Winning Sports Picks

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Raptors OVER 192.5

Bottom Line: After watching these two teams combine for just 179 points in an overtime affair in Game 1, the books have adjusted this total by quite a bit from the 194.5 line we saw in the opener. Typically I like to play a lot of unders in the postseason, but there's too much value here to pass up. These are two really good offenses. Wizards averaged 98.5 ppg and Toronto 103.8 ppg. Both teams shot under 40% in Game 1 and that's simply not going to last. I think this one will eclipse the 200 mark. Pound the OVER 192.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 187

Bottom Line: With Milwaukee in a desperate spot here trying to avoid an 0-2 hole and the Bulls equally motivated to take a 2-0 lead, I look for a tight low-scoring game. These two combined for 194 in Game 1 to go over the total of 186, but the important thing to note is they combined for just 83 points in the 2nd half after an offensive explosion in the 1st half. Each of the previous four meetings during the regular season all had a combined score of 186 or less and I wouldn't be surprised at all if they failed to reach 175 tonight. Pound the UNDER 187!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +10.5

Bottom Line: I know the Hawks dominated the regular season series, but 10.5-points is a lot to ask a team to cover by in the playoffs. Brooklyn can be a good team when they decide to show up and play and that shouldn't be an issue given this is the playoffs. I look for the Nets to keep it surprisingly close and cover this double-digit spread without any problem. Road underdogs of 10 or more, who have been beaten by the spread by 18 or more combined points in their last 3 games are 27-7 (79%) ATS in April. Pound Brooklyn +10.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 186

Bottom Line: While Chicago's defense wasn't as dominant as it's been in years past, don't let that fool you. The Bulls got after it on that side of the ball when they needed to. With the intensity that comes with the playoffs and the fact that they are arguably as healthy as they have been all season, I look for them to make life miserable for the Bucks. Keep in mind they held Milwaukee to just 84.8 ppg in the 4 meetings during the regular season. Bucks are also a solid defensive team and know they can't get in a shootout if they want any chance to win this game. These two teams combined for 186, 158, 182 and 181 in their 4 regular season meetings. Pound the UNDER 186!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -124

Bottom Line: St Louis is showing some solid value here as a small home favorite against the Reds. Cincinnati will have their ace Johnny Cueto on the mound, but he's just 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA over his last 9 starts at St Louis. Cardinals have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight and I look for them to get to Cueto early and cruise to a win behind another strong effort out of Michael Wacha. Pound St Louis -124!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays +103

Bottom Line: Chris Archer has owned the Blue Jays in Toronto. Archer has a 1.84 ERA over his last 5 starts at the Rogers Centre. Not a huge surprise when you consider how good this kid has been on the road. Archer is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA over his last 10 road starts. I'll gladly take my chances on the Rays given that Toronto will be sending out Aaron Sanchez for just his 2nd career start and he was less than impressive in his first outing of 2015, lasting just 3 1/3 innings. Pound the Rays +103!

5* NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +11.5

Bottom Line: With Utah out of the playoff picture and Houston desperately needing a win here to ensure they get homecourt in the first round and potentially the No. 2 seed if the Spurs were to lose at New Orleans, the oddsmakers have inflated this line by quite a bit, creating some great value on the Jazz. Utah has won 7 of 9 with their two losses coming by a combined 3-points. This team has really came on strong down the stretch and while I don't expect them to win, I really like their chances of keeping it close enough to cover. Pound the Jazz +11.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards/Pacers UNDER 192.5

Bottom Line: With the Nets loss at home to the Bulls last night, the door has been left open for the Pacers to make the playoffs. Indiana simply needs to win out to take the 8th and final spot in the east. I'm expecting playoff-like intensity from the Pacers in this one. Washington doesn't have a whole lot to play for, but are trying to get some momentum built for the playoffs. While these two teams combined for 204 points in their most recent meeting, each of the previous 7 matchups saw the two teams combine for 190 or fewer points. Pound the UNDER 192.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic +7.5

Bottom Line: Orlando is showing great value here as a 7.5-point dog, as I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. While Miami is technically still alive for the 8th and final playoff spot, they are 2-games back of both Brooklyn and Indiana. They would need to win out and have both of those teams lose their final 2. Wade already seems to think their season is over..."Injuries are part of the game. It's not always who is the most talented team. It's who can stay the healthiest and we weren't able to do that this year to give ourselves a chance," Hard for Miami to show up for this one. Pound the Magic +7.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets -5.5

Bottom Line: Houston enters off a back-to-back losses to the Spurs, including a heartbreaking 103-104 home defeat to San Antonio in their last game. This sets up two profitable situations to back the Rockets here. Houston is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when they enter off a home loss. In both situations the Rockets are winning on average by 8.5+ points/game. Pound the Rockets -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +6.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Trail Blazers, who while mathematically are still alive for home court in the first round are all but locked in as the No. 4 seed and will have to begin their opening series on the road. Having recently lost Wesley Mattews and Dorell Wright for the season and watching Arron Afflalo suffer an injury that will have him sidelined for 1-2 weeks in their last game, Portland's primary focus over their last 3 games is to stay healthy. LaMarcus Aldridge isn't going to play tonight and I just don't see the Blazers showing up for this one. Utah is out to prove something and build for next year and wouldn't be surprised at all if they won outright. Pound the Jazz +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -8.5

Bottom Line: Whenever a team like the Suns that had realistic expectations of making the playoffs and has been officially eliminated, chances are they aren't going to show up, especially on the road. That's exactly the case we have here and adding even more value is that this is essentially a playoff game for the Pelicans, who control their own destiny for the No. 8 seed in the west. An unmotivated Phoenix team that doesn't have the size inside to contend with Anthony Davis points to a big blowout for New Orleans. Pound the Pelicans -8.5!

5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -105

Bottom Line: Toronto isn't going to be happy about yesterday's 3-4 loss to the Yankees, as they blew a 3-1 lead in the 8th. That's going to have the Blue Jays ticked off an 100% locked in on the finale. Most importantly, I believe they have a huge edge here in starting pitching with Daniel Norris getting the ball against the declining C.C. Sabathia. I look for Toronto's big bats to put up a big number here against Sabathia, while Norris keeps the Yankees' offense in check. Pound the Blue Jays -105!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks +6

Bottom Line: Most assume Atlanta isn't going to take this game seriously in the 2nd day of a back-to-back set, but the Hawks have made it clear that they are putting an emphasis on closing out the season strong. There's also some hidden value here with Atlanta, as they hold the rights to the Nets 1st round pick if Brooklyn fails to make the playoffs. The Hawks seem to have had that in the back of their minds in the first three meetings this season. Atlanta won 98-75 at Brooklyn on Dec. 5, 113-10 at home on Jan. 28 and just this past Saturday won at home 131-99. Even if some of the Hawks key players rest, Atlanta has the depth to keep this close and likely win outright. Pound the Hawks +6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Lakers +17.5

Bottom Line: There's no denying that the Clippers are the better team and could easily beat the Lakers by 20+ points if they wanted to, but I don't think the intensity is going to be there. These two teams just played 2-days ago with the Clippers routing the Lakers 106-78 as a 13.5-point favorite. The Clippers know all they have to do is show up to get a win and with a much-needed 3-day break on the horizon, I don't expect to see their best effort. On the flip side of this, the Lakers will be motivated to at least keep it respectable and it's not really asking a lot for them to keep it within 17-points. Lakers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Pound the Lakers +17.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Duke +103

Bottom Line: While Duke has been the more impressive team throughout the tournament and has a 10-point road win over Wisconsin in non-conference play, the Badgers are getting all the attention from their win over Kentucky, which spoiled the Wildcats perfect season. As a result, it's created big time value on the Blue Devils as an underdog in a game where I believe they should be a 2-3 point favorite. While Duke isn't any more athletic than Kentucky was, unlike the Wildcats the Blue Devils are an efficient offensive team in the half-court and have a number of different players who can light it up from the outside. They also have a more polished big man offensively with Okafor. I like Duke to win here rather comfortably. Pound the Blue Devils +103 on the Money Line!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Heat/Pacers UNDER 190

Bottom Line: Miami and Indiana are both on the outside looking in at the playoffs, but both aren't far back. The Heat trail 8th place Boston by 1/2-game and the Pacers are just 1-game back of Miami. This is going to feel like a playoff game for both teams and I look for it to lead to a defensive showdown, as both of these teams are built to win games with their defense. UNDER is 12-1 in the Heat's last 13 games when playing against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) and 11-3 in the Pacers last 14 home games with a total of 190 to 194.5. Pound the UNDER 190!

5* WISEGUY FINAL FOUR *BEST BET* on Kentucky -5

Bottom Line: So much has been made about Wisconsin being the team that can knock off Kentucky, but I'm just not buying it. I think the Wildcats went into that game against Notre Dame with a big head after what they did to West Virginia and it nearly cost them their perfect season. I see that as the wake-up call Kentucky needed. Not to say Wisconsin isn't a good team, but this is just too favorable a line to not take the more talented team. Even if it's a close game, there's a good chance Kentucky will be able to pull away late with free throws to win here by at least 6 points. Pound the Wildcats -5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET*

The Bucks come in off a 95-91 home win over the Bulls as a 5-point dog, which might make them seem like a good bet as a 5.5-point road dog against the Celtics. I don't believe that's the case, as Milwaukee have lost 11 straight on the road. Keep in mind that Boston was a 7.5-point home favorite earlier this season against the Bucks and won that contest 108-100. Milwaukee is also just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 off an upset win at home as an underdog against a division opponent, while Boston is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after 2 or more consecutive wins. Pound the Celtics -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Suns +12.5

Bottom Line: Golden State is being way overvalued here due to the fact that they are 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS (8 straight) in their last 10 games. The key thing to keep in mind is that the Warriors have locked up the No. 1 seed in the west and have a 5.5-game lead over Atlanta for the No. 1 overall seed. They are also coming off an emotional come-from-behind win at Los Angeles (Clippers), who they hadn't beat on the road since 2013. This is do or die for the Suns, who are 4-games back of OKC for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Phoenix is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 off a loss by 10+ points, while Golden State is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when playing on 1 day of rest. Pound the Suns +12.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Trail Blazers -2.5

Bottom Line: This is a great spot to fade the Clippers, who laid everything on the line in last night's home loss to the Warriors and now must turn around and play on the road against a red-hot Portland team that has won 4 straight. The big key here is that LA's starters racked up huge minutes last night and simply aren't going to have enough gas in the tank at this point in the season to play up to their potential on the road against a top level team like the Blazers. Portland is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against explosive offensive teams that average 103+ ppg and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games after covering the number in 3 of their last 4. Pound the Blazers -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers/Nets UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Nets are currently 1/2 game ahead of the Pacers for the 8th and final spot in the Eastern Conference. This is essentially a playoff game for these two teams and that should lead to max effort on the defensive end. Had it not been for these two teams combining for 134 points in a recent meeting on 3/21, this total would be a lot closer to 190 than 200. Prior to the offensive outburst in the last meeting, these two teams had combined for 199 or less in each of their previous 5 matchups. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Raptors -1

Bottom Line: Houston is getting too much respect here against the Raptors. While the Rockets have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall, they find themselves playing on no rest and their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 visits to Toronto and 12-23 ATS in their last 35 road games after winning 2 or more consecutive games. Raptors head coach Casey is 35-19 ATS over last 54 when revenging a road loss of 10+ points. Pound Toronto -1!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Grizzlies +

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here that has the Grizzlies showing some big time value as a 8-point dog against their division rivals. Memphis is coming into this game off back-to-back blowout losses to the Cavs and Warriors. I look for them to come out extremely motivated here against San Antonio, who is overvalued right now. Spurs are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games against the Southwest, while Memphis is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Grizzlies +8!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +11

Bottom Line: No surprise here as the books have made a huge overreaction here based on Kentucky's blowout win over West Virginia. After a couple of less than impressive showings in their first two games, Notre Dame finally played up to their potential in their win over Wichita State. I look for the Irish to give Kentucky all they can handle and easily cover this double-digit spread. Notre Dame is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games following a SU win, while Kentucky is just 7-14 ATS in their last 21 after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games. Pound Notre Dame +11!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Spurs/Mavs OVER 206.5

Bottom Line: These two teams played in Dallas on Tuesday and combined for just 195 points with a total set at 207. The fact that the books have came right back with essentially the same number, lets us know they aren't concerned about the low-scoring game last time out. Spurs are averaging 107.4 ppg at home on the season and 118.0 ppg over their last 8 home games. Mavs have scored 100+ in 5 of their last 6. OVER is 20-8 in Spurs last 28 home games when listed as a favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and 8-1 in their last 9 home games against teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the OVER 206.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Notre Dame +

The Irish should not be listed as the underdog in this matchup. Notre Dame is a team on a mission right now and have even more to play for after learning head coach Mike Brey's mom just passed away. Wichita State put up an impressive performance against Kansas in a game that meant a lot more than to them than just another tournament win. I look for the Shockers to come out a big flat, while Notre Dame shakes off the rust and returns to the form that saw them win the ACC Tournament with back-to-back wins over Duke and North Carolina. Pound the Fighting Irish +2!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nets/Hornets OVER 196.5

Bottom Line: Both of these teams are really struggling on the defensive end right now. Charlotte is giving up 98.0 ppg over their last 5, while the Nets are allowing a staggering 114.2 ppg over their last 5. On top of that, these two teams have a history of playing in high scoring games. Each of the last 4 has seen a combined score of more than 200 points. OVER is 4-1 in Nets last 5 road games and 5-1 in their last 6 following a SU loss of more than 10 points. OVER is also 6-0 in Hornets last 6 when playing on 1 days rest and 5-1 in their last 6 at home. Pound the OVER 196.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks +3.5

Bottom Line: I'm expecting Dallas to come out with one of their best efforts after a 92-98 loss at Phoenix, which head coach Rick Carlisle labeled and "embarrassment." Dallas has played the Spurs as well as anyone over the last couple of seasons and are too strong a team to be laying 3.5-points at home. Home underdogs off an upset loss as a favorite are 34-10 (77%) ATS since 1996 in a game involving two teams that have won between 60% and 75% of their games. Pound the Mavericks +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -6

Bottom Line: Chicago won't have any trouble getting motivated for this one, as they come in off a 16-point loss at Detroit in their last contest, plus will be playing with double-revenge, which includes a recent loss at Charlotte just 10 days ago. While it may appear the Hornets cruised to a 11-point win over the Timberwolves last night, they actually trailed by 5-points at the half. Not only will Charlotte be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th overall on their current road trip. Hornets are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 after playing 4 straight on the road, while Chicago is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound the Bulls -6!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hawks -1.5

Bottom Line: The Hawks are showing some big time value here as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Atlanta is also going to be extremely motivated in this spot after losing back-to-back games at Golden State and Oklahoma City. They will also be out for revenge from a heartbreaking 92-94 loss at San Antonio earlier this season. Atlanta models themselves after the Spurs and I believe this game is more important to them than some might think. Not to mention they are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 when playing against a team with a winning record, 23-8 in their last 31 with a total set at 200 to 209.5 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 when listed as a favorite of 6 points or less. Pound the Hawks -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls -3

Bottom Line: The Bulls won 108-92 at home over the Raptors last night for their second straight 20+ point win and I look for them to keep the momentum going with another easy win here against Detroit. The Pistons have completely fallen apart, going just 1-11 over their last 12 games and are expected to be without Greg Monroe. Road favorites (CHICAGO) - after 4 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams with a +/- 3 PPG differential are 27-8 (77%) ATS since 1996!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +7

Bottom Line: The Nuggets are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back here, but I believe we have seen an overreaction with the spread because of it. Denver has been playing much better since firing Brian Shaw and I look for them to come out and surprise the Heat, who are in line for a letdown after two big home wins over the Cavaliers and Trail Blazers. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their starters combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100+ points. Miami is 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 home games against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 4-20-2 ATS in their last 26 following a SU win. Pound the Nuggets +7!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -4

Bottom Line: The Jazz are in a perfect spot to back off a disappointing home loss to the Wizards last night, which snapped their 6-game winning streak. Utah will not only be motivated to bounce back from that defeat, but they will also be playing with revenge here, as they lost the last meeting at home to the Lakers 97-100 back on Feb. 25. Utah is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 when revenging a loss where they allowed the opponent to score 100 points, 19-9 ATS in their last 28 after failing to cover the number in their last game and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 revenging a same season loss. Pound the Jazz -4!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on NC State -2

Bottom Line: Outside of Kentucky and Arkansas I wasn't impressed with the rest of the SEC and I look for LSU to have a horrible time here just trying to keep this game respectable against what I feel is a far superior NC State team. The Wolfpack are 24-12 ATS in their last 36 games against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game. Simply put, when the stage gets bigger, the better NC State tends to play. Sure they got embarrassed by Duke in the ACC Tournament, but LSU is nothing close to the Blue Devils. Most importantly, NC State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off a loss by 15+ points. Pound the Wolfpack -2!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz -3

Bottom Line: The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA right now. Utah has won 6 straight and are 13-3 over their last 16 overall. Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but three of those wins came at home. They did beat the Hornets in their last road game, but prior to that had dropped 9 straight. Utah has won 3 straight and 7 of 8 at home against the Wizards and I look for them to add to that streak with any win and cover tonight. Teams who have led by 5 or more points at the half in each of their last 3 games (Utah) against an opponent that scored 60+ in the first half of their last game are 41-18 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Jazz -3!

5* WISEGUY NIT *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UTEP +5.5

Bottom Line: Murray State can complain all they want about not making the tournament, but this team was left out for good reason. All you have do is look at their non-conference schedule to see that this team is vastly overrated. The public however is more familiar with Murray State due to all the publicity they are getting for not making the tournament. Not only is UTEP the better team and should be favored, I don't see the Racers being all that motivated with the disappointment of not making the big dance. Pound UTEP +5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks -5.5

Bottom Line: Oklahoma City has dropped 3 of their last 4 on the road with the only winning coming against the lowly Lakers. While Westbrook has done everything in his power to keep the Thunder competitive, I don't like their chances on the road against the Mavericks with Ibaka being downgraded to doubtful and Durant still sidelined. Dallas has a big advantage here playing on 2 days rest, while Oklahoma City will be in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and playing their 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Thunder are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the Mavericks -5.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Bulls/Thunder UNDER 206.5

Bottom Line: Games played on Sunday have a stronger tendency to go UNDER the total, especially ones like we have here with an early start time. I'll take my chances on this one finishing well below the mark. While these two teams combined for 213 points back on March 5, that should actually benefit a lower scoring game. Adding to this is that the UNDER is 12-4 in the Bulls last 16 road games when listed as an underdog, 8-0 in Chicago's last 8 after scoring 60+ points in the 1st half of their last game and 12-3 in the Thunder's last 15 home games off a home win by 10 or more points. Pound the UNDER 206.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Connecticut -2.5

Bottom Line: Connecticut just has a way of turning it on when it matters the most and I look for the Huskies to cruise to an easy win here in the AAC semifinals against Tulsa. Connecticut won the last meeting by 25-points and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6, 29-11 in their last 40 off a close win by 3-points or less and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off an upset win as an underdog. Pound the Huskies -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Kentucky -13

Bottom Line: Kentucky won the last meeting, which also happened to be the regular season final, 67-50 over Florida. The Wildcats are in pursuit of perfection and now that it's tournament time I expect them to give their max effort each and every time they take the floor. I also think this being the 3rd meeting favors Kentucky, who now has a great understanding of what the Gators are looking to do offensively. The Wildcats allowed 61 points  on 49% shooting at Florida in the first meeting and just 50 points on 43% shooting the second time around. Anything less than a 15-point win would be unsatisfactory for Kentucky. Florida is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after winning 3 of 4 and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Wildcats -13!

5* NCAAB *BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH* on Ohio State -5.5

Bottom Line: The Buckeyes barely escaped with a 74-72 overtime win at Minnesota in the only meeting between these two teams during the regular season, which I believe has Ohio State showing some big time value here. We are also seeing the Buckeyes undervalued due to their last game being a 48-72 loss at home to Wisconsin. Prior to that Ohio State had won 3 straight and I look for them to have no problem here against a Minnesota team that is playing on no rest. Gophers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win, while Buckeyes are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound Ohio State -5.5!

5* MAJOR NCAAB *BEST BET* on Colorado -3.5

Bottom Line: The Buffaloes are showing some great value here as a mere 3.5-point favorite against the slumping Beavers. Oregon State closed out the regular season with 6 losses in their final 7 games, with the lone win being a 14-point win at home over Colorado. Now that might make you think the Beavers are the smart play, but I actually think it's what is creating the value. Oregon State is a mere 2-11 away from home and rarely have they been competitive outside of Corvallis. Beavers are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 conference games away from home and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a loss and coming off an upset loss as a road favorite are 112-67 (63%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Buffaloes -3.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pistons -2.5

Bottom Line: Both these teams come in riding length losing streaks. The Pistons have dropped six straight, while the Lakers have lost 5 in a row. Detroit is more than capable of snapping out of this funk, while Los Angeles is an NBA-worst 4-21 since Jan. 11. The big problem for the Pistons has been their poor shooting from their guards, which is important to note, as the Lakers have had a horrible time slowing down opposing guards. Perfect spot for Detroit to right their ship, plus it's worth noting that they are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 road games after a combined score of 205+ in their last constest and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 of their last 3. Pound the Pistons -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +7.5

Bottom Line: These two teams faced off in Minnesota last Monday, with the Clippers escaping with a 110-105 win. Teams playing with revenge tend to have a bigger edge when that last meeting came within the last 10 days and I look for the Timberwolves to keep this one surprisingly close. The Clippers are still without two of their best players in Griffin and Crawford and Paul is dealing with a knee injury that figures to limit his production. Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 against an opponent that allowed 100+ points in their last game, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Pound the Timberwolves +7.5!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Thunder -6

Bottom Line: Perfect spot to back the Thunder at home off back-to-back losses, especially against a Toronto team that is in the midst of a major funk. The Raptors have dropped 7 of their last 8 overall. OKC is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 105+ in each of their last two games and teams that have gone over the total by 6 or more points in 5 straight games are 45-15 (75%) ATS in non-conference games since 1996. Pound the Thunder -6!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rhode Island -9

Bottom Line: The Rams should have no problem winning at home by more 10+ points. Rhode Island is 12-2 at home and will be taking on a St Joseph's team that is a mere 3-12 on the road. Most importantly the Rams will be extra motivated with this being their final home game of the season and the fact they come in off a blowout loss at Dayton and will be looking to make up for a loss to Davidson in their last home game. St Joseph's beat LaSalle 55-50 as a 2-point favorite in their last game and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 off a win by 6 points or less and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 on the road after a game where they covered the spread. Pound Rhode Island -9!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets -2.5

Bottom Line: Value here is clearly with the Nets, who are being undervalued due to losing by 24-points at home in their last game. Brooklyn was in a major letdown spot after a big win over the Warriors and I look for them to come out extremely motivated and cash in an easy cover against a Phoenix team that has trailed by at least 15-points in each of their last 3 games. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive overs, who are averaging 102+ ppg against an opponent that is allowing 98-102 ppg are just 13-38 (25%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Nets -2.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Mavericks/Blazers UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The books have set the mark too high for this one. Portland isn't going to be looking to push the pace after laying everything they had on the line in last night's overtime win at Los Angeles and Dallas is not the same dynamic offense since acquiring Rondo. Not to mention the Mavericks will be without one of their top offensive weapons in Chandler Parsons and we can expect max effort defensively here in a nationally televised game on TNT. UNDER is 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 road games and 9-2-1 in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 games played on Thursday and 5-1 in their last 6 playing on 0 days rest where the starting 5 accounted for more than 160 minutes. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH* on Suns -4

Bottom Line: Phoenix is being way undervalued here due to the fact that they come in off back-to-back blowout losses to the Spurs (74-101) and Heat (98-115). This is a perfect spot for them to bounce back against a Magic team that isn't any good and is playing with zero confidence off 3 straight losses. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 33-9 (79%) ATS since 1996! Pound the Suns -4!

5* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Hawks UNDER 199

Bottom Line: The Rockets are one of the most explosive offensive teams in the league, averaging 103.3 ppg, but that's largely been due to the play of Harden, who is in the running for the league MVP. Harden won't be in action tonight and I believe it's created some great value here on the total. Atlanta is only giving up 95.1 ppg at home and offensively are averaging just 93.8 ppg over their last 5. UNDER is 5-0 in the Rockets last 5 after allowing 100 or more in their last game and 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 after a SU win. Pound the UNDER 199!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-3 SU and just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games, which goes to show the book are clearly inflating their lines. I believe that's the case again tonight, as Golden State should not be laying 6-points on the road in this spot. The Warriors are coming off a draining 106-101 win at Boston yesterday, which saw them rally from 26 down. Plus, Golden State is playing their 4th game in 5 days, which should have them lacking any sort of motivation or energy for this road game. Brooklyn has played much better since the break going 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS, plus are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 in the 2nd half against teams outscoring opponents by 3+ points/game. Pound the Nets +6!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Purdue +9

Bottom Line: The books are overvaluing the Buckeyes homecourt edge in this one, as they should not be laying near double-digits against the Boilermakers. Purdue has been a completely different team of late, but are still undervalued. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall, which includes road wins at Northwestern, Rutgers and Indiana. Ohio State comes in off a 81-57 blowout win at home against Nebraska, which is also causing some inflation on the line. The Buckeyes are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a win by 20 or more points. Pound the Boilermakers +9!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Utah -

Bottom Line: The Utes are a perfect 16-0 at home this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge on the Wildcats and move into a tie for 1st in the Pac-12 standings with a win tonight. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 off a blowout win by 30+ points against an opponent that scored 80+ in their last game are 92-47 ATS since 1997. Utah is also a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games at least 16 games into the season against teams who are outscoring opponents by 4+ points game. Pound the Utes -1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nets +6.5

Bottom Line: The Nets are being undervalued here at home off a 96-102 road loss at New Orleans as a 2.5-point favorite. Brooklyn has quietly been playing much better of late and that's evident by their 7-4 ATS record over their last 11 games. This is a great spot to back the Nets, as Houston could be missing both Harden and Beverley (questionable) and are in a major lookahead spot with a nationally televised home games against the Cavs on deck. Pound the Nets +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Rutgers +14

Bottom Line: Purdue has covered the spread in 8 straight games and as a result find themselves extremely overvalued at home. The Boilermakers haven't laid this many points in a game since they hosted Arkansas State in non-conference play. There's no denying Rutgers is a bad team, but that actually aids in backing the Scarlet Knights. Purdue isn't going to come out with the same energy as they have in recent matchups against a bad team, especially given the fact that they just gone done playing a huge game on the road against in-state rival Indiana and have another big game on the road against Ohio State looming on Saturday. Rutgers is 51-32 ATS in their last 63 off a loss by 15 points or more, but most importantly are only losing in this spot by an average of 1.9 ppg. Pound the Scarlet Knights +14!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Rockets/Clippers OVER 214.5

Bottom Line: Whenever the Rockets match up against a team that likes to play at a fast pace, there's a good chance it will go over the total. In fact, the OVER is 24-13 in Houston's last 37 games against up-tempo teams who are averaging 83 or more shots per game. OVER is also 4-1 in the Clippers last 5 against an opponent that just allowed 100+ points and 6-1 in the Rockets last 7 after a SU win by more than 10 points. Pound the OVER 214.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Texas +4

Bottom Line: The books are begging for money on the Mountaineers here as a small home favorite against a Texas team that has been struggling to get anything going. The key here is that the Longhorns matchup extremely well with West Virginia and that's evident in the fact that they have won 4 straight in the series, including a 27-point win at home earlier this season. Texas is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games, while the Mountaineers are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games on the season. Pound Texas +4!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +6.5

Bottom Line: Louisville should not be this big of a road favorite here. After returning to the team on Saturday against Miami following a 1-game suspension, senior guard Chris Jones was dismissed from the team. Louisville lost by double-digits at Syracuse without Jones and I look for them to struggle to beat Georgia Tech by more than the spread listed. The Yellow Jackets have just 4 losses inside conference play by more than 6 points. All 4 came on the road and one of those was a 7-point double-overtime loss at Notre Dame. Pound Georgia Tech +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Magic -8

Bottom Line: The 76ers got worse at the trade deadline, shipping away two of their best players in Carter-Williams and McDaniels. Philadelphia doesn't have the talent to keep up on the road, even against an average team like the Magic. Orlando has looked a lot better since making a change at head coach and I look for them to have no problem winning here by double-digits. Road underdogs who are averaging 16+ turnovers/game are just 133-204 (39%) ATS in the month of February since 1996. Pound Orlando -8!

5* WISEGUY NBA *EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH* on Pelicans +1.5

Bottom Line: The Heat returned from the All-Star break with an impressive 111-87 road win over the Knicks, which might make it appear like Miami is a safe bet at home against a Pelicans team that has lost 4 straight, including a 84-95 loss at Orlando last night. However, the Heat are not nearly as good at home as they are on the road. Miami is 9-15 at home, compared to 14-15 on the road. New Orleans is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 when playing on no rest and 14-2 ATS in their last 16 off a road loss. Pound the Pelicans +1.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: Each of the last 3 times these two teams have faced off in Dallas, they have combined for at least 220 points and I see no reason why that trend won't continue tonight. Both of these teams like to play at a fast pace and shouldn't have any problem pushing the pace given the long All-Star break. OVER is 15-4 in the Mavs last 19 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days and 8-1 in the Rockets last 9 road games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Pound the OVER 211!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *TOTAL DOMINATOR* on Ole Miss/Miss St OVER 137

Bottom Line: These two teams combined for 152 points at Ole Miss back on Jan. 28 with a total of 138. The books have failed to make the proper adjustments here and it's time to take advantage. If you go back over the history of this series, you will see that these two teams have combined for at least 139 points in each of the last 6 meetings. OVER is 16-4 in Mississippi State's last 20 home games off an upset win and 11-3 in Ole Miss' last 14 off a loss by 6 points or less. Pound the OVER 137!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Missouri +16.5

Bottom Line: The books have inflated this line on Arkansas, due to the Razorbacks having won 5 straight against the spread. Had Missouri made a couple of free throws they would have upset the Razorbacks at home (60-61) and I look for them to have no problem keeping this close enough to cover this massive spread. Favorites who have covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a top-level team (80% or better) playing a bad team (20% to 40%) are 21-49 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Missouri +16.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +13.5

Bottom Line: Kentucky is coming off a blowout 77-43 win at home over South Carolina, which I believe sets up a perfect spot to fade the Wildcats. Kentucky had failed to cover the number in each of their previous 5 games and Tennessee is going to be extremely motivated against the No. 1 team in the country, especially off an ugly 55-73 home loss to LSU. Road teams off a blowout conference win by 20 or more points against and opponent off a upset loss of 10 or more as home favorite are 11-31 (26%) ATS since 1997. Pound the Volunteers +13.5!

5* WISEGUY BIG 12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on West Virginia +2

Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have been vulnerable on the road. Both of their conference losses have come away from Lawrence and were fortunate to escape with a win at TCU (64-61). Kansas lost their last trip to Morgantown, 86-92 as a 5-point favorite. The Mountaineers are due for big game after losing 3 of their last 4 and are being undervalued here due to losing 4 straight against the spread. Home team has covered each of the last 4 in the series and Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on Monday. Pound West Virginia +2!

5* WISEGUY MINN/IND NCAAB *BEST BET* on Minnesota +3.5

Bottom Line: The Golden Gophers got off to a rough start to Big 10 play, but have since turned things around. Minnesota has won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, including an impressive 64-59 win at Iowa last time out. Indiana on the other hand has dropped 4 of 6 and are fresh off a heartbreaking 66-68 loss at Maryland. Teams who have scored 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with 2 or more returning starters than their opponent are 213-140 (60%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +3.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BEST BET* on South Carolina +18

Bottom Line: Kentucky has failed to cover the spread in each of their last 5 games, simply due to the fact that the books are inflating their lines knowing the public is going to blindly back the No. 1 team in the country. The Wildcats couldn't play any better defensively against South Carolina in the previous matchup this season, limiting the Gamecocks to just 22.6% shooting, yet only won by 15-points. Don't see Kentucky bringing that same intensity the second time around and I look for South Carolina to cover this one rather easily. Gamecocks are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 when road games when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Pound South Carolina +18!

5* WISEGUY AZ/WASH NCAAB *BEST BET* on Washington +10

Bottom Line: We are getting an inflated line here on Arizona with this being one of the few big games on the slate for Friday, plus the game will be aired on ESPN. I'll take my chances on the Huskies as a double-digit home dog in a game you can assure they are going to give max effort against a highly ranked opponent. Arizona failed to cover their next game after getting upset at Oregon State earlier this season, beating Colorado at home by just 14 as a 16.5-point favorite. I look for the Wildcats to have an even harder time bouncing back on the road after Saturday's surprising loss to in-state rival Arizona State. Pound Washington +10!

5* WISEGUY BIG 10 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Minnesota +6.5

Bottom Line: We are seeing a huge overreaction here on Iowa due to them coming in off back-to-back blowout wins over Michigan and Maryland. The Hawkeyes barely escaped with a 2-point win at Minnesota earlier in the season and have struggled to put away the Gophers at home. Road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home wins that are revenging a same season loss are 53-26 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Minnesota +6.5!

5* WISEGUY PAC-12 *GAME OF THE MONTH* on UCLA -8.5

Bottom Line: UCLA lost 55-66 at Oregon State in the previous meeting this season and I fully expect them to get their revenge in a blowout win at home. The Bruins are 11-1 SU and 8-4 ATS at home, with 3 double-digit wins out of 4 conference home games. The Beavers on the other hand are a completely different team on the road than they are at home. Oregon State is 14-0 at home, but just 2-7 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road. Pound UCLA -8.5!

5* WISEGUY NCAAB *BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: Marquette is being way undervalued here due to their poor record both overall and inside conference play. However, the Golden Eagles come in off an impressive 57-54 road win at Seton Hall and are a dominant 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. Xavier is just 3-8 SU and 3-8 ATS on the road and should not be laying points away from home against a quality opponent. Pound Marquette +3!

5* WISEGUY NETS/BUCKS NBA *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: Brooklyn will be out to make a statement against their former coach and also motivated from an ugly 37-point loss at Washington on Saturday. The Nets also have revenge on their minds, as they blew a 8-point halftime lead in a 118-122 triple-overtime home loss to the Bucks. Brooklyn is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games after failing to cover the spread in 2 straight games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after trailing in their previous game by 15+ points at the half, while Milwaukee is 4-13 ATS in their last 17 home games after a SU win. Pound the Nets +5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: The Hornets are getting way undervalued here due to losing yesterday to the 76ers. Charlotte has won 5 straight and 6 of 7 at home, including a 80-71 victory over these Pacers. Teams revenging a loss to an opponent off a road loss with a line of +3 to -3 are 144-288 (39%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Hornets +1!

5* WISEGUY KENTUCKY/FLORIDA *SEC GAME OF THE MONTH*

Bottom Line: When an opponent has the Wildcats full attention, they seem to play their best basketball. Kentucky isn't going to mess around in this one and Florida simply doesn't have the offensive talent to keep this one close. Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have allowed 60 points or less in 4 straight games against an opponent that has scored 65 or fewer in 3 straight are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Kentucky -8!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +6.5

Bottom Line: Denver has lost 4 straight and 11 of 12 overall, which I believe has them showing great value here as a 6.5-point dog against the Pistons. Detroit has lost 5 of 7 and are simply not the same team without Jennings in the lineup. Pistons have gone just 12-23 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. They are also just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games played on Friday nights and 4-16 ATS in their last 20 home games when revenging a same season loss. Pound the Pistons +6.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Wizards -1.5

Bottom Line: Washington will be out for revenge after losing at home to the Hornets 88-92 on Monday. Revenge in the NBA is at it's strongest in the short-term and the Wizards are primed for a win after losing 4-straight. Home underdogs off 2 or more consecutive road wins are a mere 8-26 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Pound Washington -1.5!

5* WISEGUY ACC *GAME OF THE MONTH* on Georgia Tech +17.5

Bottom Line: This is a horrible spot for Duke to be motivated against a bad team like the Yellow Jackets. The Blue Devils are coming in off an emotional and hard fought win over previously undefeated Virginia and will have a difficult time not looking ahead to Saturday's rematch against Notre Dame, who they lost a heartbreaker to on the road last Wednesday. Georgia Tech is also better than their 1-8 record in the ACC would indicate and I look for them to easily keep this within the number. Yellow Jackets are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 after losing 4 of their last 5 games. Pound Georgia Tech +17.5!

5* WISEGUY NBA NORTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH on Trail Blazers -8

Bottom Line: This is a huge bounce back spot for Portland, who comes in having dropped 3 straight on the road. Utah on the other hand is primed for a letdown after knocking off Golden State at home 110-110 as a 10-point underdog. Underdogs off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog are 7-24 (23%) ATS over the last 5 seasons against an opponent that's off an upset loss as a favorite. Pound the Trail Blazers!

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET*

Bottom Line: The Raptors have won 6 straight in the series with all 3 of their home wins during this stretch by at least 10-points. That includes a 124-83 home win over the Bucks earlier this season back on Nov. 21. Toronto also comes in playing some of their basketball of the season, as they have won 6 straight. Raptors are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 against the NBA Central and 31-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when the books set a total of 200 to 209.5. Additionally, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who have a +3 to +7 ppg differential against an opponent with a +/- 3 ppg differential are 32-8 ATS since 1996 after 42+ games and after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Pound Toronto!

5* WISEGUY SUPER BOWL *BEST BET* on Patriots +2 (Note: Not sure why the line feed shows -1 because I locked in at +2 well over a week ago. With that said, I like the Pats strong regardless and the play will be graded according to the -1 line.)

Bottom Line: While Pete Carroll and Russell Wilson are good, Brady and Belichick are better. The Patriots have lost their last two Super Bowls, but that's even more reason to back them. I think they'll want this one just a little bit more as a result. If you watched the NFC Championship, you know how fortunate Seattle is to be here. Russell Wilson struggled despite getting plenty of help from the running game. New England's run defense is a lot better than Green Bay's, which means Wilson will likely be asked to outduel Brady, and the odds aren't in favor of that. Seattle has been excellent offensively this season averaging 375 yards per game. But, New England is 10-1 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that average 375 ypg or more, and it has won these games by an average of 16.7 points. Pound the Pats.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +2.5

Bottom Line: With Steve Wojciechowski at the helm, Marquette is 7-0 ATS versus teams that outscore their opponents by 8.0 ppg or more. Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season. Pound Marquette.

5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa +5.5

Bottom Line: Iowa will be out for blood at home, where it is 10-2, following back-to-back losses on the road. One of those was a brutal 82-50 loss at Wisconsin. That game was an aberration as Iowa had won or lost by fewer than 5.5 points in each of the previous 7 battles. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings, and the Badgers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Iowa. Pound the Hawkeyes.

5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* (ESPN) on Suns -5

Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for the Bulls, who are playing their 2nd road game in as many nights and 3rd in 4 days. To make matters worse, each of Chicago's last two games have gone to OT, and it played a double-OT game last night. I just don't see Chicago having enough left in the tank to keep this one within the number against a Phoenix squad that has been at home and is rested. The Bulls are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Suns are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 versus Eastern Conference opponents. Pound the Suns.

5* WISEGUY C-USA GAME OF THE YEAR on UTEP -11

Bottom Line: UTEP fits into an extraordinary situation tonight. Consider that home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 consecutive upset defeats or more, provided they return 4 starters from last year's team, are 30-8 ATS the last 18 years. Teams fitting this scenario have won by an average of 14.0 points. Making this play even stronger is the fact UTEP is 6-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons when check in off an upset defeat to a conference for. It has won these games by 15.5 points on average. The Miners are 9-1 ATS in home games following any upset defeat under coach Floyd and have won by an average of 15.0 points in these games. Pound UTEP.

5* WISEGUY CBB UNDERDOG SHOCKER OF THE WEEK on South Carolina +4.5

Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost 5 of 6 in league play, including 3 straight, but I like its chances of pulling off the upset tonight. Home court is huge in CBB, but it hasn't mattered in this series as the home team is 0-5 in the last 5 meetings with the losses coming by an average of 9.6 points. I really believe the Gamecocks are the better team. Their record doesn't show it, but they've played a much tougher schedule. They will also be the more motivated team tonight as they look to end their skid. Pound South Carolina.

5* WISEGUY CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State -4

Bottom Line: I love the Cowboys at home in this highly motivated spot. Not only are they off a 10-point loss at K-State, but they lost both meetings with Baylor last season. They'll be out for some serious revenge tonight. Oklahoma State is a ridiculous 50-28 ATS in lined home games under Travis Ford and has won these by 10.3 points on average. It is 44-23 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under Ford, winning these by 12.1 points on average. Additionally, the Cowboys are 25-12 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread under their current coach and have won these contests by 12.4 points on average. Pound Oklahoma State.

5* WISEGUY NBA LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK on Suns +3

Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here, and the Clippers have been a terrible play as small road chalk. LA is 8-20 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has lost these games by an average of 2.0 points. Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of their schedule following a game where they shot 55% or better, provided it is a matchup of teams that have held opponents to an average of 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season, has resulted in a 22-4 ATS mark since 1996. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the Suns are 34-19 ATS as an underdog the last 2 seasons and 27-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Pound Phoenix.

5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota -5

Bottom Line: Illinois has been a completely different team away from home and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road/neutral floor games. The 6 SU losses during this span all came by at least 7 points. Minnesota has been at its best at home where it is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 21.0 points. Minnesota is off to a 1-6 start in Big Ten play and was upset on this floor by Illinois last season so it will not be lacking any incentive. Pound the Golden Gophers.

5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Raptors/76ers OVER 194

Bottom Line: Toronto has had no trouble controlling the pace against poor teams. The Raptors are 12-3 OVER the last 2 seasons versus teams that have a win percentage of 25% or less. We have seen an average of 208.0 total points scored in these games. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams with 6 of the meetings totaling 199 points or more. We've seen an average of 207.6 total points scored in these 7 matchups. Pound the OVER.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -10

Bottom Line: The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games while the Blue Demons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Pirates are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Pirates are also 8-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Seton Hall is off its first home loss of the season, which can't be sitting well. Plus, it lost its last meeting with DePaul so it will have no problem getting up for this one. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Blue Demons with the wins coming by an average of 12.4 points so there is plenty of value in Seton Hall here.

5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK on T-Wolves +8.5

Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Dallas following Monday's big win at Memphis. The Mavs have a matchup with Chicago on Friday and are very likely already peeking ahead to that one mentally. It will be hard for Dallas to get up for the lowly T-Wolves, but it won't be hard for Minnesota to get up for this one. It's finally home after a week on the road, and it will be out for revenge for a 131-117 November loss in Dallas. The Mavericks are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games versus Western Conference opponents. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Western Conference foes. Pound Minnesota.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +8.5

Bottom Line: Look for Denver to come storming back at home following last night's brutal 122-79 loss at Golden State. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home in recent seasons against good teams, going 25-12 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3.0 PPG or more. Denver has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Spurs are off a dominant 89-69 win over Utah, but they are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Denver.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on South Carolina -6.5

Bottom Line: The Gamecocks check in having lost 3 of their last 4. They have also dropped 14 in a row to the Volunteers. Yet, they are laying quite a few points tonight. Clearly books want the money coming in on Tennessee. We won't take the bait. It is significant that the Gamecocks have been installed as favorites since the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. I fully expect this trend to continue. Look for South Carolina to finally break through against the Vols.

5* WISEGUY SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5

Bottom Line: Louisiana-Lafayette got off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt play but has since lost its last 2. Despite the losses, it can pull even with UL Monroe for first place in the league with a win here, and I expect it to take care of business. The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-1 in their last 8 at home versus Monroe with the 7 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Despite the bad loss to South Alabama last game, ULL's high scoring output is a good sign. The Ragin' Cajuns are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons after scoring 80 points or more last game. They have won by a ridiculous average margin of 25.3 points in these contests. Pound ULL.

5* WISEGUY MLK DAY *BEST BET* on Knicks +7

Bottom Line: The Knicks have been awful, but I'm not hesitating to back them catching a good number in a favorable spot. The Pelicans are on a 10-22 ATS slide as a road favorite. They are off a big upset win in Toronto yesterday but are 0-7 ATS this season when checking in off an upset victory. They have lost these 7 by a whopping 16.3 points on average. New Orleans is also 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Additionally, home underdogs that are playing for the 3rd time or fewer in a 10-day span are 79-41 ATS since 1996 if they failed to cover the spread last game. Pound NY.

5* WISEGUY NFC CHAMPIONSHIP *BEST BET* on Packers +7.5

Bottom Line: Green Bay lost 36-16 on this field clear back in the season opener, but a lot has changed since then. With a trip to the Super Bowl on the line, I expect Aaron Rodgers and company to take the Seahawks right down to the wire. The biggest thing that has changed is Green Bay's run defense. The Packers allowed Seattle to run for 207 yards in the first meeting, but they have held their last 9 opponents to an average of 92.9 yards. Not surprisingly, they are 8-1 during this span. Seattle has given up only 15.9 ppg this season, but the Packers are 9-1 ATS all-time versus teams that allow 17.0 ppg or less under coach McCarthy. Green Bay won these games by an average of 4.3 points. Pound the Packers.

5* WISEGUY SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Missouri pk

Bottom Line: Missouri was buried Tuesday at Kentucky, but it is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 following a loss, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 following a loss of more than 20 points and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 at home. The Vols are a poor 3-11-1 ATS on the season, including 1-4-1 ATS in road/neutral court games. They're also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. These teams have met 3 times since Missouri joined the SEC and the home team is 3-0. Pound the Tigers.

5* WISEGUY ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Thunder +2.5

Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Thunder, and I expect them to respond. They have been really good at home where they are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-2 in their last 11. 1 of the 2 losses came by 2 points and the other came in OT so based on this number, the Thunder are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games. Now that's a trend I'll gladly get behind. Golden State is 0-2 in its last 2 and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. Also, since the Super Sonics moved to Oklahoma City and became the Thunder, they are 10-2 at home versus Golden State. Pound OKC.

5* WISEGUY PAC-12 PUNISHER OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +5

Bottom Line: I like ASU catching points at home in a motivated spot against an overvalued Utah squad that I expect to show some rust following a 7-day layoff. Playing home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog has resulted in a 24-6 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.4 points. ASU's 4 home wins during this stretch have come by an average of 4.8 points so I have no problem taking the points in a game it should have a chance to win outright.