Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy MLB Rivalry GOTY on Red Sox -124
I have to side with the Red Sox at home tonight behind Jon Lester. Lester is an unbelievable 21-4 against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons with the Red Sox winning these games by 2.5 runs per game on average, but here's the icing on the cake - Lester is 10-0 against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons with the Sox winning these games by 4.6 runs on average. Pound the red hot Sox tonight!

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Month on Angels -110
The Angels have the huge advantage with Saunders on the hill facing off against the struggling Verlander tonight. The Tigers are definite fade material here as they struggle on the road and against southpaws. The Tigers are 4-13 in their last 17 road games and 5-13 in their last 18 games vs. a left-handed starter. The club is also 1-7 in Verlander's last 8 starts as an underdog. The Angels are 6-0 in Saunders' last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 40-16 in Saunders' last 56 starts, and 20-6 in Saunders' last 26 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 16-44 in the last 60 meetings in this matchup. Bet the Angels tonight!

5* Wiseguy Friday Night MLB Game of the Month on Blue Jays -130
I love the red hot Blue Jays at home tonight against an A's team making the cross-country trip. This makes for a strong body clock play and the numbers suggest this one to be a no-brainer as plays on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TORONTO) with a team on base percentage of .350 or better on the season (AL), after scoring 9 runs or more 2 straight games are 75-24 since 1997. Another major key in this lineup is that Toronto crushes lefty starters while the A's struggle against them. On the season, the A's are averaging just 3.0 runs per game against southpaw starters while the Jays are averaging 7.2. Also, the Athletics are 8-18 in their last 26 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter period. The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take the Jays!

5* Wiseguy MLB Road Warrior of the Month on Blue Jays -131
I'll back the Blue Jays will Halladay on the mound at this price just about any day of the week. The Blue Jays are 81-38 in Halladay's last 119 starts and 101-42 in Halladay's last 143 starts as a favorite. The guy is the flat-out most consistently good pitcher in baseball. The Jays have dominated the AL Central as well, going 24-8 in their last 32 vs. the American League Central and 40-18 in Halladay's last 58 starts vs. the American League Central. They have specifically had Minnesota's number as they are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings and 5-0 in Halladay's last 5 starts vs. Twins. Pound the Jays tonight!

5* Wiseguy NL GOTM on Brewers -133
After 4 straight losses, I'll back the Brewers tonight in this extreme bounce back spot. I expect the bats to be blazing after tallying just 1 run yesterday and Looper gives them to advantage of the mound. Plays on any team (MILWAUKEE) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games are 35-15 the last 5 seasons. Milwaukee is also 20-6 against the money line vs. a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 over the last 2 seasons. The Brewers bust on in a big way tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Mets -119
I'll back the Mets Sunday at an outstanding price with ace Johan Santana on the hill, who is 5-0 lifetime with an ERA of 1.84 against the Marlins. Chew on this; Santana is 143-67 against the money line in his last 210 games (68.1%). The Mets are 14-3 in Santana's last 17 starts and 6-0 in Santana's last 6 road starts. Take the Mets.

5* Wiseguy A.L. Game of the Month on Indians -145
After getting swept on the road to start the season, expect the Tribe to bounce back strong at home against a team they have owned. The Indians have taken 10 of the last 13 meetings in this series the last 3 seasons, including 6 of 7 at home. Overall, the Blue Jays are 2-15 in their last 17 meetings in Cleveland. The Indians are 25-10 in their last 35 during game 1 of a series and I can't see them being denied in this highly motivated spot. Cash in with the Indians!

5* Wiseguy MLB Line Mistake of the Year on White Sox -103
There's no way the Sox should be an underdog at home tonight against the Royals and we will jump all over them at this price. The Royals are 13-40 in their L53 and 5-14 in their last 19 meetings in Chicago against the Sox. The White Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 games as a home underdog and 15-4 in Floyd's last 19 home starts. The Royals are 0-6 in Greinke's last 6 road starts vs. the White Sox and 8-27 in Greinke's last 35 starts during game 2 of a series. Bet the Sox tonight!

5* Wiseguy World Series GOTY on Tampa Bay Rays -101
I like the Rays right out of the shoot with Kazmir on the hill at home where the Rays have won 14 of his 16 home starts this season. The lengthy layoff will not play to the benefit of the Phillies here, just as we saw with the Rockies a season ago. Philadelphia is yet to show much power at the plate and until it does, we can't assume it's coming, especially with as badly as the Phillies have struggled against the AL. The Phillies have dropped their last 4 games in Tampa Bay, are 8-23 in their last 31 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League East, and 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League East, 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record, and 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rays are 20-6 in Kazmir's last 26 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The big key here, other than home field and momentum, is Tampa Bay's ability to hit lefties against the struggles of the Phillies against southpaws with their lefty dominant lineup. Take the Rays.

5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs GOTY on Red Sox -140
After getting crushed 9-1 at home, I love the Sox to bounce back tonight. The Red Sox have had good success at home against the Rays with Wakefield on the hill. The Red Sox are 4-0 in Wakefield's last 4 home starts vs. the Rays. The Red Sox are 12-4 in their last 16 playoff home games and 17-5 in their last 22 games following a loss. They are also 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. I think you'll see an offensive explosion from the Sox tonight. Take Boston.

5* Wiseguy NLCS GOTY on LA Dodgers -148
The Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 meetings with the Dodgers in Los Angeles and I like LA to pull out a victory at home in this must-win game. The Dodgers are 25-9 in their last 34 home games, 16-5 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 5-1 in Kuroda's last 6 starts. Take the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy NLDS GOTY on Cubs -147 (listing Dempster and Lowe)
The Cubs at home with Dempster on the mound has been a recipe for success all season long and we will stick with it here. The Cubs are 17-4 in Dempster's last 21 home starts and 6-1 in Dempster's last 7 starts vs. the National League West. The Cubs are 54-23 in their last 77 home games and 22-9 in their last 31 vs. the weak National League West. The road has not been kind to the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 23-52 in their last 75 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 6-14 in their last 20 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Pound the Cubs.

5* Wiseguy Do-or-die GOTY on Chicago White Sox -145 (listing Danks and Blackburn)
The White Sox are 53-28 at home this season while the Twins are 11 games below .500 on the road. The Twins are also 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago against the Sox. The Twins are 0-5 in Blackburn's last 5 road starts and 0-7 in Blackburn's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The White Sox are 41-18 in their last 59 home games and 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. This will be a payback game for Chicago after getting swept in Minnesota to give up the division lead. Take the Sox at home.

5* Wiseguy Divisional Dagger of the Month on Mets -152 (listing Pelfrey)
The Marlins appears to be packing it in, having won just 1 of their last 5 games. The Mets are 17-7 in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and you have to like Pelfrey on the hill at home. The Mets are 9-2 in Pelfrey's last 11 home starts and 6-1 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. The Mets are in a heated Wild card race and know they need every win from here on out. Bet the Mets tonight.

5* Wiseguy BEST BET on Padres +113 (listing Peavy and Maddux)
The Padres are 13-3 in Peavy's last 16 starts vs. the Dodgers and 4-0 in Peavy's last 4 road starts vs. the Dodgers. Peavy is 12-1 when starting against LA lifetime with an ERA of 2.21 and a WHIP of 0.990. The Padres are 15-6 against the ML in those starts. Peavy is also fresh off 12 days of rest and the Padres are also 6-0 in Peavy's last 6 starts with 12 or more days of rest. Take the Pads tonight at a great price.

5* Wiseguy MLB Massacre of the Month on Cardinals -112 (listing Wainwright)
The Cardinals are 13-3 in Wainwright's last 16 home starts and 8-0 in Wainwright's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Scherzer's last 6 starts, 3-12 in their last 15 road games, and 9-26 in their last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Cards are the better team at home with the better pitcher on the hill. Take the Red Birds.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Month on Red Sox +100 (listing Wakefield and Lee)
I like Boston to end Cleveland's hot streak tonight. The Indians are just 1-5 in the last 6 meetings and 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Red Sox are an impressive 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss and 15-6 in their last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter. A team like the Red Sox will look at facing a pitcher like Lee as a challenge for the postseason. I like Boston to win that challenge at home.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on A's -135 (listing Gallagher)
The Athletics go for the series sweep in their home finale, and will try to hand the major league

5* Wiseguy MLB Friday Night FADE on Indians -105 (listing Carmona)
The Tigers are ice cold having won just 1 of their last 7. We'll fade the Tigers who have already packed it in here. The Indians are an impressive 14-3 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series, 14-5 in their last 19 vs. the American League Central, 17-6 in Carmona's last 23 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 11-4 in Carmona's last 15 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Indians are 7-1 in Carmona's last 8 starts vs. the Tigers and 4-0 in Carmona's last 4 home starts vs. the Tigers. The Tigers are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings. Take the Tribe.

5* Wiseguy N.L. West BLOOD BATH on D-backs -101
The Snakes have taken 3 straight at home from the Giants and I like them to pull off the sweep tonight. The Giants are just 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Arizona, 6-18 in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. The Diamondbacks are 72-34 in Johnson's last 106 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 16-5 in Johnson's last 21 Thursday starts, and 7-1 in their last 8 Thursday games. Take the Snakes.

5* Wiseguy MLB BLOWOUT of the Week on Blue Jays -164 (listing Purcey)
Plays on all favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TORONTO) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are an incredible 164-52 since 1997 (75.9%). Baltimore is just 51-102 against the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons. Toronto has won 8 of the 12 meetings this season and we'll bet them here tonight.

5* Wiseguy Home Stretch G.O.T.Y. on Phillies -122 (listing Moyer)
The Braves are 5-17 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and just 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 overall, 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day, 4-0 in Moyer's last 4 starts, 4-0 in Moyer's last 4 road starts, and 5-0 in Moyer's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The Phillies are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Atlanta and you can chalk up another win for them tonight.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night BLOWOUT on Royals -137 (listing Silva and Davies)
The Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 overall, 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter, 4-13 in Silva's last 17 starts, and 20-41 in their last 61 road games. The Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 4-1 in their last 5 overall, and 9-4 in their last 13 vs. American League West. We'll take the Royals at home who are on an upswing.

5* Wiseguy A.L. GAME OF THE MONTH on Tigers -135 (listing Robertson)
The Tigers have won 3 straight and crushed Oakland 14-8 yesterday. We'll take them here to make it 4 straight tonight. Oakland is just 1-11 against the money line revenging a road blowout loss vs. an opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The A's have dropped 5 of their last 7 and have struggled on the road all season. Take the Tigers here.

5* Wiseguy N.L East GAME OF THE MONTH on Mets -126 (listing Pelfrey and Meyers)
We'll fade Myers and back Pelfrey here for obvious reasons. The Phillies are 4-13 in Myers' last 17 road starts, 5-16 in Myers' last 21 starts vs. National League East, and 4-10 in Myers' last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Mets are 13-3 in Pelfrey's last 16 starts, 8-1 in Pelfrey's last 9 home starts, 7-0 in Pelfrey's last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game, and 6-0 in Pelfrey's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. The Phillies have lost 6 of the last 8 meetings. Take the Mets.

5* Wiseguy Road Chalk BLOWOUT of the Month on Angels -130 (listing Saunders)
The Angels are a jaw-dropping 41-15 in the last 56 meetings in this matchup. The Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and they'll have to put up with the dominant Saunders tonight. The Angels are 16-4 in Saunders' last 20 starts during game 1 of a series, 17-5 in Saunders' last 22 starts with 5 days of rest, and 39-18 in Saunders' last 57 starts overall. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 Tuesday games and 5-1 in their last 6 games following an off day. Take the Halos.

5* Wiseguy MLB G.O.T.Y. on Cubs -126 (listing Marquis and Oswalt)
After back-to-back home defeats to the Phillies, I like the Cubs to take care of business against division rival Houston today. The Astros are just 1-5 in Oswalt's last 6 starts vs. the Cubs while the Cubs are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 home starts vs. the Astros. The Cubs are 40-13 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 50-18 in their last 68 home games, and 21-8 in Marquis' last 29 home starts. The Cubs are also 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss. The Astros are only 4-10 in Oswalt's last 14 road starts. Bet the Cubbies today.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Month on Yankees +108 (listing Pavano and Burnett)
The Blue Jays are 6-13 in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in Burnett's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 16-7 in their last 23 home games, 13-4 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 9-2 in their last 11 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 4-0 in Pavano's last 4 starts. We'll take the Yanks in a rare home dog role tonight.

5* Wiseguy NL East Game of the Month on Phillies -120 (listing Moyer and Martinez)
The Phillies are rolling and I like them to pick up a win tonight to take over the top spot in the division. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games, 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 8-3 in their last 11 vs. the National League East. The Phillies are also 22-8 in Moyer's last 30 starts vs. the National League East. The Mets are 3-8 in Martinez's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 1-5 in Martinez's last 6 starts during game 1 of a series, and 1-4 in Martinez's last 5 starts vs. Phillies. Take the Phillies.

5* MLB BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Cubs -187 (listing Lilly)
The Cubs have had Pittsburgh's number, winning 14 of the last 18 games against the Bucs. The Cubs are 10-1 in their last 11 road games and 20-6 in their last 26 overall. The Cubs are 5-0 in Lilly's last 5 Monday starts, 8-1 in Lilly's last 9 starts during game 1 of a series,and 20-6 in Lilly's last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Pirates have lost 4 straight and are just 36-76 in their last 112 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the Cubbies!

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball GOTY on Phillies -125 (listing Blanton and Kuroda)
The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 road games, 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and 2-6 in Kuroda's last 8 road starts. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 home games, 5-1 in their last 6 overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games. The Phillies have dominated back-to-back games against LA and I like them to continue to cruise at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night BLOOD BATH on Phillies -123 (listing Kendrick)
The Phillies are 14-3 in Kendrick's last 17 starts during game 1 of a series, 8-2 in Kendrick's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 8-1 in Kendrick's last 9 starts with 5 days of rest. The Dodgers are just 2-6 in their last 8 road games and 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. After losing to lowly Washington, I like Philly to come storming back tonight behind one of their best hurlers.

5* Wiseguy Public Opinion GOTY on Mets -139 (listing Pelfrey)
The Mets are on fire and they couldn't be in better hands with Pelfrey on the hill tonight. The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 overall and 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record. They have won 4 straight against the NL East and are 16-5 in their last 21 home games. The Mets are 11-2 in Pelfrey's last 13 starts and 6-0 in Pelfrey's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Braves are just 1-8 in their last 9 overall, 4-12 in their last 16 vs. the National League East, and 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Pound the Mets.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night MASSACRE on Twins -137 (listing Blackburn)
Oakland is 1-11 against the money line in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season, 2-14 against the money line in road games after a loss by 10 runs or more since 1997, and 4-16 against the money line in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season. Minnesota is 8-0 against the money line after batting .333 or better over a 3 game span this season, 31-13 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season, and 13-0 against the money line with an on base percentage of .393 or better over their last 3 games this season. Pound the Twins.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Month on Astros +102 (listing Oswalt and Johnson)
After scoring 12 and 11 runs respectively in the first two games of this series, I'm expecting a letdown from the D-backs. And they'll have no choice really as Oswalt will be dialed in at home. The Diamondbacks are 8-22 in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 1-7 in Johnson's last 8 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter, 8-2 in their last 10 overall, 4-0 in Oswalt's last 4 starts, and 51-18 in Oswalt's last 69 home starts. Take the Astros.

5* Wiseguy NL Massacre of the Year on Cubs -128 (listing Zambrano)
Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (FLORIDA) - with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 74-23 since 1997. Florida is 0-9 against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .350 or better over the last 3 seasons. Zambrano is 12-1 against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Cubs big.

5* Wiseguy Home Field Advantage GOTM on Pirates -117 (listing Snell and Cueto)
The Reds are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter, 2-9 in Cueto's last 11 road starts, 0-4 in Cueto's last 4 starts vs. the National League Central, and 1-5 in Cueto's last 6 starts overall. The Pirates are 23-7 in their last 30 games as a home favorite, 14-2 in Snell's last 16 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150, and 17-4 in Snell's last 21 starts as a home favorite period. Pound the Bucs.

5* Wiseguy MLB Annihilator on Pirates -156 (listing Maholm and Fogg)
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games are 40-6 (87%) since 1997. Pitt is also 7-0 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start this season. Pound the Bucs.

5* Wiseguy BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on White Sox -173 (listing Vazquez)
The Sox will pay the Royals back here after dropping 2 of 3 to them in a series from Aug. 1-3 and they have every motivation to as they are just a half-game out of first in the Central. The Royals are just 14-38 in the last 52 meetings in Chicago. The White Sox are 4-0 in Vazquez's last 4 starts vs. Royals, 4-0 in Vazquez's last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 11-2 in Vazquez's last 13 starts during game 1 of a series, and 13-3 in Vazquez's last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are a dominant 93-41 in their last 134 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Take the Sox.

5* Wiseguy N.L. G.O.T.Y. on Astros -135 (listing Backe)
We'll get behind the red hot Astros at home tonight. The Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 overall, 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series, 14-3 in Backe's last 17 starts as a home favorite, and 27-9 in Backe's last 36 home starts. The Giants are 0-6 in Sanchez's last 6 starts and 0-5 in Sanchez's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pound the Astros.

5* Wiseguy Line Mistake of the Month on White Sox -128 (listing Vazquez)
Chicago has Detroit's number in this series and it'll implant the dagger in the heart of the Tigers tonight. The Tigers have lost 6 straight and are just 6-22 in their last 28 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Tigers are also a poor 25-62 in their last 87 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. The White Sox are 11-3 in Vazquez's last 14 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 13-3 in Vazquez's last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 8-1 in Vazquez's last 9 starts with 5 days of rest. A well rested Vazquez will shutdown the Tigers tonight. The Sox should be in the -150 range with all things considering, but we'll gladly take advantage of this price.

5* Wiseguy MLB BLOOD BATH of the Year on Blue Jays -132 (listing Marcum)
The A's have already cashed this season in while the Jays have been rejuvenated. The Athletics are just 6-20 in their last 26 overall, 2-14 in their last 16 vs. the American League East, 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-6 in their last 6 Wednesday games. The Blue Jays are 11-2 in their last 13 games as a favorite, 12-4 in their last 16 home games, and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Pound the Jays!

5* Wiseguy A.L. GAME OF THE MONTH on Rays -125 (listing Lee and Garza)
We are getting one of the best home teams in the league against one of the worst road teams tonight at a pretty good price. The Indians are just 11-30 in their last 41 road games, 6-22 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays have won 5 straight and are 40-11 in their last 51 home games. Pound the Rays.

5* Wiseguy Fade of the Month on Cardinals -101 (listing Wellemeyer and Myers)

The Phillies are just 3-13 in Myers' last 16 road starts, 1-10 in Myers' last 11 starts as a road favorite, and 0-7 in Myers' last 7 Sunday starts. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Take the Cards.

5* Wiseguy Home Gem of the Year on Marlins -158 (listing Nolasco)
Colorado is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season, 10-28 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons, and 57-129 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997. Nolasco is 14-7 against the money line in all games this season. We'll Pound the Fish against the inexperienced De Los Santos.

5* Wiseguy Divisional BLOWOUT of the Week on White Sox -124 (listing Vazquez and Hochevar)
The Sox will light up Hochevar tonight. After 4 straight wins, KC is due for a major letdown against the best team in the Central. THe Royals are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. American League Central, 5-16 in their last 21 Friday games, 2-8 in Hochevar's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 1-9 in Hochevar's last 10 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The White Sox are 18-6 in Vazquez's last 24 starts vs. American League Central, 7-0 in Vazquez's last 7 Friday starts, and 6-0 in Vazquez's last 6 starts as a road favorite. The White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Bet the Sox.

5* Wiseguy REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH on Marlins -120 (listing Sanchez and De La Rosa)
Colorado is 57-128 against the money line in road games vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game since 1997, 30-71 against the money line in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season since 1997, and 9-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season. De La Rosa is 1-2 when starting against Florida with an ERA of 8.59 and a WHIP of 2.113. The Rockies have never seen Sanchez so I like him to have the edge here. Pound the Marlins.

5* Wiseguy AL Massacre of the Month on Indians -146 (listing Lee and Robertson)
The Tigers won't get anything off the 14-2 Lee and that opens them up to getting Massacred here. The Tigers are 0-8 in Robertson's last 8 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-5 in Robertson's last 5 Wednesday starts, 12-30 in Robertson's last 42 starts as an underdog, and 7-25 in Robertson's last 32 starts as a road underdog. The Tigers are also 1-10 in Robertson's last 11 starts vs. the Indians. Bet the Tribe.

5* Wiseguy N.L. BLOOD BATH on Dodgers -141 (listing Bergmann)
The Dodgers will give Bergmann and the Nats an absolute Blood Bath today. The Nationals are just 9-23 in Bergmann's last 32 starts, 0-5 in Bergmann's last 5 road starts, 0-8 in Bergmann's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 0-6 in Bergmann's last 6 starts vs. the National League West. We'll pound the Dodgers here as we like them to pound Bergmann.

5* Wiseguy AL East GOTY on Red Sox -113 (listing Wakefield and Pettitte)
The Red Sox are 41-10 in their last 51 games as a home favorite, 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter, and 56-23 in their last 79 games as a favorite overall. The Red Sox are 7-0 in Wakefield's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in Wakefield's last 6 Saturday starts. Bet the Sox to bounce back in game 2.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night BLOWOUT on Phillies -113 (listing Kendrick)
The Phillies are 11-1 in their last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-0 in Kendrick's last 5 Friday starts, 6-0 in Kendrick's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest, and 15-2 in Kendrick's last 17 starts during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are also 4-0 in Kendrick's last 4 starts vs. the Braves. The Braves are just 5-16 in the last 21 meetings. The Phillies will win big tonight at home.

5* Wiseguy Travel Day GOTM on Cubs -187 (listing Zambrano)
The Cubs are 4-0 in Zambrano's last 4 starts vs. Marlins, 9-0 in Zambrano's last 9 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, and 5-0 in Zambrano's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The Cubs are also an impressive 41-13 in their last 54 home games. The Marlins are just 13-38 in their last 51 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Bet the Cubbies at home.

5* Wiseguy Big Chalk BLOWOUT of the Month on Rays -154 (listing Sonnanstine)
The Athletics are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay. The Rays are 25-2 in their last 27 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 22-4 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rays are 4-0 in Sonnanstine's last 4 home starts, 5-0 in Sonnanstine's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 13-3 in Sonnanstine's last 16 starts overall. Take Tampa Bay!

5* Wiseguy Monday Night BLOWOUT on NY Yankees -125 (listing Ponson)
The Yankees are 7-0 in their last 7 home games, 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record, and 4-0 in Ponson's last 4 starts. The Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East, 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning record, and 8-22 in the last 30 meetings in New York. Bet the red hot Yanks at home.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Year on Marlins +136 (listing Johnson)
The Phillies are a pathetic 3-11 in their last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and we'll take advantage here. The Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 Sunday games and 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Marlins are showing great value at home and we won't hesitate to back them here, especially considering that the Phillies are just 1-4 in Hamels' last 5 starts vs. the Marlins. Take the Fish.

5* Wiseguy A.L. Blood Bath of the Year on Twins -110 (listing Hernandez)
I've tagged this one my Blood Bath of the Year in the A.L. for a reason. The Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 17-5 in their last 22 games as a favorite, 16-5 in their last 21 home games, and 9-2 in Hernandez

5* Wiseguy NL Non-Divisional Game of the Month on New York Mets -140 (Listing Santana and Cueto)

Get ready for the Mets to cap off a 10th straight win with a victory over the Cincinnati Reds Thursday. The Mets are 46-21 in their last 67 games following an off day. With Johan Santana getting plenty of rest, the Mets will have their No. 1 starter at full strength tonight. The Mets are 6-2 in Santana

5* Wiseguy AL Pitcher's Duel of the Year on Indians -110 (listing Lee and Shields)
Lee has arguably been the best pitcher in baseball over the first half of the season and he has certainly been money for backers and the Indians. With the success Shields and the Rays have had this season, many fail to realize that the Rays are just 3-18 in Shields' last 21 starts as a road underdog and 9-25 in Shields' last 34 starts as an underdog period. The Rays are also 36-96 in their last 132 games as a road underdog. The Rays are 0-9 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland (looks like it's about to be 0-10 after Thursday's game). Lee is 11-2 with a 2.43 ERA and he'll bring the Tribe another big win here.

5* Wiseguy Division ROUT of the Month on White Sox -104 (listing Buehrle)
Buehrle is 19-3 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons while KC is 2-15 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season. The Sox are also 17-6 against the money line after a win by 2 runs or less this season and 26-11 against the money line against division opponents this season. Bet the white hot White Sox behind their ace.

5* Wiseguy Wednesday Night Baseball GOTY on Phillies -137 (listing Happ and Mulder)
We'll fade Mulder and the Cards here as he makes his first start in nearly 10 months. Mulder failed in his return last season, going 0-3 with an ERA over 12.00 and not lasting more than four innings in any of his appearances. He has pitched twice out of the pen this season, but starting is a hole new ball of wax. Expect to see the rust he showed in last year's comeback. The Cards are 0-7 in Mulder's last 7 starts as an underdog and 0-6 in his last 6 starts period. Philly is 32-16 against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and 12-3 against the money line with triple revenge - 3 straight losses against opponent over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Phillies.

5* Wiseguy Home Field Advantage GOTY on Cubs -155 (listing Dempster and Harang)
After spending considerable time out on the road, the Cubs will be happy to return home with their best pitcher in 2008 on the hill. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 41-12 in their last 53 games as a home favorite, and 13-4 in their last 17 during game 1 of a series. The Cubs are 11-0 in Dempster's last 11 home starts and 5-0 in Dempster's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 Tuesday games, 1-6 in Harang's last 7 road starts, and 0-4 in Harang's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Cubs at home.

5* Wiseguy Travel Day GAME OF THE YEAR on Brewers -135 (listing McClung and Jimenez)

I love the Brewers at home here against one of the worst road teams and worst road pitchers in baseball. The Rockies are 6-26 in their last 32 road games, 34-82 in their last 116 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 0-5 in their last 5 Monday games. The Rockies are 4-12 in Jimenez's last 16 starts, 1-10 in Jimenez's last 11 road starts, and 1-7 in Jimenez's last 8 starts vs. the National League Central. The Rockies are also just 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home favorite, 21-6 in their last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and 39-18 in their last 57 home games. Bet the Brew Crew.

5* Wiseguy AL Fave of the Year on Angels -128 (listing Garland and Litsch)
After dropping game 2, I love the Angels to come storming back in game 3 to win this series behind Garland. Blue Jays are just 4-13 in their last 17 road games, 1-9 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-5 in Litsch's last 6 starts. The Angels are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game and 4-1 in Garland's last 5 starts vs. the American League East. The Blue Jays are also just 1-4 in their last 5 meetings with the Halos. Bet the Angels at home.

5* Wiseguy MLB BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH on Rays -137 (listing Sonnanstine)
The Rays crushed the Royals 11-3 yesterday and we were all over it. We'll be all over it again today. The Royals are just 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay. The Rays are 24-5 in their last 29 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 20-6 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 44-18 in their last 62 games as a favorite. The Rays are also 12-2 in Sonnanstine's last 14 starts. Bet the Rays.

5* Wiseguy Independence Day BEST BET on Rays -152 (listing Jackson)
We'll lay some juice to get the best team in baseball at home against one of the worst in the AL. The Rays are 23-3 in their last 26 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 23-5 in their last 28 home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 43-18 in their last 61 games as a favorite. The Royals are just 4-13 in their last 17 Friday games and 35-81 in their last 116 vs. the American League East. I also have the Royals in an emotional letdown spot here after yesterday's comeback loss against the O's. Take Tampa Bay.