NFL Betting Odds & Free Pick: Redskins vs Lions

A pair of losing teams will try to add another number to the win column in Week 12, as the Washington Redskins take on the Detroit Lions. Game time is at 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 24 at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland. Fans in local markets can watch the game on Fox.

Based on our Week 12 NFL odds, the Lions are 3.5-point favorites on the road. There is also an over/under of 41.5 points.

Redskins vs Lions Betting Preview & Vegas Game Odds

A couple of months ago, the Lions looked like an actual playoff contender. Detroit opened the season with two wins and a tie and appeared ready to compete with the heavyweights in the NFC North. However, Matt Patricia’s team has just one win in their last seven games, dropping them to 3-6-1 overall. To make matters worse, Matthew Stafford has missed the team’s last two games with a back injury and remains sidelined heading into Week 12.

Detroit’s playoff odds are slim at this point, especially since they don’t know whether or not Stafford will return by the end of the season. The silver lining is that the Lions will play four of their final six games against other losing teams, giving them a glimmer of hope if they can get back on track this week.

As for the Redskins, few expected much from Washington this year and those expectations have been met. To their credit, the Redskins were able to avoid a winless season by beating the Dolphins last month. However, they’ve gone right back to losing, dropping four in a row since that win, including a 34-17 home loss to the Jets last week.

On the bright side, the Redskins have a chance to avoid a last-place finish in the NFC East. They are just a game back of the Giants, who they will play in Week 16. The downside is that Washington’s schedule the final month of the season is filled with teams fighting for a playoff spot. This week’s home game against the Lions is their best chance to get a win outside of their game against the Giants.

Free Pro Football Pick Against the Spread: Lions -3.5

The Lions are getting a vast majority of the action in this game, and I’m going to jump on that bandwagon. It’s worth noting that all three of Detroit’s wins this year have come by five points or less, so they’re not the type of team that is able to win by comfortable margins. However, the Redskins continue to prove that they’re a special kind of bad, losing nearly every game by double digits. I’ll lean toward Detroit to find a way to win and cover this week.

Obviously, Detroit’s biggest concern is Jeff Driskel taking over for Stafford. Driskel hasn’t exactly crushed it the last two weeks with the Lions losing both games. But he hasn’t been terrible either, throwing three touchdown passes to just one interception. Keep in mind that Driskel has had some game experience before these last two weeks. He actually has nine touchdown passes in his career compared to three interceptions, so he’s a viable backup, especially with a nice collection of receivers around him.

More importantly, the Washington defense has been dreadful this season. In recent weeks, they’ve made mediocre quarterbacks like Sam Darnold and Josh Allen look well above-average. They haven’t exactly been stout against the run either. On the season, the Redskins are giving up over 25 points per game. Meanwhile, the Lions have scored at least 24 points in seven of their 10 games, including last week with Driskel at quarterback. It hasn’t been enough to win most weeks, but reaching that point total should put Detroit in good shape against the Redskins.

With rookie Dwayne Haskins starting at quarterback, the Washington offense continues to struggle. I don’t trust them to get anywhere close to 24 points against any team. Before last week, the Redskins had gone three consecutive games without a touchdown. Even the two touchdowns Washington got last week came in garbage time after they had already fallen behind 34-3.

It’s clear to everyone watching that Haskins isn’t ready to be a starting quarterback. Yet, the Redskins insists on having him learn on the job. Even against a rather porous Detroit secondary, I don’t see Haskins having much success, especially since the Redskins are lacking playmakers in the passing game. Washington’s only hope in this game is their rushing attack, which has been good at times. But if they fall behind and have to abandon the run, the Redskins have almost no path back in the game with Haskins and an offensive line that allowed six sacks last week.

Admittedly, it’s tough to trust a team like the Lions that’s lost three in a row and playing a backup quarterback, especially as road favorites. But there’s enough to like about Driskel and the Detroit offense whereas the Redskins have nothing going their way at the moment. There are no sure things when it comes to bad teams being favored on the road. However, this is one of those occasions when it’s the safer pick.

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