Week 10 of the NFL season comes to a close with a doozy as the San Francisco 49ers try to remain undefeated when they host the Seattle Seahawks in an NFC West rivalry game. Kickoff is at 8:15 EST on Monday, November 11 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The game will be broadcast on ESPN.
Current odds list the 49ers as 6-point favorites at home with an over/under of 46.5 points. Click here to get a full list of the Week 10 NFL betting odds.
As mentioned, the 49ers have survived the first half of the season without suffering a loss. While they’ve had their fair share of easy games, San Francisco sits at 8-0 after impressive wins over the Steelers, Rams, and Panthers. They also had to survive a late rally from the Cardinals last week, holding on for a 28-25 win to remain perfect.
Of course, being 8-0 hasn’t afforded the 49ers a comfortable lead in arguably the best division in the NFL. San Francisco holds just a game and a half lead over the 7-2 Seahawks in the NFC West. Even the 5-3 Rams aren’t out of the picture just yet. Despite being perfect midway through the season, it could take just two weeks for the 49ers to fall out of first place. That being said, a head-to-head win over the Seahawks could give the 49ers some much-needed breathing room. They might need some with games against the Packers, Ravens, and Saints on the schedule over the next month.
Meanwhile, the Seahawks are hoping that a head-to-head win over San Francisco this week will give them a chance to eventually overtake the 49ers atop the NFC West standings. Seattle enters Monday’s game coming off back-to-back wins over the Falcons and Buccaneers to push them to 7-2. Even if Seattle doesn’t win the NFC West, they are in good shape for a Wild Card spot. On the other hand, it could take as little as two weeks fo the Seahawks to fall out of a playoff spot.
Much like the 49ers, the Seahawks are facing a challenging scheduled the second half of the season. Seattle is about to hit the road for four of their next five games, including east coast trips to face the Eagles and Panthers and a showdown with the Rams. Given the difficulty of that schedule, Monday’s game is vital for Seattle’s chances of winning the NFC West.
On the bright side, the Seahawks have dominated this rivalry for the last handful of years. The 49ers beat Seattle in overtime at Levi’s Stadium last season. But that was San Francisco’s first head-to-head win over the Seahawks since 2013. Prior to that, the Seahawks had won 10 in a row over the 49ers, including the 2013 NFC Championship Game.
The 49ers have been impressive this season, winning six of their eight games by more than a touchdown. But they also have just two wins against teams that head into Week 10 with a winning record. Playing the Seahawks will be a challenge and I just can’t go against Russell Wilson in a big game. The 6-point spread is more than enough to take a chance on Seattle as an underdog.
To be fair, Wilson and company will face a massive challenge. The San Francisco defense has become a monster, allowing less than 13 points per game. The 49ers also have the best pass rush in the league, which on full display two weeks ago against Carolina. But the 49ers also had some trouble against Arizona’s rushing attack last week, which helped keep their pass rush somewhat in check.
That could be one area where the Seahawks can find some footing in this game. Seattle has a top-10 rushing attack and even found success last week with Chris Carson running for over 100 yards against the Bucs, who have the best rush defense in the NFL. If the Seahawks can get Carson going, they should prevent the San Francisco pass rush from teeing off on Wilson.
Moreover, the Seattle passing game isn’t bad either. Wilson is coming off a career day against the Bucs last week. The Seahawks are top-10 in passing yards and have both Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf playing well at the same time. Seattle also has an X-factor this week with the addition of Josh Gordon, who is expected to play on Monday. Even against the best pass defense in the league, the 49ers could have their hands full with a Seattle offense averaging close to 28 points per game.
On the other side of the ball, the 49ers have some injury question marks. Tight end George Kittle is the most notable, as he’s listed as questionable. Both of San Francisco’s offensive tackles are also questionable to play on Monday. While the 49ers tend to lean on their running game, Kittle is a much-needed difference-maker in the passing game. Jimmy Garoppolo may have lit it up against the Arizona defense last week, but that performance has not been the norm for him this year.
In the end, I think the Seahawks put up enough of a fight to at least beat the spread. Even for the San Francisco defense, Wilson will be a challenge to defend for 60 minutes, especially if the Seahawks can generate a steady rushing attack. Given Seattle’s dominance over the 49ers in recent years, this won’t be an easy game for San Francisco, which is why I like the Seahawks as 6-point underdogs.