10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Ill-Chicago +11)
I'll take my chances here with the Flames as a double-digit road dog against the Raiders. These two teams met up back on Jan. 12 and UIC won that meeting 76-72 as a 6.5-point home dog. At the time it was a big upset, as the Flames had opened up just 1-4 in league play. That was a game UIC led by 9 at the half and won despite shooting 3 of 11 (27%) from deep.
The Flames are now 7-6 in the Horizon with 6 wins in their last 8 games. What's even more impressive is 4 of those 6 wins came on the road. UIC is 6-2 ATS during this run and while I think it will be tough to win outright against Wright State, I don't think it's asking a lot for them to keep it within the number.
Going back over the last 20+ years, favorites who have won 80% or more their games and are revening a loss where they gave up 75 or more points to a team that has a marginal losing record (40% to 49%) are a miserable 38-77 (33%) ATS. It's also trending in the right direction. Favorites are just 9-21 (30%) in the last last 5 years and 4-11 (27%) last 3 seasons. Give me the Flames +11!
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Play - Illinois Chicago (Game 877).
Edges - Flames: 14-4 ATS in this series, including 7-1 ATS away … Raiders: 0-7 ATS with revenge in this series … We recommend a 1* play on Illinois Chicago. Thank you and good luck as always.
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