Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Timberwolves +7
Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons and has lost these games by only 0.9 points on average. Pound the T-Wolves.

5* Wiseguy Big East *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cincinnati -4
Bottom Line: Cincy is 5-0 SU and ATS in games played away from home this season. It is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 true road games.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Month on North Carolina +3.5
Bottom Line: UNC is on an awesome 28-9 ATS run in games following an upset loss to a conference rival. Also, FSU is on an 11-21 ATS slide as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Warriors -7
Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for the Blazers following last night's big comeback win against the Heat. Portland is a poor 4-13 ATS in road games following a home win over the last 2 seasons. It has lost by an average of 9.5 points in these spots. The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 5-16 ATS in the last 21 meetings at Golden State. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Heat -3
Bottom Line: The road team is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings with an average winning margin of 8.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Warriors -1.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest and 7-0 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -1.5
Bottom Line: Philly is 7-3 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 versus the Nets. The Nets are 14-27 ATS following a game in which they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS victory.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Raptors +8
Bottom Line: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS under coach Casey in home games when looking for revenge against an opponent that defeated them by 10 points or more the last time they met. They have been getting their revenge in this situation, winning these games by an average of 8.2 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -9
Bottom Line: The Jazz won in Phoenix last night but are 0-9 ATS lifetime under Coach Corbin in road games following a road win. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS defeat.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on Stanford +6.5
Bottom Line: The Bruins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win while the Cardinal are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bucks pk
Bottom Line: The Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bucks have won 2 of their last 3 against the Rockets and are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +1
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 12-3 at home this season and a phenomenal 20-8 ATS in home games under coach Mike Woodson. The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nets +9.5
Bottom Line: Plays against home teams that check in off 2 straight wins by 10 points or more and are up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game are 33-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. The home team is winning by an average of only 1.0 point in this situation. Bet the Nets.

5* Wiseguy CBB Blowout Game of the Week on Evansville -15
Bottom Line: The Missouri State Bears are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Missouri Valley, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. The Bears are also 0-6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Purple Aces are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall and 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Missouri Valley.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on 76ers +8.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Eastern Conference foes, 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win, 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a game in which they covered the spread and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. Also, the road team has covered the number in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Suns/Thunder UNDER 207
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the Suns' last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. The Under is 4-1 in the Thunder's last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Jazz/Clippers UNDER 196
Bottom Line: We've seen at least 209 total points scored between these teams in each of the season's first two meetings so oddsmakers are clearly begging for the money to come in on the Over with this line. We won't oblige them. The Jazz are on an 18-7 Unders run when out for revenge for two straight losses to an opponent in which they allowed 100 points or more. We have seen just 194.7 total points scored on average in these contests.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -6.5
Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Memphis, which has lost each of the season's first two matchups with Denver. The Grizzlies are an impressive 30-13 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy CBB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bradley -5.5
Bottom Line: Drake is just 1-10 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when checking in with wins in 2 of its last 3 games. It has lost by an average of 13.8 points in this scenario.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings at Dallas.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Celtics +8.5
Bottom Line: The underdog has covered the number in each of the past 7 meetings between these two. I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Nuggets -3.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing without a day of rest while the Lakers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Celtics +3.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 home games. The Celtics are 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 road meetings in the series.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on T-Wolves +4
Bottom Line: The T-Wolves are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games against the Thunder and 6-2 ATS in 8 all-time home meetings versus OKC. They have played the Thunder very tough in Minnesota where 4 of the last 6 meetings have been decided by 4 points or fewer. Pound the Wolves.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers +7.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers have won 7 of the last 9 meetings in the series and neither of the losses during this stretch came by more than 6 points. Pound Philly as it is showing excellent value catching this many points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Week on Purdue -15.5
Bottom Line: Purdue is a sweet 9-2 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average of 27.0 points in this scenario.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Chicago -5
Bottom Line: Tough situation for the Nets coming of an overtime with very little rest. The Bulls are excellent at home and should be able to wear down Brooklyn rather quickly.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Magic +5.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Hawks OVER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Over on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3 game and playing on back-to-back days - are 123-72 the last 5 seasons. We've seen an average total of 194.6 points in this situation and teams have combined to score an average of 198.8 points. Also, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +14
Bottom Line: New Orleans is 21-10 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - over the last 2 seasons. It has only lost by an average of 4.0 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 16-5 ATS lifetime under coach Tom Thibodeau in home games when revenging a same season loss to an opponent. They have won these games by an average of 8.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns -3.5
Bottom Line: The home team is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last 7 meetings. Also, the Suns have won 8 of their last 9 at home against the Magic with the 8 wins coming by an average of 6.3 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Wizards +4.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors are being overvalued by oddsmakers following back-to-back wins on the road. Now is the time to go against Golden State as it is just 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games when coming off two or more consecutive road wins. It hasn't just lost in this situation, it has lost by an average of 12.4 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hornets +7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets were crushed by a motivated Lakers squad in their last game and are being undervalued because of it. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Also, New Orleans is 47-26 ATS all-time as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under coach Williams. Pound the Hornets.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: This is the most motivated spot I've seen the Heat in all season. They were upset by the Wizards in their last game, and they were crushed by 20 in NY in the season's first meeting. The Heat have won 5 straight at home against the Knicks with each of those 5 wins coming by double digits. Pound the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Hawks UNDER 199
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (DENVER) - after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half last game are 22-3 since 1996. This system is 10-1 the last 5 seasons and 5-0 the last 3 seasons. Pound the under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month on Lakers/Rockets UNDER 214
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams when the total is greater than or equal to 210 (LA LAKERS) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games and up against an opponent that has gone over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 76-36 since 1996. This system is 17-3 the last 3 seasons. Also, the Lakers are 12-3 UNDER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 2 seasons and 18-7 UNDER after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Houston is 30-12 UNDER in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games since 1996 and 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Pound the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Hornets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets lost the season's first meeting by 15 points but I'm not hesitating to get behind them in this revenge spot. New Orleans is 21-9 ATS the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge for a same-season defeat to an opponent. It has only lost by an average of 3.0 points in these games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Magic +4.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with the Magic at home in what is an extremely motivated spot for them. They have lost twice to Brooklyn this month, and one of those was an ugly 107-68 defeat at home. They'll be looking to save face here. It works in our favor that Orlando lost 110-89 in its last game. That's because it is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 home games after allowing 110 points or more in 2 straight games. It has actually won by an average score of 100.8 to 90.6 in this situation. Pound Orlando.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Bobcats +9
Bottom Line: The Hawks are being overvalued here because Charlotte is coming off a 45-point loss. The Hawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, plays against home teams (ATLANTA) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more that are up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less in its last game are 32-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is 25-40 ATS as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons, 2-12 ATS in home games in November the last 3 seasons and 19-34 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Pound the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Jazz -3
Bottom Line: The Jazz are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season. Plus, the favorite is a phenomenal 33-16-3 ATS in the last 52 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Magic +5.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics, who are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing record, can't be trusted laying this many points on the highway. The C's are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when valued as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. They have been defeated by an average of 7.4 points in these contests. Pound the Magic, who are 4-2 at home and hungry to end a 5-game losing streak in the series.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Week on St. Louis -12
Bottom Line: Southern Illinois is 6-18 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 2-10 ATS as a road underdog or pickem over the last 2 seasons, 1-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons and 2-10 ATS after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1997. Saint Louis is 9-2 ATS after a game where its failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Pound St. Louis!

5* Wiseguy NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Cavaliers +4
Bottom Line: Home underdogs (CLEVELAND) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread that are matched up against a hot team that has covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread are 26-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.3 points on average and have won by an average of 1.5 points. Also, the 76ers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Play of the Day on Cornell +11.5
Bottom Line: The Big Red are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after being held to less that 50 points in their previous game. The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a game where they made 55% or more of their shots. They lost these 6 by an average of 11.2 points.

5* NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5
Bottom Line: You better have a darn good reason if you're going to fade the Spurs as they are 45-18-5 ATS in their last 68 games overall and 34-15-3 ATS in their last 52 home games. I definitely don't have a good enough reason to go against them tonight as the home team is on a 3-0-1 ATS run in this series, and the Knicks are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 trips to San Antonio. The Spurs have won two in a row and 11 of the last 13 meetings. Pound San Antonio.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BLOOD BATH* on Toledo +14
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is being overvalued here because it is coming off a blowout win and Toledo enters off consecutive double-digit defeats. The Panthers are on a 0-8 ATS slide in games following one where they led by 20 points or more at halftime.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Nets are 12-30-1 ATS in their last 43 home games, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams that allowed 100 points or more in their previous game. The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road meetings meetings in the series. Plus, the underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Raptors +6.5
Bottom Line: Toronto is 20-6 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 seasons and 11-2 ATS in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. The Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southwest division,6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 0 days' rest,9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. the Western Conference,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference,3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing SU record.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -8.5
Bottom Line: Da Bulls have been fantastic in bounce back spots at 30-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. They are also a sweet 24-12 ATS when they check into a matchup with wins in 2 of their last 3 games. They have won by an average of 10.8 points in this scenario. These trends tell us the Bulls have been extremely reliable when they're motivated and in good form. Pound the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -2
Bottom Line: The Kings are better than their 0-3 record leads you to believe. They have yet to play a game at home and have played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Warriors are 2-1 and have a win against the Clippers, but the Clippers were in letdown mode following a big win over the Lakers. This is Sac's first home game of the season, and it will be jacked as it looks to find the win column. The Kings have been arguably the best defensive team in the league in the early going, limiting opponents to just 39.2 percent shooting overall and 16.7 percent from beyond the arc. At home and hungry, I like the Kings to get the "W" tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Play of the Day on Pistons -2.5
Bottom Line: The Pistons came on strong down the stretch last season and were consistently good all year at home where they went 18-15. Houston has been flipped on its head with the James Harden deal. I expect it to take some time for the team to adjust to playing with the new focal point of the offense. It will also take Harden time to adjust to playing against opposing starting units. He's used to mopping up against reserves. Detroit has been a sweet play in games odds makers expect to be close. It is on an 11-0 ATS run in games when the line is between +3 and -3.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (TNT) on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: The Celtics are an impressive 124-94 ATS as a road underdog under coach Rivers. They have lost these games on average but only by 2.8 points. Boston is on a 13-3 ATS run in road games against Southeast division opponents and has won these games by an average of 0.5 points. The Celtics are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus the Heat. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Thunder/Heat UNDER 194
Bottom Line: The defensive intensity is often at its height in elimination games as both teams have plenty of motivation. I expect to see both teams play their best defense of the series tonight. 202 total points were scored in Game 4 after just 176 were scored in Game 3 as the Heat made 10 3-pointers (4 more than they average). You can bet OKC won't give Miami the same looks tonight. You can also bet Westbrook won't have the same game he had and the same goes for Chalmers. Plays Under on any team in the NBA Finals are 108-66 since 1996. Also, Miami is 10-2 Under in a home game when the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season. We've only seen an average of 183.7 total points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Thunder +3.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games in Miami. This team has been solid on the road all season, and I fully expect them to bounce back strong tonight. OKC is an awesome 18-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive defeats over the last 3 seasons. It has won by an average of 7.3 points in this situation. I can't see Heat holding the Thunder down offensively 3 games in a row. OKC has too many weapons. We'll take the points for insurance, but I expect an outright win for the Thunder as they make this a series.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Thunder/Heat UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team in the NBA Finals is 106-64 since 1996. Also, plays Under on any team in a playoff series that is tied are 88-52 the last 5 seasons. Miami is 9-1 Under in home games when the total is between 190 and 194.5 points this season. We've seen just 182.7 total points scored on average in these games. The Under is 3-0-1 in the Heat's last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less, 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Miami is awesome defensively at home where it is only giving up 89.0 ppg. It held the Thunder to 93 points when these teams met in Miami during the regular season. Only 191 total points were scored in that game.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Heat +5.5
Bottom Line: The Heat are a team of response. The fact they lost Game 1 by 11 points bodes extremely well for us as they are 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a defeat of 10 points or more. It is also worth mentioning that the road team has covered the number in 11 of the last 15 meetings between these two. Miami has a nice advantage in terms of experience having played in the Finals last year. This is uncharted territory for the Thunder. They were very fortunate to come back in Game 1 after falling behind by 13. Miami has an excellent chance to win this one straight up so we'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals *PUNISHER* on Heat +5.5
Bottom Line: After blowing a 2-1 lead in the 2011 NBA Finals and losing the series to Dallas, LeBron James has been on a mission. He has deferred to Dwayne Wade at times throughout the playoffs but made a decision in Game 6 of the East Finals that this is his team and he has to carry them. I expect him to do just that tonight as the Heat take the Thunder right down to the wire. We can't ignore the fact that the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two sides. Also, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the Heat are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Take the points!

5* Wiseguy Game 7 "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Heat UNDER 178.5
Bottom Line: With a spot in the NBA Finals on the line, we can expect both of these elite defensive teams to get after it on the defensive end with an intensity we've yet to see this series. The Under is 10-4-1 in the Celtics' last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 4-0 in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Under is even 11-2 the last 3 seasons in playoff games when Boston is in position to close out a series. The Under is 25-10 in the Heat's last 35 home games and 10-4 in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. James absolutely went off in Game 6 and the score still finished under the number. He won't have as much success tonight - Boston will make sure of it. Plus, I expect the pace of this game to be even slower as both teams really try to value each possession and the defenses make like very difficult on the offenses.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Heat/Celtics UNDER 179.5
Bottom Line: These two teams have combined to score at least 184 points in each of the last 4 games so odds makers are clearly looking to trap the public with a line that clearly entices them to take the over. We won't fall into the trap. It's do-or-die for the Heat, and Boston basically feels the same way as it does not want to go back to Miami for a Game 7. The defenses have really picked up the intensity in the past two games, and I expect both sides to tighten the screws even more here. History is largely on our side as plays Under on all teams when the total is 179.5 or less in the 6th game of a playoff series are 18-0 the last 5 seasons. Going back to 1996, this system has produced a 44-12 record while teams fitting into it have combined for just 166.3 points. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs +5
Bottom Line: Recent history asserts that the Spurs are being undervalued here. Playing on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game - after 2 straight games where both teams (it and its opponent) scored 100 points or more - has produced a 25-6 ATS record since 1996. Teams fitting into this system have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have only lost by an average of 0.1. We'll take the points as San Antonio takes the Thunder down to the wire with an excellent opportunity to earn an outright victory.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: Bosh is expected to play tonight, and his presence on the interior should really open things up for James and Wade. This may seem like a big number, but consider that Miami has won by 8 points or more in 7 of its last 10 home games versus the Celtics. That's a 70% trend I won't hesitate to get behind. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Spurs -5
Bottom Line: The home team is a perfect 8-0 in the 2012 conference finals. In addition, the Spurs are 11-0 in their last 11 home games overall and 6-0 in their last 6 home games versus the Thunder. These 6 wins have come by an average of 10.3 points. The Spurs won Game 2 by 9 points and would have won Game 1 by 6 had OKC not made a meaningless three-pointer at the buzzer. Given these trends, I'll ride the home team tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Parlay of the Year on Heat -1.5/Under 180
Bottom Line: I expect the Miami Heat to win Game 4 and I expect them to do so with defense. The Heat allowed Boston to shoot 50% in Game 3. They hadn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or higher this postseason before that. Miami in an elite defensive team, and it will really tighten the screws here. The key to slowing down Boston is slowing down Rondo. He will be the focus of Miami's defense this evening. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win while the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Under is 7-2 in the Heat's last 9 games following a SU loss and 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these teams in Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA Parlay of the Year on Heat -1.5/Under 180
Bottom Line: I expect the Miami Heat to win Game 4 and I expect them to do so with defense. The Heat allowed Boston to shoot 50% in Game 3. They hadn't allowed an opponent to shoot 50% or higher this postseason before that. Miami in an elite defensive team, and it will really tighten the screws here. The key to slowing down Boston is slowing down Rondo. He will be the focus of Miami's defense this evening. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win while the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Miami is also 7-2 ATS in its last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. The Under is 7-2 in the Heat's last 9 games following a SU loss and 9-3 in the Celtics' last 12 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Under is also 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these teams in Boston.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -3.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder responded in Game 3, and I expect them to keep right on rolling at home where they are a perfect 6-0 in these playoffs with an 11.8-point average margin of victory. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less. The Spurs are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 playoff games as an underdog and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy Conference Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Celtics UNDER 180.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings between these teams in Boston, where we have become accustomed to seeing defensive battles. I have no doubt we'll see Boston's best defensive effort of the series tonight as it tries to get back in the series. The Celtics are 16-5 Under after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and have held their foes to just 86.5 points in these games while scoring 90.5. Also, plays Under on road teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (MIAMI) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after allowing 110 points or more, are 24-4 since 1996. We've only seen an average of 177.6 total points scored in this situation. I expect both teams to play at a slower pace after such a taxing Game 2. That pace will be very conducive to the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Thunder -4
Bottom Line: The Thunder are 31-7 at home this season. Even figuring in the losses, they have won at home by an average score of 105.3 to 95.5. They are an undefeated 5-0 at home in these playoffs, winning these contests by an average score of 100.6 to 90.4. The Thunder know they must win this game to have any chance of winning the series, so we can expect their best effort of the series tonight. The Spurs have been rolling, but they haven't played a game against this good of a team on the road in a really long time. Lay the points as Kevin Durant and company rise to the occasion.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Celtics/Heat UNDER 177
Bottom Line: We only saw a total of 172 total points scored in Game 1, and the Celtics didn't play the kind of defense we are accustomed to seeing from them. I expect this to be an ugly series as both of these teams are elite defensively. Plays Under on home teams when the total is 179.5 or less (MIAMI) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 36-11 since 1996. We have only seen an average of 168.2 total points scored in this situation. Also, this system is a perfect 4-0 the last 4 seasons. The Under is 5-2 in the Celtics' last 7 road games and 10-3-1 in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The Under is 25-8 in the Heat's last 33 home games and 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +5
Bottom Line: The Thunder lost Game 1, but we're talking about one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA. The Thunder are 59-28-1 ATS in their last 88 games following a loss. Additionally, OKC is a flawless 10-0 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. It has won these games by an average of 5.5 points. Plus, the Thunder are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog. Pound OKC.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -8
Bottom Line: With just 1 days' rest since defeating Philly in Game 7, Boston hasn't had a chance to recover physically and emotionally. The C's had success against the Heat in the regular season but the playoffs are a different animal and Boston is just 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on 1 day of rest. Plus, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 85 points, provided that foe is checking in off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival, are 45-20 ATS since 1996. This system is a stellar 11-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Heat.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder +5.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs won the last two regular season meetings with Oklahoma City, but the Thunder are an impressive 30-16 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent - over the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 2.2 points in these games. The Thunder are an impressive 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Lastly, the Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 postseason games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Take OKC.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Celtics -5.5
Bottom Line: The home team has had the overwhelming advantage in this matchup, and I expect that to remain the case in Game 7. The home side is on a 10-2 run, including a perfect 3-0 run in the last 3 games. Those 3 wins have come by 9, 16 and 7 points. In fact, the last 10 wins by the home team have come by an average of 12.6 points. Boston is 10-1 in its last 11 home contests with those 10 wins coming by an average of 10.3 points. The Celtics are also a perfect 4-0 in these playoffs following a loss and an unbeaten 2-0 this postseason when playing with 2 days of rest. They have won their 4 bounce back games by an average of 10.5 points and their 2 games on 2 days' rest by an average of 11.0 points. Pound the Celtics.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers +3.5
Bottom Line: The numbers are in Indiana's favor tonight as home teams off a road loss by 10 points or more with a winning percentage of .600 to .750 that are matched up against a team with a winning record are 68-31 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, the Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games, 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games versus a squad with a home winning percentage above .600 and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The underdog is on a 26-12-1 ATS run when these two teams get together. Pound the Pacers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Celtics/76ers UNDER 176
Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on all teams in Game 6 of a playoff series when the total is 179.5 or less has produced a powerful 42-12 mark since 1996, including a perfect 16-0 record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this situation have combined for just 166.6 points on average. With Philly playing to stay alive and Boston wanting to close out the series in hopes of getting a little extra rest before the East finals, I'm expecting an absolute defensive war. Pound the UNDER!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Pacers/Heat UNDER 181.5
Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in a tied playoff series, provided both teams have winning records, has produced a 36-8 record that is an unbeaten 6-0 this season. Miami have played to the UNDER in 18 of its last 23 and Indiana has finished UNDER the number in 7 of its last 10. I'm expecting a hard-fought defensive battle tonight as both teams try to seize control of the series. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Lakers +7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are showing some nice value catching this many points considering the Thunder have only recorded 2 playoff victories by 8 points or more this postseason. The past three games in this series have been decided by 3 or fewer points, and I expect another close contest as the Lakers fight hard in the face of elimination. The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in 5 of their last 6 at home. Plus, they are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home contests when valued as a favorite of 5.0 to 10.5 points. We'll take the Lakers.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Heat -121
Bottom Line: Road favorites with a winning record on the season that are coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more are an impressive 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons. They have won by an average of 8.1 points in this situation. Look for the Heat to bounce back strong following a very poor showing in Game 3.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 2nd Round Game of the Year on Thunder +1
Bottom Line: The Lakers showed heart last night, but the veteran bodies of Kobe Bryant, Pau Gasol and Metta World Peace will have a very difficult time responding without a day of rest to recuperate. The Thunder and younger and deeper, and I love their chances here. The Thunder are 58-28-1 ATS in their last 87 games following a loss, 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. The Lakers are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 home games, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games following a win and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. The Lakers are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on 76ers -130
Bottom Line: I still really like Philly ATS tonight but am taking them on the ML for insurance at a nice price. Boston is in for a letdown following its Game 3 performance. Consider that Boston is 19-34 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 8-23 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Philly and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia. We can let one bad game by the 76ers make us forget that they had been perfect at home in the playoffs and perfect at home against Boston this season with a pair of blowout wins. 76ers bounce back strong here.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Heat -121
Bottom Line: I really like the Heat laying a small number, but I have gone ahead and taken them on the money line for insurance. The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 playoff games as a favorite and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Plus, the Pacers have been awesome fade material when checking into a game with recent success against the spread. In fact, Indiana is 1-15 ATS after covering the number in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games this season. The Pacers have lost these games by an average of 3.5 points. Take Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Lakers +8
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Lakers to respond following a very poor showing in Game 1. LA has bounced back strong following its last 5 double-digit defeats, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in these games with a 9.6-point average margin of victory. It is also worth mentioning that teams coached by Mike Brown are 24-10 ATS all-time in road games after a loss by 10 points or more. His teams have won by an average of 3.4 points in these games. Plus, the Thunder have dropped 5 of their last 6 ATS when listed as a home favorite of 5-10.5 points. Take LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Spurs -11.5
Bottom Line: I have no problem laying this many points with a rested Spurs club against a banged up Clippers squad, especially since the Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and the Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. San Antonio is also an awesome 22-5-1 ATS in its last 28 at home. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Thunder -7.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers got all they wanted and more from Denver. Now, they're up against an even more talented team that has just as much size as they do and more depth. The Lakers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinal games. Also, the favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Oklahoma City. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -7.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers blew their chance to win the series in Game 6. Now, Memphis is back home with all the momentum. The Grizzlies have won 13 of their last 14 at home with the only loss during this stretch coming in Game 1 when they held a 27-point advantage. They have also won 7 of their last 9 home playoff games with those wins coming by an average of 9.7 points. The Clippers are banged up and at a major disadvantage inside, where Gasol and Randolph are taking over. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 10-0 in their last 10 Game 7's at home, and I fully expect this trend to continue. They were embarrassed by the Nuggets in Game 6, which led to Kobe Bryant calling out his teammates. I have no doubt this team, which has been there and done that, will respond. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) that are out to avenge a double-digit road defeat to a foe, as long as they have a winning percentage of 60-75% on the season and are facing an opponent with a winning record, are 62-32 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is carrying a 9.6-point average margin or victory. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -1.5
Bottom Line: I won't hesitate to lay this small number with the Grizzlies as I believe they are the better team. They also enter this matchup healthier than LA as Chris Paul, Blake Griffin and Caron Butler are all battling injuries. The Grizzlies are 30-18 ATS in all games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Clippers are 4-14 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take Memphis in this do-or-die spot.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Hawks +6.5
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Celtics expecting them to close out the series tonight. Knowing that would be the case, odds makers have overvalued Boston here. We won't fall for the trap. The Celtics may very well win this game, but there is a great chance they won't win by more than 6 points. 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two have been decided by 6 points or less and the underdog has covered the number in 7 of the last 9 meetings. We shouldn't be scared of the road squad either as it is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 matchups. It's also important to point out that Boston hasn't done too hot in the postseason when asked to lay this many points. In fact, it has dropped 16 of its last 21 ATS in postseason play when favored by 5-10.5 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Grizzlies -6
Bottom Line: Memphis is 27-8 at home this season. It is also 6-2 in home playoff games the last 2 seasons. One of those losses came in OT to OKC last season and the other came in Game 1 of this series when it blew a 27-point lead. In other words, Memphis is tough as nails at home. Those 6 postseason wins mentioned above have come by an average of 9.3 points. We'll lay the number as the Grizzlies take care of business on their home floor tonight.

5* Wiseguy 1st Round Game of the Year on Hawks -1
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Hawks to show up in a big way tonight following such an ugly performance in Game 4. Boston is only 1-9 ATS in road games after allowing 90 points or less 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons. It has lost by an average of 5.8 points in this situation. The Celtics are also only 7-19 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are also on a stellar 18-6 ATS run in home games in the first round of the playoffs, winning these contests by an average score of 90.9 to 83.2. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 playoff games as an underdog while the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite. Take Atlanta.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PUNISHER* on Grizzlies +1.5
Bottom Line: I fully expect the Grizzlies to bounce back from Saturday's 1-point loss. They are 53-36 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons, 39-26 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons, 33-19 ATS when out to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons and 30-17 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. In addition, Memphis is 33-18 ATS all-time as a road underdog of 6.0 points or less under coach Hollins. Take Memphis.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers didn't show up ready to play in Game 3 and were beaten badly. Prior to that, however, they had won 4 straight versus Denver by at least 4 points. LA is the more talented team, and I expect it to flex its muscles in this bounce back spot. The Lakers have covered the spread 6 times in their past 7 games following a loss of greater than 10 points. In other words, this is a team that responds following subpar efforts. Look for LA to respond here.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Blowout on Memphis/LAC UNDER 187
Bottom Line: We struck gold with the under in last night's Bulls/76ers matchup and I have this one coming in way under the number as well. Memphis is 11-3 UNDER in road games when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points this season. We've only seen an average of 180.1 total points scored in these games. Plus, LAC is 17-6 UNDER in home games when playing with 2 days' rest over the last 3 seasons. Both teams are fresh and both teams will be gunning for the series lead. We'll bet the under in what should be a ferocious defensive battle.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PUNISHER* on Magic +5
Bottom Line: With Indiana entering off consecutive double-digit wins and covers, we can be certain that it is being overvalued. In fact, the Pacers are just 10-22 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. It is losing by an average of 4.2 points in these games. The Pacers are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points while the Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Value lies with the home dog here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/76ers UNDER 179
Bottom Line: I really like this one to finish at least 10 points under the number in what should be a defensive battle, and we have history on our side here. Playing the under on all teams when the total is 179.5 or less (Chicago in this case) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, has produced a 55-25 mark since 1996. We have only seen an average of 169.7 total points scored in this situation. Also, playing the under on any team in a playoff series that is tied is 76-38 the last 5 seasons. The Under is 4-0 in Bulls' last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or fewer and 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. The Under is also 6-1 in the 76ers' last 7 games following a win of more than 10 points and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +6
Bottom Line: The Knicks are showing good value catching this many points considering they are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games, including 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as an underdog. It is also important to note that New York is an awesome 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games after enduring 2 consecutive double-digit road losses. With Stoudemire out and their backs against the wall, I expect the Knicks to play desperate basketball tonight. Desperate teams are dangerous, and the Knicks have the look of a dangerous dog here.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (NBA TV) on Magic +3.5
Bottom Line: The Magic are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less and 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 playoff games as a favorite, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Pacers are also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Magic.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs 1st Round Total of the Year on Nuggets/Lakers OVER 200
Bottom Line: The Lakers won't be able to hold the NBA highest scoring team in check again in Game 2. The Nuggets have come out and said that they'll force a fast-paced game, and that bodes very well for us here. Denver averages 104.6 ppg on the road and LA averages 98.9 ppg at home. These averages are significant because Denver is 24-5 OVER when both it and its opponent score 98 or more points in a game this season and LA is 39-1 OVER when both it and its foe score 98 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Also, Denver is 11-3 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season. We've seen an average of 211.2 total points scored in these games. Pound the over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pacers -8.5
Bottom Line: The books are begging for action on Orlando here after the Magic stole Game 1, but we won't give in. The Pacers are the superior team, especially with Dwight Howard out, and I expect them to even the series with an impressive double-digit win. The Pacers are on an 80-50 ATS run when out to avenge a loss in which they were held below the 85-point mark. They are also on a 23-11 ATS streak in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Lay the points.