Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Month on Rays -135
Bottom Line: St. Louis managed to sweep the Orioles, but it won't have as much luck in Tampa Bay against one of the best team in the AL. Consider that St. Louis is only 1-9 in games against teams with winning percentages between 54% and 62% this season. It is losing to these clubs by an average score of 6.7 to 3.5. Plus, Tampa has the edge on the mound with Wade Davis, who's 3-0 with an ERA of 2.84 over his last 3 starts. The Cardinals' Jake Westbrook is 0-1 (1-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.61 over his last 3. Take the Rays.

5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Rangers -118
Bottom Line: Sticking with the Rangers today as they have now won 14 of the last 17 with the Astros, including 8 straight in Houston. Harrison has been great on the road all season (2.23 ERA) and enters this contest with an ERA of 1.40 over his last 3 starts. The Rangers seem to have Rodriguez figured out. He's lost his last two starts against them while giving up a total of 12 earned runs in just 7 innings of work. We'll grab the Rangers at a nice price.

5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Rangers -136
Bottom Line: Plays on any AL team averaging 4.7 to 5.2 runs/game against an NL starter whose ERA is 4.20 to 5.20, with a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start, are 42-13 since 1997. This system is 14-3 the last 5 seasons and 7-2 the last 3 seasons. In addition, Texas is 7-0 at Houston the last 3 seasons, winning those games by an average of 3.4 runs. Take the Rangers.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Bailout Game of the Year on Padres -120
Bottom Line: The Royals are 10-22 on the road this season and 18-49 in their last 67 road games. They are 2-7 in their last 9 overall and 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games. KC is also 0-4 all-time in San Diego. The Padres are playing their best ball of the season, winning 5 of their last 6. Richard has pitched well at home, as evidenced by his 2.25 ERA. Look for him to pick up his 1st home win of the season as he finally gets some run support. The Padres should have no problem scoring on Paulino, who has an ERA approaching 5.00 on the road this season. Pound the Padres.

5* Wiseguy Interleague *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Padres -139
Bottom Line: San Diego has been playing some really good aggressive baseball in back-to-back series wins over Boston and Atlanta. The Padres are at their best when they are making things happen on the bases, which is exactly what they've been doing lately. Consider that San Diego is 11-0 since the beginning of last season after 2 straight games with 2 or more stolen bases. It is winning these contests by an average of 2.3 runs per game. Plus, Kansas City's Jeff Francis is 0-4 on the ML in his last 4 starts against the Padres and the Royals are 0-3 lifetime at Petco. Take San Diego.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Underdog Game of the Year on Mariners +108
Bottom Line: Even with yesterday's win, the Marlins are only 4-23 in their last 27 overall. The odds are certainly against them winning back-to-back as they are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win, 0-6 in their last 6 Sunday games and 1-11 in their last 12 in the 3rd of a series. The Mariners are 12-4 in their last 16 games following a loss and 12-3 in their last 15 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Love the Mariners in the underdog role at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB MAJOR MISMATCH on Braves -122
Bottom Line: The Braves have a serious mismatch on the mound with Jurrjens, who is carrying an ERA of 2.02 on the road and has dominated Padres the last 2 times he's faced them. The Braves are 8-3 in his last 11 starts. The Padres, who are only hitting .211 at home, don't figure to provide much run support for Moseley. Plus, they are 2-6 in Moseley's last 8 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. Take Atlanta.

5* Wiseguy 42-0 Interleague Blowout Game of the Week on Red Sox -163
Bottom Line: The Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. They'll gladly welcome the southpaw Maholm to the mound, considering they are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Pirates are 0-4 in Maholm's last 4 starts as an underdog of +151 to +200, 0-7 in his last 7 Friday starts and 0-5 in his last 5 interleague starts. The Red Sox, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Lester's last 4 road starts. Pittsburgh is also 0-4 in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. Pound Bean Town!

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on A's -106
Bottom Line: The A's, winners of 6 in a row, are rolling, and they'll continue to roll tonight with Gonzalez on the mound. The Athletics are 22-5 in his last 27 starts as a favorite and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Mets are just 1-8 in Dickey's last 9 home starts, and he is 1-6 on the ML all-time against Oakland. Pound the A's.

5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout Game of the Month on Tigers -113
Bottom Line: The Dodgers have been pure fade material in interleague play. They are 30-61 in their last 91 interleague games and 11-40 in their last 51 interleague games as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Tigers have been one of the strongest interleague plays in recent years. They are 65-32 in their last 97 interleague games and 57-16 in their last 73 interleague games as a favorite. The Tigers have won each of Scherzer's last 4 starts and I expect them to keep rolling with him on the mound tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Indians -117
Bottom Line: The Indians have won 7 straight in interleague play and I expect their interleague dominance to continue against a Colorado club that is 29-60 in its last 89 interleague road games and 0-5 in its last 5 meetings in Cleveland. The Indians have put their struggles behind them with 5 wins in their last 7 games. They keep it rolling tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Twins -146
Bottom Line: The Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 and 13-2 in their last 15. The Twins are also on an 8-0 run vs. teams with a losing record. The Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 and 1-7 in their last 8. They are also 0-5 in their last 5 meetings with Minnesota and 0-7 in their last 7 vs. the American League Central. The Padres are 0-4 in Moseley's last 4 starts as an underdog, and I expect him to struggle here in his first start back from a dislocated shoulder. Liriano is in a groove with a 1.89 ERA over his last 6 starts while holding opponents to a .135 average. Take the Twins.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Year on Reds -121
Bottom Line: The Reds are showing excellent value at this price with the way Toronto start Brandon Morrow has struggled. He is carrying an ERA of 8.81 over his last 3 starts, which is very significant when you consider that road teams with a cold starting pitcher (ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts), provided they have an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games, are a pathetic 27-81 the last 5 seasons. Cincy is a superb 22-7 at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since the beginning of last season and 12-2 at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Bet the Reds.

5* Wiseguy Interleague *BLOOD BATH* on Twins -135
Bottom Line: The Twins are playing their best ball of the season. They're 11-2 in their last 13 and they get MVP Joe Mauer back tonight. San Diego, meanwhile, has lost 5 of its last 6 and sends a pitcher (Richard) to the hill that is 5-16 on the ML in his last 21 starts. The Twins, meanwhile, are 15-2 in Duensing's last 17 starts as a favorite and 11-0 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite. Take the Twins.

5* Wiseguy NL East Game of the Year on Braves -120
Bottom Line: Atlanta's not sweating bullets after losing the first two game of the series to New York. The Braves won't lack any confidence tonight against a team they have defeated in 57 of their last 85 home meetings. This is a good spot for the Braves when you consider that they are 4-0 in their last 4 games following loses the first 2 games of a series and 11-2 in their last 13 Game 3s of a series. Minor has really settled in in his last 3 starts. Dickey, meanwhile, can't be trusted. The Mets have lost 12 of his last 16 starts and 5 of his last 6 in the third game of a series. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Mariners -119
Bottom Line: Bedard has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season. He has allowed 3 runs or less in each of his last 9 starts and the M's have won 5 straight with him on the mound. His solid work on the hill puts Seattle in a great technical spot tonight. Plays on any team (SEATTLE) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a decent AL starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70), provided the play on team is starting a hot pitcher with an ERA of less that 3.00 over his last 10 starts, are 20-5 the last 3 seasons. Take the Mariners.

5* Wiseguy AL *BLOOD BATH* on Blue Jays -147
Bottom Line: Toronto is 14-0 in its last 14 home games against the Baltimore. That's a stat that should not be taken lightly. The O's have been doing their share of losing on the road for years now. In fact, they're just 65-134 in their last 199 road games. The Jays also figure to be in good hands with Villanueva. He's off to a 3-0 start since joining the rotation May 23 and has won eight consecutive decisions since his last loss Aug. 17, 2009. Bet the Blue Jays.

5* Wiseguy NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Marlins -131
Bottom Line: Florida is very familiar with Arizona's Zach Duke and it has had no trouble hitting him. In fact, Duke is 0-5 (0-7 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.49 and a WHIP of 1.961 in 7 career starts against the Fish. Florida starter Ricky Nolasco, meanwhile, is 5-1 lifetime with an ERA of 3.38 in 6 starts against the D-backs. While taking underdogs is a good MLB betting strategy, this is not the time to take the Pirates. That's because Duke is just 6-22 on the money line as an underdog of +125 to +175 since the beginning of last season, including 1-17 on the road in this stretch. Take Florida and good luck.

5* Wiseguy 2011 American League Game of the Year on Tigers -115
Bottom Line: I absolutely love the Tigers at this price in this bounce back spot with Scherzer on the hill. He's 3-0 lifetime in starts against Seattle with an ERA of 2.25. Each of those wins have come by at least 2 runs and the last 2 have come by 6 and 5 runs respectively. The Tigers have won 9 of his 13 starts this season and there has been no one better in the third game of a series. In fact, the Tigers are 7-0 in his last 7 starts during game 3 of a series. They are also 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the AL West. Detroit is the much better offensive team in this matchup and Scherzer has has Seattle's number. Pound the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -117
Bottom Line: Detroit is now just a game back in the AL Central and that will be the motivating force behind tonight's win. There is also a system backing this play that is too good to ignore. Plays on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (DETROIT) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL) are 55-17 since 1997. This system is 29-6 the last 5 seasons, 13-2 the last 3 and 1-0 this season. Take the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Brewers -162
Bottom Line: The Brewers have been fantastic in bounce back spots, going 8-0 in their last 8 games following a loss. They are also 5-0 in their last 5 during the 2nd game of a series. Pelfrey is 1-4 (1-5 on the money line) with an ERA of 8.58 on the road this season. Going back to last year, the Mets have lost 8 of his last 9 road starts. Wolf, meanwhile, is currently pitching some of the best ball of his career. The Brewers have won his last 3 starts, during which he's posted an ERA of 2.79. Bet the Brew Crew.

5* Wiseguy NL *BLOOD BATH* on Reds -132
Bottom Line: The Reds have owned the struggling Cubs, which have lost 6 in a row, with wins in 14 of the last 17 meetings. Our historical database also shows this to be a superb spot for the home team. Consider that favorites of -110 or higher (CINCINNATI) - after allowing 8 runs or more 2 straight games and up against a foe coming off a defeat by 2 or fewer runs - are an awesome 92-30 the last 14 years. This system has an average winning margin of 2.2 runs and it is 10-3 the last 3 seasons. Pound the Reds.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Afternoon *BLOOD BATH* on Rays -135
Bottom Line: You won't see this talented Tampa club drop the first two games of a series often, but you better look out when they do. The Rays are a red-hot 5-1 in their last 6 contests following back-to-back losses to start a series. The M's aren't very familiar with stud rookie Jeremy Hellickson at all and that puts them at a big disadvantage. The young gun has been on a tear, winning 5 of his last 6 starts while posting a 1.83 ERA and holding opposing batters to a .187 average. Pound Tampa in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy NL System Play of the Month on Phillies -149
Bottom Line: Plays on NL road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (PHILADELPHIA) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent NL starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 to 4.20), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better on the season - are 46-13 since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 2.1 runs/game. Also, this system is 25-4 the last 5 seasons and 11-2 the last 3 seasons. Lastly, Hamels is 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 on the road this season. Pound the Phillies.

5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Year on Reds -121
Bottom Line: The Reds are 24-11 against the Brewers the last 3 seasons, including 13-4 at home during this span. They are 5-1 against Milwaukee this season, including a perfect 3-0 at home. Cincy is an awesome 20-4 in home games after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons and a perfect 11-0 in home games after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. The Reds have also never lost to Milwaukee starter Chris Narveson, who is 0-5 on the money line on the road this season. He's 0-3 on the ML in 3 career starts against the Reds with an ERA of 7.25. Those losses have come by 8, 5 and 4 runs. Take Cincy.

5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout on Yankees -148
Bottom Line: After blowing leads to lose the first two games of this series, the Yankees are primed for a strong effort Sunday. New York has won Sabathia's last 5 starts against Seattle by scores of 11-1, 10-1, 4-2, 8-2 and 10-0. Expect another big win for the Yankees against the Mariners with CC on the hill.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Yankees +122
Bottom Line: Even though Seattle is playing its best ball of the season and has its ace on the mound, it is not deserving of this much respect against a much more explosive New York team. The Yankees have won 7 of their last 10 overall and they have won Nova's last 5 road starts. Hernandez had good luck against the Yankees last year, but I expect that luck to change here. Consider that the Mariners are just 4-11 in his last 15 starts against teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game. The M's are losing to these opponents by an average of 2.1 runs. Take the Yankees in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on A's -162
Bottom Line: This is a challenging spot for Baltimore, making the long cross-country trip without a day of rest. Oakland has won 12 of the last 16 in this series, including 6 of the last 7 at home. Looking back, the Orioles are just 20-57 in the last 77 meetings and only 7-22 in the last 29 meetings in Oakland. Also, the Orioles are 4-13 in Tillman's last 17 road starts and 1-8 in his last 9 series opening starts. The Athletics are 9-3 in Gonzalez's last 12 home starts and 5-2 in his last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. The A's have won both of Gonzalez's career starts against Baltimore. He is carrying an ERA of 2.19 in those outings. Pound the A's.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Month on Tigers -113
Bottom Line: I don't see Pittsburgh having the bats to match Detroit tonight. Under manager Leyland, Detroit is an impressive 26-4 against NL foes scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season. The Tigers have won these contests by an average of 2.7 runs. Penny has been dialed in for Detroit, going 3-0 with an ERA of 0.83 over his last 3 starts. Plus, his teams have won his last 5 starts against Pittsburgh. Bet Detroit.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Angels +130
Bottom Line: Pineiro is out of the gate strong at 2-0 with an ERA of 1.33 through 3 starts. He's 1-0 with an ERA of just 0.71 in 2 home starts. Oakland got nothing off of Pineiro a season ago. He went 1-0 (3-0 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.57 against the A's in 2010. Oakland starter Anderson, meanwhile, has struggled against the Halos. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the ML) in his career with an ERA of 4.68. Things haven't been going well for Anderson lately either. He's 0-2 (0-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 6.27 over his last 3 starts. The Angels are 11-4 in Pineiro's last 15 starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. the American League West. The Athletics are 1-4 in Anderson's last 5 home starts and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the A's. Take the Halos.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Month on Yankees -130
Bottom Line: Plays against road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BOSTON) - off a one run win over a division rival, with a hot starting pitcher - ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts, are 90-35 since 1997. Also, plays on all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start, excellent power team - averaging 1.5 or more HR's/game on the season, are 78-23 the last 5 seasons. In addition to these two strong systems, we can't ignore that the Yankees are 108-50 in their last 158 home games and 25-6 in Sabathia's last 31 home starts. Take the Yanks.

5* Wiseguy AL West Game of the Month on Rangers -110
Bottom Line: Fading Seattle starter Vargas here. He's 0-2 (0-4 on the ML) with an ERA of 6.86 at home this season. The Mariners are 2-12 in his last 14 starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts during game 3 of a series, 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 0-7 in his last 7 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog. The Mariners are also 1-5 in Vargas' last 6 starts vs. the Rangers. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Month on Giants -128
Bottom Line: Expect the Giants to bounce back strong this afternoon behind the lefty Sanchez as the Nats are only hitting .188 against left-handed starters this season. The Nationals are just 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 6-1 in Sanchez's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants have taken 15 of the last 20 meetings in this series, including 8 of their last 11 in Washington. Take the reigning World Series champs.

5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Giants -125
Bottom Line: The Giants are ready for an offensive explosion at the plate and Cain has the stuff to shut down the Bucs. Pittsburgh starter Charlie Morton is just 3-15 on the money line in his last 18 starts as an underdog of +100 to +150. He has lost these outings by an average score of 6.2 to 2.7. The Giants, meanwhile, are 5-0 in Cain's last 5 starts as a road favorite. Also, Pittsburgh is just 2-21 in its last 23 games after 3 straight games with no home runs. It is losing by an average of 4.0 runs per contest in this situation. Expect the Giants to take care of business in impressive fashion this evening.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Dodgers -103
Bottom Line: Taking the Dodgers at home following a loss has been an extremely profitable situation since the beginning of the 2009 season. In fact, LA is 49-20 in this spot. The Dodgers are also an impressive 73-34 in their last 107 home games vs. a team with a losing record and they have won 5 of their last 6 at home against the Red Birds. Plus, the Cardinals are 7-20 in Lohse's last 27 road starts and 2-10 in his last 12 starts during game 2 of a series. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Astros -111
Bottom Line: Astros starting pitcher Brett Myers is 8-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last nine starts against the Cubs and limited them to 1 run in the only appearance during that span where he failed to record a decision - a game the Astros still won. He went 3-0 with a 1.21 ERA in four starts versus Chicago last season, striking out 34 in 29 2/3 innings. Myers gives Houston the big edge tonight, especially since Chicago is sending James Russell to the hill to make his first major league start. We'll get behind Myers and take Houston tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Angels -124
Bottom Line: The first road trip of the season is always a tough one, especially when it is clear across the country. Plus, Toronto has had no luck against Santana. He's won 4 in a row against the Jays by an average score of 6.25 to 2.25. With yesterday's day off, Santana picks up an extra day of rest. This bodes well for the Halos considering they are 6-0 in his last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. Take the Angels.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -133
Bottom Line: Verlander is 5-0 (7-0 on the money line) lifetime with an ERA of 2.52 when starting against the Orioles. Look for his domination over Baltimore to continue tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Brewers -104
Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MILWAUKEE) - cold hitting team batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games against an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up no earned runs last outing - are 64-32 (66.7%) the last 5 seasons. Also, plays against any good team from last season (ATLANTA) - outscored opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game - after a one run win, are 31-16 (66%) the last 5 seasons. The Braves are 0-4 in Lowe's last 4 starts as a road underdog. The Brewers are 12-5 in Gallardo's last 17 starts as a favorite and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 (money line in this at most books. Take Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on A's -163
Bottom Line: The Mariners are 1-6 in Fister's last 7 road starts and 2-8 in his last 10 starts as an underdog. The Athletics, meanwhile, are 16-2 in Gonzalez's last 18 starts as a favorite and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. Gonzo has also won his last 3 against Seattle. After dropping the first 2 games of this series, expect the A's to bounce back strong behind Gonzalez.

5* World Series Game of the Year on Rangers -153
Bottom Line: It's pretty much do-or-die time already for Texas, and I fully expect the Rangers to get it done. Lewis has been sensational in these playoffs. I'll gladly get behind his well-rested arm here, considering the Rangers are 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 7 or more days of rest. We also have a lot of history in our favor here, considering the Rangers are 71-33 in their last 104 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Giants are just 2-8 in Sanchez's last 10 starts following an outing of less than 4 innings in his last appearance and they have lost 5 of their last 6 road games against the AL. Take Texas tonight.

5* Wiseguy ALCS *BLOOD BATH* (TBS) on Yankees -172
Bottom Line: I like the Yankees to stay alive behind ace C.C. Sabathia. The big southpaw has been unbelievable at home, where the Yankees are 21-5 in his last 26 starts. Also, Sabathia is 117-42 as a favorite of -150 or more in his career. That's a 73.6 winning percentage. The Yankees are at home with their backs against the wall, and I expect them to play like the reigning World Series Champs they are this afternoon. Take the Yanks.

5* Wiseguy NLCS Game of the Year (FOX) on Giants +107
Bottom Line: The Giants have won 7 of 10 home games against the Phillies the last 3 seasons, including 4 of the last 5. Plus, the Phillies are 4-10 in their last 14 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 2-5 in Hamels' last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Giants couldn't give the ball to anyone better today, considering they are a perfect 6-0 in Cain's last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Also, the Giants are 24-9 in their last 33 games following a loss. This is a resilient team that plays exceptional baseball in its home park. Back the Giants at a great price this afternoon.

5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Yankees -143
Bottom Line: I'm taking the rested Yankees with their ace on the hill tonight. Sabathia is 8-3 lifetime against Texas, and I expect him to be dialed in. The Yankees have won 19 of his last 24 starts, and he has a proven track record in the postseason. The Yankees have won their last five games in which they have been favored, and they are also 14-2 in their last 16 playoff games as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Rangers are 1-8 in their last 9 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a home underdog period. Wilson has a 5.65 career ERA against the Yankees, and I don't expect him to make it out of this one alive. Take the Yanks and best of luck.

5* Wiseguy ALDS Game 5 Primetime Punisher (TBS) on Rangers +107
Bottom Line: The Rays struggle to hit the ball at home, where they are batting just .240 on the season. Those struggles should continue tonight as they are up against Cliff Lee. Lee was brilliant in his Game 1 win over the Rays, and that should come as no surprise considering he is 5-0 with a 1.52 ERA in six career postseason starts. To think Lee can't beat the Rays a second time in this series would just be foolish. He went 4-0 with a 1.56 ERA in the postseason for Philadelphia last October, defeating the Yankees twice in the World Series. The Rays fought hard to make this a series, but I can't see them winning 3 in a row to advance, not against an ace like Lee. There are a few other trends I would like to add. The Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games, 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road underdog. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Take Texas at a great price tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Game of the Week on Yankees -143
Bottom Line: The Twins have really struggled in the postseason, losing 18 of their last 23 playoff games, including their last 8 at home. They are also just 1-12 in their last 13 ALDS contests, including 0-7 in their last 7 ALDS home games. In addition, the Twins are 0-4 in Liriano's last 4 starts vs. the Yankees and 1-10 in his last 11 starts vs. the heavy hitting teams in the American League East. Meanwhile, Sabathia is a Perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts against Minnesota. The Yankees have won 6 of their last 7 games in Minnesota, and I expect them to continue their dominance over the Twins tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Padres -128
Bottom Line: While the Cubs have won the first 2 games of this series, they are still just 3-9 in the last 12 meetings. With 3 straight losses, the Padres have fallen 2 games back in the West and 1.5 back in the wild card standings, but this team has played too well all season to go down without a fight. While it looks like the Padres may ultimately come up just short, I do expect them to help themselves with a win tonight. The Padres are a perfect 3-0 with Chris Young on the mound this season, 7-1 in Young's last 8 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the National League Central. The Padres are also an impressive 29-13 in their last 42 vs. the National League Central. Meanwhile, the Cubs are 4-13 in their last 17 vs. the National League West, 2-6 in Wells' last 8 road starts and 1-4 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Padres in this must-win game tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Rangers +104
Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, look for the Rangers to get back in the win column tonight. You have to like their chances with Wilson on the mound, consider the Rangers are 22-6 in his last 28 starts. It is also worth noting that the Rangers are 7-0 in Wilson's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. In addition, the Angels' Haren is 0-3 his last 3 and 1-6 his last 7 starts on the money line against Texas. Take the Rangers at a great underdog price.

5* Wiseguy 17-0 MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Astros -101
Bottom Line: These two clubs are headed in opposite directions. The Astros have won 20 of their last 28 while the Nats have dropped 10 of their last 12. Also like the fact that Washington has lost 6 straight at home while Houston has won 5 of 6 on the road. The Astros have also won the last 4 in this series. The 'stros are in excellent hands with Happ, who is a perfect 8-0 on the money line in road games when the line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. There is such thing as being too accurate. Free swinging teams like Washington have a better chance against pitchers that are always around the plate. Fortunately for us, Happ is one of those guys that really tries to get the opposition to hit his pitch. That does lead to some walks, but it is certainly worth noting that Washington is 0-9 vs. a starting pitchers with poor control (issuing more than 2.75 BB's/start) this season. Take the Astros.

5* Wiseguy MLB Revenge Game of the Year on Oakland A's -146
Bottom Line: I expect the A's, which have won 7 of their last 9 against KC, to bounce back from yesterday's embarrassing 11-3 loss. Oakland is certainly sending the right guy to the hill. The Athletics are 17-4 in Cahill's last 21 starts as a favorite, 8-2 in his last 10 road starts and 8-0 in his last 8 starts against a team with a losing record. It is also certainly worth noting that the A's are 4-0 in Cahill's 4 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City's Chen doesn't inspire the same confidence, especially when you consider that the Royals are 2-8 in his last 10 starts as an underdog. Take the A's.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Giants -107
Bottom Line: Look for the Giants to take care of business against the struggling Dodgers as they battle it out with the Padres and the Rockies for NL West supremacy. While Zito has struggled, losing each of his last 5 starts, we can't overlook the fact that 4 of those starts came on the road. I expect him to perform well at home tonight, where he is 6-3 (9-5 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.34. There's no doubting Kershaw's ability, but the Dodgers have lost each of his last 2 starts against the Giants and he enters off back-to-back losses. The Dodgers have packed it in, as evidenced by their Dodgers are 2-7 mark over their last 9 games. They have lost 5 straight to divisional foes, and they have lost 5 of their last 6 to the Giants. Take San Francisco.

5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Month on Tigers -148
Bottom Line: The Orioles are 1-9 in Millwood's last 10 starts, 2-11 in his last 13 road starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League Central. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 5-0 in Galarraga's last 5 Friday starts and 5-1 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 meetings in Detroit, and I'll fade them with baseball's leader in losses on the bump. Take the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB National TV Game of the Week (ESPN) on Dodgers -104
Bottom Line: Look for the Dodgers to avoid the sweep against a struggling San Diego club tonight. LA has the big edge on the hill w/ Billingsley. In fact, the Dodgers are 4-1 in Billingsley's last 5 road starts vs. the Padres and 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall vs. the Pads. San Diego rookie Luebke was rocked in his MLB debut, giving up a pair of 2-run shots to the Rockies. I expect the Dodgers to have no trouble tagging him tonight. Take LA.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Month on Giants -122
Bottom Line: The Giants have an opportunity to move into a tie with San Diego atop the NL West tonight, and I love their chances against the D-backs with ace Tim Lincecum on the mound. The Giants are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona, 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Giants are also 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts as a road favorite. On the other side, we can't ignore the fact that the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Lincecum ended his struggled by outdueling Colorado's Jimenez in his last start, and I like him to outduel Enright here.

5* Wiseguy MLB Revenge *BLOOD BATH* on Giants -136
Bottom Line: The Rockies came through in Game 1, but they are just 26-40 on the road this season, and they enter tonight's contest having dropped 14 of their last 20 away from Coors. I look for their road struggles to continue with Rogers on the hill tonight. He has been crushed in divisional play this season. The Rockies have lost all 3 of his starts against the NL West, and he is carrying an ERA of 5.40 in those games. The Giants have won 3 of Bumgarner's last 4 starts and 7 of his last 10. The Giants have been solid at home all season, and they should especially be strong tonight, considering they are 19-5 in home games after scoring 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons. Take the Giants.

5* Wiseguy 2010 MLB Game of the Year on Padres -126
Bottom Line: After 4 straight defeats, the San Diego Padres will be out for blood against the worst team in the NL West tonight. I like the San Diego bats against Joe Saunders tonight. He has lost each of his last 4 starts, while allowing 23 runs in just 22 innings of work. Plus, he has already lost to the Padres twice this month, getting rocked for 15 runs in just 10 inning of work. The Padres are 4-1 in LeBlanc's last 5 starts as a favorite and 6-1 in his last 7 starts versus a team with a losing record. The Padres have also won both of his starts against the D-backs this season, and he has only allowed 4 runs in 11 2/3 innings in those starts. San Diego is 11-1 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season, winning these games by an average score of 5.9 to 2.2. Pound the Padres.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on NY Mets -149
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, look for the Mets to bounce back strong with Pelfrey on the hill. The right-hander has a sweet 1.64 ERA over his last 3 starts. Plus, he is 7-3 with a smooth 3.19 ERA at home this season. The Astros have won 5 in a row on the road, but this is still a club that is just 30-61 in its last 91 games as a road underdog. The Astros have lost 7 of their last 9 meetings with the Mets and 18 of their last 24 road meetings. The Mets have won 5 straight series openers and I look for this trend to continue tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on A's -131
Bottom Line: Cleveland's depleted lineup doesn't stand a chance against Cahill tonight. The Athletics are 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 8-0 in his last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game, 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 4-0 in his last 4 Wednesday starts. The A's are also 7-1 in his last 8 road starts and 15-3 in his last 18 starts as a favorite. The Indians are only 1-5 in Talbot's last 6 home starts, and he is carrying an ERA of 5.29 over his last 7 starts. Compare that to Cahill's sparkling 2.54 ERA for the season. Pound Oakland.

5* Wiseguy Bases Blowout on Orioles -140
Bottom Line: The O's are playing some ball since Showalter was brought aboard, winning 10 of their last 15. They have especially been potent at home winning 7 of their last 9. With this is mind, I won't hesitate to go against a Seattle club that has lost 44 of its last 62 away from home. The O's have the definite edge on the mound with Guthrie, who is 3-0 with an ERA of just 1.71 over his last 3 starts. The M's have lost 4 of Pauley's 6 starts, and he is carrying an ERA of 6.23 in 2 road starts this season. The O's have responded well to Showalter, and I'm ready to back them in this bounce back spot against a terrible road club. Bet Baltimore.

5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Marlins -141
Bottom Line: After going 0 for 33 with runners in scoring position the last 4 games, look for an offensive explosion from Florida tonight. Pittsburgh brings Duke to the mound, and the Marlins have had his number. In fact, Duke is 0-5 on the money line with a 5.76 ERA in his career against Florida. Meanwhile, the Marlins are in good hands with Nolasco on the hill. He is 10-2 with an ERA of 3.61 on the road this season. It is also worth noting that Florida is a perfect 10-0 the last 3 seasons in Nolasco's road starts against National League teams scoring 4.3 of fewer runs per game on the season. Florida is winning these games by an average of 3.7 runs per contest. Bet the Fish!

5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Year on White Sox -140
Bottom Line: Garcia is the biggest Tiger killer of them all. The White Sox are 4-0 in his last 4 and 11-1 in his last 12 starts against the Tigers. In fact, he is 18-6 lifetime (23-6 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.66 when starting against Detroit. Galarraga has been hit hard in each of his last 2 starts, both home losses, and I don't expect things to get any better on the road where he is carrying a 6.66 ERA. The Sox have done a great job of picking up their runners all season, and that does not look good for Galarraga. In fact, he is 0-7 on the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the White Sox.

5* Wiseguy Never Lost *BLOOD BATH* on Phillies -130
Bottom Line: The Phillies went down to LA yesterday, but this is a team that has been playing great baseball despite being without some key bats. I like their chances tonight with Oswalt on the hill. The Dodgers are 3-10 in their last 13 meetings in Philadelphia, 1-5 in their last 6 road games and 0-4 in Billingsley's last 4 starts vs. the National League East. The Phillies are 14-4 in their last 18 overall and 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the National League West. Love Oswalt tonight considering he is 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA in four starts in Philadelphia since Citizens Bank Park opened in 2004. He is also 3-0 (4-0 on the money line) in his last 4 starts against the Dodgers. Pound Philly!

5* Wiseguy on Rangers -130
Bottom Line: I like Texas at home tonight for several reasons. First off, the Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Secondly, I like the Texas sticks against Burnett, who is carrying an ERA of 5.51 at home this season. It is also worth noting that the Yankees are 0-4 in Burnett's last 4 series opening starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Thirdly, the Yankees aren't expected to have the services of Mark Teixeira, who will be staying behind to be with his wife as she gives birth to a child. In addition, I like Wilson on the hill for Texas considering A-Rod is 0-10 lifetime against the lefty. The Rangers are 4-0 in Wilson's last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Rangers will be hungry to get back in the win column after back-to-back losses. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy 2010 American League Game of the Year on White Sox -132
Bottom Line: I know the O's have been playing better baseball and are coming off a win yesterday, but I love Chicago against the worst teams in the bigs tonight. Look for Chicago's bats to come alive against Matusz, who is 0-7 on the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season, losing by an average of 3.8 runs in these games. In addition, the Sox are 10-0 vs. an AL starting pitcher with an ERA between 5.20 and 5.70 this season, winning in this situation by an average of 5.4 runs per game. Jackson was sensational in his first start in a White Sox uniform, and he has won his last 4 starts against the O's. Pound the White Sox!

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -130
Bottom Line: The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series, 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win and 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. They are also 0-4 in Kazmir's last 4 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 13.73. After a stint on the DL, I expect him to show plenty of rust tonight. Bonderman has been solid at home. As a result, the Tigers have won 5 of his last 7 home starts. In fact, they have won his last 2 starts, 3 of his last 4 and 6 of his last 9. Lastly, plays against all underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (LA ANGELS) with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher - ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts, are 41-11 the last 5 seasons. Take the Tigers!

5* Wiseguy American League East Game of the Year on Yankees -150
Bottom Line: Buchholz is having a great season, but he has had no success against the Yankees. In fact, he is 0-2 (0-4 on the money line) in his career when starting against them with an ERA of 6.53. The Red Sox have lost by at least 3 runs in each of those 4 losses. The Yankees also have the edge against Boston's pathetic pen, which is carrying an ERA of 5.11 on the road. The Yankees have won Vazquez's last 3 starts, and they are 13-4 in his last 17 starts vs. the American League East. He will also catch a break since Boston is without a pair of key bats (Pedroia and Youkilis). The Red Sox are just 4-14 in their last 18 with the Yankees, including 1-8 in their last 9 in New York. Also, Boston is 0-11 in road games vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 2.0 to 5.5. Take the Yanks!

5* Wiseguy 2010 MLB Bailout Game of the Year on Rangers +111
Bottom Line: The Rangers are showing phenomenal value in the underdog role tonight when you consider how dominant they have been against Hernandez and the Mariners. The Rangers have won 8 of their last 10 games against the Mariners. Hernandez has struggled the most against the teams that know him the best. In fact, the Mariners are 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. the AL West, and he's carrying a 5.66 against the division this season. His last 2 starts against the Rangers have been atrocious, serving up 12 runs in just 10 1/3 innings. Texas got its bats going last night, and I expect that to carry over as they look for another series win over the M's. Hunter should take care of the rest. He's 8-1 with an ERA of only 3.31 this season, and he'll be motivated to get back in the win column following his first loss of the year. The Rangers are 4-0 in Hunter's last 4 starts when he gets 5 days of rest. Take the Rangers and good luck.

5* Wiseguy *BLOOD BATH* on Angels -139
Bottom Line: The O's took game 1, but they haven't won back-to-back games in nearly a month. I like our chances with the Angels here when you consider Matusz is 0-7 with an ERA of 5.55 at home this season. Compare that to Santana's 2.73 road ERA. Plus, the Halos have won 5 of Santana's last 7 starts against the Orioles. The Angels have performed well against the Orioles, winning 10 of their last 14 in Baltimore. I'll take the Angels in this bounce back spot with the better starter on the hill.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rays -153
Bottom Line: The Rays brought Minnesota's 8-game winning streak to an end last night, and I like them to keep right on rolling with Niemann on the bump tonight. Over the last 2 seasons, Tampa Bay is 15-1 when Niemann starts against teams that average .9 or fewer home runs per game. The Rays are crushing these clubs by an average score of 7.1 to 2.9. Tampa Bay is also 48-14 as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons and 11-1 after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Take the Rays.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rays -110
Bottom Line: The Twins have won 9 of Pavano's last 10 starts, but it is certainly worth noting that their lone loss during this stretch came against the Rays. The Rays have won 3 of 4 meetings with the Twins this season and 5 of the last 7. I really like their chances tonight considering Minnesota will be without 2 key bats (Morneau and Mauer). Hellickson makes his MLB debut for Tampa Bay tonight, but he won't be fresh meat. The guy has gone 12-3 with a 2.45 ERA at Triple-A Durham this season, and it will be to his benefit that the Twins haven't seen him. The Twins are just 7-18 in their last 25 games as a road underdog. The Rays are 99-46 in their last 145 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 17-5 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter. Tampa Bay is also 18-6 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season, defeating these team by an average of 2.1 runs per game. Take Tampa!

5* Wiseguy NL West Game of the Year on Dodgers +105
Bottom Line: The Dodgers are showing great value in the underdog role tonight with Kershaw on the hill. LA has been sensational in division play all season, and I love their chances here after back-to-back losses to the Giants. The Giants have lost Cain's last 4 starts against the Dodgers, and Cain is actually 0-8 when starting against LA in his career with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.684. Kershaw is a dominant 6-0 in division play this season with an ERA of only 1.58. Take the Dodgers tonight!

5* Wiseguy MLB Bounce Back *BLOOD BATH* on Phillies -121
Bottom Line: Blanton is better than he has shown this season, and I really like him to throw well tonight for a hot Phillies club. We can also take rest in the fact that the Nationals are just 11-29 in their last 40 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. So they haven't exactly been murdering average pitching. Philly is ready to make a run for the NL East, so they will show up very focused after yesterday's loss. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Washington. Lastly, the Nationals are 4-11 in Detwiler's last 15 starts. Take Philly!

5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout Game of the Month on Mets -137
Bottom Line: Off a big series win over the Cards, the Mets will be out for revenge against the struggling D-backs, who have lost 7 straight since sweeping the Mets last week. You can bet that sweep isn't sitting well with the Mets, and I expect them to make a statement in Game 1 of this series. Pelfrey, who has been good at home all season, will be looking for some personal revenge after getting lit up in the desert. I love his chances considering the Mets are a perfect 8-0 this season in his starts when valued as a favorite of -100 to -150, winning these games by an average of 3.3 runs. The Mets have played great defense all season, and that figures to bode well for them tonight considering Arizona is 0-13 on the road against teams averaging 0.6 or less error per game this season. The D-backs are losing to these teams by 5.0 runs per game. Pound the Mets!

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Yankees -145
Bottom Line: Expect the Yankees to bounce back strong after last night's disappointing performance. Burnett is starting to come around, and I won't hesitate to back him tonight considering the Yankees are 10-1 in his last 11 starts vs. the American League Central and 12-4 in his last 16 starts during game 3 of a series. Carmona has been hit hard the last 2 times he has faced the Yankees, taking losses in both of those games. Plus, the Indians are just 1-5 in Carmona's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series and 3-7 in his last 10 starts with 4 days of rest. The Yankees are 11-2 in their last 13 games as a road favorite, and I'll pound them in this role tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Super System Game of the Year on Twins -143
Bottom Line: Minnesota's 19-1 win over KC last night sets up the most dominant system play I have spotted this season. Going against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher who are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per contest over the course of the season, after a game where they allowed 15 or more runs, are an impressive 42-7 the last 5 seasons. This system is also 19-2 the last 3 seasons and 5-1 this season. It is also worth noting that teams falling into this system are losing by an average of 3.2 runs per game. In addition, Minnesota has the big edge on the mound with Pavano against Chen. Pound the Twins!

5* Wiseguy Monday Night MLB Bailout Blowout on Giants -124
Bottom Line: We are a perfect 4-0 the last 4 days with our premium and comp plays on the Giants, and I will continue to ride them tonight. The Giants have now won 15 of their last 18, and they have the major advantage this evening with Florida feeling the effects of a cross-country trip. Zito has been superb at home all season, and he is a perfect 5-0 (6-0 on the money line) in his 6 career starts against the Marlins. Pound the Giants!

5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Year (ESPN) on Cardinals -118
Bottom Line: The Cubs have been playing better baseball, but I love the Cards tonight with their ace Chris Carpenter on the rubber. Carp is having another terrific season (11-3, 3.05 ERA), and he has been a Cub-killer throughout his career. He is 10-3 lifetime when starting against the Cubs with an ERA of only 2.73. He is 4-0 his last 4 and 6-1 his last 7 starts against the Cubs on the money line. For the Cubs, Dempster has really struggled against the Cards. In fact, Chicago has lost his last 4 starts, and 8 of his last 11, against St. Louis. The Cubs are a pathetic 15-43 in their last 58 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Pound St. Louis.

5* Wiseguy AL Non-Division Game of the Year on Twins -133
Bottom Line: After a game 2 loss, the odds are strongly in our favor that Minnesota will bounce back tonight. Matusz has been fade material all season. In fact, the Orioles are just 3-13 in his last 16 starts and 0-7 in his last 7 starts when pitching on 5 day's rest. The Orioles are a lousy 31-74 in their last 105 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150 and 1-6 in Matusz's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Twins are a strong 9-2 in Baker's last 11 starts as a road favorite and 13-4 in his last 17 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Pound the Twins!

5* Wiseguy Friday Night MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rays -147
Bottom Line: The fact that the Rays have lost a stunning 17 in a row at Progressive Field means they will show up very hungry tonight. Tampa Bay is the best road team in baseball this season and it has already won 5 of 6 games against the Tribe this year. The Rays send Niemann to the hill, and I won't hesitate to get behind him considering he is a perfect 9-0 on the money line on the road this season. It is certainly worth noting that the Rays have won those 9 games by an average score of 7.3 to 3.9. In addition, Niemann is a perfect 14-0 on the money line when facing poor power hitting teams averaging 0.9 or fewer HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. Take Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Month on Tigers +100
Bottom Line: After 7 straight losses, including last night's embarrassing 0-8 loss, Detroit's skid ends here. I know the Tigers are struggling, but there's no way they should be an underdog on their home field tonight when you consider the following. The Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. They are also 21-6 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 5-0 in Scherzer's last 5 home starts. The Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series, 2-8 in Lewis' last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 2-11 in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are showing exceptional value as an underdog tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Revenge Game of the Week on Mets -120
Bottom Line: I'm confident we will have our revenge with the Mets tonight. They will be extremely motivated to bounce back after getting crushed last night. Right away I love the fact that the Mets are 16-5 in their last 21 meetings in Arizona. I also love the fact that the Diamondbacks are only 17-35 in their last 52 games following a win and 14-39 in their last 53 games as an underdog. The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400, 13-6 in their last 19 games following a loss and 6-2 in their last 8 games as a road favorite. Dickey has a 1.74 ERA over his last 3 starts, and he should continue to see success with his knuckleball against a team that hasn't seen him. Enright couldn't beat the Cubs or Marlins in his last 2 home starts and he'll have trouble with the motivated Mets tonight.

5* Wiseguy MLB Favorite of the Year on Tigers -119
Bottom Line: The Tigers get the nod as my Favorite of the Year as they are showing extraordinary value at this price. Detroit is one of the best home clubs in baseball and it puts the better starter on the hill this evening. It will also be extremely focused and motivated after getting embarrassed in Cleveland. The Rangers have lost their last 11 games in Detroit and Feldman has never beaten the Tigers (0-3 on the money line lifetime with an ERA if 9.75). The Rangers have also lost Feldman's last 7 starts when up against teams with a winning record. Take Detroit.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Reds -141
The Reds should finish up their sweep of the Rockies Sunday in Cincinnati. Colorado has not played well on the road this season and their starter, Aaron Cook is no exception. Cook is 0-5 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 9 road starts this year. Travis Wood is pitching for the Reds Sunday. Wood has been excellent since being called up to the majors. He's yet to earn a victory, but the Reds are 2-1 in his 3 starts and he comes into Sunday's game with a 2.18 ERA and 0.68 WHIP.

5* WISEGUY Thursday Bases Blowout on Braves -175
The Atlanta Braves were one of the hottest teams in baseball heading into the All-Star break, and they should have continued success in the second half of the season. Atlanta has amassed one of the top home records in baseball this season. The Braves are come in with a 30-10 record on their home field, where they are hitting just under .270 as a team and scoring 5 runs per game. Maybe most impressive has been their pitching at home, which has held opponents to a .233 batting average and just 3.6 runs per game. Jair Jurrjens gets the start for the Braves. He's battling back from injury, but has been pretty effective since returning and has pitched extremely well in Atlanta this season. Over 3 starts at home Jurrjens has a 2.00 ERA and 1.17 whip, while the Braves have gone 3-0 in those appearances. Milwaukee has hit well this season, but their pitching, both starting and relief, is a major concern. Their bullpen holds a collective ERA of 5.25 and a 13-16 record. They've also managed just 16 saves in 28 save opportunities this year, a 57.1% conversion rate. The Brewers send Dave Bush to the mound. Bush has been serviceable with a 4.15 ERA and 1.50 WHIP, but Milwaukee is just 6-11 in his 17 starts thanks in part to poor support out of their bullpen.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Bases Blowout on Giants -110
The Giants should rebound nicely against the Nationals on Saturday after a 1-8 loss Friday night. This time around the Giants have the edge in the starting pitching match up. Jonathan Sanchez has continued to improve this season. He's 7-6 record-wise, but also has a 3.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, and has struck out 98 batters in 100 innings of work. The Nationals' Craig Stammen is coming off of one of the worst outings of his career in which he gave up 7 earned runs over 3 1/3 innings. San Francisco also carries a 13-4 record against the Nationals over the past 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night Bases Blowout on Brewers -148
Bottom Line: After getting completely dominated in 5 straight games, the Brewers are primed and ready for an offensive explosion against Maholm tonight. He enters this contest with an ERA of 9.75 over his last 3 starts. Plus, he has a bad history against Milwaukee. The Pirates are only 3-10 in his last 13 starts against the Brewers and just 1-6 in his last 7 road starts versus Milwaukee. Davis is coming off a confidence-boosting rehab start in Triple-A, allowing just 1 run in 7 innings. With a fresh arm, I like his chances. Davis was 2-0 with an ERA of only 1.38 in 2 starts against the Pittsburgh in 2009. The Pirates are an atrocious road club. They have lost 21 of their last 23 road games overall and 22 of their last 24 in Milwaukee. Bet the Brewers.

5* Wiseguy MLB Revenge Game of the Month on San Diego Padres -150
Bottom Line: I'm ready for some revenge tonight, and I'm confident I'll get it with a team that is out for some revenge of its own. After back-to-back losses to the Nats, San Diego will be very hungry to get back in the win column. Plus, the Padres have the huge edge on the mound with Latos. The Padres are a perfect 5-0 in Latos' last 5 starts and 6-1 in his last 7 road starts. The guy has been dialed in all season, and he has found a way to take his game to a whole new level here recently, posting an ERA of only 0.44 in his last 3 starts. Atilano hasn't been even close to as good for the Nats. In fact, the Nationals are 1-5 in Atilanos last 6 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. It's revenge time for the Padres and we'll take advantage!

5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Month on Angels -107
Bottom Line: Pitching against the Cubs twice and the Nationals once has helped Peavy's numbers look better in recent starts. But as soon as interleague play ended, he was hit pretty hard by the Royals in a losing effort. Peavy is 0-2 when starting against the Angels in his career with an ERA of 5.79. He gave up 6 runs in 6 innings at home to the Angels earlier this season. Weaver has been extremely dominant against the White Sox. He is 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) in 5 lifetime starts with an ERA of 0.52 and a WHIP of 0.71. Weaver hasn't given up more than 4 hits in a game in his last 4 starts against them. The Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss and 12-4 in their last 16 road games. Look for Weaver's dominance against Chicago to continue.

5* Wiseguy Monday MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Mets -125
Bottom Line: The Mets are 24-7 in their last 31 home games, and with Pelfrey on the bump I'll jump on them tonight. Pelfrey is 6-0 (8-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.98 in 9 home starts this season. It is also certainly worth noting that he is 8-0 (11-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.95 in 11 night starts this season. It's also nice to know that the Mets have won their last 5 series openers when Pelfrey has gotten the start. Harang has struggled on the road to the tune of 1-5 on the money line w/ a 5.62 ERA. The Reds have also lost 8 of his last 11 series opening starts and 13 of his last 16 road starts versus teams with winning records. Bet the Mets!

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Parlay of the Year on Angels -175/UNDER 9
Bottom Line: 5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Parlay of the Year on Angels -175/UNDER 9
Bottom Line: After losing the first 2 games of this series, I'm confident the Angels will bounce back behind Pineiro, who is 5-0 his last 5 starts. He has been great at home all season where the Angels have won his last 6 starts. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The Angels are an impressive 25-7 in their last 32 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss. Plus, the Angels have won 15 of the last 21 meetings.

This matchup has been an unders machine. 30 of the last 39 meetings have finished under the number, including 12 of the last 13 in LA. The Angels have been under in 3 straight and the Royals have finished under the number in 9 of their last 11.

Take the Angels and Under 9 runs tonight. Best of luck!

5* Wiseguy MLB Non-Division Game of the Year on Phillies -116
Bottom Line: I know the Phillies have been struggling, but they'll be out for blood tonight after getting shut out by the worst team in the NL yesterday. They should get a good performance from Kendrick, who is 3-0 lifetime against Pittsburgh with an ERA of only 2.45. The Phillies are 38-14 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and the Pirates are 18-47 in their last 65 vs. a team with a winning record. It's also worth noting that Kendrick 18-3 lifetime against the money line when facing teams that are being outscored by .5 or more runs per game on the season. The Phillies are winning these starts by 3.2 runs on average. Take the Phillies.

5* Wiseguy 22-0 MLB Friday Night Game of the Year on New York Mets -108
Bottom Line: The Mets are in great shape to bounce back tonight considering they are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games and 8-2 in their last 10 games following a loss. It will serve them well to put Niese on the hill as they are a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 starts, winning all 5 of them by at least 3 runs. The Mets are also a perfect 4-0 in Niese's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. The Nationals are a terrible 6-23 in their last 29 games as an underdog so it should comes as no surprise that they are 0-4 in Atilano's last 4 starts as an underdog. We'll pound the Mets behind this 22-0 money line angle. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Cardinals -128
Bottom Line: Taking St. Louis in the first game of a series has been a money play as the Cards have won 41 of their last 54 series openers. We'll jump on them in this spot tonight at a solid price. St. Louis has the edge when you consider the success it has had against Wolf. The Brewers are only 1-4 in Wolf's last 5 starts vs. the National League Central and 1-6 in his last 7 starts when pitching on 4 days of rest. The Cards have hit Wolf hard both times they've seen him this season, lighting him up for 9 runs. Meanwhile, St. Louis puts Hawksworth on the hill, and he steps to the rubber with a lot of confidence following a brilliant performance against the Royals last time out. He has never started against Milwaukee, but he has had the Brewers number in relief. Hawksworth has held Milwaukee scoreless in six relief appearances (8 innings). The Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, and I'll pound them in this bounce back spot tonight.

5* Wiseguy NL East Game of the Year on Mets -109
Bottom Line: After losing the first 2 games of this series, I love the Mets to take Game 3 with Pelfrey on the hill. The Mets have won 12 of his 15 starts this season, and you can just chalk it up when he starts at night. Pelfrey is a perfect 8-0 (10-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.57 in his night starts this season. He gives the Mets the big edge on the hill tonight. The Marlins are just 4-11 in Volstad's starts this season, and they have lost 8 of his last 9. In addition, the Marlins are 0-8 this season in Volstad's 8 starts when valued as an underdog of +100 to +150. Plus, the Marlins are 0-7 this season when Volstad takes the mound following a team win. Take the Mets tonight. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on White Sox -130
Bottom Line: The White Sox have lost 2 in a row since winning 11 straight, but I like them to get right back in the win column in a big way tonight. The White Sox are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game and 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. The Royals are also 0-6 in Bannister's last 6 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. In addition, plays on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (CHI WHITE SOX) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against an average AL starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70), with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game, are 22-5 the last 5 seasons. Lastly, KC is only 2-23 after allowing 3 runs or less in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 2.6 runs. Take the White Sox in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Month on Angels -134
Bottom Line: A pair of time-tested super systems give the big edge to the Angels today. First off, plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher who strikes out 5 or more batters per start, are 100-35 the last 5 seasons. Secondly, Plays on home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (LA ANGELS) - with an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season against an opponent with an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season are 34-9 since 1997. Chacin is coming off a great start, but I'm not sold on him at all. Santana has dominant stuff, and I look for him to shut down a Rockies lineup that is only hitting .231 on the road this season.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Angels -155
Bottom Line: The Rockies have struggled away from home all season, and they enter tonight's contest off an extra inning defeat that saw them use 6 relievers. That will come back to haunt them tonight. The Rockies have lost 9 of their last 12 with the Angels. They have lost their last 4 games in the road underdog role as well. Francis has been awful in series openers, and the Rockies have lost 9 of his last 10 starts in this situation as a result. He has also struggled on Friday's, and the Rockies have lost his last 6 Friday starts as a result. The Angels are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. the National League West and 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss. The Angels have won 4 of Weaver's last 5 starts, each of his last 5 series openers and each of his last 4 Friday outings. The price is a little steep, but lines are getting tight this time of year, and I believe the Angels are more than worth it.

5* Wiseguy Thursday *BLOOD BATH* on Mets -125
Bottom Line: The Mets are 26-10 at home this season and they have won 5 straight at home against the Tigers. Detroit has lost 4 straight on the road, and it is also just 16-38 in its last 54 games as a road underdog. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and a dominant 15-2 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Mets are also 4-1 in Takahashi's last 5 starts while the Tigers are 2-10 in Galarraga's last 12 starts as a road underdog. The Mets have proven to be dominant at home while the Tigers have really struggled on the road. Expect this to remain the case today.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Shocker of the Month on Red Sox +162
Bottom Line Boston is showing incredible value tonight at this price. They are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 20-6 in their last 26 vs. the National League West and 4-1 in their last 5 meetings with the Rockies. Plus, Lackey is finding his groove, going 4-0 with an ERA of just 3.62 over his last 5 starts. Boston is the hottest offensive team in baseball over its last 31 games, and history tells us that the bats win in this situation. In fact, plays on any team (BOSTON) - average AL hitting team (hitting .265 to .279) against an excellent NL starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or lower), in the first half of the season, are 59-30 since 1997, 29-10 the last 5 seasons and 7-1 this season. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 1.5 runs on average. Jimenez has been the best pitcher in baseball this season, but he hasn't see many lineups like the Red Sox bring to the table in the NL West. Take Boston showing excellent value tonight.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Blowout of the Year on Rays -128
Bottom Line: After falling out of 1st place in the AL East, the Rays will be very determined tonight. The Rays are a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 5-0 in Davis' last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game and 4-0 in his last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. And technically speaking, plays on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (TAMPA BAY) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), are 22-3 the last 3 seasons. I really like Tampa Bay's chances of busting out in a big way at the plate tonight. Take the Rays!