UCLA Oregon State Odds

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The UCLA Bruins (6-2, 3-2), who are #23 in the College Football Playoff rankings and #22 in the AP poll, will travel to the Pacific Northwest as they take on the Oregon State Beavers (2-6, 0-5) in Pac-12 action Saturday afternoon. UCLA has won seven of the last ten meetings; Oregon State won the last meeting 27-20 on the road as an 8 point underdog on September 22, 2012.

UCLA won their second straight game as they downed Colorado 35-31 at home last week. Oregon State lost their fifth straight contest as they were defeated 27-12 on the road by #13 Utah last week. This game will kick off from Reser Stadium in Corvallis, Oregon at 4:30 pm ET and will be televised on the Pac-12 Network. UCLA is currently favored by 17 points in this contest with the over/under set at 58 points.

Free Pick on the UCLA Bruins -17

UCLA led 21-3 in the second quarter but found themselves in a 31-28 hole in the fourth quarter before Soso Jamabo’s 2 yard scoring run with 8:28 to play in the game gave them the victory. The Bruins won the game despite being outgained 554-400; in addition, the Bruins lost the first down battle 34-16 and were dominated in time of possession as Colorado held the ball for 41:05 in the contest. Both teams committed a pair of turnovers; UCLA allowed a touchdown on a fumble return but did put up a touchdown on an interception return in the contest.

The Bruins enter this contest 25th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 281.6 yards per game through the air; they are 42nd in the nation in rushing as they collect 187.3 yards per game on the ground. UCLA is tied for 30th in the nation in scoring offense with an average of 35.5 points per contest and they stand tied for 73rd in scoring defense by allowing 27.6 points per game. Freshman quarterback Josh Rosen has completed 177 of 290 passes for 2,231 yards with 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions while backup Jerry Neuheisel has hit only 2 of 11 passes for 22 yards with two picks. Paul Perkins is the Bruins’ leading rusher with 137 carries for 872 yards and nine scores; Soso Jamabo (51 carries, 297 yards, 3 TD), Bolu Olorunfunmi (29 carries, 187 yards) and Nate Starks (34 carries, 194 yards, 3 TD) are all good secondary options. Jordan Payton leads UCLA with 45 receptions for 681 yards and four scores; Thomas Duarte (36 grabs, 550 yards, 6 TD) and Devin Fuller (22 catches, 233 yards, 3 TD) are other solid targets. Ka’imi Fairbairn has booted all 33 extra point attempts and 13 of 14 field goal attempts this season with a long of 60 yards.

Oregon State put up a game performance against Utah on the road but couldn’t find the end zone until the fourth quarter to end up a loser. The Beavers were outgained 372-312, gave up 20 first downs to their 16 and lost the time of possession battle 31:16 to 28:44 in the game. The game was turnover free for both sides but Oregon State couldn’t put the ball in the end zone in the first three quarters. After trailing 14-6 after three; the Beavers allowed Utah to score 10 points in the first six minutes of the fourth to put the game away.

The Beavers have issues moving the ball through the air as they are 115th in the nation in passing offense (159.5 yards) while they are 58th in rushing offense (179.1 yards) per game on the year. Oregon State averages a meager 19.4 points per game, which leaves them tied for 115th in the nation in scoring offense while they are currently 92nd in the nation in scoring defense by allowing opponents to pile up 30.6 points per contest. Two freshman quarterbacks have seen action for Oregon State: Seth Collins (81 of 156, 890 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT, team leading 536 rushing yards, 5 TD) has seen the majority of the action while Marcus McMaryion (6 of 17, 60 yards, INT) is next in line should a change be made. Nick Mitchell has completed 28 of 59 passes for 326 yards with one touchdown and an interception in his work. Storm Barrs-Woods is the feature back in the system for Oregon State as he has 75 carries for 373 yards and a score; Ryan Nall has contributed 39 carries for 217 yards and two scores on the year. Victor Bolden leads the Beavers with 33 receptions for 282 yards and two scores while Jordan Villamin has added 29 receptions for 474 yards and four touchdowns. Datrin Guyton (14 grabs, 178 yards), Hunter Jarmon (12 catches, 100 yards, TD) and Barrs-Woods (11 catches out of the backfield) are the other players that have caught double digit passes this season. Garrett Owens has kicked all 15 extra points and 10 of 13 field goal attempts this season with a long of 50 yards.

UCLA is 4-1 ATS in their last five after an ATS loss, 4-1 ATS in their last five after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground and 4-1 ATS in their last five in November. Oregon State is 1-4 ATS in their last five at home, 1-4 ATS in their last five at home against teams with a winning road record, 1-4 ATS in their last five in November, 3-12 ATS in their last 15 overall, 1-5 ATS in their last six against teams with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games.

The Beavers are struggling right now and they have serious issues at the quarterback position and defensively this season. UCLA had a tough time with Colorado but the Buffaloes have a decent quarterback and a good running game to work with; Oregon State doesn’t have those options to work with here. The Bruins should win this one handily as they get their third straight victory.

 

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