Winning Sports Picks

25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on New Orleans Hornets +9.5

The New Orleans Hornets are showing their best value of the season tonight as nearly a double-digit underdog to the Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee has no business being this heavily favored tonight in a game I believe the Hornets can win outright.

New Orleans finally put an end to their losing streak with an impressive 86-80 victory over the Utah Jazz two nights ago. Chris Kaman led the way with 27 points and 13 rebounds, while Greivis Vasquez dished out 10 assists filling in for the injured Jarrett Jack.

Milwaukee is just 12-16 on the season, yet they are getting treated like one of the elite teams in the NBA with this line tonight. The Bucks haven't won a game by double-digits since last month, and they could easily suffer a hangover from their blowout 96-114 home loss to the Miami Heat last time out.

The Bucks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Bucks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. New Orleans has won 10 of their last 11 meetings with Milwaukee, making for a 91% system backing them tonight. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -3

The Orlando Magic continue to be undervalued due to the trade talks surrounding Dwight Howard. The Philadelphia 76ers are overvalued due to their fast start. The clear value in this game is with the small home favorite.

Orlando is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last 8 games overall, beating up on some good teams while also taking advantage of soft lines. They have a win over Miami and solid road victories over the Pacers and Bucks during this stretch. Their only losses came by 5 points to the Clippers and by 2 points in overtime to the Hawks.

The 76ers are an impressive 20-9 on the season, but they have been doing most of their damage at home. Philly has played 18 home games compared to 11 road games this season, which is the biggest reason for their early success. The value is gone from this team for now, though it could come back later in the season.

This play falls into a system that is 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%). After losing at Philly 69-74 in their first meeting this season, I like the Magic to have their revenge tonight. Roll with Orlando Wednesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on South Florida -2

The South Florida Bulls should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Villanova Wildcats. Villanova continues to get too much respect from oddsmakers from what they've done in year's past, instead of what they are doing this year.

Villanova is 11-13 SU & 5-15 ATS this season. That includes a 2-10 SU & 3-8 ATS road mark. The Wildcats are giving up a whopping 75.7 points/game on the road. This team has been overvalued all season, and they remain overvalued tonight.

South Florida doesn't get the respect they deserve because they have not been a contender in the Big East over the last several years. But they are a contender this season. The Bulls are 15-10 in all games, including an impressive 8-4 in Big East play.

USF does not lose at home, going 12-1 while giving up just 57.1 points and outscoring opponents by 11.4 points/game this season. They already beat Villanova 74-57 on the road in their first meeting, so they should have no problem winning by 3-plus points at home this time around.

Villanova is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5. These three trends make for an 18-0 ATS system backing the Bulls. Take South Florida Wednesday.

15* Hawks/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5.5

The Los Angeles Lakers have been virtually unstoppable at the Staples Center all season. They are 11-2 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 9.9 points/game. Their 85.2 points/game allowed at home is by far the best in the Western Conference.

Atlanta's nine losses to clubs with winning records this season have come by an average of 13.1 points, and it's fallen behind by at least 20 in its last five defeats overall. The Hawks have lost five straight road games to the Lakers by an average of 17.0 points, allowing 109.2 points per game while shooting 25.0 percent from long distance.

The Lakers' role players have been excellent at home, but terrible on the road. Steve Blake and Matt Barnes are averaging a combined 18.0 points and shooting 47.2 percent at Staples compared to 10.5 points and 34.9 percent on the road. This team simply plays with a lot more confidence as a whole at home, and this is a very generous line tonight.

The Hawks are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 vs. Western Conference. Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific opponents. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Roll with the Lakers Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Jazz/Thunder UNDER 200

The Utah Jazz are extremely tired right now as this will be their 3rd road game in three days. I look for the Jazz to struggle offensively on tired legs, but for their defensive effort to be there. Utah will be coming up short on a lot of outside shots tonight.

The Thunder are a solid defensive team with Serge Ibaka and Kendrick Perkins inside. They only give up 93.7 points/game at home this season. Ibaka and Perkins really contained Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson in their last game, a 101-87 road victory at Utah on 2/10. I expect a similar final in this one with well below 200 combined points.

Utah has been an UNDERS machine of late. The Jazz are 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six games overall. They have combined with their opponents to score 188 or less points in five of those six contests. OKC has combined their their opponents to score 196 or less points in four straight home games.

Utah is 44-22 to the UNDER in their last 66 when revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. The UNDER is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 vs. Western Conference. The UNDER is 7-2 in Jazz last 9 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 16-7 in Jazz last 23 games as an underdog. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Tech +4.5

The Texas Tech Red Raiders should not be an underdog at home to the Texas A&M Aggies tonight. This is a game I fully expect the Red Raiders to win outright. Texas Tech picked up a huge 65-47 victory over Oklahoma Saturday as a 6.5-point underdog, giving them a lot of confidence heading into this one.

The Aggies have simply been a disappointment this season. A big reason has been due to injuries as they just haven't been healthy at any point this year. This team appeared to have packed it in against Iowa State in a 46-69 road loss Saturday, which was their fourth straight defeat.

With how poorly Texas A&M has played on the road this season, there's no way they should be favored in this one. The Aggies are 1-8 in road games, losing by an average of 12.3 points/game. Texas Tech is a respectable 7-5 at home this year. The Aggies are 0-6 in Big 12 road games, losing all six by 9 points or more.

The Aggies are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Texas A&M is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Texas Tech Tuesday.

15* Suns/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -3

The Golden State Warriors should be a much heavier favorite tonight over the Phoenix Suns. Golden State continues to go under the radar. I believe this is one of the most underrated teams in the league, and it's simply taken some time to gel under new head coach Mark Jackson.

The Warriors are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are riding a two-game winning streak with impressive wins over the Denver Nuggets (109-101) on the road and the Houston Rockets (106-97) at home. Under the defensive-minded Jackson, the Warriors are playing much better defense, giving up 100.7 points/game overall and less than 100 points/game at home.

Phoenix is one of the most overrated teams in the league this season. That's indicated by the fact that the Suns are 12-15 SU & 12-15 ATS. Phoenix is only scoring 92.2 points/game away from home this season. They simply haven't surrounded Steve Nash with the kind of talent it takes to make this team a playoff contender.

The Warriors are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. The home team is 15-7-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings. The Suns are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 meetings in Golden State. Take the Warriors Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on 76ers/Bobcats OVER 176.5

The total has been set far too low in this game between the Philadelphia 76ers and Charlotte Bobcats. I fully expect these teams to combine for 180-plus points tonight to get this OVER with relative ease.

Looking at season averages alone, it's easy to see that there is some value with this OVER tonight. Philly combines with their opponents to average 182.5 points/game, including 190.7 points/game on the road. Charlotte combines with their opponents to average 187.2 points/game overall.

Charlotte is one of the worst defensive teams in the league. They give up 100.9 points/game on 47.1 percent shooting. I look for the 76ers to exceed the 100-point mark, paving the way for an easy OVER in this one.

The Bobcats have combined with their opponents for 178 or more points in six of their last seven games overall, and Philly has combined with their foes for 178 or more points in six of their last seven as well. These are two 86% OVER systems pertaining to tonight's total set. Roll with the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +9

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. The Baylor Bears, on the other hand, have been overrated all year thanks to a soft early schedule. This line reflects both of my opinions as the Cyclones simply should not be catching this many points.

Iowa State is 18-7 on the season and deserving of being ranked. The Cyclones are 8-4 SU & 9-2-1 ATS in conference play. Their record against the spread in Big 12 games just shows how underrated this team really is. Head coach Fred Hoiberg brought in a ton of talented transfers, and they have really started to gel in conference action.

Baylor's true colors have shown here recently. They lost at home to Kansas 54-68 on 2/8 and followed that poor performance up with a 57-72 road loss at Missouri on 2/11. Iowa State only lost to Kansas by 9 on the road, and they beat the Jayhawks are home 72-64. ISU has not lost a Big 12 games by more than 9 points this season.

Baylor is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points. The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after 2 or more consecutive unders. Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall, while the Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. These five trends make for a 34-0 system backing ISU. Bet Iowa State Monday.

15* Jazz/Grizzlies ESPN Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 188

The Memphis Grizzlies are one of the best defensive teams in the league. They give up just 91.7 points/game this season, including 91.6 points/game at home on 41.7 percent shooting. they like to play at a slow pace, so playing at home tonight the Grizzlies will control the tempo in this one.

Memphis is scoring 88.2 points/game and allowing 92.0 points/game in their last five contests for an average combined score of 180.2 points/game. I fully expect this game to see 180 or less combined points as the Grizzlies and Jazz take part in a defensive battle on National TV. These teams met earlier this season on 1/06 and combined for 179 points.

The UNDER is 8-1 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. Western Conference. The UNDER is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 15-7 in Jazz last 22 games as an underdog. The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The UNDER is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Memphis. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Heat/Hawks ESPN ATS ANNIHILATOR on Miami -4

The Miami Heat are showing solid value Sunday as a mere 4-point favorite over the Atlanta Hawks. Rarely will you get the Heat at this kind of price. In my opinion, they are the second-best team in the Eastern Conference behind the Bulls, so you should definitely pull the trigger any time you get them as a small favorite.

This play falls into a system that is 35-11 (76.1%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on road favorites (MIAMI) - off a road win against a division rival, tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 5 days.

Atlanta is 11-26 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Roll with the Heat Sunday.

20* Bulls/Celtics ABC Sunday No-Brainer on Chicago -3

The Chicago Bulls are the real deal. Any time you can get the Bulls at this kind of price, you better take advantage. That's precisely what I'm doing Sunday as the Bulls go into Boston and come away with a blowout victory.

In my opinion, the Bulls are the best team in the league. They are 23-6 this season despite playing several games without Derrick Rose due to injury. While I expect Rose to play today, I still envision the Bulls covering either way.

This play falls into a system that is 49-17 (74.2%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against road favorites (CHICAGO) - after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record.

The Bulls are 7-0 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as a road favorite this season. Chicago is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing 4 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. These three trends make for a perfect 19-0 system backing Chicago. Bet the Bulls Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -2

The Orlando Magic are showing great value tonight as just a 2-point road favorite over the Milwaukee Bucks. Orlando remains one of the best teams in the league despite the trade talks for Dwight Howard.

Orlando owns Milwaukee, winning three straight in this series and six of their last seven meetings. The Magic come in the more motivated team tonight after losing in overtime last night to the Hawks, while the Bucks escaped with an overtime victory over the Cavaliers.

Another reason I like this play is because the head referee is Tony Brothers. He is known for favoring road teams. Road clubs are 14-9 ATS in all games he has officiated this season. In 2010-11 road teams were 43-27-1 ATS, in 2009-10 they were 49-21-2 ATS, in 2008-09 they were 38-34-2 ATS, and in 2007-08 they were 45-30 ATS. This is not by coincidence, folks.

The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Orlando is 7-2 ATS in thier last 9 road games. The Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Take Orlando Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Maryland +15.5

The Maryland Terrapins are showing their best value of the season today against the Duke Blue Devils. Not only is Maryland playing their best basketball of the year right now, but Duke is in a huge letdown spot.

Duke is coming off their biggest win of the season, a buzzer-beating 85-84 road victory over arch rival North Carolina. There's no question they've been getting patted on the back leading up to this game, and they'll come out flat this afternoon because of it.

The Blue Devils have been prone to getting upset at home this season. Duke lost 73-76 as a 10-point home favorite to Florida State, and they also lost 74-78 to Miami as a 12-point favorite in their last game at Cameron Indoor.

Maryland is a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. While the Terrapins are just 4-5 in ACC play, they are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS. They have not lost an ACC game by more than 14 points this season, and that came at Florida State.

Duke is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games where the total is 150 to 159.5. The Blue Devils are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Terrapins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Maryland is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. ACC foes. These four trends make for a 22-0 system backing the Terrapins. Bet Maryland Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Virginia +10.5

The Virginia Cavaliers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. Getting them as a double-digit underdog Saturday is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. The betting public is expecting UNC to bounce back, but I see it the complete opposite.

North Carolina will suffer a hangover from their huge 85-84 home loss to the Duke Blue Devils at the buzzer earlier this week. The Blue Devils are their arch rivals, so it's a loss that will take some time for them to get over.

Virginia is 19-4 on the season, just one win shy of North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 6-3 in conference play, with all three losses coming by 3 points or less. Those three losses have come by a combined 8 points, including a 58-61 setback at Duke and a 55-58 loss at Florida State. This team is the real deal.

The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in road games this season. The Cavaliers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5. Virginia is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots. Virginia is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game. These four trends make for a 27-0 system backing the Cavaliers. Roll with Virginia Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers/Grizzlies UNDER 184

The Memphis Grizzlies and Indiana Pacers are two of the best defensive teams in the league. I have no doubt this is going to be a defensive battle tonight when these teams square off in Memphis. I don't believe either team will reach 90 points in this one as it doesn't touch 180 combined points.

Memphis has been an UNDERS machine all season, especially since losing their best player in Zach Randolph to injury. The Grizzlies are 16-10 to the UNDER in all games as they score 92.5 points/game and allow 91.7 points/game. The Grizzlies and their last three opponents have combined for 178, 173 and 165 points.

Indiana is 14-11 to the UNDER in all games, scoring 94.2 points/game and allowing 91.3 points/game. Opponents are only shooting 42.1 percent from the floor against this revived Indiana defense. That's the biggest reason for their improvement this season as the Pacers come into this game at 17-8.

Memphis is 7-0 to the UNDER in their last 7 when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. The UNDER is 6-0 in Grizzlies last 6 games following a ATS loss. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games as a favorite. These three trends make for a perfect 21-0 UNDER system. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* Lakers/Knicks ESPN Friday No-Brainer on Los Angeles -3.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are clearly the superior team, and that will show on the court tonight. They come in with a ton of confidence after beating the Boston Celtics in overtime last night, picking up a signature road win that has been eluding them. I look for L.A. to build off that performance by destroying New York here.

The Knicks have actually won two straight games without Carmelo Anthony or Amare Stoudemire. As I've seen in year's past, teams can win right away without their superstar(s), but it eventually catches up to them withing a few games.

New York is getting way too much respect with this line due to all the hype that PG Jeremy Lin is receiving. While Lin has played well, he has led the Knicks to wins over the Utah Jazz and Washington Wizards, which is no big achievement. He and the Knicks' run comes to an end tonight against a legitimate opponent.

While the Lakers will be playing the second of a back-to-back, it won't affect them because they came into the Boston game on two days' rest. This team will give just as good of an effort as they did last night, which will be more than enough to beat the Knicks by 4-plus points.

The Lakers are 9-0 in their last nine meetings with New York dating back to 2007, winning eight times by 5 points or more. Kobe Bryant always gets up to play in Madison Square Garden, where he holds the single-game scoring record of 61 points. Bet the Lakers Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -13

The Chicago Bulls are simply storming through the NBA once again this season. This is a big number, but I'm willing to lay it as they'll be facing one of the worst NBA teams tonight. The best part about Chicago is that they rarely have letdowns, bringing their best effort night in and night out against all competition.

Chicago has won four straight games, including three in a row by 21 points or more all on the road against the Bucks, Nets and Hornets. The Bulls are 22-6 on the season, including 17-11 ATS. Chicago has won three straight over Charlotte, including a 101-84 victory in their last road meeting.

The Bobcats are 3-22 SU & 9-16 ATS in all games this season. Charlotte has lost 12 straight coming into this one, including seven of their last nine by double-digits. This team simply cannot be competitive because they are missing three of their best players in D.J. Augustine, Gerald Henderson and Corey Maggette.

The Bulls are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games. The Bobcats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Charlotte is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games after playing 2 consecutive road games. Roll with the Bulls Friday.

20* Thunder/Kings TNT Late-Night PARLAY on Sacramento +7/OVER 201.5

I like both of these plays quite a bit tonight. The Sacramento Kings have been playing their best basketball of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been an OVERS machine of late. I believe both selections get the cash tonight.

I am on Sacramento because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. While they have only won three of those six games, their three losses all came on the road by a combined 8 points, and they were never beaten by more than 3 points. The Kings also picks up impressive home wins over the Blazers and Warriors.

Oklahoma City is simply overvalued at this point in the season due to the fact that they own the best record in the Western Conference at 20-5. But this team has simply been winning most of their close games, which is the reason for their good record. The Thunder are only outscoring opponents by 4.8 points/game on average, including 2.1 points/game on the road.

Sacramento has played the Thunder very tough at home over the past few seasons. The Kings have not lost to Oklahoma City by more than 8 points in any of their last six home meetings. Five of those six games were decided by 6 points or less.

Oklahoma City is 7-1 to the UNDER in their last 8 games overall. Not surprisingly, they have played their last six games without top defender Thabo Sefolosha, who is expected to miss tonight's game as well. The Thunder have topped the 100-point mark in six of their last eight games, but they have given up 109 or more points in five of their last seven. This team is not playing any defense right now.

The last two meetings in this series have seen 232 and 222 combined points, respectively. I expect a similar shootout tonight between two teams that play little defense. The OVER is 10-1 in Thunder last 11 vs. NBA Pacific opponents. The OVER is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento. Bet the Kings and the OVER tonight.

20* Thunder/Kings TNT Late-Night PARLAY on Sacramento +7/OVER 201.5

I like both of these plays quite a bit tonight. The Sacramento Kings have been playing their best basketball of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been an OVERS machine of late. I believe both selections get the cash tonight.

I am on Sacramento because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. While they have only won three of those six games, their three losses all came on the road by a combined 8 points, and they were never beaten by more than 3 points. The Kings also picks up impressive home wins over the Blazers and Warriors.

Oklahoma City is simply overvalued at this point in the season due to the fact that they own the best record in the Western Conference at 20-5. But this team has simply been winning most of their close games, which is the reason for their good record. The Thunder are only outscoring opponents by 4.8 points/game on average, including 2.1 points/game on the road.

Sacramento has played the Thunder very tough at home over the past few seasons. The Kings have not lost to Oklahoma City by more than 8 points in any of their last six home meetings. Five of those six games were decided by 6 points or less.

Oklahoma City is 7-1 to the UNDER in their last 8 games overall. Not surprisingly, they have played their last six games without top defender Thabo Sefolosha, who is expected to miss tonight's game as well. The Thunder have topped the 100-point mark in six of their last eight games, but they have given up 109 or more points in five of their last seven. This team is not playing any defense right now.

The last two meetings in this series have seen 232 and 222 combined points, respectively. I expect a similar shootout tonight between two teams that play little defense. The OVER is 10-1 in Thunder last 11 vs. NBA Pacific opponents. The OVER is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings in Sacramento. Bet the Kings and the OVER tonight.

15* CBB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee State +10.5

I've been fading Murray State for a few weeks now with a lot of success. The Racers are the only undefeated Division 1 team left in the country at 23-0. As a result, this team is way overvalued right now and has been for a few weeks.

Murray State is 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Time and time again this team is a double-digit favorite and they simply cannot live up to expectations. Once again, I find the Racers laying double-digits against a team that has a chance to put an end to this streak tonight.

Tennessee State is the real deal at 15-10. The Tigers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, playing their best basketball of the season. In fact, Tennessee State has not lost by more than 7 points in any of their last 16 games. That makes for a perfect 16-0 system backing them tonight pertaining to the double-digit spread set for this contest.

Murray State is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games off a win against a conference rival. The Racers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. Tennessee State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. Add these last four trends up and we have a perfect 37-0 system backing the Tigers. Roll with Tennessee State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +10

The Northern Iowa Panthers are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They should not be catching double-digits tonight against Wichita State in a game that will go right down to the wire.

Northern Iowa is 16-9 this season. Creighton and Wichita State are the two teams that get talked about the most in the MVC, but UNI is right there with them. The Panthers stay competitive because of their ability to defend. They give up just 60.8 points/game this season.

UNI wants revenge from a 68-71 home loss to Wichita State in their first meeting. That game obviously went right down to the wire, and I have no doubt this one will too. Wichita State is simply getting too much credit for playing at home tonight.

Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game. Wichita State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts. UNI is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 revenging a home loss vs opponent. Northern Iowa is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less. Wichita State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. These six trends make for a 41-0 system backing the Panthers. Take Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia 76ers -3.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are showing awesome value as just a small home favorite tonight over the San Antonio Spurs. This is a very generous line to back one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.

Philly is 18-7 SU & 18-7 ATS in all games this season. That includes a 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS mark in home games. The 76ers are outscoring opponents 95.7 to 82.9 at home this season, or by an average of 12.8 points/game. They are the best defensive team in the league, allowing a mere 86.6 points/game in all games.

San Antonio is overrated due to their recent 5-game winning streak. This is a team that has done most of their damage at home, and little damage on the road. The Spurs are 4-8 SU & 5-7 ATS in road games, getting outscored by 5.0 points/game. They are giving up a whopping 98.3 points/game away from home.

The 76ers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game. Philly is 11-0 ATS in their last 11 when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with San Antonio. These three trends make for a perfect 22-0 system backing Philly. Plus, the home team has won eight straight meetings, and the 76ers are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 meetings with the Spurs. Bet Philadelphia Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh -2.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers are on a roll right now. They are making their run to try and play themselves into the NCAA Tournament. This team remains undervalued due to their slow start, but they're finally starting to play up to their potential.

At 15-9 on the season, I'm certain the Panthers would fall short of the Big Dance if the season were to end today. Their 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS run in their last four games has put them right back into the mix. That includes home wins over Providence (86-74), Georgetown (72-60) and Villanova (79-70) while also going on the road and beating West Virginia (72-66).

South Florida is no match for red hot Pittsburgh tonight. The Bulls are coming off a 30-point beat down at the hands of Georgetown (45-75). Their only Big East wins this season have come against bottom feeders in Rutgers, Villanova, Seton Hall, St. Johns, DePaul and Providence. They aren't ready to beat a quality team like Pitt.

South Florida is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East. Take this 11-0 system backing the Panthers straight to the bank tonight. Roll with Pittsburgh Wednesday.

20* Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Bobcats +14

Because the Charlotte Bobcats are off to such a poor start, this team is going to show great value over the next few weeks. The Bobcats are clearly struggling this year, but the value is there to pull the trigger tonight. Boston should not be this heavily favored.

The Celtics have not been a consistent team this season. They cannot be expected to blow the Bobcats out tonight. The Celtics are 13-10 on the year with very few wins by this margin. With the Lakers coming up next, I'm expecting the Celtics to look ahead to that rivalry, which is the most storied in the NBA.

Looking ahead when facing the Bobcats became a regular occurrence last season. Charlotte actually went 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three meetings with the Celtics last year. They won outright as a 13-point dog and as a 4.5 point dog, while also losing by 5 as an 8-point dog. Two of those three games were in Boston.

This play falls into a system that is 25-5 (83.3%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (BOSTON) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in February games. Boston is 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game. Bet the Bobcats Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Jazz/Pacers UNDER 193.5

The Utah Jazz and Indiana Pacers will take part in a defensive battle tonight. This line opened at 189 and has been bet all the way to 193.5 as the public is on the OVER. This provides us with ample value to pull the trigger on the UNDER. Looking at season averages alone, this is a no-brainer.

Utah is scoring 96.9 points/game and giving up 96.9 points/game for an average combined score of 193.8 points/game. Sure, that number is basically right at tonight's posted total, but looking at Indiana's numbers tells the story.

The Pacers are scoring 94.0 points/game and giving up 90.7 points/game for an averaged combined score of 184.7 points/game. Those numbers drop to 93.9 and 87.5 for an average of 181.4 points/game in Indiana home games. The Pacers will control the tempo at home tonight and I expect a final to come in the low 180's.

Indiana is 11-1 to the UNDER in their last 12 home games where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points. I'm seeing an average combined score of 183.7 points/game in this spot. The UNDER is 6-1 in Jazz last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 10-4 in Jazz last 14 road games. The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Pacers last 11 home games. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State +2

The Iowa State Cyclones remain one of the most underrated teams in the country. They still didn't get ranked this week despite three straight impressive wins to get to 17-6 on the year. They beat Kansas and Kansas State at home before going on the road to knock off Oklahoma.

I look for the Cyclones to use them not getting ranked as big-time motivation heading into this game with Oklahoma State. ISU is 7-3 in Big 12 play and only 1.5 games out of first place after Missouri won at Oklahoma last night. This team is the real deal and should not be an underdog to the Cowboys.

Oklahoma State is no more than a mediocre team at 11-12 on the season. They have no business being favored in this contest. The Cowboys are just 4-6 in conference play, which includes a road loss at Iowa State in their first meeting this season. With ISU playing their best basketball of the year right now, I expect them to cap off the season sweep.

Iowa State is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big 12 opponents. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. ISU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The clones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. These four trends make for a 27-2 (93%) System backing the Cyclones. Take Iowa State Tuesday.

15* Thunder/Blazers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland +2

The Portland Trail Blazers should not be an underdog an home to the Oklahoma City Thunder Monday. I'll take advantage of this line mistake by backing Portland to win and cover in this one as they continue playing superb basketball at home.

The Blazers are 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in 12 home games this season. They scoring 105.7 points and allowing 89.2 points while outscoring opponents by a ridiculous 16.5 points/game. Oklahoma City is one of the top teams in the west, but four of their five losses have come on the road.

The Blazers are 19-5-2 ATS in their last 26 home games. Portland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings with Oklahoma City. The Blazers are 74-47 ATS in their last 121 games as a home underdog of 6 points or less. Take the Blazers Monday.

20* UConn/Louisville ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Louisville -4

The Louisville Cardinals are showing great value Monday as only a 4-point home favorite over the UConn Huskies. UConn has been overrated all season after winning the championship last year. That has really shown in Big East play.

The Huskies are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall despite being a favorite in four of those five contests. UConn is just 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS on the road this season where they are scoring a mere 62.8 points/game on 41.1 percent shooting.

Louisville is 18-5 this year and one of the top teams in the country. The Cardinals are a super 14-2 at home, outscoring opponents by 13.3 points/game. They are only giving up 60.4 points on 36.8 percent shooting at home.

Louisville is red hot right now, going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with four straight wins by 9 points or more. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Huskies. Bet Louisville Monday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando +6

The Orlando Magic are back on track and on a mission. The Indiana Pacers are getting way too much respect for their win at Dallas last night. These two factors coupled together provide us with excellent value on the Magic Saturday.

Indiana is 4-16 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Roll with the Magic Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Iowa State +2.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are one of the most underrated teams in the entire country. They have beaten the Kansas Jayhawks and Kansas State Wildcats in back-to-back games despite not being a favorite in either. ISU should be a favorite today against lowly Oklahoma, but they're not.

The Cyclones are 16-6 on the season and legitimately one of the best teams in the BIg 12. ISU is 6-3 in the Big 12 this season to show their true colors. Oklahoma is 3-6 in the Big 12 this year, and just 13-8 on the season. This team is not on the same level as the Cyclones.

Iowa State is 8-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +6.5

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are showing tremendous value tonight. Baylor is a team that I believe has been overrated for quite some time. They should not be favored at all at Oklahoma State, let alone by 6.5 points.

OSU is 9-1 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Oky State is 8-0 ATS in home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Cowboys Saturday.

20* Knicks/Celtics NBA on ESPN GAME OF THE WEEK on New York +7

The New York Knicks are showing awesome value Friday as a big road underdog to the Boston Celtics. Boston is getting a lot of love because of their recent play. But the fact of the matter is that the Celtics have had to win six of their last seven just to get to 11-10 on the season. This is still a mediocre team at best.

The Knicks are off to a slow start, but that's why they are showing so much value here. It's only a matter of time before a team with this much talent gets going. After thumping the Detroit Pistons 113-86, the Knicks came back last night and gave the Eastern Conference-leading Chicago Bulls all they could handle. The Knicks would lost 102-105, but they're certainly battle-tested coming into this showdown with the Celtics.

New York is a superb 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. division opponents. They are actually outscoring their division foes 101.1 to 97.2 in this spot. The Celtics are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 35 points or less in the first half last game. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. These three trends make for a 22-1 system backing New York. Bet the Knicks Thursday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +8

The Orlando Magic are way overvalued heading into this game with the Cleveland Cavaliers. While Orlando has been one of the most overrated teams in the league this season, the Cavaliers have been one of the most underrated.

Orlando simply cannot be trusted with the Dwight Howard situation and his likely trade looming. That has especially been the case of late as the Magic are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Their one win came at home against the lowly Washington Wizards 109-103.

The Cavaliers are 8-12 SU, but 12-8 ATS. They have been dealt a very tough schedule in the early going with 12 road games compared to 8 home games. Cleveland is 5-7 SU, but 8-4 ATS in road games this season. They are only getting outscored by 3.5 points/game away from home.

Orlando is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games off a home win against a division rival. The Magic are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Orlando is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. These three trends make for an 18-1 system going against the Magic. Roll with the Cavaliers Friday.

15* Heat/76ers NBA Friday No-Brainer on Philadelphia +2.5

The Philadelphia 76ers should not be a home underdog to the Miami Heat tonight. This is simply a display of how the Heat are way overvalued while the 76ers remain undervalued. These are two 16-6 teams and two of the best teams in the East, but I'll sign with the home squad to get it done here.

The 76ers will be out for revenge after a rare loss on the road in their first meeting with Miami earlier this season. Philadelphia has been dominant at home all year. The 76ers are 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in home games, outscoring opponents by a whopping 15.7 points/game.

Miami has been very beatable on the road this season. The Heat are just 6-4 away from home, outscoring opponents by 0.3 points/game. They are giving up a ridiculous 101.5 points/game in road games as their defense has been nearly non-existent. To compare, the 76ers are only giving up 81.3 points/game at home.

The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Miami is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Miami is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games, while the 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Friday games. These five trends make for a perfect 24-0 system backing Philly. Take the 76ers Friday.