In a NFC West matchup, the San Francisco 49ers (1-1) travel to the Pacific Northwest to battle the Seattle Seahawks (1-1) Sunday afternoon. The game kicks off at 4:05 pm ET from CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington. The contest is regionally televised on FOX. The latest check of the week 3 odds shows Seattle as a 10 point favorite in this contest with the over/under set at 41 points.
San Francisco crashed back to earth with a 46-23 road loss to Carolina last week. Seattle struggled offensively for the second straight game, losing 9-3 on the road to the Rams last week. This is the 35th regular season meeting between the franchises. Seattle holds a 19-15 advantage in the series. The Seahawks won five straight and seven of the last eight in the series. Seattle swept the regular season series last year, winning 20-3 at home on October 22 and 29-13 on the road on November 22, 2015.
San Francisco made some plays early on last week against the Panthers. The 49ers didn’t have the weapons to hang in against a Carolina team that piled up a ton of points. San Francisco can’t afford to give up 529 yards with their offense. The 49ers are averaging 311 yards per game and 4.5 yards per play on offense. Their run game is struggling as San Francisco is 12th in the league with 107.5 yards per game but they average 3.2 yards per carry. The 49ers are 28th in the league in passing with 203.5 yards per game. Seattle’s defense is allowing opposing QBs to complete 57.6 percent of their throws and a 74.6 QB rating. The Seahawks limit the opposition to 184.5 yards per game through the air and have sacked the quarterback eight times.
The run game isn’t a good option either: Seattle allows 64.5 yards per game and 2.8 yards per carry. That is going to make things difficult for Carlos Hyde, who was limited last week. Carolina held him to 34 yards on 14 carries last week. If Hyde is kept in check, that puts a ton of pressure on Blaine Gabbert to move the sticks through the air. It opens up a lot of potential hits and sacks for Gabbert to deal with.
Seattle is clearly hampered by injuries. Russell Wilson was limited in his mobility with his sprained ankle last week and it showed. He wasn’t nearly as explosive as he was last season. Seattle needs his ability to extend plays and run around to make things happen. The Seahawks are averaging only 7.5 points per game in the first two weeks of the year. One touchdown in 22 offensive possessions isn’t going to get it done. The Seahawks are a run-oriented offense when they are successful. In the first two weeks, they’ve averaged 39 passes and 28 running plays. That skewed ratio is a lot to ask of a banged up quarterback with a mediocre offensive line. Throw in injured receivers and it makes life that much more difficult for Seattle.
The 49ers have struggled against the Seahawks, especially on the road. San Francisco’s offensive attack needs work. Gabbert is a game manager and little beyond that. He’s not a guy that brings you back from a multiple score deficit. Seattle’s defense has been tremendous to start the year. The Seahawks stifle opposing offenses as they are relentless. It may take a little time for the offense to get up to speed and healthy but Seattle has the weapons. Seattle has Wilson, Thomas Rawls, Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett along with Jimmy Graham offensively. That’s a lot of talent. The Seahawks get a breakthrough by actually finding the end zone multiple times and get the win. Check back every week for all your free NFL picks!
Seattle is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.