Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* (ABC) on Nuggets +5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are showing some nice value catching this many points. After all, they are 13-4 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season and 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season. The Nuggets are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 games as an underdog and 25-8 ATS in their last 33 games as a road underdog. The Lakers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite. The Nuggets are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings with the Lakers, including 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic +9.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are factoring Dwight Howard's absence too heavily into this line and we'll look to take advantage. The Magic remain a dangerous team without the big fella because they can flat out drain it from deep. The Magic are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus Indiana. The Pacers are on a 1-9-1 ATS slide when laying points in the postseason.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks have an opportunity to lock up home-court in the first round, and I expect them to take care of business versus a Dallas squad that will sit Jason Terry and Jason Kidd. The Hawks are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Clippers/Knicks UNDER 191.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers combined with the Hawks to put 211 points on the board last night. The Knicks combined with the Hawks to put 225 points on the board in their last game. Also, we've seen 224, 239 and 220 total points scored in the last 3 meetings in this series. Given the line, the books are clearly begging for the public to take the over. We won't bite. I fully expect this game to have playoff intensity on the defensive end. The Clippers are 14-5 under when playing the second game of a back-to-back this season. We've seen just 184.4 total points scored in these games. Plus, NY is 9-0 under after a win by 6 points or less this season. We've seen just 175.9 total points scored in these games. Pound the under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Suns/Jazz UNDER 203
Bottom Line: Both teams are fresh and with all that's at stake I expect the defensive intensity to be high. The result should be an easy under. Plays Under on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (UTAH) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (98-102 PPG), after a combined score of 215 points or more, are 83-42 since 1996. This system is 10-1 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season. Also, plays Under on home teams when the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 72-34 since 1996. This system is 28-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season. Lastly, the Suns are 7-0 Under this season in road games versus poor defensive teams allowing 99+ points/game. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets -12.5
Bottom Line: This is a must-win game for Houston, which is 1-game back for the final playoff spot in the West, and it catches the injury-depleted Warriors at a good time. They spent a lot of injury in last night's loss to the Mavs and have now dropped 7 in a row by an average of 15.3 points. Plus, Houston is 7-0 SU and ATS in its last 7 home games versus Golden State, winning those contests by an average of 16.7 points. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Mavs -12
Bottom Line: With an opportunity to clinch a playoff berth with a win, look for the Mavs to roll in their regular-season home finale. Dallas has won 9 of its last 10 at home against Golden State with those 9 wins coming by a whopping 16.8 points per game. The injury bug has really plagued the Warriors down the stretch, and I don't believe they have enough fire power to keep the motivated Mavs from blowing them out.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: After winning the season's first meeting in Miami, the Heat have dropped a pair of close contests in Chicago. This is a game the Heat want badly. A win here keeps them alive for the #1 seed in the East, and more importantly, gives them confidence against a Chicago club they'll likely see in the playoffs. The Heat have won 8 of their last 9 at home versus Chicago with those 8 wins coming by an average of 7.6 points. Also, playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) out to avenge a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, has produced a 61-31 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been favored by an average of 6.2 points and have won by an average of 9.7. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA BAILOUT on Trail Blazers +4
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 15-26 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Utah has won the season's first 2 meetings by 4 and 5 points, but Portland is 30-15 ATS in its last 45 games when out to avenge 2 consecutive straight up losses to an opponent. The Blazers have won by an average of 7.0 points in this situation. We'll take the points as Portland shows up for the fans in its last home game of the season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs (INDIANA) coming off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points, tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced a 91-51 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this situation have lost by an average of 8.9 points. The Pacers are also 12-28 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 0 days' rest. This is Indiana's 4th game in 5 days. The 76ers played yesterday as well but had 2 days off prior to that game. Philly will be the fresher team tonight, and I expect it to rise to the occasion as it tries to boost its playoff position.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +8
Bottom Line: This is Miami's second game in as many days and 4th in 5 days, and I don't think it will have the legs to cover this number tonight. The Nets haven't forgotten about the 30-point beating they were handed in South Beach last month, and I fully expect them to leave it all on the floor in hopes of avenging that defeat. Miami's starters logged over 164 minutes Sunday, which is significant because it is on a 2-6 ATS slide when their starting 5 combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Bet the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: The Pistons have either won or lost to the Bulls by fewer than today's posted number in 27 of the last 32 meetings in Detroit. The home teams have covered the number in 6 of the last 7 matchups. Also, the Pistons are a very profitable 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Take Detroit.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +11.5
Bottom Line: Even with Love out, the T-Wolves aren't getting the respect they deserve at home. They are 4-9 in their last 13 home games in the series but none of those 13 losses have come by more than 11 points. I fully expect this 13-0 trend to continue. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -5
Bottom Line: Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) that average 99.0 points per game or more on the season, provided they have allowed 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games, are 46-19 ATS (70.8%) since 1996. These teams have been favored by an average of 6.0 points and have won by an average of 8.3. This system is a killer 13-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Basically, this system suggests that Milwaukee will tighten the screws defensively following consecutive poor efforts and is explosive enough offensively to cover the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Heat +2
Bottom Line: Off a loss to Boston, in which they allowed the Celtics to shoot 60.6%, and having tasted defeat the last time they faced the Bulls, I expect an inspired effort from LeBron James and company this evening. The Heat lost in Chicago by 4 points on Mar. 14 but had won 5 straight over the Bulls by an average of 7.2 points prior to that. This game is basically a must-win for the Heat if they want any realistic chance to claim the Eastern Conference's top seed. More importantly, the Heat need this game to prove to themselves what they have thought all along, that they're the team to beat in the East. The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Also, the Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. We'll pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Year on Grizzlies -5.5
Bottom Line: I love the Grizzlies at home tonight as they look to pay Phoenix back for a pair of losses in the desert earlier this season. The last time Phoenix visited Memphis, it was handed a 10-point defeat, and I expect this one to be even worse. The Suns have lost 3 of their last 4 on the road in this series with those 3 losses coming by an average of 11.3 points. Phoenix is 18-8 since mid-Feb. but has struggled against the elite, enduring losses to Oklahoma City, Miami and San Antonio during this stretch. Memphis, meanwhile, has won 8 of its last 10 with key wins against the Lakers, Thunder and Heat during this stretch. The Memphis defense has been ridiculous, holding its last 10 foes to just 90.8 points on average. The Phoenix defense hasn't been nearly as good, giving up 98.4 points to its last 10 opponents. The Suns have given up an average of 101.0 points to their last 5 opponents while the Grizzlies have allowed just 89.0 to their last 5. Memphis' defense will spark a blowout tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a double-digit win over a division rival and are up against a foe that checks in off a home blowout win of 20 points or more has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS record the last 5 seasons.

Playing against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that enter off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival and are up against a foe that enters off a home win has produced a perfect 4-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons.

Playing on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out to avenge a road loss to an opponent, if that opponent checks in off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival, has produced an unbeaten 4-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons.

Lastly, playing against road teams in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's) has produced a perfect 3-0 ATS mark this season. We'll take the Heat behind this 20-0 ATS angle.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Blazers -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers have the advantage playing this one at home with a day of rest on their side. Houston just played Sunday and has lost 5 of its last 7 ATS when playing without a day of rest. The have also been a dead fade in this point-spread range as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games as a dog of 4.5 or fewer points. Houston is 4-13 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of its last 6 games this season and 2-11 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Pound Portland.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Knicks UNDER 185
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 9-0 Under this season when checking in off a road win. We have only seen an average of 179.5 total points scored in this situation. The Under is 4-0 in the Bulls' last 4 road games, 8-3 in the Knicks' last 11 overall and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two foes in New York. New York's defense has improved drastically since the last time it faced Chicago. Expect a low-scoring defensive battle to find its way under the number here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Celtics +2
Bottom Line: Last night's satisfying win over the Thunder has left the Pacers ripe for a beating. The Celtics, who have lost 2 in a row since winning 5 straight, will gladly deliver that beating. This is a revenge game for Indiana, which lost the season's most recent meeting by 7 points in Boston, but I don't believe it will have the legs to get the job done. Playing against home favorites (INDIANA) out to avenge an upset loss to an opponent, provided that "play against" side checks in having played 9 or more games in 14 days, has produced a 35-13 (73%) ATS mark since 1996. Also, the Pacers are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 games when playing with no rest. The Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 1 day of rest and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or fewer. Boston wins this game outright.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +7.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Miami, which is coming off a big revenge win over the Thunder. Memphis lost its last game at Dallas but that was its third in as many days. Having had a day of rest, the Grizzlies will be much fresher here. They won at OKC Monday and have been at their best this time of year under coach Hollins. In fact, the Grizz are 18-4 ATS all-time in the second half of the season under Hollins when matched up against a team that has won more than 70% of its games. It has only lost to these foes by an average of 2.1 points. I like Memphis to give the Heat all they want and more tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -7
Bottom Line: The Bulls will be out for blood at home tonight following back-to-back SU and ATS losses. Chicago is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has won by an average of 13.4 points in this situation. Plus, the Celtics are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games playing on 0 days rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Chicago. The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing when playing on 2 days rest. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: The Wizards have played the Pacers to 2 and 4-point games this season, and I like them to take Indy right down to the wire again. The Pacers are only 10-27 ATS in their last 37 games when playing on 0 days' rest and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Off last night's big come-from-behind win over New York, and with the Thunder and Celtics up next, expect Indiana to get caught looking ahead here.

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +7.5
Bottom Line: This is a major letdown spot for the Grizzlies following last night's big win over the Thunder. The Grizzlies are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Blazers defeated Minnesota by 13 Sunday but are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a win and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Trail Blazers are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 1-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Championship *PUNISHER* on Kentucky -6
Bottom Line: Kentucky is playing at a different level than Kansas. While the Jayhawks have won 3 of their NCAA tourney games by 3 points or less, the Wildcats have won each of theirs by at least 8 points. The Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Kentucky defeated Kansas by 10 points during the regular season and did so despite missing 13 free throws and turning the ball over 19 times. Kentucky flexes its muscles here.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Magic -5
Bottom Line: The last time Orlando lost consecutive games it bounced back strong with a double digit win and cover over Phoenix. I expect a similar turn of events this evening. The Nuggets have lost 3 of 5 on their current road trip with their losses coming by an average of 15.0 points. They have also dropped 13 of their last 14 in Orlando with those losses coming by an average of 11.2 points. The fact Denver enters off a win is also significant because it hasn't won consecutive contests since March 4-5. The home team is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and the Nuggets are 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando. Pound the Magic.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Ohio State -2.5
Bottom Line: Kansas is in the Final Four by the skin of its teeth, getting scares from Purdue and NC State and benefiting from an injury to UNC's Kendall Marshall. Ohio State, meanwhile, has been a lot more dominant, winning each of its NCAA Tourney games by at least 7 points. The only thing keeping this line from being higher is Kansas' 11-point win over the Buckeyes earlier this season. But it can't go unmentioned that Jared Sullinger didn't play in that contest. With the big fella down low to put pressure on Thomas Robinson on both ends of the court and Aaron Craft in Tyshawn Taylor's jersey, I fully expect the Buckeyes to win and cover. Ohio State is on a dominant 18-7 ATS run when playing away from Columbus when out to avenge a same-season defeat to an opponent. Also, the Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. Bet the Buckeyes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +2.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to take the Grizzlies in this back-to-back spot considering they are 23-4 ATS in their last 27 games when playing on 0 days rest. Also, the Bucks are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less. Plus, the underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Memphis won both of last season's meeting, and I expect it to continue its recent dominance of Milwaukee here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Hawks -3.5
Bottom Line: New York's 108-86 win over Orlando Wednesday and it's 99-82 home win over Atlanta last month sets up a very strong situation tonight. Playing on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) that are out to avenge a road loss to an opponent, provided that foe is coming off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, has produced a 37-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 10.5 points. The Knicks are just 2-7 in their last 9 road games. I like the Hawks big in this revenge spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* (TNT) on Lakers pk
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 20-4 at home this season where they carry an 8.4-point average margin of victory. They are also on an 11-1 run at home versus the Sonic/Thunder (7 of those wins against the Thunder) with those 11 victories coming by an average of 10.6 points. The Thunder have been far from invincible on the road of late with 7-point losses at Atlanta and Utah this month. The Lakers crushed the Heat by 10 points at home earlier this month and they'll be looking to make a statement against the Thunder as well. Pound the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +5.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Nets to cover this number at home tonight as they leave it all on the floor to avoid being swept by Indiana. The Nets have lost the season's first 3 matchups but the last 2 losses have come by just 7 and 5 points. Fat and happy off a big win over Miami, I don't expect the Pacers to give the Nets the respect they deserve tonight. The Pacers are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, Indiana is only 2-13 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Vogel. It has lost by an average of 5.8 points in this situation. Bet the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks -2
Bottom Line: The Bucks have lost consecutive games by 21 and 9 points and have a pair of 5-point losses to Atlanta this season and yet they are favored? Odds makers clearly want the public on the Hawks, who have won 4 in row, but we won't fall for the trap. I believe Milwaukee will play with a greater sense of urgency tonight as it is currently on the outside of the playoff picture. Plus, I expect Atlanta to be more focused on tomorrow's showdown with the Bulls. Playing against underdogs (ATLANTA) off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points, tired team playing 8 or more games in 14 days, has produced an 83-48-4 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The SU record of this system is 105-30 and the teams fitting into it have lost by an average of 8.9 points. Pound Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Bobcats +7
Bottom Line: This aging Boston squad has really struggled when playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, especially on the road. In fact, the C's are only 1-8 ATS this season when playing their 2nd game in as many days away from home. They haven't just lost these games, they've lost them by an average of 12.6 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Celtics are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games when playing on no rest and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Additionally, Bean Town is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games and 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet Charlotte.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +7
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost 3 in a row, but that's not about to keep me off them. They are a sizzling 15-4 ATS in their last 19 road games after 3 or more consecutive losses and have only lost in this situation by an average of 0.1 points. The Lakers have won the season's first 2 meetings but the Grizzlies are 49-31 ATS in their last 80 games when playing with double revenge. They have only lost these games by an average of 1.3 points. The Lakers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. We'll fade LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +3.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs have won 4 straight over Houston with those wins coming by an average of 6.5 points. The last time the Mavs lost in Houston was Dec. 31, 2009 and they only lost that game by 3 points. The Mavs are an incredible 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll side with the reigning NBA champions in the small dog role here.

5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Syracuse +3
Bottom Line: Top-seeded Syracuse isn't getting the respect it deserves here. Ohio State won more impressively in the Sweet 16 but that win came against a Cincy team seeded lower than the team Syracuse played (Wisconsin). Plus, the Orange won that game despite Wisconsin dropping in 14 three-pointers. It takes excellent 3-point shooting to beat Jim Boeheim's matchup zone, and I don't see an Ohio State team that only averages 6 made three-pointers per game hitting enough threes tonight. Ohio State is only 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games in the Big Dance when listed as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. Pound Cuse.

5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas -8
Bottom Line: The public has fallen in love with NC State, and odds makers are looking to take advantage here. We won't go down with the public ship. Kansas endured a close call against Purdue and failed to cover the spread, but recent history tells us it isn't wise to go against the Jayhawks in this spot. In fact, Kansas is an impressive 11-4 ATS this season following a game in which it didn't cover the number. It has won these games by an average of 12.1 points. Kansas had its Final Four hopes dashed last year by VCU, and it's on a mission. We'll lay the points as the Jayhawks bring NC State's Cinderella run to an end.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Year on Raptors +5.5
Bottom Line: The books want the money coming in on NY, who enters riding a 5-game win streak and defeated the Raptors by 19 on March 20, but we won't oblige them. That embarrassing loss, and blowing a 12-point lead in their last game against the Bulls, will have them extremely motivated here. Toronto has lost 3 in a row but is 14-4 ATS this season after losing 3 of their last 4 games. The Raptors have actually won by an average of 0.4 points in these contests. Also, the Knicks are a lousy 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. The Raptors are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Toronto.

5* Sweet 16 Game of the Year on Cincinnati +7.5
Bottom Line: The Bearcats have won 9 of their last 11 and those 2 losses came by 6 points or less. The Buckeyes have won 6 of their last 7, but only 3 of those wins have come by more than 7 points. Cincy is an awesome 8-1 ATS when playing away from home versus non-conference foes since the beginning of last season. It has won these games by an average of 10.0 points (67.1 to 57.1). We'll grab the points as Cincy gives the Buckeyes all they want and more.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Pacers have lost their last 4 on the road and could get stung again here versus a Washington squad with home wins over the Thunder and Lakers. Take the points.

5* NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Spurs -9.5
Bottom Line: Having had 3 full days of rest and hungry to bounce back from a loss to Dallas and to avenge a pair of loss to Minnesota, look for the Spurs to roll tonight. The Spurs haven't lost consecutive games since January. They are 5-0 following their last 5 defeats, winning those games by an average of 16.6 points. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Pound the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy CBI Tournament Game of the Year on Pittsburgh +1.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Pittsburgh. It is the more talented team and it will show no mercy to a Butler squad that knocked it out of the Big Dance last year. Pitt is 11-3 ATS all-time under coach Dixon as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pickem. It has won these games by an average of 4.8 points. The Panthers are also 21-8 ATS under Dixon when checking in off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more. Pitt has won by an average of 14.8 points in this spot. Pound Pitt.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Week on Pacers -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the Pacers laying a small number in this bounce back spot considering the dominance the home team has displayed in this series. The home team has won each of the last 4 by at least 7 points with Indiana winning its 2 home games during this span by 27 and 13.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -4
Bottom Line: The Nuggets will be out for some serious revenge here after they were defeated by 10 and 18 points respectively by Dallas last month. Keep in mind that Denver's best player (in my opinion), Gallinari, didn't play in either of those games. With Gallinari back and playing well, Denver should be able to taste some sweet revenge here. Coach Karl is 105-81 ATS when out for revenge for a same season as the coach of Denver. He's also 41-17 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the 2nd half of the season with the Nuggets. Look for Denver to hand Dallas its 8th straight road loss tonight.

5* Wiseguy ROUND of 32 GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Louis +7.5
Bottom Line: St. Louis has been at its best against the stiffest competition this season. In fact, it is 6-0 ATS versus very good teams (outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game) this season, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 9.3 points. The Billikens are also a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. Defense has been the key to St. Louis' success, and I believe it is far too good defensively not to cover this number. The Billikens rank 8th in the nation in scoring defense, only allowing 57.4 points per game. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Cavaliers +2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 (ATLANTA) - an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), after 3 straight games of allowing opponents to shoot 47% or better - has produced a 32-9 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation have lost by an average of 4.0 points. In addition, the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Cavs.

5* Wiseguy Big Dance *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana -6
Bottom Line: VCU will play hard, as it always does, but I'm confident this more talented Indiana squad will be too much in the end. In fact, the Indiana squad has been too much for all 14 of its non-conference foes this season, including Kentucky. Odds makers set spreads for 8 of those games and the Hoosiers covered the number in all 8 while winning by an average of 23.8 points. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +8
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves will be the more motivated team tonight as they look to snap a 17-game losing streak in the series. They have played the Lakers to 5 and 3-point games in 2 of the season's 3 meetings. Plus, the Lakers could be dealing with some chemistry issues after moving Derek Fisher, Luke Walton and Jason Kapono. The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Lakers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* (TNT) on Virginia +4
Bottom Line: Virginia should not be catching this many points. The Cavs have lost 3 of their last 4 but all 3 of those losses came by 3 points to NCAA tourney teams (UNC, FSU, NC St). Florida has lost 4 of 5 with 3 of those losses coming by double figures. When getting ample time to prepare, Virginia has been unstoppable. In fact, it is 6-0 ATS under coach Bennett when playing with 5 or 6 days' rest. It has won by an average of 6.6 points in these games. Also, the Cavaliers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Clippers -7
Bottom Line: The Suns have been playing well but have only played one road games since Feb. 19. They have lost each of their last four road contests by an average of 11.5 points. The Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Clippers.

5* Wiseguy Round of 64 Game of the Year on South Dakota State +8
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back South Dakota State at this price with the way it can light it up from three-point range. SD State is 8-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% - over the last 2 seasons, defeating these foes by an average score of 79.2 to 66.5. The Jackrabbits are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Baylor is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game - after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. It is losing to these teams by an average score of 79.8 to 69. The Bears are also just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Hornets +5
Bottom Line: The Hornets catch the Lakers at the right time as LA used a ton of energy in last night's double-OT win. The Lakers have struggled on the road all season. They are even on a 0-5 ATS slide in road games when matched up against teams with losing marks at home. The Hornets have covered the number in 10 of their last 13 when catching points. Pound New Orleans.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Denver has won 4 straight at home against Atlanta with those wins coming by 9.5 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves +4
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are still a quality team without Rubio. They are more talented than Phoenix top-to-bottom and will prove it here tonight. The Suns defeated the Wolves by 9 points earlier this month, but Minnesota shot just 39.5% from the field in that game. The poor shooting can be attributed to tired legs as that was Minnesota 3rd game in as many days. It is fresher heading into this one and will shoot the ball a lot better. The Wolves are an impressive 17-7 ATS when catching points this season. It is winning by an average score of 99.2 to 98.6 in these games. Look for the Wolves to notch an outright win.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +1
Bottom Line: I like this experienced Atlanta squad to bounce back from consecutive defeats against the young Kings tonight. Sacramento is coming off a big double-digit win over the reigning NBA champs but is only 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Atlanta has won 7 in a row against the Kings with those wins coming by an average of 8.6 points. Also, the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet Atlanta in this bounce back spot against a team it has had a great deal of success against.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Championship *PUNISHER* on Michigan State +2
Bottom Line: Michigan State has been a team on a mission since losing its final two regular season games and sharing the Big Ten title with Ohio State and Michigan. It wants this game to prove it is the best team in the Big Ten and to give itself an opportunity to land a No. 1 seed. A 72-70 loss at home to Ohio State in the season finale will be the motivating force behind a Michigan State victory today. Under coach Izzo, the Spartans are 27-12 ATS when out to avenge a same-season defeat to a foe. They are winning by an average of 7.5 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +9.5
Bottom Line: We may not get the Pacers in a better spot all season. They have had 3 days to get fresh following consecutive defeats, and we can expect maximum effort after losing the season's first two meetings with Miami badly. The Pacers have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games when taking the floor with 3 days' rest or more. The Pacers desperately want to show that they can play with anyone in the East. I think they take a step toward proving that by taking the Heat down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on NC State +9
Bottom Line: NC State likely still needs a win (or at least a strong showing) to get off the bubble, and that's all the motivation it will need here. The Wolfpack are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games as an underdog. It also bodes well for us that John Henson has a wrist injury and may not be able to go. Even if he's on the floor, he likely won't be as effective.

5* Wiseguy Big East Tourney *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Louisville -3
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to grab the Cards laying such a small number as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. The Fighting Irish, meanwhile, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Notre Dame won the regular season meeting by 2 points, but I expect Louisville to have its revenge here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Lakers -113
Bottom Line: After blowing a 12-point lead against Detroit Tuesday and a 21-point lead against Washington Wednesday, the Lakers will be out for blood against a team they have defeated 17 straight times. Playing on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) off 2 or more consecutive road losses, well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, has produced a 12-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Also, the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Suns +3.5
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Suns to end their 8-game losing streak to the Mavs tonight. Dallas has dropped its last 4 on the road while Phoenix has won 5 of its last 6 at home and that lone home defeat only came by 2 points. The Mavs are not the same team that won the title last season and yet they are continuing to get that type of respect from odds makers. The Mavericks are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite period. The Suns have covered the number in 5 of their last 6 at home and 7 of their last 10 as an underdog of fewer than 5 points.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tournament Game of the year on California -185
Bottom Line: I really like Cal against the spread if you don't want to pay this much juice, but I'm taking the Golden Bears on the money line to eliminate any fluke back door cover from Stanford in the closing seconds (i.e. slop 3-pointer at the buzzer). After losing to Stanford in their last game (and losing a share of the Pac-12 title alone with it), the Bears will be out for blood here. Cal has been a solid investment in bounce back spots at 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a, ATS loss. The Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and the favored side is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Pound the Bears.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -6.5
Bottom Line: Boston is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 on the highway. It's also just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 away games when matched up against a team that has won more than 60% of its home games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +6
Bottom Line: A Lakers squad that is just 6-12 on the road this season enters this matchup overvalued following a big win over Miami. L.A. hasn't won by more than 5 points on the road all season and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 in the road chalk. The Pistons are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog. Pound the Pistons.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Tourney Punisher on George Washington +9
Bottom Line: GW is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 conference tournament road games. It has won these games by an average score of 73.1 to 69.9. It is also 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games when out to avenge a loss where it was held to less than 60 points. It is only losing these games by an average score of 67.3 to 65.9. Bet George Washington.

5* Wiseguy West Coast Conference Game of the Year on Gonzaga -2.5
Bottom Line: After 11 straight seasons of winning the WCC regular season championship, Gonzaga was finally dethroned by St. Mary's. That's not sitting well with the Bulldogs, and they'll be out to prove they're the better team tonight. The Gaels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as an underdog, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Month on Ohio State +3.5
Bottom Line: Michigan State's loss to Indiana opened the door for the Buckeyes to earn a share of the Big Ten and I expect them to take advantage. Michigan State won the first meeting but Matta's teams are 11-1 ATS all-time when out for revenge for an upset home loss. His squads have won by an average of 8.1 points in this situation. Also, Izzo's Spartan's are just 1-11 ATS all-time as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. This trend is relevant because the Spartans opened as a 2.5-3.0 point favorite almost everywhere. Sparty has lost these games by an average of 6.6 points. Pound the Buckeyes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs -7.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Utah following a big win over Miami last night. It's a bounce back spot for Dallas, who is out to snap a 4-game skid. The Mavs are 6-0 SU and ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series with those 6 wins coming by an average of 12.0 points. The Mavericks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The favorite is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings, and the home team is 24-8-1 ATS in the last 33 meetings.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on North Carolina -1.5
Bottom Line: I'm confident UNC will avenge its 1-point loss to Duke. The Tar Heels actually led by 10 points with just a couple minutes remaining before they allowed Duke to rally. They won't take their foot off the gas this time around. The Blue Devils are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Duke. Also, the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Pound UNC.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Cavaliers +10
Bottom Line: Even if an illness keeps Kyrie Irving out, this is a lot of points for the Bulls to be laying on the road. The Bulls handed Cleveland the most lopsided home loss in franchise history six weeks ago, which assures us the Cavs will leave it all on the floor here. The Cavaliers have been a real nice home dog, covering the spread in 7 of their last 9 in the role. We'll pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tourney *PUNISHER* on E. Tennessee State +12
Bottom Line: The Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. East Tennessee State has only lost to Belmont by more than 12 points 1 time in the last 15 meetings. We'll pound the Bucs.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing on home underdogs in non-conference games that are extremely well rested playing 3 or less games in 10 days has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS mark the last 3 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 3.7 points on average but have won by an average of 1.7. Also, fading Miami when it enters a contest off 3 of more consecutive home wins has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS run. The Heat are losing by an average of 9.1 points in this spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +7
Bottom Line: The Warriors are being undervalued here because of last night's embarrassing loss to Indiana. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect Golden State to take Atlanta right down to the wire.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Year on Kent State -2
Bottom Line: It's been a disappointing season for Kent State, which was the favorite to win the MAC East but a battle with Ohio, who embarrassed the Golden Flashes by 22 in the season's first meeting, will get its competitive juices flowing. The Golden Flashes have won 9 of the last 10 at home in this series with those 9 wins coming by an average of 11.6 points. Also, Kent State is 17-6 ATS when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent since 1997. It is 19-3 ATS when out to avenge a same season loss to an opponent since 1997. Pound Kent State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Wyoming -8
Bottom Line: Wyoming is 14-3 at home this season with an average winning margin of 13.3 points. It has also won 6 of its last 7 at home against TCU and the last 4 wins have come by an average of 12.0 points. The Cowboys are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TCU is riding high after a big upset win over New Mexico and has a big revenge game against SDSU up next. Expect it to fall flat on its face tonight as it gets caught overlooking a team that is very dangerous on its home floor.

5* Wiseguy NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: After getting clobbered by the 76ers in the season's first two meetings in Philly, look for the Pistons to take the floor with focus and hunger tonight. The 76ers have lost 5 in a row by an average of 8.6 points. Considering they're recent struggles, I don't believe they are worth of laying this many points on the road. The 76ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less. We'll take the points for insurance but I like Detroit to win this one outright.

5* Wiseguy *Primetime Punisher* (ESPN) on Oklahoma State +9
Bottom Line: Revenge has been a strong play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when out to avenge a road loss to a foe and have won these games by an average score of 65.4 to 64.0. Also, recent history suggests this is too many points for Kansas to be laying on the road. The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games when valued as a favorite of 7.0 to 12.5 points.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Illinois -5.5
Bottom Line: Illinois has lost 6 in a row but it will be willing to leave it all on the floor against an Iowa squad that has endured 5 consecutive setbacks on the highway by an average of 15.8 points. The Fighting Illini have won 6 in a row against the Hawkeyes by an average of 11.2 points. They have also won 10 in a row at home in the series with those wins coming by an average of 13.0 points. Iowa guard Matt Gatens have absolutely gone off the last 2 games with 30 and 33-point efforts, and the Hawks needed everyone of those points to fend off late rallies from Indiana and Wisconsin. I just can't see him keeping it up on the road against an Illinois team with enough athletes to make life very difficult for him. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year (CBS) on Kansas -7.5
Bottom Line: Hungered by a bitter 74-71 defeat in Columbia, MO on Feb. 4 in which the Jayhawks blew an 8-point lead with 2:00 minutes remaining, and with a chance to notch an eighth consecutive Big 12 title, expect Kansas to roll this afternoon. Kansas is 14-0 at home this season with a 22.8-point average margin of victory. Also, the Jayhawks are a perfect 8-0 ATS under coach Self when out to avenge a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. They have won these games by a whopping 19.4 points on average. Bet Kansas.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on West Virginia -107
Bottom Line: WVU needs a resume-boosting win and I like its chances here. Coach Huggins is a proven motivator and he won't have any trouble getting his kids ready to play following Wednesday's embarrassing 71-44 loss to Notre Dame. Huggins' teams are 14-2 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. They have won by an average score of 79.1 to 63.4 in this situation. Also, his WVU teams are 9-2 ATS off an embarrassing road loss in which they were held to less than 60 points. They've bounced back to win by an average score of 78.3 to 62.6 in this situation. The home team has won the last 6 meetings and WVU's 3 home wins during this span have come by an average of 11.7 points. Take the Mountaineers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Heat -9.5
Bottom Line: Miami is 14-2 at home and those 14 wins have come by an average of 15.5 points. These wins haven't just come against cupcakes either. The Heat have double-digit wins at home over the Pacers, Spurs, Lakers, 76ers, Magic and Knicks. The Knicks are an improved team with Lin at the point, but they have benefited from a soft schedule. Lin is yet to face a defensive team like the Heat, and I expect him to struggle. Miami has rattled off 7 straight wins by an average of 16.9 points, and it will be out to prove to everyone that the Knicks have been overhyped.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are dealing with some injuries and have lost back-to-back games but shouldn't be catching this many points. Atlanta's last two losses came in Portland (arguably the toughest place to play in the West) and at Chicago (arguably the best team in the East). It will be excited to go to battle against a Knicks team that plays no defense. NY is 1-10 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 108.5 to 99.5 in this situation. Bet the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Trail Blazers -4
Bottom Line: Odds makers expect San Antonio's 11-game win streak to come to an end tonight, and so do I. The Spurs have lost their last 6 in Portland and those losses have come by 8.2 points per game. With this in mind, the Blazers are showing good value as just a 4-point fave. Bet bet Blazers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Colorado State +6
Bottom Line: Colorado State was defeated by 33 at New Mexico, but it is a completely different team at home where it has won 11 straight. The Rams are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS over the last 2 seasons when out to avenge a road defeat to a foe. Bet the Rams.

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Suns following last night's satisfying revenge win against the Lakers. The Wizards have 2 days' rest on their side and will be hungry to end a 9-game skid in the series. Phoenix has constantly been overvalued against weak competition and this remains the case this evening. The Suns are 0-9 ATS in home games when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%) over the last 2 seasons. It is barely winning these games by an average score of 108.0 to 107.9.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +1
Bottom Line: Look for Philly to bounce back strong here against a team it has defeated 3 straight times by an average of 17.7 points. Under coach Collins, the 76ers are 10-0 ATS after a playing a game in which 165 total points or less were scored. The Sixers have won by an average score of 100.6 to 85.6 in this situation. Also, Minnesota is only 1-8 ATS in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. Take Philly.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year (ESPN) on Michigan +5.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 14-0 at home this season where it has wins over ranked foes Wisconsin, Michigan State and Indiana. I believe the Wolverines add Ohio State to the list today. The Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or fewer. Plus, they have a major advantage from beyond the arc where they average 8 makes on 23 attempts (Ohio State only average 5 makes on 15 attempts). This is significant because the Buckeyes are 0-10 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Take Michigan.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Warriors +5.5
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to back the Warriors catching 5.5 points even after last night's double-digit loss in Oklahoma City. Consider that Golden State is 28-9 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 108.2 to 107.4 in these games. In addition, the Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Grizzlies are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. Take Golden State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPN) on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: I'm confident Dallas' absences will be too much to overcome this evening. The Mavs are expected to be without Delonte West, Rodrique Beaubois and Jason Terry, which really only leaves the aging Jason Kidd to deal with Philly's deep backcourt. Also, playing on home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) off a road loss by 10 points or more, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), has produced a 41-16 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 8.3 points. Take the 76ers.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -8
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls in this spot. Playing against road teams (BOSTON) off a double-digit loss in a game in which they were favored by 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, has produced a 24-5 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting the parameters of this system have lost by an average of 10.7 points. Also, this system is a spotless 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Losing at Boston Sunday can't be sitting well with the team with the best record in the East. Even if Rose can't go, I like Chicago in this revenge spot. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Celtics are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games playing on 0 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Month on Kings +6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are due for a major letdown following last night's buzzer-beating win in Toronto. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games at Madison Square Garden. Also, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on TCU +8.5
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for UNLV, which is coming off a big win over San Diego State and has a big showdown at New Mexico Saturday. TCU will be lacking no motivation here as it was crushed by 23 at UNLV last month. The Runnin' Rebels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, and I don't see them covering this hefty number versus a TCU squad with an 11-2 home mark.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +3
Bottom Line: This is an extremely difficult spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days. The Pacers will have the benefit of 2 days' rest and are guaranteed to leave it all on the floor as they face a 4-game losing streak. The Pacers have won 7 of 10 at home on the season and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. The underdog is an incredible 22-8-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings. We'll pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +4
Bottom Line: The New Orleans Hornets, who have lost 8 in a row, want a win in the worst possible way. Fortunately, they find themselves in an ideal spot tonight. The Hornets have had 2 full days to prepare while the Jazz just played Sunday. The prep time is key considering New Orleans is 43-25 ATS in its last 68 home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's winning by an average score of 99.4 to 94.6 in this situation. The Hornets will be lacking no confidence in this one either since they played the Jazz to a 4-point game in Utah last month and since the Jazz are just 3-7 on the road this season. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two, and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Wizards +6
Bottom Line: Detroit is getting too much respect here. It has been favored just 3 times all season, and it lost straight up in the 2 games it was favored by 5 points or more. The Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on T-Wolves -6
Bottom Line: The Knicks are riding as high as they have all season having rattled off 4 straight wins despite injuries to Melo and Stoudermire. Lin-sanity is getting out of control and I expect the T-Wolves to hand the Knickerbockers a reality check this evening. The T-Wolves are the more talented team and will be lacking no motivation following consecutive defeats. They've won 2 straight, 6 of their last 7 and 11 of their last 14 at home against the Knicks. Their 2 most recent home wins in the series have come by 21 and 9 points. Lay the number.

5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on UNLV -9.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are looking to catch the public in a major trap here. SDSU is rated higher than UNLV in the polls and yet it is getting nearly double digits? Exactly! The Aztecs have overachieved all season and I expect the bottom to fall out down the stretch. SDSU was pounded by 17 in its last road game at Colorado State, and I expect a similar result here. The Runnin' Rebels are 13-0 at home where they are winning by 23.2 points on average, and they will show no mercy as they are out to avenge a 2-point loss to the Aztecs. UNLV dominated a very good New Mexico squad at home by 15 points and also crushed Colorado State by 19. The Rebs even beat UNC - arguably the most talented team in the country - by 10 on a neutral floor. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Month on Pacers +1.5
Bottom Line: I really believe the odds makers have the wrong team favored here. The Pacers have 4 more wins on the season and haven't lost back-to-back games all year. The Grizzlies have lost 7 of their last 10 and aren't the same team without Zach Randolf, who is their best player. Plus, the Pacers have been really good on the road where they have wins over the Celtics, Lakers, Bulls, Magic and Mavs. The Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. Pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, I expect LA to show up in a big way tonight. Boston has won 9 of 10 but none of those wins have come against elite teams. The Lakers have won three straight and five of six in Boston during the regular season. Boston is just 9-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the Lakers.