Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ABC) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: I doubt we will find a team as talented as the Heat in a more motivated spot the rest of the season. Miami has lost the season's first 2 meetings with the Bulls and it enters this contest having lost its last 3 games. Getting absolutely embarrassed by the Spurs on national TV Friday night assures us that the Heat will be extremely focused for this national TV affair. Plays on any team (MIAMI) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 46-22 ATS (67.6%) the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +2
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Magic, which used a ton of energy in erasing a 24-point deficit to defeat the Heat last night. Meanwhile, this is a big bounce back spot for a Bulls team that would like to wash the sour taste of Wednesday's loss to the Hawks out of its mouth. Chicago blew a 19-point lead in that contest, which will have it even more focused this evening. Chicago has become an elite defensive team under coach Thibodeau. In fact, it is an impressive 19-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game under Thibodeau, defeating these foes by an average of 7.0 points. Chicago's defense will be the difference in this one. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake (TNT) on Magic +5
Bottom Line: The Magic have had this one circled ever since they fell at home to the Heat a month ago. They enter tonight's contest in better current form, and I fully expect them to have their revenge. Dwight Howard has taken his game to another level and that spells bad news for a Miami team that is lacking a physical post presence. The Heat are a poor 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Considering the Magic have an excellent shot to win this one outright, we'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion *Power Play* on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm confident the public has this one right. The Bulls are the better team and they are in good current form. Atlanta will be without star forward Josh Smith. Plus, the Bulls will be very motivated by the fact that the Hawks have taken it to them the last few seasons. Chicago is now the better team, and it will look to send a message. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy Public Burial on Grizzlies -1
Bottom Line: Memphis has played San Antonio as tough as anyone this season, and I like the Grizzlies to get the win at home against the Spurs tonight. Memphis has now played several games without Rudy Gay and has had others step up. San Antonio, meanwhile, will struggle in its first full game without Tony Parker. Without Parker on the floor, Memphis was able to erase a huge deficit in Sunday's meeting. Plus, we saw how much the Spurs struggled last season when Parker missed significant time. The Grizz are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus their division, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take Memphis in the small chalk.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Lakers pk
Bottom Line: With Jeff Green no longer on the roster, and with Kendrick Perkins (the guy they traded him for) not yet able to play due to injury), the Lakers should be laying several points here. I strongly feel getting them at a pick is a gift. LA already had a big advantage in the paint over the Thunder, which is the reason why OKC traded for Perkins. I expect the Lakers to take advantage of their size in this one. LA has won 11 of the last 14 in this series. Take the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -6.5
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Nuggets following last night's win over the Celtics. It is also tough to win in Portland and this is the first road game for the Nuggets following their blockbuster trade. Don't expect the road to bring the same good fortune. The this series has been dominated by the home team in terms of the point spread. In fact, the home team have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings. Also, Denver is just 11-23 ATS in the second games of a back-to-back over the last 2 seasons and 16-28 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Blazers fell by 19 at Denver earlier this month, so don't expect them to show the Nuggets any mercy tonight. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls have been tough to take at home this season, but this is a tough spot for them. They used a lot of energy in last night's loss to Toronto. The Bulls didn't have Noah when they defeated the Heat by 3 points last month. Miami, however, didn't have King James, and Bosh also missed the majority of that one. Motivated to avenge that loss, and with the big three intact, expect Miami to prevail this evening. Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI), good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are an impressive 91-49 ATS since 1996. Lay the points with the Heat tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are getting way too much respect tonight. We can't expect Melo and Billups to step right in and for the Knicks to be a well-oiled machine in game 1. That's unrealistic. Plus, Milwaukee has had New York's number. The Bucks are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last 8 in the series, including 4-0 SU and ATS during this stretch at New York. It also bodes well for the Bucks that they were able to get a tune up game against the T-Wolves last night. Take the points as Milwaukee has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Bulls -9
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for the Bobcats playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road following a big blowout win over the Lakers. This is also a big revenge spot for the Bulls, which have dropped the first two meetings of the season with Charlotte. In fact, plays on any team (CHICAGO) looking to avenge an upset loss to an opponent in a home game in which it was favored by 7 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%), are an impressive 48-21 ATS since 1996. Also, Charlotte is a dismal 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games in the second half of the season when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). It is losing these contests by an average of 13.6 points. Bet the Bulls tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: Denver is the superior team in this matchup, and I believe it will prove it tonight. The Nuggets will be very hungry this evening after blowing a 17-point lead in a loss to Memphis Sunday. Plus, a home loss to these Rockets last Monday will have the Nuggets even more focused and motivated. Denver's defense was absolutely horrendous against the Grizzlies, but that bodes well for us tonight. In fact, the Nugs are an impressive 20-7 ATS under coach Karl following a game in which they allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher. The Nuggets have bounced back to win by an average score of 108.0 to 101.2 in this situation. Prior to last week's defeat, Denver had either won or lost by 2 points or less to the Rockets in 7 straight meetings. Take Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have quietly been one of the best investments in the NBA at 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games. They have been an insanely profitable investment when catching points. The Knicks are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Recently, the Knicks have been money in the bank following a defeat. In fact, they are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. With the Lakers still riding high after last night's win over Boston, and with New York out to avenge a loss at L.A. last month, the Knicks are in prime position to take down another giant at MSG, where they have already defeated San Antonio and Miami. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors +6.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by 2 prior defeats to Phoenix this season, including an embarrassing performance Monday, expect the Warriors to answer the call tonight. "We played terrible, it's embarrassing," said guard Monta Ellis. That kind of disgust often fuels a great performance, and I expect no less this evening. The Warriors are 20-9 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, defeating these teams by an average score of 111.4 to 109.3. The Warriors are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. Lastly, the underdog is an impressive 19-6-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Clippers +7.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are giving the Knicks way too much respect tonight. We're talking about a team that is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and a team that has lost 7 in a row to the Western Conference. These Clippers are not the same team the Knicks beat in L.A. in November. The Clipps have lost 4 in a row, but those 4 losses will have them mighty hungry tonight. Plus, it must be mentioned that all 4 of those defeats came to teams ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense. The Knicks, meanwhile, allow 106.0 points per contest. Just don't see New York playing good enough defense to get the job done tonight. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Clippers.

5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors -5
Bottom Line: The Suns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Western Conference, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 vs. the NBA Pacific, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I love the way the Warriors have picked up their defense, holding each of their last 3 opponents to 94 points or less. Golden State's defense will get it the win and cover tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Heat after such a big win over the Magic last night. The Bobcats, meanwhile, are playing well, and they will especially be hungry tonight after 2 prior losses to the Heat this season. Consider that plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win over a division rival, playing on back-to-back days, are 81-45 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are favored by 5.9 points on average, but are only winning by an average of 2.5. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers lost at home to Miami on Christmas. They were just defeated at home by Boston Sunday. They have also lost at San Antonio this season. Those are 3 games the Lakers wanted and they didn't get any of them. That has many sports analysts doubting whether the Lakers can 3-peat. Motivated by those defeats, expect Kobe Bryant and company to silence the doubters tonight. The Spurs may own the best record in the league, but they are far from unstoppable. They have been blown out at Orlando, New York, New Orleans and Portland. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 road games against the Lakers with all of those losses coming by at least 4 points. It's time for the Lakers to make a statement. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* Game of the Month on Thunder -7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are ripe for a beating tonight. They escaped with a win over OKC last week on a last second shot and Kevin Durant and company have not forgotten. I expect the Thunder to have their revenge at home in a big way here. The Hornets won't have the services of leading rebounder Emeka Okafor, and they will be playing their fourth game in five days. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Sunday. With extra time to rest and prepare, OKC has the huge advantage tonight. Great spot for the Thunder. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: After getting their 10-game losing streak snapped by the lowly Kings, the Hornets will be out for blood Sunday. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Suns may have defeated Boston in their last game, but the Celtics were clearly looking ahead to today's game with the Lakers. Phoenix just can't be trusted laying any amount of points. After all, it is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. The Hornets are playing better basketball right now with Chris Paul emerging as the MVP frontrunner. Take New Orleans.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Boston. The Celtics are playing the second game of a back-to-back tonight against a fresh Suns team that will really be looking to push the ball. In addition, Boston will be looking ahead to Sunday's showdown with the Lakers. Winning that game against the team that defeated them in the NBA Finals means much more to Boston than beating Phoenix. Plus, Paul Pierce is really banged. He was already battling an ankle injury and suffered a thigh injury against the Blazers last night. I like the Suns in this spot regardless, but don't be surprised if Doc decides to hold pierce out. Boston is 4-16 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points of less, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Suns need this game, and I strongly believe they'll get it tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Nuggets/Pistons UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Denver is 16-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, 22-8 UNDER in road games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more points in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, Denver won't have as much energy on the offensive end to push the pace. Plus, Detroit has been playing exceptional defense, holding its last 5 opponents to 86.8 ppg. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +8.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 against Chicago. After losing the first meeting of the season by 13 points in Chicago last month, the Bucks will be out for revenge this evening. From the standpoint of the point spread, this matchup has been dominated by the road team, which has covered the number in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Plus, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Chicago has been playing tough defense, but Milwaukee can play a little "D" as well. With as good as the Bucks are defensively, they aren't getting the respect they deserve with this line. Take the points as Milwaukee takes Chicago right down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Boston last night, expect the Jazz to snap out of it against a team they have dominated. Utah has won 6 straight against Philly, and each of the last 4 wins have come by 13 or more points. Expect a huge game from Deron Williams tonight after being held to a season-low 5 points Friday. He is averaging 27.0 points while shooting 65.6 percent from the floor, including 8 of 10 from 3-point range, in his last two meetings with the 76ers. Utah is 12-3 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 11-1 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -3.5
Bottom Line: Memphis hasn't lost 3 in a row in a month. After consecutive defeats, I have no doubt the Grizzlies will show up in a big way tonight. Plus, Memphis has already gone down to Houston twice this season. That will add a little more fuel to the fire. The Grizz have played well against the Western Conference's top clubs this month, beating the Los Angeles Lakers, Oklahoma City, Utah and Dallas. Memphis has proven it can beat anyone, and I expect it to take care of Houston tonight in this highly motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy Thursday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -5
Bottom Line: Can't see Philly picking itself up off the floor after such an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss last night. Charlotte, meanwhile, has had a day to rest and will be out for revenge after 2 prior losses to Philly this season. The Bobcats have won 5 straight at home in this series. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks -6
Bottom Line: Big bounce back spot for the Bucks after 3 straight losses and big letdown spot for the Wizards after an upset win over the Jazz. As you know, Washington is 0-19 on the road, losing those games by an average score of 108.8 to 94.4. Also, Washington is 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season, losing these games by an average score of 111.1 to 96. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is an impressive is 9-1 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder have been looking forward to this game ever since they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Lakers last season. They catch LA at a good time too, as the Lakers' starters logged a lot of minutes in yesterday's loss to the Clippers. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Thursday. OKC is a strong 25-13 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by 1.9 points on average. The Thunder have either won or lost by 3 or less points in 4 of the last 5 and 7 of the last 10 in this series. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Clippers to endure a major letdown tonight following Wednesday's huge upset win over the Heat. The Clippers put 111 points on the board in that victory - 13.1 points over their season average. With this in mind, consider that the Clipps are 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing by 16.6 points on average in this situation. The Warriors will be motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a double-digit loss to the Clippers Sunday. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Golden State. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: With or without LeBron James on the floor I like the Nuggets tonight at home, where they are 16-4 this season. It is also worth noting that 2 of Denver's home losses have come by a single point. Denver has been dealing with all the trade talk surrounding Melo, but the Nuggets will put that aside as they look to hand the most hated team in the league a second straight loss. This is a tough spot for Miami playing back-to-back, especially in Denver's high altitude. Fatigue will be a factor for the Heat in the second half. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets.

5* NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz -6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks will not have enough legs to keep this one within the number tonight. This is their 4th road games in 6 nights and the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Jazz, meanwhile, haven't played a game since Jan. 8. They'll be extremely fresh tonight. Utah has been one of the best home teams in the NBA in recent years, but it was clubbed 110-87 by Atlanta in its last home game. That loss is not sitting well and the Jazz will be out to something about it. Utah has not been playing well over its last few games, but that is in our favor here. Consider that the Jazz are 15-5 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since coach Sloan has been at the helm. With 3 full days off, the Jazz will be the more prepared team tonight.

5* NBA Underdog Game of the Month on Pacers +5
Bottom Line: Trying to avoid a 10th straight road defeat, and looking to avenge a 101-75 loss to the 76ers in the series' last meeting, expect the Pacers to be very hungry tonight. That earlier blowout loss was a complete fluke as the Pacers shot a season-worst 31.5 percent. Danny Granger missed 12 of 14 shots in that meeting, scoring a season-low seven points. Considering that was the only time he hasn't had at least 20 in his last five games versus the 76ers, I expect a big game from him this evening. The Pacers are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Philadelphia. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Back-to-back defeats are not sitting well with the Bulls. Neither are 2 prior losses to Boston this season. With these things in mind, I won't hesitate to take Chicago at home (15-3 this season) in this highly motivated spot. The Bulls are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also an outstanding 14-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards -4.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Nets are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the points with the Wiz at home tonight as New Jersey's road struggles continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Nuggets/Kings UNDER 207.5
Bottom Line: Denver is 13-3 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, and we are only seeing 198.0 total points scored in these games. Going back to the beginning of last season, Denver is 21-6 UNDER in a road game when the total is 200 to 209.5. We are only seeing 201.1 total points scored in these games. With Kenyon Martin doubtful, and key second-team players Ty Lawson and J.R. Smith banged up (both questionable), I don't see the Nuggets having enough to push this one Over.

5* NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Lakers -12
Bottom Line: The Lakers have won 4 straight over Detroit by at least 12 points and they'll be ready to run up the score tonight after an embarrassing home loss to Memphis. Plus, this is a terrible spot for Detroit, which spent a lot or energy in last night's showdown at Utah. Plays on home teams (LA LAKERS) off an upset loss by 15 points or more against an opponent off a road cover, provided it lost straight up as an underdog, are an impressive 24-5 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average score of 102.4 to 89.3. We saw what the Lakers did to an inferior New Orleans team following a poor performance against San Antonio, and they did that on the road without a day of rest. Lay the points with LA tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Magic -2
Bottom Line: The Magic will be lacking no motivation tonight as they look to snap a 4-game skid. Plus, they catch San Antonio at the perfect time. The Spurs have played a lot of games in not a lot of days. They exhausted a ton of energy in last night's comeback win over the Nuggets and I expect that to show up in the second half tonight. The Spurs have lost their last 2 trips to Orlando by double-digits. Lay the points with the Magic tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Expect them to cash another ticket tonight against a Bulls team that will be without Joakim Noah. Philly is also a perfect 9-0 ATS after having won 2 of its last 3 games this season and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Heat are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. It's going to be tough for New York to be able to put the same amount of energy and passion into this one after giving so much in a devastating loss to the Celtics the other night. LeBron James has been known to put on a show at MSG, and I expect him to do just that this evening. Heat send a message with a comfortable win. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers match up well with the Mavs, and as a result always play them close. In fact, Portland has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, and it hasn't been defeated by more than 6 points in any of the last six showdowns. The Mavericks are 15-36-3 ATS in their last 54 home games and 10-24-2 ATS in their last 36 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. They are also just 5-21-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Portland has not played up to its potential on the road lately, but I'm confident it will bring its "A" game tonight after back-to-back lackluster efforts. Pound Portland.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +1.5
Bottom Line: While Philly has been playing solid ball of late, winning 5 of its last 7, we can't overlook the fact that all 5 of those wins came at home. This 76ers teams is a dreadful 1-10 on the road this season, and I expect its road struggles to continue tonight. New Jersey has played just about everyone tough at home. It played Orlando to a 1-point game, beat Atlanta, beat Portland, took OKC to triple OT and took the Lakers down to the wire. The Nets will be ready to go tonight as they see this game as a golden opportunity to get off the snide. The 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite while the Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The 76ers are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Jersey. Take the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Suns -5
Bottom Line: The Suns want this one badly having already lost to the Blazers twice this season. Plus, they have the big advantage in terms of fresh legs with Portland having just played last night. Portland is 0-9 ATS when coming off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 99.8 to 89.8 in these games. The Suns are also an impressive 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Pound Phoenix.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Pacers/Bucks UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (INDIANA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (allowing 92-98 ppg), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game, are 39-13 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 already this season. We are only seeing 180.5 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Warriors/Mavs UNDER 205.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, surrendering only 92.2 ppg (4th). When playing at home, this number goes down to 90.5 ppg. Teams willing to get down and dirty on the defensive end are normally strong "Unders" investments and Dallas is no exception. In fact, the Under is 16-4-1 in the Mavericks' last 21 home games. The perception surrounding Golden State is that it's a high scoring team, but not on the road. The Warriors are only averaging 98.8 ppg away from home this season. Going to the numbers, the Under is 14-4-1 in the Warriors' last 19 road games. Lastly, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Dallas. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +5.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by a blowout loss to the Spurs and an OT loss at Boston earlier this season, look for the Bulls to take care of business tonight. The Celtics are 8-25-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Recently, they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +10.5
Bottom Line: The road team is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings, which includes a perfect 8-0 ATS run by Minnesota at Dallas. Expect this run to continue as Minnesota enters this contest fresh (3 days of rest) and Dallas does not (6th game in 9 days). The Mavericks are a terrible 7-22-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. In addition, Dallas is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the T-Wolves.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses we'll see the real defending NBA champs tonight. It's no secret that LA coasts from time to time during the regular season, but a blown 19-point lead against Utah and a home loss to Indiana have certainly gotten its attention. The Lakers have recorded 13 wins already this season and 10 of those victories have come by at least 7 points. Plus, the Lakers have already put a 19-point whooping on the Grizz this season, so we know what they are capable of when they come to play. LA has won 7 of the L8 against Memphis by an average score of 105 to 94. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Jazz -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a tough scheduling spot for New Orleans, and it comes against a team that has had its number. New Orleans will be playing its 7th game in 12 days and its 3rd road game in 4 days. Plus, Utah is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans, winning these games by an average score of 104 to 92. Also, the Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are an impressive 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +4.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Indiana after such a big win over Miami last night. The Pacers will still be patting themselves on the back when this rested Cleveland team comes out strong tonight. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 at Indiana. Plus, the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the Cavs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Thunder +6.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Thunder, who were defeated by 9 points at home by Boston earlier this month. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Still a big play at +8.5 or better if Durant can't go.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Bucks UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is the No. 1 defensive team in the league (89.4 ppg allowed) and the 30th ranked offensive team (92.1 ppg). The Lakers are more than capable of putting the clamps on defensively, and I expect a strong defensive effort from them tonight after allowing 118 and 121 in their last 2 games. Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, against an opponent that has gone under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, are 74-35 since 1996. This situation is already 1-0 this season. Pound the Under.

5* ESPN Game of the Month on Hawks -4
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats, expect the Hawks to bounce back strong against a Utah team which should be feeling the effects of two come from behind wins. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less points while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Utah. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month (ESPN) on Jazz/Magic UNDER 194.5
Bottom Line: Orlando is a great defensive team, especially at home where it is only allowing 87.0 ppg. I expect the Magic to have a great deal of success slowing down a Jazz team that used a ton of energy in last night's come from behind, overtime upset at Miami. The Under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Under is 37-13-2 in Orlando's last 52 games playing with 1 day of rest and 40-13-1 in its last 54 games following an ATS loss. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks own the Knicks, going 6-1 SU and ATS versus NY the last 2 seasons. 4 of the last 5 wins by Milwaukee in this series have come by at least 15 points. Having lost their last 2 home games, the Bucks will be lacking no motivation and no confidence against this Knicks team. The Bucks are a rock solid 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. I like Milwaukee by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +13.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a terrible 24-52 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. They are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 11.0 or more points. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. With a big matchup against Portland up next, Toronto won't get LA's full attention tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto will show up ready to play off back-to-back losses. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +5.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are a much better team than they have shown in their last two games, and they'll rise to the occasion against Portland tonight. I'll gladly grab the points when you consider that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take the Thunder tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Lakers/Suns UNDER 209.5
Bottom Line: The Suns won't have the gas to run and gun this one over the total after playing in Utah last night. Plus, the Under has been a money play on the Lakers when they have had 2 days to rest the last couple seasons. In fact, the Under is 24-9 in the Lakers' last 33 games in this situation, and we are only seeing a total of 196.6 points scored on average. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Lakers' last 8 Friday night games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -13.5
Bottom Line: Without Arenas in the lineup tonight, the Wizards will be without their best scorer. That's not good news considering they are up against one of the best teams in the entire league. Without Arenas, the Wizards will be asking a lot of rookie PG John Wall. I'm expected him to be very turnover prone early in the year as he has to carry the load. The Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Magic are deep, and they'll be out to lay the wood to send a message to division rival Miami that they're still the team to beat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Late Night Bailout (ESPN) on Clippers +3
Bottom Line: I expect major improvement from the Clippers this season with former No. 1 draft pick Blake Griffin joining Chris Kaman to create a dominant front court. Plus, this is a very tough spot for Portland, playing back-to-back nights to start the season with the second game coming on the road. The Blazers haven't started 2-0 since 2004. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. I expect them to be the more energized team tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 BOMB on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: Boston's Game 6 blowout loss was an aberration. I know the Celtics will be without Perkins tonight, but they are still not getting the respect they deserve with this line. With Perkins out, Big Baby and Rasheed Wallace will get more playing time, and Boston is better offensively when those two are in the game. It takes the heart of a champion to bounce back after such a devastating defeat, and Boston certainly has that. In fact, Boston is 16-4 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points since 1996, winning these games by an average of 1.1 points. And over the last 2 seasons, Boston is 8-0 ATS in road games when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, winning in these spots by an impressive 12.3 points. The Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss period. Take the points as Boston has an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much stronger defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much strong defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: I absolutely love the Lakers' chances of winning Game 5 outright tonight. Since 1996, the Lakers are 20-6 when tied in a playoff series. They are a perfect 3-0 in this situation in the 2010 NBA playoffs and a perfect 9-0 over the last 3 years in this spot. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are a perfect 2-0 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 12-1 over the last 3 seasons in this spot. In a bounce back spot, with an extra day of rest on Bynum's knee, I'll take the Lakers and the points tonight. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game of the Year on Celtics -3.5
Bottom Line: Boston knew it had to steal Game 2 in LA if it was going to win this series and it rose to the occasion. Now, Boston knows that it must even the series tonight or it will be in serious trouble. This is a must-win game for Boston, and I expect it take care of business in front of its fired up home crowd tonight. The Celtics had an excellent opportunity to win Game 3 even though they fell behind big at one point, and even though Ray Allen went 0 for 13. I don't think Allen will get shutout again tonight. Plus, Boston relied too heavily on running plays for Allen to get him looks. Look for Rondo to be the catalyst tonight as he plays much more aggressive offensively. Also, Game 3 did a lot for KG's confidence and he should respond with another strong game. The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat, and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 3 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2.5
Bottom Line: Returning home with momentum and an added boost of confidence after stealing away home court, look for the Celtics to take the 2-1 series lead tonight. I expect Boston's defense to be fantastic as it feeds off the energy of the home crowd, and I also expect Kevin Garnett to finally show up on the offensive end. Look for Paul Pierce to have a bounce back game as well. Boston is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this matchup, including 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 at home. It's also hard to bet against Bean Town in the small chalk when you consider that it is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points, including 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lay the points with the Celtics!

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +6
Bottom Line: Boston just didn't have it going in Game 1, but that gives it all the more motivation to show up tonight. Considering 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams have been decided by a single point, taking the points is the right call here, especially since the Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for Boston to respond in a big way tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 192
Bottom Line: Both of these teams know how important winning Game 1 is historically, and with this in mind I expect defense to take center stage tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 46-17 the last 5 seasons. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more, are 30-12 the last 5 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 15-3 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I'll pound the Under in Game 1 in this matchup of 2 Top 10 defenses.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Bottom Line: An exhilarating Game 5 win has the Lakers in the driver's seat, and after watching Boston seal the deal last night, they will be playing with an even greater sense of urgency in this one. One of the big reasons the Lakers are winning this series is because they are winning the turnover battle. In fact, LA is 13-4-2 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season, winning these games by an average score of 102.1 to 93.2. We saw both teams really pick up the defensive intensity last game, and this will carry over to tonight with so much at stake. It is also worth noting that the Under is 14-5 in the above situation I outlined. I'm pounding the Lakers and the Under tonight. Best of Luck.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Analysis will be posted shortly

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Magic/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Prior to the Game 5 outburst, where we saw 205 total points scored, the Magic and Celtics had finished under this number in 5 straight and 10 of their last 11. I expect both teams to tighten the screws defensively in this critical Game 6 as we cash in on the Under as a result. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings overall between these two teams. The Under is 4-0 in the Celtics' last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-1 in the Magic's last 8 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Boston could be without Davis and Wallace tonight, so it is going to want to slow this game down to stay fresh. Plus, the Celtics will make an effort not to foul as much knowing that they could be short handed. With the clock rolling and the Celtics slowing the tempo down, we'll pound the Under here.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Suns/Lakers UNDER 218
Bottom Line: So far this series has been an Overs machine, but I'm confident that changes tonight. It's all tied up 2-2, and that should have both teams really upping the intensity on defense in this pivotal Game 5. Plus, the Lakers bought into Phoenix's uptempo scheme in Games 3 and 4, taking way too many quick three-point shots. Expect them to make an extra effort to slow down the pace and get the ball inside tonight. The Lakers are 23-8 Under after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and Phoenix is 19-7 Under after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under tonight as the pace slows and the defensive intensity picks up.

5* Western Conference Playoffs Game of the Year on Lakers -1
Bottom Line: I don't see the Lakers leaving Phoenix empty handed. It took an absolute eruption from Stoudemire and an uncharacteristic 20-point performance from Lopez to earn a Game 3 victory, and I don't see either of those things happening again tonight as the Lakers up the intensity on the defensive end. The Lakers are the better team, and they have had the Suns' number all season. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Lakers have also won 11 of their last 15 against Phoenix over the last 3 seasons. Take LA!

5* Wiseguy Game 4 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Magic +7
Bottom Line: Orlando won't pack it in down 0-3 after getting brutally embarrassed in Game 3. The Magic are the defending Eastern Conference Champs and they will be much too proud to return home unless it is to play Game 5. Orlando is 17-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 8.7 points in these spots. Orlando is also 14-4 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 7.7 in these games. Plus, the fact that the Celtics are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points is a clear sign that they are being overvalued. Orlando has nothing to lose at this point and will be motivated to avoid being swept. Look for the Magic to pull off the shocker tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Suns UNDER 219
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - looking to avenge a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, and coming off a road loss, are 75-39 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games, are 36-13 since 1996. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 7-0 Under in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. The Lakers shot out of their minds at home (58%), but that won't continue here. The Suns know they must play better defense to win, and I expect them to really step up their game on that end of the floor tonight. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Magic +4
Bottom Line: Home court hasn't mattered much in this matchup when you consider that Orlando has won 11 of the 20 matchups, including 5 of the last 9 in Boston. In fact, the road team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings in this matchup straight up. From the perspective of the point spread, the road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This corresponds to the underdog being a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Magic have been a great small underdog as they are 39-17-1 ATS in their last 57 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Magic are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. It will be extremely difficult for the Celtics to keep their focus after such a long layoff, while the time off only adds fuel to the Magic's fire as they hear all this "sweep" talk. Boston is a great team, but they aren't 4 straight wins better than Orlando. Look for the Magic to play a lot looser tonight and win this one outright. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Suns +7.5
Bottom Line: The Suns haven't lost back-to-back games since Jan. 25th and 26th. That means that they are a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 games following a loss. Look for this trend to continue tonight as the Suns steal Game 2 on the road. From a point spread standpoint, the Lakers have not been good when playing with just 1 day of rest between games. In fact, they are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Meanwhile, the Suns are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest. It is also worth noting that the Suns are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Lakers just had one of those nights in Game 1 when everything went down for them. Expect a combination of the Suns playing better defense and the Lakers coming back down to earth to play a big role in Phoenix getting the cover tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: I don't see Boston relaxing in Game 2 after stealing Game 1. In fact, the Celtics have not relaxed since getting blown out in Game 3 of their previous series, going 4-0 SU & ATS since. During this 4-game stretch, the Celtics have been a 7-point dog twice, and they have won both of those games outright on the road. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Celtics are a phenomenal 57-28-2 ATS in their last 87 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is confident and it is playing smart. Look for it to give the Magic all they want and more tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Suns/Lakers UNDER 211
Bottom Line: While the Suns are an explosive offensive team, they have not played Over the number on the road very often recently, and Phoenix is one team the Lakers don't want to get into a track meet with. Expect the Lakers to slow down the tempo to take advantage of their size in the half court tonight, keeping this one Under the number in the process. The Under is 7-1-1 in the Suns' last 9 road games. It is also is 11-3 in the Lakers' last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Phoenix is 11-2 Under in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and Los Angeles is 14-3 Under after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Magic UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, and I expect this trend to continue today. Boston matches up better with the Magic than just about any other team in the NBA with the exception of the Lakers. A big reason for that is because Kendrick Perkins has proven that he can play solid defense on Dwight Howard. Plus, Boston defends the 3-point line well, only allowing 5 3-point makes per game on 30.7% shooting on the road this season. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Magic's last 10 playoff games as a favorite and 7-2 in the Celtics' last 9 Conference Finals games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Prime Time Total on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Let's keep this short and sweet. The Celtics are on a 17-4 Unders tear following a blowout victory of 30 or more points, and we are only seeing an average of 182.7 points scored in these games. Plus, you can bet Cleveland will bring the "D" tonight after allowing 120 points in Game 5. I expect every shot in this one to be extremely well contested with all that is at stake. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Total on Celtics/Cavs OVER 194
Bottom Line: The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Over is 4-0 in the Cavaliers' last 4 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I'm expecting Cleveland to explode offensively, just like it did in Game 3, to carry this one Over!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 207
Bottom Line: After 3 straight overs in this series, the public is all over the over here despite odds makers really elevating the number. I love our chances of collecting by going against the grain tonight. Even after 3 straight overs, the Under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah. We also need to consider that it is highly unlikely that LA, which averages only 7 3-point makes per game, goes off for 13 again. That's an extra 18 points right there. It is also highly unlikely that Kyle Korver goes off the way he did in Game 3 when he was 5 of 5 from 3-point range. The Jazz only average 5 3-point makes per game and they had 10 in Game 3. That's an extra 15 points. We saw a combined score of 221 points in Game 3, but if these teams only hit their averages from the 3-point line, we would have only seen 188. I think this gives us some nice breathing room even if these teams makes a couple more 3's than they average, which is a lot more likely than what we saw in Game 3. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 197
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off an upset win as an underdog, on Sunday games, are an impressive 28-9 the last 5 seasons. Plus, Cleveland is 18-7 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 188.9 total points scored on average in these spots. In addition, Boston is 13-5 UNDER when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season, and we are only seeing 187.7 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Revenger on Jazz -4.5
Bottom Line: Utah is an awesome 16-1 ATS after a road game where both it and its opponent scored 100 or more points this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 105.2 to 96.2. Plus, Utah has been money in the small chalk. The Jazz are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points and 24-5-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less points. We also can't overlook the fact that the Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. We saw LA slip up in OKC in round 1 and we have also seen the Lakers lose 20 road games this season. I'll take the Jazz in this must-win spot laying a small number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Game of the Year on Spurs -6.5
Bottom Line: Down 0-2, this is a must win game for the Spurs, and I expect them to take care of business wire-to-wire tonight. Right away I love the fact that plays on home favorites (SAN ANTONIO) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 77-37 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. San Antonio is also an awesome 12-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season, winning by an average score of 106.8 to 93.4 in these games. The Spurs are also an incredible 21-6-3 ATS in their last 30 playoff games as a favorite. Look for the Spurs to make a bold statement that this series is far from over tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Super System Power Play on Hawks +10
Bottom Line: Plays on road underdogs (ATLANTA) revenging a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more are 25-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have been underdogs of 8.2 points on average but are only losing by an average of 5.1 points to create excellent line value tonight. After such a lopsided defeat in Game 1, expect the Hawks to be more motivated than they have been in any other spot all season long. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs +3
Bottom Line: We saw the Spurs rebound from a close Game 1 defeat in their first round series to win Game 2 easily and I expect history to repeat itself here tonight. For as well as Nash played, and as well as the Suns shot the basketball (51.9%), the Spurs were still right there in the 4th (down 1 w/ 4 minutes and change to go). Nash won't be as effective tonight without the amount of rest he was able to get prior to Game 1. Plus, expect the Spurs to really attack him to wear him out on the defensive end. For as good as Nash can be offensively, he is an increasing liability on the defensive end. The numbers say San Antonio will respond tonight as it is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games after allowing 100 points or more in its previous game. Plus, the Suns have not been good in the small chalk in the playoffs in recent years. In fact, they are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Take the Spurs and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 199
Bottom Line: Expect both teams to take their defense up a notch in Game 2, especially Utah which allowed the Lakers to shoot 53.2% in Game 1. Right away I like the fact that the Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in this series. The Lakers are an impressive 11-1 Under as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 192 total points scored in these spots on average. The Lakers are also 17-6 Under versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season, and we are only seeing 188.8 points scored on average in these spots. The Under is 20-8 in the Lakers' last 28 playoff games as a favorite and 16-5 in their last 21 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Under is 7-1 in the Jazz and Lakers' last 8 when each team is facing a team with a winning S.U. record. I like this one to finish Under by double digits.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Total of the Year on Spurs/Suns OVER 203.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs had no success in slowing down the Suns during the regular season. In 3 meetings, we saw 220, 223 and 213 points scored. Plus, the last 3 meetings in Phoenix between these two clubs have finished over the number. Plays Over on home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, against an opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, are 39-15 since 1996. The average posted total in these games is 204.1 and we have seen an average of 209.9 total points scored. One thing the Spurs don't do is defend the 3-point line well. As a result, the Spurs are 7-0 Over vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=39% of their attempts this season, and we are seeing 219.3 points scored on average in this situation. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy Game 1 Monster BEST BET on Cavaliers -7 Bottom Line: This line seems a little soft when you consider that Cleveland is on an 8-1 run at home against Boston the last 3 seasons with an average margin of victory of 11 points in those games.  I also love the fact the public is pounding Boston here to bring the line down a half point in our favor.  Plays on home favorites (CLEVELAND) - after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 45-17 ATS the last 5 seasons with an average winning margin of 10.7 points.  In addition, Plays on  favorites (CLEVELAND) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots, are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons with an average winning margin of 11.3 points.  Look for the Cavs to come out fast in Game 1 and make statement, just like they did against the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Week on Hawks -2
Bottom Line: I just can't see the Bucks beating this talented Atlanta Hawks team four straight games.  History is certainly on our side when you consider that plays on road favorites revenging a home upset loss vs. an opponent are 97-47 ATS since 1996, 26-11 ATS the last 3 seasons and 6-1 ATS this season.  The favorite is winning by 5.4 points on average in this situation.  The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points.  While Atlanta has been a big disappointment in these playoffs, it is still the better team in this series.  Expect the Hawks to show up in a big way tonight to avoid elimination.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Blazers -1
Bottom Line: This has been a matchup dominated by the home team. In fact, the home team is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Suns are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Portland. It's do-or-die time for the Blazers and I expect them to rise to the occasion at home tonight. The big key is that the Blazers have been one of the few teams that have been able to slow down the pace of the Suns. In fact, Portland is a perfect 8-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders this season, winning by 11.9 points on average in these spots. The Trail Blazers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Roy was pretty good in his first game back, and then he really struggled last time out. Look for Roy to have a breakout game tonight, helping the Blazers extend the series.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* (TNT) on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: We saw the way the Mavs responded in the same situation last night, and I expect a similar response from Denver here. The fact that the Jazz are 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points can't be ignored. The Nuggets are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss of more than 10 points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. We'll pound Denver at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Heat/Celtics UNDER 188
Bottom Line: Miami is 7-0 UNDER in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points this season, and we have only seen 177.6 points scored on average in these spots. Expect tonight's contest to look a lot like Game 1 when these two teams combined for just 161 points. With Miami's playoff life at stake and with the Celtics trying to close out, I expect a very intense defensive battle.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Night on Hawks -1
Bottom Line: Atlanta came out flat in Game 3 after cruising to wins in the first two games of the series. I'm confident that its Game 3 loss has gotten its attention. The Hawks are 8-1 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, bouncing back to win by an average of 11.6 points in these spots. Atlanta should be even more focused after watching the Celtics, Mavs and Nuggets all go down on the road yesterday. Those teams will help remind the Hawks that the better team only wins if it brings the focus and energy it needs to get the job done. The Hawks are the better team in this series and I look for them to bring it tonight in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Blowout of the Week on Mavericks +2.5
Bottom Line: Not only do I expect Dallas to win this game outright, but I expect it to win outright with some breathing room. Dallas is 13-4 ATS in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 100.6 to 92.0 and I expect this one to be at least a 10-point win. The Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Pound the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference 1st Round Game of the Year on Lakers +2
Bottom Line: This is exactly the spot where a veteran, championship team like the Lakers makes a statement. The Lakers led the entire way through the first 3 quarters in Game 3, but ended up losing the game because Kobe Bryant went cold in the 4th. Bryant, the game's best closer, will not be a popsicle tonight, I can assure you. The Lakers don't want this series to drag out. If they can get a "W" tonight, then they can go home with a chance to close it out in Game 5. I'm not going to give you any numbers here. I simply expect the Lakers to up the intensity and get the job done.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -3.5
Bottom Line: The Heat were absolutely embarrassed in Game 2, and I expect Dwayne Wade and company to save face with a convincing home win tonight. We can expect another sensational game from Wade, but the difference will be Beasley and O'Neal turning in much better efforts tonight. I would be absolutely shocked if O'Neal went 1 of 10 from the floor again. The key is that O'Neal had good looks. He just missed them. Those same shots figure to find the bottom of the net at home. Boston has struggled on the road in the playoffs in recent years, and I see no reason why those struggles won't continue. In addition, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, are 30-11 ATS the last 3 seasons. Hammer the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Bulls UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in April games, are 42-15 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 this season. In addition, Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CLEVELAND) - off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 25-4 the last 5 seasons, including 2-0 this season. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and I expect this trend to continue tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Magic UNDER 186
Bottom Line: Game 1 went over the 186.5-point total by a half point, largely because the Magic made 13 3-point shots. That's not going to happen again tonight and this one should finish well under the number as a result. The Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings and 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Orlando. The Under is 7-0-1 in the Bobcats' last 8 games as a road underdog and 10-3-1 in the Magic's last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is also 41-14-1 in the Magic's last 56 games following an ATS loss. Bet the Under.