1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Loyola-Chicago +2½ -109
I like the value here with Loyola-Chicago at basically a pick'em on the road against Ball State. The There's no denying the Ramblers aren't on the same level as a couple of years ago when they made that epic Final 4 run, but they are a still a tough out under head coach Porter Moser.
As for the Cardinals, they are a middle of the pack team in the MAC and simply can't be trusted in this spot. Since James Whitford took over as head coach in 2013, Ball State has gone a miserable 16-38 ATS when listed as a home favorite and 3-12 ATS last 15 times they have been a home favorite of 3-points or less.
Moser on the other hand always seems to have Loyola playing well on the road. The Ramblers are 62-44 (58%) ATS in all road games since he took over. They are also 14-4 ATS last 18 times on the road vs a strong shooting team that is shooting 45% or better from the field.
Another thing is that while Loyola is off to a mediocre 4-4 start, they have shot the ball exceptionally well. The Ramblers are shooting 52.5% for the season and that's with them not being able to buy a 3-pointer, as they are just 29.7% from deep. Take Loyola-Chicago!
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