MLB Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
07-20-12 |
Chicago (A): J Peavy v. Detroit: Verlander -168 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Tigers -168 Bottom Line: The Tigers are worth the price tonight with Verlander on the rubber. He is 11-0 on the money line in home starts against good teams (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. The Tigers have won those starts by an average score of 5.5 to 2.0. Also, the Tigers are 3-0 in his last 3 (10-1 in his last 11) starts versus the White Sox. The White Sox are 0-4 in Peavy's last 4 road starts and 0-2 in his last 2 (1-4 in his last 5) starts versus the Tigers. Bet Detroit.
|
07-19-12 |
Chicago White Sox v. Boston Red Sox -131 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Red Sox -131 Bottom Line: The Red Sox have had Chicago's number this season and are now 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. They have lunched on left-handed pitching so they will gladly welcome to the mound Quintana, who has an ERA of 5.68 over his last 3 starts. The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. They are also 11-1 in Buchholz's last 12 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Bet Bean Town.
|
07-18-12 |
New York (N): C Young v. Washington: Zimmermann -162 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Nationals -162 Bottom Line: I'm fading the struggling Mets, who are 0-5 in their last 5 overall, 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in their last 5 overall vs. a team with a winning record. The Nats clearly have the edge on the mound with Zimmerman (2.48 ERA season, 0.95 ERA L3 starts) against Young (4.27 ERA season, 5.51 ERA L3 starts). Bet Washington.
|
07-17-12 |
Texas: R Oswalt -113 v. Oakland: B Colon |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout Blowout on Rangers -113 Bottom Line: The A's have been playing well, which gives the Rangers all the more incentive to send a message tonight. Colon has had success against Texas, but my money is on the Rangers here given the way they have lunched on righties. They are an impressive 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter. Plus, Texas rarely loses a series opener, going 45-16 in its last 61 game 1's of a series. The Rangers are also a dominant 103-48 in their last 151 games as a favorite and 17-7 in their last 24 meetings with Oakland. Take Texas.
|
07-16-12 |
LA Anaheim: E Santana v. Detroit: R Porcello -118 |
Top |
6-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Tigers -118 Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to ride the hotter starting pitcher tonight. LA's Santana is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 9.42 during this stretch. Detroit's Porcello, meanwhile, is 3-0 on the money line in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.16. Also, the Angels 0-4 in Santana's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games and 4-0 in Porcello's 4 career home starts vs. the Angels. Take the Tigers.
|
07-06-12 |
Miami Marlins v. St.Louis Cardinals -138 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-138 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL Non-Division Game of the Year on Cardinals -138 Bottom Line: The Cardinals, who have won 8 of their last 9 versus Miami, are a perfect 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 starts. He has been very effective against the Marlins, going 3-0 on the money line in his last 3 starts against them while not allowing more than 3 earned runs in any of those. The Fish are 1-4 in Nolasco's last 4 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. the Cardinals. He has given up 10 hits to the Red Birds in 3 of those. The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Bet St. Louis.
|
07-05-12 |
Baltimore: J Arrieta v. LA Anaheim: G Richards -143 |
Top |
7-9 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on Angels -143 Bottom Line: Baltimore's Arrieta (3-9, 5.80 ERA) can't be trusted here as the Orioles are 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Angels, meanwhile, are 3-0 in Richard's 3 home starts, and he has an ERA of just 1.66 in those games. LA is also 4-0 in its last 4 series-opening games, winning those by an average of 4.0 runs. Pound the Halos.
|
07-04-12 |
Texas Rangers -109 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PUNISHER* on Rangers -109 Bottom Line: Motivated by last night's embarrassing defeat, expect the Rangers to come storming back tonight. Texas is an impressive 41-12 in its last 53 games following a loss while Chicago is 4-9 in its last 13 games following a win. The White Sox are also just 7-18 in their last 25 games as a home underdog. The Rangers are 16-5 in their last 21 overall, 39-17 in their last 56 games as a road favorite and 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Pound Texas in this bounce back spot.
|
07-03-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Washington Nationals -128 |
Top |
3-9 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PUNISHER* on Nationals -128 Bottom Line: analysis still to come
|
07-02-12 |
New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -120 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Rays -120 Bottom Line: The Yankees are an underdog for good reason tonight as they are 0-7 in their last 7 at Tampa Bay. It is also worth noting that they are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Freddy Garcia has struggled in a starting role this season, as evidenced by his 0-2 record and 12.50 ERA through 4 starts. Tampa's Matt Moore has a solid 3.78 ERA at home, and a 2.79 ERA over his last 3 starts. Take the Rays.
|
07-01-12 |
New York (N): D Gee v. Los Angeles: C Kershaw -148 |
Top |
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Dodgers -148 Bottom Line: The Dodgers are struggling, but I like them here behind their ace Kershaw. The Dodgers are 5-0 lifetime in Kershaw's starts against the Mets, during which he has posted an ERA of 1.39. Those 5 wins have come by an average of 4.2 runs. The Dodgers are also 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts in the 4th game of a series. The Mets are 0-4 in Gee's last 4 starts in the 4th game of a series. Take LA.
|
06-30-12 |
Chicago (A): J Peavy v. New York (A): H Kuroda -125 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PUNISHER* on Yankees -125 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back upset losses to the White Sox, the Yankees will be out for some serious revenge today. Under Girardi, New York is 24-6 when out for revenge for consecutive upset losses to an opponent at home. The Yankees have won by an average of 2.5 runs in this situation. Also, the White Sox have provided Peavy with no run support, and he's 0-3 in his last 3 starts as a result. He's also 0-3 lifetime versus New York. Bet the Yankees.
|
06-28-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays -119 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-119 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Rays -119 Bottom Line: The Rays lost all 3 in Kansas City and have dropped 6 of 8 overall but that won't keep me off them here. That's because they are 13-4 after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons. The Rays have a big edge on the mound with Shields, who is 7-0 on the money line in his last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 7-1 all-time on the money line in starts against the Tigers. It is also worth mentioning that Detroit's Scherzer is 0-3 on the money line in 3 career starts versus the Rays. Shields is tough as nails at home, and I'm not hesitating to get behind him here against a team he has had a ton of success against.
|
06-26-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Cincinnati Reds -150 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Reds -150 Bottom Line: The Brewers are 1-4 in Estrada's last 5 starts while the Reds are 5-1 in Arroyo's last 6 starts as a home favorite. The Reds are also 5-2 in Arroyo's last 7 starts vs. the Brewers. The Brewers are 12-26 in the last 38 meetings and 5-14 in the last 19 meetings in Cincinnati. Plays against road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MILWAUKEE) - below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's/start, are 46-7 the last 5 seasons and a perfect 6-0 this season. Cincy is 8-0 with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games - this season, winning by an average of 3.7 runs in this situation. Bet the Reds.
|
06-24-12 |
New York Yankees v. New York Mets +103 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball Game of the Month on Mets +103 Bottom Line: Dickey has been ridiculous for the Mets, and I'll gladly get behind him in the home underdog role here. The Mets are 9-0 in his last 9 starts, winning those by an average of 4.0 runs. They are also 9-0 in Dickey's last 9 interleague starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League East, 6-0 in his last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 6-0 in his last 6 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog. Dickey shut down the Yankees both times he faced them last season, giving up a total of 6 hits and 2 runs. We'll bet the Mets.
|
06-23-12 |
San Francisco Giants -128 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
9-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague Game of the Year on Giants -128 Bottom Line: I love the Giants today with the southpaw Bumgarner on the bump against an Oakland club that is hitting just .216 against southpaw starters. Bumgarner has a sweet 2.92 ERA on the season, and the Giants are 15-6 in his last 21 starts, 21-6 in his last 27 starts as favorite and 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Oakland's Ross has a 6.11 ERA on the season, and the Athletics are 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 0-6 in his last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. He can't be trusted here. The Giants have won 9 of the last 13 meetings overall in the series, and we'll pound them here.
|
06-22-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Chicago White Sox -132 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-132 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *PUNISHER* on White Sox -132 Bottom Line: The Brewers took care of business in their last game with an 8-3 win over Toronto, but they are just 1-12 after a win by 4 runs or more this season. The Brew Crew have struggled on the road, which is a big reason why they are just 13-25 in Greinke's road starts. Greinke is only 15-46 on the money line all-time as a road underdog of +100 or higher. The White Sox are 4-0 in Sale's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 21-6 in their last 27 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-1 in their last 9 against the Brewers.
|
06-21-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -150 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-150 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Day Game of the Month on Dodgers -150 Bottom Line: The Dodgers have a serious advantage on the mound with ace Clayton Kershaw. The low total indicates odds makers expect Kershaw to have plenty of success against a team batting just .216 against southpaw starters. In fact, the Dodgers are 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 road starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 21-5 in his last 26 starts overall with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The Athletics are 1-8 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-6 in their last 6 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower and 0-6 in their last 6 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. Oakland has been playing winning baseball over the last week but recent history tells us their luck is about to run out. The A's are just 4-19 after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons. Oakland's bullpen has been a big part of its recent success, but the pen figures to give as well. The A's are 0-11 with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games this season. They have lost these 11 games by an average score of 5.3 to 1.5. Take LA.
|
06-20-12 |
Colorado: A White v. Philadelphia: J Blanton -134 |
Top |
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 16 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Phillies -134 Bottom Line: The Rockies, who are 1-11 in their last 12 overall, have had no luck against Philadelphia. With yesterday's 7-2 loss, they fell to 5-23 in the last 28 meetings, including 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia. The Phillies are 14-5 in Blanton's last 19 home starts, 21-7 in his last 28 starts as a home favorite, 7-0 in his last 7 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 15-3 in his last 18 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 10-2 in his last 12 starts on 5 days' rest. The Rockies are 3-8 in White's last 11 starts. Look for Philly to continue its dominance against Colorado.
|
06-17-12 |
Boston Red Sox -121 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Red Sox -121 Bottom Line: The Cubs are 1-5 in Maholm's last 6 starts, 3-10 in their last 13 interleague home games and 3-14 against left-handed starters this season. The Red Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 interleague road games and 44-15 in their last 59 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Plus, Morales is 7-0 all-time when he takes the ball following a team win. His teams have won by an average score of 7.7 to 3.7 in these games.
|
06-16-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Angels -127 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *PUNISHER* on Angels -127 Bottom Line: The Angles went down 5-0 Friday, but I fully expect them to bounce back here as they are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. They are also an impressive 36-16 in their last 52 home games after getting shut out. The Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Saunders' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record and 1-5 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Angels are 7-2 in Santana's last 9 starts on 5 days of rest, 6-2 in his last 8 interleague starts and 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs. the National League West. Lastly, the Halos have won 5 of the last 7 meetings.
|
06-15-12 |
SF GIANTS -102 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Giants -102 Bottom Line: We are getting the Giants at a fantastic price tonight against a Seattle club that is 0-5 in its last 5 overall. The Giants fell yesterday but are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Vogelsong has been sensational, and the Giants are 7-0 in his last 7 starts, 8-0 in his last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 4-0 in his last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Francisco.
|
06-13-12 |
New York Yankees +101 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
101 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Wednesday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Yankees +101 Bottom Line: The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games, outscoring the opposition 27-11 during this stretch. The Yanks are also 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter, winning those games by an average of 3.8 runs. I like their chances of getting to Atlanta righty Tim Hudson, who is carrying a 5.92 ERA at home. The Braves are 5-16 in Hudson's last 21 interleague starts. Atlanta, which has lost the first two games of this series, is 0-6 in its last 6 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 interleague road games, 26-10 in their last 36 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with the Braves. Take New York.
|
06-12-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers -150 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-150 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Brewers -150 Bottom Line: The Brewers, who are 4-0 in their last 4 road games, have a huge edge on the mound with Greinke. The Brew Crew are a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 series opening starts and 29-6 in his last 35 starts as a favorite. The Royals, who are 0-4 in their last 4 games, are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Royals are also 5-22 in their last 27 interleague games as an underdog and 1-4 in Mendoza's last 5 starts. Take the Beermakers.
|
06-11-12 |
Boston Red Sox v. Miami Marlins -101 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Monday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* on Marlins -101 Bottom Line: Beckett has pitched well lately but his road struggles can't be ignored (4.68 road ERA). The Red Sox are 1-4 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite and 2-6 in his last 8 starts when he pitches on regular rest (4 days). The Marlins are 6-1 in Johnson's last 7 starts, and he has held foes to 3 earned runs or less in each of his last 6 starts. The Marlins are 38-13 in his last 51 starts on 4 days' rest, 18-6 in his last 24 starts as an underdog and 35-16 in his last 51 home starts. Take Miami.
|
06-10-12 |
Texas Rangers v. San Francisco Giants +122 |
Top |
5-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague Dog of the Year on Giants +122 Bottom Line: Texas shouldn't be favored in San Francisco considering how poorly it has played lately and its bad history in San Fran. The Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 overall. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. The righty they'll face this afternoon is 2-time Cy Young winner Tim lincecum, who is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA in 2 career starts versus the Rangers. Lincecum has had some struggles this season, but I don't expect them to continue in interleague play. The Giants are 7-3 in Lincecum's last 10 interleague starts and 11-5 in his last 16 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 overall and 22-6 in their last 28 interleague home games. They are 16-5 in their last 21 versus Texas and 12-1 in their last 13 home games versus the Rangers. Take the Giants.
|
06-09-12 |
Detroit Tigers -141 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Interleague *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Tigers -141 Bottom Line: Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball in my opinion and he has been ridiculously good in interleague action. In fact, he is the top interleague pitcher in the history of MLB with a 16-2 record and 2.75 ERA in 21 starts. Detroit is a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 starts against the National League, and I fully expect his dominance of the NL to continue this afternoon.
|
06-08-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Seattle Mariners -106 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Interleague *PUNISHER* on Mariners -106 Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers who must play without a days' rest after making the cross-country trip from Philly. The Mariners, on the other hand, have had a day at home to gear up for this series. The Dodgers aren't at full strength right now, but they are still one of the top teams in the NL. However, they have struggled mightily in interleague play. They are 8-20 in their last 28 interleague games overall and just 14-43 in their last 57 interleague road games. They are even 3-11 in their last 14 vs. the American League West and 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games and 8-1 in their last 9 versus the National League West. They have even won 8 of their last 11 meetings with the Dodgers. The Dodgers have lost four straight series against the Mariners and haven't had a winning record against the AL since 2004.
|
06-06-12 |
Texas: C Lewis -146 v. Oakland: B Colon |
Top |
0-2 |
Loss |
-146 |
11 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout on Rangers -146 Bottom Line: The Athletics are 0-4 in Colon's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 10.07. Furthermore, the A's are just 1-13 under manager Melvin when valued by odds makers as a home underdog of +125 or more. The A's have lost by an average of 3.0 runs in this situation. Take the best in the AL West tonight.
|
06-05-12 |
Texas: D Holland -152 v. Oakland: T Blackley |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout Game of the Month on Rangers -152 Bottom Line: The Rangers will be out for blood tonight after the beating they took last night. Under manager Melvin, the A's are a pathetic 1-12 as a home underdog of +125 or more. They have lost by an average of 3.0 runs in this situation. The Athletics are also 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 25-6 in their last 31 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200 and 11-3 in Holland's last 14 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Rangers are worth the price tonight.
|
05-29-12 |
Milwaukee: M Fiers v. Los Angeles: N Eovaldi -123 |
Top |
2-1 |
Loss |
-123 |
12 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout on Dodgers -123 Bottom Line: The Dodgers get the call in this price range as they are a perfect 13-0 this season when valued as a home favorite of -125 to -175. They haven't just won these games, they've won them by an average of 3.8 runs. Plus, the Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 game 2's of a series while the Dodgers 4-0 in their last 4 game 2's of a series. It also bodes well for us that Matt Kemp is expected to return to the lineup tonight. Bet the Dodgers.
|
05-28-12 |
New York (A): P Hughes v. LA Anaheim: J Weaver -130 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Bailout on Angels -130 Bottom Line: Weaver is 5-0 lifetime on the money line in home starts versus the Yankees. He is 4-0 at home this season with an ERA of 0.83. New York's Hughes is 1-3 with a 5.12 ERA on the road and 1-3 on the ML with an ERA of 8.70 in 4 lifetime starts versus the Angels. We'll get behind the stronger starter at a nice price.
|
05-27-12 |
New York (A): H Kuroda v. Oakland: T Milone +117 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Dog of the Day on A's +117 Bottom Line: The Yankees have won the first two games of this series but the Athletics are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees are 0-4 in Kuroda's road starts this season. He has posted a 6.23 ERA and 1.754 WHIP in those games. The Athletics, meanwhile, are 4-0 in Milone's home starts this season. He has a 0.60 ERA and 0.700 WHIP in these games. Milone's teams are 8-2 the last two season when he gets the ball as an underdog of +100 or higher. Take Oakland.
|
05-26-12 |
Milwaukee: Z Greinke v. Arizona: W Miley +113 |
Top |
5-8 |
Win
|
113 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Dog of the Week on D-backs +113 Bottom Line: The Brewers have struggled on the road, where Greinke is carrying an ERA of 4.91. Compare that to Miley's 2.31 home ERA. The Diamondbacks are 6-1 in Miley's last 7 starts, 7-0 in his last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Brewers are just 5-13 in their last 18 road games, 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite and 12-22 in Greinke's last 34 road starts. Greinke is also 0-2 (1-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 6.30 in 5 starts versus Arizona. Take the Snakes at a nice price.
|
05-25-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -156 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-156 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Braves -156 Bottom Line: The Braves will be hungry when they hit the field tonight as they look to bounce back from getting swept in a 4-game series in Cincinnati. They will be further motivated by an opportunity to take over the top spot in NL East during this series. The Braves gave up 5 runs (or more) for just the 2nd time in 8 games last night, but they are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Braves are also a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 Friday games and 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Atlanta is 7-1 in Hudson's last 8 home starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Nationals. The Nats are just 4-12 in Detwiler's last 16 road starts. Bet the Braves in this bounce back spot.
|
05-23-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins -155 |
Top |
8-4 |
Loss |
-155 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy National League Game of the Month on Marlins -155 Bottom Line: The Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 games overall and 0-7 in their last 7 versus the National League East division. They are also 0-6 in scheduled starter White's last 6 starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. The Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 versus the National League West division, 5-0 in their last 5 in game 3 of a series and 5-0 in their last 5 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Fish are also 4-0 in Zambrano's last 4 starts. In addition to the above 45-0 angle, it's also worth mentioning that the Rockies have lost 6 of their last 7 in Miami.
|
05-09-12 |
Boston Red Sox -146 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-146 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Red Sox -146 Bottom Line: The Royals have been a dead fade with Chen on the hill as they are 0-7 in his last 7 starts while getting outscored by an average of 2.7 runs in those games. They are also 0-4 in his last 4 home starts, getting outscored by an average of 3.5 runs in those games. Plus, Chen's teams are 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus the Red Sox, losing those games by an average of 4.4 runs. Take the Red Sox.
|
05-03-12 |
New York Yankees -130 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-130 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Yankees -130 Bottom Line: The Royals are 0-11 in their last 11 home games, 0-8 in their last 8 home games versus a team with a winning road record, 0-9 in their last 9 home games versus a right-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 games versus AL East foes. KC is also 0-7 in Duffy's last 7 starts versus the AL East, 0-5 in his last 5 home starts and 0-8 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in their last 4 road games when matched up against a left-handed starter.
|
05-02-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds -159 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-159 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Reds -159 Bottom Line: The Cubs are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games and 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Reds are 5-0 in Arroyo's last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite. The Cubs are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings and 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Cincinnati. We'll play Cincy on the money line.
|
04-28-12 |
Seattle: K Millwood v. Toronto: B Morrow -177 |
Top |
0-7 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Blue Jays -177 Bottom Line: We can't read anything into Seattle's play on the road yet. After all, the Mariners are 45-102 in their last 147 games as a road underdog and 26-72 in their last 98 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. They're even 11-30 in their last 41 in Toronto. Plus, the Jays have the big edge on the hill with Morrow, who is 2-0 lifetime against the M's with an ERA of 2.77. Those wins came by an average of 4.5 runs. Millwood is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Toronto and 0-4 on the ML in his last 4 starts at Toronto. The 3 losses have come by an average of 4.7 runs and the 4 losses have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Pound the Jays.
|
04-27-12 |
Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins -111 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-111 |
10 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Twins -111 Bottom Line: The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 series openers. They've won 2 straight since enduring a 12-game skid but are 0-10 in road games following 2 or more consecutive wins since the beginning of last season. The Royals are 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in this series and 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Minnesota. The Twins are 82-39 in their last 121 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. They are 9-3 in Pavano's last 12 starts vs. the Royals and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts vs. the Royals. We'll grab the Twins at home at a great price.
|
04-26-12 |
Boston Red Sox +110 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
10-3 |
Win
|
110 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Week on Red Sox +110 Bottom Line: Boston is showing terrific value in the underdog role with the southpaw Doubront on the mound. He's looked good early and the White Sox are only hitting .190 off lefty starters. I can't see Humber delivering another gem here. He has a 5.83 ERA in 2 starts versus Boston. Plus, the White Sox are 1-7 in his last 8 home starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts vs. the big bats of the American League East.
|
04-24-12 |
Washington: G Gonzalez -117 v. San Diego: C Richard |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Nationals -117 Bottom Line: This pitching matchup favors the Nats with Gonzalez on the hill. His teams are now 7-0 in his last 7 starts. The Pads are 0-5 in Richard's last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus Washington. Also, Washington is 5-0 in its last 5 games versus lefty starters. Lastly, the Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Washington at a nice price.
|
04-22-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks -140 |
Top |
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL Game of the Week on Diamondbacks -140 Bottom Line: Expect ace Ian Kennedy to bring Arizona's 5-game skid to an end. The Diamondbacks are 9-1 in Kennedy's last 10 home starts and a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Plus, Atlanta has dropped its last 7 games when it has been valued as an underdog.
|
04-21-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies -142 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-142 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Phillies -142 Bottom Line: Roy Halladay has never lost to the Padres, going 3-0 with an ERA of 1.90 in 3 starts against them. The Phillies have won 26 of their last 30 on the road in this series, including 13 straight. Philly has won 20 of Halladay's last 26 road starts. We'll get behind arguably the best righty in the game today.
|
04-20-12 |
Baltimore: B Matusz v. LA Anaheim: J Williams -146 |
Top |
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Monster Mismatch Game of the Month on Angels -146 Bottom Line: Baltimore's Matusz has been a dead fade. Fading the O's when Matusz gets the start has produced a perfect 12-0 record since 6/12/2011. The O's haven't just lost those games, they've lost them by 4.42 runs. It also strengthens our case with the Angels checking in at 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts as a favorite. Those 5 wins have come by an average of 4.0 runs. Take the Halos
|
04-18-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers -166 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Brewers -166 Bottom Line: The Brewers are a perfect 18-0 all-time in Greinke's home starts, winning them by an average of 2.7 runs. Also, Milwaukee is an impressive 41-8 as a favorite of -150 or more since the beginning of last season. We'll pound the Brew Crew.
|
04-14-12 |
Milwaukee Brewers +101 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Dog of the Week on Brewers +101 Bottom Line: Marcum won his first start of the season but wasn't on top of his game, giving up a pair of round trippers. That actually bodes well for us as he is 13-0 on the money line all-time in road games after giving up 2 or more home runs in his last outing. His teams have won by an average score of 6.3 to 2.5 in this spot. I expect him to be very sharp this evening. The Brewers are 41-10 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record. Take Milwaukee.
|
04-13-12 |
San Diego: C Richard v. Los Angeles: A Harang -125 |
Top |
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Dodgers -125 Bottom Line: The Padres 0-6 in their last 6 road games against the Dodgers, 0-4 in Richard's last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 0-5 in his last 5 Friday starts and 0-4 in his last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 games as a favorite overall while the Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Pound LA.
|
04-12-12 |
Arizona: I Kennedy -132 v. San Diego: A Bass |
Top |
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on D-backs -132 Bottom Line: D-backs ace Kennedy has never lost to the Padres. He's 5-0 all-time in 7 career starts with a 2.01 ERA and a WHIP of 0.918. Those 5 wins have come by an average of 3.4 runs. The Diamondbacks are also 6-0 in Kennedy's last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
|
10-28-11 |
Texas Rangers v. St. Louis Cardinals -134 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 7 Punisher on Cardinals -134 Bottom Line: The Cards have the psychological edge in Game 7. It's going to be very tough for Texas to mentally overcome the fact it was within a strike of winning the series twice last night. Plus, there is some convincing history in favor of the Redbirds as well. Starting in 1982 there have been 8 Game 7's in the World Series. The home team is 8-0 in those contests. We'll ride the home team tonight.
|
10-27-11 |
Texas Rangers v. St. Louis Cardinals -112 |
Top |
9-10 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 6 Punisher on Cardinals -113 Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 13-5 in their last 18 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Furthermore, they are a perfect 4-0 in their last games as a home favorite with Garcia on the mound. St. Louis is very accustomed to playing high-pressure games as it's virtually been playing do-or-die baseball for 2 months now. Look for the Redbirds to extend this series.
|
10-24-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Texas Rangers -120 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Punisher (FOX) on Rangers -120 Bottom Line: CJ Wilson has not pitched his best in these playoffs, but I'm confident he'll do so at home tonight. His last 2 postseason starts have come on the road, so he'll be happy to be back on the mound in Arlington where he is a different pitcher. The Rangers are 27-10 in his last 37 home starts. Also, the Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of -110 to -150. We'll pound the Rangers.
|
10-23-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Texas Rangers -176 |
Top |
0-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 4 Punisher (FOX) on Rangers -176 Bottom Line: The Rangers haven't lost consecutive games since Aug. 24-25. Since then, they are on a perfect 13-0 run in games directly following a loss. Also, the Rangers are 6-0 in Holland's last 6 starts and 9-1 in his last 10 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. We'll take Texas.
|
10-22-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Texas Rangers -182 |
Top |
16-7 |
Loss |
-182 |
29 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Game of the Year on Rangers -182 Bottom Line: I normally don't like to pay this much juice, but I believe the Rangers are worth the price Saturday. Had Texas gone down 0-2, doubt may have set it. Instead, it now heads home with all the momentum after a thrilling 9th inning comeback. The Rangers have won their last 4 at home in these playoffs and they are 7-0 in Harrison's last 7 starts. The Rangers are 41-17 in their last 58 games as a favorite of -151 to -200, including a perfect 7-0 in Harrison's last 7 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. We'll pound Texas.
|
10-20-11 |
Texas Rangers -117 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 2 Punisher on Rangers -117 Bottom Line: This Texas team is extremely resilient, and it wants a World Series title in the worst way after coming up short last year. The Rangers haven't lost consecutive games since late August, and they are an unbeaten 12-0 in their last 12 games following defeat. Expect this trend to continue as they get to struggling starter Jaime Garcia early tonight. The 25-year-old southpaw is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in these playoffs. Dating back to the regular season, the Cards have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. It also can't be ignored that the Rangers are a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 Game 2s of a series and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games when valued as the favorite. We'll bet Texas.
|
10-19-11 |
Texas Rangers v. St. Louis Cardinals -119 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Punisher on Cardinals -119 Bottom Line: I'm backing Carpenter and the Cards at home tonight. The St. Louis ace is 2-0 (3-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.71 in these playoffs. Texas scheduled starter Wilson, meanwhile, is 0-2 (1-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 8.04 in the postseason. Carpenter is often at his best against the best competition, and the numbers support this claim. Consider that the Cardinals are 40-13 in his last 53 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cards have won each of his last 4 starts, and they are 11-1 in his last 12 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take St. Louis in Game 1.
|
10-15-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers -144 |
Top |
5-15 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Primetime Punisher (FOX) on Rangers -144 Bottom Line: The Rangers took care of the Yankees at home in Game 6 last season, and I like to repeat as AL champs in 6 games this year. They have the right guy on the mound in Holland. They've won his each of his last 5 starts, 7 of his last 8 and 13 of his last 17. The Rangers have won 5 of their last 7 home games against the Tigers, and they are 4-0 in their last 4 ALCS home games. Take Texas.
|
10-14-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals -115 |
Top |
1-7 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NLCS Game of the Year on Cardinals -115 Bottom Line: The Cards have been a resilient team down the stretch going 5-0 in their last 5 games following defeat. I fully expect them to bounce back strong here following last night's loss. They are in good hands with Garcia, who hasn't allowed an earned run in his last 25 innings at home against the Brewers. St. Louis is a near-perfect 10-1 in Garcia's last 11 home starts versus clubs with winning marks. In other words, he has come up big at home time and time again against some of the best teams in the league. We'll take the Cards.
|
10-13-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers -143 |
Top |
5-7 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy ALCS Game of the Year on Tigers -143 Bottom Line: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is fading Verlander at home. After all, the Tigers are an amazing 39-12 in Verlander's last 51 home starts. Plus, the Tigers are a perfect 7-0 in Verlander's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Detroit has won 17 of its last 22 at home against Texas. Look for the Tigers to extend this series behind a gem from Verlander.
|
10-12-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals -149 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Punisher on Cardinals -149 Bottom Line: The Cards have the edge on the mound in this one with Carpenter, who is 2-0 this season in a pair of home starts versus Milwaukee. He was dominant in those outings, only allowing 2 runs in 17 innings of work. Gallardo hasn't been able to figure out St. Louis. In fact, he is just 1-7 (2-9 on the money line) with an ERA of 5.66 in 11 lifetime starts versus the Cards. We also can't ignore the fact Milwaukee is 0-2 on the road in these playoffs. We'll take St. Louis here.
|
10-11-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers -136 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Primetime Punisher (FOX) on Tigers -136 Bottom Line: The Rangers are just 5-17 in their last 22 games in Detroit, and it will be difficult for them to shake their struggles in the Motor City with Fister stepping to the mound for the Tigers. Detroit has won each of his last 8 starts, and he is a Perfect 5-0 on the money line at home with a 0.98 ERA since joining the club. Colby Lewis is 0-2 on the money line in a pair of starts against Detroit this season, and he posted a 15.95 ERA in those outings. Bet the Tigers.
|
10-07-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers -150 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy 19-0 NLDS Game of the Year on Brewers -150 Bottom Line: I'm backing the best home team in baseball behind a perfect situation tonight. NL teams that go up 2-0 in a 5-game series have advanced 19 straight times. Look for the Brewers to make it 20 with Parra on the hill. He is 6-0 lifetime against the Snakes. Bet the Beermakers.
|
10-05-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -119 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-119 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Game 4 Punisher (TBS) on Phillies -119 Bottom Line: Right away I like the fact that plays on any team (PHILADELPHIA) that is leading in a playoff series are 57-30 (65.5%) the last 5 seasons. Also, plays on any team (PHILADELPHIA) in the 4th game of a playoff series, provided it has won 3 of its last 4 games, are 17-1 the last 5 seasons. Oswalt has a lot more big game experience than Jackson, who has never made a start in the playoffs. Oswalt, meanwhile, pitched the Astros past the Cardinals to advance to the World Series six years ago. He is 5-0 with a 3.25 ERA in 10 career postseason starts, including 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA in three against the Cardinals. Take Philly.
|
10-04-11 |
New York Yankees +100 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
10-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Play of the Day on Yankees +100 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses to Detroit, expect the Yankees to rise to the occasion this evening. They are 7-2 in their last 9 Divisional Playoff games. They've won 4 of Burnett's last 5 starts and 5 of his last 7 road starts. I really like Burnett's experience in this one. Meanwhile, this will be the first postseason start for Detroit's Porcello. Lastly, the Yanks are 31-17 in their last 48 road games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses against an opponent. We'll take NY in this double revenge spot.
|
09-14-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -139 v. Baltimore Orioles |
Top |
2-6 |
Loss |
-139 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB REVENGE Game of the Year on Rays -139 Bottom Line: We'll back a motivated Rays club that is still in playoff contention against an O's club that is tied for the worst mark in the AL. The Rays have been a strong investment when Davis is on the hill. The Rays are 7-1 in his last 8 starts overall, 13-3 in his last 16 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 7-0 in his last 7 starts in game 3 of a series and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. The Orioles bring Guthrie to the mound. He has a major league-high 17 losses. We'll pound the Rays.
|
09-12-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Cincinnati Reds -157 |
Top |
12-8 |
Loss |
-157 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Month on Reds -157 Bottom Line: The Cubs are 3-12 in their last 15 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-4 in Lopez's last 4 starts and 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Cincinnati. The Reds are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. Willis has pitched well enough to win the majority of his starts, allowing 3 earned runs or less in 9 of his 11 outings this season, but he still has a goose egg in the win column. Expect a motivated Willis to shut down the team that drafted him tonight. Bet the Reds.
|
09-07-11 |
Chicago White Sox -130 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-130 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy American League Game of the Month on White Sox -130 Bottom Line: The White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 meetings at Minnesota, 9-0 in their last 9 road games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The ice cold Twins are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 games in the 4th game of a series, 0-8 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game and 0-4 in Pavano's last 4 home starts. We'll pound the Sox at a nice price behind this 35-0 angle.
|
09-06-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Oakland A's -171 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-171 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MAJOR MISMATCH* on A's -171 Bottom Line: The Royals have dropped 5 of Duffy's last 6 starts and 14 of his 19 starts on the season. They are 33-71 in their last 104 road games and 11-43 in their last 54 road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Athletics are 8-3 in Gonzalez's last 11 home starts, 21-7 in his last 28 starts as a home favorite and 4-1 in his last 5 starts vs. the Royals. We'll pound the A's.
|
08-31-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers -132 |
Top |
8-3 |
Loss |
-132 |
9 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Wednesday Night MLB Blowout on Brewers -132 Bottom Line: Milwaukee is an unbeaten 13-0 at home this season following a game in which it was held to 2 runs or less. It's winning by an average of 2.3 runs/game in this spot. Plus, the Brewers have won each of Wolf's last 6 starts by an average of 3.5 runs/game. Look for the Brew Crew to bounce back with a big win here.
|
08-30-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -133 |
Top |
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on D-backs -133 Bottom Line: The D-backs are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall, 10-0 in their last 10 home games, 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League West and 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Rockies are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Arizona, 1-6 in the last 7 meetings overall and 1-6 in Cooks last 7 starts vs. the Diamondbacks. Pound Arizona.
|
08-29-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays -146 |
Top |
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy 2011 AL East Game of the Year on Blue Jays -146 Bottom Line: The Rays have never pulled off a 4-game sweep against the Jays, and Toronto will be very motivated here following yesterday's embarrassing loss. The Blue Jays should also benefit from having Romero on the mound. Toronto has won his last 7 starts, during which he's compiled an ERA of only 1.84. Also, he's only given up 4 runs in 22 1-3 innings in 3 starts against Tampa this season. Lastly, the Blue Jays are a perfect 11-0 in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons with Romero on the mound against an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. The Jays are winning these contests by an average score of 5.7 to 2.0. Take Toronto.
|
08-21-11 |
St.Louis Cardinals -127 v. Chicago Cubs |
Top |
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Cardinals -127 Bottom Line: The Cards haven't been swept at Wrigley since 2006. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games following losed in the first 2 games of a series and 4-0 in their last 4 in the third game of a series. The Cubs are a lousy 19-40 in their last 59 in the third game of a series and 6-20 in their last 26 Sunday games. Lopez has failed to record a win in his last 3 starts against the Cards, and was absolutely shelled in a 13-5 loss to them on July 30.
|
08-17-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals -130 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Game of the Week on Cardinals -130 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses in the first 2 games of this series, expect the Cards to come storming back tonight. The Pirates have lost Maholm's last 6 starts and he's posted an ERA of 5.80 in these outings. Pujols is 21 for 36 lifetime versus the left-hander. The Cards have won each of Lohse's last 3 starts and he's posted an ERA of 2.51 in these games. Pound the Cards in this bounce back spot with the hotter hurler on the mound.
|
08-16-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Oakland A's -131 |
Top |
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on A's -131 Bottom Line: The O's won the opener of this series last night, but they are just 3-14 in their last 17 games following a win and 0-6 in their last 6 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. They don't figure to have much luck with Matusz on the hill. They have lost his last 4 starts, during which he's compiled an ERA of 13.50. Plus, this is a tough spot for him, returning from Triple-A to make his first big league start in well over a month. The Athletics are 5-1 in Moscoso's 6 home starts this season. He has an ERA of only 3.18 in those games. The A's have won 9 of their last 11 and 37 of their last 52 at home against Baltimore. We'll pound the Athletics.
|
08-14-11 |
Boston Red Sox -160 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
3-5 |
Loss |
-160 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Week on Red Sox -160 Bottom Line: Taking the Red Sox against lefty starters has been a money play all season. Boston is 27-12 against southpaw starters on the year, hitting .286 and scoring an average of 5.4 runs off them. The Sox are 23-5 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter. We'll bet Boston.
|
08-09-11 |
Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays -140 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Blue Jays -140 Bottom Line: The A's don't have the sticks to match up with one of the best power hitting teams in the AL. That's a big reason why they have dropped 11 of their last 14 north of the border. It's also worth noting that Toronto is 27-5 in its last 32 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs. terrible power teams averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game. The Jays have won these contests by an average of 2.0 runs. Plus, Oakland scheduled starter Rich Harden has never won in Toronto. He's 0-2 (0-3 on the money line) with a 13.50 ERA in three career starts at Toronto. He is just 1-7 on the money line all-time against the Jays.
|
08-08-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Cincinnati Reds -152 |
Top |
10-7 |
Loss |
-152 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy 2011 National League Game of the Year on Reds -152 Bottom Line: The Reds are a perfect 12-0 in the second half of the season the last 3 seasons when Bailey has the ball against a club with a losing record. The Reds are winning these contests by an average score of 5.7 to 2.4. Cincy is also an unbeaten 10-0 in the second half of the season the last 2 seasons when Bailey gets the start against a club whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game. The Reds are winning by an average score of 6.1 to 2.4 in this situation.
|
08-04-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -142 |
Top |
7-6 |
Loss |
-142 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Pirates -142 Bottom Line: The Cubs have managed to win the first 3 games of this series, but they are at a huge disadvantage tonight with Lopez on the mound. His teams are only 10-26 in his last 36 starts. The Pirates, meanwhile, are 12-5 in McDonald's last 17, 7-2 in his last 9 and 4-1 in his last 5 starts. He has held the opposition to 3 or fewer earned runs in 15 of his last 17 starts. Pittsburgh is 6-0 in McDonald's last 6 starts against a club with a losing record. It is also 4-0 in his last 4 outings against division rivals. We'll play Pittsburgh on the money line.
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08-03-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -101 |
Top |
1-0 |
Loss |
-101 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central *BLOOD BATH* on Pirates -101 Bottom Line: Plays against all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) that are off 3 straight upset wins on the road over division rivals and are taking on a division opponent are 55-21 since 1997. This super situation is already 3-0 this season. In addition, plays on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PITTSBURGH) off an upset loss to a division rival and taking on an opponent off 3 straight upset wins over division rivals on the road are 33-8 the last 14 years. This super situation is already 2-0 this season. Take the Pirates.
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08-02-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -127 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central *BLOOD BATH* on Reds -127 Bottom Line: The Reds are 25-10 in their last 35 meetings with the Astros, and they're in good hands tonight with Bailey stepping to the hill. Expect him to be very focused following one of the worst outings of his career. The Reds are 18-3 in Bailey's last 21 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and he is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.69 in 2 starts against the Astros this season.
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08-01-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -138 |
Top |
5-3 |
Loss |
-138 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Month on Pirates -138 Bottom Line: The Pirates believe they have what it takes to make a run at the Central title, and they won't let a lowly Cubs team they have defeated 7 times in the least 9 home meetings stand in their way. The Cubs, who are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter, don't figure to have much luck against Maholm, who is 5-0 on the money line all-time in home starts in the series. It's also worth noting that Pirates are 5-0 in Maholm's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Bet the Bucs.
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07-31-11 |
Minnesota Twins +129 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
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5* AL Central Wiseguy
Expect the Twins to get back on track and win the rubber match in this 3-game series. The A's pitching staff has struggled of late, allowing an average of 6.7 runs per game over their last 7 contests.
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07-29-11 |
Texas Rangers -124 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
2-3 |
Loss |
-124 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Rangers -124 Bottom Line: Great spot for the Rangers. Plays on all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - hot hitting team batting .290 or better over their last 20 games and matched up against an opponent with a hot starting pitcher (ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts) are 75-27 the last 5 seasons. In addition, Texas is 7-0 in its last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-0 in its last 8 Friday games. Pound the Rangers.
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07-28-11 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves -159 |
Top |
5-2 |
Loss |
-159 |
9 h 41 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Never Lost MLB Power Play on Braves -159 Bottom Line: Lowe has never lost to the Pirates. He's 10-0 in as many starts against them with an ERA of 2.64. These wins have come by an average of 4.4 runs. Take the Braves.
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07-27-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -127 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
4-13 |
Loss |
-127 |
11 h 55 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy 2011 MLB Bailout Game of the Year on Rays -127 Bottom Line: I'm fading Cahill here. The Oakland starter was murdered in his last outing, giving up 10 runs on 9 hits in just 2 innings of work. The A's have lost each of his last 5 starts and 12 of his last 14, during which he has posted an ERA of 5.06. The Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 games following losses in the first 2 games of a series and have won 4 straight in this situation. Expect this trend to continue with Shields taking the ball. The Rays have won 7 of his 10 road starts this season, and he has an ERA of only 2.61 in those games. Pound the Rays.
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07-26-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers -141 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 6 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Week on Brewers -141 Bottom Line: The Brewers are 37-15 in their last 52 home games and their home dominance should continue here. Motivated by back-to-back losses and a series defeat in Chicago earlier this month, expect the Brew Crew to take the field with plenty of focus. Scheduled starter Chris Narveson is 4-0 lifetime with an ERA of 2.28 against the Cubs. I'm confident his success will continue when you consider Chicago is 0-4 in its last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Dempster has fared well against the Brewers but enters this contest with a 6.70 ERA on the road. That's not a trustworthy number. Bet the Beermakers in this bounce back spot.
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07-24-11 |
Atlanta Braves -121 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-121 |
11 h 50 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Baseball *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Braves -121 Bottom Line: Look for Atlanta to show up at the ball park focused tonight following Saturday's lopsided defeat. The Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games following a loss, and I love their chances against Willis, who is 0-6 on the money line in his last 6 starts. Take Hotlanta.
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07-23-11 |
Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds -125 |
Top |
2-11 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy 2011 MLB Day Game of the Year on Reds -125 Bottom Line: Getting behind Bailey big time at home today. He's 3-1 with an ERA of 2.39 on the season. Dating back to last season, the Reds are 12-2 in his last 14 home starts. The fact he is coming off a gem against St. Louis also bodes well for us. Consider that Bailey is 10-1 on the money line over the last 3 seasons after giving up 1 earned run or less in his last outing. The Reds have won these games by an average score of 6.4 to 3.6. The Braves aren't at all familiar with Bailey, which also plays into our hands. Take the Reds.
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07-22-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals -130 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
Top |
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Week on Cardinals -130 Bottom Line: Really like the Cards in this spot as they look to make a statement that they are still the team to beat in the Central in this series. They couldn't bring a better guy to the hill in the opener. Carpenter is 5-0 on the ML with an ERA of 1.66 over his last 5 starts. He's 14-2 on the ML with an ERA of 2.09 in his career against the Bucs. We'll take St. Louis tonight.
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07-20-11 |
Oakland A's v. Detroit Tigers -125 |
Top |
7-5 |
Loss |
-125 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BLOOD BATH* on Tigers -125 Bottom Line: Oakland has been playing awful on the road, losing 24 of its last 29 away games. In addition, it is 0-9 the last 3 seasons when taking on a team with a winning percentage of 51-54 percent in the second half of the season. It is losing these contests by an average score of 5.7 to 2.2. McCarthy has struggled on the road all season where the A's have dropped 5 of his 6 away starts. Plus, a team hitting just .223 on the road doesn't figure to make much solid contact here while getting their first look at the talented Duane Below. We'll pound Detroit in this one.
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07-19-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Florida Marlins -140 |
Top |
4-0 |
Loss |
-140 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy *MONSTER MISMATCH* on Marlins -140 Bottom Line: These teams are headed in different directions. The Marlins have won 9 of 10 while the Padres have lost 8 of 9. Plus, getting behind Sanchez is a must in this spot. Consider that the Marlins are 8-0 in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons with Sanchez on the mound facing an NL foe that scored 4.3 or less runs per game. The Marlins are winning these games by an average score of 6.4 to 2.3. Take the Fish.
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07-18-11 |
Atlanta Braves v. Colorado Rockies -125 |
Top |
7-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB Trap Game of the Month on Rockies -125 Bottom Line: The books are looking to bait the public into taking the Braves in the underdog role. Atlanta has won 11 more games than Colorado on the season and it has won 4 straight in the series but we won't bite. Atlanta has dropped its last 4 in the Mile High City and is 0-2 when facing Hammel in Colorado. A couple more things can't be overlooked. The Rockies are 8-1 in Hammel's last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 16-6 in his last 22 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Pound the Rockies.
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07-08-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates -124 |
Top |
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB Blowout Game of the Week on Pirates -124 Bottom Line: The Cubs have lost 5 of their last 6 in Pittsburgh and 16 of their last 21 on the road. In addition, this one has all the makings of a letdown for Chicago after such an emotional come from behind win last night. I have no problem fading Lopez here when you consider that he is even 0-13 on the money line in his last 13 road games when matched up against an NL foe with an on-base percentage of .325 or worse. His teams are losing these games by an average of 4.1 runs.
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07-07-11 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers -113 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 44 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL Central Game of the Month on Brewers -113 Bottom Line: The Reds have had Milwaukee's number, but this is a great spot for the Brewers. Milwaukee played early in the day Wednesday so it's had plenty of time to gear up for this one. The Reds played a 13-inning game last night and then had to travel to Milwaukee. That game really took a toll on Cincy's pitching staff as 7 relievers were used. The Reds prevailed last night but are 0-7 in their last 7 games following a win. They are also 0-4 in Bailey's last 4 starts. Lastly, the Brewers are 5-1 in Narveson's last 6 starts. Take Milwaukee.
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07-06-11 |
San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants -147 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 42 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy NL West Game of the Year on Giants -147 Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses to San Diego, and with Arizona in hot pursuit, expect the Giants to rise to the occasion this evening. San Diego has lost each of Moseley's last 4 starts and 12 of his 16 starts on the season. The Padres are 0-7 in Moseley's last 7 starts as an underdog. Bumgarner has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in 13 of his last 14 starts and he's been nearly unhittable in his last 2, limiting the Indians and Tigers to a total of 2 runs in 14 1/3 innings. Pound the Giants in this highly motivated spot.
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07-05-11 |
New York Yankees -151 v. Cleveland Indians |
Top |
9-2 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy AL Game of the Month on Yankees -151 Bottom Line: Expect the Yankees to bounce back strong this evening. They have won 8 of their last 11 overall against the Indians and 8 of their last 11 in Cleveland. Plus, the Yankees have been incredible with Sabathia on the hill in this price range. They are 74-34 in their last 108 games as a favorite of -151 to -200 and an incredible 23-4 in Sabathia's last 27 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Indians are 10-25 in their last 35 games as an underdog, 1-7 in their last 8 games as a home underdog and 0-6 in Carrasco's last 6 starts as a home underdog. Pound New York.
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07-04-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox -147 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *MAJOR MISMATCH* on White Sox -147 Bottom Line: Buehrle owns the Royals. He's 21-11 (32-14 on the ML) with an ERA of 3.67 in 46 starts against them. The White Sox are an awesome 19-4 in his last 23 home outings against Kansas City. KC's Francis, meanwhile, is 0-1 (0-3 on the ML) with an ERA of 5.30 lifetime against Chicago. Take the White Sox.
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07-03-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Colorado Rockies -147 |
Top |
16-8 |
Loss |
-147 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy 26-0 MLB *MAJOR MISMATCH* on Rockies -147 Bottom Line: The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 overall and 0-7 in their last 7 road games. The Royals are 0-6 in their last 6 games after losing the first 2 games of a series, 0-4 in Hochevar's last 4 road starts and 0-4 in their last 4 meetings with Colorado. The Rockies have received a big boost from Mark Ellis, and I expect him to continue to make an impact today. Take Colorado.
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07-02-11 |
Boston Red Sox -138 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
10-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
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5* Wiseguy MLB *MAJOR MISMATCH* on Red Sox -138 Bottom Line: The Red Sox are a steal at this price when you consider how much Houston starter J.A. Happ has struggled. The Astros have lost each of his last 8 starts and he has really been getting shelled recently, as evidenced by the 11.73 ERA he has posted over his last 2 starts. Boston's offense, which is hitting a solid .274 against southpaw starters this season, should be able to feast on Happ this evening while Andrew Miller takes care of the rest. The Sox have won each of his last 2 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 3.08. Bet Boston.
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