Winning Sports Picks

4* Major SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas A&M -2

Bottom Line: This is a major letdown spot for Ole Miss following a massive win over Alabama. Meanwhile, this is a bounce back spot for A&M after getting taken out behind the woodshed by Mississippi State. A&M gave up 559 yards to the Bulldogs, but it is 10-1 ATS in home games after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992. The defense has held the opposition to an average of 13.6 points in this situation. Sumlin's teams are a sensational 21-9 ATS lifetime as home chalk, and his Texas A&M teams are 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. They've won these 6 by an average of 28.0 points.

4* Major *DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH* on UTSA -12

Bottom Line: This game depends on which UTSA team shows up. Will it be the one that took Arizona down to the wire or the one that didn't show up against New Mexico? Following the New Mexico debacle, I'm expecting a huge bounce-back effort. Based on statistics, I ran 2 simulations and both had UTSA winning 31-9 while outgaining FIU 409-194. The Roadrunners ran for 155 yards and passed for 254 while holding the Golden Panthers to just 4.5 yards per pass attempt. Based on these simulations, the following trends apply. UTSA is 6-0 ATS when its allows 8 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 ATS when it scores 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS when it rushes for 150 to 200 yards over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS when it allows 5 or less net passing yards/attempt over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major National TV *POWERHOUSE* on North Carolina +17

Bottom Line:This is a look-ahead spot for Notre Dame, which is coming off a satisfying win over Stanford and has a showdown with defending champion Florida State next week. UNC won't get its full focus, and that gives it an excellent opportunity to keep this one within the number. Playing on average offensive teams (UNC) that gain 4.8 to 5.6 ypp that are up against good defensive teams (ND) that allow 4.2 to 4.8 ypp has resulted in a 26-7 ATS record the last 22 years, provided the play on side has given up 525 ypg or more in its previous 3 contests. Teams fitting this system has been underdogs of 14.8 points on average but have lost by only 7.0 points on average.

5* Wiseguy ACC Atlantic Division GAME OF THE YEAR on Clemson -9.5

Bottom Line: Louisville doesn't have enough offense to keep this one within the number. In 3 road games, the Cardinals are averaging only 323 ypg. They've been bailed out by their defense, but it won't be able to hold down a Clemson offense that's averaging 585 ypg at home. Louisville's defense currently ranks #1 in the nation, but it is yet to face a team with an explosive passing attack. Expect to see several big plays out of the Tigers with no answer from Louisville against Clemson's Top 10 defense. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus teams that have a winning record. Clemson is 9-0 ATS lifetime at home under Dabo Swinney when laying 7.5 to 14 points and has won by an average of 23.0 points in these games. Pound Clemson.

4* Major ACC Coastal Division GAME OF THE MONTH on Duke +3

Bottom Line: Duke has lost 10 straight to the Yellow Jackets so it will have no problem getting up for this one. I like its chances of earning an outright victory after having had a bye week to gear up. In a conference matchup of low-turnover teams that average 1.25 giveaways per game or fewer, playing against home favorites has resulted in a 79-36 ATS record the last 10 seasons. Additionally, Duke is 10-2 ATS versus teams that commit 1 turnover per game or less under coach David Cutcliffe. This trend speaks volumes about the Blue Devils. They've had a lot of success against teams that don't beat themselves.

4* Major National TV *POWERHOUSE* on Syracuse +23.5

Bottom Line: FSU will be much more concerned with next week's showdown with Notre Dame than a Syracuse team it defeated 59-3 last season. That brutally embarrassing loss along with last week's ugly performance versus Louisville assures us the Orange will be highly motivated. Syracuse is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a loss to a conference rival. The Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.

4* Major Early Letdown on UL Monroe +21.5

Bottom Line: Off a big win over South Carolina and with LSU up next, Kentucky won't give the Warhawks its full attention. The Wildcats are a dismal 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS win, and I'm not hesitating to fade them laying a big number in this letdown spot.

5* Wiseguy *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on UNLV +10

Bottom Line: The UNLV Rebels fit into a powerful system tonight. Playing underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allow 16 ppg or more in the 1st half and are off 2 or more consecutive unders has resulted in a 71-37 ATS record since 1992. Teams fitting theses parameters have lost on average but only by 4.3 points. Additionally, the Fresno State Bulldogs are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 Friday night contests. The Rebels, meanwhile, are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 Friday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference matchups. The Bulldogs have a big showdown with Boise State up next and will look right past a UNLV squad that has dropped 4 straight. The Rebels have lost by more than 10 points just 2 times in their last 16 home games. That's a rock solid trend I'll gladly get behind. Pound UNLV.

4* Major Thursday Night Football *BLOOD BATH* on Colts -2.5

Bottom Line: The Colts have owned the AFC South and are a perfect 9-0 ATS in their last 9 division games. They've also won 9 straight on Thursday with 7 of those coming on the road. They are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games while the Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. The Colts are 3-0 in their last 3 versus Houston. Indianapolis is the superior team with the superior QB. It leads the NFL in scoring and ranks 2nd in total offense. Its passing attack leads the league with 321.8 ypg. The defense has really picked it up too, holding foes to just 15.7 points and 297.3 yards the last 3 weeks. Houston ranks 24th in scoring and 22nd in total offense. It ranks 4th in scoring defense but is extremely fortunate that's the case because it ranks 26th in total defense with 385.4 ypg allowed. The Texans have benefited from timely takeaways but eventually the luck runs out. Bet the Colts.

5* Wiseguy CFB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on BYU +3

Bottom Line: Even with starting QB Taysom Hill out, BYU is a better football team than Central Florida. Backup QB Christian Stewart struggled last week, but I'm confident he'll be much better after getting 1st team snaps for 5 days. He's a better player than UCF starting QB Justin Holman, who was just 6 of 18 for 101 yards versus Houston last week. The Knights are relying heavily on their run game but won't be able to do so here against a BYU stop unit that is holding foes under the century mark on the ground. UCF has done a good job against the run too but is overmatched here, just like it was against Mizzou when it allowed over 5 ypc. BYU is a dominant 8-1 ATS off a loss the last 3 seasons, winning by 22.2 points on average in these games. Pound the Cougars.

5* Wiseguy MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Redskins +8

Bottom Line: The Redskins are a better team than their record leads you to believe, and I expect them to respond after getting spanked by the Giants in their last game. Washington boasts a Top 10 offense and defense, ranking 4th in the NFL with 415.2 ypg and 9th with 324.2 ypg allowed. The Redskins are also one of the top pass rushing teams in the league. They are 11-4 all-time in regular-season matchups with Seattle, including 6-0 in the last 6. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that give up 24 ppg or more and are off a loss of 28 points or more are 68-34 ATS since 1983. This system is 1-0 ATS this season, 10-3 ATS the last 3 seasons, 15-5 ATS the last 5 and 33-12 ATS the last 10. Pound Washington.

4* Major Sunday NFL Late Afternoon *BLOOD BATH* on Jets +7

Bottom Line: The Jets are better than their 1-3 record might lead you to believe. They have outgained their foes 366 yards to 291 yards on average. The Chargers have outgained their opponents just 352-325 on average. The Jets allow a league-low 63.3 rushing yards per game and rank 3rd in total defense at 291.2. The Chargers are getting nothing from their running game following injuries to Matthews and Woodhead. Rivers was able to do it on his own against Jacksonville, but this New York defense is too good. I expect it to wreak havok against a one-dimension San Diego offensive attack. The Jets have won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 6 of the last 8 meetings. They are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last 5 at San Diego. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Bet the Jets.

4* Major NFL *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Broncos -7.5

Bottom Line: With an OT loss at Seattle in last game, Denver entered its bye week knowing it needs to step it up if it's going to dethrone the Seahawks at season's end. Denver has responded well, going 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following a loss. It is also 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after being held to 75 or less rushing yards. The Broncos are 16-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points under coach Fox. Playing against any team off an upset home win over a division rival has resulted in a 40-13 ATS record since 1983, provided they are a winning team playing another team with a winning record. This system has gone a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Broncos are 7-1-1 against Arizona, including 4-0 at home while outscoring the Red Birds 106-32.

5* Wiseguy NFL Underdog Game of the Year on Bills +7.5

Bottom Line: The Bills are being greatly undervalued because of 2 consecutive SU and ATS losses. The defense played well in both games, but the Bills were let down by QB play. Detroit's back-to-back SU and ATS wins also plays into us catching a great number. The Bills will benefit from the insertion of Orton, who is a more accurate passer than Manuel and will be smarter with the football. His experience works in our favor in this matchup. This is too many points for Buffalo to be catching given how good it has been defensively. It ranks 7th in the league in scoring defense with 18.8 ppg allowed and 10th in total defense with 337.8 ypg allowed. I also like Buffalo to be able to run the football. The Lions hadn't been tested on the ground until last week when the Jets rushed for 132 yards on nearly 5 ypc. I expect the Bills, who average 122.2 ypg on the ground, to establish the run Sunday after getting away from their ground game the past couple weeks. If Detroit wants to stack the box, Orton has proven he can make teams pay. The Bills are 10-1 ATS off a road loss the last 3 seasons and have won these by an average of 6.9 points. Pound Buffalo.

4* Major Sun Belt *SUREFIRE* on Idaho +17

Bottom Line: Off an emotional overtime upset win at Tulsa, this looks to be a letdown spot for Texas State. The Bobcats have cruised against Idaho the past 2 seasons and will likely be looking ahead to their bye week as a result. Playing on road underdogs off a home loss of 14 points or more that return at least 17 starters has resulted in a 67-31 ATS record since 1992. Teams fitting this system have lost on average but only by 11.9 points so the value is there at this line.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Auburn -7.5

Bottom Line: With this line, the books are begging for action on LSU, which handed Auburn its only defeat of the 2013 regular season. We won't take the bait. That loss is all the motivation Auburn will need Saturday. Under Malzahn, Auburn is 7-0 ATS versus teams that have a winning record, 6-0 ATS versus teams with a win percentage above 75%, 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 34 ppg or more, 7-0 ATS versus teams that average 450 ypg or more, 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 8 or more passing yards per attempt and 6-0 ATS versus teams that average 200 or more rushing yards per game. Auburn is also 9-0 ATS in its last 9 conference games. Pound Auburn.

4* Major MAC *MONSTER* on Eastern Michigan +23

Bottom Line: Eastern Michigan has lost its last 3 games by double digits but 2 of those were at Florida and Michigan State. It had last week off following that daunting stretch and should benefit from the extra recovery and preparation time this week. Akron is in a letdown spot following a huge upset win at Pitt. It won by 11 points as a 20.5-point dog. Eastern Mich is on a 16-6 ATS run in road games following a road defeat of 21 points or more. Playing on road underdogs that are off a loss of 21 points or more and up against an opponent that had scored 7 points or less in the 1st half in 2 straight games has resulted in a 49-19 ATS record the last 10 seasons. This system has gone 15-2 ATS the last 3 seasons. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Akron. Bet Eastern Mich.

5* Wiseguy CFB *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on San Diego State +3

Bottom Line: When the line is +3 to -3, road teams the average 16.0 ppg or more in the 1st half that are off a game that went under the total are 56-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is 34-9 ATS the last 3 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. The Aztecs are an awesome 15-4 straight up (13-6 ATS) in their last 19 conference contests. They'll be out for some serious revenge here after losing last season's battle in OT despite outgaining the Bulldogs by 166 total yards. Odds makers expected the Aztecs to have their revenge by opening them as the 1.5-point favorite. The line has gone the other way with Quinn Kaehler expected to miss, but his absence doesn't warrant that big of a swing. Pound San Diego State as they win this game with their running attack and defense.

5* Wiseguy NFC North Total of the Month on Vikings/Packers UNDER 48.5

Bottom Line: I love the UNDER in tonight's NFL matchup. Plays on the UNDER when the total if 42.5-49 points in a matchup of average offensive teams that score 18-23 ppg after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored has resulted in a 120-63 record since 1983. The Green Bay defense is trending in the right direction, giving up 19 and 17 points the last 2 weeks against much more explosive offensive teams (Lions and Bears). Minnesota scored 41 last week but that was against an Atlanta defense that is among the worst in the NFL. Pound the UNDER.

4* Major CFB *BEST BET* on UCF +3.5

Bottom Line: UCF is more battle tested having taken the field against Penn State and Mizzou. Houston did play BYU but gave up 523 yards to the Cougars and trailed 23-0 before they called off the dogs. UCF won last season's meeting by 5 points despite losing the turnover battle. UCF led the game by 12 points late in the 4th. Road underdogs that average 4.8 to 5.6 yards per play and allowed 225 total yards or less last game are 27-6 ATS the last  10 seasons when they are matched up against a team that gives up 4.2 to 4.8 yards per play. This system is a dominant 10-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams headed up by coach O'Leary are 11-1 ATS lifetime  in road games off a home blowout win of 28 points or more. Bet UCF.

5* Wiseguy MNF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Patriots -2.5

Bottom Line: The Patriots are showing value laying less than a field goal at Arrowhead where the Chiefs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. Kansas City has lost their last 4 at home straight up by an average of 10.5 points. New England has yet to get its offense going the way we are used to seeing, but I like its chances of doing so against a KC defense that has been very mediocre thus far. The KC offense has struggled every bit as much as New England's offensive unit, and it will have a tough time getting much of anything against a New England defense that ranks 2nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (272.7). Playing road teams with a +3 to +7 ppg differential that are up against a team with a +3 to -3 ppg differential, provided the road team has allowed 17 points or less in its last 2 games, has resulted in a 23-4 ATS record the last 10 seasons. This system tightens up to 9-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound the Pats.

4* Major NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Saints -3

Bottom Line: New Orleans has owned the Cowboys. It is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings, including 4-0 in Dallas during this span. It racked by 625 yards in last season's 49-17 win over the Boys, and I expect an encore performance. The Cowboys are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 versus teams with a losing record and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Saints are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 versus a team with a winning record.

4* Major *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Vikings +3

Bottom Line: While this wouldn't be a shocking upset according to the spread, it would be according to public perception. Atlanta hasn't been the same team on the road, and I believe it is in serious danger here.  The Falcons are 1-8 in their last 9 road games with the lone win during this stretch coming by 3 points in OT. In other words, Atlanta has failed to cover this number in its last 9 road games. That's a 9-0 trend in our favor. Additionally, Minnesota is 10-1 ATS in home games the last 22 years versus teams that have outscored their opponent by 10.0 ppg or more on the season.

4* Major Late Afternoon *SUREFIRE* on Jaguars +14

Bottom Line: The Jags have lost the ugly the first 3 weeks, but I believe they are a surefire winner catching big points Sunday. Playing any team with a win percentage of 25% or less after being beaten by the spread by more than 7 points in 3 consecutive games has resulted in a 28-8 ATS record the last 10 seasons.

4* Major NFL *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Titans +7.5

Bottom Line: This line is off the mark. Tennessee has won or lost by fewer than 7.5 points in 6 of its last 8 matchups with Indy. Tennessee is on an 11-2 ATS run after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.  And, underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that score 14 points or less in 2 straight games are 28-8 ATS the last 5 seasons (16-2 ATS the last 3 seasons).

4* Major NFL *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Bucs +9

Bottom Line: The public is piling on the Steelers early, and I expect that to continue to be the case right up to kickoff. However, I think the Steelers get the public burned here. Playing on poor offensive teams like Tampa Bay that average 14-18 ppg after a loss by 21 points or more has resulted in a 24-4 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they are up against a team like the Steelers that allow 23-27 ppg. This system is 8-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the Steelers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 14 points.

5* Wiseguy NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on Jets +2

Bottom Line: The Lions are an ugly 8-22 ATS as road chalk the last 22 years, including 4-13 ATS in this as a road fave of 3 points or less. The Jets 16-6 ATS after playing on Monday night football since 1992 and 18-4 ATS in home games off a home loss since 1992. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy NFC North Game of the Year on Packers -118

Bottom Line: Green Bay is in a foul mood following a 1-2 start, and I expect it to come storming back against a Chicago Bears team it has owned.  Green Bay is 32-13 versus the Bears since 1992 and 18-5 in Chicago during this span. Chicago is 0-6 ATS under Trestman in home games when playing with 6 or less days' rest. It is also 0-6 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.  Green Bay is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last 4 at Soldier Field.  Pound the Packers.

5* Wiseguy ACC Coastal Game of the Year on Miami -7

Bottom Line: This is a game I had circled before the season began, and Miami's loss at Nebraska last week adds even more value to this play. Prior to last season's loss at Duke, the Hurricanes were 8-0 against the Blue Devils since joining the ACC. These 8 wins came by an average of 19.1 points. You can bet the Hurricanes haven't forgotten about the 18-point butt-kicking they received at Duke last year, and they'll be out for some serious payback. Miami has been extremely reliable at home where it is 10-1 in its last 11 with the 10 wins coming by an average of 24.4 points. Miami is 4-0 lifetime in home conference contests versus Duke, winning them by 27 ppg. Each of these 4 have come by double digits. Pound Miami.

4* Major CFB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Air Force +13

Bottom Line: Air Force has a legit opportunity to win this game outright as a double-digit dog. Boise State won last season's home meeting by 22 as it held the Falcons to 99 yards passing.  While Air Force remains a run-heavy team, its passing attack is greatly improved and should have a big impact here. Plus, Air Force has had an extra week to prepare for this battle and should have a few tricks up its sleeve.  Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points that have a win percentage of 60-80% and are off a no-cover victory are 33-9 ATS the last 10 seasons if they are matched up against a team with a winning record. This system is 17-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Broncos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 versus teams with a winning record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a win of more than 20 points and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Bet Air Force.

4* Major *DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH* on Rice -9.5

Bottom Line: Look for 0-3 Rice to take its frustrations out all over So. Miss. After losses at Notre Dame and Texas A&M, Rice was upset at home by Old Dominion last week. You better believe that defeat isn't sitting well. Rice possessed the ball 15 minutes more than Old Dominion but gave up too many big plays through the air. The Owls have a much more favorable matchup this week because the Golden Eagles don't have an explosive passing attack.  Teams have ran at will on So. Miss this season averaging 255 yards per game on 5.9 yards per carry. Rice has had a ton of success on the ground (222 ypg), and I expect it to run wild on the Golden Eagles. The Golden Eagles are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 versus teams with a losing record.

4* Major Big Ten Game of the Week on Northwestern +10.5

Bottom Line: Penn State is 0-6 ATS off a home win over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 14.3 points in this spot. Additionally, playing against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that give up an average of 3.25 rushing yards or less per carry and allowed 1 or less rushing yards per carry last game has resulted in a 23-3 ATS record the last 10 seasons. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Bet Northwestern.

4* Major *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Tulane +12

Bottom Line: Oddsmakers have missed the mark with this line. Off a big upset win at Navy and with Ohio State on deck, Rutgers will have a difficult time focusing on the task at hand. Tulane is better than its 1-3 record looks. It should be 2-2 (blew a 14-0 lead at Tulsa). It put up nearly 400 yards of offense on Duke last week but was done in by 5 giveaways. The Scarlet Knights are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 versus losing teams. Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 following an ATS loss. It is also 8-1 ATS under coach Johnson in weeks 5-9. Bet Tulane.

4* Major on CFB *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on MTSU +4

Bottom Line: MTSU's 19-point SU and ATS loss at Memphis last week bodes well for us as it is 8-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the number the last 3 seasons and has won by an average of 9.8 points in this spot. This is too many points for ODU to be laying considering how porous it has been defensively. It's given up 223 rushing yards per game the last 3 weeks and had no answer for the Hampton, NC State or Rice passing attacks. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense that should really give the Monarchs fits. This one has the makings of a shootout, and I'll gladly grab the points.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Month on UCLA -4

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Bruins, who allowed ASU to clinch the Pac-12 South on their turf last season. ASU returns just 8 starters from last year's squad while UCLA brings back 17. It looks like Hundley will go for the Bruins, but Kelly will not be under center for the Sun Devils. Regardless if Hundley plays, UCLA has edges at other positions all over the field. The Bruins have not played to their potential yet this season but should have no problem getting up for this game. Additionally, UCLA's first 3 foes have provided a much bigger test than ASU's. Facing Virginia and Texas does a lot more to prepare a team than facing New Mexico and Colorado. The Bruins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Pound UCLA.

4* Major NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Redskins -3

Bottom Line: Washington lost a tough in Philadelphia last week but will have no problem getting up for this game after getting swept by the Giants last year. Playing favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that average 125-150 rushing yards per game has resulted in a 74-38 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they are up against a team that allows 95-125 rushing yards per game (while I recommend buying down to key number 3, I still like this play at 3.5 - the widely available number at the time of this report - and that's why this system applies). Washington didn't do a very good job of establishing the run against Philadelphia. I expect it to do so here to set up some easy play-action opportunities. The Giants are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Washington. Bet the Redskins.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Texas Tech +14

Bottom Line: Texas Tech was down 21-0 before it knew what happened in last season's meeting with Oklahoma State. It appeared to be hungover following a tough loss at Oklahoma that dropped it to 7-1. It was able to climb back within 4 points by halftime but couldn't get anything going in the second half.  The Red Raiders will be focused this time around, knowing they can't afford to get off to another slow start. Last week's disappointing home loss to Arkansas is an additional motivator. Tech is a dominant 21-8 ATS off a home loss the last 22 years. Bet Tech.

5* Wiseguy MNF Game of the Month on Jets -2.5

Bottom Line: I love the Jets at home tonight as I expect them to run all over a Bears defense that ranks next to last in the league with 160 rushing yards allowed per game.  The Jets have been the best rushing team in the NFL thus far, racking up 170 yards per game on the ground.  Additionally, New York is the better defensive team.  It ranks 3rd in the NFL in total defense with only 274 yards per game allowed.  The Jets blew a big lead in Green Bay last week and will be hungry as a result.  I think it will be a tough encore for the Bears going on the road for a second straight week, especially after last week's emotional victory over the 49ers.  That win wasn't nearly as impressive as it looks considering the Bears were outgained by 145 yards.  The Bears are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win.  CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS in road games when the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992 and 4-16 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better since 1992.  Pound the Jets.

4* Major NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Steelers +3.5

Bottom Line: Motivation won't be an issue for the Steelers, who were kicked last Thursday night in Baltimore.  This is also a strong situational spot for Pittsburgh as it will have had 3 extra days to prepare.  The Steelers are 5-0 ATS all-time versus the Panthers and have won the last 4 meetings straight up by an average of 21.0 points.  Grab the points with Pittsburgh.

4* Major NFL *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Jaguars +7

Bottom Line: The Jaguars are showing a lot of value catching 7 at home.  Indy will be hungry following a 0-2 start but it has some major problems on defense and one fewer day to figure out those problems having played on Monday.  Jacksonville will also be hungry following an 0-2 start, and it will also by jacked up for its home opener.  It lost by 34 points on this field to the Colts last season so I expect an inspired performance.  Plays on underdogs or pickems that won only 25% to 40% of their games the previous season, provided they are playing a conference opponent, have resulted in a 35-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons.  These dogs have lost by just 0.7 points on average.  Jacksonville has a solid opportunity to shock the Colts.  Grab the points.

5* Wiseguy NFL Oddsmaker Error Game of the Year on Giants +2.5

Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here.  The Giants outgained Arizona 341-266 but fell victim to a -4 turnover margin.  The Texans are 2-0 but were outgained by 56 and 37 yards in those contests.  They have benefited from a plus-5 turnover margin.  Turnovers shouldn't factor this much into the line as they can't be handicapped well, especially this early in the season.  We are getting the Giants at home at an excellent number here because odds makers are overreacting to turnover margin. Plays on any team that didn't force a turnover last game that is up against an opponent that forced 3 or more turnovers last game has resulted in a 130-79 ATS record the last 10 seasons.  The Texans are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win and 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons following a road contest.  Pound New York.

4* Major CFB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Louisiana Lafayette +16.5

Bottom Line: Off consecutive ugly efforts, the Ragin' Cajuns will be all business when they take the field Saturday night.  Turnovers have played a big role in ULL's last 2 losses, and they are also a big reason why the Broncos have won their last 2.  However, road underdogs that forced 1 turnover or less last game are 63-28 ATS since 1992 if they are matched up against an opponent that has forced 3 turnovers or more in 3 consecutive games.  These teams have been underdogs of 15.6 points on average but have lost by just 11.2.  This system is a perfect example of how odds makers overreact to big wins and losses that were heavily influenced by turnovers.  These teams are more evenly matched than this line shows.  Bet ULL.

5* Wiseguy CFB *DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH* Game of the Month on BYU -14

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Cougars, who were upset at Virginia last season.  They are the superior team, and I expect them to put a hurting on the Cavaliers here.  Playing home favorites that average 230 or more rushing yards per game against a team that averages 100-140 rushing yards per game has resulted in a 42-17 ATS record the last 5 seasons.  This system carries an average winning margin of 25.9 points.  Pound BYU.

5* Wiseguy CFB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* Game of the Year on Akron +9

Bottom Line: Marshall is getting way too much respect on the road against an Akron team that has had an extra week to prepare.  I'll gladly take the healthy amount of points in a game Akron has an excellent shot to win outright.  Marshall is 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5-10 points under coach Holliday.  It is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite under its current coach.  The home team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings, and the Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Akron.  Pound the Zips.

4* Major CFB *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on S. Florida -2

Bottom Line: This is a tougher spot for Connecticut as it hits the road for the first time this season and does so on a short week.  The road hasn't been kind to the Huskies as they were 1-4 on the highway last season.  The road hasn't been kind to either team in this series as the home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  The Bulls are 4-1 in their last 5 home games in the series with the 4 wins coming by 13.0 points on average.  USF has won the last 2 meetings, and I'll lay the small number with it in this one.

4* Major Thursday Night Football *SUREFIRE* on Buccaneers +7

Bottom Line: In the first month of the season, playing against home teams off a road loss that closed last season with two or more consecutive losses has resulted in a 107-61 (64%) ATS record since 1983.  Additionally, playing underdog of 3.5 to 10 points that won just 25% to 40% of their games last season has resulted in a 28-8 (78%) ATS record the last 5 seasons.  Tampa Bay has won or lost by fewer than 7 points in 11 of the last 14 meetings.  Bet the Bucs.

5* Wiseguy CFB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Kansas State +9.5

Bottom Line: Playing home underdog of 3.5 to 10 points in a non-conference matchup in the first month of the season, provided they return an experienced starting QB, has resulted in a 130-71 ATS (65%) record since 1992.  This system tightens up to 15-6 ATS the last 3 seasons.  K-State is an unbelievable 65-4 in non-conference contests under coach Snyder.  And, it is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 regular season contests in the underdog role.  Pound the Wildcats.

5* Wiseguy MNF *BEST BET* on Colts -3

Bottom Line: One thing you can't do is go against Andrew Luck following a loss.  Since taking over as QB of the Colts, they are an unbeaten 10-0 straight up and ATS off a defeat in the regular season.  Last season they crushed the 49ers by 20 on the road and beat Denver by 6 at home following losses.  These are clearly 2 of the best teams in the NFL.  The Eagles only won 1 game against playoff teams last season.  That was against Green Bay, which was playing without Aaron Rodgers.  Philadelphia's O-line is in bad shape.  The Eagles benefited from having the same O-line for 17 games last season but will struggle here against a good team without the unit in tact.  Additionally, the Colts are an unbeaten 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons following a loss on the road and have won these contests by 8.1 points on average.  They are 6-0 ATS at home during this span after giving up 30 points or more in their last game and have won by an average of 8.0 points in this situation.  Pound Indy.

4* Major Sunday Night Football *SUREFIRE* on Bears +7

Bottom Line: I expect to see a completely different Bears team in San Francisco Sunday evening.  The Bears stunk it up at home in Week 1, and they haven't forgotten the beating they took the last time they visited San Francisco.  They will be extremely motivated.  The Bears have too much offensive talent to be getting this kind of disrespect from oddsmakers.  The 49ers are offensively challenged at times and were outgained by 63 yards in Dallas last week.  The difference was their +4 turnover margin.  Turnovers cost the Bears last week, and I expect to see much better decision making from Jay Cutler.  This is a huge game for Chicago given how tough its schedule is going forward, and I expect it to respond.

5* Wiseguy NFL Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Chargers +6

Bottom Line: Because Seattle rolled at home in the Week 1 opener and because it has had extra rest, we are getting a great line.  Seattle isn't the same team on the road where it is just 20-36 in the regular season the last 7 years.  San Diego, on the other hand, has been formidable at home where it is 45-19 the last 8 seasons.  The Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 following a loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 versus winning teams and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after giving up more than 350 yards in their last game.  Pound San Diego.

4* Major NFL *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Giants +3

Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Arizona as it heads on the road following Monday's thrilling comeback win against the Chargers.  This is a bounce back spot for the Giants, who were brutally embarrassed in Detroit.  Given the situation, the Giants shouldn't be catching points at home.  They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus NFC opponents and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.  Bet New York.

4* Major *EARLY BLOWOUT* on Patriots -3

Bottom Line: No team bounces back better than the Patriots, who are 32-13-1 ATS in their last 46 games following a loss.  It can be tough playing on the road in back-to-back weeks, but the Pats are 11-2 ATS under Belichick in road games off a road loss.  They've won these contests by an average of 11.8 points.  I'm betting on Tom Brady and company to bounce back.

*Adrian Peterson is out and the line has adjusted, but I still like the Patriots laying 7 or less.

4* Major CFB BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Colorado +16

Bottom Line: Look for Colorado to blow this spread out of the water by taking the Sun Devils right down to the wire.  Colorado brings back 8 starters on each side of the ball while ASU returns only 8 starters total.  The Buffs also return 20 more lettermen than ASU.  Experience should serve Colorado well as conference home dogs of 10.5-21 points that return their QB and 8 or more offensive starters are 67-35 ATS the last 10 seasons.  ASU has put the hurt on the Buffs in recent years, but this is where they have their shot at revenge.
 

4* Major CFB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Rice +32

Bottom Line: Rice went to Texas A&M and lost by just 21 points last season.  Having had a bye week to prepare, I expect it to keep this one closer than the oddsmakers have projected.  These schools have played 5 times the last 22 years with all 5 meetings being decided by 28 points or less. The Owls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus winning teams, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference contests and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Bet Rice.

5* Wiseguy Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston College +17

Bottom Line: Look for USC to come out flat following a huge win over Stanford.  The Trojans defeated Boston College 35-7 last season and won't give the Eagles the focus they deserve as a result.  The Trojans are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a win, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road contests.  The Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 at home and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a spread loss.  Pound BC.

4* Major CFB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bowling Green +7

Bottom Line: Bowling Green had this game circled heading into the season because it was embarrassed 42-10 at Indiana last season.  I love BG's chances for revenge.  Playing non-conference home underdogs of 3.5-10 points that completed 62% or more of their passes last season has resulted in an 8-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons.  Indiana is 0-12 ATS after outrushing an opponent by 200 or more yards in its last game the last 22 years.  Under coach Wilson, it is 0-6 ATS after a win by 17 points or more, 0-7 ATS after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game and 0-6 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game.  Bowling Green is 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after outrushing an opponent by 150 or more yards last game, 7-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after allowing 9 points or less last game, 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after a win by 21 or more points and 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers.  Bet Bowling Green.

5* Wiseguy CFB *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Buffalo +36

Bottom Line: As if last week's disappointing performance at Army isn't enough motivation, the Bulls were clobbered 70-13 at Baylor last season.  They'll be looking to save a little face by keeping this once respectable and will put forth maximum effort to do so.  Baylor is riding high off a pair of lopsided wins but now hits the road for the first time and on a short week.  It also has the memory of last year's easy win over Buffalo in its mind so I don't expect it to give the Bulls its full attention.  QB Bryce Petty is expected back but he'll likely be a little out of rhythm and could have trouble finding chemistry with a new cast of receivers.  Injuries are expected to prevent 4 of Baylor's top playmakers from taking the field tonight.  Even if the Bears are able to get out to an early lead, I expect them to call off the dogs, leaving the backdoor wide open.  They know they have much more important games ahead.  Pound Buffalo.

4* Major NCAAF ESPN *PRIMETIME TOTAL* on Houston/BYU UNDER 58

Bottom Line: We saw a shootout with 93 total points scored in last season's meeting, and I expect both teams to tighten the screws defensively as a result.  BYU is 36-17 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.  The Cougars are 7-0 UNDER after outrushing an opponent by 150 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons.  Playing the UNDER on any team (BYU) that averages 190-230 rushing yards per game against a team that holds opponents to 100-140 rushing yards per game, in a non-conference matchup, has resulted in a 44-16 record the last 5 seasons.  Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NFL *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Ravens -1

Bottom Line: The Ravens are in a much better spot playing a home game off a home game in a short week.  It's much tougher going on the road in a short week.  Baltimore has won 4 of its last 6 in the series, and I believe it will be the more motivated side after falling to Cincinnati in Week 1.  The Ravens have been outstanding at home, going an amazing 39-10 in their last 49 regular-season home games.  Playing against road teams that scored 30 points or more last game that are up against a team that scored 3 points or less in the first half last game has resulted in an 80-41 ATS record the last 10 seasons.  Pound Baltimore.

4* Major NCAAF *SUREFIRE* on Louisiana Tech +4

Bottom Line: Playing against home teams in the first month of the season has resulted in a 60-25 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they allowed opponents to complete 58% or more of their passes last season.  North Texas won last season's meeting 28-13 despite being outgained and giving up 367 yards through the air because it finished the game +2 in turnover margin.  The Bulldogs led the game 10-0 but found themselves down 14-10 at the half after giving up a 56-yard pick-6 that really swung the momentum.  I look for the Bulldogs to take better care of the football this time around - they've only had 1 giveaway this season - and to have their revenge.

5* Wiseguy MNF *BEST BET* on Lions -6

Bottom Line: The Lions will be the hungrier team tonight.  They were defeated at home in overtime in Week 16 by the Giants last season in a game they led by 7 points late in the 4th quarter.  They outgained the Giants 355 to 279 in the game and dominated the time of possession.  They should have won the contest, and I expect them to have their revenge.  While NY made improvements to the defensive side of the football, an offensive line that allowed Eli Manning to be sacked a career-high 39 times remains suspect, especially since free-agent pickup Geoff Schwartz will be out at least the first 7 games with a dislocated toe.  I expect Suh, Fairley and company to wreak havoc tonight.  Pound the Lions.

4* Major Sunday Night Football *BLOOD BATH* on Broncos -7.5

Bottom Line: The Broncos enter the season highly motivated following a pathetic showing in the Super Bowl.  A 39-33 loss at Indy last year should only add fuel to the fire.  Denver is 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5-9.5 points under John Fox.  Additionally, playing against road underdogs of 3.5-10 points that has a winning record last season has resulted in an 18-4 ATS record the last 5 seasons.  For Manning, last year's defeat to his former club can't be sitting well.  Look for him to do something about it here.

5* Wiseguy NFC South Game of the Year on Buccaneers -2

Bottom Line: I love the Bucs in their season opener.  They have a coach (Lovie Smith) who has shown he can win in the National Football League, and I expect him to have them extremely well prepared.  Plus, Tampa will be extremely motivated by a pair of butt-kickings they received by Carolina last season.  The Bucs will be improved on both sides of the football, and they catch Carolina at the perfect time.  Cam Newton isn't healthy, and he has a new receiving corps to adjust to.  It takes time to build timing and chemistry, and I don't expect the Panthers to have it early.  The favorite is on a 6-1 ATS run in this series, and I look for this trend to continue.  Pound the Bucs.

4* Major Oddsmaker Error on Falcons +3

Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here.  The Falcons went 4-12 last season but had 7 defeats of 7 points or fewer.  This series has been highly competitive with the home team holding the advantage.  The home side has won or lost by 3 points or less in 11 of the last 12 meetings so I feel really good about catching a field goal in this one.  The Falcons aren't used to losing, especially at home, so they'll be looking to send a message right out of the gate.

4* Major NFL *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Bills +7

Bottom Line: The Bills have a legit opportunity to shock a Bears team that is getting way too much respect from odds makers.  The Bears shined offensively in 2013 but ranked 30th in total defense and gave up a league-high 2,583 rushing yards.  The Bears are a weak 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Underdogs of 3.5-10 points that won just 25-40% of their games last season are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons.  Grab the points.

4* Major Non-Conference Blowout on Northwestern -7

Bottom Line: Look for Northwestern to respond following last week's upset home loss to Cal.  NIU looked strong against Presbyterian but takes a big step up in class here.  The Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.  The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference contests.  Bet Northwestern.

4* Major Oddsmaker Error on Navy -3

Bottom Line: Temple, which won only 2 games last season, looks to be improved, but I'll gladly lay a field goal with Navy.  The Owls kicked Vanderbilt last week, but the Commodores really helped them out with 7 turnovers.  Navy's not going to cough it up like that.  Navy's ground game was strong against mighty Ohio State, racking up 370 yards on 63 carries, and I don't see Temple having an answer for it.  Playing against home teams in the first month of the season with just 5 offensive starters returning, provided they closed last season with at least 4 losses in their last 5 games, has resulted in a 35-11 ATS record the last 10 seasons.  This system is 13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy College Football Underdog Game of the Week on Iowa State +13

Bottom Line: Motivated by a 34-14 loss to FCS North Dakota State, and with last season's 41-7 defeat at K-State adding fuel to the fire, I expect a major response from Paul Rhoads' team.  K-State has won 6 straight in the series, but the previous 5 victories have come by 8 points or fewer.  The Cyclones have won or played the Wildcats to within 6 points or less in each of the last 4 meetings in Ames.  Home dogs of 10.5-21 points with 8 or more offensive starters returning including the QB are 40-12 ATS since 1992 following a game where they were outgained by 225 yards or more.  Pound the Cyclones.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Washington State -3.5

Bottom Line: The Cougars will be hungry following a tough loss to Rutgers in their opener.  After dropping last year's opener to Auburn, Washington State bounced back strong with a win at Southern Cal.  I expect a similar response here.  The Cougars were a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games last season, and they are 6-0 ATS under Leach in road games after allowing 475 or more total yards.  Playing on any team in the first 2 weeks of the season that was a bowl team the previous season has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record the last 10 seasons if they lost their last 2 games the previous season and had a losing record.  Pound Washington State.

5* Wiseguy NFL Opener on Packers +6

Bottom Line: The reigning Super Bowl champs are being overvalued in their home opener as you might expect.  Green Bay enters the season hungry following a mediocre 8-8-1 campaign and will draw a little extra motivation from getting robbed in Seattle by the "Fail Mary" when it last visited in 2012.  Despite the loss, the Packers have won or lost by fewer than the 6 points we are getting here in 4 straight and 7 of their last 8 versus Seattle.  That's a 7-1 trend with a perfect 4-0 tightener.  Green Bay is a reliable 40-27 ATS in road games under coach McCarthy, and I expect it to take the Seahawks down to the wire tonight.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (FoxS1) on UTSA +7.5

Bottom Line: We cashed an easy winner on the Roadrunners last week, and we'll ride them again here.  Consider that non-conference home dogs of 3.5-10 points are 30-6 ATS the last 10 seasons if they had a winning record the previous season.  Additionally, playing against non-conference road favorites of 3.5-10 points in a matchup between teams that had winning records the previous season has resulted in a 45-16 ATS record since 1992.  The Roadrunners are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 17-8 ATS as underdogs under coach Coker.  Pound UTSA.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Miami +3.5

Bottom Line: This isn't the same Louisville team that kicked Miami in last year's Russell Athletic Bowl. Teddy Bridgewater is gone and so is head coach Charlie Strong.  In addition, the Cardinals bring back only 4 starters on the defensive side of the football, and preseason 1st Team All ACC receiver Devante Parker is expected to miss 6 weeks.  Miami returns 7 starters on each side of the ball from a team that started last season 7-0.  I expect another strong start from the Hurricanes, who are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 conference games as underdogs of 7 points or fewer.  Pound Miami.

4* Major NCAAF *SUREFIRE* on Utah State +5.5

Bottom Line: Playing against home teams that return 5 offensive starters in the first month of the season, provided they closed last season with 4 losses or more in their last 5 games, has resulted in a 35-10 ATS record the last 10 seasons.  Teams fitting this situation have been favored by 6.1 points on average but have lost straight up by 1.1 points on average.  This system has produced a near-perfect 13-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons.  Utah State's stingy defense has held 8 of its last 12 foes to 17 points or fewer.  Look for the Aggies to keep this one within the number behind a strong defensive effort.

4* Major *MARQUEE MATCHUP* Georgia -7.5

Bottom Line: Look for Clemson to take a step back after losing Tajh Boyd and Sammy Watkins.  Georgia lost by 3 points to Clemson last season but had won the previous 5 meetings with the last 4 of those wins coming by 15.3 points on average.  Georgia has typically dominated ACC foes, going 22-9 ATS versus the league since 1992.  Georgia leads the all-time series 41-18-4, and I expect the SEC to flex its muscles here.

4* Major SEC *SUREFIRE* on Arkansas +19.5

Bottom Line: We'll look to take advantage of an inflated line that stems from Arkansas underachieving and Auburn overachieving last season.  With the exception of a 4-game rough patch in the middle of the season, the Razorbacks were very competitive last season.  6 of their losses came by 18 points or less.  6 of Auburn's 2013 victories came by single digits.  The Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Auburn.  Bet Arkansas.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF Blowout Game of the Week on Ohio State -16

Bottom Line: I'll back the Buckeyes in what should be an inspired performance from them.  They ended last season on a sour note, dropping their last two games after winning their first 12.  As if that's not enough motivation, they'll be out to prove they are national title contenders even without Braxton Miller.  I don't think Miller's absence will matter.  The Buckeyes have more speed, more size and more athleticism all over the field on both sides of the ball.  I look for them to really dominate the line of scrimmage.  Favorites of 10.5 to 21 points are 43-15 ATS the last 10 seasons if they won 80% or more of their games the previous season.  Teams fitting this system have been favored by 15.2 points on average, but have won by 22.5 points on average.  This system is 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons.  Pound Ohio State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on UTSA +11.5

Bottom Line: The Roadrunners were embarrassed at home by Houston last season, and they will be out for some serious revenge as a result.  They lost the game 59-28, but the score doesn't tell the entire story as they outgained Houston.  The difference was a minus-5 turnover margin.  I just don't see there being such a huge difference in the turnover column this time around, which means these 11.5 points are looking pretty good, especially since the Roadrunners return 20 starters.  UTSA is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games, 7-1 ATS in its last 8 road games and 7-1 ATS in its last 8 non-conference contests.  The Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.  Pound the Road runners.

5* Wiseguy NCAAF *BEST BET* on Tulsa -6.5

Bottom Line: This game is about revenge for Tulsa, which had won 8 straight over Tulane by an average of 30.9 points.  Tulsa is 8-1 SU and ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home during this stretch.  These 4 home wins have come by an average of 36.8 points.  The Golden Hurricane outgained the Green Wave in last year's loss but was done in by 8 penalties totaling nearly 100 yards and a -2 turnover margin.  Look for Tulsa to have its revenge at home.