Winning Sports Picks

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -3
Bottom Line: I believe this is a motivational mismatch. The Nets have been embarrassed by the Bulls in the first 2 matchups, which is salt in a wound that was opened up by last season's playoff loss. I expect Brooklyn to finally have its revenge tonight, and it will be aided by the fact Chicago is in a tough scheduling spot (5th game in 7 days). The Nets have been impressive at home since the calendar turned to 2014, winning 10 of 12, including 4 in a row. They have big wins over the Thunder, Heat and Spurs in 2014, and they'll get the Bulls tonight. Pound the Nets.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +5.5
Bottom Line: Off a loss to the Bulls and out for revenge for an ugly loss in its last trip to San Antonio, Dallas will be lacking no motivation or focus. First off, the Mavericks are 40-15 ATS in their last 55 games following a game where they failed to cover. Secondly, they are 40-16 ATS in their last 56 road games, 36-15 ATS in their last 51 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Spurs are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Dallas.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Iowa -14.5
Bottom Line: Following an emotionally draining home loss to Michigan, I don't see Purdue being able to hang with an Iowa team in its most motivated spot of the season. The Hawkeyes have lost three in a row and will put forth an effort on their home floor today that we haven't seen since they crushed Michigan. Home favorites or pickems off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road are an impressive 80-38 ATS since 1997. Iowa is 12-4 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. It is 11-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons and 8-0 ATS in its last 8 March matchups. You don't want to make a habit of going against a Fran McCaffery team in March, and you have to love the way Iowa controls the boards. There issue has been on the defensive end, and I'm confident they do something about it here. Purdue is 0-9 ATS after a game where its covered the spread this season. Pound Iowa.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on 76ers +11.5
Bottom Line: I'm fading the Wizards here. They are off a huge 3OT revenge win over Toronto, and they have a revenge game against Memphis up next. Not only will they be extremely fatigued, they won't give a 76ers team with the 2nd-worst record in the league their full attention. The 76ers will be the fresher team having not played since Wednesday, and I expect them to also show some fight as they try to avoid the season sweep. Keep in mind that 2 of their 3 losses to Washington this season have come by just 7 and 8 points. Double-digit dogs off 4 or more consecutive losses and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 77-39 ATS since 1996. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. I feel it is ridiculous for an average team like Washington to lay this many points on the road, especially given their high level of fatigue and low level of motivation. Pound Philly.

5* Wiseguy Horizon League Game of the Year on Detroit +5.5
Bottom Line: Tough, tough spot for Green Bay playing its second road game in three days and doesn't have much incentive having already sewed up the regular-season conference championship. Detroit is looking for some momentum prior to the league tournament, and that's not its only motivation. The Titans are off a bad home loss to Wisconsin-Milwaukee and will be out for revenge for a 10-point loss at Green Bay. Detroit has been extremely competitive at home in this series, winning or losing by fewer than 5.5 points in 4 straight, 7 of the last 8 and 14 of the last 16. Green Bay is on a 6-18 ATS slide when it's off 3 straight wins against conference foes. Also, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Detroit.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4
Bottom Line: The Cavs are just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season, 4-15 ATS in home games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons and 4-13 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons. I just don't trust the Cavs laying this many points in a fatigued spot. Road teams off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more that are up against a non-conference opponent are 23-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Week on Manhattan -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a game Manhattan wants badly. The Jaspers were defeated by Iona in last season's MAAC Tournament championship game, and they were taken down by the Gaels again last month. Iona doesn't have the same level of motivation. It has already locked up the conference championship and has nothing to play for. Playing against road teams that scored 80 points or more last game in a conference win has resulted in an 80-47 ATS record since 1997 when they are up against a team that is off an upset loss. Additionally, Iona is an ultra-soft 1-11 ATS the last 3 seasons when off a road win of 10 points or more. Pound Manhattan.

5* Wiseguy Big West Game of the Year on Fullerton -3.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over UC-Irvine, expect the Matadors to suffer a letdown on the road tonight. They are a poor 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. Even worse, they are 1-7 ATS this season in road games against teams that have a losing record and have lost these games by an average of 8.0 points. Northridge's 81-75 win over Irvine is also significant because it is 0-6 ATS under coach Reggie Theus in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more. The Matadors have lost by an average of 12.5 points in this spot. The Titans have played some good ball lately at home where they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Pound Fullerton.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +5.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Wizards, who have lost each of first three matchups with Toronto. Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games this season versus teams that have a winning home record. This trend shows how competitive they've been on the highway against good teams. The Wizards are also 13-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. They have won by an average of 5.5 points in this spot. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Year on ASU -1.5
Bottom Line: ASU is 14-1 this season at home, including 6-0 in its last 6. These 6 wins have come by an average of 8.8 points, and I expect the Sun Devils to continue their home dominance tonight. Herb Sendek called out his team following Sunday's 23-point loss at Utah, saying their effort was unacceptable. I expect his squad to respond just like his teams typically have throughout the years following a lopsided loss. Consider that Sendek's teams are 53-31 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997. Adding to their level of motivation is a loss at Stanford earlier in the month and a home loss to Stanford last season. The Cardinal have performed well on the road, but the Sun Devils are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Pound ASU.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4.5
Bottom Line: This is a really bad spot for Houston, which has a big showdown in L.A. against the Clippers tomorrow. The Rockets lost both of this season's previous meetings with the Clippers so that is a game they really want. They'll want to make sure they have plenty left in the tank for tomorrow night because they know they'll need maximum energy to beat the Clippers on their home floor. This means they'll likely try to get the "W" by coasting tonight, and I expect a very poor performance on the defensive end by the Rockets as a result. The Rockets are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Pound Sacramento.

5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Week on Utah State +12
Bottom Line: Look for the Lobos to suffer a letdown following Saturday's 14-point victory over San Diego State. New Mexico won by 13 points at Utah State in the first matchup so it won't give the Aggies its full attention. Utah State will be out for revenge for that loss, and it will also be out to end a 3-game skid. Playing underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss has resulted in a 117-71 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team. Additionally, road underdogs or pickems that have lost by 48 points or more ATS in their last ten games are 36-12 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are playing a team that has gone under the total by 24 points or more in their last 3 games. Pound Utah State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +2.5
Bottom Line: Plays on teams like Detroit, 42 games or more into the season, that average 98-102 ppg and are up against a team that allows 98-102 ppg has resulted in a 27-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they have combined with their opponents for 205 total points or more in 3 straight games. This system tightens up to 16-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Detroit has underachieved to this point given the level of talent it has, but it will have no problem getting up for this game considering how it was embarrassed at Golden State earlier this season. Plus, the Pistons catch a break tonight with Bogut still nursing a shoulder injury and Lee dealing with an illness. Those absences give them a huge advantage inside. Pound the Pistons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +1
Bottom Line: The Wizards lost by 2 at home Feb. 7 in the most recent matchup, and that loss will have them extremely motivated here. Washington is 12-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game, winning by an average of 4.8 points in this spot. The Wizards are also 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record. And, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Wizards are the healthier team, and they'll be the hungrier team. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Minnesota following a blowout win over Indiana. The T-Wolves have had the last two days off while Utah played last night, but they have a big revenge game in Portland tomorrow and that makes this a tough spot for them, especially since they won easily in two previous meetings against the Jazz this season. Minnesota's tendency will certainly be to look ahead to tomorrow. The Timberwolves are 13-27 ATS in their last 40 games when playing on 2 days' rest and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Home underdogs with a losing record that are playing 5 games or less in 14 days are 48-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Home underdogs that have failed to cover in 2 of their last 3 games and playing 3 or less games in 10 days are 68-32 ATS since 1996. Things haven't exactly gone smoothly for the T-Wolves in Utah where they have lost 7 of the last 8 meetings. The Timberwolves are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall. Pound the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Year on Niagara +4
Bottom Line: Right away, I love the fact that plays against February road favorites or pickems that are riding a win streak of 6 games or more has resulted in a 105-64 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system alone makes Quinnipiac fade material today. What elevates this play to Game of the Year status is the fact the Bobcats are off a big upset win at Canisius and are playing a 2nd road contest in a 3-day span. This spot has letdown written all over it for the Bobcats, who will have an extremely tough time getting up for a Niagara team they defeated by 14 in the first matchup. It's been an extremely difficult season for the Purple Eagles, but it's Senior Day (the last home game of the season) and teams tend to show up in a big way as they try to send the upperclassmen out on a high note. Quinnipiac has outscored the opposition by an average of 4.4 points on the season. That's an excellent margin through 26 games. But here's the clincher: Niagara is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 3.0 points on average. Pound the Purple Eagles.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Raptors -8
Bottom Line: The Cavs have rattled off 6 consecutive SU and ATS wins and they're catching nearly double digits? The books clearly expect their winning streak to come to an end tonight, and they're looking to trap the public in the process. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off an upset loss and playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 65-36 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Cavaliers are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. The Raptors are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on 1 day of rest, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games versus a team with a losing record. The Cavs have some key guys hurt and must also try to adjust to playing with a new teammate (Spencer Hawes). Look for Toronto to take advantage.

5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Penn +11
Bottom Line: Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's game against Princeton, who has been its biggest rival the past few seasons. Princeton played Harvard pretty tough in the first matchup so the Crimson will be much more concerned about the Tigers than they will the Quakers, who they defeated by 30 earlier this month. Penn has been a much better team at home where it is 3-0 in conference play. Penn has also had a lot of success at home against Harvard where it has won or lost by 6 points or less in 16 straight dating back to 1998. Pound Penn.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BEST BET* on Warriors -1
Bottom Line: The third time will be the charm for Golden State, who has lost both previous meetings with Houston this season. A big key is that Andre Iguodala will be available to defend James Harden tonight. Iguodala missed the first two meetings. The Rockets rolled over the Lakers last night but are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Bogut is likely out, which means Golden State won't have him to defend Dwight Howard. However, I look for the Warriors to take Howard out of the game by making it a track meet. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy Summit League Game of the Month on Western Illinois +10.5
Bottom Line: Playing against favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that returned just two starters and are off an upset win on the road has resulted in a 42-17 ATS record the last five seasons. Additionally, playing on underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a same-season loss has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that's off an upset win on the road. Western Illinois is 11-3 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more. The Leathernecks are also 9-1 ATS the last 3 season on the road versus slow-tempo teams that average 53 shots per game or less. Pound Western Illinois.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Celtics +6.5
Bottom Line: I'll grab the points with Boston considering how well it has performed on the road of late as well as the fact it will have the fresher legs. The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with 3 or more days' rest while the Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine to log more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns picked up a hard-fought OT win in Denver last night, and they have San Antonio up next so they very well could get caught looking ahead here. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 7 road games overall, including 4-0 ATS during this stretch versus teams like Phoenix (Miami, Portland, Golden State, LA Clippers) that have a home winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Boston.

5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Week on Miami -3
Bottom Line: Notre Dame is being overvalued on the road following its first road win of the season and a stretch where it has covered in 3 of its last 4. The Fighting Irish are 0-6 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 over the last 2 seasons. They are also 0-6 ATS after playing a road game this season. Miami is 0-6 at home in conference play so it will go after this game with all it's got. Early home conference losses to VA Tech and FSU were inexcusable. However, the last 4 have come against Duke, Syracuse, Pitt and NC State. Miami is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Hurricanes.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -9
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses to Florida and Mizzou, Tennessee will be all business when it takes the floor tonight. The Vols are a perfect 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Tennessee is 6-0 ATS lifetime in home games under coach Martin after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog. The Vols were swept by Georgia last season, which only adds to their level of motivation. Pound Tennessee.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Oklahoma State +4.5
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Baylor following a big double-OT win over K-State. The Bears won't give Oklahoma State their full attention in the wake of Saturday's win, especially since they won by six in Stillwater and the Cowboys are struggling and don't have Marcus Smart. It's been a rough stretch for Oklahoma State, but I don't see them packing it in. They still have the possibility of achieving a winning record in conference play, and that will keep them motivated. Playing against road teams that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing with one day of rest or none has resulted in a 369-256 ATS record the last five seasons. Plus, Baylor is a soft 10-19 ATS as a home favorite of 6.0 points or less or pickem under coach Drew. Pound Oklahoma State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Temple +9
Bottom Line: Off an ugly loss to Louisville, look for Temple to come storming back as it seeks revenge for a Feb. 6 loss at SMU. The Owls are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. They are an even more impressive 9-1 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning these contests by an average of 8.2 points. Temple lost by double digits at Cincinnati earlier this season, and then played the Bearcats to a 4-point game for an easy cover at home in the rematch. Expect a similar turn of events here as the Owls give SMU all its wants and more. Pound Temple.

5* Wiseguy Mountain West Game of the Year on SJSU +9.5
Bottom Line: Wyoming won't give a SJSU squad that is 0-12 in league play and that it defeated by 11 points last month its full attention in the aftermath of Tuesday's upset win over San Diego State. The Cowboys haven't been even close to the same team on the road. They are 2-7 in true road games this season with the wins coming by just 2 and 7 points. Wyoming is 1-8 ATS lifetime under coach Shyatt following a victory of 6 points or fewer. Plus, Shyatt's clubs are 1-9 ATS lifetime in road games following an upset victory. Pound the Spartans.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* (ESPN) on Arizona State +5.5
Bottom Line: Arizona has been far from dominant on the road this season. It is 4-1 in its last 5 road games but only one of the wins came by more than 4 points, and that was against last-place USC. Since Miller arrived, the Wildcats have been a dead fade following a home win over a conference opponent. They are 9-26 ATS under his watch in this spot. Additionally, the Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. ASU was embarrassed 91-68 at Arizona in the first matchup, and it will be extremely motivated as a result. Pound the Sun Devils.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Lakers +12.5
Bottom Line: Playing on a team like the Lakers that is out for revenge for a road loss of 20 points or more to an opponent has resulted in a 37-13 ATS record since 1996 if they are also off an upset loss of 15 points or more. The Lakers are on an 18-6 ATS run following a blowout loss of 15 points or more while the Thunder are mired in a 6-19 ATS skid off a road win of 3 points or less. Pound LA.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year on Seton Hall +1.5
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Creighton, I expect St. John's to suffer a letdown at Seton Hall where it has walked away a loser 8 straight times. Those 8 losses have come by 11.3 points on average. Seton Hall has had only way day to gear up for this contest, but it is 9-1 ATS under Kevin Willard in home games when playing with 1 or less days of rest, winning in this spot by an average of 16.6 points. Pound the Pirates.

5* Wiseguy NBA Pre All-Star Break Game of the Year on 76ers +8
Bottom Line: The 76ers were completely and utterly destroyed in their last two games, and they will put forth an extraordinary effort tonight in hopes of entering the All-Star break on a positive note. Utah has won its last two games with one of those being against Miami, which clearly took the night off, and the Jazz are being hugely overvalued because of it. The Jazz have been favored just 7 times all season and never by this much, and they are 1-3 ATS when laying 3 points or more. The Jazz have also won two consecutive games just five times this season and are 0-4 following the first 4 instances. Utah is just 7-17 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Pound the 76ers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +2.5
Bottom Line: Washington has lost 3 in a row and was beaten badly at Colorado last time out. However, it is on a 19-8 ATS run at home after a loss of 15 points or more. The Huskies are also on a 9-2 ATS run at home after playing their last 3 games on the road. Stanford won the first matchup, but coach Romar's clubs are on a 57-36 ATS run when out for revenge for a road loss. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA-Conference Game of the Week on Bobcats +4
Bottom Line: Not only is this a fatigued spot for the Mavs, who have been playing every other day and traveling following each game since Feb. 3, but it is a definite look-ahead spot with Indiana tomorrow. The Mavs have already defeated the Bobcats this season so they will be much more interested in tomorrow night's contest against a team that blasted them twice last season. The Bobcats have had the last 2 days off, and they had 3 days off prior to that so they will be very fresh. The Bobcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Charlotte lost by 4 at home to San Antonio last game, but it is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It's also 18-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season. Pound the Bobcats.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee +2
Bottom Line: The beating the Volunteers received at Florida only helps our cause as they will be that much more motivated. I'm not sure they needed any added motivation because they are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against the Gators, but the revenge factor certainly applies given that the Vols are on a 13-2 ATS run when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent. They haven't just won these games, they've won them by an average of 11.1 points. Plus, Tennessee is on a 17-4 ATS run as a home dog of 3 points or fewer or pickem, winning in this spot by an average of 4.4 points. Pound Tennessee.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons +4
Bottom Line: There is a good amount of history on our side considering February underdogs of 3.5-9.5 points that are off a home win are 72-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Pistons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last 4 home games with all 4 wins coming by double digits. Detroit can really rebound the basketball, and that doesn't bode well for the Spurs, who are 3-13 ATS this season versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. San Antonio has lost to these teams by 1.0 point on average. The Palace of Auburn Hills hasn't treated the Spurs well lately. They are just 3-3 in their last 6 meetings there with 2 of the wins coming by only 4 points. Pound the Pistons.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on West Virginia +2.5
Bottom Line: Iowa State is 0-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more in four straight games under coach Fred Hoiberg, losing by an average of 1.9 points in this spot. This trend shows the way high point output causes oddsmakers to overvalue teams. Teams like WVU that pack in it defensively don't force as many turnovers, but they also don't give up as many easy buckets on fly-by's and overplays. Iowa State is on a 0-6 ATS skid in conference play versus teams that force 14 turnovers per game or less. It has lost to these teams by an average of 0.2 points. Additionally, the Cyclones are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons following 2 or more consecutive overs, losing these contests by an average 0.9 points. Pound the Mountaineers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +15
Bottom Line: I think the return of Chris Paul puts a momentary hitch in LA's giddy-up. It will take Paul a little time to get back in the swing of things, and it will take the team a little time to adjust to playing with him again. For LA, this game won't be about seeing how badly they can beat the 76ers, it will be about getting adjusted to playing together again. This gives Philly an excellent opportunity to cover this big number. Playing against home favorites of 10 or more points has resulted in a 61-28 ATS record since 1996 if they are off a home games where both they are their opponent cracked the century mark and if they are playing 8 games or more in a 14-day span. Pound the 76ers.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Loyola-Chi +1
Bottom Line: Loyola is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season as a home underdog. The Ramblers are also on a 4-0 ATS run when matched up against a team that has a winning record. The Redbirds are 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 road games. Loyola lost the first matchup on the road, but I expect it to have its revenge at home. Pound the Ramblers.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -2
Bottom Line: The Warriors haven't shown they can be trusted to string consecutive covers together, let alone wins lately. The Warriors are just 7-15 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season, including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. The Warriors are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. The Suns were blown out at Houston last game but are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Phoenix.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Year on Iowa -4.5
Bottom Line: Michigan is 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 8.8 points in this spot. The Wolverines are also 0-6 ATS in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa does an excellent job on the glass, which is a very positive sign. The Hawkeyes are 9-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 9.5 points in this spot. Pound Iowa.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Cavs +8.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to Cleveland's embarrassing loss to the short-handed Lakers. The Cavs have lost 6 in a row and the firing GM Chris Grant sends a message to the coaching staff as well as the players. I believe the Cleveland organization will collectively respond as they look to save a little face. The Wizards are 0-5 ATS this season when favored by 8 or more points and have lost 4 of these games SU. The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Eastern Conference teams. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus NBA Southeast division foes and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Washington. The underdog is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Cleveland.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Niagara +8.5
Bottom Line: I'll gladly grab the points with Niagara as they have won or lost by fewer than 8.5 points in 14 of their last 15 home games against Iona. Off back-to-back to back defeats and a blowout loss in the first matchup, the Purple Eagles will be out for revenge. Iona, on the other hand, will be much more concerned about Sunday's showdown with MAAC co-leader Canisius. Pound Niagara.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -8.5
Bottom Line: Disgusted following arguably their worst game of the season, the Warriors will be ready to bury the Bulls tonight. Golden State is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home. After laying an egg in back-to-back losses to New Orleans and Sacramento where they didn't reach the 80-point mark in either, the Bulls bounced back with an upset win over Phoenix. That bodes well for us as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a cover. Pound Golden State.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Georgia +3
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams, 15 games or more into the schedule, that hold opponents to 40% shooting or worse and have shot 50% or better their last two games has resulted in a 33-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons provided they are matched up against a team that holds its opponents to 40-42.5% shooting. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. The Tigers haven't been a good bet on the road where they are 0-2-2 ATS in their last four. They are 0-3-2 ATS in their last five road games versus teams with a home winning percentage above .600. The Bulldogs are on a 0-3 slide in conference play, but they are on a 7-0 ATS roll at home following 3 straight losses against conference rivals. Pound the Dawgs.

5* Wiseguy NBA Southwest Division Game of the Month on Grizzlies -2.5
Bottom Line: Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that went over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game has resulted in a 47-19 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are a winning team playing against winning team. Memphis has been a nice investment in games oddsmakers expect to be close because of how solid it is defensively. The Grizzlies are 28-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. The Grizz are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games versus a team with a winning record. Dallas has won the first two matchups of the season but both were in Dallas. The Grizzlies are 5-0 in their last 5 home games in the series with an average winning margin of 10.2 points in these contests. Pound Memphis.

5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Month on Indiana State +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against February road favorites or pickems after 6 or more consecutive wins has resulted in a 97-50 ATS record the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 ATS record this season. Indiana State was crushed 68-48 in the season's first matchup, but the Sycamores are 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons when out for revenge for a defeat where they were held to fewer than 60 points. They have won these contests by 6.8 points on average. Indiana State won by double-digits at Wichita State last season and played the Shockers to a 4-point game at home so they are very capable of pulling off the upset. Pound Indiana State.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games, and I expect them to make it 5 straight covers as they face an Indiana team they have owned at home. The Hawks are 12-0 in their last 12 regular-season home games against the Pacers, winning these by an average of 10.6 points. Plus, Atlanta should be the fresher team as it has had the last 2 days off while Indiana is playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 3rd in 4 days. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest. I managed to get 3.5, but 3.0 is the number that is most available at the time of this report. Because of this, I felt it worth mentioning that Atlanta is 8-0 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average of 6.0 points. Add up these 4 trends and we have a 28-0 angle in our favor. Pound the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: The Nuggets are expected to have Ty Lawson back in the lineup tonight, which should give them quite a boost, but I like them in this spot regardless of whether he returns. Denver has dropped 2 straight at home after a stretch where it had won 5 of 6 at home so it will be very hungry to get back in the win column tonight. The Clippers have struggled in Denver's high altitude. The Nuggets are 25-9 in their last 34 home games in the series, including 14-4 in their last 18 and 2-0 in their last 2. Denver has also had an extra day to prepare for this game, and that only helps its cause. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy Super Bowl *BEST BET* on Broncos -2
Bottom Line: Seattle has the No. 1 defense in the NFL, but Denver has the best offense in the league and Seattle hasn't seen anything like it all season. If you want to beat Denver, you better be able to put some points on the board, and I don't see Seattle putting up quite enough. In Denver's 3 losses it gave up 27, 34 and 39 points, and I don't see Seattle putting up a number that big. The Seahawks average 25.7 ppg but have averaged just 20.5 over their last 6 games. So much of what Seattle does offensively stems from its running game and Denver has shown it can stop the run with its 7th-ranked run defense. Ultimately, I love the veteran Peyton Manning making more plays than Russell Wilson. Manning has the decisive edge in terms of experience. I also believe he'll want this game just a little bit more as he tries to put an exclamation point on a sensational career. Seattle is on a 6-17 ATS slide when playing with 2 weeks of rest or more while Denver is on a 15-2 ATS run when playing with 2 weeks of rest or more. The Broncos are also an impressive 21-8 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy NFL Playoffs Total of the Year on Seahawks/Broncos OVER 47.5
Bottom Line: Plays on the Over when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points on an excellent offensive team like Denver that averages 27.0 ppg or more has resulted in a 27-5 record since 1983 if they have allowed 17 points or less in 2 straight games and are matched up with a good defensive team that allows just 14-18.0 ppg. We have seen an average posted total of 45.6 points in these games but an average of 56.2 total points scored. This system is 12-1 the last 10 seasons and a perfect 5-0 the last 5 seasons. We are getting a great number here because Seattle has finished Under the total in 7 straight, and Denver has finished Under in 5 straight. Pound the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +13
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is terrible, but this is a great spot to back the Bucks catching big points against a team that rarely blows anyone out. The Grizzlies are a defensive team that plays mostly in the halfcourt, and that will especially be the case tonight with Mike Conley likely to sit this one out. The Bucks have been able to stick with teams that aren't explosive offensively. We saw them play the Grizzlies to a 77-82 game last month to earn a cover. The Grizzlies are a off a revenge win against the T-Wolves and have a big one at OKC Monday so they won't be giving Milwaukee their full focus. The Grizzlies are on a 10-24 ATS slide as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1996. Playing against February double-digit favorites that have gone under the total by 54 points or more in their last 10 games has resulted in a 27-7 ATS record since 1996. Double-digit road dogs that have lost 8 or more of their last 10 games are 47-19 ATS the last 5 seasons when they're matched up with a team that has won 8 or more of their last 10 games. Lastly, double-digit road dogs in the second half of the season off a double-digit road loss are 69-29 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Kent State +1.5
Bottom Line: Kent State has been an outstanding underdog investment at 15-5 ATS in the role the last 2 seasons, and it will have no problem getting up for this game following an ugly loss to Northern Illinois. The Golden Flashes are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons off an upset loss, winning by an average of 2.2 points in this spot. The Golden Flashes are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 50 points in their previous game. Akron knocked Kent State out of last season's MAC tourney and went on to make the Big Dance, and the Golden Flashes will be out for payback.

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Game of the Week on Jazz +5
Bottom Line: Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more consecutive home wins and playing 4 or less games in 10 days are 50-26 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams are losing straight up on average but only by 2.9 points. Additionally, January home dogs off a home win are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons (8-3 ATS this season). Also, home dogs playing 3 or less games in 10 days that failed to cover the spread last game are 75-38 ATS since 1996. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy MAAC Game of the Month (ESPNU) on Manhattan +2.5
Bottom Line: Iona lives and dies by the 3-point shot with 44% of its field goal attempts coming from beyond the arc this season. I expect it to die by it tonight as it goes up against a Manhattan team that defends the 3 very well, especially on the road where it has limited opponents to just 31.8%. The Jaspers are 6-0 ATS under Steve Masiello in contests 15 games or more in versus good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% of their attempts or more. Iona is a weak rebounding team, and that also puts it at a disadvantage tonight. The Jaspers are 8-0 ATS under Masiello in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game. The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the Jaspers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Iona. Pound Manhattan.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Week on BYU -13
Bottom Line: Fading the Pacific Tigers as a road dog of 12.5 to 15.0 points has resulted in a perfect 10-0 ATS record the last 17 years. The Tigers have lost these contests by 20.3 points on average. Backing the BYU Cougars at home against marginal winning teams (51% to 60% win rate) has resulted in a perfect 6-0 ATS record the last 2 seasons. The Cougs have won these contests by 25.2 points on average. Pound BYU.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +5
Bottom Line: The Kings have been tough at home against good teams. They have home wins over Miami and Portland and just took the Pacers to OT Friday. The numbers really show how good Sacramento has been at home against good teams. It is on a 9-0 ATS run in home games versus teams that sport winning road marks, and it is on a 5-0 ATS run at home versus teams that have a road winning percentage greater than .600. Pound Sacramento.

5* SEC Game of the Week on Tennessee -8
Bottom Line: It's bounce back time for Tennessee following Saturday's embarrassing loss at Florida. The Volunteers are 12-4 ATS under coach Cuonzo Martin off a loss to a conference opponent. They are also 9-2 ATS under Martin after a double-digit defeat. Pound Tennessee.

5* Wiseguy *BEST BET* Bailout on Wizards +8.5
Bottom Line: The Wizards will be the more focused team tonight as they look for revenge for a 112-96 home loss to Golden State earlier this month. The Wizards are 30-15 ATS under coach Wittman when out for revenge for a home loss, losing these contests by only 3.0 points on average. Washington is also on a 27-11 ATS run the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a loss where it allowed 100 points or more. It has lost these contests by only 0.7 points on average. The Wizards are off a 3-point loss at Utah, but they have had 2 days to recover from that defeat, and they are on a 23-8 ATS run in road games off a close road loss of 3 points or less. Pound the Wizards.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +4
Bottom Line: Home teams that average 74-78 ppg but were held to 60 points or less last game, in games that occur 15 games or more into the season, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that allows 63 ppg or less. Virginia has been rolling, but it's also been at home for 3 straight games. The Cavs are on a 2-10 ATS skid when they hit the road after 2 or more consecutive wins at home. Pound the Irish.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Georgetown +6.5
Bottom Line: Playing against January favorites that have won 80% or more of their games has resulted in a 111-82 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has won 51% to 60% of their games. Nova is 2-10 ATS when playing a 2nd game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons and 18-33 ATS in road games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4 games since 1997. Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home meeting against the Wildcats. Pound the Hoyas.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks +10
Bottom Line: This is the final game of a 7-game road trip for the Clippers, and they will have played these games in an 11-day period. That's a lot of games and a lot of travel in not very many days. You better believe these Southern California are looking forward to getting out of the cold when they return home following this game. They'll be looking forward to getting off the road so much that they won't be focused on the task at hand, thinking they can beat the worst team in the NBA in their sleep. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a cover. They are also on a 48-73 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. Home teams 42 games or more in that shoot 33-36.5% from 3-point range and average 14.5-16.5 turnover per game are 27-10 ATS the last 3 seasons when they are taking on a team that allows 33-36.5% shooting from 3-point range and forces 14.5-16.5 turnovers per game. The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound the Bucks.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: Playing favorites that are holding opponents to 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season has resulted in a 39-17 ATS record since 1996 if they are up against a team allowing 45.5-47.5% shooting on the season and if both teams have +3 to +5.5 average rebounding advantage per game. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 8.9 points. Golden State is indeed the better defensive team, and it will be out to prove just how good it can be defensively following a stretch of 4 poor defensive efforts in 5 games. It should be able to slow down a Portland team that will be playing its 7th game in 10 days. The Blazers put up 110 and 115 points, respectively, in their last two games, but they are 1-8 ATS this season after scoring 110 points or more in 2 straight games. The Warriors have allowed their last 2 opponents to reach the century mark, but they are 8-2 ATS this season after allowing 100 points or more 2 in straight games, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 in this spot. Pound Golden State.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Week on Nebraska +1
Bottom Line: The Huskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. They are 17-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pickem since 1997 and 14-2 ATS off a loss against a conference opponent over the last 2 seasons. Nebraska beat Ohio State in its last home game and played Michigan to a 1-point game in the home contest before that. The Huskers also defeat Minnesota the last time they hosted the Gophers. Pound Nebraska.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +1
Bottom Line: This is a rough spot for Washington, which will be playing its 2nd road games in as many nights and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Jazz have had 3 full days off so they should be the more energetic team in this one. Utah took a double-digit loss at home to Minnesota last game, but it has still won 5 of 7 at home. The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Jazz are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Washington and 6-1 in their last 7 at home in the series. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Ole Miss -11.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State has won two straight in the series, and that's not sitting well with rival Ole Miss. The Bulldogs won the season's first meeting by 4 points at home and they're catching double digits here? That's because they've been awful on the road, losing each of their 3 true road games this season by an average of 20 points. It's also worth mentioning that they lost by 18 at Ole Miss last season. When oddsmakers have installed Mississippi State as a double-digit dog, it's been for good reason. The Bulldogs are just 4-14 ATS under coach Ray when catching 10 points or more and have lost by an average of 21.0 points in these contests. The Bulldogs have won their last 2, but they are 0-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average of 13.2 points in this spot. Pound Ole Miss.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +4
Bottom Line: Road teams like Washington that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less are 46-19 ATS the last 5 seasons if they are up against a team like Phoenix that gives up 98-102 ppg. The Wizards are 17-6 ATS under coach Wittman in road games off a home loss. They are 9-0 ATS this season in road games after playing a home game. The Suns are on a sorry 45-74 ATS slide after 2 straight wins of 10 points or more. I think Phoenix will still be patting itself on the back after knocking off Indiana. Plus, I don't see it having an answer for John Wall. Pound Washington.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7.5
Bottom Line: Portland has played over half of its games, and that sets up two strong trends tonight. Denver is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that outscore opponents by 3.0 ppg or more. It has defeated these teams by 10.5 points on average. The Nuggets are also 8-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams in the second half of their schedule that average 103.0 ppg or more, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 7.8 points. Portland is explosive offensively, but so is Denver. I don't see a Portland team that ranks near the bottom of the NBA in scoring defense getting enough stops to cover this number, especially since it will be the more fatigued team. Denver has had 3 days of rest and is 25-9-2 ATS in its last 36 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. This is Portland's 3rd game in 4 days and 5th in 7 days. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for Washington State to bounce back at home after a pair of rough outings on the road. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses under coach Bone, and they have won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Additionally, Oregon State is off a huge win over Oregon, and it has been a poor play following a win. The Beavers are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a victory. Pound Washington State.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Rockets -10
Bottom Line: Houston has been caught overlooking Sacramento twice this season, but it won't happen again. Home teams that are out for revenge for 2 upset losses to an opponent and are also off a home win are 17-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Kings will definitely be the more fatigued team tonight as this is the final game of a 6-game road trip. Sacramento is 17-42 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Kings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Houston.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Portland, which is playing a 4th road game in 5 days. So not only will OKC be the fresher side, it will be the hungrier side as it looks to avenge losses in the season's first two meetings. The Thunder are on a 46-27 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset loss to an opponent. This trend is 26-13 ATS the last 3 seasons with an 8.7-point average margin of victory. OKC is also 47-31 ATS under coach Brooks when playing with double revenge. Portland is 5-15 ATS after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Bailout on Warriors pk
Bottom Line: Indiana is the best defensive team in the league, but the "D" hasn't been as tight on the road where it is allowing 5.7 more ppg. The Pacers are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 road games, and I expect this trend to continue as they go up against a Golden State squad that ranks No. 4 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Warriors are capable of a very strong defensive performance against an Indiana team that is offensively challenged at times. The Warriors are the far superior offensive team, and ultimately I believe their offense will be the difference. Indiana is on a 21-38 ATS slide in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0 ATS in the last 3. Looking back further, the home team is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings. Pound the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Marist -4
Bottom Line: This line opened at -3, which is significant because St. Peter's is 0-7 ATS in games when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. It has lost these games by 8.9 points on average. Marist had won 4 in a row at home before getting upset by Rider Saturday, but it is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Marist is also 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with St. Peter's. Pound the Red Foxes.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +8.5
Bottom Line: Playing on road teams like the Kings that average 98-102 ppg and are off a loss of 6 points or less has resulted in a 45-18 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are matched up against a team like the Thunder that allows 98-102 ppg. The Kings will be the more motivated side as they are off a loss and will be looking to snap a 7-game losing streak against the Thunder. Sac played the Thunder to a 2-point game at home in the first meeting, and that performance will provide it with the confidence needed to give them a game tonight. OKC is off a pair of big wins over the Rockets and Warriors and has big games against Portland and San Antonio up next so I believe it will get caught looking ahead. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Sacramento.

5* Wiseguy NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year on Broncos -4
Bottom Line: The Patriots won the regular-season meeting, but they were at home and had to overcome a 24-0 deficit. They also had the services of Rob Gronkowski in that game while Denver didn't have Julius Thomas. New England hasn't been the same team on the road where it is 1-5 ATS in its last 6, and it clearly has fewer weapons than Denver. The Patriots have leaned on their running game lately, but Denver's 7th-ranked run defense won't allow them to do so. And without Gronk commanding attention, Julian Edelman with have a tougher time finding openings. Peyton Manning's stable of playmakers (Eric Decker, Demaryius Thomas, Wes Welker, Knowshon Moreno and Julius Thomas) should find plenty of success against a depleted New England defense. The Patriots are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Championship games. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Denver is also 15-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 12.6 points in these games. Pound Denver.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on T-Wolves -10
Bottom Line: The Jazz are just 1-14 ATS under coach Corbin in road games following a road win, losing these contests by 10.9 points on average. They have lost by an average of 21.5 the last 2 times they've been in this spot. Minnesota has lost 3 in a row overall and 5 straight to the Jazz so it will be ready to run up the score tonight. Pound Minnesota.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +2
Bottom Line: Utah is 13-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points in OT to a very good Oregon team. The Utes have been an unbelievable home dog or pickem under coach Krystkowiak, going 17-6 ATS in the role. They are 9-2 ATS under him as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem, winning these contests by 5.1 points on average. Utah is 6-0 ATS under Krystkowiak in home games occurring 15 games or more into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. This is also a very tough spot for UCLA playing a 2nd road game in 3 days. Pound Utah.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* Blowout on Heat -10
Bottom Line: This should be one of Miami's most motivated spots of the season following 3 consecutive defeats. Furthermore, the Heat lost in Philly earlier this season so they will be revenge-minded. Plays on any team off an upset loss to a division foe, provided it has a .600-.750 win percentage and is playing a losing team, has resulted in a 32-8 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is 3-0 ATS this season. Additionally, plays on road teams that average 103.0 ppg or more and trailed in their previous game by 20 points or more at the half has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record since 1996. This system is 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Miami is 8-0 ATS after having lost 3 of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 20.9 points in this spot. Pound Miami.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder fit perfectly into one of my most dominant systems. Playing against home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent and off a road win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 16-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons. Houston finds itself in a tough spot playing its 2nd game in as many nights and its 5th in 7 days. Consider that Houston is 9-29 ATS in home games when playing a 5th game in 7 days since 1996. OKC will be the much fresher team as this is just its 2nd game in 5 days. Fresh legs will make all the difference. Pound the Thunder.

5* Wiseguy Big East *BEST BET* on St. John's -3.5
Bottom Line: St. John's will want this game more as it seeks its first conference win and looks to avenge last season's 3-point loss at Providence. The Friars are off a big win over Georgetown but have lost the momentum from that victory with a 7-day break. The key tonight is turnovers, and St. John's doesn't figure to give it away enough for Providence to stay in the game. The Red Storm is 10-1 ATS under Lavin in home games that take place 15 games or more into the schedule versus teams like Providence that force 14 turnovers per game or less. Providence is 3-12 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons versus good ball handling teams like St. John's that commit 14 turnovers or less per game. The Friars are also 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a cover, 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning record and 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Bucks +5.5
Bottom Line: Now's the time to get behind the Bucks, who have lost 6 straight and in a roundabout way were called out by coach Larry Drew following Monday's 22-point loss in Toronto. "They played a much more physical game than we did and we just didn't respond to it," Bucks coach Larry Drew said. I fully expect the Bucks to respond with a physical game tonight. Memphis just played last night and beat Oklahoma City so it will riding high on the horse, and I expect it to complete overlook the NBA-worst Bucks. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Pound Milwaukee.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on TCU +21
Bottom Line: With a big showdown at Kansas Saturday, this is a prime look-ahead spot for Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS 15 or more games in against teams that have a win percentage of .600 to .800 over the last 2 seasons. The Cowboys are also 1-9 ATS under coach Ford after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Bobcats -109
Bottom Line: Home underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 4 of their last 5 games are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are up against a team that has covered the number in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games. Charlotte has played the Knicks tough recently, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings and covering the spread in 4 of the last 5 matchups. The Bobcats are in excellent position to take down the Knicks again considering they have 2 days of rest and preparation on their side while New York just played an overtime contest last night. Pound Charlotte.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +4.5
Bottom Line: Playing against any team that is looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 39-14 ATS record since 1996 if the team we are playing against is off a cover as a double-digit favorite. This system has gone 9-2 ATS the last 5 seasons. Denver has lost 3 of 4 on the road while Utah has won 4 of 5 at home. Pound the undervalued Utah Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +5.5
Bottom Line: The Phoenix are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning home record. Wisconsin-Green Bay is also 0-7 ATS in road games after a win of 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 1.7 points in this spot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee lost all 3 of last season's meetings by double-digits so it will be out for blood this afternoon. Pound the Panthers.

5* Wiseguy NFL Playoffs Game of the Year on 49ers pk
Bottom Line: The 49ers have advanced to the NFC Championship each of the past two seasons. They've also won their last two road playoff games, and I expect their postseason dominance to continue. Carolina won the earlier meeting 10-9 in San Francisco, but that wasn't the same 49er team it will see Sunday. The San Francisco offense has become a lot more dynamic since the return of Crabtree, going 6-0 since he made his way back into the lineup. With Crabtree playing at a high level, Carolina won't be able to focus all its attention on Vernon Davis and Anquan Boldin. It also won't be able to sit on the run. The 49ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus teams that have a winning mark at home. The Niners are also 8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by 13.9 points on average (I got the 49ers at a pk, but they are still favored at a lot of places so this trend applies). Pound San Francisco.

5* Wiseguy AFC Divisional Playoffs Game of the Year on Patriots -7
Bottom Line: Indianapolis has some really good wins this season, but it hasn't beaten anyone without Reggie Wayne. It is 7-3 since Wayne went down but has benefited from a soft schedule. It has played three good teams on the road during this stretch (Arizona, Cincinnati, Kansas City), and it was blown out by the Cardinals and Bengals. The Colts had a miraculous comeback to beat the Chiefs last week, but I haven't been sold on the Chiefs all season. I think Indy runs into a buzz saw here. The Pats are a perfect 6-0 ATS this season at home when laying 7.5 points or less. Playing against road teams off an upset win at home has resulted in a 53-21 ATS record since 1983 provided they are a winning team playing against winning team. This system is 2-0 ATS this season. Pound the Pats.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: Look for the Knicks to come out flat following their big win over Miami. The Knicks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 versus Atlantic division foes. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* Blowout on Pacific -5
Bottom Line: Pacific has lost its first 4 conference contests. It has also lost its last 2 against Santa Clara. I believe these things will inspire the Tigers to put forth one of their best efforts of the season. Santa Clara is in a huge letdown spot following a win at St. Mary's and a terrible situational spot playing its 2nd road game in 3 days. The Tigers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Pacific is 15-5 ATS on Saturday over the last 2 seasons, including 6-1 ATS in its last 7 Saturday games. It is also on a 17-7 ATS run when laying points and a 63-35 ATS run in home games after playing a home game. The Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Pound Pacific.

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Feast on Magic +7.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs that are off back-to-back double-digit defeats are 47-16 ATS since 1996 if they are up against a team that has combined with its opponents for 215 points or more in two straight games. This system is 4-1 ATS this season and 18-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Sacramento is being overvalued because it beat Portland 123-119 in its last game while the Magic lost to Portland 110-94 in their last game. Portland's win over the Magic was in response to its loss in Sacramento so I'm not buying that the Kings should be laying this many points, especially since they defeated the Magic by just 5 points in the first meeting in a game where they shot out of their minds from 3-point range (12 of 23). The Kings have been favored 10 times at home this season, and they are 0-10 ATS in those games. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *BEST BET* on Nebraska +4.5
Bottom Line: Nebraska is 7-0 at home this season, and I expect it to defend its home court tonight following a pair of road losses to open conference play. The Huskers are 32-15 ATS in home games off 2 straight losses against conference opponents since 1997, winning by an average of 4.3 points in this spot. The Wolverines are a soft 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games while the Cornhuskers are a strong 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. Pound Nebraska.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +8.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, and they have no problem getting up for the Heat. The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, a stretch that is very significant. Consider that New York is 11-1 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Knicks are also 10-1 ATS in home games under coach Woodson after covering the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Knicks have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with all of the wins coming by double digits and the loss coming by only 6 points. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Week on Hawks +5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when playing with no rest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 total more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Hawks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games when playing on 1 days' rest. Atlanta was taken down by Indiana in last year's playoffs so it will be out for some serious revenge. The Pacers have lost 11 straight regular-season meetings in the ATL and are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings there. Pound the Hawks.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Virginia -11
Bottom Line: Playing Wednesday home favorites of 10 or more points that hold opponents to an average of 57.0 ppg or less has resulted in a 33-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting this scenario have won by 19.5 points on average. Plus, the Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS under coach Bennett as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, winning these games by an average of 22.8 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +7
Bottom Line: The home team has had a significant edge in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, including 2-0 ATS this season. The Jazz will be extremely motivated because they have lost each of the first two meetings. They will also be extremely fresh and well prepared because they haven't played since the 3rd. OKC has had a much more hectic schedule this month as it will be playing for the 3rd time in 4 days. The lack of rest is magnified by not having Westbrook available. Pound the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Game of the Year on Florida State -9
Bottom Line: Playing against any excellent offensive team like Auburn that averages 34 ppg or more has resulted in a 33-13 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they are up against an excellent defensive team that allows 16 ppg or less in a non-conference matchup between two teams from BCS conferences. This system shows that good defense beats good offense the large majority of the time. Also, playing against any team like Auburn that allowed 37 points or more last game has resulted in an 85-39 ATS record the last 5 seasons if they're up against a team that's off 2 consecutive wins or 17 points or more. The Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game, 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 bowl games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a cover, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus winning teams, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Pound FSU.

5* Wiseguy Bowl Total of the Year on Arkansas State/Ball State UNDER 64
Bottom Line: Both teams finished the regular season by going over the total in four straight as the offense's were sizzling. However, I give the decisive edge to the defense in this one given the extensive time each has had to prepare. Defensive coordinator John Thompson is running the Red Wolves for a second consecutive postseason as they lost another coach to a higher profile program. As you would expect from a defensive-minded coach, he's placed a ton of emphasis on the defensive side of the ball. He did the same thing last year and held a high-scoring MAC team (Kent State) to just 13 points in a 17-13 win in this bowl game. Arkansas State is a perfect 8-0 UNDER in its last 8 games versus top-level teams that carry a win percentage greater than 75%. We have seen just 47.5 total points scored on average in these games. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards +3.5
Bottom Line: Washington has an excellent opportunity to pull off the small upset at home against the road-weary Warriors. The Wizards are 18-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 1.3 points. Washington is also 20-8 ATS as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons and 13-3 ATS in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Pound the Wizards.

5* Wiseguy AFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Chargers +7
Bottom Line: The Bengals won the regular season meeting 17-10 in San Diego, but they benefited from a bye week prior to that contest. They also caught the San Diego at a good time as it was in a letdown spot following a big road win in Kansas City. San Diego has been playing do-or-die games for a month since then, and it has won them all, including an impressive win in Denver. We've seen it before. Teams that get hot at the right time have been very dangerous in the playoffs, and the Chargers have the look of a dangerous team. They are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bengals are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in January and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 wild card games. The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Pound San Diego.

5* Wiseguy NFC Wild Card Game of the Year on Saints +3
Bottom Line: Much has been made of New Orleans' issues on the road. The Saints went 3-5 on the road this season but easily could have been better than that. They lost in the closing seconds in New England and Carolina, two teams I have rated higher than the Eagles. Road losses to the Jets and Rams look bad, but both of those teams can play a little defense. The Eagles haven't shown they can stop a team as prolific as New Orleans as they rank 29th in total defense and last against the pass. The Eagles are one of the top offensive teams in the league, but the Saints are 10-2 ATS under Payton versus teams that average 27.0 points per game or more, defeating these teams by 12.0 points on average. Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Pound the Saints.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder +2
Bottom Line: OKC is 8-0 ATS under coach Scott off an upset loss of 10 points or more, winning by an average of 19.5 points in this spot. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Pound OKC.

5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year on Texas State +3
Bottom Line: Arkansas State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons, losing these games by 3.3 points on average. It is also 0-6 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning pct. of 20% to 40% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average of 9.5 points. Pound Texas State.