Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Betting Preview and Free Pick

On Sunday, the Chicago Bears have a great chance at getting revenge on their rival the Green Bay Packers, who beat them earlier this season. The Packers are a bad team without Aaron Rodgers and the Bears can take full advantage of an inexperienced quarterback in the 196th meeting between these two teams. Kickoff inside Solider Field is at 1 PM ET.

Vegas Betting Lines and NFC North Preview: Packers vs Bears

The Packers defeated the Bears at Lambeau Field earlier this season, bringing their streak to 3 straight wins over Chicago. They’ve won 7 out of the last 8 overall meetings between these two teams and 13 out of the last 15. The Packers have also won the last 5 games in Chicago.

Green Bay (4-4) has lost 3 straight games, including the last 2 contests that Brett Hundley has started in place of the injured Aaron Rodgers. The Packers can’t find any rhythm on offense and look like a sinking ship without Rodgers. They’ve only been able to muster up 17 ppg with Hundley at the helm and the passing game has been abysmal.

Chicago (3-5) is 2-2 at home this season, which includes wins over Carolina and Pittsburgh. They’re in a great position to defeat the Packers this weekend as rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky gets his first taste of this historic rivalry. Trubisky was the backup for their first meeting this season. In fact, it was the Bears 35-14 loss to Green Bay 5 games ago, that motivated the coaches to make the QB switch from Glennon to Trubisky.

The spread opened with Chicago favored by 3 points. Currently, it has gone up to 5.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 38 total points and it remains unchanged.

Free Game Prediction and Vegas Spread Pick: Chicago Bears -5.5

If you include the game that Rodgers was injured (versus the Vikings), the Packers have scored only 14.7 ppg. That’s about half of their scoring per game when Rodgers was playing. Hundley has an awful 58.3 passer rating and looks overwhelmed out there. He has one touchdown and 4 interceptions in his limited time. However, Hundley’s struggles aren’t the only concerns for the Packers heading into this game.

Green Bay will be without starting safety Morgan Burnett who is suffering a groin injury and offensive lineman Bryan Bulaga who tore his ACL. Additionally, they released veteran tight end Martellus Bennet this week.

What makes this even more difficult for Green Bay is that they’re going up against the NFL’s 8th ranked defense. With all of the struggles that the Packers are facing, it’s hard to think that they can go into the Windy City and beat a young, up and coming Bears team.

Although Trubisky isn’t necessarily tearing up the NFL right now, the rookie has his team playing solid football and they’re 2-2 with him as the starter. He has 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on the season. The Bears have curtailed the offense for Trubisky and it seems to be working. In fact, they’ve turned him into a respectable game manager right now, which allows the team to focus on their run game and solid defense.

I believe that Trubisky will outplay Hundley in this game. Nothing looks smooth with Hundley and the Packers right now on offense. If Chicago can shut down Green Bay’s running game then they have a great chance to get after Hundley, sack him or force some turnovers.

Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on 6 or less days of rest. Chicago is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games between Weeks 10 and 13, 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

With the ineptness on Green Bay’s offense, and the fact that Chicago has already learned how to play with an inexperienced quarterback, I expect the Bears to win this one by at least a touchdown. Look for Trubisky to make more plays than Hundley and for Chicago’s top running back Jordan Howard to break 100 yards against a worn down Packers defense. I like the score to be Bears 20- Packers 13.

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