Basketball Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
04-07-11 |
Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 179 |
Top |
81-97 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy TNT Primetime Total on Celtics/Bulls UNDER 179 Bottom Line: Expect the defenses to take center stage in what will feel like a playoff game. Plays Under on all teams (CHICAGO) when the total is between 170 and 179.5 points that have won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and 60% or more of their games on the season are 43-17 the last 5 seasons. We are only seeing an average of 171.0 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 12-3 in the Celtics' last 15 overall and 9-3 in the Bulls' last 12 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in Chicago. Bet the Under.
|
04-06-11 |
New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 212.5 |
Top |
97-92 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Knicks/76ers UNDER 212.5 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHILADELPHIA) - looking to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponents, off a road loss, are 101-51 (66.4%) since 1996. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Bet the Under as Philly brings the "D" at home, where they are only allowing 95.2 ppg this season.
|
04-04-11 |
Butler v. Connecticut UNDER 129 |
Top |
41-53 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy "Total" MASSACRE on Butler/UConn UNDER 129 Bottom Line: The Under is 5-1 in the Huskies' last 6 overall and 22-10-1 in their last 33 games as a favorite. The Under is 7-3 in the Bulldogs' last 10 NCAA Tournament games and 4-1 in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Also, plays Under on neutral court teams when the total is 129.5 or less (CONNECTICUT) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (63-67 PPG), after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games - are 50-23 since 1997. We are only seeing an average of 121.2 total points scored in this situation. In addition, Butler doesn't turn the ball over very often and UConn doesn't force many turnovers. When points off turnovers are projected to be low, the Under is usually a strong play. Consider that UConn is 6-0 Under after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers this season. Bet the Under.
|
04-03-11 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. New York Knicks UNDER 216 |
Top |
107-123 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Knicks UNDER 216 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (NEW YORK) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games and with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season - are 30-10 (75%) since 1996. We are only seeing an average of 205.4 total points scored in this situation. We'll bet the Under.
|
04-02-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Butler UNDER 134.5 |
Top |
62-70 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Final Four "Total" Massacre on VCU/Butler UNDER 134.5 Bottom Line: Butler has played in 9 NCAA tournament games the last 2 seasons and 7 of those have finished Under the number. Brad Stevens and his staff continue to find ways to get the opposition out of any kind of offensive rhythm and the players are disciplined enough to execute flawlessly. VCU's defense has been terrific as well, holding each of its last 2 opponents to under 37% shooting. This is significant because VCU is on a 10-2 UNDER run when playing away from home after 2 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less. We are only seeing an average of 121.1 total points scored in this situation. Bet the Under.
|
04-01-11 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 189.5 |
Top |
88-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on Bucks/Pacers UNDER 189.5 Bottom Line: One of the most lucrative trends this season has been to take the Under in Milwaukee games following a game in which the Bucks finishes Over the totals. The Bucks are an awesome 20-6 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs this season, and we are only seeing an average of 182.2 total points scored in these games. Bet the Under.
|
03-31-11 |
Dallas Mavericks v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
82-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" MASSACRE on Mavs/Lakers UNDER 191.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers have been at their best defensively against the best competition. In fact, LA is 12-2 UNDER versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. We are only seeing an average of 186.2 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 9-4 in the Lakers' last 13 overall and 5-1 in the Mavericks' last 6 overall. We'll take the Under in what should be a lower scoring defensive battle.
|
03-30-11 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 210 |
Top |
91-110 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Warriors/Grizzlies UNDER 210 Bottom Line This is a rare situation we can't afford to pass up. Golden State is 20-9 UNDER in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. If the Warriors are playing their second road contest in as many days, this trend tightens up to 16-3 UNDER! The Warriors have been a money UNDERS play on the road all season. Bet the UNDER!
|
03-29-11 |
Wichita State -2.5 v. Washington State |
Top |
75-44 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NIT Game of the Year on Wichita State -2.5 Bottom Line: The Cougars have really struggled on the road, going just 3-8 in their last 11 games away from home. In addition, Washington State has been a terrible investment in the underdog role. Consider that the Cougars are 14-30-2 ATS in their last 46 games when catching points. Wichita State, meanwhile, is 5-1 ATS in itslast 6 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Also, the Shockers have had a lot more success on the road this season, going 13-4 in all games outside Wichita. The Shockers showed what they are made of when they went into Blacksburg and knocked off the Hokies in the 2nd round of the NIT. We'll lay the points tonight as they handle the Cougars on a neutral floor.
|
03-28-11 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
97-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Massacre on 76ers/Bulls UNDER 191.5 Bottom Line: Under coach Thibodeau, Chicago is 14-2 UNDER when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent. The Bulls have really tightened the screws defensively in these spots and we are only seeing an average of 179.1 total points scored in this situation as a result. Bet the UNDER.
|
03-27-11 |
Kentucky v. North Carolina UNDER 146.5 |
Top |
76-69 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy Elite 8 "Total" Blowout on Kentucky/UNC Under 146.5 Bottom Line: UNC is 6-0 UNDER when playing away from home after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. We are only seeing a total of 135.5 points scored on average in this situation. Also, Calipari is 16-5 UNDER when revenging a loss in which his teams' opponent scored 75 or more points in all games he has coached since 1997. We are only seeing 135.4 total points scored on average in this situation. These 2 teams combined for 148 during the regular season, but with the stakes raised this game should have a lot more defensive intensity. Plus, look for Kentucky to take the air out of the ball like it did against Ohio State. Bet the Under.
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