MLB Archive |
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
08-28-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Texas Rangers -123 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers -123
|
08-27-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers +120 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
120 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers +120
|
08-26-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
12-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -1.5 (-108)
|
08-25-15 |
Houston Astros -126 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
15-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros -126
|
08-24-15 |
Houston Astros v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 |
Top |
0-1 |
Win
|
110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros/Yankees UNDER 8
|
08-23-15 |
Kansas City Royals -107 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -107
|
08-22-15 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -116 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-116 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -116
|
08-21-15 |
New York Mets v. Colorado Rockies +103 |
Top |
14-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rockies +103
|
08-19-15 |
Cleveland Indians -127 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-127 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -127
|
08-18-15 |
Seattle Mariners -137 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -137
|
08-17-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Los Angeles Angels -141 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -
|
08-16-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals -126 |
Top |
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -126
|
08-15-15 |
Chicago Cubs -116 v. Chicago White Sox |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -116
|
08-14-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals -125 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 29 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -125 Bottom Line: underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 who are a poor AL offensive team (4.5 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), in August games are 65-136 (32%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Royals -125!
|
08-13-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals -114 |
Top |
10-5 |
Loss |
-114 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -114 Bottom Line: St Louis is an amazing 42-16 at home this season, while the Pirates are just 26-28 on the road. With a win today, the Cardinals can move a full 8-games ahead in the NL Central. Adding value is a strong system in play on St Louis. Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 that have lost 2 of their last 3 games, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a team with a winning record are just 110-214 (34%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons (23-6 in 2015). Roll the Cardinals -114!
|
08-12-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. New York Mets -185 |
Top |
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets -185 Bottom Line: I have no problem laying big juice on the red-hot Mets at home. New York has won 9 of 11 overall and are 40-18 at home on the season. Adding value here is a great system in play backing a fade of the Rockies in this spot. Teams with slugging % of .440 or better against a very good NL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.250 or less, with a slugging percentage of .460 or better over their last 15 games are just 21-64 (25%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Roll the Mets -185!
|
08-11-15 |
Oakland A's +180 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 35 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on A's +180 Bottom Line: Too much value here to pass up on a play on the A's, as we have a huge system backing a fade of the Blue Jays in this spot. All favorites with a money line of -150 or more, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season-AL, after 3 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs are 30-17 (64%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the A's +180!
|
08-10-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Chicago White Sox -135 |
Top |
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -135 Bottom Line: Chicago is showing great value here with their ace Chris Sale on the mound, who has a 3.30 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in 10 home starts and is 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.724 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Angels. Adding more value is the fact that home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, who have a team OBP of .310 or worse against a very good AL starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.300 or better, are 51-14 (79%) against the money line in August games since 1997. Pound the White Sox -135!
|
08-09-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals -121 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 11 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -121 Bottom Line: Not only is this a great price to back the Royals at home, where they are 36-18 on the season, but we have a great system in play backing Kansas City. Home teams with an OBP of .320 or less against a very good AL starting pitching that has a WHIP of 1.300 or less, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are a dominant 40-12 (77%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Royals -121!
|
08-08-15 |
Houston Astros -120 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros -120 Bottom Line: This is a great price to back Houston, as the A's will be sending out the struggling Jesse Chavez, who owns a 10.03 ERA and 2.399 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Adding to the value with the Astros is a strong system. Home teams that are scoring 4.2 or less runs/game against a team with bullpen ERA of 3.75 or less, with a cold starting pitcher that has a WHIP of 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are a mere 11-38 (22%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Astros -120!
|
08-07-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Washington Nationals -160 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-160 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Nationals -160 Bottom Line: It's been an up and down season for Nationals' starter Jordan Zimmermann, but he's been a consistent force at home, posting a 2.53 ERA and 1.085 WHIP over 12 starts, in which Washington has gone 9-3. Colorado's coming off a win last time out against the Mariners, but haven't won back to back games since the All-Star break. Pound the Nationals -160!
|
08-06-15 |
Boston Red Sox +138 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Red Sox +138 Bottom Line: Boston is showing big time value here as a hefty road dog against rival New York. Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez has a 2.93 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 5 road starts, while Yankees' C.C. Sabathia has a 6.80 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 8 home starts. Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are a very bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or less), after a combined score of 3 runs or less are 46-26 (64%) against the money line since 1997! Pound the Red Sox +138!
|
08-05-15 |
San Francisco Giants -178 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -178 Bottom Line: This is a complete mismatch on the mound with Madison Bumgarner going for the Giants and Williams Perez taking the rubber for the Braves. To top it off, we have a huge system in play backing a fade of Atlanta. Home teamswith a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL), after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 29-71 (29%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Giants -178!
|
08-04-15 |
Minnesota Twins +155 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Twins +155 Bottom Line: Minnesota should not be this big of a dog. Twins starter, Phil Hughes, has a 2.84 ERA and 1.263 WHIP over his last 3 starts. He's every bit as good as Toronto's Marco Estrada. Adding to this is a great system in play. Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more who are a very bad AL offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), playing on Tuesday are 32-19 (72%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Twins +155!
|
08-03-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Chicago White Sox -120 |
Top |
5-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -120 Bottom Line: I believe this is a prime spot for the White Sox to bounce back after dropping 2 or 3 at home against the Yankees. Chicago is still an impressive 9-3 in their last 12 overall and will be sending out the red-hot Jose Quintana, who has a 2.61 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts. We also see that home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a terrible OBP (.310 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.300 or less) -AL, in August games are 46-11 (81%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the White Sox -120!
|
08-02-15 |
San Francisco Giants -109 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-109 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Giants -109 Bottom Line: Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN FRANCISCO) - starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or more over his last 3 starts are 36-9 (80%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Giants!
|
08-01-15 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers -210 |
Top |
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -210 Bottom Line: There's one pitcher I'm willing to lay -200 with and that's the Dodgers Clayton Kershaw. To top it off we have a huge system backing a fade of the Angels. Underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher, who are an AL team with a terrible SLG% (.400 or worse) against a very good NL starting pitcher (WHIP1.250 or less), with a slugging percentage of .330 or worse over their last 3 games are 20-74 (21%) against the money line since 1997. Pound the Dodgers -210!
|
07-31-15 |
Cleveland Indians -123 v. Oakland A's |
Top |
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -123 Bottom Line: Cleveland comes in having won 2 straight, while the A's have dropped 2 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The Indians should be able to make it 3 in a row, as they send out Danny Salazar against Kendall Graveman. Salazar has a 2.11 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last 3 starts, while Graveman has a 10.22 ERA and 2.271 WHIP in his last 3. AL home teams that are scoring 4.2 or less runs/game against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP 2.000 or worse over his last 3 starts are 11-37 (23%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Indians -123!
|
07-30-15 |
Chicago White Sox -173 v. Boston Red Sox |
Top |
2-8 |
Loss |
-173 |
10 h 53 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -173 Bottom Line: Chicago is playing some of their best baseball this season, as the White Sox enter Thursday's matchup on a 7-game winning streak. I look for the good times to continue, as Chicago owns a big advantage on the mound with their ace Chris Sale up against the Red Sox Steven Wright. Adding to this is a great system. Teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 39-8 (83%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the White Sox -173!
|
07-29-15 |
New York Yankees -140 v. Texas Rangers |
Top |
2-5 |
Loss |
-140 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -140 Bottom Line: Favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 59-17 (78%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Yankees -140!
|
07-28-15 |
Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins -113 |
Top |
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Marlins -113 Bottom Line: Miami's Jose Fernandez has taken the mound 11 times as a home favorite of -100 to -150 and all 11 times the Marlins have came away with a victory, winning by an average score of 5.7 to 0.9 (+4.8 runs/game). Miami is also a dominant 10-1 in Fernandez's last 11 home starts when working on 5 or 6 days of rest. Pound the Marlins -113!
|
07-27-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks +117 v. Seattle Mariners |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
117 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Diamondbacks +117 Bottom Line: Seattle's Mike Montgomery has completely fallen off the map since his impressive start. Montgomery has a 9.22 ERA and 2.121 WHIP over his last 3 starts. I don't see thing turning around for him in this one and Arizona's Robbie Ray comes in with a 1.35 ERA and 0.810 WHIP over 5 road starts. Arizona is 9-3 in their last 12 road games after allowing 2 runs or less and the Mariners are 3-9 in their last 12 home games after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6. Pound the Diamondbacks +117!
|
07-26-15 |
Houston Astros -112 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
1-5 |
Loss |
-112 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Astros - Bottom Line: Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (HOUSTON) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 67-22 (75%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Astros -112!
|
07-25-15 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays -111 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-111 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays -111 Bottom Line: Tampa Bay took the series opener on Friday and should have no problem securing a series win with a victory on Saturday. The Rays will have a big time edge on the mound with Erasmo Ramirez going up against the Orioles Miguel Gonzalez. Ramirez has a 2.39 ERA in 7 home starts and is working on a 1.62 ERA over his last 3. Gonzalez has a 5.22 ERA in 8 road starts and a 5.06 ERA in his last 3. Pound the Rays -111!
|
07-24-15 |
Texas Rangers +133 v. Los Angeles Angels |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
133 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rangers +133 Bottom Line: Texas is rolling offensively as they have scored an impressive 26 runs on 37 hits in their last 3 games. That offense has the Rangers falling into a very profitable system, as AL teams who are slugging .410 or worse on the season after scoring 7 or more runs in 3 straight games are 38-8 (83%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Rangers +133!
|
07-23-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Los Angeles Angels -171 |
Top |
3-0 |
Loss |
-171 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels - Bottom Line: LA's Garrett Richards is a dominant 6-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.965 WHIP over 8 home starts, which makes this an easy play on the Angels. Adding even more value is the fact that favorites with a money line of -150 or more who are hitting .260 or worse against a good starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or less) -AL, in July games are 64-14 (82%) against the money line since 1997! Pound the Angels -171!
|
07-22-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Los Angeles Angels -156 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -156 Bottom Line: Not only does LA have a big time advantage on the mound with C.J. Wilson (2.61 ERA L3) taking the rubber against the struggling Mike Pelfery (9.88 ERA L3 & 6.02 ERA in 9 road starts), but we have a strong system in play backing the Angels. AL teams slugging .410 or worse on the season, after scoring 7 runs or more in 3 straight games are 37-8 (82%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Angels -156!
|
07-21-15 |
Seattle Mariners -119 v. Detroit Tigers |
Top |
11-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners - Bottom Line: I'll gladly take Seattle in this spot as we have a big time system in play backing the Mariners. Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - starting a pitcher who walked = 2.000 over his last 3 starts are 42-8 (84%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 record this season. Pound the Mariners -119!
|
07-20-15 |
Chicago Cubs +100 v. Cincinnati Reds |
Top |
4-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs +100 Bottom Line: The Cubs went on the road and took the final two of a 3-game series at Atlanta in their return from the All-Star break, while the Reds dropped 2 of 3 at home to the Indians. The Reds know their team is about to get blown up via trades and I just don't think the motivation is there. Chicago starter Clayton Richard was sharp in his first outing of 2015, giving up just 2 runs in 6 1/3 innings. Red starter Michael Lorenzen has pitched well at times, but has struggled to go deep in games and allowed 6 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 4 1/3 innings of a 3-6 loss at Chicago back on 6/11. Pound the Cubs +100!
|
07-18-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres -143 |
Top |
4-5 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 19 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -143 Bottom Line: San Diego's Tyson Ross has bounced back nicely from a slow start and went into the break with a 1.84 ERA over his last 3 starts. It was the exact opposite for Colorado's Chad Bettis, who posted an awful 10.29 ERA and 2.214 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that are allowing 4.8 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are 8-53 (13%) against the money line in July games over the last 5 years. Pound the Padres -143!
|
07-17-15 |
New York Mets v. St. Louis Cardinals -124 |
Top |
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -124 Bottom Line: St Louis is simply showing too much value here as a small home favorite to pass up on backing the Cardinals in the first game back from the break. St Louis has gone a dominant 31-11 at home this season, while the Mets are a mere 15-28 on the road. Cardinals' Lance Lynn is 4-1 with a 1.90 ERA and 1.135 WHIP over 8 home starts and the Mets' Noah Syndergaard is 0-3 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.540 WHIP over 5 road starts. Pound the Cardinals -124!
|
07-12-15 |
Oakland A's v. Cleveland Indians -114 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-114 |
2 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -114 Bottom Line: Cleveland has won 4 of 5 and 9 of 13 overall. I expect them to be highly motivated to go into the break with a win, as they try and stay within striking distance in the AL Central. There's a solid system in play backing the Indians. All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% are 59-16 (79%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Indians -114!
|
07-11-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Chicago Cubs -114 |
Top |
5-1 |
Loss |
-114 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -114 Bottom Line: Cubs are going to be motivated here after dropping the opener of the series yesterday and there's a great system in play backing Chicago for a victory. Bad NL offensive teams (4.1 or less runs/game) against a very good AL starter (3.50 ERA or less) are 38-15 (72%) against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less in their last game. Pound the Cubs -114!
|
07-10-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates -129 |
Top |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -129 Bottom Line: Pittsburgh may have lost the opener yesterday against the Cardinals, but are still a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 games. I look for them to have no problem bouncing back an evening the series at home with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound. Cole has gone 6-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.118 WHIP over 8 home starts and 7-1 in his last 9 starts overall. Pound the Pirates -129!
|
07-09-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Pittsburgh Pirates +102 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates +102 Bottom Line: Pittsburgh shouldn't be a home dog here against the Cardinals. The Pirates know this is a golden opportunity to close the gap between them and St Louis in the NL Central and they come in playing their best baseball of the season. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall. Cardinals are in a tough spot having just finished up a 4-game series against the Cubs and starter Carlos Martinez has given up 11 runs on 15 hits in his 2 career starts vs Pittsburgh. Roll the Pirates +102!
|
07-08-15 |
Los Angeles Angels -125 v. Colorado Rockies |
Top |
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 28 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -125 Bottom Line: Los Angeles owns a 10-2 record at Coors Field and during this stretch are averaging 8 runs. They scored 10 runs in yesterdays 8-run win to open the series and have now scored 10+ in three straight. Teams with a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 7 runs or more 3 straight games are 34-8 (81%) over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Angels -125!
|
07-07-15 |
New York Mets +123 v. San Francisco Giants |
Top |
0-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets +123 Bottom Line: This is a solid spot to fade the Giants at home. Not only is San Francisco in a major funk right now having lost 7 straight, but they are at a disadvantage here with Matt Cain on the mound. Cain made his first start from Tommy John surgery and struggled as expected, giving up 5 runs in 5 innings against a weak Miami offense that is playing without Stanton. While New York's Bartolo Colon hasn't been nearly as effective as they had hoped, he was dominant in his last start against the Cubs, allowing just 3 hits over 7 shutout innings. Pound the Mets +123!
|
07-06-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Chicago White Sox -125 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on White Sox -125 Bottom Line: This is too good a price to pass up on the White Sox at home with their ace Chris Sale on the mound. Sale has overcome a rough start to 2015 and now has a 2.87 ERA and 0.958 WHIP over 15 starts. He's got a 2.32 ERA in 7 home starts and a 2.38 ERA and 0.794 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Toronto's Mark Buehrle has been dominant at home, but has just a 4.25 ERA over 8 road starts. Blue Jays won 10-5 yesterday at Detroit, but are a mere 3-11 in their last 14 after scoring 10+ runs. Pound the White Sox -125!
|
07-05-15 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -143 |
Top |
6-4 |
Loss |
-143 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Diamondbacks -143 Bottom Line: These two teams are headed in different directions, making this an easy play on Arizona. The Diamondbacks have won 3 straight and 5 of 7 overall, while the Rockies have lost 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Colorado is 0-9 after playing 6 straight games on the road and 1-14 in their last 15 after scoring 3 runs or less in 2 straight games. Pound the Diamondbacks -143!
|
07-04-15 |
New York Mets +170 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
Top |
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets +170 Bottom Line: The value is simply too good to pass up on the Mets today. New York will be sending out their ace Matt Harvey, who is every bit as good as the Dodgers Zach Greinke. Harvey has a 2.98 ERA in 7 road starts and a red-hot 0.92 ERA and 0.915 WHIP over his last 3 outings. New York is 12-2 in their last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in 3 straight games. Pound the Mets +170!
|
07-03-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays +113 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
5-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays +111 Bottom Line: There's not a better pitcher in baseball at taking the mound at a opposing park and dominating the opposition than Tampa Bay's Chris Archer. The Rays have won 14 of Archer's last 15 road starts and he comes in with a sensational 1.76 ERA and 0.935 WHIP over 7 road starts. To top it off, Tampa bay is a perfect 7-0 when Archer takes the rubber against the Yankees. Pound the Rays +113!
|
07-02-15 |
Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals -144 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-144 |
8 h 18 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals -144 Bottom Line: The Royals are primed for a big time performance at home after just getting swept on the road by the Astros. Kansas City has lost 4 straight only once all season. A visit from the Twins should do the trick. The Royals are 6-3 against their division rivals this season and have outscored them 25-12 in the last 6 (5-1 record). All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (KANSAS CITY) - where team's hitters strike out 6 or less times/game on the season, after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base are 33-7 (83%) against the ML over the last 5 years. Pound the Royals -144!
|
07-01-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. St. Louis Cardinals -142 |
Top |
7-1 |
Loss |
-142 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -142 Bottom Line: St Louis owns a ridiculous 29-8 record at home and are going to be motivated here after yesterday's 1-2 loss at home to Sale and the White Sox. The pitching matchup certainly favors the Cardinals in this one, as they send out John Lackey against Jose Quintana. Lackey has a 1.91 ERA in 8 home starts (7-1 team record) and Quintana has a 4.37 ERA in 8 road starts (2-6 team record). Pound the Cardinals -142!
|
06-30-15 |
New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 8 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 7 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 8 Bottom Line: New York is only scoring 3.9 runs and hitting .236 as a team on the road, while the Angels come in having scored just 3 runs with a .232 average over their last 7. I really like the value we are getting here with this total set at 8 runs. Yankees' Ivan Nova was sensational in his first start of 2015, allowing just 3 hits over 6 2/3 scoreless innings. Angels' Andrew Heaney was also dominant in his first start of the season, limiting the Astros to just 1 run on 4 hits in 6 innings. Look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Pound the UNDER 8!
|
06-29-15 |
Texas Rangers v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 |
Top |
8-1 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 9 Bottom Line: I believe we are seeing an inflated total here due to the poor overall numbers of today's two starters. Baltimore's Wandy Rodriguez has a 4.06 ERA overall and a 6.75 ERA in his last 3, but a closer look shows that he's got a strong 2.28 ERA and 1.085 WHIP over 7 road starts, 6 of which have finished UNDER the total. Baltimore's Bud Norris has a 6.70 ERA in 10 starts, but has a strong 3.11 ERA in his last 3. UNDER is 15-6 in Orioles last 21 after 2 or more consecutive wins and 11-2 in Norris' last 13 starts following 3 or more wins. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Rangers last 28 road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less and 8-1 in Rodriguez's last 9 starts as an underdog. Pound the UNDER 9!
|
06-28-15 |
New York Yankees +102 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees + Bottom Line: New York's Michael Pineda was roughed up in his last outing, but he only threw 76 pitches and should be primed for a bounce back start. He only threw 80 pitches in a bad start against the Orioles and fired by in his next outing allowing just 1 run on 1 hit in 6 2/3 innings. Houston's Collin McHugh is coming off a great start, but he's got a 5.77 ERA and 1.427 WHIP over 6 home starts and the Astros have gone just 1-4 in McHugh's last 5 starts after a quality start in his last appearance. Pound the Yankees +102!
|
06-27-15 |
Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels -139 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -139 Bottom Line: Seattle's J.A. Happ, who hasn't won since May 9. Happ is slowing making his way back to reality after a strong start and has a 4.24 ERA over his last 8 starts. On the flip side of this, Los Angeles' Garrett Richards has been dominant when he takes the mound at home. Richards is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in six starts at home and opponents are hitting just .188 against him. Adding value here is the fact that Richards has owned the Mariners. He's 3-1 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.877 WHIP over 6 career starts against Seattle. Pound the Angels -139!
|
06-26-15 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Diego Padres -142 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -142 Bottom Line: San Diego's Tyson Ross tossed a complete game in his last outing, by far his best start of the season. Ross is due for an extended stretch of ace-like stuff and I'm more than happy to back the Padres at home in this spot. The key here is that Ross doesn't have to be at his best to get the win. Arizona will be sending out lefty Robbie Ray, which is great news for the San Diego offense, as they throwing up 5.2 runs/game against southpaw starters this season. Pound the Padres -142!
|
06-25-15 |
San Diego Padres +110 v. San Francisco Giants |
Top |
8-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres + Bottom Line: San Diego's James Shields is 7-1 with a 3.75 ERA over 15 starts and I really like the value here we are getting against the Giants with Heston on the mound. Heston is being slightly overvalued after his no hitter. In his 2 starts after throwing the no-no, he hasn't made it past the 6th inning and has allowed 6 runs on 14 hits. Padres will be extra motivated after getting shutout yesterday. Shields is 20-9 against the money line in his last 29 road starts and 11-2 in his last 13 after a loss. Pound the Padres +110!
|
06-24-15 |
St. Louis Cardinals -114 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
6-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -114 Bottom Line: Easy choice here on the Cardinals as a small road favorite against the Marlins. St Louis has the clear advantage on the mound with Jaime Garcia going up against Mat Latos. We also find the Cardinals in a great system.Teams with a money line is +125 to -125 after 6 or more consecutive road games, playing on Wednesday are 102-59 (63%)over the last 5 seasons. Pound the Cardinals -114!
|
06-23-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins +104 |
Top |
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* ON TWINS +104 Bottom Line: Minnesota should not be an underdog at home against the White Sox in this one. The Twins got their offense rolling in a 13-2 win yesterday in the series opener and all-signs point to another easy win. The Twins are 24-14 at home while the White Sox are 12-24 on the road. Minnesota's 6-0 in Mike Pelfrey's 6 home starts (1.41 ERA), while Chicago is 2-6 in Jeff Samardzija's 8 road starts (5.71 ERA). Pound the Twins +104!
|
06-22-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Seattle Mariners -151 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-151 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -151 Bottom Line: Not a bad price at all to back the Mariners at home with their ace Felix Hernandez on the mound. Hernandez has a 2.59 ERA and 0.916 WHIP over 8 home starts. He was dominant at home in his last start against the Giants, allowing just 4 hits over 8 shutout innings. I'll take my chances with Hernandez against Blanton, who is making just his second start since July of 2013. Blanton pitched well in his first outing, but that came against the Brewers' pathetic offense. Pound the Mariners -151!
|
06-21-15 |
New York Mets -126 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
0-1 |
Loss |
-126 |
6 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Mets -126 Bottom Line: I'll gladly back the Mets at this price with their ace and one of the elite starters in the game in Matt Harvey on the mound. Harvey bounced back from an ugly start at home against the Giants with 7 shutout innings, where he allowed just 4 hits and didn't issue a walk. I look for Harvey to build on that outing and guide the Mets to a win here over their division rivals. Atlanta's Julio Teheran is not in prime form right now. He just gave up 6 runs on 13 hits at Boston and has a 5.66 ERA over his last 3 overall. Pound the Mets -126!
|
06-20-15 |
Detroit Tigers v. New York Yankees -118 |
Top |
3-14 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Yankees -118 Bottom Line: New York has won 10 of 11 at home and are once again showing great value. New York's Nathan Eovaldi allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in his last start at Miami (failed to get out of the 1st inning), but is 3-0 with a 3.89 ERA at home. Detroit's Alfredo Simon has pitched well so far in 2015, but is 1-3 with a 4.45 ERA over 5 career starts against the Yankees. Tigers are 1-10 in last 11 road games revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 2 or less runs. Pound the Yankees -118!
|
06-19-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Kansas City Royals -116 |
Top |
7-3 |
Loss |
-116 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Royals Bottom Line: I'll gladly take my chances here on the Royals as a small home favorite with the way they come into this one swinging the bat. KC is averaging 7.0 runs/game over their last 4 games, which has saw them pound out an impressive 55 hits. Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez just gave up 9 runs on 8 hits in 4 2/3 innings over his last start. Look for the Royals offense to be the difference in this one. Pound the Royals -116!
|
06-18-15 |
Boston Red Sox v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 7.5 Bottom Line: Two strong pitchers going at it in a pitchers' park with a favorable total of 7.5. Boston's Clay Buchholz has struggled a bit in his last two starts, but owns a solid 3.79 ERA and 1.079 WHIP over 6 road starts. Atlanta counters with Shelby Miller, who has a strong 1.59 ERA and 0.971 WHIP over 5 home starts. Look for both offenses to struggle to get much of anything going in this one. Pound the UNDER 7.5!
|
06-17-15 |
Chicago Cubs v. Cleveland Indians -128 |
Top |
17-0 |
Loss |
-128 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -128 Bottom Line: Chicago starter Tsuyoshi Wada has a 7.55 ERA on the road and 6.56 ERA over his last 3 starts. Indians' Shaun Marcum has a 2.41 ERA over his last 3 starts. Cubs are 2-19 in their last 21 road games against an AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 4.00 to 4.70, while Cleveland is 8-2 in their last 10 interleague home games vs a lefty starter. Pound the Indians -128!
|
06-15-15 |
Oakland A's v. San Diego Padres -109 |
Top |
9-1 |
Loss |
-109 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Padres -109 Bottom Line: There's a strong system in play on San Diego in Monday's series opener against the A's. Home teams that are a below average NL hitting team (AVG =4.50), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (NL) are 39-10 (80%) against the money line over the last 5 seasons. Adding to this is the fact that the A's are 9-27 in their last 36 road games as an underdog of +100 to +150. Pound the Padres -109!
|
06-13-15 |
Washington Nationals v. Milwaukee Brewers -123 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-123 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Brewers -123 Bottom Line: The Brewers might not be the better team, but they have a big time advantage on the mound in this one. Milwaukee will be sending out Jimmy Nelson against Joe Ross, who will be making just his second career start. Ross allowed 3 runs in just 5 innings of work in his first start at home against the Cubs and figures to have some trouble here in his first ever start on the road. Nelson will be facing the Nationals for the first time and he's been on top of his game in that spot. He's also got a solid 3.37 ERA and strong 0.923 WHIP over 5 home starts. There's a reason Milwaukee is favored by as much as they are. Pound the Brewers -123!
|
06-12-15 |
Chicago White Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 |
Top |
5-7 |
Win
|
108 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on OVER 8 Bottom Line: Both offenses figures to score early and often in this one. The Rays are being forced to turn to Matt Andriese with the recent injury to Jake Odorizzi. This will be Andriese's 4th start of the season and the last 3 haven't exactly gone well. Andriese has a 6.75 ERA and 2.062 WHIP and has yet to complete 4 innings. Chicago's John Danks has a 4.81 ERA and 1.455 WHIP over 6 road starts and has allowed 5+ runs in 3 of his last 4 outings overall. Pound the OVER!
|
06-10-15 |
Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 |
Top |
7-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on UNDER 8 Bottom Line: All signs point to a low-scoring game, making this an easy play on the under with the total set at 8 runs. Minnesota's Kyle Gibson has a 2.35 ERA over 6 home starts and a 2.03 ERA over 5 career starts against the Royals. Kansas City's Edison Volquez may have a 4.12 ERA in 4 road starts, but has a strong 1.208 WHIP. Minnesota's offense is also in a funk, having scored just 5 runs in their last 4 games. Volquez also has a 2.18 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in 3 career starts vs the Twins. Pound the UNDER 8!
|
06-08-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Pittsburgh Pirates -145 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-145 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -145 Bottom Line: Pittsburgh has won 13 of their last 16 overall and 6 straight at home. I look for the Pirates to have no problem securing a win in their series opener at home against the Brewers. Pittsburgh will be starting veteran A.J. Burnett, who has a sensational 1.69 ERA over 4 home starts. Milwaukee's Jimmy Nelson has a 5.51 ERA over 6 road starts and a 6.48 ERA over his last 3 outings. Brewers are 5-17 in their last 22 after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less and Nelson is 3-11 in his last 14 starts after a loss. Pound the Pirates -145!
|
06-06-15 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Minnesota Twins -134 |
Top |
4-2 |
Loss |
-134 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Twins -134 Bottom Line: Even with the Twins likely being forced to use several pitchers here with starter J.R. Graham likely only able to go 3-5 innings, I like Minnesota to win at home. Milwaukee's Matt Garza has an awful 7.07 ERA and 1.714 WHIP over 5 road starts and is 0-3 with a 11.66 ERA and 2.115 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Pound the Twins -134!
|
06-05-15 |
Pittsburgh Pirates -117 v. Atlanta Braves |
Top |
10-8 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Pirates -117 Bottom Line: Pittsburgh is absolutely on fire right now. The Pirates have won 3 straight and 11 of 13 overall. I'll take my chances on them adding another victory to their resume tonight, as they send out the red-hot Charlie Morton. In his 2 starts since joining the rotation, Morton has allowed just 3 earned runs over 14 innings of work. Pound the Pirates -117!
|
06-03-15 |
Cleveland Indians -136 v. Kansas City Royals |
Top |
2-4 |
Loss |
-136 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians -136 Bottom Line: Forget Kluber's two previous starts against the Royals. Kluber has figured it out and is pitching like the Cy Young winner from last year. He's allowed a whopping 2 runs over his last 3 starts with 37 strikeouts in just 25 innings of work. He's got a 1.41 ERA since May 13 and I look for the dominant stretch to continue. Kansas City is slumping right now. The Royals have dropped 6 of 7 and have scored 2 or fewer runs in each of those 6 defeats. On top of that, starter Jason Vargas has 5.16 ERA and 1.449 WHIP over 6 starts. Pound the Indians -136!
|
06-02-15 |
Atlanta Braves -106 v. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Top |
6-7 |
Loss |
-106 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -106 Bottom Line: This is simply too good a price to back the Braves with Shelby Miller on the mound. Miller is putting up elite numbers, yet is not getting the respect from the books like an elite starter. He's got a 1.48 ERA and 0.881 WHIP over 10 starts. Atlanta has won 8 of those 10 starts, including a 5-1 mark in his 6 road starts. Arizona's Josh Collmenter is 3-5 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.386 WHIP over his last 10 starts and will be facing an Atlanta offense that is hitting .313 as a team during their current 3-game winning streak. Pound the Braves!
|
06-01-15 |
Chicago Cubs -121 v. Miami Marlins |
Top |
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cubs -121 Bottom Line: Chicago's Jason Hammel is one of the more underrated starters right now. Hammel has a 2.98 ERA over 9 starts and has thrown 7+ innings in 5 of his last 6 outings. He's got a 2.05 ERA and 0.682 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Miami is starting Jose Urena, who will be making just his second career start. Urena was hit hard in his first outing, allowing 5 runs on 10 hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. Pound the Cubs -121!
|
05-18-15 |
Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7 |
Top |
1-2 |
Win
|
105 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Indians/White Sox UNDER 7 Bottom Line: This game has a pitchers duel written all over it, as the Indians send out reigning Cy Young winner Corey Kluber against Chicago's ace Chris Sale. While both of these starters got off to slow starts, each comes in off a dominating performance in their last outing that I believe will carry over to their start tonight. Kluber struck out 18 while allowing just 1 hits over 8 scoreless innings against the Cardinals and Sale allowed just 2 runs on 3 hits with 11 strike outs in 8 innings at Milwaukee. UNDER is 12-2 in Kluber's last 14 road starts and 6-1 in White Sox last 7 as a home favorite. Pound the UNDER 7!
|
05-16-15 |
Detroit Tigers -112 v. St. Louis Cardinals |
Top |
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 25 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -112 Bottom Line: It's been a wise investment backing the Tigers in day games this season and even more so when they have their ace David Price on the mound. Detroit is 14-4 in day games so far in 2015 and 3-0 when Price gets the start. Cardinals are just 9-15 in their last 24 interleague home games and 2-10 in Lyon's last 12 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5, while Detroit is 19-5 after scoring 9+ runs in their previous game. Pound the Tigers -112!
|
05-07-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-7 |
Loss |
-120 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Reds/Pirates UNDER 7.5 Bottom Line: The Reds Anthony Desclafani comes in with a 2.03 ERA and 0.935 WHIP over 5 starts and has been at his best on the road, where he has a 1.80 ERA and 0.8000 WHIP in 3 starts. Desclafani should have no problem shutting down the Pirates offense, which has scored a combined 5 runs in their last 5 games. Pittsburgh will send out A.J. Burnett, who has a 1.45 ERA and 1.161 WHIP over 5 starts and a 0.95 ERA over his last 3. UNDER is 22-8 in Burnett's last 30 home starts and 13-3 in his last 16 when listed as a home favorite of -110 or higher. Pound the UNDER 7.5!
|
04-17-15 |
Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals -124 |
Top |
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Cardinals -124 Bottom Line: St Louis is showing some solid value here as a small home favorite against the Reds. Cincinnati will have their ace Johnny Cueto on the mound, but he's just 2-3 with a 5.80 ERA over his last 9 starts at St Louis. Cardinals have scored 4 or more runs in 6 straight and I look for them to get to Cueto early and cruise to a win behind another strong effort out of Michael Wacha. Pound St Louis -124!
|
04-16-15 |
Tampa Bay Rays +103 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
|
103 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Rays +103 Bottom Line: Chris Archer has owned the Blue Jays in Toronto. Archer has a 1.84 ERA over his last 5 starts at the Rogers Centre. Not a huge surprise when you consider how good this kid has been on the road. Archer is 5-1 with a 1.68 ERA over his last 10 road starts. I'll gladly take my chances on the Rays given that Toronto will be sending out Aaron Sanchez for just his 2nd career start and he was less than impressive in his first outing of 2015, lasting just 3 1/3 innings. Pound the Rays +103!
|
04-09-15 |
Toronto Blue Jays -105 v. New York Yankees |
Top |
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
5* WISEGUY MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -105 Bottom Line: Toronto isn't going to be happy about yesterday's 3-4 loss to the Yankees, as they blew a 3-1 lead in the 8th. That's going to have the Blue Jays ticked off an 100% locked in on the finale. Most importantly, I believe they have a huge edge here in starting pitching with Daniel Norris getting the ball against the declining C.C. Sabathia. I look for Toronto's big bats to put up a big number here against Sabathia, while Norris keeps the Yankees' offense in check. Pound the Blue Jays -105!
|
10-29-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals -134 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-134 |
9 h 46 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 7 *BEST BET* on Royals -134 Bottom Line: Home field in Game 7 of the World Series has been huge. Home teams are on a 9-0 run in Game 7 of the World Series. The Royals are 6-1 at home in the playoffs and 7-1 in their last 8 home games versus the Giants. Guthrie is in better form than Hudson. The Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts while he's allowed only 4 earned runs in 30 1-3 innings. The Giants are 2-6 in Hudson's last 8 starts, during which he's given up 29 earned runs in 50 innings. Pound the Royals.
|
10-28-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals -137 |
Top |
0-10 |
Win
|
100 |
32 h 2 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series Game 6 *BEST BET* on Royals -137 Bottom Line: I like the Royals at home in this do-or-die game because they have completely owned Peavy in this ballpark. The former Cy Young winner has looked anything but at Kauffman where his teams are 0-6 in his last 6 starts while being tagged for at least 4 runs in the last 4. The Royals are 6-0 in Ventura's last 6 starts. They are also a perfect 6-0 in his starts in the 2nd half of this season versus teams that have a winning record. The Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite while the Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Pound KC.
|
10-25-14 |
Kansas City Royals v. San Francisco Giants -124 |
Top |
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy World Series GM 4 *BEST BET* on Giants -124 Bottom Line: The Giants are down in the series, but they aren't about to hit the panic button with the next 2 at home. The Giants trailed 3-2 in the 2012 NLCS and went on to win the World Series. They are in great hands with Vogelsong, who has a 2.16 ERA in 6 career postseason starts. The Giants are 6-0 in these. He has a 0.00 ERA in 1 World Series start so I don't think this moment will be too big for him. Vargas hadn't made a postseason start prior to this year. He's pitched well in his first 2 postseason starts, but the stakes have been raised. Plus, the Giants got a look at him in August. The Giants are 9-2 in their last 11 playoff home games and 6-1 in their last 7 World Series home games. Pound the Giants.
|
10-22-14 |
San Francisco Giants v. Kansas City Royals -111 |
Top |
2-7 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 58 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy 2014 World Series Game of the Year on Royals -111 Bottom Line: Peavy has a 4.97 ERA in 14 career starts against the Royals - his worst among any team he's faced more than 6 times. He's been even worse at Kauffman Stadium, where he has a 6.42 ERA in 7 career starts. His clubs are 0-5 in his last 5 starts there. Butler and Escobar have especially had his number. Butler is 14 for 33 lifetime against the right-hander and Escobar is 9 for 22. It's also worth noting that Peavy has a 7.03 career ERA in the postseason. Ventura has one of the best fastballs in baseball and a nasty curve. Making matters worse for the Giants, they haven't seen it (Ventura will be making his first start against San Francisco). The Royals are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Pound Kansas City.
|
10-15-14 |
St. Louis Cardinals -102 v. San Francisco Giants |
Top |
4-6 |
Loss |
-102 |
10 h 57 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy NLCS *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Cardinals -102 Bottom Line: The Giants can't be trusted with Vogelsong on the hill. They are 3-7 in his last 10 starts and 3-8 in his last 11 home starts. Vogelsong has an ERA of 5.11 in 11 career starts against the Red Birds and has given up 11 runs in his last 3 starts against them spanning 18 2-3 innings. Vogelsong has also allowed 4 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts while Miller has limited foes to 3 runs or fewer in each of his last 8 outings. Miller has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 of his last 7 and 1 run or none in 4 of his last 6. The Cards are 5-1 in his last 6 starts and 2-0 in 2 career starts versus the Giants, during which he's given up only 2 runs in 12 1-3 innings. Pound St. Louis.
|
10-03-14 |
Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels -146 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-146 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy MLB Playoffs Game of the Week on Angels -146 Bottom Line: I fully expect LA to bounce back at home where it is 41-18 in its last 59. The Royals are 2-6 in their last 8 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 2-5 in their last 7 game 2's of a series and 2-7 in their last 9 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Angels are 11-4 in their last 15 game 2's of a series. Ventura has had a great season for the Royals, but Shoemaker has been a little bit better. His 2.06 home ERA is over a run lower than Ventura's road mark. The Angels are 7-0 in Shoemaker's last 7 starts as a favorite and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the 2nd game of a series. Pound the Angels.
|
09-26-14 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox -108 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
5* Wiseguy AL East Game of the Month on Red Sox -108 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Yankees following last night's Cinderella ending for Jeter. I just don't see New York being in this one mentally after that. With the postseason not a possibility, the Yanks would have rather ended the season after last night's win. Playing home teams that have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game or more on the season and are off 2 straight wins of 4 runs or more, has resulted in a 31-15 record the last 5 seasons. Pound Bean Town.
|
09-24-14 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves -117 |
Top |
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
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5* Wiseuy MLB *BEST BET* on Braves -117 Bottom Line: After watching Pittsburgh celebrate clinching a playoff spot on their field, I expect the Braves to show some fire tonight. While the Pirates still have some things left to play, it's hard to bounce back mentally following such an emotional victory. Teheran has been dominant at home where he has posted a 2.04 ERA. That mark is far superior to the 3.74 mark Locke has posted on the road. The Braves are 9-3 in Teheran's last 12 home starts versus teams with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus National League Central clubs. The Pirates are 2-5 in Locke's last 7 road starts, 3-9 in their last 12 games as a road underdog and 17-38 in the last 55 meetings in Atlanta. The Braves are 2-0 in Teheran's 2 career starts versus Pittsburgh, during which he's posted a 2.77 ERA. The Pirates are 0-2 in Locke's last 2 starts versus the Braves, during which he's allowed 7 runs in 10 1-3 innings. Bet the Braves.
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09-22-14 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers -161 |
Top |
2-0 |
Loss |
-161 |
8 h 54 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Tigers -161 Bottom Line: Look for Detroit to bounce back at home following Sunday's loss to the Royals. The White Sox are an ugly 31-77 in their last 108 road games versus a team with a winning record. The White Sox are also 10-27 in the last 37 meetings in Detroit. The Tigers are 8-0 in their last 8 home games versus a team with a losing road record, 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Lobstein's 4 career starts. Detroit has seen Bassit, and it pounded him. Lobstein is making his first start versus Chicago and should benefit from facing batters that aren't at all familiar with his stuff. Pound the Tigers.
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09-19-14 |
Seattle Mariners -144 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
10-5 |
Win
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100 |
13 h 18 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Mariners -144 Bottom Line: Seattle has plenty of incentive after pulling within 1 game of Oakland for the second wild card spot. It has been fantastic on the road where it is 10-4 in its last 14 and 7-1 in its last 8 as a favorite. Houston has been its home away from home. The Mariners are 11-2 in their last 13 at Houston, including 5-0 in their last 5. The Astros are an atrocious 60-149 in their last 209 games versus winning teams, including 29-70 in their last 99 home games versus a team with a winning record. The Astros are 2-7 in Peacock's last 9 starts, and he's struggled against Seattle, posting a 5.95 ERA in 7 starts against the M's. Walker is one of the best young arms in baseball and should benefit from flying to Houston Thursday to get extra rest before this outing. He's 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in 3 career starts versus the Astros with both wins coming in Houston. Pound Seattle.
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09-17-14 |
Detroit Tigers -166 v. Minnesota Twins |
Top |
4-8 |
Loss |
-166 |
10 h 19 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* Blowout on Tigers -166 Bottom Line: The Twins are 0-5 in Gibson's last 5 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 home starts. He's given up 4 runs or more in 5 of his last 7 starts. He also has an ERA of 7.24 in 3 starts against Detroit this season. Price has a 3.30 ERA and a 1.072 WHIP on the season, including a 2.73 road ERA and a 0.949 road WHIP. His WHIP is significant because Minnesota is just 1-20 this season versus AL starters with a WHIP of 1.100 or lower. Price is 2-0 against the Twins this season, limiting them to 3 runs in 17 innings. The Twins managed a win yesterday but are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win. Pound Detroit.
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09-16-14 |
Seattle Mariners +116 v. Los Angeles Angels |
Top |
13-2 |
Win
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116 |
11 h 54 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB Underdog Game of the Year on Mariners +116 Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Angels after becoming the first team in baseball to clinch a playoff spot. Seattle will play like the more desperate team as it trails Kansas City by 2 games for the 2nd wild card slot. The Mariners also hold the edge on the mound with Elias, who has posted a 2.08 ERA over his last 9 starts. Rasmus isn't a starter but will make his 4th straight start. He hasn't made it past 3 1-3 innings in his first three starts. Another early exit will place a lot of pressure on the pen, but don't be surprised if Scioscia gives him a longer leash in this one with it being a 4-game series and not wanting to tax his pen early in the series. That bodes well for us. The Mariners have dropped their last 2 versus the Angels but are 12-3 this season in road games when playing with double revenge. Pound Seattle.
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09-09-14 |
Chicago Cubs v. Toronto Blue Jays -143 |
Top |
2-9 |
Win
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100 |
8 h 16 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Blue Jays -143 Bottom Line: Arrieta has posted a 7.15 ERA in his last four road outings, and I'm not hesitating to fade the Cubs with him on the hill here. Chicago is 0-4 in its last 4 games, 0-4 in its last 4 games versus left-handed starters and 0-5 in its last 5 games when its opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record, 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a right-handed starter and 8-0 in Buehrle's last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. He has a 2.42 ERA over his last 7 starts against the Cubs, and his clubs are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus Chicago. Pound Toronto.
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09-03-14 |
Los Angeles Angels -138 v. Houston Astros |
Top |
1-4 |
Loss |
-138 |
11 h 8 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Angels -138 Bottom Line: The Angels fit into an awesome system that I'm going to ride today. Road favorites of -125 or more that are seeking revenge for a loss as a road favorite of -150 or higher has resulted in a 62-15 record the last 5 seasons, provided it is a team with a win percentage of 54-62%. Teams fitting this system have won by 2.6 runs on average. And, this system is 35-4 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 3-0 this season. Pound the Angels.
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09-02-14 |
Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's -140 |
Top |
6-5 |
Loss |
-140 |
12 h 53 m |
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5* Wiseguy AL West Game of the Year on A's -140 Bottom Line: Seattle's bullpen got a workout yesterday, and that wasn't ideal since Paxton is coming off a start in which he threw a career-high 118 pitches. I don't expect him to be as sharp as he has been as a result, and I don't expect the pen to be able to pick him up. The Athletics are 4-0 in Gray's last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Mariners. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 25 2-3 innings during his 4-start win streak over Seattle. The A's are 38-14 in their last 52 home games and 73-34 in their last 107 games as a favorite. Pound Oakland.
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08-31-14 |
Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals -156 |
Top |
2-2 |
Push |
0 |
10 h 46 m |
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5* ESPN2 SNB *BEST BET* on Royals -156 Bottom Line: Look for the Royals to avoid being swept at home with Duffy on the hill. The southpaw has been sensational, giving up 1 earned run or none in 9 of his last 12 starts. The Royals are 14-2 in his last 16 starts as a favorite, 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite and 4-0 in his last 4 division starts. Cleveland's House has a 4.88 road ERA on the season, and I don't see that holding up here. Pound the Royals.
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08-30-14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers -138 v. San Diego Padres |
Top |
1-2 |
Loss |
-138 |
13 h 51 m |
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5* Wiseguy MLB *BEST BET* on Dodgers -138 Bottom Line: Greinke has owned the NL West. He has a 1.79 ERA in 10 starts versus division opponents this season, and the Dodgers are 18-4 in his division starts over the last 2 seasons. He's had his way with the Padres throughout his career. In fact, his teams are 6-0 all-time in his starts versus San Diego, during which he's posted a 2.00 ERA. Kennedy has a 4.35 ERA in 10 starts versus NL West foes this season. He also has a 4.27 career ERA versus the Dodgers, and his teams are 1-6 in his last 7 starts against them. Pound LA.
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