Week 13 kicks off with a heated NFC East rivalry between the visiting Washington Redskins and the hosting Dallas Cowboys. These two teams are in desperate need of a win to keep their tiny chances of getting a NFC Wild Card spot. As of now, both teams are multiple games back and trending in the wrong direction. The loser of this game will in all likelihood be eliminated from any realistic chance at the post season. Kickoff inside AT&T Stadium is at 8:25 PM ET.
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the Cowboys hold a 7-3 record against Washington. Both teams have gone 5-5 ATS during that span. Dallas defeated Washington a month ago by two touchdowns 33-19. Things are a lot different since then as both teams are now under .500 on the season and almost eliminated from any chance at making the playoffs.
Washington (5-6) is 2-3 on the road and coming off a 20-10 Thanksgiving day victory over the New York Giants. It wasn’t a pretty victory, but it did stop a two game losing streak. Since their first meeting against Dallas, Washington has gone 2-2 and could have been 3-1 if it weren’t for their colossal collapse against the New Orleans Saints two weeks ago. Washington is looking to take advantage of a reeling Dallas team this week.
The Cowboys (5-6) are in the midst of a 3 game losing streak. The last two losses came at home where they are now 2-4 on the season. It’s a huge surprise at how poorly this team is playing considering they have plenty of talent on both sides of the ball even without the suspended Ezekiel Elliott. During their 3 game losing streak, Dallas has been outscored 92-22. They’ve been terrible on offense and look like a team heading toward a losing record on the season.
The spread opened with Dallas favored by 1.5 and it remains unchanged. The Over/Under opened at 44 total points and it remains unchanged.
I have very little confidence in the Cowboys these days. They’ve been dreadful to watch. They’re averaging just 7 points per game over the last 3 weeks and look like one of the worst teams in the league. Washington has a respectable defense and they will definitely give Dallas troubles this week.
Since Zeke has gone out, Dallas has forgotten how to run the ball. On the season they’re averaging 134 rushing yards per game. But, over the last 3 weeks, they’ve averaged less than 100 yards per game. Additionally, Dak Prescott has been in a slump as he’s thrown 5 interception and 0 touchdowns over this 3-game losing streak.
Washington, despite suffering through many injuries on both sides of the ball, are chugging along on offense and that’s largely due to Kirk Cousins. The franchise quarterback has thrown for 3,038 yards, 19td’s and 6 interceptions on the season. For most of the season, they’ve been one-dimensional as they haven’t established any consistent running game. But, that might have changed as Perine became the #1 back due to injuries and looks ready to contribute. In their win against the Giants, Perine had 100 yards rushing. Two weeks ago against the Saints, Perine put up 117 yards and 1 TD. So, in the two games that he has become the featured back, Perine has 217 yards and 1 TD.
Dallas is giving up 112 rushing yards per game and 257 passing yards per game. With that being said, I see Cousins outdueling Prescott this week and getting Washington the win. Dallas seems too dysfunctional right now and Prescott is hitting a sophomore slump. He looks out of sync with his receivers and is under a lot of pressure without any rushing attack. Washington’s defense will get after him and they will also smother the Dallas receivers.
Washington is 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games, 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against Dallas and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games at Dallas. The Cowboys are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
I expect Kirk Cousins to be the driving force behind the offensive success for Washington this week. Without Zeke, Dallas won’t have as many sustaining drives, which will put the ball in the hand of Cousins and give him more opportunities. Dallas is giving up 24 ppg on the season, but is giving up over 30 ppg during this 3 game losing streak. Washington has scored 30 points in 2 of their last 3 games and I see them doing it this week. Look for Cousins to pass for nearly 300 yards and 3 TDs. Perine will get his 100 yards this week and another TD on the season. Washington wins this one 30-20.