The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (2-3, 0-2) will head to the northeast as they face the Boston College Eagles (3-2, 0-2) in an ACC matchup Saturday afternoon. Boston College has won seven of the last ten meetings; that includes a 23-17 win on the road on October 25, 2014 though the Demon Deacons covered as they were a 13.5 point underdog.
Wake Forest battled but ended up a 24-16 loser at home to #11 Florida State last week. Boston College was in a defensive struggle and lost 9-7 on the road to Duke. This game is scheduled to kick off at 3:00 pm ET from Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts and will be televised on ESPN3. Boston College is currently a 7.5 point favorite in this contest with the over/under set at 37 points.
Wake Forest had their opportunities to upset the Seminoles but could only convert field goals instead of putting up touchdowns. The Demon Deacons outgained Florida State 357-329 in the game but turned the ball over twice while the Seminoles didn’t commit a turnover. Kicking three field goals on drives that stalled in the red zone proved to be a major issue in an eight point loss. Wake Forest racked up 27 first downs while allowing 14 and dominated the time of possession by a 35:56 to 24:04 margin.
The Demon Deacons are throwing for 283 yards per game as they are 27th in the nation in that category while they rank 109th with 131 yards per game on the ground. Wake Forest is averaging 23 points per game while ranking tied for 39th with 20.4 points allowed per contest. John Wolford was the starter at quarterback but he’s still dealing with an ankle injury; he was 53 of 77 for 712 yards with four touchdowns and four picks. Hinton is 70 of 128 for 684 yards with two touchdowns and four picks while leading the team with 218 yards and four scores on the ground. The run game is rather weak for Wake Forest; Tyler Bell (40 carries, 139 yards), Isaiah Robinson (26 carries, 98 yards) and Matt Colburn (31 carries, 132 yards, TD) are the top backs in the ground game. Five players have at least 14 receptions for the Demon Deacons: K.J. Brent (24 receptions, 322 yards, TD), Cortez Lewis (25 grabs, 257 yards, TD) and Cam Serigne (26 catches, 300 yards, TD) are the top trio of targets. Mike Weaver has hit all 13 extra points and 8 of 10 field goal attempts on the year.
Boston College relied on their defense against Duke but the problem was, despite keeping the Blue Devils out of the end zone, they were unable to do much offensively themselves. The Eagles outgained the Blue Devils 305-228 in the game but committed the lone turnover in the contest. Boston College turned the ball over on downs while in field goal range in the first half and then missed a 46 yard field goal in the fourth quarter that could have given them the lead.
The Eagles are extremely reliant on the run as they throw for just 116 yards per game while they rank 23rd in the nation with an average of 217.6 yards per game on the ground. Boston College gets it done defensively; while they score 31 points a game, they are 3rd in the nation by allowing just 8 points per game. Three quarterbacks have seen action for Boston College; they’ve combined to complete 48.9 percent of their passes for 580 yards with five touchdowns and two picks. Jon Hillman is third on the Eagles with 51 carries for 198 yards and two scores; with him out with a broken foot, it will be Tyler Rouse (40 carries, 205 yards, 5 TD), Marcus Outlow (29 carries, 136 yards, TD) or Myles Willis (18 carries, 122 yards) will have to shoulder the load. Seventeen different players have caught at least one pass for the Eagles with Bobby Alford leading the team with seven receptions for 71 yards. Four players have been involved in the kicking game as it seems to be kicker by committee; they’ve combined to hit all 16 extra points and two of four field goals this year.
Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in their last seven in October. Boston College is 10-24 ATS in their last 34 against teams with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last five after an ATS win.
It’s tough to see Boston College as a touchdown plus favorite with their struggles offensively due to a slew of injuries to key players. Wake Forest hung in against Florida State last week and while they will likely be held in check offensively here, I expect another low scoring affair. Take the points and the Demon Deacons if you’re playing the line; if you’re playing straight up, Boston College gets the nod.