Jack's Free Pick Friday: Blue Jays/Twins OVER 8.5
Two of the most potent offenses in baseball continue their series tonight in Minnesota. These teams combined for 12 runs yesterday and I fully expect 9-plus combined runs again to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket. The Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, while the Twins are scoring 4.5 runs per game.
Jose Berrios has been a disaster on the road this season. He is 2-4 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.550 WHIP in 10 starts away from home. He'll be opposed by Tyler Mahle, who is 2-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.383 WHIP in 12 home starts this season.
The OVER is 13-6 in Mahle's 19 starts this season. The OVER is 8-2 in Berrios' 10 road starts this season. The OVER is 22-8-1 in Blue Jays last 31 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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Play - Toronto Blue Jays w/Berrios (Game 921).
Edges - Blue Jays: Berrios 6-0 with 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP last six overall starts, and 9-3 starts at night this season … Twins: Mahle 3-9 at home with 4.34 ERA and 1.38 WHIP as opposed to 5-2 away 3.83 ERA and 0.98 WHIP away this season … With Berrios 10-2 in his last dozen starts, including 6-0 the last six, we recommend a 1* play on Toronto. Thank you and good luck as always.
*Selection ratings are:
1* free choice,
2* favorable choice,
3* top quality choice,
4* top quality strong choice,
5* top quality exceptional choice,
10* top quality highest rated choice.
Note: the majority of top choices appear on my Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.
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