Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Blowout on Wizards -9.5
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Philly, which is coming off an upset win against the defending champs and hosts Chicago tomorrow. The 76ers were a woeful 11-30 on the road last season, and those woes continue here against a Washington team that is 22-9 ATS lifetime in home games against teams with a winning record under coach Wittman. Pound the Wiz.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans +2
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Plus, this is a tough spot as they set out on the road after playing at home last night. New Orleans will be fresh and waiting. I expect the Pelicans to be greatly improved with the addition of Philadelphia All-Star Jrue Holiday and Tyreke Evans, and with a healthy Eric Gordon. I also believe we'll see big-time improvement from Anthony Davis in year No. 2. Pound the Pelicans.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +4.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by last season's playoff series loss to the Heat, and with Derrick Rose back in action, look for the Bulls to give Miami all it wants and more on opening night. The Bulls have given Miami problems, even without Rose in the lineup, because of the way they get after it at the defensive end. The Bulls won their first meeting with the Heat last season in Miami and split the regular season series 2-2. Chicago has won or lost by fewer than 4.5 points in 8 of the last 14 meetings. The road team is 3-0 ATS in the last 3 meetings. Pound the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -5.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs blew their chance in Game 6. Although the opportunity to win a championship is the ultimate motivator, it will be extremely difficult for the Spurs to recover, both emotionally and physically, from the blow they were dealt in Game 6. I fully expect Miami to win this game at home where it has won 46 times in 53 chances this season. I'm also not hesitating to lay the points as the Heat are 35-21 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. The Heat didn't cover the number last game, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" DOMINATOR on Spurs/Heat UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Game 7's are a different animal. With so much on the line, teams up the ante on defense. Also, the pace typically slows as more value is placed on each possession. The slower pace tends to disrupt the rhythm of the offenses. We have seen an average of only 163.7 total points scored in the last 3 NBA Finals Game 7's with no more than 174 total points scored in any of these. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on #1 seeds in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. Doing so has generated a 24-6 record the last 17 years. Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 6 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7
Bottom Line: The Heat are 12-0 SU and ATS in their last 12 games following a loss, and each of these victories have come by double digits. They are also 16-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. They have responded to win these games by an average of 13.4 points. Miami is 45-7 at home on the season where it carries an average winning margin of 10.4 points. I fully expect the reigning NBA champs to force a Game 7. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Spurs +1.5/UNDER 188
Bottom Line: With 2 full days of rest on their side, I fully expect both of these teams to play tenacious defense in Game 5. Miami is 11-3 UNDER this season when playing on 2 days' rest this season. The Spurs are also on an 83-62 UNDERS run in home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's also very typical to see a team pick up its level of defensive intensity after getting blown out. That's been the case for the Spurs, who are on a 33-17 UNDERS run at home following a blowout loss of 15 points or more. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on all teams in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points because doing so has produced a 50-16 (75.8%) mark the last 17 years. We've seen only 179.3 total points scored on average in these contests.

I believe the Spurs will want this game just a little more knowing they'll have to win two in a row in Miami if they don't get the job done. They know that's likely too much to ask so they'll leave it all on the floor. I'm expecting a strong game from Ginobli to the be the difference. He's getting call out by everyone (media, teammates, coach), and I believe he'll respond the way great players do. The Spurs have followed up each of their previous 3 playoff defeats with decisive wins. Plus, they are 16-4 ATS when out for revenge for a home defeat to an opponent the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Spurs +1.5/UNDER 188
Bottom Line: With 2 full days of rest on their side, I fully expect both of these teams to play tenacious defense in Game 5. Miami is 11-3 UNDER this season when playing on 2 days' rest this season. The Spurs are also on an 83-62 UNDERS run in home games when playing on 2 days' rest. It's also very typical to see a team pick up its level of defensive intensity after getting blown out. That's been the case for the Spurs, who are on a 33-17 UNDERS run at home following a blowout loss of 15 points or more. Also, you want to bet the UNDER on all teams in the NBA Finals if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points because doing so has produced a 50-16 (75.8%) mark the last 17 years. We've seen only 179.3 total points scored on average in these contests.

I believe the Spurs will want this game just a little more knowing they'll have to win two in a row in Miami if they don't get the job done. They know that's likely too much to ask so they'll leave it all on the floor. I'm expecting a strong game from Ginobli to the be the difference. He's getting call out by everyone (media, teammates, coach), and I believe he'll respond the way great players do. The Spurs have followed up each of their previous 3 playoff defeats with decisive wins. Plus, they are 16-4 ATS when out for revenge for a home defeat to an opponent the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 4 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat +1.5
Bottom Line: Even if Tony Parker's hamstring is 100% by game time on Thursday, I expect the Heat to get the job done. The defending champs haven't lost consecutive games in 5 months. They are 11-0 in their last 11 games following a loss and have won these games by 19.8 points on average. Also, you want to take road teams that check in off an embarrassing road loss where they were held to less than 80 points if they are playing their 6th game or fewer in 14 days. Doing so has produced a 27-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. The Heat are on a 14-3 ATS run in road games following a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a game in which they did not cover and 7-0 ATS this season on the road after 3 consecutive non-conference games. Pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs OVER 187.5
Bottom Line: We saw 187 total points scored in Game 2 despite San Antonio's big 3 combining for only 27 points and LeBron James scoring just 17 points. I expect the stars to show much better tonight. These teams combined for 20 3-point makes in Game 2, but that isn't out of the ordinary as they average 8 a piece per game on the season. Plus, I expect to see both teams making a lot more trips to the charity stripe in this one. They both average 16+ free throws made per game but attempted only 14 in Game 2. Miami is 18-9 OVER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. The Spurs are 24-11 OVER when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is also 5-1 in the Spurs last 6 home games and 7-3-1 in the Heat's last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound the OVER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game of the Year on Miami -5.5
Bottom Line: I missed with Miami in Game 1, but I'm not hesitating to come right back with them tonight. The Heat appeared on the verge of busting Game 1 open several times before falling flat in the 4th. The Game 1 defeat assures us they'll come out with even more energy and passion tonight. The Heat lost Game 1 of the NBA Finals last year but then rattled off 4 consecutive wins against the Thunder so they will enter Game 2 with complete confidence. No team in the NBA has shown as much resiliency as the Heat, who are 10-0 in their last 10 games following defeat. Miami didn't just win these games, it won them big. Each of the 10 were by a minimum of 10 points. Pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -5
Bottom Line: The Spurs haven't played a game since May 27, which will make it very difficult to match the intensity of a Miami team that's just 2 days removed from the East Finals. I believe 2 days of rest will be plenty for LeBron and company as the Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NBA Finals games. Miami is 4-0 in its last 4 games versus the Spurs and won each of the 3 home games during this stretch by an average of 19.0 points.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Game of the Year on Heat -7
Bottom Line: The Heat haven't lost consecutive games since early January. They are 9-0 in their last 9 games following a defeat and have won these games by an average of 19.6 points. Plus, the home team has been dominant in this season's 9 meetings. It is 7-2, and the 7 wins have come by an average of 10.0 points. Pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +2.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win while the Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The Pacers are also 14-5 ATS this season after a loss by 10 points or more. Indiana is 3-1 in home games versus the Heat this season. Pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. They won these games by an average of 20.6 points with all 8 wins coming by at least 10 points. Pound the Heat in this bounce back spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Heat/Pacers Under 185.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are the top defensive team in the NBA, and they aren't at all pleased with their performance on the defensive end in Game 3. They allowed the Heat to shoot 54.5% from the field, but that was clearly an aberration as they have held opponents to 41.4% shooting at home this season. Miami is no slouch defensive either as it has held foes to 43.0% shooting on the road this season. Miami is 40-25 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 58-37 UNDER after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game since 1996.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -3
Bottom Line: Memphis won't go quietly into the night. It feels like it could be up 2-1 in this series, and it will go after Game 4 with all its got. You want to take home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a home loss as long as both they and their opponent carry win percentages of 60-75%. Doing so has produced a 45-18 ATS mark since 1996. This system is 6-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. Memphis is 17-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season and 14-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Pacers UNDER 182.5
Bottom Line: The first 2 games of the series have gone over, but I fully believe that will change tonight. The Heat allowed Miami to shoot 50% from the field in Game 2. We're talking about a team that ranked 6th in the league during the regular season in field goal percentage defense, holding foes to 44%. I'm confident Miami will up the defensive intensity tonight. Plus, there's a good chance Indiana's solid shooting will decline as it averages just 43.9% from the field on the season. The Pacers were the best defensive team in the NBA during the regular season, limiting opponents to 42% shooting. They are at their best defensively at home where they are allowing only 89.6 ppg on 41.1% shooting. You want to take the under on all teams that have winning records when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a playoff series that is tied. That's because doing so has produced a 38-18 result the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -5.5
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on the Spurs based on the line. San Antonio won the first two games of the series and lost by just 3 and 2 points, respectively, in Memphis during the regular season. Yet, they are catching 5.5 points? I'm not going to take the bait. The Grizzlies gotta get this one or they can kiss their season goodbye so we should see their best effort of the series here. Plus, they have been awesome at home in these playoffs, going 5-0 SU and ATS with these 5 wins coming by 11.6 points on average. All 5 came by at least 6 points. Pound Memphis.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +7.5
Bottom Line: This is too many points to be giving the best defensive team in the NBA. This series determines which team gets to play for an NBA championship so the Pacers aren't going to close up shop just because they came out on the short end of the stick in Game 1. I expect them to come out even harder tonight. They won 2 of 3 against Miami during the regular season and had the Heat in a 2-1 hole in last year's playoffs so they won't be lacking any confidence. Indiana has been resilient all season. It's 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss, 18-7 ATS this season following a road loss and 23-13 ATS this season after 1 or more consecutive losses. Also, the underdog is 29-14-1 ATS in the last 44 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: The Pacers will be lacking no confidence when they hit the floor tonight. They took 2 of 3 from Miami during the regular season and were up 2-1 on the Heat in last year's playoffs. Indiana's size and athleticism has given Miami problems, and this is a lot of points to be giving the best defensive team in the NBA. We saw how flat Miami came out in Game 1 of its last series after having a week off, and I don't believe they'll be ready for the defensive intensity of the Pacers tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Grizzlies +5.5
Bottom Line: You want to fade home teams that check in off 2 straight double-digit wins if they're up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game. Doing so has produced a 40-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Memphis has covered the spread in 10 straight before its Game 1 defeat, but it is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a game where it did not cover. The Grizzlies are also on a 53-34 ATS run where looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. Memphis has bounced back strong following each of its previous postseason defeats, and I believe this trend will continue.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +4.5
Bottom Line: 3 of the 4 regular-season meetings between these teams were decided by 4 points or fewer so I'll gladly take the 4.5 points here. The Grizzlies have been a covering machine because of how locked in they've been at the defensive end. They are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games overall, including 5-0 ATS on the road during this run. They are also 5-0 ATS as an underdog during this span. Pound Memphis.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Knicks/Pacers OVER 178.5
Bottom Line: These two teams have shot the ball poorly the last 3 games and we've seen them play to the under in 3 straight as a result. I expect them to buck the trend tonight. The Knicks showed signs of coming out of their shooting slump in Game 5, and I expect them to have their best shooting game since Game 2 tonight. The Knicks know they need to play fast to get good shots. Playing uptempo was the recipe for success all season, and they'll make a concerted effort to push the ball. The Pacers have been strong offensively all season at home where they average 97.9 points. They are 6-2 OVER in their last 8 home games and 13-3 OVER in their last 16 games following a game where they failed to cover the spread.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks -5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are back at MSG where they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. I look for them to extend this series against an Indiana squad that is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 road games. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in New York.

5* Wiseguy *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +14.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls were humiliated in Game 4, and I believe they'll respond in a big way. I don't think they'll have enough to extend this series, but I like them to give Miami a game. You want to play underdogs of 10 points or more that were held to 80 points or less in their last game that are matched up against an opponent that is coming off a game where the combined score was 160 points or fewer. Teams fitting these parameters are 24-4 ATS since 1996, and a perfect 3-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Warriors/Spurs OVER 194.5
Bottom Line: The over is showing tremendous value tonight considering the total was 204.5 in Game 2. I know we've seen 194 total points or less in the last 3 games, but these are good offensive teams and they won't continue to miss open shots. The biggest reason I like the over here is because the Warriors really struggle defensively on the road where they give up 103.5 points on average. Their defensive struggles on the road are nothing new. They are a big reason why these teams have combined for at least 196 points in 13 of their last 15 meetings in San Antonio.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to pull the trigger on a Thunder squad that is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 road games verses teams that have winning records. The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I expect Kevin Durant to be the best player on the floor tonight, and for the Thunder to come out on top.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Warriors +2
Bottom Line: I like the Warriors to come storming back in Game 4 even if Curry isn't able to go. Golden State is 8-1 ATS in all playoff games this season, and there's no way it will shoot as poorly as it did in Game 3. The Warriors have shot nearly 47% at home on the season. The Spurs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win while the Warriors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss. The Warriors have still won 2 of 3 at home against the Spurs this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers -4
Bottom Line: I'll gladly lay this small number with the home team tonight. The home side is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with the wins coming by 8, 12, 5, 34, 10 and 26 points. The Pacers are a perfect 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus New York and have won each of these by 5 points or more.

5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet *BAILOUT* on Spurs +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Spurs to bounce back at Golden State where they've won 7 of their last 9. I'll gladly take the bucket-and-a-half here as one of those was an overtime defeat. The other one came in a game in which The Big Three (Duncan, Parker, Ginobli) and Leonard did not participate. You want to wager on teams that are looking for revenge for a home defeat when the line is +3 to -3 as long as they are playing 3 of fewer games in 10 days. That's because doing so has produced a 43-19 ATS mark the last 17 years.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -12.5
Bottom Line: Look for the Heat to come storming back after a flat performance in Game 1. The Heat are 6-0 SU & ATS in their last 6 games following defeat, winning by an average of 18.3 points in this spot. All 6 of these wins came by 15 points or more except 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.

The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Knicks -6/Grizzlies +2.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks lost Game 1, but I fully expect them to come storming back in Game 2. The Pacers have struggled on the road throughout the season and had lost 3 in a row in New York by double digits before winning Game 1.

The Grizzlies blew and excellent opportunity to steal away OKC's home-court advantage but don't expect them to feel defeated heading into Game 2. They won their first round series after falling into an 0-2 hole. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and haven't lost by more than 2 points during this span.

5* Wiseguy *PUNISHER* on Knicks -5.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings, winning by an average of 13.8 points. The Knicks are 3-0 in their last 3 at home versus Indiana, winning these by 10, 12 and 15 points. Indiana lost its first two road games in Atlanta badly before pulling out Game 6. The Knicks are far superior to the Hawks and should take care of business at MSG in Game 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Nets UNDER 181.5
Bottom Line: You want to bet the Under in a playoff series that's tied as doing so has produced an 82-48 mark the last 5 seasons. You also want to take the Under in a playoff series that is tied if the total is between 180 and 189.5 points as doing so has produced a 100-58 result since 1996. Defensive intensity will be at a series-high in this winning take all Game 7.

5* Wiseguy on Clippers +6
Bottom Line: The Clippers won't go quietly as this is a team that felt it had a serious shot to contend in the West. I don't see them losing by more than 6 points in this win-or-go-home contest. The Clippers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit defeat at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Nets/Bulls UNDER 184
Bottom Line: When these teams are fresh, they typically bring the defense. The Nets are 19-7 UNDER this season when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. The Bulls are 13-5 UNDER this season when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. With Chicago looking to close the series out tonight, and Brooklyn trying to live to see another day, I expect an intense, defensive battle. Nothing motivates the Bulls to play defense like a poor defensive performance. They are 20-7 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons, 30-13 UNDER when out for revenge for a loss where they allowed 100 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 11-2 UNDER after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Pound the UNDER!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNSIHER* on Pacers -7
Bottom Line: The home team is 4-0 in this series and has won these games by at least 11 points. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with 6 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. The home side is also 13-1 in the last 14 meetings with 11 of these wins coming by 9 points or more. Look for home court to prevail again.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Opening Round Game of the Year on Nuggets -7.5
Bottom Line: I love Denver tonight at home where it is 24-1 in its last 25. Denver has taken care of business at home all season, even against quality competition. It is 17-6 ATS this season in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and has won these contests by 8.9 points on average. The Nuggets are also 54-37 ATS under coach Karl as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have won these games by an average of 9.9 points. They are 41-26 ATS under Karl in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 110 points or more on them and 58-38 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. The Warriors are just 4-15 ATS under Jackson in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +1.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Pacers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -1.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning record and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden State is 8-18 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -2
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 0-11 in their last 11 games in Atlanta with these defeats coming by nearly 11 points on average. All of these losses came by at least 3 points. The home team has won 6 straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings. Pound the Hawks!

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Celtics OVER 183.5
Bottom Line: The Over is 7-3 in the Celtics' last 10 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games after scoring less than 75 points in their previous game. Plays Over on any team (NY in this case) after a blowout win by 15 points or more that is matched up against an opponent that has scored 80 points or less 2 straight games are 10-2 the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 179.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 home games, and we've see just 156, 178 and 169 total points scored in the last 3 of these. The Under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. We haven't seen more than 178 total points scored in these with three of them at 172 or less. Memphis is at its best defensively at home and should get enough stops to send this one comfortably under the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs First Round Total of the Year on Hawks/Pacers UNDER 187
Bottom Line: These two combined for 197 points in Game 1, but Atlanta shot 50.0 percent from the field, and the Pacers were 30 of 34 from the foul line. I don't see the Hawks shooting the ball as well in Game 2 versus the NBA's top defensive team. I also don't see the Pacers living at the foul line the way they did in Game 1. They only average 24 trips per game. The Hawks have been a terrific unders bet in the first round of the playoffs, going under the number in 12 of their last 16 conference quarterfinal games. They have also been known to ratchet things up defensively following a blowout defeat, going 6-2 Under in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Road teams when total is between 180 and 189.5 points that are playing 6 or less games in 14 days and have failed to cover the spread in at least 8 of their last 10 games are 57-26 since 1996. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Nuggets -8
Bottom Line: The Nuggets won Game 1 at home despite not playing very well. I expect a stronger performance from them here against a Golden State squad that will be without All-Star forward David Lee. The Nuggets have won 24 straight at home and are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. They are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games versus Golden State. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: Chicago bounces back in Game 2. The Bulls won 3 of 4 with the Nets during the regular season. They split in Brooklyn, but the loss came by just 4 points. The Bulls have lost to the Nets by more than 4 points only twice in the last 12 meetings. Pound Chicago!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs lost their regular-season finale at home, but you won't catch me fading them here. They are 10-1 ATS off a home loss over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average of 12.1 points in this situation. San Antonio is also 10-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons in games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus teams that have won between 51-60% of their games. They have defeated these teams by 14.2 points on average. Pound the Spurs.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off 2 or more consecutive home wins in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of 51% to 60% are 45-21 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting these parameters have been favored by 5.4 points on average but have won by 7.7 points on average. This line is a little soft. Bet Brooklyn.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: All indications are the Spurs will play their big guns as they look to gain some momentum before the playoffs. They should have little trouble with an overmatched Minnesota squad as they are 16-0 in their last 16 at home in the series, winning those by 13.2 points on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Raptors +6
Bottom Line: The Hawks have been overvalued at home all season and that remains the case here. They are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Hawks are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Raptors are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 with a pair of wins over Chicago and a win over Brooklyn. They're clearly looking to finish the season strong. Pound Toronto.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats pk
Bottom Line: The Knicks have wrapped up the #2 seed in the East and are now content with calling off the dogs until the postseason begins. Carmelo Anthony, among other key players, is expected to sit this one out. The Bobcats are trying to build some momentum for next season and definitely want to notch their 20th win of the season. While the road has been hard on them all year, they have won 6 of their last 8 at home. The Bobcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus Atlantic division opponents. Also, the Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Spurs/Lakers OVER 196.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to the Kobe Bryant injury as these two have combined for 213, 218 and 203 total points in 3 of the last 4 meetings. The Lakers are 4-0 OVER in their last 4 and have scored at least 100 points in 9 of their last 11 games. The Spurs have given up an average of 98.5 in their last 4 games. I like L.A. to score enough to push this one over even without Bryant.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +5
Bottom Line: The Suns will be out for some serious revenge for a 31-point home loss they were handed by Minnesota last month, and they should from having the last 2 days off. Minnesota, meanwhile, will have taking the floor for the second time in as many nights and the fourth time in five days. History shows you should play against home favorites that have lost 4 of their last 5 games if they are in the second game of a back-to-back because doing so has turned in a 50-22 ATS result the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting these parameters have laid an average of 5.0 points, but they have won by only 1.3 points on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Year on Pacers -5.5
Bottom Line: With an opportunity to lock up the No. 3 seed in the East, I fully expect the Pacers to have their revenge against the Nets. The Nets have won this season's two prior meetings but you want to fade underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 2 consecutive games against an opponent if they check in off an upset win in division play. That's because teams fitting these parameters are just 8-54 SU & 17-44-1 ATS the last 17 seasons. The Pacers have had 2 full days to gear up for this one. They are at home where they are 30-9 on the season, and they are the fresher, more motivated side. Pound the Pacers!

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 191
Bottom Line: After a stretch where the Bulls held 4 straight opponents to 94 points or less, they have given up 99+ the last 2 games and lost them both as a result. They gave up 101 at home to Toronto last game which is uncharacteristic considering the Bulls have allowed an average of only 90.3 at home this season. Their recent losses actually play in our favor as Chicago is 19-6 UNDER since Tom Thibodeau took over at home if its enters with losses in 2 of its last 3 games. The Bulls have held their opponent to 88.0 points on average in these spots. We've seen total scores of 178 and 184 in the last two matchups between these teams in the United Center, and I expect another low-scoring one tonight in a game that should have a playoff feel.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With both teams well-rested and both playing for home court advantages in the playoffs, I expect to see a very intense playoff atmosphere that greatly favors the under. The Spurs have really picked up the "D", especially on the road where they are 6-0 under in their last 6. The under is also 2-0-2 in the Spurs' last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. It's also worth noting that the under is 3-0-1 in the Nuggets' last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game and 7-0-1 in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. We saw only 199 total points scored when these two last met March 27, and I expect this meeting to be lower scoring with the stakes ramped up even more. Pound the Under!

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +9.5
Bottom Line: Off one of its biggest wins of the season and with a big showdown against the Bulls on deck, New York won't give Washington its full attention. Plus, the Knicks are being overvalued here due to their 12-game winning streak. I'll grab the points with a Washington team that continues to compete as it is 12-4 ATS on the road as an underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.

5* Wiseguy National Championship *PUNISHER* on Louisville -3.5
Bottom Line: Louisville is 15-0 in its last 15 games, and all of these wins have come by 4 points or more. It is also 6-0 ATS when laying 3.5 to 6.0 points on a neutral floor the last 2 seasons and has won by 14.8 points on average in these contests. Now that's saying something! In games oddsmakers have expected to be pretty close, the Cardinals have won by wide margins. Michigan is the more talented offensive team, but Louisville is superior defensively and I'm a firm believer in the old adage "defense wins championships". The Cardinals are also the more experienced bunch, and I think they have the edge with Rick Pitino as well. I'll go with defense and experience in the national title. Pound Louisville.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET *BAILOUT* on Trailblazers +3.5
Bottom Line: Dallas really can't afford any losses the rest of the way as it trails the Lakers by 3 games for the last playoff spot in the West. While the Mavs will be motivated, this is a tough spot for them as it's their 3rd game on the road in 4 days. The Blazers will be fresher, and I expect them to give Dallas all it wants and more. It has lost to the Mavs at home by more than 3 points only once in the last 7 meetings. Dallas is on a 24-37 ATS slide after covering the number in 2 of their last 3 games while Portland is on a 28-14 ATS run in home games after failing to cover the number in 2 of their last 3. Bet the Blazers.

5* Wiseguy Final Four *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Michigan -2
Bottom Line: You want to go against neutral court underdogs like Syracuse that have defeated the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games as long as they are up against an opponent like Michigan that has gone over the total by 18 or more points total in its last three games because doing so has produced a 37-12 ATS result since 1997. This system tightens up to 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. This system makes sense too when you consider that oddsmakers decided to make Syracuse the underdog even though it recently kicked an Indiana team that defeated Michigan twice this season. This tells me oddsmakers like Michigan's chances of handling the zone, and I could not agree more as the Wolverines have 3 proven zone-busters in Burke, Hardaway Jr. and Stauskas. Michigan lights up the Orange.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks +7.5
Bottom Line: I love the Bucks catching a generous number as they have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 19 of the last 23 meetings in the series. Now that's a 19-4 trend I can get behind. The Bucks still haven't clinched a playoff spot but can do so tonight with a win and a little help so I expect them to be the more motivated side.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +7
Bottom Line: The Mavs aren't getting nearly the respect they deserve here considering how badly they need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. Plus, the road team has absolutely dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The road team has won 7 of these SU with one of the losses coming by a single point. Dallas has won its last 2 in Denver by double digits, and I expect it to give the Nuggets a game tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Celtics -7.5
Bottom Line: The C's will be out for blood against a Pistons team that has defeated them 4 straight times. The Pistons enter off a road win, but they have been awful on the road this season. Consider that they are 1-8 ATS off a road win this season, losing in this situation by an average of 14.1 points. Plus, Boston is 20-9 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. Pound Boston!

5* Wiseguy NIT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on BYU +3
Bottom Line: I know Baylor beat BYU back in December, but that game was at home. I don't trust the Bears outside Waco where they have lost or won by 3 points or less in each of their last 7. BYU, on the other hand, has won or lost by 3 points or less in each of its last 3 outside Provo. These two trends create a 10-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Cougars.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Blazers +9.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot and revenge spot for Portland, which lost Friday to Utah and was crushed Saturday by Golden State. Plays on road underdogs that are coming off a lopsided defeat of at least 20 points and are matched up against a team that has hit the century mark in 4 straight games are 50-26 (66%) ATS since 1996. These teams have faced an average line of 9.8 points but have lost by only 6.6 on average. Looks like this number is about 3 points off the mark.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs pk
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Heat, who will be playing their 4th road game this week. That's a lot of ball and a lot of travel without much rest. The Spurs have been home since last Sunday night and have played only 2 games this week. They will be the fresher side. San Antonio will be lacking no confidence following back-to-back wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. The Spurs have beaten just about everyone at home where they are an impressive 32-4 on the season. They are 12-1 in their last 13 at home against the Heat, winning the last 2 home meetings in the series by 30 points. Pound San Antonio!

5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PUNISHER* on Michigan +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Michigan to ride the momentum of Friday's thrilling victory to a Final Four trip. I have no doubt Trey Burke will be the best player on the floor, and he has the better supporting cast. The Wolverines are far more talented than Florida offensively, and I expect them to bring the "D" after not doing so against Kansas should have got them beat. Michigan is an outstanding 11-4 ATS in non-conference games this season. It is also 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season. And, the Wolverines are 23-12 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Pound Michigan!

5* Wiseguy Elite 8 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Ohio State -4
Bottom Line: It's been a great run for Wichita State, but it takes a big step up in competition here. This will be the best team its played all season while you can argue that Ohio State just beat two teams (Iowa State, Arizona) that are better than the Shockers. The Buckeyes are playing with a ton of confidence right now, which has been evident in the way they have been able to execute in the closing seconds of the last two games in high-pressure situations. I expect the Shockers to hang around for a while, but Ohio State's experience and superior talent will take hold late, helping the Buckeyes pull away. Wichita State is 1-8 ATS lifetime under coach Gregg as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less or pick. Pound the Buckeyes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Mavericks -4
Bottom Line: Look for the Bulls to fall flat on their faces here after an epic win over Miami. The Mavs will be out for blood after getting pummeled by the Pacers. They need this game because they are 1.5 games out of the #8 spot in the West. The Mavericks are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Pound Dallas.

5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PUNISHER* on Duke -2
Bottom Line: Duke is 20-1 with Ryan Kelly in the lineup. The 6'11'' sharp-shooter doesn't even have to score for the Blue Devils to be successful. He knocks 3's in at a 45.9% clip so opponents have to pay extra attention to him. That opens things up for the other guys. Also, Coach K has had Izzo's number. Duke is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings with each of the wins coming by at least 5 points. Pound the Dukies.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -4.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have lost their first two this week after concluding last week with a win over Boston, but that won't keep me off them here. They are 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season. They have won by an average of 9.4 points in these spots. Also, the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Rockets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis. Pound the Grizz.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +2
Bottom Line: The Suns have owned the Kings in Phoenix where they are 12-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Kings won at Golden State last night, but they are still just 7-30 on the road. Plus, that win sets them up for a major letdown as it was their first of the entire season on the road versus a winning team. The Kings will be feeling pretty good about themselves, and I believe they'll already be looking ahead to Saturday's matchup with the Lakers. Suns continue their home dominance in the series tonight.

5* Wiseguy Sweet 16 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Indiana -5
Bottom Line: I have felt Indiana is the best team in college basketball all season, and I stand by that. Both of these teams are top-notch defensively, but Indiana is the superior offensive side. That gives it the big edge. Besides, Boeheim's track record in the Sweet 16 is not encouraging. The Orange are 0-6 ATS under Boeheim in the "sweet 16" round of the NCAA tournament. They haven't just lost these games, they've lost them by 7.7 points on average.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers -4.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers will be lacking no motivation following 3 consecutive defeats that have shrunk their lead over Utah for the 8th spot in the West to one game. I'll gladly take them against Minnesota in this motivated spot as they are 21-0 in their last 21 against the Wolves, winning these games by an average of 11.9 points. Minnesota just earned a road win last night but hasn't won back-to-back games since mid-December. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Bailout on Mavericks +1
Bottom Line: The Mavs are showing good value at home catching a point against LA considering they are 10-1 in their last 11 at home in the series. These 10 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. The Clippers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Dallas. Pound the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy CIT Game of the Year on Bradley +11
Bottom Line: I don't trust Northern Iowa laying this many points against a team that is very familiar with them. The Panthers won both meetings during the regular season but have defeated the Braves by more than 11 points just once in the last 6 meetings. Northern Iowa is only 14-25 ATS as a double-digit favorite under coach Ben Jacobson. The Braves are 14-5 ATS under Geno Ford when matched up against marginal winning teams (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). Also, road underdogs of 10 or more points that are out for revenge for a home loss versus an opponent, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 116-58 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Bradley.

5* Wiseguy NIT Game of the Year on So. Miss -8
Bottom Line: I played against So. Miss in its first round NIT game as I expected it wouldn't be over its double-overtime loss to Memphis in the C-USA championship. It should be over not making the Big Dance by now, and it should be very motivated here because it was defeated by double digits at Louisiana Tech back in December. While So. Miss has been susceptible on the road, it has been nearly unstoppable at home where it is 13-1. 10 of its last 12 home wins have come by 8 points or more. Tech wasn't the same team on the road late in the season, getting destroyed at Denver and New Mexico State. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound the Golden Eagles.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +6.5
Bottom Line: After getting humiliated in Denver in the first two matchups of the season, the Hornets will be hungry tonight. They are on an impressive 32-17 ATS run when out for revenge for 2 straight losses to an opponent. They've lost in this situation on average but only by 3.2 points. New Orleans gives the Nuggets all they want here. Pound the Hornets.

5* Wiseguy Sunday NCAA Tournament *BRACKET BUSTER* on Illinois +8
Bottom Line: Illinois has a serious shot to upset Miami, which is the Final Four pick of many in the East region. The Canes were hitting on all cylinders in their opener but now find themselves up against a much more talented opponent - one with double-digit wins over Butler, Gonzaga and Ohio State and a win over Indiana. The value clearly lies in our favor here when you consider that playing against favorites that have covered the spread in at least 6 of their last 8, a top-level team (>= 80%) playing a good team (60% to 80%), are 103-62 ATS the last 5 seasons. Illinois should take this one right down to the wire with a great chance of pulling off the upset.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Rockets +1.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with the Rockets at home. They have won 10 of 12 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 at home versus San Antonio with the loss coming in OT in a game where James Harden did not play. Houston has been a home dog of 6 or fewer points 10 times since the beginning of last season and has covered the number in 9 of these matchups while winning outright by an average of 2.3 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Gonzaga -6
Bottom Line: After shaking off the rust Thursday, I expect Gonzaga to roll against a less experienced and less talented Wichita State team. The Bulldogs don't lose often (only twice season), but they treat close games like losses in terms of the way they respond. The Zags are on a 31-15 ATS run in games played outside the Kennel after a win by 6 points or less. They are also 10-2 ATS on the season following a game that they did not cover the number in. They have won by an average of 18.3 points in this situation. You might also like to know that the Shockers are on a 4-18 ATS slide when listed as a pk or laying 6 points or fewer on a neutral floor.

5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division Game of the Year on Bulls -3.5
Bottom Line: I'm not hesitating to lay the small number with the Bulls here as home faves of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that is coming off a win of at least 20 points against a divisional foe are 46-19 ATS the last 17 years. This system, which is 13-4 ATS the last 5 seasons, carries an average winning margin of 8.6 points. Since Thibodeau took over, the Bulls have responded well following any loss at home. They've lost their last 2 at home so I expect them to play inspired tonight. Chicago is 21-8 ATS under coach Thibs following a home loss, winning by an average of 10.2 points in this situation. Pound the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks -7.5
Bottom Line: Tough spot for the Blazers which are playing their second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Hawks were at home resting yesterday, and they'll go after this one hard knowing their next 4 are on the road. Portland has been awful on the road this season. It had lost 10 of 11 on the road before last night's 10-point win in Chicago. Don't expect the Blazers to build on that win as they are 2-14 ATS in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.9 points in this spot. The Blazers have also dropped their last 4 in Atlanta by an average of 8.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Iona +14.5
Bottom Line: The Iona Gaels enter the NCAA tournament flying under the radar and are showing nice value here as a result. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. People that don't follow the smaller conferences don't realize how explosive Iona is. The Gaels average 80.7 ppg. They put up 94 on Wake Forest, a team that beat Miami, and dropped 81 on Georgia, who held Indiana, UCLA and Florida to 66 points or fewer. Iona is great at making you play faster than you want and Ohio State is clearly not an uptempo team as it has only one consistent scorer. Iona's tempo causes enough problems for Ohio State that the Gaels pick up the cover.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament Afternoon Delight on Pacific +12.5
Bottom Line: I really like Pacific catching double digits here considering the way it has performed against quality competition. Throwing out a push, the Tigers are on a 5-0 ATS run versus teams that have a winning record. Also, taking double-digit dogs after 2 straight games where both it and its opponent scored 65 points or less against a team that has scored 75 points or more in 2 straight games has produced a 55-25 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Pacific.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +14
Bottom Line: Road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more and are up against an opponent that has had a combined score of 215 points or more in 2 straight games are 23-5 ATS since 1996. Teams in this scenario have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have been defeated by just an average of 9.0 points. This system is a near-perfect 7-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over the Thunder while the 76ers are in bounce-back mode following a humiliating loss to the Clippers.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on New Mexico State +9
Bottom Line: The public has fallen in love with Saint Louis and books are looking to cash in big time by elevating the line. The Billikens are clearly overvalued at this number, and I'm ready to take full advantage. Plays against favorites that have won 80% or more of their games and have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that are up against a team that has won 60% to 80% of its games are 65-31 ATS the last 3 seasons. This system is a perfect example of the way oddsmakers like to jack up the line on hot teams. The Billikens are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 versus the WAC and New Mexico State has proven itself time and time again late in the season against good teams. The Aggies are on a 22-9 ATS run in the month of March. They are also 12-4 ATS lifetime under coach Menzies versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game - after 15+ games. Take the points as New Mexico State gives Saint Louis a run for the money.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake Game of the Year on Magic +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks have gone from being a 10.5-point underdog at Utah last game to being an 11-point favorite at home. That's one of the biggest line jumps you'll ever see and it's not warranted. Carmelo Anthony returns to the lineup, but the Knicks did not perform well the last time he returned after sitting out several games. In fact, they were blown out by 29 at Golden State. Melo's return throws a hitch in the giddy-up of New York. Orlando was crushed in Indiana last night but will have no problem getting up for this one as they have lost the season's first three meetings and will be motivated to avoid the sweep. The Magic are 26-15 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. Pound Orlando.

5* Wiseguy CBB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bryant +5
Bottom Line: I'm putting a Richmond team that is just 3-10 this season on the road on upset alert against a Bryant squad that is 11-4 at home. The Spiders are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Also, teams headed up by coach Oshea are 13-1 ATS lifetime as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick. His teams have won these contests by an average of 5.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament *PUNISHER* on Middle Tennessee State +3
Bottom Line: Dayton is a long way from home for Saint Mary's, which has struggled away from its home court versus non-conference opponents this season. It has especially struggled over the years versus quality defensive teams like Middle Tennessee. The Blue Raiders rank 15th in the country in scoring defense, allowing only 57.8 ppg. That number is significant because the Gaels are only 15-30 ATS all-time under coach Bennett when playing away from home versus good defensive teams that hold the opposition to 64.0 points or less. Saint Mary's is also on a 10-23 ATS slide away from home versus teams that outscore their opponents by 12+ points/game. Middle Tennessee hasn't gotten much love from analysts but will earn a little respect tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -9
Bottom Line: The Thunder were upset in Denver earlier this month on a last second shot. You can bet that defeat hasn't been sitting well. OKC typically responds following such losses. It is 8-1 ATS this season in home games when out for revenge for an upset loss on the road. It has won by an average of 12.8 points in these contests.

5* Wiseguy NBA BEST BET Bailout on Suns +3
Bottom Line: Not hesitating to grab the points with the home dog here considering the home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 10.75 points. The Suns are 3-0 at home during this stretch with wins of 12, 20 and 6. This veteran Lakers team just played yesterday while the more youthful Suns have had a day off. The extra rest helps the Suns here while vets like Nash, Jamison and World Peace struggle to be at the top of their game on consecutive nights.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavs +5
Bottom Line: The Thunder can't be trusted on the road laying this many points against a team playing as well as Dallas. The Thunder are 3-4 in their last 7 on the road with only 1 win coming by more than 4 points during this stretch. That was against lowly Charlotte. The Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 6 with the only loss in this stretch coming by 1 point at San Antonio. Keep in mind OKC just lost by 12 at San Antonio. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. They've covered the number in 2 of 3 against OKC this season with one of those being a loss of only 3 points at home. The underdog is a potent 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout Blowout on Jazz -1.5
Bottom Line: The Jazz are in great position to blow this spread out of the water. The Grizzlies are coming off a tough loss in Denver last night and will be playing their fourth road contest in five days. Utah has had two days of rest, and it will be hungry for revenge after losing the season's first two meetings. The Jazz have been tough as nails at home once again this season, and they have won nine of their last 10 at home against the Grizzlies with those nine wins coming by an average of 15.9 points.

5* Wiseguy MAC Tournament Game of the Year on Ohio -1.5
Bottom Line: Ohio is far too experienced and far too good to drop a third straight to Akron this season. The Bobcats blew a double-digit lead and lost in OT in the last meeting so they'll be hungry to say the least. Also, the Zips won't have Alex Abreu this time around. He played a pivotal role in both of the wins against Ohio so he will be greatly missed. The Bobcats are an awesome 33-12 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - since 1997 and have won these games by an average of 4.4 points.

5* Wiseguy on Arizona -4
Bottom Line: Arizona will be lacking no motivation here after losing both regular-season meetings with UCLA. It will be hard for UCLA to match the intensity of the revenge-minded Wildcats after yesterday's emotionally and physically draining win. The Bruins used a lot of energy in battling back from a 15-point second-half deficit against Arizona State. UCLA managed to earn a half-point cover against the Sun Devils, but it is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win.

5* Wiseguy on Cavaliers +7.5
Bottom Line: I love Cleveland's chances of keeping this one within the number considering it has had 2 days of rest and will be up against a team that just played last night. Plus, Dallas struggles on the defensive end and Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams that allow 99.0 points or more per game. Dallas like to play uptempo but the Cavs have shown they can hang with such teams, even on the road. Cleveland is 7-0 ATS this season in road games versus uptempo teams that average 83 or more shots per game. No Kyrie Irving, but Cleveland will be the much fresher side.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon gave away the Pac-12 title with disappointing performances against Colorado and Utah. They've had 4 days to let those losses fuel their fire, and I fully expect them to respond tonight against a team they defeated twice during the regular season by 5 and 13 points. Washington managed to sneak past rival Washington State last night, but the Huskies have not been good away from home. They've dropped 5 of their last 7 off campus. Oregon has been more reliable away from Eugene where it has won 5 of its last 9 with wins at Washington and UCLA during this stretch. Lay the small number with the Ducks, who should be all over the court in this one.