Gonzaga and San Francisco are on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  But Gonzaga looks more in than San Francisco right now, which means the Don need this game more.  The Bulldogs have a huge game on deck against St. Mary's on Saturday, and a win there would likely get them in the Big Dance.  They could be caught looking ahead to that game.

This is the best chance for the Dons to get a signature win, so they will be 'all in' to get it tonight.  Plus, they want revenge from a 77-72 road loss at Gonzaga in their first meeting this season.  The Bulldogs shot 20 more free throws than they did, and that was the difference.  I think they will get the benefit of the whistle at home this time around.

Nobody in the WCC has played Gonzaga and St. Mary's tougher than San Francisco has.  The Dons also lost by just 4 at St. Mary's two games ago.  It's time for them to get rewarded for their efforts tonight.  They are 14-1 SU at home this season.

The Dons are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more.  San Francisco is 7-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more this season.  Bet San Francisco Thursday.

20* Wizards/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington +9.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are in a brutal spot tonight.  They came back from 21 points down in the 4th quarter to beat their hated rivals in the Los Angeles Clippers last night.  It was the largest comeback of LeBron James' career in the 4th quarter, and he was the catalyst.

Now the Lakers are a very tired team with James questionable to play tonight in the 2nd of a back-to-back.  He played 37 minutes, Anthony Davis 36, Russell 34 and Reaves 36 last night.  They aren't a very deep team right now due to missing Wood, Vincent and Vanderbilt as well.

The Wizards will relish this opportunity to try and knock off the Lakers on the road.  They have played their best basketball on the road this season going 19-10-1 ATS in road games.  They had yesterday off and took both the Cavaliers and Warriors to the wire in their last two games, so they have been competitive and have not quit.

The Lakers are 1-10 ATS off a road win this season.  Washington is 11-2 ATS in road games after going under the total in its previous game this season.  The Wizards are a perfect 11-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season.  Bet the Wizards Thursday.

20* Heat/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Miami +5

The Miami Heat want revenge after losing 4-1 in the NBA Finals to the Denver Nuggets last season.  This is their first chance at revenge in the 2023-24 season, and I expect them to take advantage now that they are playing their best basketball of the season, plus the fact that they have the rest advantage.

The Heat are 9-2 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone losses coming by 4 to Boston and by 8 to the Clippers.  They are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six road games including upset wins at Milwaukee by 26 as 8-point dogs, at Philadelphia by 5 as 3-point dogs, at New Orleans by 11 as 3-point dogs and at Sacramento by 11 as 7.5-point dogs.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets, who are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games against a very weak schedule.  Their lone impressive win was at Golden State, but they also beat Washington and Portland and Sacramento without De'Aaron Fox.  The Nuggets needed a comeback win last night against the Kings, and Jamal Murray is questionable to play tonight after scoring 32 points on 13-of-15 shooting.  I'll gladly fade the Nuggets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  Bet the Heat Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Santa Clara -9.5

Santa Clara has been one of the most underrated teams in the country since getting into conference play.  The Broncos played a very difficult non-conference schedule which prepared them for this.  They beat the likes of Oregon, Stanford and Washington State in the non-conference.

The Broncos have since gone 11-2-1 ATS in WCC play this season.  That includes their 101-86 home win over the Portland Pilots.  This despite the Pilots shooting 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range while also shooting 17 more FT than the Broncos, yet they still lost by 15.  They are due some shooting regression in the rematch, and another blowout victory in the Broncos' favor is in store.

Portland is just 3-15 SU in its last 18 games overall with 12 losses by double-digits.  The three wins came against Pacific (twice) and Pepperdine by 4.  Pacific is the worst team in the conference.  Portland is one of the worst rebounding teams in the country and they will be up against one of the best rebounding teams in the country in Santa Clara, which is something they cannot fix.  Santa Clara outrebounded Portland 39-24 in the first meeting.

Santa Clara is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  Portland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games vs. dominant rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 7-plus boards per game.  Bet Santa Clara Thursday.

20* Seton Hall/Creighton FS1 No-Brainer on Seton Hall +8.5

Seton Hall is making its move to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Pirates have gotten healthy and have gone 5-1 SU in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Villanova.  They beat Xavier by 18 at home three games ago, upset St. John's 68-62 on the road two games ago and crushed Butler by 12 at home last time out.

Now the Pirates want revenge from a 97-94 (3 OT) home loss to Creighton.  I love the value we are getting on them catching 8.5 points in the rematch.  They have a huge rest advantage here playing just their 2nd game in 10 days while having the last three days off, while Creighton has only had two days off since their 80-66 road loss at St. John's on Sunday with travel involved as well.  I think the Bluejays remain overvalued after upsetting UConn at home two games ago.

Creighton is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season.  Seton Hall is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games after two straight games with two or fewer assists.  The Pirates are on a mission tonight and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull the outright upset.  Bet Seton Hall Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Southern Illinois +8.5

Southern Illinois has just one loss by more than 4 points in its last 12 games.  The Salukis should not be catching 8.5 points to Bradley tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 1-point home loss to Bradley in their first meeting this season.  I love playing revenge-minded road underdogs who lost a close game to their opponent in their first meeting.

Bradley is just 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  The Braves only won by 3 as 12.5-point home favorites over Illinois State last time out.  They also lost at home to Drake outright, so they have been vulnerable at home.  Southern Illinois is 7-2 ATS in its last nine true road games and has played its best basketball on the highway.

Each of the last 10 meetings between Bradley and Southern Illinois have been decided by 10 points or less, including eight by 8 points or fewer.  The Salukis trail the Braves by one game for third place in the MVC and are trying to hang on to a top 4 seed leading two teams by one game or less for that spot to add to their motivation.  Bet Southern Illinois Wednesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Raptors +3

The Toronto Raptors have quietly gone 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 to Indiana going into the break.  They have come out of the break on fire with a 28-point win over Brooklyn as 1-point home favorites, a 2-point win at Atlanta as 8-point dogs and an 8-point win at Indiana as 5.5-point dogs.

The Raptors are still very much alive for the play-in in the Eastern Conference trailing the reeling Hawks and Bulls.  They are playing with a fire under their belly to try and make it.  The Raptors have a big rest advantage over the Dallas Mavericks tonight.  This will be just the 2nd game in 5 days for the Raptors, who are fully healthy right now.

Dallas will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd road game in 4 days.  The Mavericks will have to try and get back up off the mat after losing on a half court buzzer-beater to the Cleveland Cavaliers last night.  Luke Doncis played 41 minutes and had 45 points, 14 assists and 9 rebounds while Kyrie Irving played 39 minutes and scored 30 points, and it still wasn't enough.  I question how much these two and the Mavericks have left in the tank tonight.

Toronto is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 home games off two consecutive road games.  Dallas is 16-30 ATS in its last 46 non-conference games.  Toronto has pulled the outright upset in each of its last two meetings with Dallas, including on the road earlier this season.  Bet the Raptors Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Providence +11.5

The Providence Friars (18-9) are coming up clutch here down the stretch while squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with upset wins over Creighton at home and Xavier on the road.  Their lone loss came by 3 points at Butler.

The Friars can pretty much seal their spot in the Big Dance with an upset road win at Marquette tonight, and they will be max motivated to do just that.  They already beat Marquette 72-57 as 4-point home dogs in their first meeting this season, so they clearly have this team figured out.

Providence also has a big rest advantage having six days off in between games to rest and prepare for the Golden Eagles.  Meanwhile, Marquette just beat Xavier on Sunday and will only have two days to get ready.  The Golden Eagles should not be this heavily favored given the rest disrepancy.

Providence is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six road games when playing with five or six days' rest.  The Friars are 7-1 ATS in Big East road games this season.  Providence is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% or better.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Notre Dame +6.5

This is a terrible spot for Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons are in a massive letdown spot off their 83-79 'upset' home win over a Top 10 Duke Blue Devils team that led to a court storming.  It followed up their blowout home win over Pitt.  The Demon Deacons won't be nearly as motivated to beat lowly Notre Dame tonight.

Wake Forest has been vulnerable on the road this season going 3-9 SU & 4-8 ATS in 12 games played away from home.  Notre Dame is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and improving as the season goes on under first-year head coach Micah Shrewsberry.  They beat Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech at home, upset Louisville by 22 on the road and only lost by 3 as 7.5-point dogs at Syracuse.

The home team is 5-1 SU in the last six meetings between Notre Dame and Wake Forest.  The Fighting Irish are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 85 points or more.  This is a dangerous, sleepy spot for the Demon Deacons.  Bet Notre Dame Tuesday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +14.5

The Charlotte Hornets are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their only non-cover came on the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road to the Warriors by 13 as 12.5-point dogs.  The Warriors got a layup in the final seconds to cover when they could have ran out the shot clock.

The point is the Hornets are a team that keeps fighting.  They have won all five of those games outright as underdogs beating Memphis 115-106 as 5-point dogs, Indiana 111-102 as 10-point dogs, Atlanta 122-109 as 7-point dogs, Utah 115-107 as 10-point dogs and Portland 93-80 as 3.5-point dogs.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Milwaukee Bucks.  They are coming off two consecutive huge road wins over the Timberwolves and 76ers.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Hornets, who they just blew out at home in early February.  But this is a different Hornets team now, and they will be the more motivated team for revenge.  Getting 14.5 points here is too much.

Charlotte is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 road games after allowing 105 points or fewer last game.  The Hornets are playing elite defense right now holding their last six opponents to an average of 98.5 points per game, which is unheard of in today's NBA.  Bet the Hornets Tuesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans -2.5

I love the spot for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.  They are coming off two consecutive upset home losses to the Heat and Bulls.  But they have played their best basketball on the road this season, and they will be happy to get to play at Madison Square Garden tonight.

The Pelicans are 15-4 SU & 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games.  They have a big rest advantage tonight after having yesterday off.  Meanwhile, the Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing a basket in the final seconds to beat the Pistons 113-111 as 11.5-point home favorites on Monday.

The Knicks have been struggling lately due to all the injuries that have mounted up.  The Knicks are 3-6 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are without three of their best players in Randle, Anunoby and Robinson.  Josh Hart played 42 minutes, Jalen Brunson 40 and Dante ViVincenzo 32 last night.  The Knicks won't have much left in the tank for the Pelicans tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Tuesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks PK

It's addition by subtraction for the Atlanta Hawks.  They have actually been better without Trae Young than with him this season.  They proved it again last time out with a 109-92 home win over the Orlando Magic last time out.  They are certainly much better defensively without Young, and Dejounte Murray plays better when he is running the offense rather than playing off the ball.

The Utah Jazz are a mess right now going 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone win coming at home over the lowly San Antonio Spurs.  They lost by 8 as 10-point favorites to the Hornets, by 3 to the Warriors who were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, by 16 at home to the Lakers, by 22 at home to the Warriors and by 14 at Phoenix.  They are all but eliminated from playoff contention because they would have to chase down the Warriors or Lakers for the final two play-in spots, which they know isn't happening.

The Jazz are 9-20 SU & 13-16 ATS on the road this season where they are getting outscored by 10.0 points pre game.  Atlanta is trying to fend off two teams for the final play-in spot in the East.  Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Loyola-Chicago +3.5

Loyola-Chicago sits at 20-7 this season and 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in Atlantic 10 play and tied for first place in the conference with a lot to play for the rest of the way.  There's a shot they could earn an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament with a big finish.

The Ramblers are 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone loss coming on the road by 7 at VCU.  The spot really favors them because they are rested and ready to go tonight playing just their 2nd game 9 days and coming off an 80-59 home win over George Mason that took very little out of them.

St. Bonaventure will be playing in its 3rd different city in 7 days after a 13-point road loss at La Salle on Wednesday followed up an upset road win at UMass on Saturday that is giving the Bonnies more respect than they deserve tonight.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Loyola-Chicago Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -4

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Wisconsin Badgers after going 2-5 SU & 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They went through a gauntlet during that stretch with little rest and some very tough opponents.

But the Badgers finally got the rest they needed as they have had the last six days off.  Now they get to face arguably the worst team in the Big Ten in the Indiana Hoosiers, who are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The last four games have been very concerning losing by 20 at Purdue, by 4 at home to Northwestern, by 15 at home to Nebraska and by 9 at Penn State.

The Hoosiers are dangerously close to quitting on head coach Mike Woodson, and they are a banged up team that just isn't very deep.  This is a tough spot for the Hoosiers playing their 4th game in 10 days to really test that fatigue.

Wisconsin is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 road games after losing five or six of its last seven games.  Bet Wisconsin Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh +7.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and could use a big road win over Clemson tonight.  The Panthers are on the bubble despite going 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with some tremendous road wins during this stretch.  They upset Duke, NC State and Virginia on the road.

Now the Panthers have their sights set on revenge from a 79-70 home loss to Clemson as 1.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  I think it's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tigers after going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, including two blowout wins at Georgia Tech and at home against Florida State, which are two of the worst teams in the conference.  They lost outright to NC State at home the game prior as similar 8-point favorites.

Clemson is just 2-6 ATS in ACC home games this season.  The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games after making 78% of their free throws or better last game.  Pitt is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when revenging a home loss.  The Panthers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points.  Bet Pittsburgh Tuesday.

15* Baylor/TCU ESPN ANNIHILATOR on TCU -2

TCU is playing as well as anyone in the Big 12 right now.  The Horned Frogs are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming by a single point as 5.5-point road dogs at Texas Tech.  They crushed West Virginia by 16 and Cincinnati by 18 at home and upset Kansas State on the road as well.

Now the Horned Frogs get to stay at home following that 18-point win over Cincinnati on Saturday.  They will still be fresh and ready to go tonight.  The same cannot be said for Baylor, which is in one of the worst spots of the season.

Baylor is coming off an 82-76 (OT) home loss to Houston.  The Bears had a chance to win it with a FT with 4 seconds left in regulation and missed.  I don't know how they are going to be able to get back up off the mat after that defeat, which followed up two road games at West Virginia and at BYU with a lot of travel involved.  The Bears will now be playing in their 4th different city in 10 days.  And they must face a TCU team that likes to push the tempo and will test their tired legs and minds.

TCU beat Baylor 105-102 (3 OT) on the road in their first meeting this season.  Baylor is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a loss as a favorite.  The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games after five straight games forcing 14 or fewer turnovers.  TCU is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after four straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers.  Bet TCU Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +2.5

Finding teams like the Memphis Grizzlies who are out of playoff contention but continue to show up and fight every night is one key to winning in the NBA late in the season.  The Grizzlies are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games taking both New Orleans and the Clippers to the wire in two losses, while also upsetting both Houston and Milwaukee.

Finding teams like the Brooklyn Nets who seem to care less about winning games and fading them is also one key to winning in the NBA late in the season.  The Nets are 8-25 SU & 8-24-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.  Their last three games were very concerning.  They lost by 50 at Boston, by 28 at Toronto and by 15 at Minnesota.  They aren't even trying right now, and they should not be favored over the Grizzlies, who at least get after it defensively ranking 10th in the NBA in defensive rating.

Memphis is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games off three or more consecutive home games.  Brooklyn is 1-10 ATS in road games after losing six or seven of its last eight games this season.  The Nets are 2-14 ATS in road games vs. teams who shoot 24 or fewer free throws per game.  The Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. teams that shoot 21 or fewer free throws per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Grizzlies Monday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +3.5

The Charlotte Hornets are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  Their only non-cover came on the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road to the Warriors by 13 as 12.5-point dogs.  The Warriors got a layup in the final seconds to cover when they could have ran out the shot clock.

The point is the Hornets are a team that keeps fighting.  They have won all four of those games outright as underdogs beating Memphis 115-106 as 5-point dogs, Indiana 111-102 as 10-point dogs, Atlanta 122-109 as 7-point dogs and Utah 115-107 as 10-point dogs.

Now the Hornets take on a hapless Portland Trail Blazers that has no business being favored over them in their current state.  The Blazers are 0-7 SU in their last seven games overall losing all seven games by 6 points or more, and six by 9 points or more.  They are without Malcolm Brogdon, Scoot Henderson and Shaedon Sharpe right now and struggling to score without these guys.  They have scored 112 or fewer points in six of their last seven games with the lone exception being 122 against the Pistons in OT.

Portland is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days this season.  Charlotte is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after allowing 105 points or less.  The Hornets are only allowing 102.2 points per game in their last five games and are getting after it defensively.  Bet the Hornets Sunday.

25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Golden State Warriors +1

The Golden State Warriors are motivated to make the playoffs.  They are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only loss coming to the Clippers.  The Clippers rallied from a double-digit deficit in the 4th quarter after Tyron Lue was ejected and they couldn't miss from 3 down the stretch.

The Warriors also want some revenge on the defending champion Denver Nuggets.  They are 0-3 SU against the Nuggets this season losing by 3, 3 and 6 points.  They have been close, but they haven't been able to get over the hump.  Now I fully expect them to get over the hump and avoid the season sweep.

The Nuggets have two starters questionable to play in this one in Jamaal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.  This isn't a very deep team as it is, so missing one or both would be big.  But I like the Warriors to get the job done either way.

Golden State is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 home games off two consecutive covers as a favorite.  Plays against favorites (Denver) - after scoring 120 points or more against an opponent that is coming off a game with a combined score of 185 points or less are 29-9 (76.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Warriors Sunday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota +7

Minnesota is the most underrated team in the country.  The Gophers have gone 17-9 SU & 23-3 ATS and are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  They could use a big road win over Nebraska, and at the very least I expect them to stay within 7 points.

You're paying a tax to back the Huskers at home now since they are perfect both SU and ATS at home in Big Ten play this season.  But Minnesota has been no pushover on the road.  They have gone 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall including 4-0 ATS in their last four Big Ten road games not once losing by more than 10 points.  

They only lost by as as 16.5-point road dogs at Purdue, upset Penn State and nearly upset Iowa.  The Gophers will give the Huskers a run for their money in a game that should come down to the final possession.  Bet Minnesota Sunday.

20* Creighton/St. John's CBS No-Brainer on St. John's +2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the St. John's Red Storm.  They have gone just 3-8 SU in their last 11 games overall and have failed to cover the spread in four consecutive games.  Head coach Rick Pitino called out his team and it was a bad look, which is giving us the opportunity to 'buy low'.

But the Red Storm responded well to Pitino last game jumping out to a huge lead against Georgetown and coasting home for the victory.  Now the Red Storm want revenge from a 66-65 loss at Creighton as 6-point dogs on January 13th.  Now they are 2.5-point home dogs in the rematch, and the books haven't adjusted enough for flipping home courts as St. John's should be favored.

While the Red Storm need this game like blood and will be max motivated, this is a massive letdown spot for Creighton.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season where everything went right for them in knocking of No. 1 UConn at home.  They are also 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, so we are 'selling high' on the Bluejays here.

St. John's is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after failing to cover the spread in eight or more of its last 10 games.  Rick Pitino is a perfect 9-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in eight or more of his last 10 games as a head coach having never lost in this situation.  Bet St. John's Sunday.

20* Celtics/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on New York +6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks and 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics.  The Knicks went into the All-Star Break going 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their final six games.  But their struggles were largely due to injuries to Brunson, DiVincenzo and Hartenstein.  All three came back from the break healthy.

I successfully backed the Knicks on the ML as underdogs in a 110-96 win at Philadelphia in their first game back from the break.  And now I'm back on them as 6.5-point home dogs to the Celtics as they still look undervalued in the market place.

Boston is the consensus best team in the NBA.  But with that consensus comes expectations that are hard to live up to.  You're paying a tax on the Celtics right now due to having the best record in the NBA and being on a 7-game winning streak.  But Boston is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games overall, and if they manage to win this game, it will go down to the wire against the feisty Knicks.

New York is 12-2 ATS in home games with a total of 220 to 229.5 this season.  Boston is 12-25 ATS in its last 37 games off two consecutive covers as favorites.  The Knicks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Knicks Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -3

Seton Hall is making its move to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Pirates have gotten healthy and have gone 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Villanova.  They beat Xavier by 18 at home two games ago and upset St. John's 68-62 on the road last time out.

The Pirates have had the last five days off to rest and get ready for this game against reeling Butler.  The Bulldogs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall including a pair of blowout losses in their last two, losing by 22 at home to Creighton and by 10 at Villanova.  The Bulldogs are coming back down to reality as this team just isn't that talented and doesn't play much defense, allowing 71 or more points in seven consecutive games.

Seton Hall beat Butler 78-72 on the road in their first meeting this season to improve to 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with all five wins by 6 points or more.  Butler even shot 39.1% from 3 and 15-of-16 (93.7%) from the FT line in that first meeting and still lost by 6.  It's going to be hard to see them improving on the road in the rematch.

Butler is 1-7 ATS off a conference loss this season.  Shaheen Holloway is 7-0 ATS vs. up-tempo teams that attempt 62 or more shots per game after 15-plus game as a head coach.  Holloway is 9-1 ATS in home games off an upset win as a road underdog as a head coach.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

20* Villanova/UConn FOX No-Brainer on Villanova +12.5

The Villanova Wildcats are playing their way back into NCAA Tournament contention by playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 points at Xavier.  All four wins have come by double-digits by 10 over Butler, by 26 over Seton Hall, by 16 over Georgetown and by 18 over Providence.  The Wildcats haven't lost any of their last seven games by more than 7 points.

Now the Wildcats want revenge from a 66-65 home loss to UConn as 3.5-point dogs.  They are catching 12.5 points on the road in the rematch, which is too much.  Everyone is expecting UConn to bounce back from its 85-66 loss at Creighton, but I'm not buying it.  Villanova needs this game more and will be the more motivated team.

Villanova hasn't lost any of its last 18 meetings with UConn by more than 12 points, making for an 18-0 system backing the Wildcats pertaining to this 12.5-point spread.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Illinois State +12.5

Illinois State has quietly gone 6-4 SU & 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games overall not once losing by more than 13 points.  The last four games have been very impressive going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS with the lone loss at Southern Illinois by 3 as 8-point dogs.

In their very next game the Redbirds pulled off the upset of the season in the MVC beating Indiana State 80-67 as 17.5-point road dogs.  They could have easily let down after that, but instead they have gone on to beat Evansville by 7 as 3.5-point home favorites and Northern Iowa by 81-73 as 1.5-point home dogs to prove it was no fluke.

Now the Redbirds want revenge from that 13-point loss to Bradley at home in their first meeting.  Bradley shot 58.8% in that game which is unsustainable.  Home-court advantage has meant little in this series as the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Illinois State is 3-0 ATS in its last three trips to Bradley not once losing by more than 8 points.

The Redbirds are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 80 points or more in two consecutive games.  Bet Illinois State Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on UNLV -1

UNLV is making its push to make the NCAA Tournament playing its best basketball of the season here down the stretch.  The Rebels are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming after they blew a double-digit lead late to rival Nevada and lost by 3.  Their wins have been mighty impressive including an 80-77 upset win at New Mexico as a 12-point dog.  They bounced back from that loss to Nevada with a 29-point win at Air Force last time out.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 78-75 loss at Colorado State as 7-point dogs.  The Rams are 1-6 SU in Mountain West road games with thier lone win coming at Fresno State.  They lost by 16 at San Diego State, by 13 at Nevada, by 7 at Boise State and by 5 at Utah State.  UNLV is in the same class as those teams and will handle their business at home.

UNLV is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77 or more points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet UNLV Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Georgetown -4.5

DePaul is 0-15 SU & 5-10 ATS in Big East play this season and just ready for this dreadful season to be over.  They have an interim coach and haven't been any more competitive since firing their head man.  They have gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and were fortunate to cover as 20-point dogs to Providence in a game they trail by 23 in the final minutes.

Georgetown continues to play hard for first-year head coach Ed Cooley.  Despite going 0-11 SU in their last 11 games overall, the Hoyas have gone 6-5 ATS with five losses by single-digits.  They are about to get rewarded for their efforts with a blowout victory over the hapless Blue Demons tonight.

Georgetown is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.  DePaul is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Bet Georgetown Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Belmont -5

The Belmont Bruins have gotten healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season right now as a result.  They have gone 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with two losses to the two best teams in the conference in Indiana State and Drake, plus a 7-point loss at Missouri State.

Now the Bruins get their shot at revenge on the Bears at home this time around.  They have gone 10-2 SU at home this season.  The Bears have gone the other direction since that win, going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win against the worst team in the conference in Valpairaiso by 8 as 13-point home favorites.  They are coming off a 26-point home loss to Bradley and lost by 10 at Murray State in their last road game.

Missouri State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss by 10 points or more.  I question the Bears' motivation the rest of the way.  The Bruins will want this one more.  Bet Belmont Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Loyola-Chicago -3

Loyola-Chicago sits at 19-7 this season and 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in Atlantic 10 play and tied for first place in the conference with a lot to play for the rest of the way.  There's a shot they could earn an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament with a big finish.

The Ramblers are 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their lone loss coming on the road by 7 at VCU.  The spot really favors them because they have five days in between games to rest and prepare for George Mason.

The spot is a bad one for the Patriots who are coming off their biggest win of the season, beating ranked Dayton 71-67 at home on Wednesday.  Now they only have two days off in between games and are in a massive letdown spot off the Dayton win.

Loyola-Chicago beat George Mason 85-79 on the road in the first meeting despite the Patriots shooting 59.5% as a team and 9-of-17 (52.9%) from 3-point range while making 26 free throws.  They aren't going to shoot that well again on the road in the rematch.  Bet Loyola-Chicago Saturday.

25* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR on Kentucky -1

I love the spot for the Kentucky Wildcats today.  They were humbled with a 75-74 loss at LSU at the buzzer which followed up their 70-59 road win over Auburn handing the Tigers their first home loss of the season.  That was a clear sandwich spot for Kentucky with this game against Alabama on deck.

Now we will get Kentucky's best effort today, and it will be good enough to beat Alabama.  The Crimson Tide are riding high right now winning seven of their last eight.  But they needed OT to beat Florida as 10-point home favorites last time out, and that effort will have taken a lot out of them.

Alabama will be without Mohamed Wague (4.0 PPG) due to suspension and could be without Latrell Whitesell Jr. (9.0 PPG, 44.5% 3-pointers), who missed last game with a concussion.  Conversely, there's a good chance Kentucky gets back Tre Mitchell (12.0 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 3.1 APG) after missing the last two games with a shoulder injury.  They beat Auburn without him, however.

Nate Oats is 4-15 ATS off a home win where they didn't cover as a favorite as the coach of Alabama.  Oats is 1-9 ATS after three straight games where both teams scored 75 points or more as the coach of the Crimson Tide.  Bet Kentucky Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on East Tennessee State +13

Samford (24-4) is just one win away from clinching the Southern Conference regular season title with three games remaining.  They have a home game against The Citadel to close out the season and will be a massive favorite.  I expect the Bulldogs to be going through the motions until the conference tournament.

We've seen that already with an 88-84 loss at 10-point favorites at Mercer two games ago followed by a comeback 74-72 home win over Furman as 7-point favorites last time out.  I think this is a letdown spot over that massive win over Furman.

East Tennessee State only lost 75-72 as 6-point home dogs to Samford in their first meeting this season despite shooting just 37.8% from the floor while the Bulldogs shot 52.8%.  They are due some positive shooting regression, and they should not be catching 13 points in the rematch.

East Tennessee State hasn't lost any of its last 19 meetings with Samford by more than 11 points.  That makes for a 19-0 system backing the Buccaneers pertaining to this 13-point spread.  Bet East Tennessee State Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on UMass -3.5

Frank Martin is working wonders in his first season at UMass.  He has the Minutemen sitting at 17-9 this season and 8-6 in conference play.  The Minutemen are 12-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season and coming off an impressive 74-52 win over VCU as 2-point home favorites.  They should be laying more than 3.5 points at home to St. Bonaventure today.

The Bonnies are 16-10 this season and 7-7 in conference play.  They are coming off a bad 72-59 road loss to LaSalle as 5.5-point favorites to fall to 1-6 SU in their last seven Atlantic 10 road games with their lone win coming at lowly Fordham.  All six losses came by 4 points or more.  Bet UMass Saturday.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet UMass Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Wake Forest -1

I love the spot for Wake Forest Saturday.  They get a chance at quick revenge after giving Duke a run for its money in a 77-69 road loss as 7-point dogs on February 12th.  Now they get to host the Blue Devils in the rematch here two weeks later, and home-court advantage will make all the difference.

Wake Forest is 14-0 SU & 11-3 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 20.1 points per game.  The Demon Deacons are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in ACC home games this season outscoring opponents by 20 points per game.  They have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.

Duke is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 75 points or more in four consecutive games.  Bet Wake Forest Saturday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +13

One key to winning in the NBA is finding undervalued teams out of the playoff hunt that continue to play hard every night.  One of those teams is the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets have quietly gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  

That includes 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with outright upset victories over Memphis by 9 as 5-point dogs, over Indiana by 9 as 10-point dogs, by 23 over Atlanta as 7-point dogs and by 8 over Utah as 10-point dogs.  This is a young team that has not quit, and the players they traded for are making an immediate impact and playing with a chip on their shoulder.

Golden State is overvalued off a 128-110 home win over the Los Angeles Lakers last night.  They wanted revenge on the Lakers after losing 145-144 (OT) at home to them in their previous meeting and they got it.  But keep in mind it was without LeBron James.  Plus, this is now a huge sandwich spot for them with defending champion Denver on deck at home on Sunday that they could be looking ahead to.  I don't think we get a max effort from the Warriors, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 13-point spread.  Bet the Hornets Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +9.5

One key to winning in the NBA is finding undervalued teams out of the playoff hunt that continue to play hard every night.  One of those teams is the Memphis Grizzlies.  They went into the All-Star Break covering three straight including outright upsets over Houston 121-113 as 3-point home dogs and Milwaukee 113-110 as 12-point home dogs the very next night on the 2nd of a back-to-back.

Everyone is talking about the Los Angeles Clippers winning the NBA title right now.  As a result, the Clippers are overvalued.  They are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 107-129 loss in Oklahoma City last night.  Asking them to win by double-digits on the road to beat us here is asking too much.

The Clippers are 6-19 ATS in their last 25 games off a road loss by 10 points or more.  Los Angeles is 9-18 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Grizzlies are 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games when playing with double revenge.  Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

I love the spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to the Orlando Magic last night, who have been the best covering team in the NBA and are grossly undervalued.  But the Cavaliers also didn't have their best player in Donovan Mitchell due to illness in that loss.

My best guess is Mitchell returns tonight, but I like the Cavaliers either way.  I'll gladly fade the 76ers again like I did with the Knicks easily cashing on the Knicks ML +100 in a 110-96 victory over the 76ers in a game that wasn't even that close.

The Philadelphia 76ers remain without Joel Embiid and the difference between being with or without him has been drastic for this team.  The 76ers are 26-8 with Embiid in the lineup but just 6-15 without him.  They should not be getting this much respect tonight without him.

Cleveland is 12-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Cavaliers are 17-3 SU & 12-8 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. good passing teams that average 23 or more assists per game.  Bet the Cavaliers Friday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cornell -1.5

I love the spot for Cornell tonight.  The Big Red will be out for revenge from an 80-78 road loss at Yale on February 10th just two weeks ago.  They blew an 8-point halftime lead in that game and a 7-point lead late.  Now they get the Bulldogs at home this time around.

Cornell is 9-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  Matt Knowling (11.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG) had 12 points and 9 rebounds in that first meeting for Yale.  Knowling has been out with a groin injury since and is questionable to play tonight.

Cornell is 6-0 ATS in its last six Friday night home games.  The Big Red are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Cornell is 6-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season.  These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Big Red tonight.  Bet Cornell Friday.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +15.5

The Washington Wizards have been a great bet on the road this season.  They have gone 19-8-1 ATS in their 28 road games as one of the best covering teams on the highway in the NBA this season.  They are consistently catching too many points away from home, and that's the case again tonight as 15.5-point dogs at Denver.

The Nuggets have been kind of bored just waiting for the playoffs to get here.  The defending champs are having that dreaded title hangover.  They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 29 at Sacramento, by 17 at Milwaukee and by 4 at home to Sacramento in the rematch in a game you would have expected them to fire back in.  The Nuggets are now just 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.

Washington is 7-0 ATS in non-conference road games this season.  The Wizards are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 road games off a non-conference game.  Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games off five or more consecutive losses this season.  Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. poor teams that are outscoring by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the Wizards Thursday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +10

The Charlotte Hornets quietly went 5-1 ATS in their final six games going into the All-Star Break.  That includes 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three games with outright upset victories over Memphis by 9 as 5-point dogs, over Indiana by 9 as 10-point dogs and by 23 over Atlanta as 7-point dogs.  This is a young team that has not quit, and the players they traded for are making an immediate impact.

The Utah Jazz went 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their final four games going into the break to all but play themselves out of playoff contention.  Three of the four losses came by 14 points or more.  I question their motivation the rest of the way, and they are so poor defensively that they cannot be laying double-digits to Charlotte tonight.  They have allowed 129 or more points in four consecutive games.

Charlotte is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 105 points or less.  Utah is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days.  Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Charlotte) - a poor team that is outscored by 3-plus points per game, after allowing 105 points or fewer in two consecutive games are 43-13 (76.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Hornets Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota -3.5

Minnesota is the single-most underrated team in the entire country.  The Golden Gophers are 16-9 SU & 22-3 ATS this season, including 14-3 SU & 16-1 ATS at home.  They are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall as the books just cannot catch up to how good this team really is.

But Minnesota finds itself on the outside looking in in terms of making the NCAA Tournament currently, so they cannot afford a letdown here.  I expect another big effort from the Gophers tonight as they get the win and cover at home against Ohio State.

Ohio State is just 3-9 SU in its last 12 games overall.  But the Buckeyes are coming off their biggest win of the season, beating Purdue outright 73-69 as 8-point home dogs.  That was their first game with their interim head coach after firing Chris Holtman.  But now they are in a massive letdown spot and getting too much respect off that win against Purdue.

Ohio State is 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this season.  Minnesota is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in Big Ten home games this season.  Ohio State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Minnesota is 11-1 ATS as a favorite this season.  Bet Minnesota Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Rutgers +15.5

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are making their push to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  An upset win over Purdue would be just what the doctor ordered.  The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 SU in their last five games overall which includes upset road wins at Michigan, at Maryland and at home over Wisconsin.

Rutgers already proved it could play with Purdue only losing 68-60 as 10-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season.  The Scarlet Knights improved to 5-3 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with Purdue.  They haven't lost any of those eight meetings by more than 12 points.  Defense travels, and Rutgers is as good as anyone on that end ranking 2nd in the country in adjusted defense behind only Houston.

Rutgers is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a conference loss by 10 points or more.  The Scarlet Knights are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against good shooting teams that make 48% or better.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on New Mexico -7

I love the spot for New Mexico tonight.  The Lobos are coming off an 81-70 road loss at San Diego State on Friday.  They have had the last four days off to rest and prepare for revenge on Colorado State, which they lost 76-68 to on January 2nd in their first meeting this season.  Colorado State made 14 more free throws than they did which was the difference.

Now the Lobos get the Rams at home where they are 11-2 SU & 9-3-1 ATS inside 'The Pit', which is one of the toughest venues in the country for road teams.  The Lobos are 18-3 SU & 14-7 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with the Rams.

This is a good time to 'sell high' on the Rams coming off a 20-point blowout home victory over Utah State.  They have also gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games with four of those at home.  They did win at Fresno State, but they also lost by 16 at San Diego State in their other road game.  The Rams are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in MWC road games this season.

New Mexico is 8-1 ATS in home games with a total of 150 to 159.5 this season.  The Lobos are 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game this season.  The Lobos are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS following a loss this season.  Bet New Mexico Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette -25.5

The books just can't set the lines in these DePaul games high enough.  The Blue Demons have lost 13 consecutive games with nine of those 13 losses coming by 23 points or more.  They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games losing by 33 to Seton Hall, by 25 to Xavier, by 28 to St. John's and by 36 to UConn.  I'll gladly lay the 25.5 points with Marquette at home Wednesday.

DePaul did only lost by 13 at home to Marquette in their first meeting this season.  But they got the new coach bounce in that game as their head coach was fired after the game prior.  The Blue Demons are also coming off a misleading 11-point loss at Providence.  The Friars led that game by 23 points late before the Blue Demons closed on a 12-0 run to make it look closer than it was.

I know we're going to get a focused effort from Marquette tonight, which is key when laying these big numbers.  The Golden Eagles are coming off an embarrassing 81-53 road loss at Connecticut over the weekend.  They had gone 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games.  They will get right in a big way with a 26-plus point home victory over DePaul tonight.

DePaul is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a game where they committed 8 or fewer turnovers.  Marquette is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte +5.5

Charlotte is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The 49ers are 17-8 SU & 14-9 ATS this season including 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS in AAC play.  They are in 2nd place in the conference just one game behind South Florida, which is also one of the most underrated teams in the country.

On the opposite end of the spectrum is Memphis, which is one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The Tigers are 7-6 SU & 2-11 ATS in AAC play this season.  Penny Hardaway is in dangerous territory here looking like he has lost this team.

Memphis followed up a 76-66 loss at North Texas with a 106-79 loss at SMU on Sunday.  The Tigers just quit playing defense against SMU and have now allowed 74 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  They have upset home losses to Rice as 14.5-point favorites and South Florida as 10-point favorites.  They also only beat Wichita State by 2 as 9.5-point favorites.

Memphis is 0-9 ATS after failing to cover four of its last five games this season.  Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing its 3rd game in a week.  The 49ers are 7-1 ATS off two or more consecutive wins this season.  Bet Charlotte Wednesday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah State -2

I like the spot for Utah State after losing two of its last three games with two of those losses coming on the road to Colorado State and San Diego State.  Now the Aggies want revenge from that loss to the Aztecs on February 3rd.  They shot 26.1% from 3 while the Aztecs shot 45% from 3 and attempted 15 fewer free throws.  They are due for some positive shooting regression and the benefit of the whistle at home in the rematch.

It's a good time to fade San Diego State after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Aztecs are coming off a huge 81-70 home win over New Mexico to get their revenge on the Lobos from a previous road loss.  The Aztecs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games with their lone win coming at Air Force.  They are also 1-5 ATS in their six MWC road games this season.

Utah State is 11-1 SU & 7-3-1 ATS at home this season.  They are outscoring opponents by 18.4 points per game at home.  San Diego State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Aztecs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games off two or more consecutive wins.  Bet Utah State Tuesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee -11

The Tennessee Vols are an absolute juggernaut this season.  They have their best offense of the Rick Barnes era and remain an elite defensive team.  They rank 5th in adjusted defense and 16th in adjusted offense.  Each of their last seven wins have come by 11 points or more, so they have no problem getting margin on teams.

Now they face the Missouri Tigers, who are 0-12 SU & 2-10 ATS in SEC play this season.  That includes 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in SEC home games with losses by 24 to Mississippi State, by 19 to Texas A&M and by 12 to Florida.  Add another blowout home loss to their record tonight against the best team they have faced at home all season.  Bet Tennessee Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +4.5

Boston College wants revenge from a 63-62 home loss to Florida State as 4-point favorites on February 6th just two weeks ago today.  Now the Eagles come back as 4.5-point underdogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for switching home courts.

Florida State is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with that lone win coming against these Eagles.  The Seminoles have fallen to 12-13 this season with very little to play for the rest of the way.  The Eagles sit at 15-10 and still feel like they can make a run to the NCAA Tournament.

Florida State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 75 points or more in three consecutive games.  Bet Boston College Tuesday.