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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
03-22-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Charlotte Bobcats +1 | Top | 94-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +1
Bottom Line: Charlotte has been outstanding in the 2nd half of the season at home where it is on an 8-1 ATS run and outscoring opponents by 8.1 points. Plus, the Bobcats are 11-3 ATS this season as a home dog of 6 points or less, winning these games by 3.2 points on average. Portland is one of the best rebounding teams in the league but likely won't have leading rebounder LaMarcus Aldridge tonight. Besides, the Cats are 8-0 ATS versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds per game in the 2nd half of this season, defeating these teams by 10.8 points on average. Pound the Bobcats. |
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03-21-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Dallas Mavericks -7.5 | Top | 106-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -7.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is off a home loss to Minnesota and has lost all 3 matchups this season with a Denver squad that has won 4 of 5 (2 of the wins over the Heat and Clippers), yet it is laying 7.5 points? Obviously, the books are expecting Dallas to take care of business in this highly motivated spot, and I completely agree. Not only will the Mavs be out to avoid the season sweep, but they need every win they can get as they fight to hang on to a playoff spot. With several tough games ahead, this is one Dallas really needs. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus the Western Conference and 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss. Pound Dallas. |
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03-19-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +6 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +6
Bottom Line: The Nets are being overvalued because they have won 9 straight at home and defeated Charlotte by 16 at home last month. Despite that win, Brooklyn is laying less here than it did in that game (-7.5). Obviously, the books are expecting Charlotte to put up a lot more of a fight this time around, and I look for the Bobcats to take the Nets down to the wire. Charlotte is 9-1 ATS this season versus teams with a win percentage of 51% to 60%, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Bobcats are also 15-7 ATS this season when out for revenge for a double-digit loss. They have lost these contests by just 3.1 points on average. Pound the Bobcats. |
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03-18-14 | Toronto Raptors -3 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: Atlanta won in Charlotte last night, but it hasn't fared well in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. The Hawks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games when playing without a day of rest and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Toronto won by 21 when it hosted the Hawks last month, and it will be motivated to crush them again following an upset loss to Phoenix last game. The Raptors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent has resulted in a 92-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are off a win on the road. Playing against home underdogs that are out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more has resulted in an 87-49 ATS record since 1996 if they're opponent is off an upset loss. Pound Toronto. |
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03-17-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets +4.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets +4.5
Bottom Line: Denver was fortunate to cover at Atlanta in its last game as it trailed by 21 points in the contest. That poor performance bodes well for us tonight. Consider that underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that average 103 ppg or more are 37-14 ATS since 1996 if they trailed by 15 points or more at the half last game. The Nuggets have been a terrific investment at home against elite competition, going 9-1 ATS there the last 2 seasons versus teams with a win percentage over .700. They have defeated those teams by an average of 5.1 points. Pound the Nuggets. |
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03-16-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Los Angeles Clippers -11 | Top | 80-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Clippers -11
Bottom Line: The Clippers have taken care of business against poor teams lately going 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus teams with a winning percentage below .400. They'll be lacking no motivation here as they look to pay Cleveland back for a 6-point upset loss in the season's first matchup. LA is 11-3 ATS this season when out for revenge for an upset loss this season. Playing against double-digit road dogs that have beaten the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games has resulted in a 61-31 ATS record since 1996 if they have a winning percentage of .250 to .400. These teams have lost by an average of 16.0 points in these contests. Pound the Clippers. |
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03-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Atlanta Hawks -6 | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Hawks -6
Bottom Line: This is the last game of a long 5-game road trip for Denver, and it comes after arguably its biggest win of the season. In other words, this has letdown written all over it for the Nuggets. Atlanta will be the more rested team. Plus, it will be highly motivated as it looks to hold off teams for the last playoff spot in the East. The Nuggets are a terrible 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also 1-11 ATS in the 2nd half of the season versus teams with a win percentage of 40-49% over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Hawks. |
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03-14-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +9.5 | Top | 96-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +9.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Golden State, it's going to be mighty tough for the Clippers to get up for the lowly Jazz. Utah hasn't quit and continues to be competitive at home where it has lost by double digits just twice in its last 12 games. The Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning road record. This is the Clippers' first trip to Utah since 12/28/12, and they typically haven't fared well there. The Clippers are 4-17 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Utah. Pound the Jazz. |
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03-13-14 | Houston Rockets v. Chicago Bulls +3.5 | Top | 87-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +3.5
Bottom Line: I think Houston will still be holding on to Tuesday's loss to the Thunder. That was a game it really wanted, and I don't see it being able to get up for a Bulls team it defeated by 15 earlier this season. Plus, the Rockets are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Bulls suffered a letdown against San Antonio following a huge win over Miami, but they are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss. They are also 10-1 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons when playing against good teams that have a Win Pct. of .600 to .700. Also, Chicago is 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a double-digit loss to an opponent. Pound the Bulls. |
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03-12-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +5.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 98-85 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: Washington is being overvalued at home, where it is 11-18-2 ATS this season, against a Bobcats team that will be out for revenge for a disappointing 14-point loss in the first matchup. The Wizards are a soft 9-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Wizards are also 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Charlotte is one of the best defensive teams in the league and has been solid in transition defense. That's why it's 8-1 ATS in the 2nd half of this season versus up-tempo teams like Washington that average 83 shots or more per game. The Bobcats have won these games by an average of 9.3 points. Pound Charlotte. |
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03-11-14 | Boston Celtics v. Indiana Pacers -11 | Top | 83-94 | Push | 0 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -11
Bottom Line: Look for the Pacers to bounce back at home, where they are 29-4 on the season, against a Boston team that has struggled on the road and has struggled against the Pacers. The Celtics are 8-22 on the road this season, including 0-4 in their last 4. They've lost 3 straight to the Pacers with two of the losses coming by 15-plus. They lost by 27 in the game played in Indiana. Cold teams like Indiana that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more their last 15 games are 68-30 ATS since 1996 if they are up against an opponent that has covered the number in 5 or 6 of its last 7 games. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Additionally, playing against road underdogs that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 165-103 ATS record the last 5 seasons if their opponent is off a road loss. The Pacers are 28-11 ATS off a road loss the last 2 seasons. Pound Indiana. |
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03-09-14 | Indiana Pacers -1.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 94-105 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: Despite 3 consecutive defeats, the Pacers are still 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong here. Friday's loss at Houston brought the Pacers the kind of humiliation that will elicit a response. The Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They are 29-15 ATS under coach Frank Vogel off a road loss of 10 points or more. The Mavs picked up a much needed win over Portland last game to end a 3-game skid, but I don't see them being able to match defensive intensity with an Indiana team that has shown it can put the clamps on. The defensive effort hasn't been there for Indiana the past 2 games, and the results were ugly, so I expect them to do something about it. The Pacers are 10-2 ATS this season versus good shooting teams that make 46% of their shots or more. The Mavs are 5-17 ATS under Rick Carlisle in home games versus good defensive teams with a shooting percentage defense of 43% or better. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
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03-08-14 | New York Knicks v. Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 | Top | 107-97 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs -1.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks crushed Utah last night, but they are a pathetic 1-10 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have lost in this spot by an average of 10.5 points. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing home record and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 versus the Eastern Conference. It is also worth mentioning that the Knicks are just 11-24 ATS as an underdog this season. The Cavs dropped a 3rd straight game last night, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. They are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing without a day of rest. The Knicks embarrassed the Cavs 117-86 in late January, and that loss will provide plenty of fuel here. Pound Cleveland. |
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03-07-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Dallas Mavericks -2 | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -2
Bottom Line: Playing on teams like Dallas that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 15 points or more at the half has resulted in a 140-76 (65%) ATS record since 1996. Additionally, Dallas is 10-1 ATS the last 3 seasons after trailing by 15 points or more at the half of its last game. The Mavs came out very flat in their last game against Denver but won the second half by 12 points. What they did in the second half gives them some momentum heading into this one. Mentally, they know if they can come out strong that they have an excellent chance to come away with a victory. I expect Dallas to get off to a strong start tonight against a Portland team that is giving up 105.3 ppg. You might recall that Portland won by 16 in this building in January so the Mavs will be lacking no incentive. Pound Dallas as it explodes to a double-digit win. |
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03-06-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Phoenix Suns +6.5 | Top | 122-128 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +6.5
Bottom Line: The Suns have been a terrific investment this season at 38-21-1 ATS. They are 21-12 ATS when catching points. Phoenix went down to the Clippers last game, but it is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games following an ATS loss. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the far more challenging Western Conference. They are also 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams that have a winning record. The Suns played the Thunder to a 7-point game on the road early in the season, and I expect them to keep this one even closer. The last time they hosted OKC, they were handed a 97-69 defeat. That loss assures us they will be highly motivated. |
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03-05-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Boston Celtics +5 | Top | 108-88 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Celtics +5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Warriors following last night's last-second victory in Indiana. This is also a highly fatigued spot for the Warriors who are playing their 6th straight road game and 3rd in 4 days. Boston has had 3 days off so it will undoubtedly be fresher. I also expect the Celtics to be motivated as they were done in by a Stephen Curry jumper with 4 seconds left back on Jan. 10. The Warriors are a poor 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. They are also 0-4 ATS this season in the last game of a road trip lasting at least 3 games. Boston is 5-0 in its last 5 and 8-1 in its last 9 home games in the series with the loss coming by a single point. Pound the Celtics. |
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03-04-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 | Top | 122-101 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +7.5
Bottom Line: Cleveland has had an extra day to prepare for this contest, and it will want it more than the Spurs as it seeks revenge for the 126-96 beating it was handed at San Antonio earlier this season. The Spurs have bigger fish to fry and are already focusing on Thursday's matchup against the Heat, who defeated them in last year's NBA Finals and won the season's first matchup by double digits. Cleveland is an outstanding rebounding team, and such teams have given the Spurs big problems. The Spurs are just 4-15 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 boards per game or more. The Spurs have lost to these teams by 0.7 points on average. Additionally, the Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the Western Conference. Pound Cleveland. |
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03-03-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets -3 | Top | 80-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -3
Bottom Line: I believe this is a motivational mismatch. The Nets have been embarrassed by the Bulls in the first 2 matchups, which is salt in a wound that was opened up by last season's playoff loss. I expect Brooklyn to finally have its revenge tonight, and it will be aided by the fact Chicago is in a tough scheduling spot (5th game in 7 days). The Nets have been impressive at home since the calendar turned to 2014, winning 10 of 12, including 4 in a row. They have big wins over the Thunder, Heat and Spurs in 2014, and they'll get the Bulls tonight. Pound the Nets. |
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03-02-14 | Dallas Mavericks +5.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 106-112 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +5.5
Bottom Line: Off a loss to the Bulls and out for revenge for an ugly loss in its last trip to San Antonio, Dallas will be lacking no motivation or focus. First off, the Mavericks are 40-15 ATS in their last 55 games following a game where they failed to cover. Secondly, they are 40-16 ATS in their last 56 road games, 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Spurs are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Dallas. |
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03-01-14 | Washington Wizards v. Philadelphia 76ers +11.5 | Top | 122-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on 76ers +11.5
Bottom Line: I'm fading the Wizards here. They are off a huge 3OT revenge win over Toronto, and they have a revenge game against Memphis up next. Not only will they be extremely fatigued, they won't give a 76ers team with the 2nd-worst record in the league their full attention. The 76ers will be the fresher team having not played since Wednesday, and I expect them to also show some fight as they try to avoid the season sweep. Keep in mind that 2 of their 3 losses to Washington this season have come by just 7 and 8 points. Double-digit dogs off 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 77-39 ATS since 1996. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. I feel it is ridiculous for an average team like Washington to lay this many points on the road, especially given their high level of fatigue and low level of motivation. Pound Philly. |
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02-28-14 | Utah Jazz +4 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4
Bottom Line: The Cavs are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-15 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. I just don't trust the Cavs laying this many points in a fatigued spot. Road teams off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more that are up against a non-conference opponent are 23-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Utah. |
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02-27-14 | Washington Wizards +5.5 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +5.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Wizards, who have lost each of first three matchups with Toronto. Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games this season versus teams that have a winning home record. This trend shows how competitive they've been on the highway against good teams. The Wizards are also 13-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. They have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. Pound Washington. |
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02-25-14 | Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings +4.5 | Top | 129-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a really bad spot for Houston, which has a big showdown in L.A. against the Clippers tomorrow. The Rockets lost both of this season's previous meetings with the Clippers so that is a game they really want. They'll want to make sure they have plenty left in the tank for tomorrow night because they know they'll need maximum energy to beat the Clippers on their home floor. This means they'll likely try to get the "W" by coasting tonight, and I expect a very poor performance on the defensive end by the Rockets as a result. The Rockets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Sacramento. |
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02-24-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Detroit Pistons +2.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +2.5
Bottom Line: Plays on teams like Detroit, 42 games or more into the season, that average 98-102 ppg and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg has resulted in a 27-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they have combined with their opponents for 205 total points or more in 3 straight games. This system tightens up to 16-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has, but it will have no problem getting up for this game considering how it was embarrassed at Golden State earlier this season. Plus, the Pistons catch a break tonight with Bogut still nursing a shoulder injury and Lee dealing with an illness. Those absences give them a huge advantage inside. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-23-14 | Washington Wizards +1 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 96-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +1
Bottom Line: The Wizards lost by 2 at home Feb. 7 in the most recent matchup, and that loss will have them extremely motivated here. Washington is 12-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game, winning by an average of 4.8 points in this spot. The Wizards are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. And, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards are the healthier team, and they'll be the hungrier team. Pound Washington. |
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02-22-14 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 121-104 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Minnesota following a blowout win over Indiana. The T-Wolves have had the last two days off while Utah played last night, but they have a big revenge game in Portland tomorrow and that makes this a tough spot for them, especially since they won easily in two previous meetings against the Jazz this season. Minnesota's tendency will certainly be to look ahead to tomorrow. The Timberwolves are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Home underdogs with a losing record that are playing 5 games or less in 14 days are 48-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Home underdogs that have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 68-32 ATS since 1996. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly for the T-Wolves in Utah where they have lost 7 of the last 8 meetings. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Pound the Jazz. |
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02-21-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Toronto Raptors -8 | Top | 91-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Raptors -8
Bottom Line: The Cavs have rattled off 6 consecutive SU and ATS wins and they're catching nearly double digits? The books clearly expect their winning streak to come to an end tonight, and they're looking to trap the public in the process. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 65-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cavaliers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. The Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus a team with a losing record. The Cavs have some key guys hurt and must also try to adjust to playing with a new teammate (Spencer Hawes). Look for Toronto to take advantage. |
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02-20-14 | Houston Rockets v. Golden State Warriors -1 | Top | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Warriors -1
Bottom Line: The third time will be the charm for Golden State, who has lost both previous meetings with Houston this season. A big key is that Andre Iguodala will be available to defend James Harden tonight. Iguodala missed the first two meetings. The Rockets rolled over the Lakers last night but are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bogut is likely out, which means Golden State won't have him to defend Dwight Howard. However, I look for the Warriors to take Howard out of the game by making it a track meet. Pound the Warriors. |
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02-19-14 | Boston Celtics +6.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 94-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with Boston considering how well it has performed on the road of late as well as the fact it will have the fresher legs. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with 3 or more days' rest while the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine to log more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns picked up a hard-fought OT win in Denver last night, and they have San Antonio up next so they very well could get caught looking ahead here. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 7 road games overall, including 4-0 ATS during this stretch versus teams like Phoenix (Miami, Portland, Golden State, LA Clippers) that have a home winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Boston. |
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02-13-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Lakers +12.5 | Top | 107-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +12.5
Bottom Line: Playing on a team like the Lakers that is out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more to an opponent has resulted in a 37-13 ATS record since 1996 if they are also off an upset loss of 15 points or more. The Lakers are on an 18-6 ATS run following a blowout loss of 15 points or more while the Thunder are mired in a 6-19 ATS skid off a road win of 3 points or less. Pound LA. |
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02-12-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +8 v. Utah Jazz | Top | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on 76ers +8
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely and utterly destroyed in their last two games, and they will put forth an extraordinary effort tonight in hopes of entering the All-Star break on a positive note. Utah has won its last two games with one of those being against Miami, which clearly took the night off, and the Jazz are being hugely overvalued because of it. The Jazz have been favored just 7 times all season and never by this much, and they are 1-3 ATS when laying 3 points or more. The Jazz have also won two consecutive games just five times this season and are 0-4 following the first 4 instances. Utah is just 7-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-11-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Charlotte Bobcats +4 | Top | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA-Conference Game of the Week on Bobcats +4
Bottom Line: Not only is this a fatigued spot for the Mavs, who have been playing every other day and traveling following each game since Feb. 3, but it is a definite look-ahead spot with Indiana tomorrow. The Mavs have already defeated the Bobcats this season so they will be much more interested in tomorrow night's contest against a team that blasted them twice last season. The Bobcats have had the last 2 days off, and they had 3 days off prior to that so they will be very fresh. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Charlotte lost by 4 at home to San Antonio last game, but it is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It's also 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Pound the Bobcats. |
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02-10-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Detroit Pistons +4 | Top | 100-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: There is a good amount of history on our side considering February underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points that are off a home win are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Pistons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 home games with all 4 wins coming by double digits. Detroit can really rebound the basketball, and that doesn't bode well for the Spurs, who are 3-13 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. San Antonio has lost to these teams by 1.0 point on average. The Palace of Auburn Hills hasn't treated the Spurs well lately. They are just 3-3 in their last 6 meetings there with 2 of the wins coming by only 4 points. Pound the Pistons. |
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02-09-14 | Philadelphia 76ers +15 v. Los Angeles Clippers | Top | 78-123 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +15
Bottom Line: I think the return of Chris Paul puts a momentary hitch in LA's giddy-up. It will take Paul a little time to get back in the swing of things, and it will take the team a little time to adjust to playing with him again. For LA, this game won't be about seeing how badly they can beat the 76ers, it will be about getting adjusted to playing together again. This gives Philly an excellent opportunity to cover this big number. Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points has resulted in a 61-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are off a home games where both they are their opponent cracked the century mark and if they are playing 8 games or more in a 14-day span. Pound the 76ers. |
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02-08-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Phoenix Suns -2 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2
Bottom Line: The Warriors haven't shown they can be trusted to string consecutive covers together, let alone wins lately. The Warriors are just 7-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. The Suns were blown out at Houston last game but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Phoenix. |
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02-07-14 | Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 115-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Cleveland's embarrassing loss to the short-handed Lakers. The Cavs have lost 6 in a row and the firing GM Chris Grant sends a message to the coaching staff as well as the players. I believe the Cleveland organization will collectively respond as they look to save a little face. The Wizards are 0-5 ATS this season when favored by 8 or more points and have lost 4 of these games SU. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Eastern Conference teams. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus NBA Southeast division foes and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Washington. The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Cleveland. |
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02-06-14 | Chicago Bulls v. Golden State Warriors -8.5 | Top | 87-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -8.5
Bottom Line: Disgusted following arguably their worst game of the season, the Warriors will be ready to bury the Bulls tonight. Golden State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. After laying an egg in back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Sacramento where they didn't reach the 80-point mark in either, the Bulls bounced back with an upset win over Phoenix. That bodes well for us as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. Pound Golden State. |
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02-05-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 | Top | 110-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Grizzlies -2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game has resulted in a 47-19 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing against winning team. Memphis has been a nice investment in games oddsmakers expect to be close because of how solid it is defensively. The Grizzlies are 28-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Grizz are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. Dallas has won the first two matchups of the season but both were in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games in the series with an average winning margin of 10.2 points in these contests. Pound Memphis. |
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02-04-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +3.5 | Top | 89-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and I expect them to make it 5 straight covers as they face an Indiana team they have owned at home. The Hawks are 12-0 in their last 12 regular-season home games against the Pacers, winning these by an average of 10.6 points. Plus, Atlanta should be the fresher team as it has had the last 2 days off while Indiana is playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 3rd in 4 days. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. I managed to get 3.5, but 3.0 is the number that is most available at the time of this report. Because of this, I felt it worth mentioning that Atlanta is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. Add up these 4 trends and we have a 28-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Hawks. |
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02-03-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are expected to have Ty Lawson back in the lineup tonight, which should give them quite a boost, but I like them in this spot regardless of whether he returns. Denver has dropped 2 straight at home after a stretch where it had won 5 of 6 at home so it will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. The Clippers have struggled in Denver's high altitude. The Nuggets are 25-9 in their last 34 home games in the series, including 14-4 in their last 18 and 2-0 in their last 2. Denver has also had an extra day to prepare for this game, and that only helps its cause. Pound Denver. |
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02-01-14 | Milwaukee Bucks +13 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee. |
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01-31-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Utah Jazz +5 | Top | 95-90 | Push | 0 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah. |
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01-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings +5 | Top | 99-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento. |
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01-28-14 | Washington Wizards +8.5 v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards. |
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01-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks +10 | Top | 114-86 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks. |
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01-26-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors -4.5 | Top | 88-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State. |
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01-25-14 | Washington Wizards v. Utah Jazz +1 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah. |
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01-24-14 | Washington Wizards +4 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington. |
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01-23-14 | Denver Nuggets +7.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver. |
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01-22-14 | Sacramento Kings v. Houston Rockets -10 | Top | 98-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston. |
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01-21-14 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Oklahoma City Thunder -6 | Top | 97-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder. |
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01-20-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Golden State Warriors | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors. |
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01-19-14 | Sacramento Kings +8.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 93-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento. |
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01-18-14 | Utah Jazz v. Minnesota Timberwolves -10 | Top | 72-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota. |
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01-17-14 | Miami Heat -10 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 101-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami. |
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01-16-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder. |
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01-15-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Milwaukee Bucks +5.5 | Top | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee. |
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01-14-14 | New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats -109 | Top | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte. |
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01-13-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Utah Jazz +4.5 | Top | 103-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz. |
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01-11-14 | New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers +5 | Top | 102-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. |
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01-10-14 | Orlando Magic +7.5 v. Sacramento Kings | Top | 83-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points. |
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01-09-14 | Miami Heat v. New York Knicks +8.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York. |
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01-08-14 | Indiana Pacers v. Atlanta Hawks +5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks. |
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01-07-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Utah Jazz +7 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz. |
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01-05-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Washington Wizards +3.5 | Top | 112-96 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards. |
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01-04-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder +2 v. Minnesota Timberwolves | Top | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC. |
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01-03-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Atlanta Hawks +3 | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Hawks +3
Bottom Line: Look for the Warriors to crash and burn tonight. After an emotional win over Miami and playing a third road game in four nights, the Warriors will have little left in the tank. Atlanta has had two days to prepare, and it hasn't forgotten the 115-93 beating it took the last time it hosted Golden State. The Hawks will be motivated to say the least. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 home games, winning them by 13.6 points on average. Pound the Hawks. |
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01-02-14 | New York Knicks +11 v. San Antonio Spurs | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks were brutally embarrassed at MSG by the Spurs in November, but New York is 25-8 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996, winning by an average of 3.4 points in these contests. Pound New York. |
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01-01-14 | Dallas Mavericks v. Washington Wizards -121 | Top | 87-78 | Loss | -121 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -121
Bottom Line: The Wizards are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games. They are 8-1 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 this season. They are 24-11 ATS under coach Wittman in home games when matched up against a winning team. Dallas won the season's first meeting 105-95, but Washington is 8-1 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 100 points or more. It has won by an average of 4.9 points in this spot. Pound Washington. |
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12-31-13 | Milwaukee Bucks +6.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 94-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Bucks +6.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-9 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 5.9 points in this spot. The Bucks are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings and 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles. The underdog is 14-4-1 ATS in the last 19 meetings. Pound the Bucks. |
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12-30-13 | Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 97-94 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Heat following an emotional win in Portland. Also, expect to see a motivated Denver squad as it looks to bring a six-game skid to an end. The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, and the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Denver. |
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12-29-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 | Top | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Cavaliers have been very tough at home where they have won 8 of 14, including a win over the Clippers. They also recently took Portland down to the wire, losing by 3 in a game that appeared headed for OT before Damian Lillard drained a 3-pointer with 0.4 seconds remaining. The Cavs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a winning team, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 versus the West. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the NBA Central. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS as a home underdog this season. Pound Cleveland. |
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12-28-13 | New Orleans Pelicans +9 v. Houston Rockets | Top | 98-107 | Push | 0 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +9
Bottom Line: I expect New Orleans to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think as Houston gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's matchup with Oklahoma City. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win. The Pelicans are 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings, and the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. New Orleans just played last night while Houston had the night off, but New Orleans is one of the deeper teams in the NBA. Pound the Pelicans as they have plenty left in the tank to give Houston a run for the money. |
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12-27-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +9 | Top | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats +9
Bottom Line: Look for the Thunder to get caught looking ahead to upcoming games against Houston and Portland. The Bobcats are the more rested team, and they'll go after this game hard because they embark on a stretch where they play 5 straight on the road following it. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record and 14-5 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound the Bobcats. |
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12-26-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 | Top | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavaliers +3
Bottom Line: Playing on any team that's coming off an upset defeat of 15 or more points has resulted in a 50-19 ATS record the last 17 years if they're up against an opponent that is coming off a cover on the road in a game they lost. This system tightens up to 29-9 ATS if the team we are playing on is at home. Pound Cleveland. |
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12-25-13 | Miami Heat v. Los Angeles Lakers +9 | Top | 101-95 | Win | 100 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +9
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-5 ATS after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Playing against any team like Miami that has combined with its opponents to score 215 points or more in its last two games and allows 92-98 ppg has resulted in a 20-3 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team that allows 102 ppg or more. This system tightens up to 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound LA. |
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12-23-13 | Indiana Pacers v. Brooklyn Nets +7 | Top | 103-86 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Nets +7
Bottom Line: Playing against good offensive teams like Indiana that average 98-102 ppg and have held their last two opponents to 90 points or less has resulted in a 41-15 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Brooklyn that gives up 102 ppg or more. Also, playing against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Indiana that are off a blowout win of 15 points or more has resulted in a 36-13 ATS record since 1996 if the game involves a pair of teams that average 98-102 ppg. This system is 3-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets have played the Pacers as tough as anyone in recent years winning 4 of the last 5 meetings and keeping the score within 5 points in 6 straight meetings. Pound Brooklyn. |
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12-22-13 | Boston Celtics +12.5 v. Indiana Pacers | Top | 79-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +12.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers can't be trusted laying this many points. They are just 2-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season and 1-3 ATS when favored by 12 or more. The Celtics are 3-0 ATS on the season when catching at least 12 points so there is definitely value in them at this number. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings at Indiana. Pound Boston. |
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12-21-13 | Utah Jazz +4.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz were smoked last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Bobcats wasted their legs in last night's come from behind victory and are 16-34 ATS when playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 12.1 points in this spot. This is also Charlotte's 4th game in 5 days, and it is 2-15 ATS when playing a 4th game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons, losing by 14.6 points in this spot. The Jazz are 8-0 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound Utah. |
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12-20-13 | Brooklyn Nets v. Philadelphia 76ers +6.5 | Top | 120-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +6.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely humiliated by the Nets the last time they took the floor. Motivated by that defeat, I expect the 76ers to give Brooklyn a game this time around. Philly will be very rested and very prepared for this contest as it has had 3 days off. It will be further motivated by the fact it plays 6 straight on the road following this one. The 76ers really want to carry a little momentum into their road trip. Also, Philly is expected to get Michael Carter-Williams back tonight so that is a big boost. Playing home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10 games has resulted in a 69-37 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team that has covered the number in 5 of 6 of their last 7 games. Pound Philly. |
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12-19-13 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors -157 | Top | 104-102 | Loss | -157 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Warriors -157 (I expect the Warriors to cover the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I really like them to win this game)
Bottom Line: This game is far more important to the Warriors, who lost to San Antonio in last season's playoffs and were defeated 76-74 in San Antonio in this season's first meeting. The Warriors didn't have Curry for that game and his presence was missed. The Spurs won't have Parker tonight, and they just played last night in Phoenix with Leonard, Duncan and Ginobli seeing big minutes. The Spurs will be much more concerned with Saturday's revenge game against Oklahoma City and will want to make sure they have something left in the tank. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Pound Golden State. |
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12-18-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Minnesota Timberwolves -116 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year on Timberwolves -116
Bottom Line: This is a nightmare of a spot for Portland, which is playing its 4th road game in 5 days and is coming off an emotionally and physically draining last-second victory in Cleveland last night. The T-Wolves will be the much fresher side having had last night off. They'll also be the hungrier side because they are coming off a defeat in their last game, and they were swept by the Blazers last season. The Timberwolves are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss, 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS loss and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games when playing on 1 day of rest. The favorite is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Pound Minnesota. |
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12-17-13 | Portland Trailblazers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +5 | Top | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Cavs +5
Bottom Line: The Blazers are being overvalued on the road against a Cleveland club that is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 home games. The Cavs have had 2 days to gear up for this game while Portland will be playing on the road for the 3rd time in 4 days. This kind of a stretch is difficult enough, but it was made more difficult by getting taken to OT by the Pistons Sunday. The Cavs are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Blazers with the losses coming by 6 points and 1 point. The Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus winning teams. Pound the Cavs. |
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12-16-13 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Boston Celtics +2 | Top | 97-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: This is a difficult spot for Minnesota, which is playing the second game of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 7 days. The Timberwolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. Boston is also 15-4 ATS in home games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. It has defeated these teams by an average of 10.6 points. |
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12-15-13 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Detroit Pistons +4 | Top | 111-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: Portland's 139-point outburst in Philadelphia places it in fade territory as it is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game. We saw this trend in action recently as the Blazers dropped 130 on Utah and then lost to Dallas the next night. The Pistons played the Blazers tough in Portland earlier this season, losing by only 6 points despite shooting 3 of 14 from 3-point range. Look for them to avenge that loss at home as the home side is 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 meetings. |
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12-15-13 | Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings +6.5 | Top | 91-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been at their best at home against good teams. Recently, they have played the Clippers, Warriors and Thunder to within 6 points or less, and they beat the Mavs. In fact, the Kings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team that has a winning record on the road. The Rockets are a soft 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 away games versus clubs with a losing mark at home. |
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12-14-13 | Los Angeles Lakers +3 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 88-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +3
Bottom Line: Expect the Lakers to respond following last night's embarrassing loss in Oklahoma City. L.A. is 0-3 since Kobe Bryant's return and that can't be sitting well with the future Hall of Famer. Look for a big-time performance from Bryant here. The Bobcats lost a tough one in Indiana last night, a game they led late in the fourth. I believe they'll still be hanging on to that one. The Lakers are a strong 14-4 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Pound LA. |
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12-13-13 | New York Knicks +4.5 v. Boston Celtics | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Knicks +4.5
Bottom Line: New York lost by 41 at home to Boston Sunday, but it has proven time and time again that it will respond following such defeats. Consider that the Knicks are 24-7 ATS when out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more since 1996. They have won these games straight up by an average of 3.6 points. New York is also 24-11 ATS under coach Woodson when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has won these games straight up by an average of 2.5 points. The Knicks have shine under the bright Friday night lights, going 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. Pound the Knicks. |
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12-12-13 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Brooklyn Nets +3 | Top | 93-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +3
Bottom Line: The Clippers won't have much left in the tank following last night's hard-fought win in Boston. This will be their 6th road game in 9 days. Brooklyn has shown signs of life with back-to-back wins, and it will be the fresher side as this will be just its 3rd game in 6 days. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall and 1-12 ATS in the last 13 road meetings in the series. The Nets are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home meetings in the series. They are also 13-1 the last 14 times they have hosted the Clippers. Pound the Nets. |
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12-11-13 | Orlando Magic +6.5 v. Charlotte Bobcats | Top | 92-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: I'm not ready to trust the Bobcats laying this many points considering they are a dismal 31-53 ATS at home over the last 3 seasons. Off a rewarding win over Golden State, I anticipate a letdown. Consider that Charlotte is on a 5-17 ATS slide coming off an upset victory, losing by an average of 7.9 points in this spot. Pound Orlando. |
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12-10-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Atlanta Hawks +5.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +5.5
Bottom Line: Playing underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins has resulted in a 49-22 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are playing for just the 4th time or fewer in 10 days. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 6.0 points on average but have lost by just 2.7. Atlanta has won 3 straight at home with 2 of the wins coming against good Dallas and LA Clippers teams. The Thunder are just 3-3 in their last 6 on the road with 1 of the wins coming by just 2 points over a poor Sacramento team. The Hawks have won 2 of their last 3 against OKC. Pound Atlanta. |
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12-09-13 | Denver Nuggets v. Washington Wizards +2 | Top | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +2
Bottom Line: Can't see the road-weary Nuggets getting past a Washington squad that is 5-1 in its last 6 at home. This will be Denver's 5th road contest in 7 days while the Wiz will be playing at home and for just the 2nd time in 7 days. Big edge for Wash in terms of fresh legs. The Wizards went 2-0 SU and ATS versus Denver last season and are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 versus the Western Conference. Pound Washington. |
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12-07-13 | Brooklyn Nets -140 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 90-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -140
Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Milwaukee which will be playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 4th in 5 days. The Bucks went to OT last night so they will really be feeling the effects of fatigue. The Bucks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Brooklyn has been brutally embarrassed in its last two games, but I believe it responds here. The Bucks are 5-15 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-17 ATS in home games off a road win over the last 3 seasons. Pound Brooklyn. |
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12-06-13 | Utah Jazz +11.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers | Top | 98-130 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for the Blazers coming off big wins over Indy and OKC. Playing against Friday night double-digit home favorites that are off a home win has resulted in a 43-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by just 8.9 points on average so there's plenty of line value here. Pound Utah. |
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12-05-13 | Los Angeles Clippers +1.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | Top | 101-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Clippers +1.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers went down in Atlanta last night but are a lucrative 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games when playing without a day of rest. They will have no problem getting up for this one because they have lost 5 straight to the Grizzlies going back to last season's playoffs. You know that isn't sitting well with Chris Paul and company, and I expect them to bring the skid to an end tonight. The Grizzlies are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games, and the Clippers have won three of their last four regular-season games at Memphis. |
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12-04-13 | Detroit Pistons v. Milwaukee Bucks +4.5 | Top | 105-98 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Bucks +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Detroit following last night's win over the Heat. Meanwhile, this is a revenge spot for Milwaukee as it was embarrassed by 19 in Detroit 1 1/2 weeks ago. Playing any team that has lost 12 or more of its last 15 games ATS, provided that team has is playing 6 or more games in a 10-day span, has resulted in a 90-50 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting this scenario have been underdogs of 3.5 points on average but have lost by just 0.2 points on average. Pound the Bucks. |
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12-03-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Dallas Mavericks -8 | Top | 82-89 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Mavs -8
Bottom Line: Mavs will be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses and 4 defeats in 5 games. They'll be ready to take their frustrations out on a Charlotte squad they are 9-0 lifetime against at home with a 12.9-point average margin of victory. Pound Dallas. |
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11-30-13 | Atlanta Hawks v. Washington Wizards -157 | Top | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -157
Bottom Line: I still like the Wizards against the spread but am taking them on the ML for insurance as I love their chances of winning this game. Washington is 17-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. It is also 18-7 ATS when playing the second game of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 5-1-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Hawks are 0-3-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Washington. |
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11-29-13 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Detroit Pistons -5 | Top | 106-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Pistons -5
Bottom Line: Fading the Lakers in road contests when they are off an upset victory has resulted in an 11-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. LA has lost these games by 11.9 points on average. Pound the Pistons. |
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11-29-13 | Miami Heat v. Toronto Raptors +6.5 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5
Bottom Line: Toronto has a huge edge in terms of fresh legs. Playing home underdogs with a losing record that are extremely well rested (playing 5 or less games in 14 days) has resulted in a 20-3 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Pound Toronto. |