Penn State, led by sophomore running back Saquon Barkley, comes in with a chip on its shoulder after being snubbed for entrance in the four team College Football Playoff, despite winning the Big Ten Championship. Quarterback Trace McSorely has thrown for 3,360 yards and 25 touchdowns as a true freshman starter this season. McSorely has both strong presence in the pocket and incredible arm strength. He’s able to make throws downfield, and complete passes on precision out routes that make Penn State a top 5 preseason pick for next year, and McSorely a Heisman candidate for next year.
USC, on the other hand, is led by the dynamic Adoree’ Jackson. The 2016 Jim Thorpe Award Winner is a threat both on defense and special teams. Jackson has 51 tackles, 4 interceptions, and 2 fumble recoveries this season. On offense, USC starts freshman quarterback, Sam Darnold, who has thrown for 2,633 yards and 26 touchdowns in his first year with the Trojans.
When betting College, especially during bowl season, I stay being a strong proponent of taking the underdog. USC is giving Penn State 7 points. In this game, you should take advantage of the odds and every wagering resource you have available. USC should be anywhere from a 3 to 4.5-point favorite in the first half, and I think that’s a solid pick to make. At the same time, Penn State +7 for the game seems like a good play because with the track record of Penn you can expect a second half run.
Personally, I will use live wagering strategy throughout the game to minimize my losses and maximize my odds from the first quarter to the final whistle. Wagering live during the game gives me plenty of opportunities to load up on my predictions that were right and hedge off on my predictions that were wrong.
Though this match-up creates plenty of intrigue, it is a perfect example as to why the College Football Playoff field should be extended from four teams to eight. Penn State is the Big Ten Champion and still finds itself in a bowl game that essentially means nothing.
Due to the point spread, it’s clear all the predictions and prognosticators have USC giving Penn State a beating. My opinion, on the other hand, is that Penn State may come out slow but inevitably keep the game close, or even leave the Rose Bowl with an upset win. I’m going to take USC in the first half, hopefully +3.5 or 4, and then take Penn State +7 for the game. While watching Penn State last week against Wisconsin, and throughout the season, it confirms my suspicions. Penn State is top five in the country in second half point differential. Click here for more free additional picks this bowl season.
I’ve won many College bowl pools throughout the years, and taking the points along the way has served me well. Though I love the College season, I find bowls like this anticlimactic because in the end the best these teams can do is finish in 5th or 6th place overall. But, at this point for me, College Football is about using my wagering assets to grind out every cent of profit I can until I’m on to March Madness and the second half of the NBA season.
Overall, my prediction is Penn State, and the 7 points should serve you well. If you can lock that in and use your in-game betting strategies to capitalize on any odds discrepancies through the game, you should find yourself a happy bettor and wealthier person when the final whistle blows, and Penn State beats USC 38 to 31 in this year’s Rose Bowl. Good luck and happy betting.