If you like points then you will definitely get some in this game as the high scoring Oregon Ducks travel to Tempe, Arizona, to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils. The #24 ranked Oregon Ducks are scoring a jaw dropping 56 points per game, while Arizona State is scoring 34 points per game. Could we see 100 points in this one? This exciting Pac-12 action kicks off inside Sun Devil Stadium at 10 P.M. ET.
The Ducks (3-0) have owned this series over the last 10+ years with a record of 10-0 against the Sun Devils. During that span they’ve outscored the Sun Devils 45.3 ppg to 26.3 ppg. This week, we will certainly see an offensive explosion as both teams seem to think that games can be won on offense alone.
Oregon is coming off the dismantling of the Wyoming Cowboys on the road where they blew them out 49-13. Prior to that, Oregon was in a shootout against Nebraska where they won 42-35. However, Oregon was up big in that one, but Nebraska scored a few garbage time touchdowns to make that game closer than the score appears.
The Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) came out on the wrong side of a shootout with Texas Tech 52-45. It was an exciting offensive display by both teams. So, it proves that the Sun Devils can definitely score points with the best of them. But, will they be able to score enough?
The spread opened with Oregon favored by 13 points, but it has since gone up to 16 points. There are some books that have Oregon as low as 14.5 points. Whatever the lowest spread you can find the Ducks at, take it! The Over/Under started at 76 points and has come down to 74 total points.
What we have here is a Pac-12 matchup that features two teams that love to play offense, but not so much defense. The Ducks are giving up 23 points per game and ASU is giving up 37 points per game. Both teams have played against some quality opponents and it appears that Oregon has the better defense between the two. Looking further, you will see that Oregon has given up 303 total yards per game compared to ASU’s 505 total yards per game.
The ASU defense is vulnerable with the pass as they are giving up 338 yards per game. This will be like Christmas morning for the Ducks who are averaging 323 passing yards per game. But, just when you start to drop more defenders into coverage, the Ducks will run the ball on you as they’re averaging 285 rushing yards per game. ASU will have to pick their poison and they don’t have the defensive front to control the line of scrimmage or get pressure on Oregon’s quarterback Justin Herbert.
On the season, Herbert has 897 yards passing with a 72.3 completion percentage and 5 passing touchdowns. He’s chipped in 73 rushing yards and 1 rushing TD as well. The most impressive rusher on the team is Royce Freeman who has 460 yards and 9 touchdowns on the season. He also has 109 yards receiving. If he gets going in this game, and he should, then ASU is in big trouble.
Who are we kidding? ASU is definitely in big trouble this week. Despite the efforts of quarterback Manny Wilkins, and his 924 passing yards on the season, ASU won’t be able to keep up the scoring pace with Oregon. I expect this game to be a route as Oregon will be up big before ASU can add some garbage time points. Look for the Ducks to have over 225 rushing yards and 300 passing yards as the offense just moves up and down the field. I can see this game being 51-28 or 59-35.
Oregon is 8-2 ATS against ASU and 5-1 ATS when playing at ASU. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS when playing on grass. The Sun Devils are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games during the month of September.