Both teams will be fighting to stay alive in the playoff race when the Philadelphia Eagles host the New York Giants in Week 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 25, at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Fans in certain markets will be able to watch the game on Fox.
According to the Week 12 NFL odds, the Eagles are 6-point favorites at home. That line has bumped up slightly after Philadelphia opened the week favored by 5.5 points. The over/under for the game is set at 46 points.
Don’t look now but the Giants have won two straight games to get themselves to 3-7 on the season. Granted, those wins came against the 49ers and Buccaneers. But they’ve been able to put a five-game losing streak behind them and give themselves a glimmer of hope heading down the stretch. Even at 3-7, the Giants may have an outside shot at reaching the playoffs if they can win out.
Of course, that gives them no margin for error during the final six weeks of the season. More importantly, the easy stretch of their schedule is over. The Giants will play all of their remaining games against teams that are also fighting for their playoff lives at this point, so keeping up their winning ways won’t be easy.
Meanwhile, the world-champion Eagles are on the verge of being knocked out of the playoff picture. Philadelphia was humiliated against the Saints last week in a 48-7 loss, their third loss in their last four games. To make matters worse, two of those three losses came at home.
As it stands, the Eagles are 4-6 and two games behind Washington in the NFC East. They are also more than a game off the pace in what is becoming a crowded wild-card race. On the bright side, the Eagles still have two games left against Washington, giving them a chance to make up ground at the top of the division. But the Eagles have to get back on track as soon as possible
When these two teams met on a Thursday night in Week 6, the Eagles dominated in a 34-13 win, giving them four straight wins over the G-Men. But that was the last time Philadelphia played a complete game and looked like a bonafide playoff team. Of course, it’s also worth noting that the Giants haven’t won a game at Lincoln Financial Field since 2013.
The Eagles should be able to win this game, but not necessarily with the way they’ve played recently. Meanwhile, the Giants have been surprisingly decent on the road, going 2-3 with all of their losses coming by a single possession. Even if the Eagles can get back on track with a win, they only have one win this year by more than a touchdown. I’ll take the Giants to beat the spread.
It may have come against bad teams, but the Giants are finally showing the kind of offensive firepower we’ve expected of them all season. Saquon Barkley has gained over 200 yards on the ground over the last two weeks, and that’s with 23 yards being his longest carry, so he’s giving the Giants positive yards on almost every play. Naturally, that has started to open things up for Eli Manning, who still has one of the best receivers in football at his disposal in Odell Beckham Jr.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia defense is becoming an area of concern. Giving up 48 points last week against the Saints isn’t necessarily a red flag. But getting torched by Dak Prescott and the Cowboys the week before could be.
Suddenly, the Eagles aren’t so stout against the run, which could be a problem against Barkley and the G-Men. Keep in mind that Barkley went off for 130 yards on 13 carries when they met earlier this year. Unless the Eagles can get out to an early lead and make the Giants abandon the run, they could be in some trouble trying to keep Barkley contained all game.
On the other side of the ball, the Eagles still can’t establish a consistent ground attack without Jay Ajayi. That lack of a running game is starting to hinder Carson Wentz, who has thrown five interceptions in his last three games. The Eagles are now near the bottom of the NFL in turnovers whereas the Giants are one of the best in the NFL at creating takeaways after totaling six over the last two weeks.
For what it’s worth, the Giants continue to give up a lot of yards, so they can be vulnerable when they aren’t forcing turnovers. However, with all of the pressure on Wentz and his receivers, the Eagles have only scored more than 24 points in a game once this year. Of course, that one game was against the Giants.
If I thought the Eagles were the same team they were when they beat the Giants in Week 6, I might be tempted to swallow the points. However, Philadelphia is not showing much growth or improvement in recent weeks whereas the Giants have created a little bit of momentum. With the spread at nearly a touchdown, I don’t trust the Eagles enough to cover.