MLB Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
06-19-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Toronto Blue Jays -155 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -155 Bottom Line: I'll continue to ride the Blue Jays as they are now 8-0 lifetime at home versus Colorado. The home team is 14-0 in the all-time series. Toronto, which is 7-0 in its last 7 games, is playing its best ball of the season and is in excellent hands with veteran Mark Buehrle on the bump. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record. Also, Buehrle is 2-0 on the moneyline in 2 career starts versus the Rockies with these wins coming the last 2 seasons.
|
06-18-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Toronto Blue Jays -157 |
Top |
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -157 Bottom Line: Sticking with the Blue Jays today as they are 7-0 lifetime at home versus Colorado. Also, the home team is 13-0 in the all-time series. The Blue Jays, who are 6-0 in their last 6 overall, are playing their best ball of the season. They are 3-0 in Esmil Rogers' starts (1.26 ERA in these starts). Colorado's Jeff Francis is carrying a 5.87 ERA, and the Rockies are 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Plus, the Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a left-handed starter.
|
06-17-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Toronto Blue Jays -143 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -143 Bottom Line: The Rockies have lost 5 of their last 6 series openers and are just 5-21 in their last 26 interleague games. They have especially struggled in Toronto where they are 0-6 lifetime. The home team is 12-0 all-time in the series. Also, De La Rosa isn't typically as effective on the road. The Rockies are just 2-7 in his last road 9 starts as an underdog. The Jays enter this season with tons of momentum and confidence after sweeping Texas. They are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games. Josh Johnson has pitched pretty good since coming off the DL, and he has a strong track record against Colorado. He's 2-1 with an ERA of 1.77 in 5 starts against the Rockies, including a perfect 3-0 on the moneyline in his home starts against them. Pound the Blue Jays.
|
06-16-13 |
New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels -144 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-144 |
7 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -144 Bottom Line: The Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 games and 0-6 in their last 6 games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Sabathia has an ERA of 5.55 on the road, and the Yankees are 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Weaver has owned the Yankees of late, and the Angels are 5-0 in his last 5 starts against them as a result. The Angels are 6-0 lifetime in Weaver's home starts versus the Yankees.
|
06-15-13 |
Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's -111 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-111 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on A's -111 Bottom Line: Hernandez is one of the best pitchers in baseball, but he's often let down by poor run support. In fact, the Mariners are 1-11 in his last 12 starts versus a team with a winning record, 3-7 in his last 10 starts versus the American League West division and 1-5 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Athletics are 12-2 in Griffin's last 14 home starts, 8-1 in his last 9 starts as a home favorite and 9-0 in his last 9 starts versus the AL West. The A's are also 3-0 lifetime in his starts versus Seattle, and he's posted a 2.12 ERA in these outings.
|
06-14-13 |
Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays -157 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-157 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rays -157 Bottom Line: Moore has struggled in his last two starts, which means he's be extremely focused tonight. I love the southpaw's chances against a Kansas City club that's 1-9 in its last 10 games versus a left-handed starter. The Rays are 40-16 in their last 56 home games versus a team with a losing record, including 7-1 in their last 8 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They are 12-3 in Moore's last 15 starts and 7-1 in his last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Royals are 1-4 in Mendoza's last 5 starts, 1-6 in his last 7 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record. Pound the Rays.
|
06-13-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies -130 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Phillies -130 Bottom Line: The Phillies went down in the first two games of this series, but they are 5-1 in their last six games after losing the first two games of a series. I like their chances of bouncing back behind ace Cliff Lee, who has been clutch. The Phillies are 6-1 in Lee's last 7 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, when they've given the ball to Lee looking for an answer, he's come through. Lee is known for his control and has a strong 1.007 WHIP on the season. This number is significant because the Twins are 14-49 in their last 63 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Lee's teams are 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus the Twins. Pound Philly.
|
06-12-13 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies -166 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-166 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Best Bet Blowout on Rockies -166 Bottom Line: We connected with our free pick on the Rockies last night, and I'm upping the ante with them here with Jorge De La Rosa getting the ball. The Rockies are a perfect 11-0 in De La Rosa's home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season and has won these by an average of 3.7 runs. The Rockies are 29-4 in his last 33 home starts as a favorite and 19-1 in his last 20 home starts as a favorite of -150 to -200. Colorado is also 4-0 in his starts versus the Nationals and has won these by 4.8 runs on average. Pound the Rockies.
|
06-08-13 |
Texas Rangers -157 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-157 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB BEST BET Blowout on Rangers -157 Bottom Line: Texas managed only 1 run in yesterday's loss, but it's 8-0 this season after scoring 1 run or less and has won by an average of 3.0 runs in these spots. Darvish's ERA is over 2.5 runs lower than Buehrle's. The Rangers are 8-2 in Darvish's last 10 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 9-1 in his last 10 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus a team with a losing mark. The Blue Jays are 11-27 in their last 38 Game 2's of a series and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Pound Texas.
|
06-07-13 |
San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies -147 |
Top |
9-10 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Best Bet Blowout on Rockies -147 Bottom Line: The Rockies are an awesome 28-4 in De La Rosa's last 32 starts as a home favorite. Zooming in, they are 10-0 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season, winning these by 4.0 runs on average. The Rockies are 8-0 in his last 8 starts versus the Padres and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus San Diego. Pound the Rockies.
|
06-06-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Los Angeles Dodgers +101 |
Top |
0-5 |
Win
|
101 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Dodgers +101 Bottom Line: Atlanta's Tim Hudson can't be trusted on the road where he has an ERA of 7.67. The Braves are 0-5 in Hudson's last 5 road starts. Also, the Braves are 0-3 in his last 3 road starts against the Dodgers. LA's Greinke has been plenty good at home. The Dodgers are 3-0 in his home starts and he's posted a 2.87 ERA in those.
|
06-05-13 |
Chicago Cubs v. Los Angeles Angels -148 |
Top |
8-6 |
Loss |
-148 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Angels -148 Bottom Line: Chicago's Garza has never beaten the Angels. He's 0-4 on the moneyline in 4 chances with an ERA of 5.87. Vargas is 3-1 on the moneyline with an ERA of 3.46 in 4 starts against the Cubs. Vargas also enters this contest in top form. The Angels are 6-0 in his last 6 starts, and he's given up 2 runs or fewer 5 times during this span. The Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games versus a right-handed starter.
|
06-04-13 |
New York Mets v. Washington Nationals -173 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout on Nationals -173 Bottom Line: The Mets are 1-9 in Hefner's last 10 starts, 0-8 in his last 8 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-6 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record and 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus the National League East. The Mets are 0-4 lifetime in Hefner's starts versus the Nationals. The Nats are 8-0 in Zimmerman's last 8 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 3-0 in his last 3 home starts versus the Mets.
|
06-02-13 |
Chicago White Sox -101 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on White Sox -101 Bottom Line: The White Sox are in good hands with ace Chris Sale on the bump. They are 5-0 in Sale's last 5 starts, and he's been tough on the AL West. The White Sox are 9-0 in his last 9 starts against AL West foes.
|
06-01-13 |
Detroit Tigers -134 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Year on Tigers -134 Bottom Line: The defending AL champs have lost 4 in a row, and I don't see the best pitcher in baseball letting them slide any further. The Tigers are 10-1 lifetime in Verlander's starts against the Orioles, including a perfect 6-0 in his road starts. Bet the Tigers as Verlander delivers.
|
05-31-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. San Diego Padres -128 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout Blowout on Padres -128 Bottom Line: The Blue Jays have struggled on the road where they have dropped 37 of their last 55. Look for their road woes to continue in San Diego, where the Padres have won 13 of their last 19. Scheduled starter Jason Marquis has been dealing at Petco. The Padres are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts on regular rest (4 days) and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record.
|
05-30-13 |
Detroit Tigers -117 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-117 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -117 Bottom Line: The reigning AL champs look to be a nice investment in the small chalk with the more proven pitcher on the mound. The Tigers are 6-2 in Fister's last 8 starts as a favorite, and I expect him to win this duel against Locke. The lefty is off to a solid start, but I expect him to run into a buzzsaw here. The Tigers are batting .287 and scoring 5.6 runs per game against southpaw starters this season. Pound the Tigers.
|
05-27-13 |
San Francisco Giants -114 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Memorial Day MASSACRE on Giants -114 Bottom Line: The Giants have the advantage on the mound with Bumgarner, who has a 2.89 ERA on the season. Straily's 5.73 ERA pales in comparison. The Giants are 34-16 in Bumgarner's last 50 starts as a favorite and 4-1 in his last 5 interleague starts. The Athletics are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague games versus a left-handed starter. The pitching mismatch is too big to ignore here, especially at this price.
|
05-26-13 |
Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners -114 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PUNISHER* on Mariners -114 Bottom Line: Seattle has lost 8 in a row but is being favored for a reason Sunday. That reason is Iwakuma. He's 2-0 with a 1.05 ERA in 4 home starts this season, and the Mariners are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts dating back to last season. They are 10-1 in his last 11 home starts. The Mariners are 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. The M's are 2-0 in his last 2 home starts versus the Rangers.
|
05-25-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants -121 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL West Game of the Month on Giants -121 Bottom Line: Zito has a 0.55 ERA this season at home, and I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on the Giants because of it. The Giants are 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a home favorite, 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. San Francisco is also 3-0 in Zito's last 3 home starts versus the Rockies. The Giants are 31-13 against Colorado since the start of the 2011 season, including 17-5 at home during this span.
|
05-22-13 |
Boston Red Sox -129 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Red Sox -129 Bottom Line: The Red Sox have lost the first two games of the series, but I love their chances tonight with ace Clay Buchholz hurling. The Red Sox are 8-1 in his 9 starts this season, including 3-0 in his road starts. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 0-3 in Hector Santiago's last 3 starts. It is also worth mentioning that Boston is 2-0 in Buchholz last 2 starts versus the White Sox. The Red Sox are 7-0 in Buchholz's last 7 road starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus clubs with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
|
05-20-13 |
Kansas City Royals -167 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-167 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Month on Royals -167 Bottom Line: Guthrie has never lost to Houston. His clubs are a perfect 3-0 in his starts against the Astros, and he's posted a respectable 3.68 ERA in these starts. The Royals are 16-5 in Guthrie's last 21 starts, including 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. The Astros are 35-96 in their last 131 overall, 17-42 in their last 59 home games and 10-41 in their last 51 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Houston is 4-12 in Keuchel's last 16 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 series-opening starts. The Royals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
|
05-18-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Los Angeles Angels -126 |
Top |
9-12 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Angels -126 Bottom Line: Blanton pitched well during a 3-start stretch before getting rocked by KC last time out, but that performance assures us he'll be focused here as he goes after his first win of the season. He'll be confident too because he's got a good track record against the White Sox (3-1, 2.59 ERA). Chicago's Santiago is unproven and has a tendency to give up the long ball. You want to fade teams priced at +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher who gives up an average of 1 or more homers per start if they're facing a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts. Doing so has produced a 75-33 record since 1997.
|
05-17-13 |
Washington Nationals -142 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Nationals -142 Bottom Line: The Padres have been playing well, but they'll have a tough time breaking through against Washington's Gio Gonzalez. The Nats are 30-12 in Gio's starts, including 17-5 in his road starts. The Nationals are also 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite. He allowed just 2 hits in 6 scoreless innings in winning his lone start against the Padres, which came in San Diego last season. Expect the Nats to take care of business behind another dominant performance from their star southpaw.
|
05-15-13 |
Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees -118 |
Top |
12-2 |
Loss |
-118 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Yankees -118 Bottom Line: The Yankees are 7-0 this season versus starting pitchers with good control like Iwakuma that average less than 1.75 walks per start. When they know the ball is going to be around the plate, they've had a lot of success hitting it. They are 2-0 in Iwakuma's 2 career starts against them. Also, the Yanks are 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts and 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus Seattle.
|
05-14-13 |
Texas Rangers -110 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rangers -110 Bottom Line: Oakland's Bartolo Colon is struggling. He has an 8.22 ERA over his last 3 starts and has given up 2 home runs in each of his last 2 starts. The home runs are a red flag as Colon is 0-11 on the money line since the start of the 2011 season after giving up 2 or more home runs in his last outing. While Colon has struggled, Derek Holland has been dialed in. He's posted a 1.64 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Rangers are 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the American League West and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Athletics. I should also mention that Colon is 1-3 on the money line in his last 4 verses Texas, giving up a pair of jacks in 2 of those defeats.
|
05-12-13 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Chicago White Sox -127 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball GAME OF THE MONTH on White Sox -127 Bottom Line: Love Sale to outduel Wilson tonight. The Sox are 3-0 in Sale's last 3 starts while he's posted an ERA of 2.11. They are also 3-0 in his home starts while he's recorded an ERA of 2.08. The Sox are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus AL West foes. He outdueled Wilson in a 6-1 win when these teams met last season, and I expect a similar result tonight.
|
05-10-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Los Angeles Dodgers -136 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-136 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Month on Dodgers -136 Bottom Line: The Dodgers have lost 7 in a row and are banged up, but that won't keep me off them tonight. They are still the more talented club and will be extremely focused as they look to end their skid. The Marlins are 16-42 in their last 58 road games, 1-8 in their last 9 series openers and 3-7 in their last 10 versus the Dodgers.
|
05-09-13 |
Los Angeles Angels -150 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Angels -150 Bottom Line: The Angels haven't been playing well, but they are clearly the more talented team in this matchup. I expect them to dig down deep to avoid being swept this evening. The Astros are 33-88 in their last 121 overall, 13-29 in their last 42 games following a win, 12-40 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series and 8-23 in their last 31 games versus a left-handed starter. They won't have it easy versus LA lefty Jason Vargas. The Halos have won 2 of his last 3 starts while he's posted an ERA of 1.87. Lucas Harrell was rocked his last time out and has a 6.59 ERA in 5 home starts. The Astros are 1-4 in Harrell's last 5 starts as a home underdog.
|
05-08-13 |
Oakland: A Griffin +105 v. Cleveland: Masterson |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy AL UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on A's +105 Bottom Line: The Athletics are 8-0 in Griffin's last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 Wednesday starts. Masterson has a 6.48 ERA over his last 4 starts and has struggled mightily against Oakland. He was 0-3 against the A's last season, allowing 19 runs, 23 hits - six homers - and walked nine in 14 2-3 innings. The A's have won 8 of their last 10 versus Cleveland, and I love their chances of bouncing back after losing the first two.
|
05-06-13 |
Texas Rangers -125 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
2-9 |
Loss |
-125 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rangers -125 Bottom Line: The Rangers are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games versus a team with a losing record. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 home games and 4-12 in their last 16 interleague home games. Feldman is 3-10 on the money line in his last 13 starts. Even if he fares well against his former team, there's a good chance a Chicago bullpen that has a 6.02 ERA at home will blow this game.
|
05-05-13 |
Arizona Diamondbacks -119 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-119 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *BLOOD BATH* on D-backs -119 Bottom Line: The D-backs are in good hands with Kennedy. They are 6-1 in his last 7 road starts, 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record and 23-7 in his last 30 starts versus division opponents. The D-backs are also 7-2 in Kennedy's last 9 starts versus the Padres. Arizona backs up its pitchers with solid defense and is very strong at rolling two. This bodes well for us since San Diego is 0-10 the last two seasons versus teams that turn 1.1 or more double plays per game.
|
05-03-13 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels -125 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Angels -125 Bottom Line: I missed with the Angels last night but won't hesitate to go right back to the well with them here. The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record and have lost 8 of their last 11 in the series in LA. They haven't won back-to-back road games against the Halos since 2010. Baltimore starter Gonzalez has a 5.82 ERA over his last 3 starts. LA's Vargas has turned in back-to-back strong outings and hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of his 6 career starts versus Baltimore. The Angels are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Pound the Halos.
|
05-01-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Texas Rangers -110 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rangers -110 Bottom Line: The White Sox are 5-14 in their last 19 road games, 6-21 in their last 27 games as a road underdog and 0-7 in their last 7 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The White Sox are also 1-6 in Sale's last 7 road starts. The Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The Rangers are 2-0 in Tepesch's home starts while he has posted an ERA of 1.00. Plays against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more and against an opponent that scoring 8 runs or more last game, are 99-47 the last 5 seasons. This system is 6-0 this season.
|
04-30-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Kansas City Royals -122 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy AL System Play of the Month on Royals -122 Bottom Line: Plays against AL road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher that hit .265 or worse and send a starter to the mound that has an ERA of 3.50 or better are 78-28 the last 5 seasons if facing an AL starter with an ERA of 3.20 or better. Plus, the Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Pound KC.
|
04-26-13 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Oakland A's -116 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-116 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PUNISHER* on A's -116 Bottom Line: The Orioles are 0-4 in Chen's last 4 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. The Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. The A's are 4-0 in Milone's last 4 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Orioles are 32-74 in the last 106 meetings, including 14-38 in the last 52 meetings in Oakland.
|
04-25-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Washington Nationals -134 |
Top |
1-8 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nationals -134 Bottom Line: The Nats have been struggling, but I expect them to get back on track tonight against a Cincy club that's 0-5 in its last 5 road games. The Reds are even 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus teams that have a losing record. The Nats are 28-10 in Gonzalez's 38 starts. Also, Gonzalez's teams are 31-11 lifetime in his starts as a favorite of -125 to -175. The Nats won both of his starts versus the Reds last season while the Reds are 1-3 in Arroyo's last 4 versus Washington.
|
04-21-13 |
Atlanta Braves -167 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-167 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves -167 Bottom Line: The Braves represent the strongest play on the board for Sunday given the edge they have on the bump with Kris Medlen. The Braves are 25-2 in Medlen's last 27 starts, 9-0 in his last 9 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a road favorite, 6-0 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record and 13-0 in his last 13 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Braves are even 8-1 in his last 9 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Atlanta is 5-0 in its last 5 road games versus a team with a winning record, 4-0 in its last 4 during game 4 of a series and 8-0 in its last 8 Sunday games. The Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Pound the Braves!
|
04-20-13 |
Arizona: T Cahill v. Colorado: De La Rosa -120 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Rockies -120 Bottom Line: The Rockies are 7-0 in their last 7 overall, 11-0 in their last 11 home games, 24-4 in De La Rosa's last 28 home starts and 7-0 in De La Rosa's last 7 home starts versus Arizona.
|
04-19-13 |
Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers -112 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Brewers -112 Bottom Line: The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers and 0-4 in Samardzija's last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall, 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus division opponents and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Cubs. The Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 at home versus the Cubs. Bet the Brew Crew.
|
04-15-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies -119 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-119 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Monday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* on Phillies -119 Bottom Line: The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 overall and should continue their slide against a Philly club that's sending ace Cliff Lee to the bump. Lee is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA through 2 starts, and the Phillies are 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Lee is also 3-1 on the money line in his last 4 versus Cincy. Arroyo is just 1-7 on the money line in his last 8 versus the Phillies. We'll take Philly at a reasonable price with the better starting pitcher.
|
04-14-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres +100 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog GAME OF THE WEEK on Padres +100 Bottom Line: The Rockies are 7-19 in their last 26 road games, 3-8 in their last 11 games as a road favorite and 1-6 in De La Rosa's last 7 road starts. The Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 6-1 in Richard's last 7 home starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog and 5-0 in his last 5 starts in the third game of a series. Pound the Padres.
|
04-13-13 |
Cincinnati: J Cueto -148 v. Pittsburgh: J Locke |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-148 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Reds -148 Bottom Line: The Reds are 37-17 in Cueto's last 54 starts while the Pirates are 1-7 in Locke's last 8 starts. The Reds are 13-5 in Cueto's last 18 starts against the Pirates, including 5-1 in his last 6 road starts in the series. The Reds are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a left-handed starter and 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite. Pound Cincy!
|
04-12-13 |
New York Mets -108 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
16-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Mets -108 Bottom Line: Mets clearly have the advantage on the rubber with Niese, who has sizzled in blowout victories in his first 2 starts. Minnesota's Worley, on the other hand, has struggled in both of his starts. The Mets are on a perfect 6-0 run on the road in interleague play versus clubs that carry a sub-.500 record. They are also on a perfect 4-0 run in interleague play in the role of favorite.
|
04-11-13 |
Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -130 |
Top |
8-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
12 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on Angels -130 Bottom Line: The Angels haven't been swept by the A's in a 3-game series since June 29-July 1, 2004. In other words, it's been 9 years since Oakland pulled off the feat, and I don't see it getting the job done tonight. Yesterday's ugly 6-run loss will be all the motivation LA needs as it is 55-34 under manager Scioscia when looking for revenge for a home loss of 6 runs or more to a foe. And, teams with a +100 to -150 ML in the first 12 games of the season are 38-16 the last 3 seasons if they had a winning mark last season and closed out last season with 26+ wins in their last 40 games. Take the Angels!
|
04-09-13 |
Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -144 |
Top |
9-5 |
Loss |
-144 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *BAILOUT BLOWOUT* on Angels -144 Bottom Line: The Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite while the Athletics are 4-9 in their last 13 games as a road underdog. Wilson is 8-4 on the money line lifetime against the A's while Parker is 1-3 on the money line lifetime against the Angels. Wilson is also 33-14 on the ML lifetime when the money line is +100 to -150. Look for the Angels to win big in their home opener.
|
04-08-13 |
New York (N): M Harvey v. Philadelphia: R Halladay -110 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Phillies -110 Bottom Line: Halladay struggled in his first start, but I'm not sleeping on the Doc. He's won his last 8 decisions against the Mets and is 9-2 lifetime against them with an ERA of 2.86. The Phillies are 7-1 all-time in Halladay's starts versus the Mets. The Mets are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings with Philly. Also, the Phillies are 29-11 in Halladay's last 40 home starts and 22-6 in his last 28 starts series-opening starts.
|
04-07-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +125 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Angels +125 Bottom Line: I think this line is an overreaction to Darvish's near-perfecto because Weaver is the superior starter with the superior lineup behind him. The Angels ace struggled early on in his career at Texas but has turned it around. He's won his last 2 starts there while giving up only 2 earned runs in each. The Angels are 39-13 in Weaver's last 52 starts, including 4-0 in his last 4 versus the Rangers. They've won these 4 impressively by an average of 5.0 runs. Pound the Angels.
|
10-11-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees -150 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-150 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Yankees -150 Bottom Line: The Yankees are 32-7 all-time in Hughes' starts as a home favorite of -150 or more. They have won in this situation by an average score of 7.3 to 4.6. Plus, Baltimore is just 3-19 in road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Yankees.
|
10-10-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's -106 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on A's -106 Bottom Line: The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 road playoff games. The Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning record. The A's are 5-0 in Griffin's last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Griffin has been lights out at home (3.21 ERA) all season. Take the A's on the money line.
|
10-09-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Oakland A's -132 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Athletics -132 Bottom Line: Detroit, which has a losing record on the road this season, can't be trusted on the road in this spot. It is only 6-24 in road games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons and 2-10 in road games after 2 or more consecutive home games this season. The A's have been solid at home all season, and I fully expect them to extend this series.
|
10-03-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -189 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-189 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Diamondbacks -189 Bottom Line: Kennedy has been on fire, and one thing you don't want to do is go against him when he's matched up against an NL West opponent. That's because the D-backs are 24-4 in his starts against division opponents since the start of last season. Bet Arizona on the money line.
|
10-02-12 |
New York Mets -149 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-149 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Play of the Day on Mets -149 Bottom Line: Playing against all underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) (NL), with a starting pitcher whos gives up 5.5 or less hits/start - has produced an 81-20 mark the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this scenario have lost by an average of 2.0 runs. Take New York as Dickey continues his dominance of the Marlins.
|
09-26-12 |
Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers -159 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MOTIVATIONAL MISMATCH* on Tigers -159 Bottom Line: With a chance to take over sole possession of first place in the AL Central, I fully expect the Tigers to take care of business tonight. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Royals, 36-15 in their last 51 home games overall, 28-9 in their last 37 games as a home favorite and 71-27 in their last 98 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. I'm expecting a great outing from Porcello, who hasn't pitched since the 16th. The Tigers are 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 starts on 9 days' rest or more.
|
09-18-12 |
Atlanta Braves -139 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-139 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Braves -139 Bottom Line: The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Marlins are 0-4 in Eovaldi's last 4 starts, 0-3 in his last 3 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Fish are also 0-6 in their last 6 games versus a left-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter. The Braves are 21-7 in the last 28 meetings and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Miami.
|
09-12-12 |
Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -123 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-123 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout on Angels -123 Bottom Line: Oakland's Griffin is 5-0 with a 2.21 ERA, but judging by the line odds makers clearly aren't sold. Consider that plays against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (OAKLAND) with a starting pitcher who is undefeated after 5 or more starts and has an ERA of less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 72-36 since 1997. Santana has been stellar against Oakland throughout his career with a 2.09 ERA in 23 starts. The Angels are 15-6 in Santana's last 21 starts vs. the Athletics and 8-2 in his last 10 home starts vs. the A's.
|
09-11-12 |
San Francisco Giants -147 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
9-8 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Giants -147 Bottom Line: I missed with the Giants yesterday, but I;m not hesitating to come right back with them here. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss, 9-3 in their last 12 games as a road favorite, 25-10 in their last 35 against the Rockies and 9-2 in their last 11 in Colorado. The Giants are 7-0 in Bumgarner
|
09-10-12 |
San Francisco: Vogelsong -134 v. Colorado: A White |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-134 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Giants -134 Bottom Line: The Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 overall and 0-4 in their last 4 home games versus San Francisco. The Giants are 6-0 lifetime in Vogelsong's 6 starts against Colorado and 9-0 in his last 9 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Rockies are 0-3 in White's 3 career starts versus the Giants.
|
09-08-12 |
Atlanta: K Medlen -160 v. New York (N): J Hefner |
Top |
11-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Braves -160 Bottom Line: The Braves are 18-0 in Kris Medlen's last 18 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite, 9-0 in his last 9 starts during game 2 of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. They are 10-0 in his last 10 starts versus division opponents, 10-0 in his last 10 starts in the 2nd half of the season versus NL foes with an on base percentage of .325 or worse and 3-0 all-time in his starts against New York.
|
09-04-12 |
Texas Rangers -151 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
3-6 |
Loss |
-151 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rangers -151 Bottom Line: The Rangers are 11-0 in Harrison's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 3-0 his last 3 starts vs. the Royals. Kansas City's Guthrie, meanwhile, is 0-3 in his last 3 starts vs. Texas. The Rangers have won 17 of their last 24 vs. KC, and I fully expect their series dominance to continue tonight.
|
09-03-12 |
Arizona: P Corbin v. San Francisco: B Zito -105 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Labor Day *PUNISHER* on Giants -105 Bottom Line: The Giants are showing great value at this affordable price. They have won 5 of 6 while the D-backs have lost 8 of 10. The D-backs have also lost 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings and 60 of their last 88 in San Francisco. The Giants are 5-0 in Zito's last 5 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts series opening starts and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus Arizona. Take the Giants on the money line.
|
09-02-12 |
Chicago (A): C Sale v. Detroit: Verlander -160 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN2) on Tigers -160 Bottom Line: The Tigers are a perfect 12-0 in ace Justin Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season the last 3 seasons against teams with winning records. The Tigers have won these starts by an average of 3.8 runs. Now, that's dominance. Detroit has won 4 straight and 11 of 12 against the White Sox with Verlander on the mound. Pound the Tigers.
|
09-01-12 |
Cincinnati: H Bailey -161 v. Houston: L Harrell |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-161 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Reds -161 Bottom Line: The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games while the Astros are 0-6 in their last 6. Cincy is also 4-0 in its last 4 versus the Stros. The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, 6-0 in Bailey's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series and 9-0 in his last 9 road starts. The Astros are 0-2 in Harrell's starts versus Cincy this season.
|
08-30-12 |
Detroit Tigers -126 v. KAN ROYALS |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-126 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy AL Central Game of the Year on Tigers -126 Bottom Line: The Royals are an aggressive at the plate and only have 326 walks as a result. Consider that Detroit has received 418 free passes. Their impatience has played right into the hands of Porcello, who is 4-0 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Royals. In fact, Porcello is 9-0 on the money line in road games the last 2 seasons versus teams that walk 3 or fewer times per game. The Tigers have won these outings by an average score of 8.0 to 3.2.
|
08-29-12 |
Detroit Tigers -133 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-133 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Tigers -133 Bottom Line: The Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 versus the Royals, including 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The Tigers are also 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite, 21-7 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record and 13-5 in their last 18 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are 2-9 in the southpaw Chen's last 11 starts as an underdog and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Tigers on the money line.
|
08-28-12 |
Boston: C Buchholz v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver -184 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout on Angels -184 Bottom Line: The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record while the Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The Red Sox are also 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the AL West and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. LA's Weaver is 16-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.980 WHIP. The Angels are 8-1 in his last 9 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 8-1 in his last 9 starts vs. the AL East, 22-6 in his last 28 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 42-12 in his last 54 starts as a favorite. The Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 versus Boston. Pound LAA.
|
08-27-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays -118 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-118 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Rays -118 Bottom Line: The Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 road games, 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 7-0 in their last 7 series openers. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 6-0 in Price's last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 5-0 in his last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Rays are 6-1 in Price's last 7 road starts, 5-1 in his last 6 starts during game 1 of a series and 17-4 in his last 21 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are 3-14 in Holland's last 17 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Pound the Rays.
|
08-26-12 |
Atlanta: T Hudson v. San Francisco: T Lincecum -120 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-120 |
13 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Year on Giants -120 Bottom Line: I love the Giants at home at this price against an Atlanta club that has dropped 6 of 8. The Giants saw their 5-game run come to an end yesterday, but that loss will have them focused tonight. They are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games following defeat. The Braves have been a terrible underdog investment at 3-7 in their last 10 games in the role. They are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a road underdog and 1-6 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Giants, meanwhile, are 38-18 in their last 56 games as a home favorite and 21-7 in their last 28 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Lincecum has looked more like his Cy Young self lately. He has given up just 1 run in 3 of his last 5 starts and 3 runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. Hudson has been touched for 4 runs or more in 2 of his last 3 starts. Also, the Giants are 5-1 in Lincecum's 6 career home starts vs. the Braves. Pound the Giants.
|
08-25-12 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -108 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Saturday Night Blowout on Orioles -108 Bottom Line: The Orioles came through for us Friday, and I'm sticking with them today as they are showing great value at home at this price. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 overall, 0-7 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series, 0-6 in their last 6 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Baltimore. Expect Toronto's Morrow to be rusty as he makes his first start in the bigs in 2.5 months. Bet Baltimore.
|
08-24-12 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -108 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Year on Orioles -108 Bottom Line: The Orioles are showing tremendous value at home at this price against a Toronto club that has lost 8 of 9 and 19 of 24. The Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-4 in Villanueva's last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 0-4 in Villanueva's last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Orioles are 4-0 in Britton's last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and 6-0 in Britton's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Jose Bautista is expected to return tonight, but it's going to take him a few games to get back in rhythm. Pound the O's.
|
08-23-12 |
Cincinnati: J Cueto v. Philadelphia: C Hamels -111 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy *DIAMOND DUEL* on Phillies -111 Bottom Line: The Phillies are 3-0 in Hamels' last 3 starts, winning those by an average of 2.7 runs per game while he has posted an ERA of 1.05. They are also 10-0 in his 10 career starts versus the Reds, winning those by an average of 4.7 runs per game while he has posted an ERA of 1.26. Hamels' dominance of the Reds continues tonight.
|
08-22-12 |
New York (A): P Hughes v. Chicago (A): C Sale -128 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
5* MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on White Sox -128 Bottom Line: The Yankees are 0-4 in Hughes' last 4 road starts and 0-10 in his 10 road starts in the 2nd half of the season versus teams with a winning record. The White Sox are 17-5 in their last 22 home games, 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the American League East, 6-1 in Sale's last 7 home starts and 4-0 in Sale's last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Sale's home ERA is 1.80 while Hughes' road ERA is 5.31. Pound Chicago.
|
08-21-12 |
Pittsburgh: A Burnett -125 v. San Diego: J Marquis |
Top |
5-7 |
Loss |
-125 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Pirates -125 Bottom Line: The Pirates have the advantage with Burnett on the bump. They are 18-4 in his 22 starts this season, including a perfect 8-0 when listed at +100 to -150. They have won these 8 games by an average score of 5.6 to 2.1. Also, the Bucs are 9-0 in Burnett's last 9 starts on 4 days' rest. Pound Pittsburgh.
|
08-20-12 |
San Francisco: Bumgarner v. Los Angeles: C Kershaw -154 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-154 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Monday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Dodgers -154 Bottom Line: I love the Dodgers tonight with the reigning NL Cy Young winner on the bump. The Dodgers are 4-0 Kershaw
|
08-19-12 |
Boston: J Beckett v. New York (A): H Kuroda -156 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Yankees -156 Bottom Line: The Red Sox won yesterday, but they are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. It's been a season to forget for Josh Beckett, who has an ERA of 10.38 in his last 3 starts. The Red Sox are 0-5 in Beckett's last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The Yankees are 6-0 in Kuroda's last 6 starts on 4 days of rest and 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Kuroda has been lights out lately with an ERA of 1.66 over his last 3 starts.
|
08-18-12 |
Arizona: P Corbin -166 v. Houston: J Lyles |
Top |
12-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on D-backs -166 Bottom Line: Houston is a dead fade with Lyles on the hill. Fading the Astros in Lyles' starts has produced a 27-5 mark all-time. This includes a perfect 8-0 run that has won by an average of 4.5 runs. Fading the Astros in general has been good practice as they are 11-42 in their last 53 overall. Arizona is 27-10 in its last 37 versus the 'Stros, and 5-0 in its last 5 in Houston.
|
08-17-12 |
New York (N): J Santana v. Washington: R Detwiler -155 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Nationals -155 Bottom Line: The Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 7-0 in Detwiler's starts against division opponents this season, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, 4-0 in his last 4 series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Mets. The Mets are 0-4 in their last 4 series openers, 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win, 0-6 in their last 6 Friday games, 0-4 in Santana's last 4 starts, 0-4 in his last 4 series-opening starts and 0-3 in his last 3 starts against Washington. Pound the Nats.
|
08-15-12 |
Texas Rangers +112 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Year on Rangers +112 Bottom Line: The Rangers have dropped the first two games of this series, but they are 45-17 in their last 62 games following a loss, 11-2 in their last 13 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series and 16-5 in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Rangers are also 5-2 in Feldman's last 7 starts and 7-3 in Feldman's last 10 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Yankees bring Freddy Garcia to the mound, and I'll gladly go against is 7.33 home ERA here.
|
08-14-12 |
Detroit Tigers -159 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Tigers -159 Bottom Line: The Tigers are 62-23 in their last 85 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 23-8 in their last 31 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200. They are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record, 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter and 5-2 in Fister's last 7 starts. Detroit is also 23-9 in its last 32 vs. the Twins and 11-3 in its last 14 meetings in Minnesota. The Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 home games, 4-10 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record, 3-12 in Duensing's last 15 starts, 1-6 in his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Tigers. Pound Detroit.
|
08-13-12 |
Texas: R Dempster v. New York (A): D Phelps -110 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Yankees -110 Bottom Line: The Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus the Yankees, and I expect their struggles in New York to continue given Dempster's poor track record against the pinstripes. He's 0-4 on the money line in 4 career starts against the Yankees with an ERA of 6.45.
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08-12-12 |
Atlanta: B Sheets v. New York (N): J Niese +104 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
104 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Mets +104 Bottom Line: The Braves are a sub-.500 club (19-23) against lefty starters this season as they have failed to hit even .250 against them. New York southpaw Jon Niese has been rock solid this season (3.82 ERA), and he has especially shined versus Atlanta. He's 3-0 in his last 3 starts against the Braves and only allowed 2 hits in 6 innings of work the lone time he's faced them this year. Look for the Mets to take care of business tonight as Niese continues to give the Braves problems.
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08-11-12 |
Atlanta Braves -103 v. New York Mets |
Top |
9-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Braves -103 Bottom Line: Dating back to May 2010, the Braves have won 13 straight when Kris Medlen gets the start. He has given up just 1 run in each of this season's 2 starts and has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 18 starts. Medlen loves starting, and he has the opportunity to pitch himself into the starting rotation for good if he can deliver another gem. I think he will.
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08-10-12 |
St.Louis Cardinals v. Philadelphia Phillies -121 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Phillies -121 Bottom Line: The Phillies are showing tremendous value at this price with Halladay on the hill. Consider that he is 23-5 on the money line all-time in home starts when the line is +100 to -125. It also can't be ignored that the Cardinals are 1-6 in Lohse's last 7 starts vs. the Phillies. In addition, the Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Phillies, other other hand, are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Pound Philly.
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08-09-12 |
Boston: F Doubront -126 v. Cleveland: U Jimenez |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-126 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Red Sox -126 Bottom Line: The Indians are 1-11 in their last 12 overall, 1-8 in their last 9 versus a lefty starter and 1-4 in Jimenez's last 5 starts. The Red Sox are 8-2 in Doubront's last 10 road starts and 5-2 in the last 7 versus the Tribe. The Indians have been awful against southpaws all season. Expect them to take a tumble against one again tonight.
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08-08-12 |
San Francisco Giants +109 v. St.Louis Cardinals |
Top |
15-0 |
Win
|
109 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Giants +109 Bottom Line: The Giants are showing value in the underdog role with the better starter on the hill. They are 13-3 in Vogelsong's last 16 starts while the Cardinals are 2-5 in Kelly's last 7 starts. Vogelsong has been incredibly sharp, holding foes to 3 earned runs or less in 16 of his last 17 starts. He's been especially effective at night. The Giants are 9-1 in his night starts this season, winning those by an average score of 6.0 to 2.8. Pound the Giants.
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08-07-12 |
LA Anaheim: C Wilson -136 v. Oakland: B Colon |
Top |
4-10 |
Loss |
-136 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *LATE NIGHT PUNISHER* on Angels -136 Bottom Line: Wilson is an impressive 21-5 as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. The Angels are 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. He is also 3-0 on the money line in his last 3 starts in Oakland. Plus, the Halos have won their last 3 in Oakland. Gotta take the more talented team with the better starter on the hill at a nice price tonight.
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08-06-12 |
New York Yankees v. Detroit Tigers -165 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Tigers -165 Bottom Line: I love the Tigers at home, where they are 8-0 in their last 8, with ace Justin Verlander on the bump. Detroit is 10-0 in Verlander's home starts in the second half of the season versus teams with a winning record the last 3 seasons. It is also 12-0 in his home starts against teams with a winning percentage between 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. The Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning record. Pound the Tigers.
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08-03-12 |
New York (N): R Dickey -130 v. San Diego: C Richard |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-130 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *Bailout Blowout* on Mets -130 Bottom Line: The Mets are showing some nice value at this price with Dickey on the mound. The knuckle-baller has arguably been the best pitcher in baseball this season and he still isn't getting the respect he deserves from odds makers. He looks especially deadly in this spot considering the Mets are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter, and they should be able to handle San Diegi's Richard. The Padres are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-9 in his starts against NL East clubs over the last 2 seasons. Take New York.
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08-02-12 |
New York (N): C Young v. San Francisco: B Zito -127 |
Top |
9-1 |
Loss |
-127 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Year on Giants -127 Bottom Line: I love the Giants this afternoon at this price against a Mets team that has dropped 15 of its last 20. The Mets won last night, but they are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in Young's last 5 starts. The Mets have lost Young's last 5 starts by an average of 3.8 runs. The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series. They are also 6-2 in Zito's last 8 starts as a favorite. Zito has an ERA of 3.41 at home while Young has an ERA of 5.70 on the road. In other words, the Giants are showing great value at this price.
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08-01-12 |
New York Mets v. San Francisco Giants -171 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-171 |
13 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Giants -171 Bottom Line: The Giants are worth the price tonight with ace Matt Cain on the mound. Giants are 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts vs. the Mets. He has only given up a total of 5 runs in 26 1-3 innings during this span. The Mets are 0-4 in Niese's last 4 starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the NL West and 0-2 in his 2 career starts vs. San Francisco. He has been rocked for 7 runs or more twice in his last 4 starts. Bet the Giants.
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07-31-12 |
Miami Marlins v. Atlanta Braves -165 |
Top |
1-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 28 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL East Game of the Year on Braves -165 Bottom Line: The Braves, who are 6-0 in their last 6 overall, are well worth the price tonight with Medlen on the mound. They are 11-0 in Medlen
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07-30-12 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers -140 |
Top |
15-8 |
Loss |
-140 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rangers -140 Bottom Line: I love the Rangers tonight with the rested Oswalt toeing the rubber. He is an incredible 29-6 on the money line lifetime when starting against marginal winning teams (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season. His teams have won these games by an average of 2.0 runs. Plus, L.A.'s Santana is 1-8 on the money line when pitching against a team with a winning record this season. The Halos have lost these starts by an average of 3.4 runs. Pound Texas.
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07-29-12 |
Boston: F Doubront v. New York (A): H Kuroda -166 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-166 |
11 h 19 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Yankees -166 Bottom Line: The Yankees have taken 6 of 8 versus Boston this season, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong at home tonight following Saturday's setback. Doubront has been solid for Boston this season, but he hasn't been as good as Kuroda, who has a 2.68 ERA at home. The Yankees are a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts and have won these by nearly 4.0 runs a game on average. The Red Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win. Bet the Yankees.
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07-28-12 |
Cleveland Indians -123 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
5-12 |
Loss |
-123 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Week on Indians -123 Bottom Line: The Indians took it on the chin Friday, but that gives them all the more incentive here against a club they are 11-4 against in the last 15 meetings. They are 5-1 on the last 6 meetings in Minnesota. Plus, the Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 games following a loss, 37-18 in their last 55 games as a road favorite and 19-5 as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Tribe is 3-0 in Masterson's last 3 starts, 3-1 in his last 4 starts versus the Twins and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win, 6-20 in their last 26 Saturday games and 17-40 in their last 57 games as a home underdog. Bet Cleveland.
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07-27-12 |
Pittsburgh: J Karstens -149 v. Houston: J Lyles |
Top |
6-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Pirates -149 Bottom Line: The Astros are 0-10 in their last 10 games overall, 0-11 in the second half of this season versus NL teams allowing 4.3 runs or fewer per game and 0-7 in their last seven versus Pittsburgh. The Astros are also 0-4 in Lyles' last 4 starts and 0-2 in his 2 career starts versus the Pirates. The Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Karstens' last 4 starts vs. the Astros. Pound the Pirates.
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07-25-12 |
Cincinnati: H Bailey -142 v. Houston: B Norris |
Top |
5-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 58 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Reds -142 Bottom Line: The Astros are 0-8 in their last 8 overall and 0-3 in their last 3 at home. They are even 0-5 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Houston is also 0-8 in scheduled starter Bud Norris' last 8 starts. The Reds 6-0 in their last 6 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 4-0 in Homer Bailey's last 4 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 road starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Astros. Bet Cincy behind this strong 49-0 angle.
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07-24-12 |
Chicago (N): P Maholm v. Pittsburgh: J Mcdonald -163 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-163 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pirates -163 Bottom Line: After dropping the first game of the series to Chicago, I fully expect the Pirates to come storming back tonight. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series, 5-0 in McDonald's last 5 home starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The Cubs are a lousy 14-41 in their last 55 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-4 in Maholm's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. Pound Pittsburgh.
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07-23-12 |
Boston Red Sox +125 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
1-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 27 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Red Sox +125 Bottom Line: The Red Sox are showing terrific value in the underdog role given the advantage they have on the mound. The Red Sox are 5-1 in Doubront's last 6 starts and 7-1 in his road starts this season. The southpaw should see continued success versus a Texas lineup that is 0-5 in its last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 2-7 in Feldman's last 9 starts overall and 3-7 in his last 10 home starts. Bet Bean Town.
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07-22-12 |
Texas: M Harrison -104 v. LA Anaheim: D Haren |
Top |
4-7 |
Loss |
-104 |
11 h 21 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Rangers -104 Bottom Line: The Rangers are showing excellent value with Harrison on the hill. They are 10-1 all-time in his road starts against division foes, defeating them by an average score of 4.9 to 2.4. They are also 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a road favorite. The Angels, meanwhile, are only 2-8 in Haren's last 10 home starts and 0-3 in his last 3 starts versus Texas. Haren has given up 5 runs or more in each of his last 4 starts while Harrison has allowed 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 7 starts. Pound the Rangers.
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07-21-12 |
Miami: C Zambrano v. Pittsburgh: A Burnett -132 |
Top |
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Pirates -132 Bottom Line: I love the Pirates at home with Burnett on the bump. They are 9-0 in his home starts this season, 7-0 in his last 7 starts on 5 days' rest and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The Marlins are 0-4 in Zambrano's last 4 road starts and 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 in the 2nd game of a series. I fully expect another gem from Burnett at home, and I look for the Pirates to get to Zambrano early. He's been walking a lot of batters lately, which will get him in trouble here. Pound the Pirates.
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