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MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
06-19-10 | Tampa Bay Rays -137 v. Florida Marlins | Top | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Rays -137
Bottom Line: The Rays are in prime position to bounce back today when you consider that they haven't lost more than 3 in a row all season. They will be in good hands with Niemann, who is a perfect 6-0 on the money line out on the road this season. Volstad did beat the Rays in his last start, but it's hard to get behind him here when you consider that the Marlins are 3-15 in his last 18 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 1-6 in his last 7 starts overall. The Rays have won 7 of their last 9 on the road in this series. Pound them tonight. |
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06-18-10 | Baltimore Orioles v. San Diego Padres -158 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Bailout of the Month on Padres -158
Bottom Line: The Orioles are 12-39 in their last 51 series openers and 11-41 in their last 52 road games. They are 1-9 in Matusz's last 10 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts. Plays against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70), cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games, are 10-0 this season. It is also worth noting that Baltimore is 2-16 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season, losing to these clubs by an average score of 2.8 to 6.9. With the way LeBlanc has been pitching (1.47 ERA L3 starts), my money's on the Pads. |
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06-16-10 | Oakland Athletics v. Chicago Cubs -124 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 23-0 MLB Blowout of the Week on Cubs -124
Bottom Line: Errors cost the Cubs last night. I expect them to clean it up and take care of business in Game 2. Oakland is struggling, and one win is certainly not enough to away me, especially when you consider that it is 0-6 in its last 6 games following a win. In addition, the A's are 0-5 in their last 5 games after scoring 5 or more runs in their previous game. And when priced as an underdog of +110 to +150, the A's have lost 9 of their last 11. The Cubs have taken 6 of their last 7 when matchup up against a lefty starter, and this trend picks up more steam tonight when you consider that the A's are 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as an underdog, 0-4 in his last 4 Wednesday starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Cubs have won 12 of Dempster's last 16 home starts when priced as a favorite of -110 to -150, and we'll back him in this price range again tonight. |
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06-13-10 | Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs -145 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Cubs -145
Bottom Line: Floyd is having a rough season. The White Sox are 1-6 in Floyd's last 7 starts, 1-7 in his last 8 starts as a road underdog and 1-8 in his last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. He just hasn't had winning stuff this season, and the Cubs should finally be able to put some runs on the board off him tonight. Lilly has had winning stuff, he just hasn't received run support, which I think he'll get tonight. And regardless, the Cubs are 23-7 in Lilly's last 30 home starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. He gains an additional edge because of how poorly the Sox have hit lefty starters (just .219). The White Sox are just 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Two more things that build my confidence are that the Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and the Sox are just 15-37 in their last 52 games following a win. Take the Cubs. |
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06-12-10 | Atlanta Braves v. Minnesota Twins -120 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague *BLOOD BATH* on Twins -120
Bottom Line: I rode the Twinkies to my Interleague GOTY last night, and I'll stick with them tonight with Blackburn on the hill. Blackburn is a perfect 4-0 (5-0 on the money line) at home this season. Plus, he is 10-1 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons, and the Twins are winning these starts by an average of 3.5 runs per game. And in general, Minnesota is a nasty 14-2 at home with a money line of -100 to -150 this season. The Braves have struggled on the road (16-21) and Lowe has struggled on the road as well (6.82 ERA). Side with the Twins. |
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06-11-10 | Atlanta Braves v. Minnesota Twins -144 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Year on Twins -144
Bottom Line: I love the Twins tonight because they have the huge advantage on the hill. Hudson is 1-11 (1-13 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.27 in 14 interleague starts since joining the Braves. It's also worth noting that he is winless in his last four meetings with the Twins. Meanwhile, Liriano is 7-1 in 8 career interleague starts with an ERA of 2.67 while holding the opposition to a pathetic .198 average. In addition, the Braves have struggled on the road (3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600) while the Twins have been awesome at home (40-13 in their last 53 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter). Plus, the Twins have a .375 on base percentage at home this season where they are scoring 5.4 runs per game. Take Minnesota! Best of Luck. |
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06-07-10 | San Francisco Giants v. Cincinnati Reds -130 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Reds -130
Bottom Line: The Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog period. They figure to be up against it tonight when you consider that the Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. They are 7-0 in Cueto's last 7 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts with 5 days of rest and 4-0 in his last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. The Giants have struggled on the road while the Reds have been great at home, where they are hitting nearly .300 as a team. Plus, the Reds have taken 8 of the last 11 in this series and Zito has a 7.13 ERA in 7 career starts against Cincy. All signs point to a blowout tonight! |
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06-05-10 | Detroit Tigers -150 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -150
Bottom Line: After going down to KC yesterday, I expect a better Tigers team to be determined tonight, just as they normally are when Verlander gets the ball coming off a team loss. In fact, the Tigers have won 6 of his last 7 starts following a loss in their previous game. There's just not anyone else they'd rather hand the ball to in this spot, especially when you consider that "Big V" is 9-2 lifetime against KC with an ERA of just 2.58. Plus, we can't ignore the fact that the Royals are just 2-9 in Hochevar's last 11 home starts. The Tigers have hit him hard 3 of the last 4 times they've faced him, and I expect this trend to continue here tonight. |
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06-04-10 | Chicago Cubs -125 v. Houston Astros | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Cubs -125
Bottom Line: Paulino is 0-2 lifetime against the Cubs with an ERA of 5.25. Meanwhile, Zambrano carries a career 2.56 ERA against Houston and the Cubs are 10-4 in his last 14 road starts vs. the Astros. The Astros are 6-21 in Paulino's last 27 starts, 1-9 in his last 10 home starts and 1-9 in his last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. The Cubs are 36-16 in Zambrano's last 52 starts as a road favorite, 8-1 in his last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Cubs are also 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 and the Astros are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the Cubs. |
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06-01-10 | Oakland Athletics v. Boston Red Sox -150 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Week on Red Sox -150
Bottom Line: Off a strong outing against Tampa bay, look for Lackey to keep it going against a team he has owned throughout his career. Lackey is 16-4 lifetime when starting against Oakland with an ERA of 2.76. Oakland's southpaw Gonzalez has been solid, but that should change tonight against the lefty-killing Red Sox. Boston is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .353 and scoring 6.2 runs per game against lefty starters this season. The A's have dropped 10 of their last 13 in Boston and I'll continue to fade them at Fenway here. |
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05-31-10 | Tampa Bay Rays -134 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -134 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. East Game of the Month on Rays -134
Bottom Line: The Rays are 20-6 in their last 26 road games, 23-9 in their last 32 vs. the American League East and 35-17 in the last 52 meetings in this matchup. Garza has been great on the road this season (3-1, 2.04 ERA, 0.958 WHIP) and the Rays are 4-1 in Garzas last 5 starts vs. the Blue Jays. The Jays have lost each of Morrow's last 2 starts, during which he has given up 9 earned runs in 9 innings of work. I expect his struggles to continue against the most potent road offense in baseball. Take the Rays. |
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05-30-10 | Washington Nationals v. San Diego Padres -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Padres -140
Bottom Line: The Nats haven't had much luck in San Diego. In fact, they are 6-21 in their last 27 visits. Plus, they are 0-4 in Hernandez's last 4 starts vs. the Padres and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Padres have won 7 of Garland's last 8 starts and he has been incredible at home, going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA. In addition, plays on all favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a good NL starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70), with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season, are 93-34 since 1997. This system is already 4-1 this season. Take the Padres. |
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05-25-10 | Houston Astros v. Milwaukee Brewers -153 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Brewers -153
Bottom Line: The Brewers have struggled at home this season, but I don't expect those struggles to continue against an Astros team that they have beaten 11 of their last 15 times at home. Milwaukee is hitting righty starters well this season and they figure to have Paulino's number tonight. Paulino is 0-2 on the road with a 10.12 ERA and he is 0-3 lifetime when starting against Milwaukee with an ERA of 7.31. The Astros are 0-7 in Paulino's last 7 starts as a road underdog, 1-10 in his last 11 starts vs. the National League Central and 6-20 in his last 26 starts overall. Wolf has been at his best at home, and I expect him to be solid tonight as the Astros are only hitting .219 and scoring just 2.9 runs per game this season. Bet the Brew Crew! |
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05-20-10 | Colorado Rockies -140 v. Houston Astros | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Rockies -140
Bottom Line: I'm going to back Jimenez here as he is 7-1 with an ERA of 1.12. He has been even better on the road with an ERA of just 0.74. I just don't see an Astros team hitting .232 and scoring only 3.9 runs per game having much luck against him tonight. Plus, the Rockies are 5-0 in Jimenez's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Astros are a terrible 18-42 in their last 60 overall, 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog and 6-22 in their last 28 vs. a team with a losing record. They have also only won 3 of Oswalt's last 7 starts. Take the Rockies. |
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05-15-10 | Minnesota Twins v. New York Yankees -129 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on NY Yankees -129
Bottom Line: The Yankees have won 10 straight at home against the Twins over the last 3 seasons, and I expect this dominance to continue behind Pettitte. The Yanks have won all 6 of Pettitte's starts this season and they are an incredible 86-38 in his last 124 starts as a home favorite. The Yankees are also 6-1 in Pettitte's last 7 starts vs. the Twins. Take the Yanks. |
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05-14-10 | Seattle Mariners v. Tampa Bay Rays -162 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Rays -162
Bottom Line: Fister is 0-7 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons, and Seattle is 1-16 against the money line after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more runs over the last 3 seasons. The Mariners are 0-6 in Fister's last 6 road starts. The Rays are 56-15 in their last 71 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and they are 5-0 in Davis' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Back home and off an off day, I look for the rested Rays to roll tonight. |
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05-12-10 | Oakland Athletics +115 v. Texas Rangers | Top | 1-10 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
5* MLB Underdog of the Month on A's +115
Bottom Line: The Athletics are 5-0 in their last 5 road meetings with the Rangers. They are also are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Gio Gonzalez hasn't allowed a run in 9 2-3 career innings against the Rangers and he is 2-0 with a 3.11 ERA on the road this season. His success against the Rangers comes as no surprise when you consider how poor they have been against southpaw starters. They are only hitting .216 against lefty starters this season. We can't exactly expect a gem from Holland in his season debut tonight. The Rangers lost 6 of his last 7 starts to conclude last season while he posted an ERA of 10.19. The Rangers are also 0-6 in Holland's last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game and the Athletics are 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the A's showing great value tonight. |
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05-07-10 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Chicago White Sox -105 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on White Sox -105
Bottom Line: White Sox ace Mark Buehrle has the big edge on the hill tonight when you consider that the Jays are scoring just 1.7 runs per game and only hitting 0.155 against lefty starters this season. In fact, the White Sox are a perfect 7-0 in Buehrle's last 7 home starts vs. the Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are just 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a left-handed starter and I expect their struggles to continue against Buehrle here tonight. |
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04-25-10 | Atlanta Braves -114 v. New York Mets | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. East Game of the Month (ESPN) on Braves -114
Bottom Line: The Braves are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Mets and 11-3 in their last 14 games as a road favorite. Pelfrey has been brilliant for the Mets, but the Braves know him well. In fact, he is only 2-5 when starting against Atlanta with an ERA of 6.15 and a WHIP of 1.519. The Mets are just 3-7 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts vs. the National League East and 14-38 in their last 52 vs. the National League East overall. Pound the Braves behind the talented Tommy Hanson. |
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04-21-10 | Philadelphia Phillies -138 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Phillies -138
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats, the Phillies will be extremely hungry to get back in the win column tonight, especially with their ace on the hill. Halladay is off to an impressive 3-0 start with an ERA of just 1.12. He'll give the Phillies the edge tonight because the Braves aren't very familiar with him at all. The Phillies, on the other hand, are familiar with Hudson and the Braves are just 1-4 in Hudson's last 5 starts vs. the Phillies and 0-4 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Phillies tonight. |
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04-16-10 | Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves -134 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Week on Braves -134
Bottom Line: Right away, the pitching matchup is in our favor with Lowe against Hammel. In addition, 2 of Colorado's better sticks, Todd Helton and Brad Hawpe are likely a no go tonight. The Braves are 6-1 in Lowe's last 7 starts, 8-1 in his last 9 starts as a home favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Rockies are 1-4 in Hammel's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Colorado is also just 7-21 vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Braves. |
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04-15-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers -113 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Thursday Night MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Dodgers -113
Bottom Line: The Dodgers have proven to be very good on their home field and I'm not about to pass them up at home at this price in this bounce back spot tonight. The Dodgers are an incredible 73-35 in their last 108 games as a home favorite, and they should be in good hands with Kuroda on the hill as they are a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The D-backs have lost 5 of Haren's last 6 road starts and 12 of their last 16 road games with the Dodgers. Take L.A. |
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04-14-10 | Atlanta Braves -141 v. San Diego Padres | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Month on Braves -141
Bottom Line: The Braves will be extremely hungry after the whooping San Diego gave them in Game 1 of this series, and I have no doubt they come right back with a big win tonight. Under Bobby Cox, the Braves are 11-2 when revenging a road blowout loss of 10 runs or more. The Braves are 10-4 in their last 14 meetings in San Diego. The Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 road games and 9-1 in their last 10 games as a road favorite. Pound Atlanta. |
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04-11-10 | St. Louis Cardinals -143 v. Milwaukee Brewers | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Bomb (ESPN) on Cardinals -143
Bottom Line: The Cards are worth the juice behind Carpenter tonight. Carpenter is 49-11 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season in his career, winning in these spots by an average score of 5.1 to 2.8. In addition, Milwaukee is 0-8 against the money line when revenging a home loss against an opponent of 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 3.6 to 6.0. Take the Cards. |
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04-10-10 | Boston Red Sox -115 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. Game of the Month on Red Sox -115
Bottom Line: Beckett is 5-0 lifetime against the Royals with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 0.986, and the Red Sox will be extremely motivated after blowing a 3-0 lead to the Royals yesterday. Plus, Beckett is a perfect 12-0 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 7.8 to 3.7. Pound the BoSox. |
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10-28-09 | Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Yankees -163 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -163 | 21 h 10 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Game of the Year (FOX) on Yankees -163
Bottom Line: The Yankees are 41-10 in their last 51 home games and 10-1 in Sabathia's last 11 home starts. If we get even more specific, the Yankees are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite, 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. On the other side, Cliff Lee is on a 6-22 money line skid vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs per game in the second half of the season. I look for Sabathia to have the edge in this southpaw showdown as he makes life very difficult on all the lefty sticks of the Phillies. Take the Yanks in Game 1. |
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10-22-09 | New York Yankees +102 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ALCS Game of the Year (FOX) on Yankees +102
Bottom Line: The Angels |
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10-21-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies -135 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NLCS Game of the Year on Phillies -135
Bottom Line: The Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 home playoff games and 17-5 in their last 22 playoff games overall. They are also 5-1 in Hamels' last 6 starts vs. the Dodgers. I expect Philly to end this thing tonight behind the guy that came up so big in the postseason a year ago. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Phillies tonight. |
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10-15-09 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -135 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NLCS Game 1 BEST BET on Dodgers -135
Bottom Line: The Dodgers are out for revenge after going down to the Phillies in last year's NLCS and this time around they have the home field advantage. The Dodgers looked much more impressive in their series win over a Cardinals team throwing aces Carpenter and Wainwright at them than the Phillies did in their series win over Colorado. The biggest key here is that Hamels has not performed as well as he did a season ago. He has lost his last 3 decisions while posting an ERA of 7.98. He is also just 3-6 with a 4.99 ERA on the road this season. The Dodgers have won each of Kershaw's last two starts and they were biggies - a division clincher against Colorado and a NLDS win over the Cards. He has an ERA of only 1.89 at home this season. If the Dodgers can give him some run support, I love their chances, and I believe they will when you consider that Hamels is only 6-11 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season, losing by an average score of 3.7 to 5.0. The Dodgers are 21-9 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season, winning by an average score of 4.5 to 3.0. Take LA. |
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10-07-09 | Colorado Rockies v. Philadelphia Phillies -133 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Wednesday MLB Playoffs BEST BET on Phillies -133
Bottom Line: The Rockies haven't been the same team offensively on the road this season, hitting just .235. Now they head to Philadelphia to play the defending World Series champs, a team they are just 2-9 against in the last 11 meetings and 1-5 against in the last 6 meetings at Philly. The Rockies are 4-14 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 12-25 in Jimenez's last 37 road starts. The Phillies are 8-2 in Lee's last 10 starts as a favorite and 32-14 in their last 46 home games. I like the Phillies in Game 1! |
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09-23-09 | New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels -125 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Parlay of the Year on Angels -125/Under 9.5
Bottom Line: The Yankees clinched a postseason spot last night and that means they can take it easy today. The Halos send Kazmir to the hill, who is 5-1 with a 1.46 ERA in eight starts against the Yankees since April 24, 2007. Plus, the Halos have won each of his last 3 starts. On top of that, the Angels have dominated NY at home, winning 11 of 14 over the last 3 seasons. The Under is 4-0 in Kazmir's last 4 starts overall and also 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. I like the Angels to win a low scoring game at home this afternoon for our Parlay of the Year! |
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09-22-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers -179 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB System Play of the Year on Dodgers -179
Bottom Line: This is the strongest system I've seen this season. Plays against all underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 that are a cold hitting team batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games; against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher whose WHIP is <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts, are 72-5 the last 5 seasons (93.5%). This system is a perfect 14-0 this season and 36-1 over the last 3 seasons. Take the Dodgers. |
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09-15-09 | Toronto Blue Jays v. New York Yankees +130 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog of the Month on Yankees +130
Bottom Line: You can usually count on one hand the times NY is an underdog during the course of a season and for the Yankees to be getting underdog value at home is even more rare. I just can't pass up the best team in baseball at this price today, especially when you consider that the Blue Jays are 1-4 in Halladay's last 5 starts, 3-9 in his last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite. The Yankees are an impressive 9-1 in their last 10 games as an underdog and 45-15 in their last 60 home games. Lastly, the Blue Jays are just 4-11 in the last 15 meetings. Bet the Yankees. |
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09-09-09 | Texas Rangers -140 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Month on Rangers -140
Bottom Line: Texas took the wind right out of Cleveland's sails with yesterday's sweep and now it puts the much better starter on the hill today. The Rangers are a perfect 7-0 in Feldman's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record and 18-4 in his last 22 road starts period. On the other side of things, the Indians are 0-4 in Carmona's last 4 home starts vs. the Rangers. Take Texas. |
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09-08-09 | Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 2009 MLB Game of the Year on LA Angels -120
Bottom Line: After going down in KC Monday, I love the Angels at home in this bounce back spot against a Mariners team that is just 9-20 in its last 29 visits. Plus, the Mariners really struggle against southpaw pitching, hitting .253 and scoring only 3.8 runs/game against lefty starters this season. In fact, the Mariners are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. In addition, Kazmir is 14-2 against the money line in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons, 22-6 against the money line in home games period over the last 2 seasons, and 14-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Hernandez is Seattle's ace and he has had a great season, but he is just 4-5 in his career when starting against LA with an ERA of 4.40. Plus, the Mariners are ahead in the season series so the Angels have every reason to go after them hard tonight. 2009 MLB GOTY. Best of Luck! |
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09-05-09 | Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays -171 | Top | 8-6 | Loss | -171 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Never Lost Saturday Night MLB Blowout on Rays -171
Bottom Line: Love the Rays in this bounce back spot with Shields on the hill who is 5-0 against the money line lifetime against Detroit with an ERA of 2.97. Plus, the Tigers are just 3-8 in Galarraga's road starts this season. Shields is 16-2 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons and 26-6 against the money line as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 3 seasons. Take the Rays. |
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08-30-09 | Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies -125 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. East G.O.T.M. (ESPN) on Phillies -125
Bottom Line: Like the Phillies to bounce back strong after getting smoked yesterday. The Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss, 7-0 in Blanton's last 7 Sunday starts, 5-1 in his last 6 home starts, and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Bet Philly in this bounce back spot. |
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08-28-09 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -142 | Top | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. Blowout of the Month on Brewers -142
Bottom Lin: Huge revenge spot for the Brewers, who were swept Aug. 17-19. The Brewers are 3-0 against Pittsburgh at home this season and a ridiculous 20-1 over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are 0-8 in Duke's last 8 road starts vs. Brewers, 5-20 in Duke's last 25 Friday starts, and 5-21 in Duke's last 26 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Bet the Brewers at home. |
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08-25-09 | Detroit Tigers v. Los Angeles Angels -165 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -165 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Tuesday MLB Monster Mismatch on Angels -165
Odds makers are getting tougher with their lines, making it so we'll have to lay more juice from time to time on favorites. I have no problem doing so tonight with all the factors in favor of the Angels. They have the edge at the plate and on the mound, and this is a bounce back spot. Lackey is 6-0 with a 3.31 ERA in eight career starts against the Tigers. The Tigers send Washburn to the hill to face one of the best hitting teams in baseball against lefty starters. In fact, the Angels are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter and 35-17 in their last 52 games overall vs. a left-handed starter. In addition, the Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series while the Tigers are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Look for LA to bounce back tonight. |
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08-21-09 | Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians -114 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
5* MLB Revenge Game of the Month on Indians -114
I'm going after my revenge on the diamond with the Indians at home tonight. They come into this series with a great deal of momentum after cleaning LA's clock yesterday while the Mariners come in off a disappointing 1-run loss (blew save in 9th). Both teams send lefties to the mound and the key here is that the Indians are one of the best lefty thumping teams in the league while the Mariners are one of the worst. Cleveland is hitting .285 against lefty starters and scoring 6 runs per game while Seattle is hitting just .253 and scoring only 3.8 runs per game. Plus, the Indians smoked the M's in Seattle in late July, outscoring them 31-6 in a 3-game sweep. The last game of that series was a 12-3 win for the Indians. This is important because Seattle is only 5-18 against the money line revenging a loss where its opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 2 seasons. We'll bounce back on the bases with the Indians. |
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08-17-09 | Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers -130 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Monday Night Monster on Rangers -130
These two teams are clearly heading in different directions and I'll take the one on the upside at home with the hotter starter on the hill at a favorable price. The Rangers are an impressive 9-0 in their last 9 games as a home favorite, 20-6 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, and 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers have shelled lefties at home all season and I expect there to be no change with the struggling Liriano taking the mound tonight. On the other side, the Rangers have won 4 of Hunter's last 5 starts and he has an excellent 2.26 ERA this season. I love our chances of bouncing back with the Rangers this evening. |
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08-16-09 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins -146 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -146 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday MLB Early Blowout on Twins -146
The Twins crushed the Tribe 11-0 Friday but then fell yesterday. I like them big again this afternoon in this bounce back spot. Blackburn heads to the hill for Minne and he is 5-1 with a 3.43 ERA at home this season. He is coming off his worst outing of the season against the Royals and that should have him re-focused against a team he has dominated to the tune of 5-1 against the money line with an ERA of 1.54 in his career. The Twins are 5-0 in Blackburn's last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 12-3 in his last 15 starts as a home favorite. The Twins will also be licking their chops over seeing a lefty today as they are 26-8 in their last 34 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Plus, the Indians are 1-8 in Laffey's last 9 starts as a road underdog. The Indians are just 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota. Pound the Twins. |
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08-15-09 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays -170 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night Baseball Bomb on Rays -170
The Rays have now dropped 5 in a row. They'll be extremely hungry to get back in the win column tonight and we'll pound them in this bounce back spot here. The Blue Jays have really struggled against lefty hurlers so having Kazmir on the rubber gives the Rays the edge tonight. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Tallet has really struggled of late for the Jays, going 0-3 against the money line in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.067. Plus he is 0-2 against the money line versus Tampa in his career with an ERA of 13.00 and a WHIP of 2.333. The Rays are 46-11 in their last 57 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, 16-2 in Kazmir's last 18 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, 23-3 in Kazmir's last 26 starts during game 2 of a series, and 20-6 in his last 26 home starts period. Take the Rays. |
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08-14-09 | Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers -117 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Line Mistake of the Month on Tigers -117
Greinke going for the Royals is keeping this line low and we'll use that to our advantage by loading up here. The Royals are 1-6 in Greinke's last 7 starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League Central, and 8-23 in his last 31 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Plus, the Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win and 1-11 in their last 12 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 17-6 in their last 23 games as a home favorite and I'll back them here. |
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08-11-09 | Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins -200 | Top | 14-6 | Loss | -200 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 2009 American League G.O.T.Y. on Twins -200
I'll lay the juice to get the Twins at home today against the lowly Royals, who send Kyle Davies to the hill. Davies has been awful over his last 3 starts, posting an ERA of 14.29 and a WHIP of 2.381. Plus, the Royals are 0-7 in hi last 7 starts as an underdog, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts. Blackburn has been money at home, where he is 5-0 with a rock solid 2.95 ERA this season. The Twins are 17-5 in his last 22 home starts and 13-3 in his last 16 starts as a home favorite. The Twins are 83-38 in their last 121 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 21-4 in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Twins! |
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08-10-09 | Chicago Cubs v. Colorado Rockies -130 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. Game of the Month on Rockies -130
The Rocks have the edge at the plate and on the hill tonight. Both teams send southpaws to the island and the Rockies are 8-0 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Plus, they are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 4 of a series. The Rockies are 5-0 in De La Rosa's last 5 home starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite, 6-0 in his last 6 starts with 4 days of rest, and 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the National League Central. The Cubs are just 4-20 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Pound the Rockies at home. |
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08-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals -210 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Favorite of the Year on Cardinals -210
I'm laying some hefty juice today, but I feel the Cards are well worth this price. This is the strongest play on the board when you consider the advantages that the Cardinals have at the plate and on the mound. On the mound, Wainwright is 9-1 against the money line in road games this season, winning by an average score of 6.9 to 3.2, and 8-0 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season, winning by an average score of 7.6 to 3.4. The Pirates have lost each of Charlie Morton's last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.560. In addition, he is 0-2 in 2 career starts versus the Cards with an astronomical 21.60 ERA and a ridiculous WHIP of 4.200. The duo of Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday give the Cardinals a big edge at the plate as well. Expect the Bucs to drop their 7th straight Saturday. |
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08-06-09 | Atlanta Braves v. Los Angeles Dodgers -127 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout of the Year on Dodgers -127
The Dodgers took 2 of 3 in Atlanta last weekend with their one loss in the series coming to former teammate Derek Lowe. I don't expect Lowe's trip back to LA to be a welcome one tonight as the Dodgers will not let him beat them again, especially not on their home turf. The Dodgers are 59-24 in their last 83 games as a home favorite and 38-16 in their last 54 games following a loss. They are 6-0 in Wolf's last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game, 7-1 in his last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game, and 6-1 in his last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Overall, the Dodgers are 14-4 in Wolf's last 18 home starts. The Braves are just 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win and I'll fade them out on the road tonight against the Dodgers, who find themselves in an extreme bounce back spot after a series loss to Milwaukee. |
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08-04-09 | Texas Rangers -119 v. Oakland Athletics | Top | 0-6 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. West GOTY on Rangers -119
The Rangers have won 11 of their last 15 overall and are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. I'll pound them in this bounce back spot against the lowly A's tonight. The Rangers should be able to feast on Gio Gonzalez, who is 0-2 with an ERA of 14.29 and a WHIP of 2.998 in 3 home starts this season. The Rangers have won 2 of Holland's last 3 starts and he is coming off a brilliant 2-hit performance against the M's. With no better than the A's hit lefties (6-14 in their last 20 home games vs. a left-handed starter), I'll side with Holland and the Rangers here. |
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08-02-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Atlanta Braves -120 | Top | 9-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy National TV GOTY on Braves -120
The Dodgers are just 2-5 in their last 7 overall, not looking nearly as invincible in the 2nd half as they did in the first. Plus, they send a struggling Billingsley to the hill whose ERA is 9.45 over his last 3 starts. And he is 0-2 in his career against Atlanta with an ERA of 7.84 and a WHIP of 2.033. The Braves are 11-3 in their last 14 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. They send Jurrjens to the hill who has been strong all season (2.69 ERA) and he is 2-0 in his career against the Dodgers with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.077. The Dodgers are just 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Atlanta. Pound the Braves tonight. |
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07-30-09 | Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers -150 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Bounce Back BLOOD BATH on Rangers -150
I'll back the red hot Rangers at home in this bounce back spot tonight. The Boys of Arlington are a perfect 3-0 at home against the Mariners this season and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. Plus, they are 18-8 against the AL West on the year. The M's have lost 4 straight series openers and are just 6-18 in their last 24 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The M's don't have the offense to keep up with Texas tonight, especially against southpaw starters, as they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game against them. Texas has dominated lefty starting pitching, scoring 5.3 runs per game against them and is 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Plus, the Rangers are 22-8 in their last 30 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Back the Rangers. |
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07-28-09 | Kansas City Royals v. Baltimore Orioles -120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. Game of the Month on Orioles -120
The Royals have dropped 11 of their last 13 and I look for them to fall tonight after winning game 1 of this series. The Orioles average 5.1 runs per game at home while the Royals average just 3.5 runs per game on the road. Baltimore has won 14 of the last 20 meetings in this matchup, including 9 of the last 12 at home. The Royals have not been able to do anything against right-handed starting pitching recently, going 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. Plus, the Royals are 1-9 in Bannister's last 10 starts vs. the American League East and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Orioles will be hungry to start doing some winning against the lowly Royals after back-to-back series defeats at New York and Boston. Cash in with the O's. |
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07-27-09 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners -166 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -166 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Monday Night Monster on Mariners -166
After dropping 3 in a row at home in blowout fashion, expect the M's to come storming back tonight behind their ace. Hernandez has been the most dominant pitcher in the bigs over the past couple months, going 7-0 with a major league-best 1.30 ERA in 11 consecutive quality starts. The Mariners are 10-1 in his last 11 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the American League East, and 8-0 in his last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Blue Jays are just 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Seattle, 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win, and 5-17 in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. I'll back the Mariners behind their ace in this bounce back spot. |
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07-26-09 | Texas Rangers -144 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Year on Rangers -144
After going down Saturday, I look for the Rangers to come storming back this afternoon behind Millwood, who was brilliant in his last start against the Red Sox. The Rangers are 6-0 in Millwood's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, 6-0 in his last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, and 5-1 in his last 6 starts vs. the Royals. KC counters with Ponson and they are 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Plus, they are just are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rangers, with 15 more wins on the season than KC, are the superior club. Bet Texas. |
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07-24-09 | Florida Marlins v. Los Angeles Dodgers -150 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Friday Night MLB GOTY on Dodgers -150
I like the Dodgers to keep rolling at home tonight against a Marlins team that has lost its last 5 Friday games and is just 1-8 in their last 9 games following an off day. The Dodgers have won 5 in a row and they are in good hands with the lefty Kershaw on the hill tonight as they are 7-0 in his last 7 starts. The Dodgers are an incredible 44-15 in their last 59 games as a home favorite and I won't hesitate to back them here. |
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07-23-09 | St. Louis Cardinals -165 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Thursday Night MLB BLOOD BATH on Cardinals -165
The Cards are worth the price tonight as they will be out for blood against the worst team in baseball after being swept by division rival Houston. The Nats have letdown written all over them tonight after pulling out the series win over a Mets team that has had their number. Placing Jordan Zimmermann on the DL puts the Nats a major disadvantage tonight. They have been forced to call up Collin Balester, who struggled in the bigs last season and who has been far from great in Triple-A. In fact, he is just 7-9 with a 4.35 ERA in 19 starts for Syracuse and he was just 3-7 with a 5.51 ERA in 15 starts for Washington in 2008. The Nationals are 4-10 in Balester's last 14 starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cards have a big edge with Wainwright on the hill this evening. He has been a road warrior for them this season as they are 8-1 in his road starts. Also, the Cardinals are 8-1 in Wainwright's last 9 starts vs. the National League East and 12-2 in his last 14 road starts. The Cards have also won 7 of the last 9 meetings in this head-to-head. Cash in with the Cards. |
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07-22-09 | Los Angeles Angels -115 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Monster Mismatch of the Month on Angels -115
The Royals are desperate for a win after dropping eight straight but I don't see them ending the skid behind Bannister as they are 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog, 0-5 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 0-5 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Angels are rolling, having won 4 in a row and 8 of their last 9. The Angels are an impressive 22-7 in their last 29 meetings in Kansas City and a perfect 5-0 against KC this season. The Royals really struggle swinging the sticks against lefty starters, scoring just 3.7 runs per game against them this season, so it comes as no surprise that Saunders is 2-0 in his career against KC with an ERA of 0.56 and a WHIP of 1.000. The Angels are 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 starts as a road favorite. Bet the Halos. |
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07-21-09 | Seattle Mariners v. Detroit Tigers -151 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. Blowout of the Year on Tigers -151
The Tigers return home hungry after getting swept by the Yanks in New York and I fully expect them to get back in the win column tonight as they are one of the best home teams in baseball at 27-13 on the season. The Mariners have had their struggles against Detroit and especially in Detroit as they are just 5-12 in the last 17 meetings and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Detroit. Another big key here is that the M's send the lefty Olson to the hill and the Tigers have had lots of success against lefty starters. In fact, they are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers send Porcello to the hill and they are 5-1 in his last 6 home starts. Plus, he is 1-0 against the M's with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.714 while Olson is 0-1 when starting against Detroit with an ERA of 11.73 and a WHIP of 2.347. I'll take the Tigers at home in this bounce back spot. |
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07-20-09 | New York Mets +115 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 6-2 | Win | 115 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 2009 MLB Underdog of the Year on NY Mets +115
I don't care how badly the Mets have struggled. There's no way the Nats should be laying points with a rookie pitcher on the hill tonight. The Mets are 7-2 against Washington this season. And they send Hernandez to the hill, who is 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA against the Nationals this year, and he |
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07-09-09 | Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies -123 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy on N.L. Non-Division GOTY on Rockies -123
Hanson has been superb for the Braves since getting called up, but he's yet to pitch in flighty Coors where the Rocks are averaging 5.6 runs per game. Atlanta has been at its worst against right starters, averaging only 3.5 runs per game, and it faces a good one tonight in Aaron Cook. Cook has posted a 1.98 ERA in his last six outings and threw a 4-hit gem in Atlanta to shut out the Braves 9-0 back on May 21. The Rockies are 25-7 in their last 32 overall, 20-6 in their last 26 games following a win, 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a losing record, and 9-2 in their last 11 home games. The Braves are just 1-4 in their last 5 visits to Coors and I expect their tough luck in the Mile High City to continue. |
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07-08-09 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers -115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Wednesday Night MLB BEST BET on Brewers -115
After getting embarrassed last night, you can count on the Brew Crew to bounce back strong at home. Suppan loves pitching against his former club as he is 7-3 when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 3.31. In fact, the Brewers are 6-1 in Suppan's last 7 starts vs. the Cardinals. The Cards send Wellemeyer to the hill and he has struggled within the division. The Cardinals are 3-9 in Wellemeyer's last 12 starts vs. the National League Central and 1-4 in Wellemeyer's last 5 starts vs. the Brewers. The Cardinals are just 4-11 in the last 15 meetings. Milwaukee is a terrific 21-9 when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 43-18 in their last 61 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Bet the Brew Crew. |
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07-07-09 | Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox -147 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB 1st Half GOTY on White Sox -147
I'll fade the worst team in the AL tonight as the pitcher they send to the hill (Sowers) is 0-6 against the money line in his career when starting against the Sox with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.649. The Sox had their 7-game winning streak snapped with back-to-back losses to lowly Kansas City and that even makes them hungrier in this spot with their ace Mark Buehrle on the hill. Buehrle has an ERA of 2.88 at home this season and has been even better of late. The Sox are 3-0 in his last 3 starts where he has posted an ERA of 1.71. Sox get the call as my hardest hitter of the first half. |
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07-06-09 | Florida Marlins v. San Francisco Giants -156 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. Pitching Mismatch of the Year on Giants -156
The Giants, which are a strong 26-13 at home, have a huge edge on the hill with Cain tonight, who is 9-2 on the season with a 2.48 ERA and 5-1 at home with a 2.44 ERA. The Marlins Sean West has an ERA of 6.28 over his last 3 starts and the Fish are just 1-4 in West's last 5 starts as an underdog. Plus, West is a lefty, and the Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 5-0 in Cains last 5 home starts, 4-0 in Cains last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, 6-0 in Cains last 6 starts as a favorite, and 4-0 in Cains last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Take advantage of this big pitching mismatch tonight. |
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07-05-09 | Tampa Bay Rays -130 v. Texas Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN GOTY on Rays -130
The Rangers are 5-12 in Feldman's last 17 home starts, 2-8 in his last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The fade is on for Feldman whose ERA is 5.50 over his last 3 starts. I expect the Rays' bats to finally come around tonight and for Garza, who is 3-1 lifetime against Texas with an ERA of 1.98, to shut down the Rangers. Pound Tampa Bay! |
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07-04-09 | Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins -105 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy AL Central GOTY on Twins -105
Plain and simple, the Twins have consistently been one of the best home teams in baseball and I'll pound them in this bounce back spot today. The Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 51-20 in their last 71 games as a home favorite. The Tigers are just 27-57 in the last 84 meetings in Minnesota and 4-12 in their last 16 games as an underdog. Detroit hasn't given Jackson much run support this season and they haven't done much scoring on the road period while Minne is averaging 5.5 runs per at home. Bet the Twins. |
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07-03-09 | St. Louis Cardinals -123 v. Cincinnati Reds | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. Blowout of the Year on Cardinals -123
The Reds are 0-6 in Bailey's last 6 home starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-4 in his last 4 starts during game 1 of a series. I like the Cards to really run up the score on Bailey and his 12.47 home ERA tonight. Plus, he is 0-2 in his career when starting against St. Louis with an ERA of 14.71 and a WHIP of 3.134 while his counterpart, Joel Pineiro is 3-1 when starting against Cincy with an ERA of 2.97 and a WHIP of 1.121 in his career. I like the Cards big in this one! |
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07-02-09 | Chicago White Sox -146 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Thursday Night MLB Blowout on White Sox -146
I'll back the white hot White Sox, who have won 5 in a row and 9 of their last 11, with their ace on the hill tonight. The White Sox are an incredible 20-6 in Buehrle's last 26 starts vs. the Royals, 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game 1 of a series, 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a road favorite, and 11-4 in all his starts this season. Bet the White Sox. |
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07-01-09 | Philadelphia Phillies -104 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Road Warrior of the Month on Phillies -104
The reigning World Series champs are worthy of the Road Warrior of the Month tag tonight at this price behind World Series MVP Cole Hamels, who will be hungry to get back in the win column after blowing up in his last start. The Phillies are 4-0 in Hamels' last 4 road starts vs. the Braves and 8-1 in Hamels' last 9 starts vs. the Braves overall. The Phillies are also 22-4 in Hamels' last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 20-6 in their last 26 games as a road favorite. The Braves are 0-5 in Jurrjens' last 5 starts, 0-5 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series, and 0-5 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Pound the Phillies! |
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06-30-09 | Washington Nationals v. Florida Marlins -150 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. East Game of the Year on Marlins -150
The Marlins have won eight straight against the Nats and I'll back them again tonight to pick up their 10th straight home series victory against Capital City. Marlins rookie southpaw Sean West has been good and he gives the Fish the edge in the starting pitching department as Washington is just 6-15 against lefty starters this season and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Marlins have won 6 straight at home and I look for them to keep rolling tonight. |
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06-28-09 | Detroit Tigers -145 v. Houston Astros | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Revenge GOTY on Tigers -145
Looking for revenge Sunday with a team looking for a little revenge of its own after dropping the first two games of this series to Houston. You have to like Detroit's chances with Jackson on the hill, who has an ERA of only 1.89 in 8 road starts this season. The Tigers are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series, 9-2 in their last 11 Sunday games, and 46-12 in their last 58 interleague games as a favorite. The Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 4-11 in their last 15 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Bet the Tigers in this big bounce back spot! |
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06-27-09 | San Diego Padres v. Texas Rangers -150 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night BEST BET BLOWOUT on Rangers -150
I'll take the team swinging the hot bats at home in this matchup of two subpar pitchers. The Padres are 3-10 in their last 13 overall, 4-17 in their last 21 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record, and 10-42 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rangers are 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a losing record and 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Pound the Rangers. |
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06-26-09 | San Francisco Giants v. Milwaukee Brewers -144 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy National League GOTM on Brewers -144
The Giants are 4-17 in Cain's last 21 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning record, 14-5 in their last 19 during game 1 of a series, and 5-0 in Gallardo's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Lastly, the Giants are 3-14 in the last 17 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers have struggled over the last week, but I like their chances tonight against a Giants team scoring only 3.4 runs per game on the road. Bet the Beermakers! |
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06-25-09 | Bos Red Sox -119 v. Was Nationals | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Thursday Night MONSTER on Red Sox -119
I'll back Smoltz in his first start of the season against the worst team in baseball. It's not like he doesn't know how to win as the the only pitcher ever to win 200 games and save 150. Plus, he posted a 2.63 ERA in six minor league rehab starts. On top of that, Boston is rolling right now. The Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 road games, 23-5 in their last 28 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter, and 50-15 in their last 65 interleague games as a favorite. The Nationals are just 1-6 in Zimmermann's last 7 starts. Lastly, the Red Sox are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in this matchup. Take the Sox at a solid price. |
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06-24-09 | Minnesota Twins v. Milwaukee Brewers +110 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Line Mistake of the Year on Brewers +110
The odds makers have the wrong team favored tonight and we will take full advantage. The Twins may have won last night, but they are still only 12-21 away from home this season. Here's the keys: the Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 0-10 in Blackburn's last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Plus, the Brewers are 4-0 in Looper's last 4 Wednesday starts. Take the Brew Crew showing great value at home tonight. |
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06-23-09 | Boston Red Sox -133 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 11-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 19-0 Interleague Game of the Year on Red Sox -133
Boston heads out on the road following a 6-game homestand and that bodes well for Bean Town tonight as the Red Sox are 10-0 after 5 or more consecutive home games this season, winning by an average score of 6.5 to 4.0 in these spots. Plus, Boston is 9-0 when playing with a day off this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 6.4 to 2.6. The Red Sox are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in this matchup and I'll take them tonight at a nice price. |
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06-22-09 | San Francisco Giants v. Oakland Athletics -144 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Monday Night Monster on A's -144
The A's return home tonight and they'll be out for revenge after getting swept at San Francisco in their first interleague series with the Giants this season. I like the A's to return the favor here. They face the Giants' Sanchez, who is 0-6 with a 6.60 ERA on the road this season and 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA over his last 3 starts. The A's Cahill has an ERA of only 2.45 over his last 3 starts and the A's have won all three of them. Cahill has allowed three runs or less in his last six starts and it will also be to his benefit that the Giants have never seen him. The Giants are 1-11 in Sanchez's last 12 road starts, 0-7 in his last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game, and 0-8 in his last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Athletics are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Bet the A's. |
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06-21-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Los Angeles Angels -126 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -126 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Never Lost MLB Intracity GOTY on Angels -126
I give the edge to the Halos in tonight's series rubbermatch with their ace John Lackey hurling. Lackey has had the Dodgers' number. He is 5-1 when starting against them with an ERA of 1.53 and a WHIP of 0.925 in his career and the Angels are 4-0 in Lackey's last 4 home starts vs. the Dodgers. But here's the clincher: Lackey is 11-0 against the money line in home interleague games in his career, with his team winning by an average score of 4.6 to 1.8 in these spots. Back the Halos behind this never been beaten system. |
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06-20-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Seattle Mariners -127 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Revenge Game of the Month on Mariners -127
The Diamondbacks are 0-5 in the last 5 meetings in this matchup following last nights loss and they are fade material again tonight with the righty Buckner on the hill as the Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The M's are a perfect 3-0 in the lefty Vargas' home starts this season and that looks good here considering the Diamondbacks are 2-9 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the M's! |
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06-19-09 | Atlanta Braves v. Boston Red Sox -146 | Top | 8-2 | Loss | -146 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Letdown GOTY on Red Sox -146
The Braves are 0-13 in road games after a win by 6 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. In other words, this one has letdown written all over it for a Braves club averaging a pathetic 3.6 runs per game against righty starters. Plus, the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. Cash in with the Sox at home, where they are 23-9 this season, tonight! |
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06-18-09 | Oakland Athletics v. Los Angeles Dodgers -139 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Blowout of the Year on Dodgers -139
This is a nice price for the best home team in baseball against one of the worst road clubs, especially in a bounce back spot. In fact, the Dodgers are 25-4 in their last 29 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 6-1 in Wolf's last 7 starts, and 11-3 in his last 14 home starts. The Athletics are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague games and 1-6 in their last 7 interleague road games. Pound the Dodgers! |
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06-17-09 | Milwaukee Brewers +123 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 9-8 | Win | 123 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Dog of the Year on Brewers +123
We'll gladly take the better team at this price tonight. The Brewers have won 6 straight in this series and I don't see this streak ending here. The Brewers are 4-0 in Suppan's last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Suppan has been brilliant recently, going 2-0 with an ERA of just 2.12 over his last 3 starts. The Indians are only 3-10 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Brew Crew! |
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06-16-09 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -133 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Interleague Pitching Mismatch of the Year on Rangers -133
Can't pass up the Rangers at this price at home with Millwood on the hill, who is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA over his last 3 starts. Meanwhile, the Astros' Rodriguez is 0-2 with an ERA of 7.02 over his last 3. Plus, Rodriguez is 0-10 against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in his career, losing in these spots by an average score of 3.6 to 6.4. Rodriguez has always had his problems on the road, but especially against aggressive clubs. Pound the Rangers! |
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06-15-09 | Los Angeles Angels -115 v. San Francisco Giants | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB West Coast GOTY on Angels -115
The Angels are 5-1 in Interleague play and I like them to keep rolling tonight behind ace John Lackey. He's off to a slow start but I expect a strong effort tonight following a poor one last time out and against a Giants team averaging only 3.9 runs per game against righties this season. The Angels are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the National League West, and 16-5 in Lackey's last 21 interleague starts. The Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record, 1-7 in Zito's last 8 interleague starts, and 0-4 in Zito's last 4 starts vs. the American League West. Cash in with the Halos! |
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06-13-09 | Seattle Mariners v. Colorado Rockies -175 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night Interleague Blowout on Rockies -175
The Rockies have won 9 in a row and I can't see that streak ending today with Marquis on the hill, who is tied for the NL lead in wins and is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA over his last five starts. Colorado already brings the bigger bats to the ballpark and they gain an even bigger advantage today with a scratch by Bedard sending the reliever Morrow to the hill for Seattle. The Rockies are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter. Cash in with Colorado! |
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06-08-09 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers -146 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Texas -146
I'll back the Rangers in their return home tonight with Feldman on the hill, who is 5-0 with an ERA of 2.62 in all starts this season. In fact, the Rangers are 7-1 in his 8 starts this season. The Ranger bats, which are averaging 6.2 runs per game at home, have a big edge against the Jays' Janssen, who is 0-2 when starting against Texas with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 1.500 in his career. The Blue Jays are 3-13 in their last 16 road games, 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog, and 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rangers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games and 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Pound Texas. |
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06-06-09 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
5* MLB Parlay of the Month on Dodgers -120/Over 9
The best home team in baseball improved to 21-7 at home with last night's thrilling come from behind win. That win is a confidence booster and momentum creator that will keep the Dodgers rolling today. The Over is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles in this series. The Over is 4-0 in Blanton's last 4 starts during game 3 of a series and 6-1-1 in Kuroda's last 8 starts as a favorite. Pound the Dodgers and the over this afternoon. |
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06-05-09 | Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals -175 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -175 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy 2009 National League GOTY on Cardinals -175
I firmly believe the Cards are worth the juice in this spot and that's why they are getting the call as my National League Game of the Year. The Cards are at home, where they are 19-11 this season, with their ace Wainwright on the hill, who has a career 0.52 ERA in six games against the Rockies. The Cards are facing a team that is just 12-18 on the road this season and only 2-9 in its last 11 meetings in St. Louis. The huge angle here is that the Cards are facing a starting pitcher (De La Rosa)that is 0-6 on the season and has an ERA of 13.50 over his last 3 starts. The Rockies are 0-5 in De La Rosas last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 0-9 in his last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-4 in his last 4 starts with 4 days of rest. Plus, the Rockies are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Lastly, the Cardinals are 5-0 in Wainwrights last 5 Friday starts and 20-8 in his last 28 starts as a home favorite. Pound the Cards! |
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06-02-09 | Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NL Central GOTY on Cards -120
The Cardinals are 4-0 in Thompson's last 4 starts vs. the Reds while the Reds are 1-4 in Arroyo's last 5 road starts vs. the Cardinals. The Cards are 12-4 at home against the Reds the last 3 seasons and I expect them to be hungry tonight after dropping Game 1. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series, 6-1 in Thompson's last 7 starts during game 2 of a series, 9-2 in Thompson's last 11 home starts, and 8-1 in Thompson's last 9 starts vs. the National League Central. The Reds are only 1-6 in their last 7 road games. Pound the Cards tonight. |
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06-01-09 | Oakland Athletics v. Chicago White Sox -128 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy A.L. Non-Division GOTY on White Sox -128
I'll back the Sox at home in a big way tonight against an A's team that has struggled on the road all season. The White Sox are rolling, having won 9 of their last 12, and I like them in this returning home spot following a long road trip as they are 8-2 in their last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Plus, the White Sox have won Game 1 of their last 4 series'. The White Sox are an impressive 17-5 in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a road winning pct. of less than .400. Back the Sox tonight. |
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05-16-09 | Cincinnati Reds -128 v. San Diego Padres | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Road Warrior GOTY on Reds -128
Expect the Reds to bounce back strong tonight as they are are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss and 4-0 in their last 4 during Game 2's in a series. The Reds are also an impressive 15-3 in Volquez's last 18 road starts and 21-6 in their last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Padres are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win and 0-4 in Greer's last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Pound the Reds. |
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05-15-09 | Oakland Athletics v. Detroit Tigers -147 | Top | 1-14 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Non-Division GOTY on Tigers -147
Off 3 straight defeats the Tigers return home, and I expect them to get right back in the win column tonight. They should have their way at the plate with the A's Brett Anderson, who is 0-3 with an ERA of 5.79. The A's are 0-5 in Anderson's starts this season. Edwin Jackson has been good for the Tigers with an ERA of only 2.60. Two huge systems back this one as well. Plays on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL are 34-7 the last 5 years. Also, Play against road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (OAKLAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), in May games are 71-26 the last 5 years. Pound the Tigers! |
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05-08-09 | Kansas City Royals -119 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
5* MLB Road Chalk BLOWOUT of the Year on Royals -119
I'll ride the red hot Royals on the road tonight behind Gil Meche, who is 8-2 in his career against the Angels. The Royals bring a 6-game losing streak into LA, where they have won 4 of their last 5. The Royals are 17-5 in their last 22 vs. American League West, 6-1 in Meche's last 7 starts with 4 days of rest, and 18-8 in Meche's last 26 starts overall. Lastly, KC is 19-5 against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Ride the Royals tonight. |
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05-07-09 | Chicago Cubs -147 v. Houston Astros | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. Central GOTM on Cubs -147
I'll back the Cubs tonight behind Ted Lilly, who has had Houston's number at 4-1 in his career with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 0.993 against the Astros. After a rough stretch, the Cubs have now won 5 of their last 6. Lastly, plays against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, are 115-36 the last 5 seasons. We'll pound the Cubs behind this super system tonight. |
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05-05-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers -118 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout of the Month on Dodgers -118
The Dodgers are off to an 11-0 start this season and I don't see it ending tonight against Scherzer, who is just 1-10 against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. LA is showing exceptional value as a relatively small favorite against a team that is just 11-15 on the year. The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Scherzer's last 6 road starts. The Diamondbacks are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Bet LA. |
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05-03-09 | Chicago White Sox -130 v. Texas Rangers | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball GOTM on White Sox -130
Have to back the White Sox on the road tonight as they hold a big advantage in the starting pitching department. Danks is 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA on the season, including a perfect 2-0 on the road with just a 1.38 ERA. Harrison has struggled his way to a 7.89 ERA in the early going, including a 10.8 ERA at home. The Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter while the Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 4-1 against southpaw starters this season. The White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 Sunday games and 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss. The Rangers are 1-6 in their last 7 Sunday games and only 9-23 in their last 32 vs. a team with a winning record. I'll back the White Sox tonight. |
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04-30-09 | San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers -145 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout of the Month on Dodgers -145
The Dodgers return home tonight, where they are a perfect 6-0 this season, and I fully expect them to mop up the floor with the Padres. The Dodgers don't send their best pitcher to the mound, but they have a solid defense behind to pick him up. In fact, San Diego is 1-12 against the money line vs. good fielding teams (turning 1.1 or more DP's/game) over the last 2 seasons. The Padres are also just 4-19 against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons. The Dodgers are 14-2 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Bet LA! |
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04-28-09 | Los Angeles Angels -112 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Monster Mismatch of the Month on Angels -112
I'll back Saunders on the hill tonight without hesitation. First off, the Angels are 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 starts vs. the Orioles. Secondly, the Angels are 18-4 in Saunders' last 22 starts during game 1 of a series, 19-6 in Saunders' last 25 starts with 5 days of rest, 20-7 in Saunders' last 27 road starts, and 40-17 in Saunders' last 57 starts overall. The O's are atrocious against lefties and they're up against one of the best tonight. In fact, the Orioles are 10-27 in their last 37 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Angels! |
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04-27-09 | Los Angeles Dodgers -127 v. San Francisco Giants | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy N.L. West GOTY on Dodgers -127
The Dodgers beat Zito 7-2 on April 16th as they continued their dominance against southpaw starters. The Dodgers are a perfect 4-0 against lefty starters this season and 12-4 against the NL West. The Giants are just 6-8 in the division. The Dodgers are 28-11 in their last 39 vs. National League West, 13-5 in their last 18 games following a loss, and 24-9 in their last 33 games as a favorite. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Wolf's last 4 starts during game 1 of a series and 6-1 in Wolf's last 7 starts as a favorite. The Giants are 3-12 in Zito's last 15 starts as a home underdog, 1-6 in Zito's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 6-20 in Zito's last 26 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Take the Dodgers! |
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04-26-09 | New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox -140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball GOTY on Red Sox -140
The Sox are rolling right now, having won 9 in a row, and the key has been that they have been swinging big bats, scoring 10 or more runs in 4 of those wins including yesterday's 16-11 win. Boston is 24-5 against the money line at home when the total is 10 or higher over the last 2 seasons, 20-5 against the money line in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons, 18-4 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons, 21-5 against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons, and 22-5 against the money line vs. a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse over the last 2 seasons. All signs point to the Red Sox tonight. Sunday Night Baseball GOTY - Good Luck! |
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04-25-09 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Chicago White Sox -155 | Top | 2-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy MLB Public Opinion GOTY on White Sox -155
Got to love the White Sox at home with Buehrle on the hill in an extreme bounce back spot. The Sox are 31-14 against the money line in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Buehrle is 16-3 against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons and an even more impressive 19-3 against the money line in his last 22 home games when pitching on Saturday. Back Buehrle and the Sox today! |