Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -8
Bottom Line: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 111-65 ATS since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: The Cavs managed to beat Chicago last night without Kyrie Irving, but that's not something that's going to happen too often. Irving is still expected to be out tonight, and the Cavs will come back down to earth as fatigue sets in from them playing their 4th game in 5 days. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Toronto.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +3
Bottom Line: The Hawks enter off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and will be out to avenge last month's loss at Detroit. However, they are just 21-35 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, 6-21 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 24-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Detroit has failed to cover the number in its last two and is off an 18-point home loss to the Pacers. But, it is 16-5 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons, 18-7 ATS in home games after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +1.5
Bottom Line: Golden State enters off back-to-back wins SU and ATS but is a poor 0-7 ATS in road games following covers in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has fallen hard in these spots, losing by an average score of 105.1 to 91.3.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home underdogs that failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing 3 or fewer games in 10 days are 72-36 ATS since 1996. The rest factor is huge because the Heat will be playing their third game in four days. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast division opponents.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Blazers +9
Bottom Line: Off 6 consecutive losses both SU and ATS, now is the time to back the Blazers. February road teams that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more are an awesome 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 3.4 points on average. The Lakers are coming off an emotional win over Boston in the wake of Jerry Buss' death, but I don't believe they can duplicate that performance against a Portland team that will be hungry to get off the snide. The Lakers are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Pound Portland.

5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet Bailout on Spurs +3
Bottom Line: The Spurs have lost the season's first two meetings with the Clippers but both losses took place clear back in November before they hit their stride. They'll be out for revenge tonight, and I fully expect them to get it. Revenge has been a strong angle to play with the Spurs. They are 55-38 ATS under coach Popovich in road games when looking for revenge for an upset loss at home to an opponent. They are also 34-19 ATS under Pop when out for revenge for two consecutive upset losses to an opponent. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in this situation. Pound the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 41-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, including 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or fewer during this time frame. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided this is their third game (or fewer) in 10 days, are 40-16 ATS since 1996. Also, plays on road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 (or fewer) games in 14 days, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Bulls are the superior team and should be able to prove that in this rested and motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Right away I love the fact that the Thunder are 18-8 ATS at home this season and 20-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It also bodes well for us that OKC lost the season's first meeting 103-97 because it is 10-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent this season and 11-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss in which it gave up 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It also works in our favor that the Thunder of coming off a 15-point upset loss at Utah considering they are 9-1 ATS off a upset loss this season and 13-4 ATS off an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. Pound OKC!

5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Duncan, Ginobli and Parker are all expected to be in the lineup together, and the Spurs are being overvalued as a result. This is San Antonio's third game in 4 days so it will be showing fatigue. Even the guys that have been sitting will be winded as you lose conditioning when you aren't playing. Cleveland has lost 2 in a row so it will be very focused. Plus, it was embarrassed by the Spurs in both of last season's meetings and you can bet it hasn't forgot. The Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Fade the overvalued Spurs!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +6
Bottom Line: Utah is 19-6 at home and will be focused tonight following back-to-back defeats. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: It will be tough for Boston to bounce back physically from yesterday's triple-overtime contest. Plus, home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has cover the spread in 6 of 7 of its last 8 games are 30-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Pound Charlotte!

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +8.5
Bottom Line: The Suns were embarrassed in OKC Friday, and I believe they will put forth an incredible effort as a result. They gave up 127 points on 57.5% shooting to the Thunder but are on a 38-21 ATS run after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road, and I believe this trend continues.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavericks -5.5
Bottom Line: Mavs have the huge edge in terms of fresh legs. They have had 2 days' rest while Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Teams headed up by Rick Carlisle are 100-54 ATS lifetime when playing with 2 days' rest. Also, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days against extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +5
Bottom Line: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road because of their 11-game win streak. The Pistons have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 11 of their last 13 home games. Plus, they have won or lost by 5 points or less in 4 of their last 5 home meetings with San Antonio. Pound the Pistons!

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Bulls/Nuggets UNDER 196
Bottom Line: After a pathetic defensive performance in their last game, expect the Bulls - a team that prides itself on defense - to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. We have been able to count on the Bulls following up poor defensive efforts with strong ones since Thibodeau came to town. Chicago is 15-4 UNDER under his watch after allowing 105 points or more in its last game. It has responded by holding its opponents to just 89.4 points in this spot. We have seen only 183.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: Boston has won 4 in a row (all at home) but can't be trusted on the road where it is on a 3-11 ATS slide. Also, the home team is on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. Pound Toronto!

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Suns +9
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have had 3 days to try to build some chemistry with new additions Tayshaun Prince, Ed Davis and Austin Daye. That's not enough time. Plus, the intensity of a game can't be simulated in practice. I know Memphis won its first game with its new additions against Washington, but I expect it to take some time for them to jell. The Suns have a win against Memphis this season and are 47-19 against the Grizzlies since 1996. Expect Memphis to be lacking a little chemistry tonight and for the Suns to go after this one hard as they try to earn a split in the season series. Pound the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +13.5
Bottom Line: The Heat rolled in Toronto yesterday but are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Also, they are only 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games against Charlotte. Bet the Bobcats!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -4.5
Bottom Line: The Heat have never lost to the Raptors since LeBron James came aboard, and I don't expect them to start now. They will be very hungry here after losing by double digits to Indiana in their last game, and they won't take the Raptors lightly because Toronto took them to OT in Miami last week. The Heat are 8-0 lifetime against the Raptors since James came to South Beach, and they have won these games by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth noting that all 8 of these wins came by at least 6 points. Pound Miami!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cavaliers +10
Bottom Line: The Cavs keep this one closer than the oddsmakers thing against an OKC squad that has recorded only 1 road win of more than 10 points in its last 6. Plus, the home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Pre-All-Star Break Game of the Year on Magic +9.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics won big without Rondo against the Kings in their last game and are being overvalued because of it. Fading them following a victory of more than 10 points has produced an 8-1-1 ATS result in the last 10 instances. The Magic were crushed by the Knicks last time out but are an awesome 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a defeat greater than 10 points. Boston has been fortunate to win both of its games since Rondo went down with a knee injury because it hasn't received very good guard play. Avery Bradley and Courtney Lee have both struggled and that will catch up with Boston tonight. Pound the Magic.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Bailout on Mavs/Warriors UNDER 206
Bottom Line: Both teams have been overs machines of late and we are seeing an inflated number because of it. The Warriors still have the reputation as a high-octane offensive team, but they have put much more focus on the defensive end since Mark Jackson came aboard. They rank fifth in the NBA in field goal percentage defense this season and are 72-52 UNDER in games when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons. Dallas has been scoring in bunches of late but it has also been shooting out of its mind. It won't get the same looks tonight against a solid defensive team. Plus, Dallas is on a 28-13 UNDERS run in road games after 2 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Jazz -7.5
Bottom Line: We won't get the Jazz in a more motivated spot all season. They were embarrassed by 45 points by Houston in their last on their normally sturdy home floor, and I expect them to be flying all over the place to erase the memory of that one tonight. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. It also bodes well for Utah that New Orleans had a tough one in LA last night as the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. The Hornets are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Utah. Pound the Jazz!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cavaliers -1.5
Bottom Line: Love the Cavs in this spot as they will be the more energized team without a doubt. They have had 2 days to prepare and rest up for this game while the Warriors just played last night and will be playing their 4th road game in 5 days. The Cavaliers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Pound Cleveland!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +5.5
Bottom Line: Indiana has lost 3 straight games just 1 time this season and that happened clear back in early Novemeber. Besides, in that instance its third loss came by just 2 points. The Pacers have lost consecutive game twice since then and responded with 20 and 15-point victories to avoid a third straight defeat. I expect them to respond here as well. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Pound the Pacers!

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV Game of the Month on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: The Celtics have had a great deal of success at home against the Heat, even after LeBron James arrived. Boston has won 15 of its last 17 home games in the series. Also, the Heat are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Boston. Pound the Celtics as they get off the snide in impressive fashion.

5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Year on 76ers +3.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers have had 3 days to gear up for a New York team that spanked them in the season's first two matchups. Philly's level of motivation and fresh legs will be key in this one as it is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on 3 days' rest or more. The Knicks are a soft 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a game in which they covered the spread. Pound the 76ers!

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Game of the Month on Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz can't be trusted on the road against a Lakers team I believe is primed for its best performance of the season. The media is all over the Lakers, calling them a bust, and they'll be out to silence the doubters this evening. Kobe lives for these situations, and I'm expecting a huge game from him. The Jazz are a soft 9-15 (9-14-1 ATS) outside Salt Lake City this season and a poor 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games versus a team with a winning mark at home. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic -4
Bottom Line: Not only will the Magic be hungry to avoid a season-sweep at the hands of Toronto, it catches the Raptors at a good time as they just had a tough OT game against the Heat last night. Orlando will be the fresher team. Plus, the Magic, who lost by 15 at Detroit last time out, are 18-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Pound Orlando!

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Game of the Month on Trailblazers -1
Bottom Line: The Pacers are playing well and are up against a Portland squad that has lost 6 straight and yet they are catching points? Oddsmakers clearly expect the Blazers to end their skid tonight, and I fully agree. The Trailblazers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet the Blazers!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -6.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are also 0-7 ATS this season when checking into a game with covers in 3 of their last 4 contests. They have lost these games by an average of 9.6 points. Bet the Bucks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7
Bottom Line: The Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the underdog is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets +1.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 while the Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Also, the Nuggets are a terrific 47-31 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Nuggets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kings -2
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win, 15-36 ATS in their last 51 home games and 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +7.5
Bottom Line: Road teams that give up 103+ points per game that have trailed by 10+ points at the half in each of their last 2 games are 71-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs of 8.2 points on average but have lost by only 4.4 points on average. Also, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy TNT Game of the Month on T-Wolves +5
Bottom Line: Minnesota has either won or lost by 5 points or less in each of its last 9 home games. Plus, the underdog has covered the number in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Take the points as the T-Wolves continue their solid play at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic +2.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win while the Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. The Magic are also 39-15-2 ATS in their last 56 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Week on Rockets -1.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats, the Rockets will be very focused and hungry tonight. Plus, they have the edge in terms of freshness as they have had 2 days of rest while the Clippers just played last night. The Rockets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +7
Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons and has lost these games by only 0.9 points on average. Pound the T-Wolves.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Warriors -7
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Blazers following last night's big comeback win against the Heat. Portland is a poor 4-13 ATS in road games following a home win over the last 2 seasons. It has lost by an average of 9.5 points in these spots. The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings at Golden State. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -3
Bottom Line: The road team is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings with an average winning margin of 8.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Warriors -1.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest and 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -1.5
Bottom Line: Philly is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 versus the Nets. The Nets are 14-27 ATS following a game in which they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS victory.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Raptors +8
Bottom Line: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS under coach Casey in home games when looking for revenge against an opponent that defeated them by 10 points or more the last time they met. They have been getting their revenge in this situation, winning these games by an average of 8.2 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -9
Bottom Line: The Jazz won in Phoenix last night but are 0-9 ATS lifetime under Coach Corbin in road games following a road win. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS defeat.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks pk
Bottom Line: The Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bucks have won 2 of their last 3 against the Rockets and are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +1
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 12-3 at home this season and a phenomenal 20-8 ATS in home games under coach Mike Woodson. The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +9.5
Bottom Line: Plays against home teams that check in off 2 straight wins by 10 points or more and are up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game are 33-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. The home team is winning by an average of only 1.0 point in this situation. Bet the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on 76ers +8.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference foes, 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win, 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a game in which they covered the spread and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Also, the road team has covered the number in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Suns/Thunder UNDER 207
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the Suns' last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. The Under is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Jazz/Clippers UNDER 196
Bottom Line: We've seen at least 209 total points scored between these teams in each of the season's first two meetings so oddsmakers are clearly begging for the money to come in on the Over with this line. We won't oblige them. The Jazz are on an 18-7 Unders run when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent in which they allowed 100 points or more. We have seen just 194.7 total points scored on average in these contests.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -6.5
Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Memphis, which has lost each of the season's first two matchups with Denver. The Grizzlies are an impressive 30-13 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings at Dallas.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Celtics +8.5
Bottom Line: The underdog has covered the number in each of the past 7 meetings between these two. I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing without a day of rest while the Lakers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Celtics +3.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 home games. The Celtics are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 road meetings in the series.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on T-Wolves +4
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games against the Thunder and 6-2 ATS in 8 all-time home meetings versus OKC. They have played the Thunder very tough in Minnesota where 4 of the last 6 meetings have been decided by 4 points or fewer. Pound the Wolves.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers have won 7 of the last 9 meetings in the series and neither of the losses during this stretch came by more than 6 points. Pound Philly as it is showing excellent value catching this many points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Chicago -5
Bottom Line: Tough situation for the Nets coming of an overtime with very little rest. The Bulls are excellent at home and should be able to wear down Brooklyn rather quickly.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic +5.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Hawks OVER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Over on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 game and playing on back-to-back days - are 123-72 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total of 194.6 points in this situation and teams have combined to score an average of 198.8 points. Also, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +14
Bottom Line: New Orleans is 21-10 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - over the last 2 seasons. It has only lost by an average of 4.0 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 16-5 ATS lifetime under coach Tom Thibodeau in home games when revenging a same season loss to an opponent. They have won these games by an average of 8.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns -3.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last 7 meetings. Also, the Suns have won 8 of their last 9 at home against the Magic with the 8 wins coming by an average of 6.3 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +4.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are being overvalued by oddsmakers following back-to-back wins on the road. Now is the time to go against Golden State as it is just 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games when coming off two or more consecutive road wins. It hasn't just lost in this situation, it has lost by an average of 12.4 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets were crushed by a motivated Lakers squad in their last game and are being undervalued because of it. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Also, New Orleans is 47-26 ATS all-time as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under coach Williams. Pound the Hornets.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: This is the most motivated spot I've seen the Heat in all season. They were upset by the Wizards in their last game, and they were crushed by 20 in NY in the season's first meeting. The Heat have won 5 straight at home against the Knicks with each of those 5 wins coming by double digits. Pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Hawks UNDER 199
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (DENVER) - after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half last game are 22-3 since 1996. This system is 10-1 the last 5 seasons and 5-0 the last 3 seasons. Pound the under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Rockets UNDER 214
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and up against an opponent that has gone over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 76-36 since 1996. This system is 17-3 the last 3 seasons. Also, the Lakers are 12-3 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and 18-7 UNDER after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 30-12 UNDER in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games since 1996 and 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Hornets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets lost the season's first meeting by 15 points but I'm not hesitating to get behind them in this revenge spot. New Orleans is 21-9 ATS the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge for a same-season defeat to an opponent. It has only lost by an average of 3.0 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Magic +4.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with the Magic at home in what is an extremely motivated spot for them. They have lost twice to Brooklyn this month, and one of those was an ugly 107-68 defeat at home. They'll be looking to save face here. It works in our favor that Orlando lost 110-89 in its last game. That's because it is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 home games after allowing 110 points or more in 2 straight games. It has actually won by an average score of 100.8 to 90.6 in this situation. Pound Orlando.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Bobcats +9
Bottom Line: The Hawks are being overvalued here because Charlotte is coming off a 45-point loss. The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, plays against home teams (ATLANTA) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more that are up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game are 32-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is 25-40 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons, 2-12 ATS in home games in November the last 3 seasons and 19-34 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Jazz -3
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season. Plus, the favorite is a phenomenal 33-16-3 ATS in the last 52 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Magic +5.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics, who are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record, can't be trusted laying this many points on the highway. The C's are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when valued as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. They have been defeated by an average of 7.4 points in these contests. Pound the Magic, who are 4-2 at home and hungry to end a 5-game losing streak in the series.

5* Wiseguy NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Cavaliers +4
Bottom Line: Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread that are matched up against a hot team that has covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 26-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.3 points on average and have won by an average of 1.5 points. Also, the 76ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5
Bottom Line: You better have a darn good reason if you're going to fade the Spurs as they are 45-18-5 ATS in their last 68 games overall and 34-15-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. I definitely don't have a good enough reason to go against them tonight as the home team is on a 3-0-1 ATS run in this series, and the Knicks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to San Antonio. The Spurs have won two in a row and 11 of the last 13 meetings. Pound San Antonio.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Nets are 12-30-1 ATS in their last 43 home games, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams that allowed 100 points or more in their previous game. The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road meetings meetings in the series. Plus, the underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Raptors +6.5
Bottom Line: Toronto is 20-6 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 seasons and 11-2 ATS in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. The Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southwest division,6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 0 days' rest,9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. the Western Conference,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference,3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing SU record.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -8.5
Bottom Line: Da Bulls have been fantastic in bounce back spots at 30-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. They are also a sweet 24-12 ATS when they check into a matchup with wins in 2 of their last 3 games. They have won by an average of 10.8 points in this scenario. These trends tell us the Bulls have been extremely reliable when they're motivated and in good form. Pound the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -2
Bottom Line: The Kings are better than their 0-3 record leads you to believe. They have yet to play a game at home and have played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Warriors are 2-1 and have a win against the Clippers, but the Clippers were in letdown mode following a big win over the Lakers. This is Sac's first home game of the season, and it will be jacked as it looks to find the win column. The Kings have been arguably the best defensive team in the league in the early going, limiting opponents to just 39.2 percent shooting overall and 16.7 percent from beyond the arc. At home and hungry, I like the Kings to get the "W" tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Pistons -2.5
Bottom Line: The Pistons came on strong down the stretch last season and were consistently good all year at home where they went 18-15. Houston has been flipped on its head with the James Harden deal. I expect it to take some time for the team to adjust to playing with the new focal point of the offense. It will also take Harden time to adjust to playing against opposing starting units. He's used to mopping up against reserves. Detroit has been a sweet play in games odds makers expect to be close. It is on an 11-0 ATS run in games when the line is between +3 and -3.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (TNT) on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are an impressive 124-94 ATS as a road underdog under coach Rivers. They have lost these games on average but only by 2.8 points. Boston is on a 13-3 ATS run in road games against Southeast division opponents and has won these games by an average of 0.5 points. The Celtics are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus the Heat. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Thunder/Heat UNDER 194
Bottom Line: The defensive intensity is often at its height in elimination games as both teams have plenty of motivation. I expect to see both teams play their best defense of the series tonight. 202 total points were scored in Game 4 after just 176 were scored in Game 3 as the Heat made 10 3-pointers (4 more than they average). You can bet OKC won't give Miami the same looks tonight. You can also bet Westbrook won't have the same game he had and the same goes for Chalmers. Plays Under on any team in the NBA Finals are 108-66 since 1996. Also, Miami is 10-2 Under in a home game when the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season. We've only seen an average of 183.7 total points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Thunder +3.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Miami. This team has been solid on the road all season, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong tonight. OKC is an awesome 18-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive defeats over the last 3 seasons. It has won by an average of 7.3 points in this situation. I can't see Heat holding the Thunder down offensively 3 games in a row. OKC has too many weapons. We'll take the points for insurance, but I expect an outright win for the Thunder as they make this a series.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Thunder/Heat UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team in the NBA Finals is 106-64 since 1996. Also, plays Under on any team in a playoff series that is tied are 88-52 the last 5 seasons. Miami is 9-1 Under in home games when the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season. We've seen just 182.7 total points scored on average in these games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Heat's last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Miami is awesome defensively at home where it is only giving up 89.0 ppg. It held the Thunder to 93 points when these teams met in Miami during the regular season. Only 191 total points were scored in that game.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Heat +5.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are a team of response. The fact they lost Game 1 by 11 points bodes extremely well for us as they are 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a defeat of 10 points or more. It is also worth mentioning that the road team has covered the number in 11 of the last 15 meetings between these two. Miami has a nice advantage in terms of experience having played in the Finals last year. This is uncharted territory for the Thunder. They were very fortunate to come back in Game 1 after falling behind by 13. Miami has an excellent chance to win this one straight up so we'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Heat +5.5
Bottom Line: After blowing a 2-1 lead in the 2011 NBA Finals and losing the series to Dallas, LeBron James has been on a mission. He has deferred to Dwayne Wade at times throughout the playoffs but made a decision in Game 6 of the East Finals that this is his team and he has to carry them. I expect him to do just that tonight as the Heat take the Thunder right down to the wire. We can't ignore the fact that the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two sides. Also, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the Heat are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy Game 7 "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Heat UNDER 178.5
Bottom Line: With a spot in the NBA Finals on the line, we can expect both of these elite defensive teams to get after it on the defensive end with an intensity we've yet to see this series. The Under is 10-4-1 in the Celtics' last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-0 in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Under is even 11-2 the last 3 seasons in playoff games when Boston is in position to close out a series. The Under is 25-10 in the Heat's last 35 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. James absolutely went off in Game 6 and the score still finished under the number. He won't have as much success tonight - Boston will make sure of it. Plus, I expect the pace of this game to be even slower as both teams really try to value each possession and the defenses make like very difficult on the offenses.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Heat/Celtics UNDER 179.5
Bottom Line: These two teams have combined to score at least 184 points in each of the last 4 games so odds makers are clearly looking to trap the public with a line that clearly entices them to take the over. We won't fall into the trap. It's do-or-die for the Heat, and Boston basically feels the same way as it does not want to go back to Miami for a Game 7. The defenses have really picked up the intensity in the past two games, and I expect both sides to tighten the screws even more here. History is largely on our side as plays Under on all teams when the total is 179.5 or less in the 6th game of a playoff series are 18-0 the last 5 seasons. Going back to 1996, this system has produced a 44-12 record while teams fitting into it have combined for just 166.3 points. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs +5
Bottom Line: Recent history asserts that the Spurs are being undervalued here. Playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game - after 2 straight games where both teams (it and its opponent) scored 100 points or more - has produced a 25-6 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting into this system have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have only lost by an average of 0.1. We'll take the points as San Antonio takes the Thunder down to the wire with an excellent opportunity to earn an outright victory.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: Bosh is expected to play tonight, and his presence on the interior should really open things up for James and Wade. This may seem like a big number, but consider that Miami has won by 8 points or more in 7 of its last 10 home games versus the Celtics. That's a 70% trend I won't hesitate to get behind. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -5
Bottom Line: The home team is a perfect 8-0 in the 2012 conference finals. In addition, the Spurs are 11-0 in their last 11 home games overall and 6-0 in their last 6 home games versus the Thunder. These 6 wins have come by an average of 10.3 points. The Spurs won Game 2 by 9 points and would have won Game 1 by 6 had OKC not made a meaningless three-pointer at the buzzer. Given these trends, I'll ride the home team tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Parlay of the Year on Heat -1.5/Under 180
Bottom Line: I expect the Miami Heat to win Game 4 and I expect them to do so with defense. The Heat allowed Boston to shoot 50% in Game 3. They hadn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or higher this postseason before that. Miami in an elite defensive team, and it will really tighten the screws here. The key to slowing down Boston is slowing down Rondo. He will be the focus of Miami's defense this evening. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win while the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Under is 7-2 in the Heat's last 9 games following a SU loss and 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these teams in Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Parlay of the Year on Heat -1.5/Under 180
Bottom Line: I expect the Miami Heat to win Game 4 and I expect them to do so with defense. The Heat allowed Boston to shoot 50% in Game 3. They hadn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or higher this postseason before that. Miami in an elite defensive team, and it will really tighten the screws here. The key to slowing down Boston is slowing down Rondo. He will be the focus of Miami's defense this evening. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win while the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Under is 7-2 in the Heat's last 9 games following a SU loss and 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these teams in Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -3.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder responded in Game 3, and I expect them to keep right on rolling at home where they are a perfect 6-0 in these playoffs with an 11.8-point average margin of victory. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Spurs are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 playoff games as an underdog and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Celtics UNDER 180.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings between these teams in Boston, where we have become accustomed to seeing defensive battles. I have no doubt we'll see Boston's best defensive effort of the series tonight as it tries to get back in the series. The Celtics are 16-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and have held their foes to just 86.5 points in these games while scoring 90.5. Also, plays Under on road teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 110 points or more, are 24-4 since 1996. We've only seen an average of 177.6 total points scored in this situation. I expect both teams to play at a slower pace after such a taxing Game 2. That pace will be very conducive to the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Thunder -4
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 31-7 at home this season. Even figuring in the losses, they have won at home by an average score of 105.3 to 95.5. They are an undefeated 5-0 at home in these playoffs, winning these contests by an average score of 100.6 to 90.4. The Thunder know they must win this game to have any chance of winning the series, so we can expect their best effort of the series tonight. The Spurs have been rolling, but they haven't played a game against this good of a team on the road in a really long time. Lay the points as Kevin Durant and company rise to the occasion.