The San Francisco 49ers will take their undefeated record across the country in Week 7 when they visit the Washington Redskins. Game time is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, October 20 at FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland. Fans on the west coast and the Washington-Baltimore area will be able to watch the game on Fox.
Based on our Week 7 betting odds, the 49ers are 10-point road favorites against Washington. The over/under for the game is set at 42 points.
An early-season bye has done nothing to stop San Francisco’s momentum. After beating three losing teams prior to their Week 4 bye, the 49ers have come back with a Monday night thrashing of the Browns and a convincing road win over the Rams. Other than the Patriots, San Francisco is the only other unbeaten team left in the NFL at 5-0.
Of course, that 5-0 record is just barely enough to stay ahead of the 5-1 Seahawks. The 49ers are still feeling plenty of pressure to keep on winning with Seattle nipping at their heels atop the NFC West standings. On the bright side, San Francisco’s schedule appears to be manageable leading up to a Week 10 showdown with the Seahawks.
Meanwhile, the Redskins are thrilled to finally have a 1 in the win column after beating the winless Dolphins last week. Washington needed to get a stop on a 2-point conversion late in the game to secure a 17-16 win. But a win is still a win, even an ugly one. After starting the season 0-5 with four of the five losses coming by at least 10 points, it was no doubt a relief for the Redskins to get a win, albeit after head coach Jay Gruden was fired.
Obviously, there’s little hope for the Redskins to get back into the playoff hunt. However, the quest for win no. 2 begins this week. Unfortunately for Washington, they’ll face an undefeated team before back-to-back road games against the Vikings and Bills, so there aren’t many good opportunities to pick up a win on the horizon, at least not without pulling off a major surprise.
Road games in the NFL are always tricky, especially for west coast teams that have to play early games on the east coast. But it’s going to take a lot more than that to give the Redskins a chance in this game. On paper, this might be one of the biggest mismatches we see all season. I’m actually surprised the spread isn’t more than 10 points. I’ll lean toward the 49ers to dominate the Redskins and cover the spread with ease.
The San Francisco defense is turning into one of the most dominant units in the league before our eyes. It was one thing to hold Baker Mayfield and the Browns to three points fresh off a bye week. But the 49ers held the Rams to seven points, 157 total yards, and just 10 first downs last week. It’s almost hard to wrap one’s head around a team doing that to the Los Angeles offense. On the season, the 49ers have allowed the fewest yards and the second-fewest points in the NFL. On top of that, they’ve allowed a total of 126 passing yards over their last two games against the Browns and Rams.
If the Rams couldn’t generate any offense against the San Francisco defense, the Redskins stand virtually no chance of doing anything. Back in the starting lineup, Case Keenum was just 13 for 25 for 166 yards last week against Miami’s pitiful defense. It was just barely enough to get a win, even with Adrian Peterson rushing for over 100 yards. That kind of effort isn’t likely to yield many points against the 49ers. Despite the emergence of rookie receiver Terry McLaurin, the Redskins are short on bonafide playmakers and could struggle to keep Keenum protected against an outstanding San Francisco defensive line.
Offensively, the 49ers do most of their work on the ground, averaging close to 180 yards per game rushing. Even with Raheem Mostert banged up, the 49ers can simply lean on Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman to carry the load. Despite finding the end zone just once this year, Breida is averaging close to six yards per carry. Coleman has also come back strong the last two weeks after missing time with an injury. The 49ers still have Jimmy Garoppolo if they need him. But with the way the Redskins have defended the run this year prior to last week’s game in Miami, the 49ers should have no problem moving the ball on the ground.
In the end, I don’t think the 49ers will even need to score that many points to cover the 10-point spread. The Redskins haven’t scored more than 17 points in their last four games and now they’re going up against one of the best defenses in the league. Getting shut out at home isn’t out of the question for Washington this week. Even if the 49ers have an off day on offense, the defense should almost be enough to cover the spread.