Winning Sports Picks

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Cleveland State +2.5

Cleveland State is 10-0 SU at home this season.  That includes wins over three of the best teams in the Horizon League in Oakland, Northern Kentucky and IPFW.  The Vikings should not be home underdogs to Wright State tonight.

The Vikings will be out for revenge from an 82-70 road loss at Wright State on January 4th in their first meeting earlier this month.  Wright State shot 60% from the field and 8-of-16 (50% from 3-point range, while Cleveland State shot 38.9% from the field, 9-of-27 (33%) from 3 and 5-of-13 (38.5%) from the FT line.  That's not going to happen again.

Wright State is 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in conference road games this season without outright upset losses at Green Bay by 11 and at Milwaukee by 8, as well as a 10-point loss at Youngstown State.  Cleveland State is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five regular season meetings with Wright State.  Bet Cleveland State Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Green Bay +3

What more does Green Bay have to do to get some respect?  Green Bay is 7-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last nine games overall with three outright upsets as underdogs.  One of those losses came 79-73 at Oakland as 7.5-point road dogs.  Now the Phoenix get their shot at revenge at home this time around with first place in the Horizon on the line.

Oakland is overvalued off six consecutive victories with five of those wins coming by 7 points or fewer.  The Golden Grizzlies have just been fortunate in close games.  Their luck runs out tonight on the highway.  They made 14 more FT's than Green Bay in that first meeting which was the difference in that 6-point win.  I expect the home team to get the benefit of the whistle again here.

Green Bay is 7-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home this season.  That includes 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS at home in conference play beating Cleveland State by 8 as 1-point dogs, beating Robert Morris by 17 as 3-point favorites, upsetting Wright State by 11 as 7.5-point dogs and upsetting Milwaukee by 12 as 2-point dogs.

Oakland is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after playing four consecutive games as a favorite.  Green Bay is 9-1 ATS in conference games this season.  The Phoenix are 9-1 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Green Bay is 9-0 ATS vs. teams that attempt 18 or fewer free throws per game this season.  Bet Green Bay Thursday.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Kentucky -3.5

Northern Kentucky is playing its best basketball of the season right now.  The Norse are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only two losses coming on the road at Cleveland State by 3 as 4.5-point dogs and at Oakland by 5 as 6-point dogs.  

The Norse are coming off a pair of blowout home wins over quality Horizon League teams.  They beat Milwaukee 90-72 as 2-point favorites and Green Bay 74-52 as 6-point favorites to improve to 8-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season.  Now the Norse want revenge from a 73-60 loss at IPFW on December 29th in their first meeting this season.  They shot 5-of-22 (22.7%) from 3 and 11-of-21 (54.2%) from the FT line in that loss and can only improve.

IPFW is 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall with three upset losses including a very bad 6-point home loss to IUPUI as 16.5-point favorites.  They lost by 8 at Youngstown State, by 3 at Robert Morris and by 7 at Cleveland State in their last three road games.  They are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.

Northern Kentucky is 4-0 SU in its last four home meetings with IPFW winning the last two by 20 and 10 points.  IPFW is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 January games.  NKU is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after covering four of its last five games ATS.  Bet Northern Kentucky Thursday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso +14

Valparaiso has quietly gone 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall not once losing by more than 9 points.  That includes a 59-50 upset win at Illinois State as a 10-point dog.  The Beacons only lost by 9 as 9.5-point home dogs to Southern Illinois.

Now Valparaiso is out for revenge on the Salukis and catching 14 points in the rematch on the road.  This number is too high, especially when you consider how poorly SIU is playing of late.  This is a team that lost a lot in the transfer portal and wasn't able to replace that talent.

Southern Illinois is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall losing by 18 at home to Drake, by 1 at home to Bradley and by 4 at Northern Iowa.  The Salukis just don't have the same kind of home-court advantage this season that they have in years' past.  They won't be all that motivated to beat Valpo a second time this season.

Valparaiso is 7-1 ATS as a road underdog or PK this season.  The Beacons are 6-0 ATS vs. poor pressure teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Southern Illinois ranks 341st in adjusted tempo, making it hard for them to get margin because there just aren't enough possessions.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Bradley -8

Bradley has won eight consecutive games with seven of those eight wins coming by 11 points or more.  I fully expect them to win this game against Murray State by double-digits tonight.

It's revenge time for the Braves after losing 79-72 as 3.5-point favorites at Murray State back in November.  But the Braves are much healthier and playing a lot better since that defeat.  They beat Murray State 83-48 at home last season.

Murray State lost by 10 at home to Northern Iowa and by 9 at home to Indiana State in two of its last three games coming in.  Stepping up in class has not gone well for them.  The Racers have not been a good road team either, and Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in all of college basketball.

Bradley is 19-4 ATS in its last 23 home games.  The Braves are 8-0 ATS in thier last eight home games off a win by 15 points or more.  Bet Bradley Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia -5.5

Virginia is 10-0 SU & 8-2 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 22.1 points per game.  They beat Virginia Tech by 8 and Louisville by 24 in covering each of their first two ACC home games this season.  They will win by 6-plus over NC State to cover this short number as well.

Virginia wants revenge from a 76-60 road loss at NC State on January 6th.  Now they get to host the Wolfpack, who are 0-2 ATS in ACC road games this season only winning by 2 at Notre Dam eas 5-point favorites and by 6 at Louisville as 7.5-point favorites.  This will be their toughest test of the season since a 9-point loss on a neutral to Tennessee.  They also lost by 20 at Ole Miss in another true road game.

Virginia lost by 14 at NC State last year and avenged that defeat with a 63-50 win as a 7.5-point home favorite in the rematch.  It will be more of the same this season.  Bet Virginia Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Xavier +8.5

Xavier is playing its best basketball of the season right now under head coach Sean Miller.  The Musketeers are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with their two losses coming by 1 at Villanova and by 5 at home to UConn.  They beat Seton Hall by 20 at home, won outright at Providence as underdogs by 20 and crushed Butler by 14 at home.

Creighton has been grossly overvalued for over a month.  The Bluejays are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They beat Seton Hall in triple-OT on Saturday and will still be feeling the after effects of that grueling game.  They should not be laying 8.5 points at home to Xavier tonight.

Creighton is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games beating St. John's by 1 as 6-point favorites, Providence by 9 as 11-point favorites, losing outright to Villanova as 9.5-point favorites and only beating Alabama by 3 as 7-point favorites.

Xavier is a perfect 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss this season.  The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a SU win where they failed to cover the spread.  Xavier is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 games vs. a team with a winning record.  They have a way of playing up to their level of competition, and the Musketeers will give the Bluejays a run for their money tonight.  Bet Xavier Tuesday.

20* Knicks/Nets TNT No-Brainer on New York -4

The New York Knicks are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby of the Raptors.  They are in a great spot tonight rested coming off two days' rest and I expect them to make easy work of the Brooklyn Nets as a result.

The Nets are 4-15 SU & 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall and dealing with a bunch of trade rumors right now.  This is a terrible spot for the Nets returning home from a 3-game road trip that included two games in Los Angeles against the Lakers and Clippers to close out the trip.  They will be flat tonight in their first game back home.

The Knicks have owned the Nets going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings winning by 18 and 24 at home and by 19 on the road, which was their lone meeting this season.  New York is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Knicks Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on UMass -3

The UMass Minutemen have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season under head coach Frank Martin.  He has turned this program around already going 12-6 SU & 13-5 ATS this season.  That includes 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS at home with a huge home-court advantage.  They beat Duquesne by 19, La Salle by 16 and George Washington by 14 in covering each of their last three home games.

This is a terrible spot for St. Joe's.  The Hawks are coming off three consecutive home games, including a 2-point win as 7.5-point favorites over Duquesne on Saturday at the buzzer.  That makes this a letdown spot for the Hawks.

St. Joe's is 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last three true road games.  They lost by 7 as 3-point dogs at Charleston, by 4 as 5.5-point favorites at Rhode Island and by 3 as 3-point favorites at St. Louis.  This will be one of their toughest road tests of the entire season tonight.

UMass is 7-0 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season.  The Minutemen are 7-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  Bet UMass Tuesday.

20* Texas/Oklahoma ESPN No-Brainer on Oklahoma -4.5

Oklahoma has lost its last three meetings with Texas by a combined 5 points total.  It's safe to say the Sooners will be out for revenge tonight, and they finally have the goods to get that revenge.  Porter Moser's team is his best in Norman, while the Texas Longhorns have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.

Oklahoma is 15-3 SU this season including 11-0 SU & 7-4 ATS at home.  The Sooners won and covered both Big 12 home games this season beating Iowa State by 8 as 1.5-point favorites and West Virginia by 14 as 12.5-point home favorites.  I have no doubt they win this game by 5-plus points over Texas tonight.

The Longhorns are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  They lost by 21 at Marquette, won by 1 at Cincinnati and lost outright at West Virginia as 6-point favorites in their three true road games this season.  This is a letdown spot for Texas as well coming off a win over Baylor at the buzzer over the weekend.  That followed up an upset loss to UCF as 8.5-point home favorites.

Texas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a close win by 3 points or less.  The Longhorns are 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.  Bet Oklahoma Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +3.5

First-year head coach Ed Cooley has the Georgetown Hoyas improving rapidly in recent weeks.  The Hoyas are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 4 at home to Seton Hall as 6.5-point dogs, losing by 13 at UConn as 21-point dogs and losing by 1 at Xavier as 12-point dogs.

Now the Hoyas will want revenge on Butler after losing by 10 on the road to the Bulldogs in their first meeting this season on December 19th.  This is an overvalued Bulldogs team that has gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are ripe for the upset tonight.

Butler is 0-7 ATS vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet Georgetown Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +14.5

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have been a lot more competitive than they are getting credit for.  That includes a 4-point loss to Milwaukee, a 2-point loss to Cleveland and a 6-point loss to Chicago.  I expect them to hang with the Philadelphia 76ers tonight.

This looks like a potential sleepy spot for the 76ers, who have won five consecutive games and have a five-game road trip coming up next.  They kind of sleep walked through their 97-89 win as 11-point favorites at Charlotte on Saturday.  They will now be playing in their 3rd different city in 4 days.

This is the final game of a 5-game road trip for the Spurs and I always feel like teams are more motivated in that final game on a road trip to end it with a win.  San Antonio will give Philadelphia a run for its money tonight.  Bet the Spurs Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +3.5

Memphis is overvalued due to going 10-1 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites.

Their luck finally ran out last time out as they lost 74-73 outright as 10-point home favorites to South Florida on Thursday.  Now they only have two days to get ready to Tulane.  The Green Wave have had the last three days off since a loss at UAB.

We've seen what the Green Wave are capable of at home as they took Florida Atlantic to the wire as 7-point dogs in a 85-84 loss.  They are 8-2 SU at home this season with the other loss coming by 3 points to George Mason.  So they haven't lost any home game by more than 3 points this season, making for a 10-0 system backing the Green Wave pertaining to this 3.5-point spread.

Tulane upset Memphis in both regular season meetings last season winning 96-89 as 4-point home dogs and 90-89 as 7-point road dogs.  The Green Wave are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a road loss.  Tulane is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games after playing a game as a road underdog.  The Tigers are ripe to get upset again today.  Bet Tulane Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on UNC-Wilmington -2.5

I love the spot for UNC-Wilmington today.  They will be playing with triple-revenge after losing all three meetings with Charleston last season, including a 5-point loss in the conference tournament after a 2-point home loss earlier in the year.  They blew a late lead in the conference tournament and have not forgotten.  They get their revenge in their first meeting of 2023-24 this season at home.

Wilmington has played a road-heavy schedule this season but has taken advantage of its home games, going 5-0 SU at home this season while outscoring opponents by 32.4 points per game.  They also upset Kentucky 80-73 as 18-point road dogs to flash their potential.  Charleston isn't as good as last season when they made the NCAA Tournament.

The Cougars are 5-4 SU but 3-6 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  They are coming off an 82-78 road loss at Towson as 11-point favorites.  They also lost by 16 at Florida Atlantic as 14-point dogs, and they lost on a neutral to Duquesne by 18, Vermont by 9 and Wyoming by 7 despite being favored in all three of those games.

Charleston is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after winning three of its last four games.  Wilmington is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games after covering two of its last three games coming in.  Wilmington is 6-0 ATS in its last six games with a total of 150 to 159.5.  Wilmington is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game.  Bet UNC-Wilmington Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte +1.5

This is a great spot to 'sell high' on North Texas.  The Mean Green have gone 6-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last six games overall against a very soft, home-heavy schedule.  They beat East Carolina 60-59 as 3-point road favorites last time out.  Their luck runs out today and they will get upset by Charlotte.

Charlotte is 7-1 SU & 6-1 ATS at home this season.  The 49ers upset Florida Atlantic as 8-point dogs four games ago to show what they are capable of at home.  They went on to avoid letdowns winning and covering against Tulsa, UTSA and Rice with two of those three games on the road.

North Texas is just 3-5 SU in all games played away from home this season.  Charlotte is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven home meetings with North Texas.  The 49ers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games following a road game.  Bet Charlotte Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Clemson -2

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Florida State.  Clemson is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and highly motivated for a victory.  The Tigers have had the last three days off to get ready for this game against Florida State, and I expect them to put forth their best effort of the season.

The Seminoles are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are coming off an 84-75 upset win at Miami as 5.5-point dogs on Wednesday.  They only have two days off to get ready for this game, and they are still celebrating that win over one of their biggest in-state rivals.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Clemson today, and I expect a sloppy game from the Seminoles.

Clemson is 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Florida State.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Duquesne +6

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Duquesne Dukes.  They have opened 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in conference play and will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have played a brutal schedule with road games at UMass and Loyola-Chicago as well as home losses to Dayton and Richmond.  They were competitive in all four games.

They will be competitive in this game as well, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pull off the outright upset to get that elusive first conference victory.  St. Joseph's isn't exactly crushing either, going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last three games overall despite facing a much softer schedule with upset losses to Rhode Island and Saint Louis on the road as well as Loyola-Chicago at home.  Their lone win came against a very bad La Salle team at home.

Duquesne won both meetings with St. Joe's last season in blowout fashion by 14 at home and by 12 on the road.  Bet Duquesne Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston College +8.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels are overvalued after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They were in a sleepy spot against Louisville at home last time out and needed a late run to pull away and win by 16 as 21-point favorites.  Now they are once again in a sleepy spot and laying too many points on the road at Boston College today.

Boston College has had the last four days off to get ready for UNC while the Tar Heels have only had the last two days off, so the Eagles have a big rest and preparation advantage.  I like what I've seen from this team especially at home where Boston College is 7-2 SU with both losses coming by 6 points each.  They haven't lost at home by this kind of margin all season, making for a 9-0 system backing the Eagles pertaining to this 8.5-point spread.

UNC is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Boston College is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game.  We'll 'buy low' on the Eagles who are 1-5 ATS in their last six games and 'sell high' on the Tar Heels today.  Bet Boston College Saturday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State -2

I love this spot for Arizona State.  They are coming off consecutive losses at Washington and at home to UCLA and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result.  They had won four consecutive games prior to these losses with four outright wins as underdogs.  Now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season.

They take on an injury-ravaged USC team that is 0-3 SU in its last three games overall losing by 8 at home to Washington State, by 10 at Colorado and by 15 at Arizona.  It won't get any easier for them today because of these injuries.  USC is without Isaiah Collier (15.4 PPG, 4.1 RPG), and both Boogie Ellis (18.7 PPG) and DJ Rodman (7.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG) are questionable.  If all three are out, they will be without three of their top four scorers.  It's too much to overcome even if they are only without Collier.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* Marquette/St. John's Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +1.5

I love the spot for St. John's today.  They are coming off two consecutive road losses at Creighton and at Seton Hall.  But now they are back home where they are 7-1 SU this season and highly motivated for a victory when they host Marquette today.

Marquette is not playing well at atll.  The Golden Eagles are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They lost by 3 at Seton Hall and were upset at home by Butler as 12-point favorites in two of their last three games.  They have not played well on the road, going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three true road games losing by 11 as 3-point favorites at Wisconsin, by 15 as 4-point favorites at Providence and by 3 as 5-point favorites at Seton Hall.  They are once again favored on the road here when they shouldn't be.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-San Diego +6.5

UC-San Diego has quietly gone 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Tritons' only loss came by 4 as 9-point dogs at California.  Earlier this season, they only lost by 1 to San Diego State as 13.5-point dogs.  They haven't lost any of their last 10 games by more than 6 points.  This team is grossly undervalued right now.

UC-Irvine is 5-1 SU but just 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall.  The Anteaters have been living good winning a bunch of close games, especially at home.  They won by 7 as 12-point favorites over UC-Riverside, by 8 as 12-point favorites over CS-Fullerton and by 3 as 9-point favorites over UC-Davis.  Their luck may run out tonight against a Tritons team that is more than capable of pulling off the upset.

San Diego is 11-4 ATS in all games this season.  Irvine is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better.  The Anteaters are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games.  The Tritons won outright as 12.5-point underdogs at Irvine last season.  Bet UC-San Diego Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Jazz +4

The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Jazz are 12-2 SU & 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs.  What more does this team have to do to get some respect?

They beat the Pacers by 27, the Lakers by 7 on the 2nd of a back-to-back, the Raptors by 32, the Nuggets by 13, the Bucks outright by 16 as 8-point road dogs and the 76ers outright by 11 as 8.5-point road dogs in their last six games coming in.  They should not be 4-point home underdogs to the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.

The Jazz have a big rest advantage over the Thunder, who will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and in altitude tonight to boot.  The Thunder will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight and started to show signs of wearing down with a 7-point loss to the Lakers and an 11-point loss to the Clippers in their last two games coming in.  Meanwhile, the Jazz will be playing on two days' rest after having last night's game against the Warriors canceled.

The Jazz are 15-5 SU & 16-3-1 ATS at home this season.  Utah is 9-1 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less this season.  The Jazz are 11-1 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season.  Utah is 10-1 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season.  Utah is 9-0 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Bet the Jazz Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on South Florida +11.5

Memphis is overvalued due to its current 10-game winning streak.  The Tigers have been winning a ton of close games and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They beat Vanderbilt by 2 as 15.5-point home favorites, Austin Peay by 11 as 20-point home favorites, Tulsa by 3 as 9.5-point road favorites, SMU by 3 as 7-point home favorites and UTSA in OT by 6 as 19-point home favorites.

Now the Tigers are laying too many points once again to a South Florida team that can hang with them for 40 minutes.  South Florida is 7-1 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Bulls upset Florida State by 16 as 7-point dogs on a neutral, upset Loyola-Chicago by 13 as 1-point home dogs, and their lone loss come by 4 as 4.5-point dogs at UAB.

South Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games after going over the total in its previous game.  Memphis is 1-7 ATS at home this season.  The Tigers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as home favorites of 10 points or more.  The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games following four or more consecutive wins.  Memphis is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games vs. a good team (60-80%).  Bet South Florida Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +11.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are catching too many points tonight at home against Auburn.  The Commodores have quietly gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall losing by 2 as 15.5-point dogs at Memphis, beating Dartmouth by 16 as 13.5-point home favorites, losing by 3 as 12.5-point home dogs to Alabama and losing by 8 as 8.5-point dogs at LSU.  They were even competitive in their 13-point loss at Ole Miss as 10-point dogs, and that's an Ole Miss team that is 15-1 this season.

If the Commodores can nearly upset Alabama at home and Memphis on the road, they can certainly stay within 11.5 points of Auburn.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Tigers, who have gone 9-0 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall against a pretty soft schedule.  They have only played two true road games all season and one of them resulted in an upset loss at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites.

Vanderbilt is 12-3 SU & 8-5 ATS in its last 15 home meetings with Auburn.  The Commodores upset the Tigers 67-65 as 3-point home dogs last season.  Plays against road teams as a favorite or PK (Auburn) - a hot team having covered six or seven of its last eight games, a top-level team winning 80% of its games or more against a losing team are 45-12 (78.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +16

The San Antonio Spurs are 2-5 SU but 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall playing their most competitive basketball of the season.  They only lost at Memphis by 8, to the Bucks by 4, to the Cavs by 2, to the Bulls by 6 and at the Hawks by 10 in their five defeats during this stretch.  Now they are catching too many points once again to the Boston Celtics tonight.

Boston is overvalued due to its 19-0 home record this season.  But they needed OT recently at home to beat both the Pistons and the Timberwolves.  With this perfect home record comes expectations that are difficult to live up to, and it's time to 'sell high' on the Celtics as a result.

Three starters in Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis and Derrick White are all questionable to play tonight for the Celtics.  Jaylen Brown is banged up as well.  The Spurs are as healthy as they have been all season, which has been the key to them being so competitive of late and covering a bunch of spreads.  They'll cover another tonight.  Bet the Spurs Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Rhode Island +8.5

The Rhode Island Rams are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall beating Northeastern by 11 as 2-point home favorites, upsetting St. Joe's by 4 as 5.5-point home dogs, upsetting Davidson by 5 as 5-point road dogs and upsetting UMass by 12 as 2.5-point home dogs.

This run has coincided with getting their best player in David Green (15.3 PPG, 5.0 RPG) eligible and playing.  He has returned for the past four games.  Now he and Jaden House (14.8 PPG) are forming a dynamic tandem.

St. Bonaventure is coming off an upset home loss to Fordham as 10.5-point favorites.  That folled up an 11-point loss at Richmond as 2-point favorites.  The Bonnies have no business being favored by 8.5 over the Rams tonight given how these teams are trending.

St. Bonaventure is 10-25 ATS in its last 35 home games off a home loss.  The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 4-plus points per game after 15-plus games.  Bet Rhode Island Wednesday.

20* Mississippi State/Kentucky ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Kentucky -6.5

This is one of the best Kentucky teams that John Calipari has had in his tenure in Lexington which is saying a lot.  The Wildcats are 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS this season and have been undervalued.  I love the spot for the Wildcats after getting humbled on the road with an OT loss at Texas A&M.

Now the Wildcats are back home where they are 8-1 this season and outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game.  They host a Mississippi State team that has only played two true road games all season, and both resulted in upset losses by 8 as 8.5-point favorites at Georgia Tech and by 6 as 3-point favorites at South Carolina.

Kentucky is 8-0 SU in its last eight home meetings with Mississippi State with all eight wins coming by 6 points or more.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Phoenix Suns -4

The Phoenix Suns finally heave the Big 3 of Durant, Booker and Beal healthy and playing at the same time.  They are showing what they are capable of when that's the case in recent weeks.  The Suns are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games overall including a 127-109 road win over the Lakers two games ago.

The Suns have the next two days off so they will be 'all in' to get a win over the Sacramento Kings tonight.  I question how much the Kings have left in the tank as they will be playing their 5th consecutive road game and coming off an OT loss at Milwaukee at the buzzer on Sunday.  They will be playing their 5th road game in 8 days as well as their 9th game in 15 days overall.

Sacramento is 12-25 ATS in its last 37 games after playing two consecutive road games.  The Kings are 18-34 ATS in their last 52 road games off a close road loss by 3 points or less.  Plays against road underdogs (Sacramento) - off two or more consecutive road losses against an opponent that is off a road win by 10 points or more are 25-7 (78.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Suns Tuesday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado State -15.5

I love the spot for the Colorado State Rams tonight.  They are coming off two consecutive very tough road losses at Utah State and Boise State.  Now they return home focused to get back on track and won't be taking this game lightly against the awful Air Force Falcons.

Colorado State is 8-1 at home this season with wins over the likes of Colorado and New Mexico as well as a neutral court win over Creighton by 22.  The Rams are a legitimate NCAA Tournament contender this season.

Air Force is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  They lost outright as favorites at home to Eastern Washington, Northern Colorado and San Jose State.  They also lost by 26 at home to Utah State, a team that is on Colorado State's level.  They lost by 13 at Nevada as well.  

The spot also favors Colorado State because they have had the last six days off and haven't played since last Tuesday.  So they have had a full week to correct their mistakes and are pissed off.  The Falcons have only two days to get ready for the Rams after losing to San Jose State on Saturday.  Bet Colorado State Tuesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana +10.5

We've already seen Purdue suffer both of their losses on the Big Ten highway this season.  They lost 92-88 as 5-point favorites at Northwestern and 88-72 as 7.5-point favorites at Nebraska.  They should not be laying 10.5 points on the road at Indiana tonight.

The Hoosiers are 9-1 SU at home this season with their lone loss coming to Kansas by 4 as 7-point dogs.  They led that game 90% of the way and only lost it in the final minutes.  They beat Minnesota by 12, Ohio State by 6 and Maryland by 12.  Assembly Hall is one of the toughest places to play in the country.

Mike Woodson and the Hoosiers have had Matt Painter and the Boilermakers' number in recent meetings.  Indiana is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Purdue.  They won outright 79-71 as 7-point road dogs, 79-74 as 1.5-point home favorites, only lost by 2 as 10-point road dogs and won by 3 as 4-point home dogs.

Purdue is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games as a road favorite or PK.  The Boilermakers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record 15-plus games into the season.  Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. top-level teams that win more than 80% of their games.  The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points pre game.  Bet Indiana Tuesday.

20* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -7.5

The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Jazz are 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs.  What more does this team have to do to get some respect?

They beat the Lakers by 7 on the 2nd of a back-to-back, the Raptors by 32, the Nuggets by 13, the Bucks outright by 16 as 8-point road dogs and the 76ers outright by 11 as 8.5-point road dogs in their last five games coming in. They should be more than 7.5-point favorites over the Indiana Pacers tonight.

This is a terrible spot for the Pacers. They are without their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. They are coming off a 109-117 road loss at Denver on Sunday. Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back in altitude. They will also be playing their 7th game in 11 days and their 3rd consecutive road game. This is a tired team to say the least.

Utah is 11-1 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season. The Jazz are 14-5 SU & 15-3-1 ATS at home this season. Bet the Jazz Monday.

20* Iowa/Minnesota Big Ten No-Brainer on Minnesota -1

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball. They are 12-0 SU & 14-2 ATS this season, including 11-1 SU & 12-0 ATS at home. Their only home loss came when they blew a 20-plus point 2H lead to Missouri in a 2-point defeat. They beat Nebraska and Maryland at home in Big Ten play.

The Iowa Hawkeyes have always had huge home/road splits under Fran McCaffrey. That's the case again this season as the Hawkeyes are terrible on the road. The Hawkeyes are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season, losing by 8 at Creighton, by 19 at Purdue, by 25 at Iowa State and by 11 at Wisconsin.

Minnesota is 10-0 ATS as a favorite this season. The Golden Gophers are 10-1 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season. Bet Minnesota Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +7.5

The Atlanta Hawks are the most overvalued team in the NBA this season. They are 15-23 SU & 9-29 ATS this season, including 6-11 SU & 3-14 ATS at home. They don't play defense ranking 27th in defensive rating, and their chemistry is terrible right now.

The Hawks are 3-8 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They haven't won a game by more than 7 points since December 15th, which was 15 games ago, so they'd be 0-14 ATS in their last 14 games with a line of -7.5. They were just upset by 28 at home by the Wizards as 7-point favorites. They should not be 7.5-point favorites over the Spurs today.

The Spurs are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall taking the Grizzlies, Bucks, Cavs and Bulls to the wire in four losses by 8 points or less. They also crushed the Pistons by 22 and the Hornets by 36. They will have Victor Wembanyama for this game, and they are a pretty good team with him in the lineup.

Atlanta is 0-9 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Hawks are 2-16 ATS as favorites this season. Atlanta is 1-11 ATS vs. teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the Spurs Monday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Phoenix Suns -10.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are playing as poorly as any team in the NBA right now. They are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with all six losses coming by 21 points or more. That's why I'm willing to lay the -10.5 with the Phoenix Suns tonight.

The Blazers are also in a terrible spot returning home from a 7-game road trip. There is a lot of distractions they will have to deal with back at home, not the least of which is the embarrassment of how poorly they performed on that road trip. The Blazers are also banged up right now which is a big reason for their struggles.

The Phoenix Suns are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when they have Durant, Booker and Beal on the court at the same time. They are coming off an 18-point road win over the Los Angeles Lakers. They are rested and ready to go as they have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight.

Portland is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games after scoring 95 points or less in two consecutive games. The Blazers have been held to 93, 77 and 84 points in their last three games, which is absolutely terrible in today's NBA. Bet the Suns Sunday.

20* Washington/UCLA Pac-12 No-Brainer on Washington PK

The UCLA Bruins continue to get too much respect for what they did in previous seasons.  But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century.  The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is.

UCLA is 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites.  They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9.

The Bruins hit rock bottom last time out with a 90-44 road loss at Utah. The team looked to have quit on head coach Mick Cronin. It's not going to get any easier for the Utes today against an underrated Washington team.

The Huskies have gone 10-6 this season against the 29th-toughest schedule in the country. They rank 40th in adjusted offense and 81st in adjusted defense as a very balanced team. All six of their losses came by 7 points or less, so they are close to being much better than 10-6.

Washington is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Huskies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread. Washington is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games following two consecutive home games. UCLA is 1-7 ATS in all home games this season. Bet Washington Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State +13.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are in a massive letdown spot today. They are coming off a 57-53 upset home win over No. 2 Houston. They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Oklahoma State, and that will make it difficult for them to cover this inflated 13.5-point spread.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cowboys off consecutive losses to Baylor and Texas Tech. This is an Oklahoma State team that just has Iowa State's number. The Cowboys are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Cyclones including two upset road wins by 8 as 6.5-point dogs and by 17 as 4-point dogs.

Plays against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (Iowa State) - a hot team having covered 6 or 7 or their last 8 games ATS who are also winning 80% or more of their games on the season are 91-50 (64.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. It's time to 'sell high' on the Cyclones. Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Knicks -7

The Memphis Grizzlies cannot catch a break. They were playing well when JA Morant and Marcus Smart were back. But now Morant is out for the season, and Smart is out at least six weeks. They were already without Steven Adams, Brandon Clarke and Derrick Rose.

Now the Grizzlies have Santi Aldama questionable and Desmond Bane just left last night's game with an ankle injury and did not return. I can't imagine Bane will be back for this 2nd of a back-to-back. The Grizzlies are just so short-handed right now.

The Knicks are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby from the Raptors. That includes a 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as 5.5-point dogs as four of those five wins have come by 16 points or more. I expect them to crush the short-handed Grizzlies tonight.

New York is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 games as a road favorite. Memphis is 4-13 ATS in home games this season. The Knicks are 12-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record this season. The Grizzlies are 1-9 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 3-plus points per game this season. Bet the Knicks Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baylor -6.5

The Baylor Bears have moved their home games to Foster Pavilion where it's like a small school atmosphere with fans right down on the court and a much more hostile atmosphere for road teams. The Bears have been impressive in their first two games here beating Cornell 98-79 as 16-point favorites and BYU 81-72 as 4.5-point favorites.

Now they host a Cincinnati team that is coming off two huge games against BYU and Texas. I don't think the Bearcats will have much left in the tank here for Baylor. This will be their toughest road game this season. They needed OT to beat Howard on the road and lost by 5 at Xavier. They also lost by 14 to Dayton on a neutral, and this team just isn't very good away from home.

Baylor is 11-3 ATS in all games this season. The Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. Cincinnati is 27-50 ATS in its last 77 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Bet Baylor Saturday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +3

The Drake Bulldogs are coming off a massive 89-78 home win over Indiana State. It's time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs now as they are road favorites at Southern Illinois when they shouldn't be favored at all.

Drake has been very disappointing in its last two road games. The Bulldogs lost outright as 5.5-point favorites at UAB. Then they lost outright by 22 as 5.5-point favorites at Belmont.

Now they must take on a Southern Illinois team that has one of the biggest home-court advantages in the MVC. The Salukis are 9-1 SU & 8-1 ATS at home this season. They beat Belmont by 10, Illinois-Chicago by 12, St. Louis by 39 and also upset Oklahoma State at home.

Drake is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off a home win where they scored 85 points or more. Bet Southern Illinois Saturday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +8

The Atlanta Hawks have been grossly overvalued all season. They are 15-22 SU & 9-28 ATS in their 37 games and consistently getting too much respect from oddsmakers. That is the case again tonight as 8-point favorites over Washington.

This is as terrible spot for the Hawks. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 126-108 home loss to the Pacers last night. It will also be the 3rd game in 4 days for the Hawks after going to OT against the 76ers the game prior. They won't have much left in the tank for the Wizards tonight.

The Wizards have played their best basketball on the road this season going 12-8-1 ATS in their 21 road games. They are rested and ready to go tonight after having the last two days off. They are also fully healthy.

Atlanta is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite this season. Washington is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 road games following six or more consecutive losses. The Wizards are 7-0 ATS in road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the Wizards Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on TCU +5.5

The TCU Horned Frogs are 8-0 at home this season and coming off a 80-71 win over Oklahoma. That followed up a near upset of Kansas on the road by 2 as 9-point dogs. This Horned Frogs team is better than they get credit for.

They should not be catching 5.5 points at home to Houston. The Cougars have not fared that well on the road this season. They were just upset 57-53 at Iowa State as 2.5-point favorites. They only beat Xavier by 6 as 8.5-point favorites in their previous true road game. They are going to find it tough winning on the Big 12 highway this season.

TCU is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. top-caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game.

Plays on home underdogs or PK (TCU) - a very good shooting team making 48% of their shots or better, while also a dominant rebounding team outrebounding their opponents by 7-plus boards per game are 31-6 (83.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet TCU Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on New Mexico -2.5

New Mexico has one of the best home-court advantages in the country inside 'The Pit'. The Lobos are 8-0 at home this season and will take down the San Diego State Aztecs today.

San Diego State is 1-3 ATS in its last 4 road games this season. The Aztecs only beat San Jose State by 3 as 10-point favorites, lost outright at Grand Canyon by 6 as 2.5-point favorites and only beat UCSD by 1 as 13.5-point favorites. This will be their toughest road test of the season today. Bet New Mexico Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Utah Jazz -3

The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Jazz are 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with seven outright wins as underdogs.  What more does this team have to do to get some respect?

We'll gladly take advantage again tonight and back the Jazz as short home favorites over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are without starting C Jacob Poeltl and their best player in Pascal Siakam is questionable. The Raptors are playing well also, but this is a tough spot for them.

The Raptors will be playing their 6th road game in 10 days here. They just played the Lakers and Clippers in Los Angeles in back-to-back days. They won't have much left in the tank for the Jazz, and they will also be playing in altitude in Salt Lake City tonight to make matters worse.

Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games off an ATS win this season. The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in home games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 46% shooting or worse this season. Bet the Jazz Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls -3

The Chicago Bulls are fully healthy and playing well right now. They have won three consecutive games coming in and I expect them to take down the short-handed Golden State Warriors tonight.

The Warriors are without four key players right now in Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Chris Paul and Moses Moody. They are 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall. Their last two games were particularly concerning as they were upset by the Raptors by 15 at home and blasted by the Pelicans by 36 at home.

Golden State is 2-11 ATS after losing two of its last three games this season. Chicago is 42-25 ATS in its last 67 games as home favorites. Bet the Bulls Friday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah -8

I like the spot for the Utah Utes tonight. They return home after two disappointing road losses to Arizona State and Arizona. Now the Utes are back home where they are 8-0 SU & 5-3 ATS and outscoring opponents by 19.1 points per game.

The Utes take a step down in class against a UCLA team that continues to get too much respect for what they did in previous season. But this is a dreadful UCLA team and one of the worst we have seen this century. The books have failed to catch up to how poor this team really is.

UCLA is 2-7 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last nine games overall. The two wins came against UC-Riverside by 1 as 17.5-point favorites and Oregon State by 7 as 6.5-point favorites. They were upset at home by CS-Northridge as 17.5-point favorites, upset at home by Maryland by 9, upset at home by Stanford by 6 and upset by California at home by 9. They will lose by double-digits to the Utes tonight. Bet Utah Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on New York Knicks -4.5

The Dallas Mavericks are without Luka Doncic, Dante Exum and Derrick Lively II tonight. Grant Williams is questionable as well. I don't give them much of a shot of even keeping this game competitive against the New York Knicks tonight without Doncic.

The Knicks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS since trading for OG Anunoby of the Raptors. They have won all five games by 6 points or more with four of those wins coming by 16 points or more. They have been absolutely dominant, and they are allowing just 97.4 points per game during this winning streak, which is unheard of in today's NBA. Bet the Knicks Thursday.

20* Nuggets/Jazz ESPN No-Brainer on Utah +7

The Utah Jazz have been fully healthy for a few weeks now and are showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Jazz are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with six outright wins as underdogs.  What more does this team have to do to get some respect?

We'll gladly take advantage again tonight and back the Jazz catching 7 points at home to the Denver Nuggets.  The highlights during this run include an upset home win over the Heat by 8, an upset home win over the Mavericks by 27, an upset road win at Philadelphia by 11 and an upset road win at Milwaukee by 16.  The Jazz will have no problem getting motivated to face the defending champs tonight.

The Nuggets have benefited from a home-heavy, soft schedule here of late with six of their last even games at home.  Their lone road game during this stretch was a 3-point win at Golden State at the buzzer.  The road games prior were all single-digit wins over the Hornets, Nets, Raptors, Bulls and Hawks.  The Nuggets have just one road win all season by double-digits.  They are 11-8 SU but 7-12 ATS on the highway this season.

Utah is 11-5 SU & 12-3-1 ATS at home this season.  The Jazz are 51-26 ATS in their last 77 games as underdogs, including 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs.  Utah is 11-1 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season.  The Jazz are 9-1 ATS in home games when revenging a loss this season.  Utah is 7-0 ATS in home games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

15* Pelicans/Warriors ABC ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +1

The Golden State Warriors are broken right now without Draymond Green, Gary Payton II and Chris Paul.  There is just too much on Steph Curry's shoulders.  The Warriors are 2-5 SU in their last seven games overall with their two wins both coming at home over the Magic by 6 and the Pistons by 4.  They are coming off a 15-point home loss to the Raptors, and also lost by 12 at home to Miami and by 10 at home to Dallas.

The Pelicans are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.  They beat the Kings by 33, the Timberwolves by 11, the Cavaliers by 19, the Spurs by 36, the Hornets by 5, the Wizards by 20 and the Kings by 10 with six of those seven wins by double-digits.  They are rolling on the road right now and should not be underdogs to the Warriors tonight.

Golden State is 6-14 ATS in home games this season.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana State +2.5

Wrong team favored here.  Indiana State is the best team in the MVC this season and will prove it once again tonight.  The Sycamores are 13-2 SU & 9-5 ATS this season.  Their two losses came on the road at Alabama and on the road at Michigan State.  But they beat Bradley 85-77 on the road, and many expect Bradley to compete for a conference title alongside Drake.

Drake is 12-3 against a very soft schedule that ranks 265th in the country, about 110 spots easier than the slate Indiana State has faced.  The Bulldogs are coming off a 22-point loss at Belmont despite being 5.5-point favorites.  They also lost were also upset at UAB three games ago, and that's a UAB team that is way down this season.  They lost by 24 on a neutral to Stephen F. Austin earlier this season as well.  This team is way overrrated.

Indiana State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off a conference win by 10 points or more.  The Sycamores are 7-0 ATS vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season.  Bet Indiana State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Antonio Spurs -3.5

The San Antonio Spurs are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall playing Memphis (lost by 8), Milwaukee (lost by 4) and Cleveland (lost by 2) all tough and down to the wire.  They haven't been rewarded with victories for their solid play, but they will be rewarded tonight with a blowout victory over the lowly Detroit Pistons.

The spot really favors the Spurs tonight.  They come in on two days' rest and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  Meanwhile, the Pistons will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days.  The blew a 22-point home lead to the Kings last night and wound up losing by 21 points.

The Pistons were playing more competitive basketball of late but then lost their best player in Cade Cunningham to injury.  They were blown out in the 2nd half by the Nuggets in a 17-point loss after losing Cunningham in the 1H the game prior.  They just don't stand much of a chance of being competitive without him.

Detroit is 3-11 ATS in non-conference games this season.  The Pistons are 4-12 ATS after playing a home game this season.  Bet the Spurs Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +7.5

The Indiana Pacers are in a terrible spot tonight.  They just played two consecutive games against the Boston Celtics at home.  After losing the first meeting, they got their revenge in the rematch with a 133-131 victory.  Now they are primed for a big letdown here against the Washington Wizards.

The cost of that victory was a big one, too.  They lost their best player in Tyrese Haliburton to a hamstring injury that is going to sideline him for at least two weeks.  Haliburton was having a MVP-caliber season averaging 23.6 points per game and 12.5 assists per game while shooting 40% from 3, 50% from the floor and 87% from the FT line.  The Pacers go as Haliburton goes.

They should not be 7.5-point favorites over the Wizards tonight without him.  The Wizards have played their best basketball on the road this season going 12-8 ATS on the highway.  They just beat the Pacers 137-123 as 8.5-point home dogs in their last meeting even with Haliburton.  They will hang tough tonight and possibly pull off the upset again.

Washington is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 road games off a non-conference game.  The Wizards are 91-58 ATS in their last 159 games off five or more consecutive losses.  Washington is 7-0 ATS n road games vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season.  This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Wizards.  Bet the Wizards Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on St. John's -7

It was always going to take some time for Rick Pitino to get the St. John's Red Storm gelling in his first season as head coach.  Well, the time is now as they are playing their best basketball of the season.

St. John's is 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games overall and has been grossly undervalued.  The Red Storm have impressive wins over Utah by 9, Xavier by 15, Butler by 16 and Villanova by 10 during this stretch.  They also had an impressive road loss by 4 as 11-point dogs at UConn to show what they are really capable of.

Now the Red Storm host a Providence team that just lost second-leading scorer and leading rebounder Bryce Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) two games ago to a season-ending injury.  The Friars were upset at home by Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in the game they lost Hopkins.  They also lost by 9 at Creighton in their first full game without him over the weekend.  I expect them to lose by 8-plus on the road tonight to the Red Storm as well.

St. John's is 7-0 ATS after winning three of its last four games this season.  The Red Storm are 7-1 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or lower this season.  Bet St. John's Wednesday.

20* Raptors/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto +5

The Toronto Raptors have been playing very well since trading for RJ Barrett and Emmanuel Quickley.  They have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their four games since the trade with their only loss coming at Sacramento by 5 as 4.5-point dogs after the Kings made two free throws with almost no time left.

They beat the Cavaliers at home, upset the Grizzlies on the road and upset the Warriors by 15 on the road.  The Raptors have now scored 124 or more points in four of their last five games as their offensive efficiency is through the roof.

This is a great spot to fade the Lakers.  They are coming off an upset home win over the Clippers last time out, and now they have another huge game against the Phoenix Suns on deck Thursday.  That makes this the ultimate sandwich spot for them and they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Raptors as they were to beat the Clippers, or as they will be to beat the Suns.

The Lakers have been grossly overvalued for a month now.  They are 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They should not be 5-point favorites over the Raptors tonight with the way these teams are trending.  Bet the Raptors Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Rutgers -2.5

I love the spot for Rutgers tonight.  The Scarlet Knights will be highly motivated for a victory coming off two consecutive road losses to open Big Ten play by 4 at Ohio State and by 9 at Iowa.  They have one of the biggest home-court advantages in the Big Ten and are 7-1 SU at home this season.

The Indiana Hoosiers will be playing just their 3rd true road game of the season.  They did pull the upset at Michigan by 3, but we are quickly seeing how Michigan is a very flawed team going just 3-9 SU in their last 12 games overall with losses to McNeese State and Long Beach State.  That win doesn't look that impressive now.  In their other road game, they lost 86-70 at Nebraska as 4.5-point dogs.

Rutgers simply owns Indiana, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with their lone loss coming by 6 on the road.  They beat Indiana 63-48, 74-63, 59-50 and 66-58 in going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Hoosiers.

Indiana is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Rutgers is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better.  Bet Rutgers Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +10

The Utah Jazz are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are as healthy as they have been all season, which is a big reason they are playing so well right now.  They should not be catching double-digits on the road to the Milwaukee Bucks tonight.

The Bucks will be without Damian Lillard and Cameron Payne tonight, so they will be short-handed.  The Jazz can shift their focus to just trying to stop Giannis now.  The Bucks are a dangerous team when both of those guys are healthy, but they are closer to an average team without one of Lillard or Giannis.  Milwaukee is 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall.

Utah is 50-26 ATS in its last 76 games as an underdog.  The Jazz are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after playing two consecutive road games.  They are coming off a 120-109 upset win at Philadelphia as 8.5-point dogs, and I wouldn't be surprised at all to see them upset the Bucks tonight.  Bet the Jazz Monday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +16.5

The Detroit Pistons have gotten healthy and have been much more competitive of late as a result.  Their 28-game losing streak has had them undervalued for a few weeks now.  The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They only lost by 4 at Golden State, by 6 at Utah in OT, by 6 in Boston in OT and upset the Raptors. during this stretch.

Now I expect the Pistons to give the defending champion Nuggets a run for their money tonight.  The Nuggets have been overvalued due to winning the title last year.  They are kind of just going through the motions right now and won't be motivated at all to get margin on the Pistons.

The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They lost outright to the Thunder by 26 as 1.5-point favorites at home and outright to the Magic as 9.5-point home favorites during this stretch.

Plays against home favorites of 10 or more points (Denver) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against an opponent that went over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games are 27-3 (90%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pistons Sunday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota -1

What more does Minnesota have to do to get some respect?  The Golden Gophers are 11-3 SU & 13-1 ATS this season.  I'll keep backing them as long as the books are going to keep setting bad lines on them.  They should be more than 1-point home favorites over the Maryland Terrapins tonight.

Minnesota is 10-1 SU & 11-0 ATS at home this season.  Their lone loss came after blowing a 20-plus point lead to Missouri in the 2H to lose by 2.  They host a Maryland team that is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS on the road this season with their lone win coming at lowly UCLA, which is getting upset by everything this season and is way down.  Maryland lost by 57-40 at Villanova as 6.5-point dogs and 65-53 at Indiana as 2-point dogs.

Minnesota is 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season.  Bet Minnesota Sunday.

15* Colorado/Arizona State Pac-12 ANNIHILATOR on Arizona State +3.5

The Arizona State Sun Devils are grossly undervalued right now.  They have pulled off three straight outright upsets as underdogs beating Stanford and California on the road as well as dismantling Utah 82-70 at home as 6-point dogs last time out.

The Colorado Buffaloes have been grossly overvlaued of later.  They are 2-1 SU but 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They only beat Washington by 4 as 8.5-point home favorites and Washington State by 7 as 7.5-point home favorites.  They were crushed 97-50 at Arizona as 13-point dogs last time out.

The biggest reason for Colorado's recent struggles is the fact that they are without two of their three best players in Tristan De Silva (15.7 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Cody Williams (14.0 PPG).  It's very difficult for them to even be competitive without these two, and they certainly should not be favored on the road over Arizona State without them.

Arizona State is 6-0 SU at home this season.  Colorado is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in neutral/true road games and have been terrible on the road for years.  Colorado is 127-167 ATS in its last 294 road games.  Arizona State is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games following an ATS win.  The Sun Devils are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following two or more consecutive ATS wins.  They are a streaky team, and they stay hot with their 4th consecutive upset victory tonight.  Bet Arizona State Saturday.

15* Iowa State/Oklahoma Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma -2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are overrated due to their 11-2 start against the 347th-ranked schedule in the country.  Their schedule really couldn't have been much easier to this point.  They have only played on true road game and that came against DePaul, one of the worst teams in the country.

This will be Iowa State's toughest test of the season to date, and I expect them to fail.  They take on an Oklahoma Sooners team that looks to be among the contenders to win the Big 12.  The Sooners are 12-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road to North Carolina.

The Sooners are 9-0 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 26.7 points per game.  Iowa State is 20-40 ATS in its last 60 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Oklahoma is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games vs. teams that win more than 80% of their games.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Bradley -4

Bradley is 9-5 against the 82nd-toughest schedule in the country.  Missouri State is 9-5 against the 274th-ranked schedule in the country.  That nearly 200-spot difference in strength of schedule is a big reason I'm laying the points with Bradley at home today.

Missouri State has not looked good on the road this season.  They are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games losing by 17 at Drake, by 4 at Middle Tennessee and by 1 at Tulsa.  Bradley is on Drake's level and a contender to win the MVC.  They will prove it today.

Bradley won both meetings with Missouri State last season.  They won 58-40 as 2.5-point road dogs and 64-54 as 9.5-point home favorites.  Bradley has one of the best home-court advantages in the country going 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games.

The Braves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a win by 10 points or more.  Missouri State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 65 points or fewer in two consecutive games.  Bet Bradley Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Arkansas +2.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are a young team that is improving with each passing week under one of the best head coaches in the country in Eric Musselman.  They are 7-1 at home this season which includes an upset win over Duke.

The Razorbacks should not be home underdogs to the Auburn Tigers today.  Auburn has only played one true road game all season.  They lost that game 69-64 at Appalachian State as 7.5-point favorites.  They have had big home/road splits under current head coach Bruce Pearl.

Arkansas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 home meetings with Auburn.  The Tigers are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as road favorites of 3 points or less or PK.  The Razorbacks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Line Mistake on Evansville -1.5

Evansville is 10-4 SU & 10-3 ATS and one of the most underrated teams in the country this season.  Murray State is 5-9 SU & 5-8 ATS and one of the most overrated.  I'll gladly lay the short number on the Purple Aces at home today.

Murray State is 0-6 SU in neutral/true road games this season.  The Racers were also upset at home as double-digit favorites by SE Louisiana.  Evansville is 6-0 SU at home where they are outscoring opponents by 23.6 points per game.

Murray State is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 road games.  The Racers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive wins.  Bet Evansville Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Creighton -10

The Creighton Bluejays have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Look for them to beat Providence by double-digits to cover this number at home Saturday.

Creighton has played the 29th-toughest schedule in the country so they are battle-tested.  Providence has faced the 171st-ranked schedule.  The Friars have only played one true road game, and they lost that game badly 72-51 as 5-point dogs at Oklahoma.  This will now be their toughest test of the season.

Making it even tougher is that they lost their best player in BJ Hopkins (15.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG) to a season-ending injury in their 61-57 upset home loss to Seton Hall as 6-point favorites in their last game.  They stand very little chance of keeping this game competitive on the road in their first game without Hopkins.

Creighton is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover the spread in four of its last five games.  Providence is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game.  Bet Creighton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Wisconsin-Milwaukee -5.5

Wisconsin-Milwaukee just got its best player back from injury in BJ Freeman (19.4 PPG, 5.5 RPG).  Freeman averaged 17.0 PPG and 5.1 RPG last season for the Panthers.  He was out from November 25th to December 31st.

Freeman returned to action against Wright State on December 31st and poured in 23 points in a 91-83 victory.  He had 15 points and 5 boards in a 100-95 loss at Oakland as 5.5-point dogs last time out.  He means everything to this team, and they are an undervalued commodity moving forward with a healthy Freeman.

Now the Panthers will blow out the worst team in all of college basketball in Detroit.  The Titans are 0-16 this season and just lost their best player in Jayden Stone (18.9 PPG) to injury.  They are 3-13 ATS this season and consistently getting too much respect from the books as people keep betting them hoping to catch a falling knife.

The losses have been real ugly of late for Detroit.  They lost by 18 at home to Wisconsin-Green Bay as 2.5-point dogs, by 35 at IUPFW as 13-point dogs and by 12 at IUPUI as 2.5-point favorites.  They haven't even come close to covering in their last three games, and they won't come close Saturday, either.

Detroit is 0-10 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games this season.  The Titans are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Saturday.

15* Marquette/Seton Hall Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on Seton Hall +5

Seton Hall is starting to make some headway under second-year head coach Shaheen Holloway.  The Pirates are 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall.  They upset Missouri on a neutral, upset UConn by 15 as 7.5-point home dogs and upset Providence by 4 as 6-point road dogs during this stretch.

If they can upset UConn at home, they certainly have a great shot to upset Marquette as well.  We just saw Marquette get upset in their Big East road opener, losing 72-57 as 4-point favorites at Providence.  They are coming off a big home win over Creighton by 5, which sets them up for a letdown spot here as well.

Holloway is 46-28 ATS as an underdog as a head coach.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday.

15* UNC/Clemson ACC Early ANNIHILATOR on Clemson -1.5

The Clemson Tigers are 11-2 SU & 9-4 ATS this season with both of their losses coming on the road to Memphis and Miami.  The Tigers are back home now coming off that loss to Miami, and they are 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS at home this season.  This is a legit NCAA Tournament and ACC title contender, and they will prove it with a win and cover at home against UNC today.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Tar Heels, who are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  We saw them lose to Kentucky and UConn on a neutral prior to that.  UNC has somehow only played one true road game all season to this point, so they won't be prepared for the kind of atmosphere they are going to face at Clemson Saturday.

UNC Is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.  The Tar Heels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games after a game with a combined scored of 155 or more points.  These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Tigers today.  Also, Clemson is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games with a line of +3 to -3.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +7.5

Wisconsin-Milwaukee just got its best player back from injury in BJ Freeman (20.0 PPG, 5.6 RPG).  Freeman averaged 17.0 PPG and 5.1 RPG last season for the Panthers.  He was out from November 25th to December 31st.

Freeman returned to action against Wright State last time out and poured in 23 points in a 91-83 victory.  He means everything to this team, and the Panthers should not be 7.5-point road underdogs to the Oakland Golden Grizzlies tonight with him in the lineup.

Oakland is 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall with the two wins coming against Eastern Michigan and Younstown State.  They were upset by 21 at home by IUP-FW, they were upset at home by Toledo, they lost by 17 at Michigan State, lost by 24 at Dayton and lost by 8 at Cleveland State.  The Golden Grizzlies aren't playing well enough right now to warrant being 7.5-point favorites here.

Oakland is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after a game with 5 or fewer offensive rebounds.  Milwaukee is 149-113 ATS in its last 262 games as road underdogs.  The Golden Grizzlies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game.  Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Monmouth +3.5

Monmouth has been grossly undervalued all season going 7-6 SU & 9-3 ATS.  The highlights include an upset road win at West Virginia 73-65 as 14.5-point dogs, an upset win on a neutral over Belmont 93-84 as 6.5-point dogs, a narrow 4-point loss at Cornell as 12.5-point dogs, a narrow 9-point loss at Seton Hall as 14-point dogs, and an easy cover in a 16-point loss at Oklahoma as 22.5-point dogs.

Now Monmouth is back home where they are 4-1 SU this season with their lone loss to Princeton, which is 12-1 this season and one of the best mid-major teams in the country.  Towson State is not that.  The Tigers are also 7-6 this season while playing a much softer schedule than Monmouth.

The Tigers have played the 241st-ranked schedule in the country.  All six of their losses have come by 8 points or more.  The seven wins have come against Coppin State, Robert Morris, Morgan State, UMass, UMBC, Nicholls State and Arcadia.  They haven't beat a decent opponent yet with the exception of UMass.

Monmouth is 6-0 ATS after covering two of their last three games this season.  Bet Monmouth Thursday.

20* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Hofstra -1

Hofstra is 1-4 SU in its last five games overall with all four losses coming on the road to Saint Louis, Duke, UNLV and St. John's.  They only lost by 5 to a very good St. John's team last time out.  They will be highly motivated for a victory when they return home tonight.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Pride after losing four of their last five.  They have played a brutal schedule this season, a schedule that ranks 22nd-toughest in the entire country.  They have only played four home games all season and have shown well, beating South Florida 82-63 as 5.5-point home favorites and Norfolk State 74-58 as 9-point favorites in their last two home games.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on College of Charleston coming off five consecutive victories.  All five wins came at home against a very soft schedule.  They were last seen on the road losing 90-74 at Florida Atlantic as 14-point dogs on December 10th.  They also lost by 18 to Duquesne, by 9 to Vermont and by 7 to Wyoming on a neutral earlier this season.

Hofstra is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite.  The Price are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 conference games.  Hofstra is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after four straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers.  Bet Hofstra Thursday.

15* Stanford/UCLA ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -4.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on UCLA and 'sell high' on Stanford tonight with the perfect storm here.  UCLA is 1-5 SU in its last six games overall as the Bruins have been one of the biggest disappointments in the country up to this point.

But I expect the Bruins to fire back here at home tonight against a Stanford team coming off one of the biggest wins of the entire season.  They throttled Arizona 100-82 at home on December 31st to pull off the upset as 12-point underdogs.  They shot a ridiculous 58.1% from the floor as everything they looked at went in.

Things won't come nearly as easily against UCLA, which ranks 39th in adjusted defense.  Remember, this is a Stanford team that lost by 22 to Northern Iowa, by 14 to San Diego State and by 12 to Santa Clara earlier this season.  That win over Arizona was the aberration, not the norm for this Cardinal team.

UCLA owns Stanford, going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with all four wins coming by 9 points or more.  Jarod Haase is 4-12 ATS in road games off a conference win by 10 points or more as the coach of Stanford.  Mick Cronin is 10-2 ATS in home games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game as the coach of UCLA.  Bet UCLA Wednesday.

15* New Mexico/Colorado State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado State -3.5

Colorado State is not only one of the best mid-major teams in the country but one of the very best college basketball teams in the country, period.  The Rams are 12-1 this season with their lone loss coming to St. Mary's when they were short-handed.  They have wins over two of the best teams in the country in Creighton (69-48) and Colorado (88-83), and they should be more than 3.5-point home favorites over New Mexico tonight.

Colorado State lost two key players in Jalen Lake and Josiah Strong for a stretch of games recently.  But they just got Lake (8.2 PPG) back from injury and will be getting Strong (8.5 PPG) back later this month.  And they still have four players averaging 12.2 PPG or more this season.

Somehow New Mexico has only played one true road game this season.  The Lobos nearly lost outright at New Mexico State in a 73-72 win as 14.5-point favorites in that lone true road game.  We know the Lobos dominate at home with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  But they struggle on the road, and I'll gladly fade them here in only their 2nd true road game this season.

Colorado State is 7-1 ATS vs. teams with a winning record this season.  Colorado State is 5-1 SU in its last six meetings with New Mexico with all five wins coming by 6 points or more.  Bet Colorado State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Northwestern +6

Illinois just lost its best player in Terrence Shannon Jr. (21.7 PPG) to a suspension due to rape charges over Christmas Break.  That's a big blow to their season and a huge distraction right now.  They should not be favored by 6 over Northwestern tonight without Shannon Jr.

Northwestern is 10-2 this season with a win over Purdue.  The Wildcats have been a thorn in Illinois' side in recent meetings as well going 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings not once losing by more than 7 points despite playing three of those on the road.

Northwestern is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games after playing a game as a favorite.  The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games coming off an ATS loss.  Bet Northwestern Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the best covering team in the NBA for three seasons running.  They just cannot seem to get the respect they deserve because they are a small market team.  They continue playing with a chip on their shoulder as a result.

Now they will prove themselves once again against the team that everyone is picking to win the NBA title in the Boston Celtics.  The Thunder are 22-9 SU & 22-8 ATS this season, including 13-5 SU & 13-5 ATS at home where they are outscoring opponents by 8.5 points per game.  The Thunder (+8.7) rank 3rd in the NBA in net rating, only behind the Celtics (10.4) and 76ers (10.3).  This line should be much closer to PK when you look at net rating and factor in home-court advantage.

The Celtics have been vulnerable on the road where they are 10-6 SU & 6-8 ATS.  They were just taken to OT by the Pistons at home and won by 2 over the Raptors in two of their last three games.  They did blow out the Spurs on the road who were without Keldon Johnson, but everyone is beating the Spurs.

Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS off a blowout win by 15 points or more this season.  Boston is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. good pressure defensive teams that force 15 or more turnovers per game.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans -5.5

I love the spot for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.  They are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 8 days as well.  They want revenge on the Lakers after getting knocked out by them in the semifinals of the in-season tournament.

I like their chances of getting that revenge considering the Lakers are a tired team.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and in their 3rd different city in 4 days after a 106-108 loss in Minnesota last night.  LeBron James and Anthony Davis each played 39 minutes in that game, and don't be surprised if one or both sit.  Plus, De'Angelo Russell got hurt in that game and is questionable to play tonight.

The Lakers have been pretty dreadful since winning the in-season tournament as they just lack motivation in these less important games.  They are 3-7 SU & 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  I don't expect a very good effort out of them tonight given the spot, and I conversely I expect a max effort from the revenge-minded Pelicans, who are fully healthy right now.

The Pelicans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 games against the spread.  Bet the Pelicans Sunday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +5

The Detroit Pistons have tied the NBA record for longest losing streak in history at 28 games.  They don't want to be the sole owners of this streak, and I expect them to win outright tonight.  We will take the points for some insurance.

The Pistons are as healthy as they have been all season and are trending in the right direction.  They are 2-0 ATS in their last two games and played well in both.  They only lost by 6 to the Nets as 6.5-point underdogs, and then took the Celtics to OT as 17-point underdogs.  They even led the Celtics by 20-plus points early in that game.

Now the Pistons are in a favorable spot here playing just their 3rd game in 7 days.  The Raptors are in a terrible spot, playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  They are coming off a deflating 118-120 loss at Boston last night and won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons.  

Keep in mind Boston was missing Tatum and Porzingis last night and was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, so the fact that they hung with the Celtics isn't very impressive as they closed as 4.5-point dogs.  Siakam played 40 minutes, Barnes 38, Anunoby 37 and Schroder 34 for the Raptors last night.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Pistons, and they could choose to rest a starter or two.

The Raptors are 4-10 SU & 5-9 ATS in their last 14 games overall, so it's not like they are playing well enough to warrant being 5-point road favorites here.  The Pistons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Raptors.  That includes 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with Toronto.  Bet the Pistons Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Indiana State +9

Indiana State is one of the best mid-major teams in the country.  The Sycamores are 11-1 this season with their lone loss coming on the road to Alabama.  They rank 34th in adjusted offense and can fill it up, and they are improved defensively ranking 101st in adjusted defense.  I think they can give Michigan State a run for its money today.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Spartans.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  But we saw the Spartans get upset earlier this season at home by another great mid-major in James Madison as 16.5-point favorites.  This could be a flat spot for the Spartans coming off Christmas Break and with a Big Ten game against Penn State on deck.

Indiana State is 30-16 ATS in its last 46 games overall.  The Sycamores are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games off a win by 10 points or more.  Bet Indiana State Saturday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder want revenge on the Minnesota Timberwolves.  They knocked the Thunder out of the playoffs last year in the play-in round with a 120-95 victory at home.  They also beat the Thunder 106-103 at home in their first meeting this season.

But now the Thunder finally get the Timberwolves at home in Oklahoma City, and they will get their revenge tonight.  The Thunder are 18-9 SU & 18-8-1 ATS this season, including 10-5 SU & 10-5 ATS at home.  The Timberwolves have just one loss at home all season, but five losses on the road.  Minnesota could be without Karl-Anthony Towns, who is questionable.

Oklahoma City is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when revenging a close loss by 3 points or less.  The Thunder are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing three consecutive home games.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Houston Rockets -3

The Houston Rockets are 12-2 SU & 12-2 ATS at home this season.  They are outscoring opponents by 12.3 points per game at home this year, where they have been grossly undervalued.  That is the case again tonight as only 3-point home favorites over the struggling Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have struggled since the in-season tournament.  They are just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone win coming at home against the lowly Hornets.  They lost by 14 in Milwaukee, by 14 in Washington, by 18 in Minnesota and by 13 in Memphis in their four road games during this stretch.

While the Rockets are fully healthy, the Pacers will be without Bruce Brown (11.6 PPG), who was their biggest offseason acquisition.  Indiana is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after two straight games where they allowed 50% shooting or higher.  Houston is 15-2 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

15* Celtics/Lakers ABC ANNIHILATOR on Boston -2.5

The Boston Celtics are the best team in the NBA, period.  They should be more than 2.5-point favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers today.  The Celtics aren't distracted and are on a business trip here in the midst of a four-game road trip.

After opening it with a OT loss at Golden State, the Celtics have been on a mission since.  They dominated the Kings 144-119 in Sacramento despite being on the 2nd of a back-to-back and off an OT game.  They had the next two days off and then crushed the Clippers 145-108 in Los Angeles on Saturday.  Now they will be rested and ready to go against the hated Lakers today.

The Lakers have been terrible since winning the in-season tournament.  They are 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their seven games since the tournament.  They are banged up and distracted right now.  They have been on the road for eight of their last nine games and haven't been able to spend much time with family at home.  They have a lot of obligations to deal with back home for Christmas, which is a big distraction for them.  I like the mental state of the Celtics much more heading into this one.

The Lakers are 6-19 ATS in their last 25 games following a road win.  Boston is 30-15 ATS in its last 45 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  The Celtics are 4-1 SU in their last five meetings with the Lakers.  Bet the Celtics Monday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +9.5

Golden State is without its two best defenders in Draymond Green and Gary Payton II.  The Warriors can't be this big of a favorite over anyone right now given their current state.  In fact, Golden State has just one win by more than 11 points all season!  They have just one win by more than 6 points in their last 20 games, making for a 19-1 system backing the Blazers pertaining to this 9.5-point spread.

That 11-point win came against the Wizards last night who were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Now it's the Warriors who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and on tired legs since they are short-handed.  The Warriors could also be caught looking ahead to their game against defending champion Denver on Christmas Day and not take the Blazers seriously tonight.

The Blazers are playing much more competitive basketball here of late with their last three games all decided by 5 points or less.  They upset the Suns, lost by 1 to the Wizards and lost by 4 to the Warriors.  That makes this a revenge spot for the Blazers as well as they just lost to the Warriors on December 17th.  They will be the more motivated team.

A big reason the Blazers are playing a lot better of late is that they have finally gotten healthier with Brogdon, Simons, Henderson, Grant and Ayton all missing some time this year.  But all five are healthy now.  The Warriors are just 3-10-1 ATS at home this season and have been consistently overvalued at home.  Asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us given the tough rest spot is asking too much.  Bet the Blazers Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Chicago Bulls -5

The Chicago Bulls are 8-3 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and playing their best basketball of the season since Zach LaVine got hurt.  They are playing team basketball, playing smarter on offense with more 3's and layups, and I expect them to keep this momentum going tonight against the short-handed Cleveland Cavaliers.

Cleveland is without its top three scorers in Mitchell (27.7 PPG, 5.5 APG), Garland (20.7 PPG, 5.9 APG) and Mobley (16.0 PPG, 10.5 RPG) right now.  Sam Merrill has been playing well at PG in their absence but even he is questionable tonight as well.  The Cavaliers stand no chance of being competitive on the road against the Bulls without Mitchell, Garland and Mobley.  Bet the Bulls Saturday.

15* Lakers/Thunder NBA ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -3.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been grossly undervalued for three seasons now and remain undervalued this season.  They are 18-8 SU & 18-7-1 ATS this season.  The Thunder rank 3rd in the NBA in net rating this season trailing only the 76ers and Celtics.

The Los Angeles Lakers won the in-season tournament and have just tanked since as they haven't bene as motivated.  The Lakers are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone win coming against the Spurs by 3.  They also lost to the Spurs by 14, lost to the Knicks at home by 5, lost by 16 at Chicago and lost by 7 at Minnesota.

Injuries are really starting to pile up for the Lakers as James, Davis and Hachimura are all questionable for this one.  The Thunder blasted the Lakers 133-110 as 5.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting with them this season on November 30th.  It will be more of the same tonight, this time as even shorter 3.5-point favorites.

The Thunder are the much fresher team playing their 2nd game in 5 days and just their 6th game in 15 days.  The Lakers will be playing in their 7th different city in 12 days.  Bet the Thunder Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on UT-Arlington +8

North Texas lost its star PG to Kansas State in the transfer portal.  The Mean Green only brought back one starter this season and were gutted.  They have a reputation of being one of the best mid-major teams in the country from previous seasons, but that is no longer the case this season.  They continue to get too much respect for that reputation.

The Mean Green are just 5-5 SU this season with their five wins coming against Mississippi Valley State, Angelo State, Towson State, Nebraska-Omaha and Northern Iowa in OT.  When they have stepped up in class they have lost to Fordham, Mississippi State, Boise State, LSU and St. John's.

I like what I've seen from this UT-Arlington team on the road this season.  They only lost 80-82 as 14.5-point dogs at New Mexico, 69-76 as 11-point dogs at Grand Canyon and 66-77 as 13.5-point dogs at Texas Tech.  They took all three of those very good teams to the wire, and North Texas isn't nearly as good as those three squads.

Arlington is 71-49 ATS in its last 120 games as a road underdog.  The Mavericks are 7-2 ATS in all games this season, including 4-1 ATS in road games.  Bet UT-Arlington Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Toledo +5

West Virginia is rebuilding this season after moving on from Bob Huggins to Josh Eilert. They have five new starters this season and it has not gone well.  The Mountaineers are 4-7 SU & 4-7 ATS this season and they have no business being 5-point favorites against Toledo today.

West Virginia's four wins this season came by 8 over Missouri State, by 13 over Jacksonville State, by 4 over Bellarmine and by 6 over Drexel.  There are some very concerning losses as well.  They lost by 8 to UMass as a 3-point favorite on a neutral and were upset by Radford as a 6.5-point home favorite.  They were also blasted by Pitt by 17 at home and were upset as 14.5-point home favorites by Monmouth.

Toledo is one of the better mid-major teams in the country.  They took three other mid-major powers to the wire in losses to New Mexico by 8, UC-Irvine by 6 and Indiana State by 2.  They upset Oakland and upset Wright State in their two true road games this season.  I fully expect them to upset West Virginia today.

Toledo is 49-29 ATS in its last 78 games overall.  The Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games after giving up 9 or fewer offensive rebounds in two consecutive games.  West Virginia is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games after losing two of its last three games.  Kowalczyk is 16-4 ATS after a game where they made 33% of their shots or worse as the coach of Toledo.  Bet Toledo Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +12.5

The Washington Wizards have quietly gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with three against playoff contenders.  They upset the Pacers by 14 as 8.5-point home dogs, took the Suns to the wire in a 4-point road loss at 13-point dogs, covered in a 12-point loss at Sacramento as 14-point dogs and upset the Blazers as 4.5-point road dogs.  They are also a solid 11-6 ATS on the road this season, while the Warriors are 3-9 ATS at home.

This number has been adjusted up too much for the fact that the Wizards will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But they had two days off prior to the Portland game, so they should still be pretty fresh.  And they are nearly at full strength right now and one of the deepest teams in the NBA playing nine different players significant minutes last night.

I think the spot is actually worse for the Warriors, who are coming off an upset win over the Celtics in OT on Thursday, which now sets them up for a letdown spot.  Golden State is without its two best defenders in Draymond Green and Gary Payton II, plus Brandin Podziemski is questionable after leaving the Boston game with a back injury.  The Warriors can't be double-digit favorites over anyone right now given their current state.

In fact, Golden State has just one win by more than 11 points all season!  Their largest margin of victory in their last 19 games has been 6 points! They haven't won any of their last 23 games by more than 11 points, making for a 23-0 system backing the Wizards pertaining to this 12.5-point spread.  Golden State has beaten Washington by more than 9 points just once in their last nine meetings.  Jordan Poole wants some revenge here on the team that let him go as well.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -8.5

I love the spot for the Houston Rockets tonight.  They will be highly motivated for a victory following three consecutive losses to the Bucks, Cavaliers and Hawks.  They took all three to the wire in single-digit losses but came up just short.

Now the Rockets will take out their frustration on the short-handed Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavericks were already struggling even when Luka Doncic was healthy because they were missing so many other key guys.  Now they are without Doncic too, and the future is grim for the Mavericks until some of these guys get back healthy.

Indeed, the Mavericks are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 18 at home to Minnesota, by 26 at Denver and by 9 at home to the Clippers.  The Mavericks will be without Doncic (32.7 PPG, 9.1 APG, 8.4 RPG), Irving (23.0 PPG, 5.2 APG), Lively II (8.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG), Exum (8.6 PPG) and Green (6.9 PPG) tonight.  They don't stand a chance of even being competitive against the motivated Rockets, who won't be taking them lightly given they have lost three straight.

The Rockets are 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game.  Houston is 11-1 ATS after playing a home game this season.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet the Rockets Friday.

15* CBB Friday Night BLOWOUT on SMU -5.5

Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in the country.  He was fired from Iowa State, and he returned to Murray State where he previously had success.  It was a disaster last season in his first season back, and it hasn't gone any better this season, proving that he's one of the worst in the business.

Murray State is just 3-8 SU & 3-7 ATS this season.  The Racers just lost outright two games ago at home to SE Louisiana as a double-digit favorite.  Then they were blown out by 14 as 1.5-point favorites at Arkansas-Little Rock to suffer their 8th loss in 9 games.

Murray State has compiled this awful record against the 278th-ranked schedule in the country.  Now they must face one of the best teams they have all season in SMU.  And the biggest difference between these teams is defense, where Murray State ranks 316th in adjusted defense while SMU ranks 34th and actually gets after it on that end.  Prohm just doesn't coach defense.

SMU won its last road game 68-57 at Florida State as a 5.5-point dog.  This will be a pretty big step down in class for the Mustangs, who have already faced the likes of FSU, ASU, Dayton, Wisconsin and Texas A&M.  Murray State won't have its normal home-court advantage with students home for Christmas.  I expect the Mustangs to treat this is a business trip.  The Mustangs are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 December games, while the Racers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 December games.  Bet SMU Friday.

20* Drake/UAB CBB No-Brainer on Drake -3

The Drake Bulldogs are one of the best mid-major teams in the country.  They should have beaten Miami in the NCAA Tournament but blew a double-digit lead late.  Miami went on to the Final Four.  Drake brought back almost everyone from that team and is off to an 11-1 start this season.

UAB has been one of the best mid-major programs in the country for the last handful of years.  However, that's clearly no longer the case when you look at the results for the Blazers thus far.  But they are still getting respect for what they have done in the past, so there is value in fading them still.

UAB is 6-5 SU & 4-6 ATS this season with some very troubling results.  They only beat Alcorn State by 3 as 16.5-point favorites.  That gives them a common opponent with Drake, which just beat Alcorn State 92-55 as 18-point favorites.  That result tells you all you need to know.

But UAB has also lost at home to McNeese State by 21 as 5.5-point favorites, was upset at home by Southern Miss as 9.5-point favorites, and got crushed at Arkansas State by 19 as 4.5-point favorites.  UAB is now 1-9 ATS in its last 10 December games.  The Blazers won't have much of a home-court advantage at all with this being an afternoon game at 3:00 EST and students home for Christmas.  I expect the Bulldogs to treat this as a business trip.  Bet Drake Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Bradley -10.5

I love the spot for Bradley tonight.  They opened the season 6-0 SU & 5-0-1 ATS but have since gone 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games with a step up in competition.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to end this skid, and I think they get a double-digit blowout victory as they are taking a big step down in class tonight.

SIU-Edwardsville is 7-5 this season but ranked 268th in KenPom.  They have really struggled on the road, going 0-5 SU in true road games losing by 16 at Dayton, by 18 at Missouri, by 12 at South Alabama, by 23 at Troy and by 12 at Ball State.  So they have lost all five road games by 12 points or more, and Bradley (122nd) is ranked higher than South Alabama (183rd), Troy (210th) and Ball State (241st) in KenPom.

Bradley is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 home games with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  The Braves are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games following an ATS win.  Edwardsville is 13-27 ATS in its last 40 December road games.  Bradley is 11-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  Bet Bradley Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on UC-Irvine +8.5

UC-Irvine is one of the most underrated mid-major teams in the country.  The Anteaters are 7-4 SU & 8-2 ATS this season with all four losses coming by 10 points or less, including three by 8 points or fewer.  They are once again catching too many points tonight at New Mexico.

UC-Irvine only lost by 1 at San Diego State as 8.5-point dogs two games ago and SDSU is every bit as good as New Mexico.  They only lost by 4 at Duquesne as 5.5-point dogs, upset USC 70-60 as 11.5-point road dogs and crushed New Mexico State 91-74 as 9-point home favorites.

Speaking of New Mexico State, that is a common opponent of these two.  New Mexico only beat New Mexico State 73-72 as 14.5-point favorites, failing to cover the spread by 13.5 points.  The Lobos are coming off that win over their in-state rivals and won't be as motivated to beat UC-Irvine tonight.  Bet UC-Irvine Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Clippers -3

The Los Angeles Clippers are showing how dangerous they can be when fully healthy.  They are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall and I fully expect them to extend that winning streak to nine games tonight in Dallas.

The Mavericks are not healthy.  They are without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Josh Green and Maxi Kleber right now.  That puts a lot on Luka Doncic's shoulders to carry the scoring load, and while he's playing at an MVP level, he cannot beat this loaded Clippers team on his own.

It did not go well for Doncic and the short-handed Mavericks in two games against two other elite teams here recently.  They lost 119-101 at home to the Timberwolves three games ago and 130-104 to the Nuggets last time out.  I fully expect them to get blasted again tonight against another title contender in the Clippers.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Houston Rockets -3

The Houston Rockets have the biggest home/road splits of any team in the NBA.  They are 2-10 SU & 5-7 ATS on the road, but an impressive 11-1 SU & 11-1 ATS at home.  The Rockets are coming off consecutive road losses to the Bucks and Cavs by single-digits, so they return home motivated for a victory tonight.

They take on an Atlanta Hawks team that is one of the most overrated teams in the NBA.  The Hawks are 11-15 SU & 6-20 ATS this season.  That includes 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games overall, and they are once again getting too much respect here as only 3-point road dogs to the Rockets, who are the much superior and more complete team.

The Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive rating while the Hawks rank 27th, and that is the biggest difference between these teams.  One plays defense and the other does not.  Plus, injuries are mounting up for the Hawks as Jalen Johnson remains out while both Bogdan Bogdanovic and AJ Griffin are questionable.  The Rockets look to be fully healthy right now.

Atlanta is 1-11 ATS vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 36% or better this season.  Houston is 9-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record this season.  Bet the Rockets Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Utah Valley +5.5

Utah Valley is 6-5 SU & 6-3 ATS this season.  The Wolverines are 4-0 SU & 2-0 ATS at home.  They upset Seattle 78-72 as 3-point home dogs and upset Weber State 70-54 as 2-point home dogs.  They are coming off consecutive covers as road underdogs at Oregon State and at Utah as well.

The Wolverines now host a Liberty team that I believe is grossly overvalued due to a home-heavy schedule in the early going.  In fact, the Flames have played just one true road game this season, and that resulted in a 83-58 blowout loss at Florida Atlantic.  They should not be favored by 5.5 points on the road today.

I've seen Liberty play a few times this season and what stands out to me is just how short they are as a team.  The Flames rank dead last (362nd) in the country in average height.  Utah Valley ranks 119th and will have a big advantage on the boards in this one.

Utah Valley is 31-12 ATS in its last 43 games overall, including 9-1 ATS in its last 10 December games.  The Wolverines are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games after covering three of their last four games.  Utah Valley is 24-5 ATS in its last 29 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Wolverines have been grossly undervalued for multiple seasons now.  Bet Utah Valley Wednesday.

15* Marquette/Providence FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Providence +4.5

Marquette is overvalued right now after early season wins over Illinois, UCLA, Kansas and Texas.  Since that Texas win, they failed to cover against Notre Dame and were nearly upset by St. Thomas in a 5-point home win as 23-point favorites.  I think they are being overvalued again today on the road at Providence.

Providence is 8-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.4 points per game. That includes a 72-59 win as 1.5-point dogs to Wisconsin.  That gives these teams are common opponent as Marquette actually lost 75-64 at Wisconsin as 3-point favorites.

The Friars are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games vs. good ball handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Bet Providence Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Troy +13

It's time to 'sell high' on the Ole Miss Rebels.  They are 10-0 this season but very fortunate to still be unbeaten.  Nine of their 10 wins have come by 11 points or fewer including narrow wins against the likes of Alabama State (10), Eastern Washington (11), Detroit (1), Sam Houston State (3, Temple (1) and Mount St. Mary's (9).

Ole Miss has also faced the 256th-ranked schedule in the country, and as you can see the competition has been weak.  I think Troy can stay within 13 tonight.  The Trojans have just one loss this season by more than 12 points.

Troy went on the road and only lost by 12 at Dayton as 13.5-point dogs.  They also have a 1-point loss at Oregon State as 7.5-point dogs and a 1-point loss at Eastern Kentucky as 5.5-point dogs.  They have actually done their best work away from home and are 5-1-1 ATS in all lined games this season.

Ole Miss is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  The Rebels are 1-8 ATS in home games with a total of 140 to 149.5 over the last three seasons.  Troy has had the last six days off to rest and prepare for Ole Miss.  The Rebels have only had the last two days off and won't be nearly as fresh or prepared.  Bet Troy Tuesday.

15* CBB Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Arkansas-Little Rock +1.5

Steve Prohm is one of the worst head coaches in the country.  He was fired from Iowa State, and he returned to Murray State where he previously had success.  It was a disaster last season in his first season back, and it hasn't gone any better this season, proving that he's one of the worst in the business.

Murray State is just 3-7 SU & 3-6 ATS this season.  The Racers have been awful on the road, going 0-5 SU in neutral/true road games this season.  They also just lost outright at home to SE Louisiana as a double-digit favorite for their 7th loss in 8 games.  They should not be favored on the road tonight.

Arkansas-Little Rock is 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season, including 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home games coming in.  They also have a massive rest advantage.  They have had the last four days off to prepare for this game, while Murray State just lost to SE Louisiana on Saturday and only had one day to get ready, plus the travel.  It will be the 3rd game in 6 days for the Racers as well.

Murray State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games when playing a marginal losing team (40-49%).  Bet Arkansas-Little Rock Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Clippers -3

The Los Angeles Clippers are showing how dangerous they can be when fully healthy.  They are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall and I fully expect them to extend that winning streak to eight games tonight in Indiana.

The Pacers are going through a letdown phase after coming up just short in the in-season tournament, losing in the championship to the Lakers.  They have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall, losing by 14 at Milwaukee, by 14 as 8.5-point favorites at Washington and by 18 at Minnesota.

I always like fading teams in their first home game back from a long road trip.  Well, the Pacers have been on the road since December 7th dating back to the in-season tournament in Las Vegas.  There are a lot of distractions they have to deal with at home when returning from a long road trip.  Plus, their two best players in Tyrese Haliburton and Myles Turner are questionable.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

20* CBB GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland +16.5

Oakland is one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball.  The Golden Grizzlies have gone 6-5 SU & 9-2 ATS this season.  They upset Xavier as 15-point road dogs, only lost to Ohio State by 6 as 19.5-point road dogs and only lost to Illinois by 11 as 24-point road dogs.  They have shown they can play with the big boys, and they will give Michigan State a run for its money tonight.

Michigan State has been one of the most overrated teams in the country.  The Spartans are 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS this season despite coming into the season being ranked in the Top 5 in the country.  They lost outright at home to James Madison as a 16.5-point favorite and lost outright to Wisconsin by 13 as a 5-point home favorite.

The spot really favors Oakland tonight.  They have had the last 9 days off to rest and prepare to play Michigan State.  The Spartans are coming off an upset win over Baylor in Detroit on Saturday to hand the Bears their first loss of the season.  They are in a letdown spot off that win, and they won't be prepared to face Oakland with just one day to get ready for them.

Oakland is 8-0 ATS off a non-conference game this season.  The Golden Grizzlies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a win.  Oakland only lost by 13 to Michigan State last year and by 12 to the Spartans the year prior.  They are getting too many points once again here in this annual meeting.  Bet Oakland Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +9

I love the spot for the Orlando Magic today.  They will be out for revenge from a 111-128 loss in Boston on Friday night.  They were closing 5-point dogs in that game, and after getting blown out, they are now 9-point dogs in the rematch.  That's too big of an adjustment up.

The Celtics won't be motivated at all to beat the Magic for the 2nd time in 3 days, so they are primed for a letdown.  Asking the Celtics to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Celtics have just two wins by more than 10 points in their last 14 games overall.

The Magic are 11-3 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  The Magic are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with four outright upsets as 13.5, 10.5, 7.5 and 5.5-point dogs.  The Magic are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings as well with that 17-point loss the only one that came by more than 6 points.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +10

The Utah Jazz are getting healthier and playing well again as a result.  They are coming off consecutive upset wins as underdogs over the New York Knicks and Portland Trail Blazers.  They recently got both Lauri Markkanen and Walker Kessler back from injury, and these are arguably their two most important players.

Now the Jazz are catching too many points on the road against the Sacramento Kings tonight.  De'Aaron Fox is questionable to play and he means everything to the Kings' success.  I still like the Jazz even if he does play, but this line will crash if he doesn't.

Utah has just one loss by more than 9 points in its last 35 meetings with Sacramento.  That makes for a 34-1 system backing the Jazz pertaining to this 10-point spread.  Bet the Jazz Saturday.