Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Heat/Celtics OVER 179
Bottom Line: Without Garnett in the lineup, Boston is down one of its best defensive players and its emotional leader, and the Heat will take advantage. In fact, Miami is 8-0 OVER off an embarrassing road loss in which it scored less than 80 points under coach Spoelstra. The Heat have rebounded to score 105.4 points on average in these spots. In addition, Plays OVER on all teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points, after 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 ppg allowed), after 42+ games, are 20-4 the last 3 seasons. Bet the OVER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Monster Best Bet on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The Jazz are down another starter with Okur going down, but Utah will cover the number with its defense tonight, and Okur is a weakness in that area. Utah is an impressive s 16-4 ATS off a road loss this season, bouncing back to win by an average score of 109.4 to 99.3. If that road loss was by 10 or more points, the Jazz are 8-1 ATS in the next game this season, winning by an average score of 112.8 to 99.2 points. Notice what the opponents have scored on average in these spots. Utah has held them under the century mark. Losses have motivated this team to get after it on the defensive end and I expect no less tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were crushed by the Thunder the last time these two teams met last month. Look for the Lakers to return the favor here to take the wind out of Oklahoma City's sails early. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an incredible 81-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Lakers are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Take the Lakers as they send a message in Game 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Game of the Year on Hawks -8
Bottom Line: Without Bogut I don't give the Bucks a chance in this series against a Hawks team that is deeper, more talented, more athletic and more experienced. The Hawks enter the playoffs with plenty of momentum. Plus, they have played their best ball against the NBA's best teams. In fact, The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. The favorite is also 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Lay the points as the Hawks win this one by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Wizards UNDER 212.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (INDIANA) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after a blowout loss by 20 points or more, are 73-35 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (WASHINGTON) - revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more, off a road loss, are 74-37 since 1996. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -5.5
Bottom Line: Boston has nothing left to play for in the regular season while the Bulls must continue to win to get into the playoffs. With Boston now focused on resting and reducing the minutes of its starters, look for the motivated Bulls to roll at home tonight. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and I fully expect this trend to continue here tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +2.5
Bottom Line: Houston fell by 3 points to the Kings last month while scoring a measly 81 points so I expect the Rockets to be after some revenge here. In fact, Houston is an impressive 18-6 ATS when revenging a loss where it scored less than 85 points over the last 3 seasons, winning by 6.2 points on average in these spots. We'll take the Rockets and the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: I know Boston hasn't been playing well, but this proud team was royally embarrassed last night. Look for the C's to show some competitive fire and bounce back strong in this one. The Bucks defeated Boston by 2 points in Milwaukee last month, but Andrew Bogut had a huge game in that win. Without Bogut in the lineup, Boston has the clear edge on the interior with KG and Perkins, and that will be the difference. The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 0 days rest. Boston wins this one outright in impressive fashion.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Knicks/Magic UNDER 211
Bottom Line: The numbers really line up nicely in our favor tonight as plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ORLANDO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a terrible defensive team (>=47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 reb/game), are 24-7 the last 5 seasons. In these situations, we are seeing an average posted total of 212.4 points, but we are only seeing 204 total points scored on average. NY may be an uptempo team, but Orlando has been able to hold those teams in check. In fact, Orlando is 22-6 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season, and we are only seeing 198.7 total points scored on average in these spots. It is an even stronger 12-1 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game in the 2nd half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 196.5 total points scored on average in these spots. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Lakers +2
Bottom Line: The Lakers are well rested, having not played since Sunday, and they will be very motivated after getting crushed by the Spurs in that Sunday contest. The Lakers have struggled without Andrew Bynum, but they need to prove to themselves that they can win without him against a fellow championship contender in case he is not healthy in the playoffs. I expect them to do just that tonight. The Nuggets are at a big disadvantage here because they were pushed by the Thunder last night. The Nuggets have not performed well when playing back-to-back. In fact, the Nuggets are just 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 0 day's rest. The Nuggets are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss of more than 10 points, and we'll pound them in this situation tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Letdown Game of the Year on Nets +8
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Bucks tonight after clinching a playoff berth with a win against the Bulls last night. The Bucks were able to persevere in their first game without Bogut, but the second game will be much more difficult. With Bogut out, New Jersey's Brook Lopez will have a lot more room to operate on the offensive end. The Bucks are clearly being overvalued at this price. In fact, they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nets are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 road games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Fade the Bucks in this letdown spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Spurs to struggle tonight because of the injury to George Hill. Once Tony Parker went down, it took San Antonio a while to adjust. Now his replacement will miss time with an ankle injury. Not only can Hill score and create for others, but he is the guy that gets the Spurs into their offensive sets. I just don't see things going to smoothly for San Antonio tonight. The Spurs are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Also, the Kings have either been victorious or have lost by 3 or fewer points in each of their last 5 home contests with the Spurs. San Antonio is overvalued in this spot. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy National TV Bomb on Spurs +6
Bottom Line: While the Lakers are 33-5 SU at home this season, they are just 16-21-1 ATS in those games as they are one of the more overvalued teams in the NBA because of how much betting attention they receive. They are especially overvalued following an ATS win. As a result, the Lakers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Lakers are also just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. Look for a motivated Spurs team that is playing well to give the Lakers all they want and more this afternoon.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Year on LA Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: It's gut check time of LA, just like it was for Denver last night, and I expect the Lakers to respond just like the Nuggets did. Right away I love the fact that the Lakers have won 13 straight at home against the Jazz and the Jazz are just 3-10 ATS in those games. After getting embarrassed by Atlanta, look for the Lakers to bounce back strong tonight. In fact, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. In addition, plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UTAH) - after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 62-26 ATS the last 5 seasons, 45-16 ATS the last 3 seasons and 8-1 ATS this season. And the underdog is losing by 10.2 points on average in this situation. Take the Lakers!

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (TNT) on Magic -2
Bottom Line: I'll pound the well-rested Magic tonight against a Mavericks squad that needed overtime to beat Memphis last night. Plus, the Magic will be out for revenge after Dallas defeated them in Orlando the last time these two teams met in mid-February. The Mavericks are only 5-26-1 ATS in their last 32 home games. Plus, the Magic are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Lastly, the Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Magic.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Heat/Pistons OVER 187
Bottom Line: Miami held Detroit to an atrocious 65 points when these two teams last met in late January. With that loss still leaving a very sour taste in the mouth of the Pistons, I expect them to try like hell to return the favor in this spot, carrying this one over the number as a result. Jermaine O'Neal is expected to be out and Richard Hamilton is listed as doubtful, but this actually plays to our benefit. It forces both teams to really open things up offensively, not relying on their sets as much. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 7-1 in the Pistons' last 8 games as an underdog and 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog. Bet the Over tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Hornets UNDER 201.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams in New Orleans. The Under is 8-0-1 in the Hornets' last 9 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. New Orleans is 18-6 Under in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons and 8-1 Under when revenging a loss where its opponent scored 110 or more points this season. Bet the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: After losing the season's first two meetings to the Blazers, look for Dallas to have a little revenge tonight. This is a matchup that has been dominated by the underdog in recent meetings as the dog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6. The Mavericks are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Portland. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Trail Blazers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. I know the Blazers have had considerable rest, but they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Take the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Pacers UNDER 199.5
Bottom Line: I liked the Under here to begin with when you consider that Washington has been held under the century mark in 12 straight games. Now, I really like it since Andray Blatche, Washington's main scoring option, is not expected to play for disciplinary reasons. Washington is 18-5 UNDER in all games in the second half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 190.7 points scored in these games on average. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Grizzlies -2
Bottom Line: I know Memphis has struggled at Sacramento, but the Grizzlies have the clear advantage in terms of talent and motivation in this one. Tyreke Evans is banged up and may not even go for the Kings, and he won't be at 100% even if he does. So the Kings start Evans, Donte Greene, Carl Landry, Spencer Hawes and Francisco Garcia. The Grizzlies start Rudy Gay, Zach Randolph, Hasheem Thabeet (Marc Gasol doubtful), OJ Mayo and Mike Conley. Big edge to Memphis in terms of athleticism and talent. Plus, the Grizzlies still have an outside shot at the playoffs so they will be the more motivated side. The Kings are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games. Take Memphis.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Game of the Month on Thunder -1.5
Bottom Line: I know the Raptors can be pretty tough north of the border, but I'll take the more talented Thunder in this bounce back spot. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. Thunder are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Lastly, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. We'll take OKC tonight.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Underdog of the Year on LA Clippers +5.5
Bottom Line: First off, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Secondly, the Bucks are just 2-9-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and only 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Milwaukee has been a great team to ride of late, but now I think it's time to fade away as odds makers are really overvaluing the Bucks right now. The first evidence of this was Sunday when they were favored by 9.5 points against Indiana and only won by 4. The Clippers will be extremely motivated in this spot as they are rested and ready to end an 8-game skid. The Bucks are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Clippers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Knicks, and this line tells me the odds makers are confident the 76ers are going to win. NY looked like an unstoppable team Saturday against the Mavs, but that doesn't mean they'll get the job done tonight against a more motivated team. In fact, the Knicks are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. And NY just doesn't cover consecutive games. It is 9-19 ATS after a game where it covered the spread this season and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS win. The Knicks are also just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. After a loss in Miami Sunday, and after suffering their first loss to the Knicks in 7 meetings in January, look for the 76ers to be extremely motivated tonight. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV Game of the Month (ABC) on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Boston is coming off a confidence-boosting blowout win over Indiana. It will use that momentum, as well as motivation from a 20-point home loss to Cleveland last month, to take care of business for us here today. Without Shaq, Boston has an edge on the interior. I expect this to be where the Celtics can really give Cleveland some problems. Plus, Boston has been figured out of the title race by many experts because of their recent struggles so I look for the Celtics to make a bold statement. The Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, plays on road teams (BOSTON) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 58-35 ATS the last 5 seasons. Considering the road team is playing the home squad to a dead heat at 95.6 points in this situation, I'd say Boston is showing some nice value. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Month on Pacers +9.5
Bottom Line: With as much as the Celtics have been struggling, they don't deserve to be laying this many points to anyone. The Celtics are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite, 10-29 ATS in their last 39 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 15-37 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite. Plus, the Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nets +11.5
Bottom Line: I feel very comfortable taking the points tonight against a Dallas team that is really banged up, especially since the Mavericks are only 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Mavericks are also just 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. In addition, the Nets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. With the Nets and Knicks up next, expect the shorthanded Mavs to use this opportunity to rest up and regain some health. In other words, I don't expect the Mavs to be world beaters tonight. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year on Heat +3.5
Bottom Line: Miami has won 3 in a row, including a pair of huge wins over the Lakers and Hawks, and I don't think we'll find the Heat in a more motivated spot this season. Miami was absolutely embarrassed to the tune of 104-65 the last time it faced the Bobcats and I fully expect the Heat to have their revenge tonight. Here's the key: plays on underdogs (MIAMI) revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also like that the Bobcats are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take Miami and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/T-Wolves UNDER 207
Bottom Line: Right away I like the Under here when you consider that Dallas is 18-6 Under in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons, and we have only seen an average of 199.1 points scored in these games. Plus, Dallas is 11-1 Under in road games after a game where it made 55% of its shots or better over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing 185.4 points scored in these spots. Also, the Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams, including 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Bomb (ESPN) on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: Portland is playing well, having won 5 of its last 6 SU & ATS. We'll take Portland and the points tonight as this should be a heated division rivalry game. Portland is 20-10 ATS in all road games this season. The Trail Blazers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nuggets are just 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite and 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. We also can't overlook the fact that Portland has had 3 full days to rest and prepare. We should see a very strong performance from the Blazers in this spot. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Suns -12
Bottom Line: After playing an uptempo game in Denver last night, the Pacers won't have the legs to run and gun with a hungry Suns team that is coming off a loss to Utah and will be out to avenge a January loss to Indiana. Here's the key: Phoenix is 17-4 ATS versus poor teams outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, beating these teams by 15.7 points on average. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Defense has been the calling card of the Thunder but it hasn't been there in their last 2 games. The Thunder were able to get past the Kings at home while allowing over 50% shooting, but they were absolutely crushed by the Nuggets when they allowed better than 50% shooting the next night. Expect to see the "D" return tonight and expect to see the Thunder very hungry after enduring their worst loss of the entire season last game. Here's the clincher: The Thunder are a perfect 7-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, bouncing back to win by 13.1 points on average. With that in mind, I'd say we're getting some series line value here. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Jazz just don't lose consecutive games (haven't in 2 months), especially when they are fresh. Having not played since Monday, I'll pound them in this bounce back spot against a Suns team that just played last night. The Jazz are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 day's rest. Plus, the Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix in this matchup. Take Utah!

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: Expect an offensive explosion from Denver tonight. The Nuggets should be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses to the Lakers and Suns and they will be further motivated by an embarrassing 101-84 loss at OKC in January. Plus, this is a tough spot for the Thunder playing a back-to-back. I also love the fact that plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 57-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Denver is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Kings/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Sacramento is 10-0 UNDER when its scores just 87 to 92 points in a game this season and we are only seeing an average total score of 189.5 in these spots. Considering the Kings have been held to just 89 and 88 points respectively in their last 2 road games, the above angle has a lot of relevance in this spot. Plus, the last 3 matchups between these two teams have all gone UNDER and they didn't break the 200 total points barrier in any of those games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on Bobcats -1.5
Bottom Line: I'll take a rested Bobcats team that is 20-7 at home against a Mavs team that just played last night. Charlotte will be happy to be playing on its home floor again tonight after completing a 4-game road trip. Dallas has played a lot of games in few days and we really started to see it wear down in the second half last night. In fact, the Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Also, the Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll pound the much fresher Bobcats in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout of the Month on Hornets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Mavericks are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Hornets are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this matchup. Dallas has played well since the All-Star break but it has proven time and time again that it can't be trusted laying points. Take the Hornets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: Joakim Noah doubtful. Bulls tired coming off an OT win last night. Pacers fresh with a day's rest. Pacers extremely motivated having lost 3 times to the Bulls already this season. Indiana has won 23 of L30 at home against Bulls. Need I say more? Just love this situation tonight. Pacers step up and paste the Bulls tonight.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: We'll fade the Nuggets tonight as they will have a very difficult time getting up for this one after playing a late one last night at Golden State and with the Lakers on deck. The Pistons have covered 5 straight in this series. The Nuggets are a lousy 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Nuggets are also just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with zero day's rest. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Cavs -2
Bottom Line: Even if Paul Pierce was expected to play Thursday, which he is not, I love the Cavs laying this small number on the road tonight. If you remember, Cleveland lost 95-89 at home in the very first game of the season on TNT. I know the Cavs have not forgotten. We cashed in on the Celtics in that game, but I expect the Cavs to return the favor in Boston tonight. The Celtics have struggled against top notch competition this season, and as a result, they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Celtics have lost to the Hawks 4 times this season. They have also dropped 3 of 4 to Orlando. Boston is just 16-9 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in home games this season. In fact, the Celtics are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After just losing on the road to Orlando, the Cavs will be very hungry tonight. This one may be close for a while, but I expect the Cavs to pull away in the 4th. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 19-5 the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. With Danny Granger not expected to play, points will likely he hard to come by for the Pacers tonight. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 42-9 the last 5 seasons, 30-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 8-0 this season. The average total posted in these games was 204 points and teams have only combined to score 196.2 on average. With Nash out, I just can't see the Suns scoring enough to push this one Over. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Mavs UNDER 208.5
Bottom Line: Thanks to Dallas' new additions from Washington, it is a much better defensive team. In fact, Dallas' four opponents since the break are averaging only 93.0 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Indiana is 14-5 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season and we are only seeing 198.6 points on average in these spots. Dallas is 19-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 196.9 points on average in these spots. Indiana really struggles on the road, scoring just 99 ppg away from home this season. So with Dallas' renewed defensive focus, I expect this one to finish under the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Blazers +1
Bottom Line: Portland has lost all 3 prior meetings to Utah this season with all 3 of those losses coming by double digits. Plus, Portland is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, scoring only 76 points in a blowout loss to Boston last game. These things should add up to one of Portland's most inspired efforts of the season. The Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points so this is a strong bounce back team. The Trail Blazers are also 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog, which gives us another reason to take them seriously tonight. Lastly, the Jazz are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Portland. Bet the Blazers.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: I don't trust the Rockets laying this many points tonight, especially with all the new players that are expected to make their debut with the team. It's almost impossible for a team to operate smoothly after making so many changes and I just don't see it happening here. The Rockets are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. With these things in mind, the Pacers should not be catching this many points, even if they did play last night. Indiana keeps this one within the number.

5* ESPN Total of the Year on Mavs/Magic UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Dallas is 17-6 UNDER in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Orlando is 10-1 UNDER when playing on Friday night this season and 16-6 UNDER in its last 20 overall. With Dallas coming off a big win over Phoenix and with Orlando set to take on Cleveland next, this is a flat spot for both teams which should result in the Under.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Over with this line and they are getting it as the public is hitting the Over hard. But we won't bite. Both Boston and LA are playing some exceptional defense right now. As a result, both of these teams have played to the Under in 4 straight. We only saw a total of 179 points when these teams played in Boston late last month and I expect another low-scoring, defensive battle here. The Under is 30-14 in the Celtics' last 44 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 8-2 in the Lakers' last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: Dallas was really struggling as it entered the All-Star break, and those struggles continued last night in its first game after the break. The Mavs have some new personnel to adjust to so these struggles will likely continue. Meanwhile, Phoenix is rolling, having won 6 of its last 7 SU & ATS. It's hard to think that Dallas should be laying this many points at home, if any at all, when you consider that it is just 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. Furthermore, Dallas has struggled with uptempo teams like Phoenix, going 0-10 ATS in home games versus uptempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. Dallas is also 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 98.7. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Mavericks/Thunder UNDER 195
Bottom Line: With the Mavs shipping some guys out and getting some new guys in, it's going to take some time for them to gel. With that in mind, odds makers have set this number too high. Plus, Dallas is 18-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons and OKC is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City/Seattle. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Bottom Line: 5 straight and 21 of the last 22 meetings between these teams have finished below this number. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Also, plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 74-37 since 1996, including a perfect 6-0 already this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Warriors OVER 212
Bottom Line: The Over is 32-14 in the Warriors' last 46 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is also 9-3 in the Clippers' last 12 games vs. Western Conference. The Warriors feel this is a great opportunity to snap their long losing streak so I expect them to really push the tempo tonight and the "Over" should be the result.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Jazz/Clippers OVER 201
Bottom Line: Utah has it going on the offensive end of the floor right now so we'll gladly take the Over here, especially since the Jazz are 9-1 Over in road games off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 road games and 8-3 in the Clippers' last 11 vs. the Western Conference. We'll pound the Over here as these two well rested teams get out and run tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Warriors OVER 218
Bottom Line: We just saw these two teams combine for 211 points in Dallas last week, but with this game now being played at Golden State, we can expect the tempo to be faster and more points to be scored. In fact, the last 3 meetings at Golden State have gone over with these teams combining for an average 227.3 points in those games. Pound the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Pacers UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 7-3 Under in their last 10 overall, and we have found a strong correlation between the Under and the Pacers being favored. In fact, the Under is 10-3-2 in the Pacers' last 15 games as a favorite and 9-2-2 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Also, the Under is 7-2 in the Pistons' last 9 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -2
Bottom Line: With Brandon Roy still expected to be out, but with Tony Parker expected to be back, I have to give the edge to the Spurs tonight. Plus, revenge should also play a major factor here. The Spurs lost to the Blazers as a 13-point favorite in late December to set up a very strong situation tonight. In fact, San Antonio is 11-1 ATS when revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of 7 or more points over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 106 to 94.3. Take the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Lakers UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (LA LAKERS) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing its 3rd road game in 5 days, are 49-18 since 1996. Teams in this spot are only combining to score 186.9 points on average. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy 53-0 ATS NBA Underdog of the Month on Warriors +6
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day's rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have been decided by 4 or fewer points. Take the Warriors and the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Lakers won't have much left tonight as this is the very last game of a grueling road trip. But this is an experienced team, which isn't going to lay down either. Expect LA to slow the pace of this game down to give itself a chance to win. In turn, this one should stay under the number. Memphis is a good home team; we're talking 17-6 on the season. So when the Grizz are in the home underdog role, odds makers aren't expecting them to score many points. In fact, Memphis is 11-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less since the beginning of last season, and we are only seeing an average of 184.9 points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers +9
Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers to bounce back strong this evening after getting embarrassed by the Lakers and the Cavs this week. Toronto has been playing well, but not well enough to warrant this much respect, especially when you consider that the Raptors are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Plus, the Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Take the Pacers and the points as they take the Raptors right down to the wire with a chance to pull off the upset in the end.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Hawks/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two division rivals have all finished under this number and I fully expect this trend to continue. Atlanta was crushed by Orlando earlier this month, and that defeat plays right into our hands here. In fact, Atlanta is 17-5 Under revenging a road loss of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing this situation produce 183.1 total points. We'll pound the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA East Coast Game of the Year on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: Boston could not be more motivated in this spot. Not only will the Celtics be looking to avenge 3 straight losses to the Hawks this season, but they will be further motivated by blowing a double digit lead and losing to Orlando last night. Here's the key: Boston is 10-1 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.2 to 88.5. Take the Celtics and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT MONSTER BEST BET on Mavs +2.5
Bottom Line: It really makes sense to fade Phoenix here when you consider that plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 21-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Dallas has won 3 straight against the Suns and 5 of the last 6. Plus, the Suns are really struggling right now, having lost 7 of their last 9 games, and things will likely only get tougher with all the Amare Stoudemire trade talk and with Leandro Barbosa out with injury. Lastly, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and the Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Month on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, expect a Spurs team that is 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Hawks to be motivated enough to get the job done tonight. The Spurs recent struggles have been as much to do with poor shooting as anything, but they are on a 17-4 ATS run in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 98 to 84.3. Plus, Atlanta is just 3-15 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 87.6 to 105.8. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +7
Bottom Line: Dallas is 13-7 at home but only 5-15 ATS in those games. Plus, the Mavs have struggled with up-tempo teams. In fact, Dallas is 0-7 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season, winning these games by just 2.1 ppg. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +4.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers just fell at home to the 76ers Saturday, but I expect them to return the favor tonight. The team that loses the first game of these home and home matchups usually bounces back with a solid effort, and I expect no less from Indy here. Philly is just 5-16 ATS in home games this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 98.3. The 76ers are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Mavs -2.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs are 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS on the road this season while the 76ers are just 6-14 SU & 4-16 ATS at home. Naturally, the public is all over Dallas in this spot, and I'm going to have to agree. Dallas needed a game-winning shot to post a 2-point victory over the 76ers earlier this season, but keep in mind that the Mavs held an 11-point 4th quarter lead in that game. They'll learn from that game tonight by not letting off the gas pedal. We can't ignore the fact that Philly is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing these games by an average score of 91.4 to 102.7. Take the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were embarrassed at home by the Cavs on Christmas Day so they will be plenty motivated to return the favor tonight. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Lakers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Expect L.A. to win round two tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Utah Jazz +6.5
Bottom Line: Utah has won 3 straight over the Spurs and has lost by 6 or fewer points in the last 5 meetings. While the road struggles of the Jazz have been well documented, they haven't had those struggles of late, and they have showed up on the road against quality competition. In fact, the Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The thing I really like about Utah is that it is a great bounce back team. Following a loss to the Nuggets, I expect the Jazz to give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss. While the Spurs will be out for revenge here, they are just 5-17 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 97.5 to 99.1. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Tuesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are a completely different team than they were when they were crushed by the Heat just before the New Year as they now have their best player, Danny Granger, back in the lineup. Right away you have to like Indy's chances of covering this number when you consider that road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. You also have to love the fact that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. We'll take the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back embarrassing losses, expect the Magic to finally show up tonight in a big way against the team that defeated them in last year's NBA Finals. Plays on any team (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 26-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The rest seems to be the key here as the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. But motivation is clearly a key as well, as the Magic are 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: A couple things really stand out here. The first is the Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points. The second is the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more day's rest. With Utah having just played Saturday, I look for a fresh Nuggets team to run the Jazz off the court tonight. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -2
Bottom Line: I'll take the Bobcats at home, where they are 15-4 on the season, against a Suns team that has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Plus, the Suns are coming off s heartbreaker in Atlanta last night which will make it very difficult to get up for this one. Playing the back-to-back should hurt a Suns team which relies on an uptempo offense far worse here. In fact, the Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Also, the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Cats.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Suns +5
Bottom Line: I think Atlanta is the better team, but it has struggled with the Phoenix and its uptempo game. In fact, Atlanta has lost three straight to Phoenix and nine of the last 11 meetings. The Suns enter Atlanta as motivated as ever, too, after blowing a 24-point lead and losing to the Pacers in their last game. I expect Phoenix's defense to be much better tonight after that performance and history would agree with me. The Suns are 13-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.3 to 105.5. The Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This is a gut check game for the Suns, and I believe they will rise to the occasion.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +7
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls tonight. Chicago is quietly playing much better basketball and has covered the spread in 8 of its last 9 and 11 of its last 14 as a result. The Bulls will be especially motivated here because they have been crushed by Boston twice already this season. The shorthanded Celtics, who are playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace, just played last night, and it is worth mentioning that the Celtics are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without any rest. The Celtics are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bulls haven't played since the 11th so they'll be ready to go here, but the Celtics have been playing a lot of basketball in few days. In fact, Boston is on a 5-16 ATS slide in home games when playing its 5th game in 7 days, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 94.5 to 95.7. Take the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 12-4 Under versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season and 14-5 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season (line opened at 199). The Under is also 11-4 in the Grizzlies' last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The last 2 meetings have both came in Under this number with the teams combining for just 186 points in the last. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -8.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks were crushed 95-77 by the Lakers last night to fall to 4-12 on the road this season. Now, they get a rested and motivated Suns team that is 14-4 at home on the season. The Suns haven't played since the 8th and they will be motivated to get back in the win column following a home loss to Miami in their last game. Phoenix has flat out had Milwaukee's number, having won 21 straight home games against the Bucks. To make matters worse, the Bucks are expected to be without starting guard Michael Redd who continues to have problems with his knees. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Grizzlies -3
Bottom Line: Memphis is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.7 to 98.6. Utah really crushed the Grizzlies in Utah on Wednesday, but Memphis had just played a tough one in Portland the night before. The Grizzlies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and I look for them to bounce back strong here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Spurs -1 (still like it up to -4)
Bottom Line: The Spurs have already defeated the Raptors by 7 points this season in a game that Duncan and Parker didn't play in. Both are expected in the lineup today, and with that in mind, I feel San Antonio should be laying more than 1-point here. Toronto is on a 1-12 ATS slide versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and on a 1-6 ATS skid when playing on 0 day's rest. Take the Spurs again today.

5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami here after losing a tough one in New Orleans last night, especially since it is going up against a Spurs team playing its best ball of the season. San Antonio has won 9 of its last 11 games, and it has owned the Heat at home, winning 10 of its last 12 against them in San Antonio. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southeast. Look for them to drop the hammer on Miami tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY on Pacers +7
Bottom Line: I think the Bulls are getting too much respect with this line against a Pacers team extremely motivated to win after suffering 6 straight defeats. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite, and just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Nuggets UNDER 209
Bottom Line: This matchup has seen 4 straight play to the Over, which has driven this number up, to create value in taking the Under. The public is all over the Over here which is precisely where the books want it to be. We'll go against the grain to cut into the house profits today. Consider that George Karl's teams are 22-7 Under in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996 with the average combined score totaling just 194.5 in these spots. Expect Denver to do a better job of digging in defensively tonight. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on LA Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: I know the Lakers are playing back-to-back here, but they were embarrassed last night by the Cavs. Expect them to be extremely hungry in this spot against a team they defeated by 18 points the last time they visited. Here's the key: Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 31-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Bucks UNDER 202
Bottom Line: Washington is 12-1 UNDER in a road game where the total opens between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The average total score in these games is 186.6. Plus, the UNDER is 4-1 in the Wizards' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Pound the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5
Bottom Line: Atlanta has been an Overs machine at home this season, but much of that is because of a favorable home slate to this point. Consider that Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons, with the average combined score totaling just 179.9 points in these games. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have gone Under and we'll ride that wave again here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Nets UNDER 200
Bottom Line: This series has been an Unders machine with the Under going 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Plus, New Jersey has been an Unders machine this season at 16-7-2 Under in all games with the average score totaling just 189.2 points. And lastly, the Under is 5-0 in the Nets' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Bulls UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - cold team having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against a hot team having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. The books are cashing in big while the Lakers have played to the Under in 4 straight as the public continues to pound the Over. Last week, we cashed in on the Lakers Under twice, including our "Total" Blowout of the Month on the T-Wolves/Lakers Under on Friday night. We'll ride it again here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Nuggets -8.5
Bottom Line: After back-to-back road losses where the Nuggets failed to score 100 points, I expect them to really run up the score at home tonight against a tired Phoenix team. Denver is 9-1 at home where it is winning by 13.9 points on average. Phoenix is a terrible 6-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.9 to 111.5 while Denver is is 12-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 113 to 97.4. Take Denver as it takes this one by double digits.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on T-Wolves/Lakers UNDER 201
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over here, but the lowly T-Wolves have been an Unders machine. They have gone Under the number in 5 of their last 6 games and 10 of their last 13. In fact, Minnesota has played to the Under in 7 of 10 road games this season. Also, the Lakers have no real incentive to run up the score tonight as they play again tomorrow night in Utah to start a 5-game road trip and they'll want to be fresh for that. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series in Los Angeles. The Under is 34-15-2 in the Timberwolves last 51 overall and 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 10-3-2 in the Lakers last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on 76ers/Celtics UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Philly just played a fast paced game last night and I don't see the 76ers putting many points on the board tonight against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, especially when that team is well rested and coming off a game where it gave up 105 points. The Under is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 in 76ers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-0 in Celtics last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Game of the Month on Blazers -7.5
Bottom Line: The injuries are piling up early for the Warriors and that leaves them at a huge disadvantage tonight. Portland has been money in the road chalk at 24-11 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Friday games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific Division, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 199.5
Bottom Line: Both of these teams just played last night so I highly doubt they will have the legs to carry this one over. But even if they were rested, I still think this number is way too high. It is almost certain that Ginobli and Parker will not play tonight. That takes away a good chunk of points and most all of San Antonio's transition game. That means we will likely see the Spurs play even slower than normal. Get ready for the old school San Antonio offense that gave the ball to Duncan on the block and watched him maneuver all game. The Spurs have played 4 straight to the Under when playing back-to-back and I expect this trend to continue. Really think this one goes Under by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Week on Warriors/Celtics UNDER 210.5
Bottom Line: Perfect Unders situation in my opinion. The Warriors just played an uptempo game last night with a 7-man rotation so I can't seen them having the legs to run the full 48 minutes tonight. Plus, Boston is rested and ready to bounce back after being let down by its defense the last two games. Defense will be the focus tonight and I expect Boston to completely shut the Warriors down. Offensively, Boston prefers to play in the halfcourt. Boston holds the Warriors well under the century mark as the Under comes through.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Nets +4.5
Bottom Line: The Nets may be 0-10 on the season, but they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games and they'll be especially hungry for their first win of the year tonight after playing Miami to a 1-point game last time out. During New Jersey's 4-1 ATS stretch, it has played Philly to a 3-point game twice in addition to its 1-point loss to Miami. Both of those teams are better than the Pacers and 2 of those games were on the road. Indiana is coming off a big upset win over Boston so this one has letdown written all over it for the Pacers as well. The Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Nets.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Nuggets -4
Bottom Line: Extremely tough spot for the Lakers traveling to play back-to-back here against a Nuggets team coming off a bad loss to Milwaukee and happy to be back home after a long road trip. Plus, the Nuggets will be out for revenge here after getting knocked out of the playoffs by LA last season. Pau Gasol is still expected to be out and that leaves the Lakers shorthanded against a deep and athletic Nuggets squad. The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and we'll back them in a very strong spot tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Pacers OVER 222
Bottom Line: We've seen each of the last 3 meetings in this matchup produce total scores of 237 or higher and with Golden State allowing 121.5 ppg on the road this season I expect another high scoring affair tonight. Plus, plays Over on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (Pacers) - extremely well rested team playing 5 or less games in 14 days against an opponent - extremely tired team playing its 3rd game in 4 days, are 23-3 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bucks/T-Wolves UNDER 187
Bottom Line: I liked the Under when this one was at 184.5 and I love it now that it has rose to 187. Minnesota has been over the century mark only once this season and that came against the uptempo Suns. The Wolves have scored 90 or fewer points in 3 of 5 games and the Bucks have been under 86 points in 2 of 3 games. The Under is 13-3 in the Timberwolves last 16 home games and 23-7 in their last 30 overall. I'll take the Under here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Celtics/T-Wolves UNDER 186
Bottom Line: The Under is 22-7 in the Timberwolves last 29 overall as this team has really struggled offensively. I can't see Minnesota getting much of anything tonight against a strong Celtics defense. The Under is also 5-0 in the Timberwolves last 5 games as a home underdog. While I expect Boston to shut down the Wolves, it doesn't have any incentive to run up the score. Boston is playing a back-to-back so expect Doc not to over extend his starters' minutes. This one comes in way Under.

5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Pounder on Spurs -4
Bottom Line: The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup and a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Plus, the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Spurs have won 4 straight in this series over the last 3 seasons by at least 5 points each time, with 3 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. San Antonio looked good last night in blowing out the Hornets and I like them to continue their dominance over Chicago here. The starters played low minutes last night so tired legs should not be an issue and the new acquisitions add even more quality depth to an already deep Spurs 2nd unit. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
The Lakers delivered a dagger to the heart of the Magic with their Game 4 OT win and I like them to take home the title tonight. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando, the Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Lakers are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Magic are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Orlando hangs tough for the majority of this game, but in the end the Lakers just have too many weapons. Plus, you can underestimate the added motivation that Mickael Pietrus gave the Lakers by putting two fists in the back of Gasol. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Finals *BLOOD BATH* of the Year on Lakers +2.5
The Lakers are 6-0 SU and ATS off a loss this postseason, winning by an average margin of 16.8 ppg in these spots. With Kobe out to prove he hasn't hit a wall, I have no doubts the Lakers bounce back strong with a win tonight. Pound LA!