This is the time of year when a college football program gets introspective. Either they’re gearing-up for a potential conference championship and/or CFP run, pursuing New Years’ or minor-bowl eligibility, or in the pits of a terrible W/L record and just trying to create “something positive” as they say on TV.
The narrative surrounding a team in the stretch-run can highly affect motivation on the field…and the odds in Vegas.
The 2017 Miami Redhawks are failing to excite their fan base. That’s partially due to a 4-6 record, but could also owe something to the comparison with 2016, when the team engineered the most amazing turn-around in MAC history, losing 6 in a row, then winning 6 in a row before pushing Mississippi State to the brink on the day after Christmas.
But there’s been no repeated magic in ’17. The ‘Hawks have been mediocre on offense, QB Gus Ragland has struggled to be accurate, and the defense has been a let-down.
Eastern Michigan, meanwhile, is wondering where they go from here after a bitter 42-30 loss to CMU assured the Eagles of a losing season.
Who: Eastern Michigan Eagles at Miami of Ohio Redhawks
When: Wednesday, November 15th, 7 PM EST
Where: Fred C. Yager Stadium, Miami, OH
Lines: EMU (+3) at Miami (-3) / O/U Total: (49.5)
The Eagles dropped to 3-7 in frustrating fashion, rallying against CMU before Brogan Roback tossed a pick-6, putting the game away for the Chippewas.
Roback has struggled with turnovers all season, but the bigger problem might be the lack of a running game. Only 3 players on EMU’s roster have more than 100 yards rushing in ’17 – and their totals barely add up to 1000.
Miami has shown that its defense is formidable at home. Cincinnati needed an 18-point 4th quarter to overwhelm the Redhawks, who held visiting Akron to less than 275 yards of offense in a 24-14 win last week.
The (+3) point spread is influenced by trends, which show EMU beating the spread 7 times this season, while Miami has struggled. But not only has Eastern Michigan failed in 8 tries to beat Miami, the Redhawks have more to play for and the advantage of home field…and their QB will make fewer mistakes.
Take Miami to cover the spread.