1* Free Pick on Mariners/A's under 7½ -115
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1* Free Wiseguy Play on A's +126
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Thursday's MLB Free Pick: Seattle Mariners -127
I'll take my chances with the Mariners as a slim -127 road favorite against the A's. Seattle has dominated the first two games of this series. The Mariners won 8-2 on Tuesday and then 9-0 yesterday.
Now it's Robbie Ray's turn to take on this struggling Oakland offense. Ray has looked like the guy who won the Cy Young last year in his last two outing. First he held the Red Sox scoreless over 7 innings. Most recently he allowed just 1 run on 3 hits with 10 K's in a start vs the Angels. The A's have scored 2 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 and have not score more than 4 runs in a game since June 11.
Frankie Montas will be on the mound for Oakland. He's got a very respectable 3.42 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 14 starts, but the A's are a mere 3-11 in those starts, including a mere 1-9 at home. Montas has also struggled a bit of late, posting a 4.76 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Give me the Mariners -127!
Confidence Rating: 6 (Scale of 1-10)
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Thursday MLB Free play. My selection is on Oakland +1.5 runs over Seattle at 3:35 pm et on Thursday.
The Mariners have taken the first two games in this series in blowout fashion. I look for the lowly A's to at least keep things competitive and ultimately take the M's down to the wire on Thursday afternoon. Robbie Ray will take the ball for Seattle. His 4.30 FIP is less than impressive, as is his 3.1 walks allowed per nine innings this season. Opponents are averaging just shy of 4.4 runs per nine innings against the left-handers. The A's will counter with Frankie Montas. He was an A.L. Cy Young Award contender last season but hasn't been able to regain that magic so far in 2022. He should be happy to see the Mariners, noting that he owns a 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in seven career starts against them. While the right-hander hasn't been in Cy Young form this season, he has recorded a solid 3.28 FIP and 1.14 WHIP. As bad as things have gone for the A's, they haven't been swept in a three-game series since June 3rd-5th when they dropped three in a row against Boston. Seattle hasn't won more than two games in a row since way back in mid-April, when they delivered four straight victories from the 22nd to 26th. Take Oakland +1.5 runs.
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After a rough start, it appears that left hander Robbie Ray’s season is finally starting to come around, much to the Mariners’ relief. His last two outing s have been excellent, giving up just 1 run in 14 innings. He faces Frankie Montas (3.52 ERA) who hasn’t been as sharp in June, seeing his strikeout totals drop and his ERA climb by over a run.
The Mariners have won a pair of lopsided games against the A’s, limiting them to just 2 runs total. Oaklnd struggles mightily on offense and the A's bullpens’ ERA over the last 10 games is double the Mariners’. The A’s are just 8-28 at home this season. Take the road team, the Mariners, to win their third straight tonight.