Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-18-20
Green Bay -1 -105
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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Green Bay and Tampa Bay at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.
Projected shootouts such as this one often fizzle out but I don't expect that to be the case on Sunday afternoon in Tampa. The Packers offense entered their bye week red hot and I'm confident they'll pick up where they left off here. QB Aaron Rodgers will have his favorite target Davante Adams back on the field but I actually feel this will be an 'Aaron Jones game'. The Bucs haven't been able to prevent enemy backs from catching passes at will out of the backfield and I look for the Pack to do a good job of utilizing Jones in that nature here. Meanwhile, Bucs QB Tom Brady should enjoy a much cleaner pocket than he had last week against Chicago. He's also expected to have WR Chris Godwin back in the mix. With Green Bay allowing just shy of 4.8 yards per rush things should really open up for the Bucs offense in all facets here. Take the over (8*).
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The set-up: Green Bay comes in rested at 4-0 following its bye week. Aaron Rodgers has been spectacular in the early going, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair here. Note that Green Bay allows 25.3 PPG and it's allowed just 23.3 PPG over its last three. Bucs' QB Tom Brady has been decent to this point as well. Expect Tampa to run the ball a lot here as it looks to avoid any type of a shootout with Rodgers. The Bucs have been fantastic defensively in the early going as well, allowing only 22.4 overall and 20.3 over their last three.
The pick: Finally note as well that the Packers have seen the total go under in 2 of their last seven after their bye, while the Bucs have seen the total dip under in five of their last seven after scoring 20 points or less in a loss in their previous outing. This number is a little high in my opinion, consider a second look at the "under."
This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the UNDER Packers/Bucs.