Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -167

Bottom Line: The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, and I expect them to build on this trend with ace David Price on the hill.  The Rays are an impressive 52-25 in his last 77 starts versus the American League East.  He's 7-2 with an ERA of 2.70 in 16 career starts versus Baltimore.  The Orioles are 0-4 in Jimenez's division starts this season, and he's compiled an ERA of 6.75 in these games.  Pound the Rays.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -149

Bottom Line: The Indians are 29-10 at home the last 2 seasons when priced at -125 to -175 and 16-4 at home during this span when playing against a team with a winning percentage of 46-49%.  The Tribe is 17-3 the last 3 seasons versus clubs starting a pitcher who strikes out an average of 3 batters per start of less.  Minnesota's Gibson isn't a high-volume strikeout guy, and the Indians have thrived against such pitchers.  Gibson has an ERA of 9.00 on the road this season, and he's given up 12 runs over his last 2 starts spanning just 9 2-3 innings.  The Twins are 0-4 in Gibson's last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days).  McAllister's last two outings were rough (not as bad as Gibson's last 2) but both were on the road.  He's been a different pitcher at home where he has a 1.32 ERA.  The Indians are 5-1 in McAllister's last 6 home starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite and 7-1 in his last 8 starts on 4 days' rest.  The Twins are 3-0 in McAllister's last 3 starts versus the Twins.  Gibson beat the Indians earlier this season, but the second time around won't go as smoothly now that they are more familiar with him.  Minnesota hasn't seen McAllister yet this season, and that is to his benefit.  The Twins are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.  Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball *BEST BET* on Cardinals -141

Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 68-31 in their last 99 games following a loss, 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 26-4 in their last 30 when out for revenge for a loss as a road favorite.  They are 28-11 in Lynn's last 39 starts versus National League Central foes, 5-1 in his last 6 road starts and 16-6 in his last 22 starts following a team loss.  The Cubs are only 16-33 in their last 49 home games, 16-39 in their last 55 games following a win, 13-40 in their last 53 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 15-43 in their last 58 games versus a right-handed starter.  They are also just 3-7 in their last 10 versus St. Louis.  Pound the Cards.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -153

Bottom Line: Riding the golden arm of Johnny Cueto here.  The Cincy right-hander has an ERA of 1.15 on the season and an ERA of 0.35 over his last 3 starts.  The Reds are 9-0 in his last 9 home starts versus teams with a winning record and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus the Brewers.  He has allowed 3 runs or fewer in each of these 7 wins (2 runs or less in 6 of them), which have come by an average of 2.6 runs.  Gallardo has a 4.35 ERA in 20 starts versus the Reds, and the Brewers are 3-8 in his last 11 starts in Cincinnati.  Pound the Reds.

5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Week on Royals -143

Bottom Line: The Royals are 40-17 when the money line is -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons, and I expect them to build on this streak with Shields stepping to the mound.  The right-hander has a 2.02 ERA on the season and a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 starts.  The Royals are 21-8 in Shields' last 29 starts, 17-4 in his last 21 starts as a favorite, 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record.  Detroit's Porcello has an ERA of 3.96 on the season, an ERA of 4.91 over his last 3 starts and a 7.15 ERA on the road.  The Tigers are 5-11 in Porcello's last 16 starts versus a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 starts as an underdog.  The Tigers are a poor 4-10 in their last 14 games as an underdog and 2-5 in their last 7 games in Kansas City.  Pound KC.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -144

Bottom Line: The Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games and 3-18 in their last 21 home games against the Reds, including 0-4 in their last 4.  They are 1-12 in Edwin Jackson's last 13 starts, including 0-6 in his last 6.  The Cubs are also 0-8 in Jackson's last 8 starts following a loss in their previous game.  Cincy's Tony Cingrani has quietly been one of the best hurlers in the bigs since making his first start last season.  He has allowed 5 hits or fewer in each of his 21 career starts.  Jackson has allowed at least 8 hits in 4 of his last 5 starts.  He's allowed 6 hits or more in 12 of his last 14 starts.  Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Rockies -144

Bottom Line: The Rockies ended their road trip by taking 2 of 3 in San Diego to head home with some nice momentum.  Coors Field has treated them well so far.  They have won 4 of 6 there while averaging 7.5 runs and batting .354.  Pettibone was crushed at Coors last season in his lone start against the Rockies.  Chatwood got the win that day, tossing a gem.  The Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter and 4-0 in Chatwood's last 4 starts in the opening game of a series.  The Phillies are 18-39 in their last 57 road games and 1-5 in Pettibone's last 6 road starts.  Playing against road dogs priced between +125 and +175 has resulted in a 107-37 record since 1997 if they are off a victory of 2 runs or less and are taking on a team that has scored 4 runs or less in 5 consecutive games.  Pound the Rockies.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -165

Bottom Line: The Rays have won each of Price's first 3 starts while he's posted a 2.91 ERA.  They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. He's outdueled Sabathia time and time again, and the Rays are 8-1 lifetime when Price faces Sabathia as a result, including 3-0 the last 3 times.  Sabathia is struggling (6.63 ERA), and the Yankees are just 1-7 in his last 8 starts versus the Rays and 0-8 in his last 8 road starts versus the Rays.  Pound Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Month on Angels -113

Bottom Line: We missed with the Angels yesterday as they blew a 6-3 lead and lost in 11 innings, but I’m not hesitating to come back with them tonight.  Playing against AL road teams when the moneyline is +125 to -125 has resulted in a 114-59 record the last 5 seasons if they average 4.7 runs per game or less and allowed 8 runs or more last game.  I don’t trust Milone here as he’s allowed 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts against the Angels.  Oakland isn’t familiar with Skaggs, who is 2-0 on the moneyline with an ERA of 2.40 this season.  Pound the Angels.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -110

Bottom Line: Angels are crushing right-handed starters this season, scoring 6.9 runs per game off them with a .343 on-base percentage. They should have little trouble getting to Straily, who is just 1-3 with an ERA of 5.82 in 6 starts against them.  He’s 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Halos, and the A’s have been outscored 13-4 in these games.  Richards is ready to break through against the A’s. He had 2 great outings and 2 bad outings against them last season.   He’s 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA this season and should have success against an Oakland lineup that’s scoring just 4.3 runs per game against righty starters.  The A’s are 2-7 in Straily’s last 9 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 starts in the 2^nd game of a series.  The Angels are 10-3 in Richard’s last 13 home starts and 8-2 in his last 10 starts as a home favorite.  Pound the Angels.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -121
Bottom Line: The Reds got a big confidence boost with yesterday's 12-4 win over the Rays, and I expect them to keep right on rolling. Wandy Rodriguez has an ERA of 4.21 in 30 starts against the Reds, and the Pirates are 0-4 in his last 4 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the Reds. Homer Bailey has a 2.91 ERA in 16 starts against the Pirates, who are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy Interleague *BEST BET* on Reds -138
Bottom Line: Reds have big edge on the mound with Cingrani, who hasn't allowed more than 5 hits in any of his first 20 big-league starts and has allowed more than 3 runs just once in his career. The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite and 9-1 in their last 10 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games versus a left-handed starter. Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Month on Tigers -135
Bottom Line: Verlander is 21-2 with a 2.56 ERA in 28 interleague outings and has won 10 consecutive decisions against the NL while posting a 1.72 ERA. Kennedy has gone 3-8 with a 5.84 ERA in 12 career interleague starts. The Tigers are 53-24 in their last 77 interleague games versus a team with a losing record, 20-6 in Verlander's last 26 interleague starts and 30-12 in his last 42 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Padres are 24-49 in their last 73 interleague games as an underdog and 5-17 in their last 22 interleague home games versus a team with a winning record. Pound the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Orioles -140
Bottom Line: Tillman has already outdueled Boston's Lester and Detroit's Verlander, and I expect him to outduel McGowan as well. The Blue Jays are 10-25 in McGowan's last 35 starts as an underdog, 8-22 in his last 30 road starts and 5-18 in his last 23 starts as a road underdog. The Orioles are 11-4 in Tillman's last 15 starts as a favorite, 10-3 in his last 13 home starts, 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 6-1 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 12-3 in his last 15 series opening starts. The Blue Jays are 5-13 in the last 18 meetings in Baltimore. Pound the Orioles.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -158
Bottom Line: New York has the edge on the mound with Tanaka, who looks like the real deal. He struck out 8 and walked none in his first big league start. Gonzalez's first start wasn't nearly as sharp as he gave up 7 earned in 3 1/3 innings. The Orioles are 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Orioles are 0-3 in Gonzalez's last 3 starts versus the Yankees and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus the Yankees. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -137
Bottom Line: I'll get behind the Cards at home with Lynn on the rubber. The Redbirds are 11-1 in his starts the last 2 seasons versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game. They are 15-1 in his starts the last 3 seasons versus NL teams scoring 3.8 or less runs per game on the season. The Cardinals are 6-1 in Lynn's 7 starts against the Reds, including 2-0 in the home starts. The Reds are 5-13 in Bailey's 18 starts versus the Cardinals, including 1-7 in the road starts. Pound St. Louis.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -144
Bottom Line: The Cardinals finally get their home opener this afternoon, and home has been mighty good to them. They are 38-14 in their last 52 home games and 7-1 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. It's been a slow start for St. Louis offensively as it has an on-base percentage of just .265, but that should change with the venue. And, the Cards are 17-1 in home games the last 3 seasons when they have an on-base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games. They have broken out to win by an average of 4.2 runs in this spot. Cingrani won a duel when these 2 pitchers battled last Wednesday, but I like Wacha to come out on top at home where he is 3-0 in his last 3 and hasn't given up a single run. The Reds are just 17-37 in the last 54 meetings in St. Louis. Pound the Cards.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on A's -148
Bottom Line: Favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that had a very good bullpen last season (ERA of 3.33 or better) and a starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 44-12 since 1997. Additionally, Oakland is 21-5 since the start of last season in home games when it checks in with losses in 2 of its last 3. The Mariners are 0-6 in Ramirez's last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-3 in his starts against the A's. The A's are 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts when he works on 5 days of rest. Pound Oakland.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -125
Bottom Line: Arizona is now 1-6 after getting hammered Friday, and I don't see it bouncing back against De La Rosa. The Rockies are 7-1 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts, 41-11 in his last 52 starts as a favorite and 9-0 in his last 9 home starts versus the D-backs. The D-backs are 1-5 in McCarthy's last 6 road starts and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as an underdog. He has an ERA of 6.00 in 3 career starts against the Rockies (all last season) while De La Rosa has an ERA of 2.53 in 16 career starts in the series. Pound the Rocks.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -117
Bottom Line: I'll get behind Pittsburgh considering it has never lost to Shelby Miller. The Pirates are 4-0 against Miller, outscoring the Cards 24-1 in these games while Miller has posted a 5.32 ERA. The Pirates are 4-0 in Cole's last 4 starts as a favorite, 6-0 in his last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Pound Pittsburgh.

5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Week on Yankees -138
Bottom Line: The Yankees are 42-19 in their last 61 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, and the Astros are 18-58 in their last 76 during game 3 of a series. The Yankees are 39-15 in Nova's starts as a favorite of -110 or higher, including 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Astros are 0-4 in Oberholtzer's last 4 starts, one of which was a loss to the Yankees. Pound NY.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Nationals -131
Bottom Line: The Nationals are an impressive 41-14 in their last 55 games as a road favorite and 12-0 in Gonzalez's last 12 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. They are 6-0 in their last 6 games versus the Mets, 6-0 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts versus the Mets and 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 road starts versus the Mets. THe Mets are 14-48 in their last 62 games as a home underdog and 3-12 in their last 15 games versus a left-handed starter. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy World Series Game of the Year on Cardinals -123
Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss, and I fully expect them to bounce back here with ace Adam Wainwright on the mound. Wainwright has been a force at home where he has a 2.36 ERA on the season and a 1.07 career ERA in the playoffs. The Cardinals are 21-8 in his last 29 home starts, including a perfect 6-0 his L6. Jon Lester hasn't been as sharp outside Fenway with a 4.18 road ERA on the season. The Red Sox have dropped 10 of his L15 road starts. The Cards know they need this game because it will be asking too much to win 2 straight in Boston. Pound the Redbirds.

5* Wiseguy World Series GM1 *BEST BET* on Red Sox -118
Bottom Line: The Cardinals haven't been as strong on the road. They are 2-3 on the road in these playoffs while the Red Sox are 4-1 at home. Going back to last season, the Cards are 2-6 in their last 8 postseason road games. They are also 2-11 in their last 13 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. They are 2-7 in Wainwright's last 9 starts as a road underdog and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus winning clubs. The Red Sox are an impressive 50-15 in their last 65 home games versus NL opponents starting a right-handed pitcher. They are also an unbelievable 8-0 in their last 8 World Series contests. Boston is 12-3 in Lester's home starts this season. Pound Bean Town.

5* Wiseguy NLCS GM6 *BEST BET* on Cardinals +120
Bottom Line: Kershaw is one of the best in the game, but the Dodgers are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the Cardinals, including 0-3 in St. Louis during this stretch. The fact of the matter is the Redbirds are tough as nails at Busch Stadium, where they are 58-28 on the season. Additionally, the Cards are 6-0 as a home underdog this season, winning these games by 4.2 runs on average. They are also 12-0 in home games when playing with a day off this season, winning these by 4.2 runs on average. Pound St. Louis.

5* Wiseguy NLCS Game of the Year on Dodgers -166
Bottom Line: The Cardinals are one win away from reaching the World Series, but let's not forget that they squandered a 3-1 series lead in last year's NLCS, largely because of poor offense. St. Louis is batting only .148 in this series, and its struggles will continue against Greinke. His teams are 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus the Cardinals. LA also has to be happy to see umpire Ted Barrett behind home plate. The home team is 7-0 in Barrett's last 7 games behind home plate, and the Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Barrett behind home plate. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy ALCS GM3 *BEST BET* on Tigers -152
Bottom Line: Verlander is in top form while Lackey is limping in. Verlander hasn't given up a run in his last 4 starts (27 innings) while striking out 43 and walking only 6. Lackey has been tagged for 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 5 starts. It hasn't made sense to go against Verlannder at home long-term as the Tigers are 61-24 in his last 85 home starts. They are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts against Boston. The Tigers are also an imprssive 116-48 in their last 164 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, including 41-15 in their last 56 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Red Sox are 1-7 in their last 8 meetings in Detroit. Pound the Tigers.

5* Wiseguy ALCS Game 2 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Boston Red Sox -119
Bottom Line: Scherzer doesn't have a good history against the Red Sox (2-4 with 7.02 ERA in 8 starts). His clubs have dropped 3 of his 4 starts in Boston, including his last 2. Buchholz has had a better go of it against Detroit. He's 2-1 with a 3.76 ERA in 8 starts. The Red Sox have won 5 of his last 6 starts against the Tigers, including 3 straight at home. This is a game Boston has to have, and I'm not hesitating to make the lay considering the Sox are 28-6 in Buchholz's last 34 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Pound Bean Town.

5* Wiseguy NLDS GAME OF THE YEAR on Cardinals -148
Bottom Line: The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound with the 20-game winner Wainwright. They are 24-11 this season in his starts, including 6-0 in his last 6. The Cards are also 3-0 this season in his home starts versus the Pirates. In his last 2 home starts against them, he's allowed 1 run, 5 hits, struck out 17, walked 2 and went 7 innings in each. The Cards won these 2 starts by a combined score of 14-1. Cole won Game 2 in St. Louis, but I don't see him outdueling a proven ace like Wainwright on the road in this pressure-packed situation. Plus, Wainwright has the much stronger offense supporting him. Pound the Redbirds.

5* Wiseguy ALDS *BEST BET* on Tigers -145
Bottom Line: The A's won yesterday, but they're still 1-4 in their last 5 playoff road games and 2-6 in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. They're also 2-5 in Straily's last 7 starts as a road underdog. The Tigers are 52-25 in their last 77 home games versus a right-handed starter, 23-11 in their last 34 games as a home favorite and 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff home games. Additionally, they are 25-10 in Fister's last 35 home starts. Fister has a 3.55 home ERA while Straily has a 4.11 road ERA. Plus, Fister is more proven in big spots with a 1.71 ERA in 5 career starts in the playoffs. The Tigers' offense has failed them thus far in the series, but the Tigers are 53-27 in home games after scoring 3 runs or less in 2 straight games under manager Leyland. They have busted out to score an average of 5.5 runs in this spot. Pound Detroit.

5* Wiseguy NLDS *BEST BET* on Dodgers -146
Bottom Line: The Braves have not been the same team on the road. They are the only division winner with a road losing record. One of their road losses came against Ryu, who allowed just 1-run in 7 2-3 innings while striking out 6 and walking 1 back on June 7. The Braves, who average 8.6 strikeouts per game, are just 6-16 this season in road games versus starting pitchers like Ryu who strike out an average of 5 batters or more per start. Atlanta is batting just .248 on the season, .238 on the road and .233 against southpaw starters. The Dodgers are 22-5 in the second half of the season versus NL clubs with a batting average of .250 or worse. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -113
Bottom Line: The Rays are 7-3 lifetime in Price's starts at Fenway, including 2-0 in his last 2. He has held Boston to 2 earned runs or fewer in 9 of these starts. He gave up just 3 runs in the one where he didn't. Lackey has allowed 4 runs or more in each of his last 6 starts against the Rays, losing 4 of those. Pound the Rays.

5* Wiseguy NLDS *BEST BET* on Braves -102
Bottom Line: The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game and 3-9 in their last 12 games versus a left-handed starter. The Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 games following a loss and 11-1 in their last 12 home games versus a club with a winning road record. The Braves are 8-0 in Minor's last 8 starts versus NL West clubs, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus winning clubs and 2-0 in his starts against the Dodgers this season. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pirates -125
Bottom Line: The Reds limp into this series at 0-5 in their last 5 games. They were just swept at home by Pittsburgh while getting outscored 16-6. The Reds are also 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games. The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 overall, 37-18 in their last 55 games as a home favorite and 9-2 this season in Liriano's home starts. Pound Pittsburgh.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -125
Bottom Line: Weaver has been given plenty of time to rest his forearm, and that spells bad news for the A's. The Angels are 8-0 in Weaver's last 8 starts on 10 or more days' rest. Plus, Weaver has owned the A's. The Angels are 9-1 in his last 10 starts against them, including 5-0 in his last 5. He hasn't allowed a single run in his last 3 starts against Oakland spanning 22 2-3 innings. Also, the Angels are 9-0 in Weaver's starts in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons versus teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 runs or more per game. Pound LAA.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -128
Bottom Line: I missed with the Braves yesterday but am not hesitating to come right back with them here. They want home-field throughout the NL Playoffs and will be lacking no motivation as a result. The Braves are an impressive 42-18 in their last 60 games as a home favorite. The Brewers are just 1-8 in their last 9 meetings in Atlanta. The Braves are also 34-15 the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss versus an opponent as a home favorite. They are also 35-12 the last 2 seasons in home games after a game where they were held to 2 runs or less. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -145
Bottom Line: I missed with the Pirates yesterday but am not hesitating to come right back with them here. They'll go after this game with all they've got as they are now sitting a game back of the Cards and don't want to give up any more ground. The Pirates are an impressive 51-25 in their last 76 home games versus losing clubs and 6-1 in Morton's last 7 home starts versus losing clubs. The Padres are 20-42 in their last 62 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are also 1-4 in Ross' last 5 starts versus winning teams. Pound Pittsburgh.

5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Pirates -167
Bottom Line: In a tight race with the Cardinals for the NL Central crown, and after nearly getting no-hit yesterday, Pittsburgh will be very focused and hungry tonight. San Diego's Stults has struggled immensely on the road where he has an ERA approaching 5.00. The Padres are 0-8 in Stults' last 8 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall, 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus winning clubs and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus winning clubs. Plus, the Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games versus a left-handed starter. Additionally, the Pirates are 8-3 in Locke's last 11 home starts, 6-1 in his last 7 home starts versus losing clubs and 5-1 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Pound Pittsburgh.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -147
Bottom Line: The M's are a strong action play tonight. Houston has won the first two of the series, but it hasn't won three consecutive games since mid June. Plus, recent history tells us the Astros will be road-weary tonight. Houston is 0-13 this season in road games after playing 6 or more consecutive road games. It has lost these contests by an average of 3.1 runs. Pound Seattle.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers -130
Bottom Line: Liriano was shelled his last time out, and I believe he's in for another rough outing against a Texas club that's sticking .278 and scoring 5.0 runs per game against lefty starters. Just one Pittsburgh hitter (Morneau) has ever faced Perez, who has a wicked 2.20 ERA at home. Pittsburgh's lack of familiarity with Perez will hurt tonight. The Rangers are 7-0 in Perez's last 7 starts, winning these by a massive 5.6 runs on average. Pound the Rangers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -119
Bottom Line: The Rockies, who are 6-0 in their last 6 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, are in great hands with De La Rosa on the hill. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he hasn't given up more than 3 earned runs in any start during this span. De La Rosa's career numbers versus the Dodgers aren't good, but he shut them down in June and is expected to face a lesser lineup today with Puig, Crawford and Ethier sitting. There's a strong possibility Gonzalez sits this one out also. Volquez hasn't been able to figure out the Rockies. He's 0-6 on the moneyline in his last 6 starts against them, during which he's carrying an ugly 12.46 ERA. De La Rosa has been very reliable at home, even against top-notch competition. In fact, the Rockies are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts versus winning ball clubs and have won these games by an average score of 7.6 to 3.3. Pound the Rocks.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -139
Bottom Line: I'll gladly go against the White Sox on the road, where they have dropped 35 of their last 52, even with their best starter going. The Sox are just 2-5 in Sale's last 7 road starts. The Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games. Plus, they have Kuroda going. The right-hander has a 1.54 ERA in 11 home starts. As good as Sale has been, his road ERA is over 2 runs higher. The Yankees are a perfect 8-0 in Kuroda's last 8 home starts versus losing clubs. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on D-backs -125
Bottom Line: The Giants are 3-11 in Lincecum's last 14 starts, 1-7 in his last 8 road starts, 0-5 in his last 5 starts on 5 days' rest, 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus winning clubs and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog. The Giants are also 1-6 in Lincecum's last 7 starts versus the Diamondbacks. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter. They are 7-1 in Delgado's last 8 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a losing club. Pound the D-backs.

5* Wiseguy AL East Game of the Year on Yankees -136
Bottom Line: The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 in the third game of a series. They are 13-2 against Toronto this season. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. They are also 0-4 in Redmond's last 4 starts. The Yankees are 5-0 in Kuroda's last 5 starts versus the Blue Jays. He's held them to 3 earned runs or less in all 5 while the Yanks have won these by 4.4 runs on average. Pound NY.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -118
Bottom Line: I'll stick with the Rockies tonight. They are 7-1 in their last 8 home games and 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus the Giants. They are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter and should have their way with Petit. His clubs are 4-16 in his last 20 starts. Colorado's Bettis has given up 2 earned or less in each of his last 4 starts, and I like him to pick up his first win tonight. Pound Colorado.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -147
Bottom Line: The Giants can't be trusted with Zito on the mound. They are 0-9 this season in his road starts as an underdog of +100 or higher and have lost these by an average score of 7.7 to 4.0. He has a 9.50 ERA on the road this season and a 10.03 ERA over his last 3 starts. Nisacio has a 3.95 ERA at home this season and a 3.11 ERA over his last 3 starts. Pound the Rockies.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers -143
Bottom Line: The Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. They are 5-0 in Garza's last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus losing clubs. The White Sox are 0-4 in Danks' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 0-4 in his last 4 starts during game 3 of a series, 0-4 in his last 4 home starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts on 4 days' rest. Pound Texas.

5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on Orioles -124
Bottom Line: The Orioles are 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts. The Athletics are 1-5 in Straily's last 6 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts on grass. The Athletics are also 1-8 in their last 9 games as an underdog and 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Orioles are 28-11 in their last 39 games following a day off and 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Baltimore holds the motivational edge because it trails the A's for the second wild-card spot. Oakland is banged-up, part of the reason it has batted just .131 with runners in scoring position in its last nine games. Pound Baltimore.

5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Dodgers -172
Bottom Line: The Dodgers are worth the price with Greinke on the hill against the second-worst club in baseball. The Dodgers are 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall and 6-0 in his last 6 road starts. He's given up no runs in his last 2 starts and has allowed a total of just 3 runs in his last 4 road starts. The Dodgers are 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 starts versus losing clubs and 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus NL East opponents. Teams that don't hit the long ball consistently have had no chance against Greinke. The Dodgers are 7-0 in his starts this season versus teams like the Marlins that average 0.9 home runs or fewer per game. Additionally, Greinke's clubs are 4-0 lifetime in his starts versus the Marlins. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -109
Bottom Line: The Angels are dealing with some injuries to key players, but they earn best bet status at this price with C.J. Wilson on the hill. The Angels are 9-3 in Wilson's last 12 starts. He's held opponents to 3 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 9 starts. Wilson has also had plenty of success against Cleveland. He's limited the Indians to 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 5 starts against them. The Tribe is an ugly 18-37 since the beginning of last season as a road underdog of +100 to +125. I'll back the home club with the more accomplished starter on the hill.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -137
Bottom Line: The Cardinals have had Milwaukee's number. They are 8-2 this season against the Brewers, including 4-0 in Milwaukee. Going back further, they are 27-11 in the last 38 meetings. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts versus losing clubs. He's also 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in 2 starts versus the Brewers. Milwaukee's Estrada has a 6.67 ERA in 5 starts versus the Cardinals. He gave up 8 runs in a 10-1 loss at home versus the Cards earlier this season. Pound the Redbirds.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -145
Bottom Line: Look for a Cincy club that is 4-0 in its last 4 games following a loss to bounce back strong from yesterday's defeat. Milwaukee's Gallardo is just 8-9 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.481 WHIP. Keep in mind the Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.300. The Brewers are 0-5 the last 5 times they've sent Gallardo to the mound in the third game of a series. Latos has been awesome for the Reds, going 12-3 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.240 WHIP. He's allowed no runs in his last 2 starts spanning 15 1-3 innings. The Reds are 7-0 in Latos' last 7 Saturday starts. Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -146
Bottom Line: The Diamondbacks are only 6-16 in their last 22 road games. They are 0-3 in McCarthy's last 3 starts, a stretch where he's posted a 6.43 ERA. He has a 5.01 road ERA on the season, and the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus winning clubs. The Pirates are an impressive 22-6 in their last 28 games as a home favorite. They've also won 7 of their last 10 home meetings with the D-backs. Pittsburgh's Cole, who owns a 3.96 ERA, has allowed 3 runs or fewer in 10 of 11 career starts. The D-backs are 2-14 this season versus NL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.50 to 4.20. Pound Pittsburgh.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -148
Bottom Line: The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 and should keep right on rolling with a rested Zimmermann on the rubber. He should be feeling great having not taken the mound since Aug. 7. The Nationals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts on 6 days' rest and 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. Lincecum has pitched much better of late, but he can't be trusted here. He has a 5.68 career ERA against the Nationals, and the Giants are 0-3 in his last 3 starts in Washington. The Giants are 0-6 in Lincecum's last 6 starts as an underdog, 0-4 in his last 4 starts during game 2 of a series and 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. The Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 meetings in Washington. Pound the Nationals.

5* Wiseguy MLB Parlay of the Year on Rays -182/Tigers -187
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Rays to take care of the Mariners tonight. The Mariners are 3-12 in their last 15 meetings in Tampa Bay. The M's are also an ugly 49-101 in their last 150 road games versus winning clubs. Seattle's Ramirez has a 7.25 ERA through 4 starts while Tampa Bay's Archer has a 2.71 ERA through 13 starts. The Rays are 117-56 in their last 173 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

The Tigers lost Game 1 to the White Sox, but they are 6-0 in their last 6 during Game 2 of a series. They are also 6-0 in Scherzer's last 6 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the White Sox. The White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200, 1-7 in Santiago's last 8 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus American League Central foes.

Pound the Rays and Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB Parlay of the Year on Rays -182/Tigers -187
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Rays to take care of the Mariners tonight. The Mariners are 3-12 in their last 15 meetings in Tampa Bay. The M's are also an ugly 49-101 in their last 150 road games versus winning clubs. Seattle's Ramirez has a 7.25 ERA through 4 starts while Tampa Bay's Archer has a 2.71 ERA through 13 starts. The Rays are 117-56 in their last 173 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

The Tigers lost Game 1 to the White Sox, but they are 6-0 in their last 6 during Game 2 of a series. They are also 6-0 in Scherzer's last 6 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the White Sox. The White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200, 1-7 in Santiago's last 8 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus American League Central foes.

Pound the Rays and Tigers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on D-backs -116
Bottom Line: The Diamondbacks have been sensational in interleague play at home where they are 5-0 in their last 5. The D-backs have also been tough to beat with Miley on the mound, going 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. They are 4-0 in Miley's last 4 starts versus winning clubs. Arizona is 3-0 in Miley's last 3 starts, during which he's posted a tidy 0.86 ERA. The O's are 0-2 in Feldman's last 2 starts, during which he's given up 9 earned in 9 2-3 innings. Pound the D-backs.

5* Wiseguy MLB Interleague Game of the Week on Mariners -165
Bottom Line: Seattle's Iwakuma is in top form with a 0.95 ERA over his last 3 starts. He's been terrific at home where he has a 2.48 ERA on the season and the Mariners are 15-5 in his last 20 starts. The M' are 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record. Milwaukee's Gorzelanny has a 6.75 ERA over his last 3 starts. His clubs are 5-11 in his last 16 starts, including 1-6 in his road starts during this span. The Brewers are 4-17 in their last 21 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 while the Mariners are 25-11 in their last 36 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Pound Seattle.

5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Year on Rockies +127
Bottom Line: The Rockies represent my strongest underdog release of the season. They are 8-2 at home this season when Jorge De La Rosa gets the start. He's posted a 2.65 ERA in these 10 contests. Going back further, the Rockies have won 40 of his last 55 home starts. That's an impressive 73% win rate. De La Rosa has taken it upon himself time to get the Rockies back in the win column time and time again following a loss. In fact, the Rockies are 8-0 in his last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Lastly, Colorado is on a 14-2 run at home in De La Rosa's starts versus clubs sporting a winning percentage above .500. Pound the Rockies.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Red Sox -118
Bottom Line: The Red Sox have been a terrific investment in this price range. They are 27-10 in their last 37 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 15-5 in their last 20 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are even 7-3 in Lester's last 10 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Lester has been dominant against Kansas City, going 6-2 (6-3 on the moneyline) lifetime with a 1.64 ERA. Chen, on the hand, has had tons of problems with Boston, going 3-5 (3-8 on the moneyline) lifetime with 6.11 ERA. Pound the BoSox.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -122
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to back the better team with the more talented starter on the hill at this price. The Rays are 25-7 in their last 32 overall, 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss, 12-4 in their last 16 road games and 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games. The Rays are 7-1 in Archer's last 8 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The Rays are also 4-0 in Archer's last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days) and 4-0 in his last 4 starts against foes that plated 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 games following a win and 0-5 in their last 5 versus clubs that scored 2 runs or less in their previous game. Pound Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -147
Bottom Line: LA southpaw Kershaw, who leads the bigs with a 1.87 ERA, is arguably the best pitcher in baseball. I expect him to toss a gem against a struggling St. Louis club that has had problems against left-handed starters. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaws last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 while the Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a left-handed starter. Plus, the Dodgers are 15-0 in their last 15 road games. They are also 9-0 this season after allowing 4 runs or less in 5 straight games. The Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -135
Bottom Line: The Mariners have been an outstanding investment at home with Iwakuma on the mound. They are 15-4 in his last 19 home starts and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus losing clubs. Iwakuma is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in 2 starts against Toronto. Dickey has been lit up both times he's faced the Mariners. He gave up 7 earned in an 8-1 loss in a matchup against Iwakuma and the Mariners earlier this season. The Jays have lost 7 of their last 9 versus the M's and are on a 6-14 slide in Seattle. Pound the Mariners.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball *BEST BET* on Phillies -127
Bottom Line: Lee has 2 wins against the Braves this season and is 5-1 in his last 6 starts against them. The Phillies are 4-1 in Lee's last 5 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus winning clubs. The Braves are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a road underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Atlanta is a below .500 road club, and I don't see Alex Wood outdueling Cliff Lee. Pound Philly.

5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Reds -154
Bottom Line: Motivated by yesterday's lopsided defeat, I expect the Reds to come storming back this evening. They are 40-15 in their last 55 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, 51-23 in their last 74 during game 2 of a series, 27-12 in their last 39 Saturday games, 19-9 in their last 28 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 31-15 in their last 46 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. They are also are 7-3 in Cingrani's last 10 starts. The Cardinals are 1-9 in Westbrook's last 10 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -156
Bottom Line: Colorado is really struggling. It went 0-4 in Atlanta in its most recent series and was crushed in the last three games. The Rockies are 0-6 in their last six road games versus teams with a home winning percentage greater than .600 while the Pirates are 4-0 in their last four home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Colorado's Chacin is 0-2 in his last two starts versus Pittsburgh. He's 1-3 lifetime with a 6.97 ERA in four starts versus the Pirates. The Rockies are just 3-8 in Chacin's last 11 road starts. Pound the Pirates.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -106
Bottom Line: The Angels are a steal at this price despite their recent struggles considering how poorly Toronto's Josh Johnson has performed. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in Johnson's last 6 starts. His teams are 0-10 in his last 10 road starts. Plus, the Jays are 0-7 this season in his starts when the moneyline in +125 to -125. Johnson has a 7.66 road ERA this season and a 12.51 ERA over his last 3 starts. LA's Garrett Richards has been rock solid at home where he has a 2.70 ERA this season. The Angels are 2-0 in his last 2 and 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. Pound the Halos.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Month on Rays -173
Bottom Line: The red-hot Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games, 8-0 in their last 8 interleague games as a favorite, 5-0 in their last 5 versus the National League West and 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Rays are 7-0 in Hellickson's last 7 starts, 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 in Miley's last 4 road starts. Pound Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy NL *BEST BET* Blowout on Dodgers -165
Bottom Line: Greinke has been outstanding at home where he has a 2.56 ERA. He's especially been tough at home versus teams that struggle to go yard. His teams are 15-0 in his home starts the last 3 seasons versus clubs averaging 0.9 or less home runs per game. These 15 games have been won by an average of 3.3 runs. Pettitte has a 4.39 ERA on the season, and the Yankees are 0-6 in his starts this season after he's walked 1 batter or less in each of his last 2 outings. The Yankees have lost these 6 by an average of 3.5 runs. Plus, the Dodgers are 8-0 this season in the second half of the season versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game. They have won these contests by an average of 3.8 runs. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Reds -160
Bottom Line: Cincy's Mike Leake has been fantastic on the road where he has a 2.13 ERA. The Reds are 6-0 in Leake's last 6 starts as a road favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a losing record. The Reds are also 6-0 in their last 6 games versus a right-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 road games versus a right-handed starter. I like their chances against San Diego right Sean O'Sullivan, who is 0-7 on the moneyline in his last 7 starts. The Padres are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Pound Cincy.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -149
Bottom Line: Despite routinely pitching well, Chicago's Travis Wood isn't seeing the wins pile up. In fact, the Cubs have dropped 10 of his last 12 starts and are 0-5 in his road starts during this stretch. A lack of run support is a big reason why. Chicago is also 0-4 in Wood's last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in his last 4 Sunday starts and 0-8 in his last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Wood is 0-4 on the moneyline with an ERA of 4.38 in 4 career starts against the Giants. These 4 losses came by an average of 4.0 runs. Lincecum has a 3.69 ERA in 11 starts versus the Cubs and is 2-0 on the moneyline in his last 2 starts against them. Pound the Giants.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -166
Bottom Line: Big edge on the mound for the Sox with Sale, who has a 2.47 home ERA. KC's Davis has a 7.71 road ERA. Sale also boasts a 1.023 WHIP, which is significant because the Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The White Sox are 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Royals are 0-5 in Davis' last 5 starts. They're also 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Pound Chicago.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Dodgers -113
Bottom Line: The Dodgers have won 23 of their last 28 and are 6-0 in their last 6. They are 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 starts and a perfect 7-0 this season in his home starts. Additionally, they are 8-0 in their last 8 series openers and 5-0 in Greinke's last five series-opening starts. The Reds have lost 35 of their last 52 versus the Dodgers, including 15 of their last 21 in LA. Plus, Cincy's Latos is 0-5 in 5 career starts at Dodger Stadium while Greinke is 4-0 (5-1 on the moneyline) with an ERA of 2.57 in 6 starts versus the Reds. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -167
Bottom Line: The Marlins have won the first two games of the series, but it doesn't look good for them tonight considering how poor they have been at the plate versus left-handed starters. They are hitting .222 and scoring 2.7 runs per game off lefty starters this season. The Marlins are 5-17 in their last 22 road games versus a left-handed starter. I don't see them getting much of anything off Jorge De La Rosa. The Rockies are 7-0 in his last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game, 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game 3 of a series, 16-2 in his last 18 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 28-4 in his last 32 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Miami is 1-4 in Jacob Turner's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as a road underdog. Pound the Rockies.

5* Wiseguy AL *BEST BET* on Red Sox -134
Bottom Line: I like the Red Sox at home with Lester toeing the rubber. The Sox are 7-0 in the southpaw's home starts this season, during which he's posted a tidy 2.96 ERA. While Lester has been great at home, Tampa Bay's Hernandez has struggled on the road where he has a 5.74 ERA. The Rays are 0-5 this season in Hernandez's starts as a road underdog. It's also worth mentioning that the Rays are a soft 4-13 in their last 17 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 while the Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers +108
Bottom Line: The Dodgers are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last seven road games. The Blue Jays, who are 0-4 in their last 4 overall, are struggling. They are also 0-6 in their last 6 home games versus a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 7-0 in their last 7 series openers. LA is 4-0 in Ryu's last 4 starts and 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a losing record. Plus, the Jays are 0-4 in Johnson's last 4 starts. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on A's -111
Bottom Line: The A's get the call as my strongest play of the week due to the major edge they have on the mound. They are 22-6 in Colon's last 28 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a road favorite, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus AL West foes, 4-0 in his last 4 Sunday starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts in game 3 of a series. They are just Angels are 2-8 in Williams' last 10 home starts. Williams has been getting rocked. He has a 6.00 ERA at home and a 19.12 ERA over his last 3 starts. Pound the A's.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers -109
Bottom Line: The Rangers went down in the first game of this series, but they have been an awesome investment in bounce back spots. They are 84-41 in their last 125 games following a loss. They are also 56-28 after a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons and 37-14 when out for revenge for a loss where they were held to 1 run or less over the last 3 seasons. The O's are 3-7 in their last 10 road games and 1-6 in Gonzalez's last 7 road starts. Pound Texas.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies -147
Bottom Line: The Rockies are 12-2 in De La Rosa's last 14 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall as a favorite of -110 to -150. Colorado is also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the National League Central and 4-0 lifetime in his starts versus the Cubs. The Cubs are 0-2 in Samardzija's last 2 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Lastly, the Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against the Cubs. Pound the Rocks.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball *BEST BET* on Cardinals -150
Bottom Line: Travis Wood has pitched well for the Cubs, but that won't keep me from pounding the Cardinals here. After all, St. Louis is 15-3 this season versus NL starters with a 3.00 ERA or better. The Cards have struggled to put runs on the board during this series, but recent history suggests they bust out the big sticks tonight. St. Louis is 10-0 this season after scoring 4 runs or less in 3 straight games. It's won these games by 4.4 runs on average (7.2 to 2.8). Wainwright has been filthy this season. The Cardinals are 12-2 in his last 14 road starts, 10-1 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite and 7-2 in all-time in his road starts versus the Cubs. The Cubs are 1-6 in Wood's last 7 starts, 6-14 in his last 20 home starts, 3-15 in his last 18 starts versus a team with a winning record and 1-4 in his last 5 starts versus the Cardinals. Pound St. Louis.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers (-161)
Bottom Line: Greinke at home has been one of the best bets in baseball in recent years. I've cashed in on him a ton the last few seasons and am not hesitating to back him once again here. Greinke is 34-4 on the moneyline in home games the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 21-0 during this span when up against a team with a losing record. He's 7-0 on the moneyline in his last 7 home starts overall dating back to last season. Pound the Dodgers.

5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Week on Orioles -135
Bottom Line: The O's, who are batting .269 and plating 5.0 runs per game against righty starters, will gladly welcome to the mound Ross Wolf, who has made just one other big league start. The Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a right-handed starter. I absolutely love the fact Miguel Gonzalez is getting the ball for Baltimore. The O's are 11-0 in his last 11 home starts, during which he's posted a respectable 3.47 ERA. Pound Baltimore.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -176
Bottom Line: Pounding the Rays again versus the struggling Twins. The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 overall, 7-0 in their last 7 home games and 7-0 in their last 7 versus Minnesota. The Twins are 0-3 in their last 3 and 1-9 in their last 10. The Twins are 0-3 in Correia last 3 starts, during which he's posted a 5.82 ERA. The Rays are 4-0 in Hellickson's last 4 starts, and he's held opponents to 2 runs or less in each. Hellickson is also 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus Minnesota. Pound Tampa Bay.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -160
Bottom Line: The Rays are playing their best baseball of the season. They are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 at home and 6-0 in their last 6 versus Minnesota. The Twins have a 6.69 ERA in their 9 games. They allowed 7 runs in yesterday's loss, a bad sign considering they are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Mauer and Morneau are in the midst of terrible slumps. Plus, Tampa Bay starter Chris Archer is more proven than Minnesota's Kyle Gibson. The Rays are 3-0 in Archer's last 3 starts. Pound the Rays.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Monday Night Baseball *BEST BET* on Phillies +111
Bottom Line: Haren has been awful for Washington. The Nationals are 0-8 in his last 8 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts. He has an ERA of 9.42 over his last 3 starts. The Phillies have never lost to Haren, going 6-0 against him. He has an ERA of 5.82 in these starts. Pound Philly.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Year on Angels -130
Bottom Line: The Angels have won 9 of 11 overall and 10 of 13 versus Boston, and they are in excellent hands with Weaver on the mound. The Angels are 40-15 in his last 55 starts, 40-13 in his last 53 home starts and 22-5 in his last 27 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Weaver has given up just 1 earned run in each of his last two starts. That bodes well for us as the Angels are 14-1 in his home starts since the beginning of the 2011 season following a performance where he have up 1 earned run or none. Pound the Angels.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Brewers -135
Bottom Line: Gallardo hasn't been his best this season, but I still like him to win this pitcher's duel against Marcum, who's 1-9 with a 5.03 ERA. The Brewers are 46-18 in Gallardo's last 64 starts as a favorite. They are also 18-2 lifetime in his starts in the season half of the season versus clubs with a winning percentage of 38% to 46%. Pound Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -170
Bottom Line: The Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 overall, 0-6 in their last 6 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus losing clubs. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Blue Jays are also 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts as a home favorite. Toronto is 3-0 in its last 3 versus the Twins. Pound the Jays.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers -127
Bottom Line: The Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 38-16 in their last 54 during game 3 of a series. The Mariners are 1-8 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series and 30-67 in the last 97 meetings in Texas. You want to fade underdogs of +100 or higher with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is 70% or better against an AL opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season. Doing so has produced a 45-11 result the L5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 mark this season. Pound the Rangers.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -153
Bottom Line: The Yankees have won 36 of their last 52 in Minnesota, and they have never lost in Minnesota with CC Sabathia on the bump. They are 4-0 in his 4 road starts versus the Twins, winning these by an average of 5.0 runs as he's held them to 3 earned runs or less in each. The Yankees are also 28-6 in Sabathia's last 34 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Twins are at a major disadvantage with PJ Walters on the mound. The Twins are 0-3 in his last 3 starts while he's posted an ERA of 16.00 and a WHIP of 2.778. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -175
Bottom Line: The Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 games, and I don't see them getting up for this one after a physically and mentally draining 14-inning loss Sunday. Washington's Zimmerman has been money in the bank at home where he's 8-0 with a 1.09 ERA this season. The Nationals are 12-0 in his last 12 home starts. The Brewers are just 13-25 on the road, including 0-5 in their last 5 road games versus a right-handed starter. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -145
Bottom Line: We had the Braves yesterday and watched them roll to a 6-run win. We'll pound them again today given the history on their side. You want to fade underdogs of +100 or higher that are out for revenge for a road loss of 6 runs or more if they carry a winning percentage of 51-54%. Doing so has produced a 53-14 result the last 5 seasons. Cahill has been roughed up on the road as evidenced by his 4.74 road ERA. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. He's also been roughed up in 2 starts versus the Braves, going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA. Maholm has been fantastic at Turner Field. He has a 1.80 home ERA this season, and the Braves are 7-2 in his last 9 home starts. The Diamondbacks are 4-11 in the last 15 meetings and 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Atlanta. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -145
Bottom Line: While Kennedy looked good in his last two starts, his rhythm has been disrupted due to a suspension that has kept him off the mound for nearly two weeks. By and large, Kennedy has struggled this season. He has an ERA of 5.21 in all starts and a 5.60 ERA on the road. The Braves have been held to 4 runs or fewer in three straight games, but recent history suggests they're ready to bust out. The Braves are 9-0 this season after scoring 4 runs or less 3 straight games. They've won by an average of 4.4 runs in this situation. Hudson has been lights out at home where he is carrying an ERA of 2.22. The Braves are 7-0 in his home starts this season. Hudson is also 4-0 on the moneyline all-time in home starts versus the D-backs. The Snakes lost Kennedy's only start at Atlanta. The Diamondbacks are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings overall and 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Pound the Braves.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -139
Bottom Line: The Mariners have been an outstanding investment at home when Iwakuma gets the ball. Seattle is 13-5 all-time in his home starts. The Mariners have lost their last two games but have the right guy on the mound as they are 9-2 lifetime in Iwakuma's starts after two or more consecutive losses. The guy has a 1.46 ERA at home, and I fully expect him to shut down the Cubs. Pound Seattle.

5* Wiseguy NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Nationals -142
Bottom Line: I love the Nationals tonight with Jordan Zimmerman getting the ball. He has a 0.92 ERA in 8 home starts this season, and the Nats are 11-0 in his last 11 home starts dating back to last season. Arizona's Wade Miley has an ERA of 4.70 on the season, and the Diamondbacks are 0-5 in his last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The Nationals are 4-0 in Zimmermann's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The Nationals are also 4-0 in their last 4 versus a team with a winning record while the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Pound the Nats.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -141
Bottom Line: Gonzalez is in a groove and should actually get some run support with the struggling Cahill getting the ball for Arizona. Gonzalez is 53-22 all-time on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher, including 33-12 as a favorite of -125 to -175. The southpaw is 33-16 on the moneyline since coming to Washington, including 15-2 in his starts versus power power teams that average 0.9 or less home runs per game. The Nationals are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the National League West.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Orioles -124
Bottom Line: The Tribe can't be trusted on the road where they are on a 22-48 skid. They are 2-12 in their last 14 road games versus a club that has a winning record and 1-5 in their last 6 road games versus a left-handed starter. The O's are happy to be home where they are on an 11-3 run. The are 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Jimenez has been solid on the road, but I don't see it continuing. Plus, the Indians are 3-8 in his last 11 road starts versus winning teams. Britton enters off a confidence-boosting start during which he outdueled Verlander. Plus, he completely shut down Cleveland when he faced the Tribe last season. Pound the Orioles.

5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Week on Cubs -145
Bottom Line: The Astros have dropped 12 of their last 16 in Chicago, and their struggles on the North Side should continue with Bud Norris on the bump. He has a 5.40 ERA in six road starts this year and is just 1-3 in four starts at Chicago. He gave up at least four runs in each of the three losses. The Astros are 9-26 in Norris' last 35 starts, 6-20 in his last 26 road starts and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Astros are also 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games versus a left-handed starter and should have their work cut out for themselves against Travis Wood, who has a 2.36 ERA at home and a 1.89 ERA against Houston. The Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games and 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games versus a right-handed starter. Pound Chicago.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -132
Bottom Line: Guthrie has been mowing down AL Central opponents since he arrived in Kansas City. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus division foes. Plus, they are 6-0 in his starts against the White Sox. He's allowed only 2 earned runs in 44 2-3 innings spanning these starts. Lastly, Chicago is 0-4 in Santiago's last 4 starts on the road.

5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -116
Bottom Line: This is a great price to back the Tigers at home where they are 60-25 in their last 85 games. The Red Sox have been a lousy underdog investment as they are just 18-40 in their last 58 games in the role. The Red Sox are also 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit. Lackey has an ERA of 4.46 on the road and has been rocked the last 2 times he's face Detroit. Plus, Boston has no familiarity with Jose Alvarez. Bet the Tigers.