Free College Football Betting Prediction: Colorado State vs Wyoming

The Mountain West helps to kick off the college football weekend with a Friday night game between the Colorado State Rams and Wyoming Cowboys. Kickoff is set for 9:30 EST on Friday, November 22 at War Memorial Stadium in Laramie, Wyoming. Fans can catch all of the action on ESPN2.

The current betting odds for this game list Wyoming as 7-point favorites at home. There is also an over/under set at 50.5 points. Click here to check out a full list of this week’s college football odds.

Wyoming vs Colorado State Vegas Preview & Game Predictions

For Colorado State, it’s do-or-die. The Rams saw their three-game winning streak come to an end last week against Air Force. That game dropped them to 4-6 on the season, meaning they need to win their final two games of the season to become bowl eligible. It doesn’t help that they have to play Boise State in their season finale. But that game won’t matter if they don’t beat Wyoming first. After Colorado State went 3-9 and failed to make a bowl game last season, Mike Bobo’s job could be on the line if he doesn’t get the Rams to a bowl game this year.

As for Wyoming, things are a little more relaxed. Despite suffering back-to-back losses to Boise State and Utah State, Craig Bohl and the Cowboys are already bowl eligible and poised to play in a bowl game for the third time in the last four seasons. Of course, Wyoming would love to secure a winning season and doesn’t want to head to a bowl game on the heels of a four-game losing streak. With a tricky road game against Air Force next week, this figures to be Wyoming’s best chance to snap out of their losing skid and guarantee a winning record in 2019.

Of course, this is also a fierce rivalry game. These two schools are only separated by about 65 miles despite being in different states. Colorado State and Wyoming also play for the Bronze Boot every year, so there is a trophy on the line in this game. The Rams have the edge in the all-time series, but Wyoming has won in each of the last three seasons. That should have Bobo and the CSU seniors motivated to finally beat the Cowboys.

Vegas Free NCAAF Betting Pick: Wyoming -7

Wyoming has owned this rivalry in recent years and I think that trend continues. Colorado State, of course, has the edge in the motivation department. But Wyoming is eager for a win as well. Plus, they should have no problem getting up for a rivalry game at home. All things considered, I have no problem eating the points and taking the Cowboys to cover.

Colorado State’s problem this season is that they are as one-dimensional as they get. The Rams have had virtually no rushing attack since Marvin Kinsey was suspended and parted ways with the program. They also have one of the worst defenses in the Mountain West, so there’s little help on that side of the ball. That leaves Patrick O’Brien and the passing attack as the only viable path to victory for CSU. 

In fairness, O’Brien has put together a nice season. He also has an excellent wide receiver tandem in Warren Jackson and Dante Wright. But a good passing attack has rarely been enough for Colorado State to win games this season, which is why they’re 4-6. More importantly, I don’t think it’ll be enough against Wyoming.

The Cowboys have one of the top defenses in the Mountain West, as they give up less than 19 points per game. Outside of Missouri, who Wyoming beat in the season opener, no team has scored more than 26 points against the Cowboys this season. Even Boise State struggled to find consistent success against the Wyoming defense. In fact, in their five home games, the Cowboys are conceding just 15 points per game, and that includes Missouri’s 31 points. O’Brien might hit on a few big plays, but with little balance for the CSU offense, I don’t see them scoring many points against the Wyoming defense.

Of course, the Cowboys still have to find a way to score a few points themselves in order to cover the spread. Wyoming ranks near the bottom of the country in passing yards. Tyler Vander Waal has only been a modest improvement after taking the quarterback job from Sean Chambers. However, the Cowboys have one of the best rushing attacks in the Mountain West. Xazavian Valladay has rushed for over 100 yards in four straight games, including 206 yards a few weeks ago against a porous Nevada defense. The Colorado State defense, which is giving up 32 points per game, doesn’t appear to be equipped to handle a potent rushing attack like the one Wyoming will throw at them.

While the Cowboys probably aren’t going to run away with this game, the Wyoming defense should be able to keep the Colorado State offense in check, even if the Rams spring one or two big plays. Meanwhile, the Cowboys will run the ball effectively enough to create scoring chances against a lackluster CSU defense. In the end, Wyoming should have no problem scoring enough points to cover the 7-point spread.

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